The estimate of 5,000,000 dollars for the interest of the loans the

second year after the war, is founded on the supposition that the direct

and other internal taxes or duties laid for the first year, together

with the existing revenue, and twenty-five millions borrowed by loans or

Treasury notes, will be sufficient to defray the expense incurred prior

to and during the first year of the war. The deficiency in the regular

force for that year must be supplied by large drafts of militia, which

will be as expensive at least as the regular soldiers whose place they

will supply.

But it appears very doubtful whether such a large sum as forty-five

millions can be raised annually by loans and Treasury notes. It is

necessary in the first place to correct some erroneous opinions

respecting the extent to which these notes may be kept in circulation,

and the legitimate objects to which they may be applied.

The Treasury notes were first introduced on my suggestion, which was no

new discovery, since they are a mere transcript of the Exchequer Bills

of Great Britain. As these have been resorted to for more than a

century, and have never become there a portion of the ordinary currency,

the extent to which they may be used for other purposes is well

ascertained, and bears always a certain ratio to the wealth of the

country and to the revenue of the State. Whether issued to the bank as

an anticipation of the revenue, or used by capitalists for short

investments, the gross amount has rarely exceeded twenty millions

sterling. Judging from past experience, the amount which may, in time of

war, be kept in circulation at par in the United States falls far short

of a proportionate sum.

The amount of Treasury Notes issued during the years 1812

and 1813 amounted to $8,930 000

Of which there had been paid including interest $4,240 000

The amount in actual circulation was less than five millions, and thus

far they had been kept at par.

All the demands from the other departments had been met by the Treasury,

and there were but few, if any, outstanding arrears. Nothing had as yet

been collected on account of the direct tax and of the internal duties.

Besides the five millions of Treasury Notes, there had been paid into

the Treasury in the years 1812 and 1813, $28,740,000 on account of war

loans, and $22,283,000 from the customs. The balance in the Treasury

amounted to $5,196,542 on the 31st December, 1813.

The amount of Treasury Notes issued during the year 1814 amounted to

near eight millions, and there had been paid off during the same year,

including interest, $2,700,000; making an addition of about five

millions and a half, and the total amount outstanding about ten millions

and a half. The receipts during that year, on account of the direct tax

and internal duties, amounted to $3,877,000, from war loans to

$15,080,000, and from customs to only six millions. Before the end of

the year, Government was unable to pay the notes which had become due.

It is perfectly clear that, if new notes could not be issued in lieu of

those which had become due, it was because they had fallen below par,

and therefore that the amount outstanding was greater than the demand

for them. There was but one remedy, and it was very simple. A reduction

in that amount must be made, by funding at their market price a quantity

sufficient to re-establish the equilibrium. But all the banks west of

New England had in the meanwhile suspended their specie payments. A

period of anarchy in the currency of the country was the consequence,

and lasted till those payments were resumed in the year 1817.

The result of the suspension of specie payments in England was, that the

notes of the Bank of England became in fact a legal tender and the

standard of the currency. All the other banks were obliged to keep their

own notes on a par with those of that bank; and all that was necessary

in order to prevent a depreciation, was to regulate the issues of the

Bank of England, so as to keep them at par with gold and silver.

Nevertheless, the clamor for more currency prevailed; the bank found it

very convenient and profitable to issue notes which it was not obliged

to pay, and these finally depreciated twenty-five per cent. But in the

United States the banks were under no other control than that of the

several States respectively. The consequence was, that we had fifty and

more species of local currencies, varying in value in the different

States or districts of country, and from time to time in the same

district. The banks might with facility have resumed specie payments

during the first year of peace. The efforts of the Secretary of the

Treasury to induce them to resume proved unsuccessful; and the

resumption did not take place till after a new Bank of the United States

had been organized.

We have had two general suspensions of specie payments, the last at a

time of profound peace. I was then behind the scenes, had some agency in

restoring specie payments, and may speak on that subject with knowledge

and confidence. The obstacles came partly from the Banks, principally

from the Debtor interest, which excites sympathy and preponderates

throughout the United States. The mis-named Bank of the United States,

and the banks under its influence, were, it is true, a formidable

impediment; and this obstacle is now fortunately removed. Still the

continuance of specie payments stands, whenever a crisis occurs, on a

most precarious basis; and if any important place, especially New York,

happened to break, all the banks through the United States would

instantaneously follow the example. This is the most imminent danger to

which the Treasury of the United States will be exposed in time of war;

and what effect the Sub-Treasury system may produce in that respect

remains to be tested by experience.

