CHAPTER V

THE U-BOAT WARFARE

1

My appointment as Minister for Foreign Affairs was thought by many to

indicate that the Emperor Charles was carrying out the political

wishes of his uncle, Ferdinand. Although it had been the Archduke's

intention to have made me his Minister for Foreign Affairs, my

appointment to the post by the Emperor Charles had nothing to do with

that plan. It was due, above all, to his strong desire to get rid of

Count Burian and to the lack of other candidates whom he considered

suitable. The Red Book that was published by Count Burian after the

outbreak of war with Roumania may have attracted the Emperor's

attention to me.

Although the Emperor, while still Archduke, was for several years my

nearest neighbour in Bohemia--he was stationed at Brandeis, on the

Elbe--we never became more closely acquainted. In all those years he

was not more than once or twice at my house, and they were visits of

no political significance. It was not until the first winter of the

war, when I went from Roumania to the Headquarters at Teschen, that

the then Archduke invited me to make the return journey with him.

During this railway journey that lasted several hours politics formed

the chief subject of conversation, though chiefly concerning Roumania

and the Balkan questions. In any case I was never one of those who

were in the Archduke's confidence, and my call to the Ballplatz came

as a complete surprise.

At my first audience, too, we conversed at great length on Roumania

and on the question whether the war with Bucharest could have been

averted or not.

The Emperor was then still under the influence of our first peace

offer so curtly rejected by the Entente. At the German Headquarters at

Pless, where I arrived a few days later, I found the prevailing

atmosphere largely influenced by the Entente's answer. Hindenburg and

Ludendorff, who were apparently opposed to Burian's _démarche_ for

peace, merely remarked to me that a definite victory presented a

possibility of ending the war, and the Emperor William said that he

had offered his hand in peace but that the Entente had given him a

slap in the face, and there was nothing for it now but war to the

uttermost.

It was at this time that the question of the unrestricted U-boat

warfare began to be mooted. At first it was the German Navy only, and

Tirpitz in particular, who untiringly advocated the plan.

Hohenlohe,[5] who, thanks to his excellent connections, was always

very well informed, wrote, several weeks before the fateful decision

was taken, that the German Navy was determined and bent on that aim.

Bethmann and Zimmermann were both decidedly against it. It was

entirely in keeping with the prudent wisdom of the former not to risk

such experiments; Bethmann was an absolutely dependable, honourable

and capable partner, but the unbounded growth of the military

autocracy must be imputed to his natural tendency to conciliate. He

was powerless against Ludendorff and little by little was turned aside

by him. My first visit to Berlin afforded me the opportunity of

thoroughly discussing the U-boat question with the Imperial

Chancellor, and we were quite agreed in our disapproval of that method

of warfare. At all events, Bethmann pointed out that such essentially

military matters should in the first instance be left to military

decision, as they alone were able to form a correct estimate of the

result, and these reflections made me fear from the very first that

all reasonable political scruples would be upset by military

arguments. On this my first visit to Berlin, when this question

naturally was the dominating one, the Chancellor explained to me how

difficult his position was, because the military leaders, both on land

and at sea, declared that if the unrestricted U-boat warfare were not

carried out they would not be able to guarantee the Western front.

They thus brought an iron pressure to bear on him, for how could he,

the Chancellor, undertake to guarantee that the Western front could

hold out? As a matter of fact, the danger of introducing the

unrestricted U-boat campaign became greater and greater, and the

reports sent by Hohenlohe left no doubt as to the further development

of affairs in Berlin.

On January 12 he reported as follows:

The question of the extension of the U-boat warfare, as Your

Excellency is aware from the last discussions in Berlin, becomes

daily more acute.

On the one hand, all leading military and naval authorities insist

on making use of this means as speedily as possible, as they

declare it will end the war much more rapidly; on the other hand,

all statesmen have grave fears as to what effect it will have on

America and other neutrals.