It is impossible to draw any inference respecting Treasury Notes, from

what took place in the United States during the confused state of the

currency in the years 1815 and 1816. The taxes were paid everywhere with

the cheapest local currency, in Treasury Notes only in the places where

specie payments had been continued, or where bank notes were nearly at

par. The depreciation of the Treasury Notes was arrested by the fact,

that they might at all times be converted into a six or seven per cent.

stock; but in that case they became assimilated to a direct loan. They

never can become a general currency, on account of their varying value,

so long as they bear an interest and are made payable at some future

day. In order to give them that character, they should assume that of

bank notes, bearing no interest and payable on demand. It does not

require the gift of prophecy to be able to assert that, as the wants of

Government increased, such notes would degenerate into paper money to

the utter ruin of the public credit.

They may, however, be made a special currency for the purpose of paying

taxes as gold and silver, and to the exclusion of any other species of

paper currency. The amount which might be thus kept in circulation, in

addition to that wanted for short investments, would be limited by the

gross amount of the annual revenue, and bear but a small proportion to

it; since one thousand dollars, in silver or in any paper currency, are

sufficient to effect in one year fifty payments of the same amount.

Although the amount kept in circulation may fluctuate according to

circumstances, the fundamental principle is, that the issue of such

notes is an anticipation of the revenue, which, after it has reached the

maximum that may be kept in circulation without being depreciated, never

can be increased. Be the amount ten or twenty millions, the anticipation

may be continued, but not renewed; it is not an annual resource, but

one, the whole amount of which never can exceed that which may be kept

in circulation. The operation consists in re-issuing annually the

amount which is paid off in the year. Whenever, owing to incidental

fluctuations, the amount to be redeemed by the Treasury exceeds that

which may be re-issued, the difference must be immediately funded at the

market price of the notes, so as to keep them always at par or a little

above par.

It is evident, that if the direct tax and internal duties laid in

August, 1813, had been imposed in July, 1812; and if the acts of

January, 1815, which increased both, had been enacted in August, 1813;

there would have been an addition of at least eight millions to the

revenue of the years 1812 and 1813; the Treasury Notes which had become

due would have been paid, public credit would have been maintained, and

the amount of war loans lessened.

The principal causes of the fall of public stocks during a war, and of

the consequent necessity of borrowing on dearer terms, are a want of

confidence in Government, and the large amount of stocks thrown in the

market beyond the natural demand for them. The effect of this last cause

is remarkably illustrated by the fluctuations in the price of the stocks

of Great Britain, where it does not appear that there ever was a want of

confidence in the ability and fidelity of Government in fulfilling its

engagements. The British three per cents. are now, and were before the

war of American Independence, and before those which had their origin in

the French revolution, near par or at par. They fell gradually during

the war of independence, and were as low as fifty-four in February,

1782. The long war with France was attended with the same result, and

the three per cents. had fallen to fifty-five in July, 1812.

Notwithstanding the deranged state of the finances of the United States

in 1814, the American stocks had not fallen in the same proportion. Such

great depreciation is the result of the long continuance of a war. No

one can say what would have been its progress, had the last war with

England continued much longer.

There was not, however, at that time, at least in America, any want of

confidence in the Government: no one doubted that it would ultimately

faithfully discharge all its engagements. Although the General

Government is in no way responsible for the errors of any of the

individual States, it is nevertheless certain, that the credit of the

Union has been injured abroad by the failure of several of the States to

fulfil their engagements, and that no expectation can be entertained of

being able to borrow money in Europe. It is not less true that the

Administration will cease to enjoy the confidence of American

capitalists, if the measures it has recommended should be adopted and

productive of war. No one can doubt that, if that event should take

place, the Americans will fight in defence of their country, and none

with greater zeal and bravery than the people of the Western States.

During the last war, their militia and volunteers flocked either to the

Lakes, to New Orleans, or wherever there was danger; nor did they refuse

to take part in offensive operations, and to serve without the limits of

the United States. But men cannot, either there or elsewhere, afford to

render gratuitous services. Whether regulars, volunteers, or militia,

they must be fed, clothed, transported, supplied with arms and

artillery, and paid. There is as yet but very little active circulating

capital in the new States: they cannot lend; they, on the contrary, want

to borrow money. This can be obtained in the shape of loans only from

the capitalists of the Atlantic States. A recurrence to public documents

will show that all the loans of the last war were obtained in that

quarter.