The Supreme Military Command declares that a new offensive on a

very large scale is imminent in the West and that the armies which

are to resist this attack will not be able to understand why the

navy should not do all that lies in its power to prevent, or at

any rate to decrease, the reserves and ammunition being sent to

our adversaries. The absence of co-operation on the part of the

navy in the terrible battles the troops on the Western front will

again have to face will have a most _injurious_ effect on their

_moral_.

The objections put forward as to the effect the proceeding might

have on America are met in military circles by the assumption that

America will take good care not to go to war; that she, in fact,

would not be able to do so. The unfortunate failure of the United

States military machine in the conflict with Mexico clearly proves

what is to be expected from America in that respect. Even a

possible breaking off relations with America does not necessarily

signify war.

Meanwhile all the leading naval authorities reassert that they may

be relied on, even though they are not considered capable of

crushing England, at least to be able, _before_ America can come

in, so to weaken the British Island Empire that only one desire

will be left to English politicians, that of seating themselves

with us at the Conference table.

To this the Chancellor asked who would give him a guarantee that

the navy was right and in what position should we find ourselves

in case the admirals were mistaken, whereupon the Admiralty

promptly asked what sort of position the Chancellor expected to

find when autumn arrived without having made a proper use of the

U-boats and we found ourselves, through exhaustion, compelled to

_beg_ for peace.

And thus the scales went up and down, weighing the chances for or

against the U-boat war, and there was no possibility of positively

determining which decision was the right one.

Doubtless the German Government in the near future will be

constrained to take up a definite standpoint respecting the

question, and it is obvious--whatever the decision may be--that we

also shall be largely involved. Nevertheless, it appears to me

that when the German Government does approach us in that

connection we should act with all possible reserve. As the matter

now stands, a positive decision as to which course is the right

one is not possible. I have, therefore, thought it inadvisable to

take side definitely with either party and thus remove much of the

responsibility from the German Government and render it possible

for them to lay it upon us.

The Imperial and Royal Ambassador,

G. HOHENLOHE, M.P.

The concluding passage of the above cited report had already been

anticipated by me in a telegraphic communication in which I begged the

ambassador with all possible energy to urge the political arguments

opposed to the unrestricted U-boat warfare, which is proved by a

telegram from Hohenlohe on January 13 as follows:

Reply to yesterday's telegram No. 15.

In accordance with the telegram mentioned, and after discussing it

with Baron Flotow, I went to the Secretary of State--not being

able to see the Chancellor to-day--and in conformity with Your

Excellency's intentions called his attention to the fact that we

should participate in the results of the U-boat war just as much

as Germany and that, therefore, the German Government is bound to

listen to us also. All the leading German statesmen know that Your

Excellency, during your stay here, expressed _yourself as opposed

to the movement_, but that I had come once more as Your

Excellency's representative to repeat the _warning against too

hasty action_. I further emphasised all the arguments against the

U-boat warfare, but will not trouble Your Excellency with a

repetition of them, nor yet with the counter-arguments, already

known to Your Excellency, that were put forward by the Secretary.

I gave a brief summary of both these standpoints in my yesterday's

report No. 6 P.

Herr Zimmermann, however, laid special stress on the fact that the

information he was receiving convinced him more and more that

America, especially after the Entente's answer to Mr. Wilson,

which was in the nature of an insult, would very probably not

allow it to come to a breach with the Central Powers.

I did all I possibly could to impress upon him the responsibility

Germany was taking for herself and for us by her decision in this

question, pointing out very particularly that before any decision

was arrived at our opinion from a nautical-technical standpoint

must also be heard, in which the Secretary of State fully

concurred.

I have the feeling that the idea of carrying out the U-boat

warfare is more and more favourably received, and Your Excellency

had the same impression also when in Berlin. The last word as to

the final attitude to be adopted by the German Government will no

doubt come from the military side.

In conformity with the instructions received, _I will nevertheless

uphold with all firmness the political arguments against the

U-boat warfare_.

Baron Flotow will have occasion to meet the Secretary of State

this afternoon.

I had sent Baron Flotow, a Chief of Department, to Berlin at the same

time, in order that he might support all Hohenlohe's efforts and spare

no pains to induce Germany to desist from her purpose.

Flotow sent me the following report on January 15:

After a two-days' stay in Berlin my impression is that the

question of the unrestricted U-boat warfare has again been brought

to the front by the leading men in the German Empire. This

question--according to Herr Zimmermann--under conditions of the

greatest secrecy where the public is concerned, is now under

debate between the heads of the Army and Navy and the Foreign

Office; they insist on a decision. For if the unrestricted U-boat

warfare is to be opened it must be at a time when, in view of the

vast impending Anglo-French offensive on the Western front, it

will make itself felt. The Secretary of State mentioned the month

of February.

I wish in the following account to summarise the reasons put

forward by the Germans for the justification of the unrestricted

U-boat warfare:

Time is against us and favours the Entente; if, therefore, the

Entente can keep up the desire for war there will be still less

prospect of our obtaining a peace on our own terms. The enemy's

last Note to Wilson is again a striking example of their war

energy.

It will be impossible for the Central Powers to continue the war

after 1917 with any prospect of success. Peace must, therefore,

unless it finally has to be proposed by the enemy, be secured in

the course of this year, which means that we must enforce it.

The military situation is unfavourable owing to the impending

Anglo-French offensive, which, it is presumed, will open with

great force, as in the case of the last offensive on the Somme. To

meet the attack, troops will have to be withdrawn from other

fronts. Consequently, an offensive against Russia with intent to

bring that enemy to his knees, which perhaps a year ago would have

been possible, can no longer be reckoned on.

If, therefore, the possibility of enforcing a decision in the East

becomes less and less, an effort must be made to bring it about in

the West, and to do it at a time when the unrestricted U-boat

warfare would affect the coming Anglo-French offensive by impeding

the transport of troops and munitions sailing under a neutral

flag.

In estimating the effect on England of the unrestricted U-boat

warfare, there will be not only the question of hindering the

transport of provisions, but also of curtailing the traffic to

such a degree as would render it impossible for the English to

continue the war. In Italy and in France this will be felt no less

severely. The neutrals, too, will be made to suffer, which,

however, might serve as a pretext to bring about peace.

America will hardly push matters further than breaking off

diplomatic relations; we need not, therefore, count for certain on

a war with the United States.

It must not be overlooked that the United States--as was the case

in regard to Mexico--are not well prepared for war, that their one

anxiety is Japan. Japan would not allow a European war with

America to pass unheeded.

But even if America were to enter the war it would be three to

four months before she could be ready, and in that space of time

peace must have been secured in Europe. According to the estimate

of certain experts (among others, some Dutch corn merchants),

England has only provisions sufficient for six weeks, or three

months at the outside.

It would be possible to carry on the U-boat warfare on England

from fifteen bases in the North Sea, so _that the passage of a

large vessel through to England would be hardly conceivable_.

Traffic in the Channel, even if not entirely stopped, would be

very limited, as travelling conditions in France exclude the

possibility of suitable connection.

And if the unrestricted U-boat warfare once were started, the

terror caused by it (the sinking of the vessels without warning)

would have such an effect that most vessels would not dare to put

to sea.

The above already hints at the rejoinder to be put forward to the

arguments advanced by us against the opening of the unrestricted

U-boat warfare, and also combats the view that the corn supply

from the Argentine is not at the present moment so important for

the United States as would be a prompt opening of the U-boat

campaign, which would mean a general stoppage of all traffic.

The fact that America would not be ready for war before the end of

three months does not exclude the possibility that it might even

be as long as six or eight months, and that she therefore might

join in the European war at a time when, without playing our last

card, it might be possible to end it in a manner that we could

accept. It must not be forgotten, however, that in America we have

to do with an Anglo-Saxon race, which--once it had decided on

war--will enter on it with energy and tenacity, as England did,

who, though unprepared for war as to military matters, can

confront to-day the Germans with an army of millions that commands

respect. I cannot with certainty make any statement as to the

Japanese danger to America at a time when Japan is bound up with

Russia and England through profitable treaties and Germany is shut

out from that part of the world.