Men of property are perhaps generally more timid than others, and

certainly all the quiet people, amongst whom the public stocks are

ultimately distributed, are remarkably cautious. Prudent capitalists,

who do not speculate, and consider public stocks only as convenient and

safe investments, will not advance money to Government so long as it is

controlled by men whom they consider as reckless, and as entertaining

rather lax opinions respecting public credit. Yet money will be

obtained, but on much dearer terms than if public confidence was

unimpaired. There will always be found bold speculators, who will

advance it at a premium--enhanced by the want of competition, and

proportionate to the risks they may be supposed to incur. Independent of

this, it is most certain that the rate of interest at which loans may be

obtained, will always be increased in proportion to their magnitude. The

only ways by which these difficulties may be obviated, or at least

lessened, are perfect fidelity in fulfilling the engagements of

Government; an economical, that is to say, a skilful application of the

public moneys to the most important objects, postponing all those which

are not immediately wanted, or are of inferior real utility; and an

increase of the amount of revenue derived from taxation. This has the

double advantage of diminishing the amount to be borrowed, and of

inspiring confidence to the money-lenders. In all cases, direct loans

will be preferable to, and prove a cheaper mode of raising money than

the over issues of Treasury Notes.

The Act of July, 1812, which doubled the duties on importations,

afforded a resource which, on account of the high rate at this time of

those duties, cannot now be resorted to. Duties may, however, be levied

on the importation of Tea and Coffee, and perhaps some other articles

now duty free. Other modifications may be found useful, but it may be

difficult to ascertain, even without any regard to protection, what are

the rates of duties which should be imposed in time of war on the

various imported articles, in order to render the revenue derived from

that source as productive as possible.

It must also be observed that if, on account of the credit then allowed

for the payment of duties on importations, the Treasury had, when the

war of 1812 commenced, a resource in the revenue previously accrued but

not yet collected, which does not now exist; on the other hand the

United States were still encumbered with a considerable portion of the

Revolutionary debt, and the payments on account of its principal and

interest amounted during the years 1812, 1813, 1814, to about

$11,000,000, whilst the annual interest on the now existing debt is less

than one million.

The direct tax of the year 1815 amounted to $6,000,000, and the revenue

which accrued during the same year, on the aggregate of internal duties,

as increased or imposed at the same time, amounted to about the same

sum. That year is also the most proper for a comparative view of the

revenue derived from each object. In the subsequent years the revival of

business increased the amount derived from the duties connected with the

commerce of the country, much beyond that which could be collected in

time of war; whilst, on the other hand, the excise on spirits was much

less productive. The nett revenue derived from internal duties, which

accrued during that year was in round numbers, about

Excise on spirits $2,750,000

Licences to retailers 880,000

Sales at auction 780,000

Stamp duties 420,000

Tax on carriages 150,000

Refined sugar 80,000

Several manufactured articles 840,000

Household furniture 20,000

Watches worn by individuals 80,000

----------

Total $6,000,000

The three last items were those added on Mr. Dallas's recommendation to

the first items laid in 1813, but the rate of which was increased, also

on his recommendation. The manufactured articles not before taxed on

which the new duties were laid were, pig and bar iron, nails; wax and

tallow candles; hats, caps and umbrellas; paper and playing cards;

leather, saddles, bridles, boots and shoes; beer, ale and porter; snuff,

cigars and manufactured tobacco. This was the boldest measure proposed

by the Secretary, for these duties were from their nature intrinsically

obnoxious. Yet no voice was raised against them; and so far from

becoming unpopular, Mr. Dallas, by his courage and frankness, acquired a

well-earned popularity. No stronger proof can be adduced of the

propriety of telling the whole truth and placing an entire confidence in

the people.

The only important measure omitted at that time, was an Act of Congress

ordering that all the Treasury notes actually due and not paid should be

immediately funded at their nominal value; that is to say, that for

every one hundred dollars in Treasury notes, the same amount of funded

stock should be issued as it was necessary to give for one hundred

dollars in gold or silver. It was impossible to obtain a regular loan in

time, and on reasonable terms, for the purpose of defraying the war

expenses of the first six months of the year 1815. There was an absolute

necessity for recurring to Treasury notes for that purpose, and the

attention of the Treasury was forcibly directed to that object. But the

first and fundamental element of public credit is the faithful and

punctual fulfilment of the public engagements; and the payment of the

Treasury notes, when becoming due, was as necessary as that of the

interest of the funded debt, which never was suspended during the war.

As an immediate and considerable issue of Treasury notes was absolutely

necessary, it was not sufficient that they might be convertible into a

funded stock, which was already much below par, since that would be in

fact an issue of depreciated paper. The Act should, therefore, have

pledged the public faith, that if the Treasury notes were not discharged

in specie when they became due, they should be funded at their nominal

value on the same terms as above stated. Mr. Dallas to great energy

united pre-eminent talents, he wanted only experience; and I have no

doubt that, had the war continued, he would within six months have

adopted that course. If I have alluded here to this subject, it is on

account of the primary importance, if placed hereafter in a similar

difficult position, of adhering rigorously to those principles

respecting the legitimate use of Treasury notes and the punctual

discharge of every public engagement, which are absolutely necessary for

the maintenance of public credit.