Among other things I referred to the great hopes entertained of

the Zeppelins as an efficient weapon of war.

Herr Zimmermann said to me: "Believe me, our fears are no less

than yours; they have given me many sleepless nights. There is no

positive certainty as to the result; we can only make our

calculations. We have not yet arrived at any decision. Show me a

way to obtain a reasonable peace and I would be the first to

reject the idea of the U-boat warfare. As matters now stand, both

I and several others have almost been converted to it."

But whether, in the event of the ruthless U-boat warfare being

decided on, it would be notified in some way, has not yet been

decided.

Zimmermann told me he was considering the advisability of

approaching Wilson, and, while referring to the contemptuous

attitude of the Entente in the peace question, give the President

an explanation of the behaviour of the German Government, and

request him, for the safety of the life and property of American

citizens, to indicate the steamers and shipping lines by which

traffic between America and other neutrals could be maintained.

_Vienna, January 15, 1917._

FLOTOW, M.P.

On January 20 Zimmermann and Admiral Holtzendorff arrived in Vienna,

and a council was held, presided over by the Emperor. Besides the

three above-mentioned, Count Tisza, Count Clam-Martinic, Admiral Haus

and I were also present. Holtzendorff expounded his reasons, which I

recapitulate below. With the exception of Admiral Haus, no one gave

unqualified consent. All the arguments which appear in the official

documents and ministerial protocols were advanced but did not make the

slightest impression on the German representatives. The Emperor, who

took no part in the debate, finally declared that he would decide

later. Under his auspices a further conference was held in the

Ministry of Foreign Affairs at 2 o'clock; the report is as follows:

Report of a conference held January 20, 1917, in the Imperial and

Royal Ministry of Home and Foreign Affairs. Members: Dr.

Zimmermann, Secretary of State of the German Foreign Affairs

Department; Admiral von Holtzendorff, Chief of the German Naval

Staff; Count Czernin, Imperial and Royal Minister for Foreign

Affairs; Count Tisza, Royal Hungarian Prime Minister; Count

Clam-Martinic, Imperial and Royal Prime Minister; Admiral Haus,

the German naval attaché in Vienna; Baron von Freyburg, the

Imperial and Royal naval attaché in Berlin; Count B.

Colloredo-Mannsfeld.

On January 20 a discussion took place in the Ministry of Foreign

Affairs on the question of establishing unrestricted U-boat

warfare.

As evidenced by Admiral v. Holtzendorff's statements, the German

naval authorities hold the standpoint that there exists an

absolute necessity for the quickest possible inauguration of an

unrestricted U-boat campaign. The arguments employed in support of

this thesis are known from the reports of the Imperial and Royal

Ambassador in Berlin (report of 12/1/17 Nr. 6/P, and telegram of

13/1 Nr. 22), and may be summarised in the following sentences:

Lack of time, decreasing human material in the Central Powers,

progressive deterioration of the harvest, impending Anglo-French

offensive on the Western front with improved and increased means

for fighting, and the necessity arising therefrom to prevent or at

least check the reinforcements required for such undertaking, the

impossibility of obtaining a decision on land, the necessity of

raising the _moral_ of the troops by ruthlessly obtained results

and the use of every available means in war, certainty of the

success of an unrestricted U-boat warfare in view of provisions

in England only being sufficient for two to three months, as well

as the stoppage of the munitions output and industrial production

owing to the lack of raw material, the impossibility of supplying

coal to France and Italy, etc., etc.

Concerning the carrying out of the plan, the German Navy owns at

present for that purpose 120 U-boats of the latest type. In view

of the great success achieved by the U-boats at the beginning of

the war, when there were only 19 of an antiquated type, the

present increased numbers of the vessels offer a safe guarantee of

success.

February 1 is suggested on the part of the Germans as the date on

which to start the unrestricted U-boat warfare and also to

announce the blockade of the English coast and the west coast of

France. Every vessel disobeying the order will be torpedoed

without warning. In this manner it is hoped to bring England to

reason within four months, and it must here be added that Admiral

von Holtzendorff _expressis verbis_ guaranteed the results.