Since a direct tax of six millions could be raised thirty years ago,

there can be no difficulty in raising one of nine millions at the very

beginning of the war: this must be gradually increased, but would be

most heavily felt if beyond eighteen millions. Should an equal sum be

raised by internal duties, the annual loans wanted after the first year

of the war would be lessened in the same proportion. The following

estimate may assist in forming a correct opinion on that subject:--

The stamp duties, those on sales at auction, the

licences of retailers, and the carriage tax,

which accrued in the year 1815, amounted

together to $2,230,000, and may be now estimated

at twice as much $4,460,000

The aggregate annual value of leather, boots,

shoes, and other manufactures of leather; of

hats, caps and bonnets; snuff and cigars;

paper and playing cards, manufactured in the

United States, are estimated by the last census

at fifty-three millions, a tax on which of ten

per cent would give 5,300,000

On the same authority, three millions pounds of

spermaceti and wax candles would yield, at

five cents per pound, 150,000

Three millions two hundred and fifty thousand

pounds of refined sugar, at the same rate 160,000

Five hundred tons of pig and bar iron, nails and

brads, at two dollars per ton 1,000,000

The gross amount of spirits and beer manufactured

in the United States, is stated in the

census at sixty-five millions of gallons; but

the happy influence of the Temperance cause

has probably reduced this amount to less than

fifty millions, a tax on which of ten cents per

gallon 5,000,000

----------

$16,070,000

I have inserted only such articles as were heretofore taxed, and have no

means of indicating such other as might be added or preferred; nor must

I be understood as recommending any specially, or in reference to the

rates of duties to be imposed on any one.

It has been very generally asserted that men of property were averse to

the war because the losses and burthens which it must occasion fall

exclusively upon them; and that poor men were generally in favor of war,

because they had nothing to lose.

It is true that the first great loss, caused by the war, will fall

immediately on those interested in the maritime commerce of the United

States, either as owners, insurers, or in any way employed in it.

Considering the imminent danger to which is exposed the immense amount

of American property afloat on every sea, and the certain annihilation,

during the war, of the fisheries, of the commerce with Great Britain,

and of that with all the countries beyond Cape Horn and the Cape of Good

Hope, the American merchants may be alarmed at the prospect of a war,

the necessity of which they do not perceive. But if the apprehension of

immediate danger is more vividly felt, the calamitous effects of the war

on the agricultural interests are not less certain. The price of all the

products, of which large quantities are exported, must necessarily fall

so low that all the farmers must lessen the amount and with it their

income, whilst they must pay dearer for all the articles which they are

obliged to purchase. The distinction between rich and poor is vague. The

most numerous class in the United States is that of the men who are at

the same time owners and cultivators of the soil, and who have but

small properties and a very moderate income. Every diminution of this,

whether from the want of a market or from any additional tax, is in that

and the corresponding class of mechanics, attended with the privation of

the necessaries or comforts of life. The really rich, the capitalists

who have independent incomes, and are not obliged to engage in any of

the active pursuits of life, may, in any calamitous season, accumulate

less, or at most, must retrench only some luxuries. Thus the unavoidable

losses and burthens which are the consequences of a war, fall with the

greatest weight on those who derive their means of existence from the

pursuits of industry, and whose industry alone contributes to the

increase of the general wealth of the country.

But this is not all. Exclusive of those who, either as contractors, or

in some other way, are concerned with the large supplies wanted for the

support of the army and navy, there is a class of capitalists who are

enriched by the war. These are the money lenders, who shall have been

bold enough to take up the public loans: unless indeed it should be

intended to break public faith, and, on the return of peace, to question

the obligation to pay them, upon the pretence of their enormous profits.

What these profits are may be again illustrated by the example of Great

Britain.

It has already been seen that, whenever a war is one of long

continuance, the British Government may at first borrow at par, and ends

by being compelled to sell its stock at the rate of fifty per cent of

its nominal value; which gives for the whole of the war loans an average

of about 75 per cent. In point of fact that Government received in the

year 1812 less than 55 per cent; for the money actually received

consisted of bank notes, which had then depreciated twenty per cent; so

that the money lenders gave only that which was equivalent to forty-four

per cent, in gold or silver, of the nominal value of the stock which

they received. Besides receiving the interest on the nominal amount of

the stock till the principal shall have been paid, they might shortly

after the peace, and may now, receive from ninety-seven per cent to par,

in gold or silver, for that same stock for which they gave but

forty-four. Thus, assuming the public debt of Great Britain at eight

hundred thousand pounds sterling; not only was the whole of that

capital destroyed by the wars; not only are the British people subject

now, and it would seem for ever, to a burthen of taxes sufficient to pay

the interest on that debt; but of the eight hundred millions thus

consumed, only six hundred were received by the public, and the other

two hundred millions made the rich capitalists, who had advanced the

money, still richer.

The Oregon Question · 第 5 / 6 段