As regards the attitude to be taken by the neutrals, leading

German circles, although aware of the danger, hold optimistic

views. It is not thought that either the Scandinavian countries or

Holland will interfere with us, although, in view of the

possibility of such happening, military precautions have been

taken. The measures taken on the Dutch and Danish frontiers will,

in the opinion of the Germans, hold those countries in check, and

the possibility of sharing the fate of Roumania will frighten

them. Indeed, it is expected that there will be a complete

stoppage of all neutral shipping, which in the matter of supplies

for England amounts to 39 per cent. of the cargo space. Meanwhile

concessions will be granted to the neutrals by fixing a time limit

for the withdrawal of such of their vessels as may be at sea on

the opening day of the U-boat warfare.

With regard to America, the Germans are determined, if at all

possible, to prevent the United States from attacking the Central

Powers by adopting a friendly attitude towards America (acting

upon the proposals made at the time of the _Lusitania_ incident),

but they are prepared for and await with calmness whatever

attitude America may adopt. The Germans are, nevertheless, of the

opinion that the United States will not go so far as making a

breach with the Central Powers. If that should occur, America

would be too late and could only come into action after England

had been beaten. America is not prepared for war, which was

clearly shown at the time of the Mexican crisis; she lives in fear

of Japan and has to fight against agricultural and social

difficulties. Besides which, Mr. Wilson is a pacifist, and the

Germans presume that after his election he will adopt a still

more decided tendency that way, for his election will not be due

to the anti-German Eastern States, but to the co-operation of the

Central and Western States that are opposed to war, and to the

Irish and Germans. These considerations, together with the

Entente's insulting answer to President Wilson's peace proposal,

do not point to the probability of America plunging readily into

war.

These, in brief, are the points of view on which the German demand

for the immediate start of the unrestricted U-boat warfare is

based, and which caused the Imperial Chancellor and the Foreign

Affairs Department to revise their hitherto objective views.

Both the Austrian Minister for Foreign Affairs and the Hungarian

Prime Minister pointed out what disastrous consequences would

ensue from America's intervention, in a military, moral,

agricultural and financial sense, and great doubt was expressed of

the success of a blockade of England. Count Czernin held that the

Germans overlooked the possibility of lowering the consumption in

England, taking into consideration the fact that since the war

consumption in the countries of the Central Powers had been

reduced by half. Further, Count Czernin referred to the very vague

and by no means convincing data of the German naval authorities.

It was also debated whether a continuation of the U-boat war to

the present extent (the destruction on an average of 400,000 tons

per month) would not be more likely to achieve the desired end,

and if it were not more advisable not to play our last and best

card until all other means had been tried. The possibility of

being able to start a ruthless U-boat warfare hung like a

Damocles' sword over the heads of our adversaries, and would

perhaps be a more effectual means of ending the war than the

reckless use of the U-boat as a weapon of war, carrying with it

the danger of an attack by the neutrals. If the effect expected by

Germany was not realised, which was within the bounds of

possibility, we must be prepared to see the desire for war in the

enemy greatly intensified. However that may be, the vanishing of

the desire for peace must be accepted as an established fact.

Finally, it was pointed out that the arguments recently put

forward by the Germans show a complete _novum_, namely, the danger

on the Western front in view of the great Anglo-French offensive

that is expected. Whereas formerly it was always said that the

attacks of the enemy would be repulsed, it is now considered

necessary to relieve the land army by recklessly bringing the navy

into the line of action. If these fears are justified, then most

certainly should all other considerations be put on one side and

the risk ensuing from the ruthless employment of the U-boats be

accepted. Both Count Czernin and Count Tisza expressed their

grave doubts in this connection.

To meet the case, the Hungarian Prime Minister pointed out the

necessity of immediately starting propagandist activities in the

neutral countries and particularly in America, by which the

Central Powers' political methods and aims would be presented to

them in a proper light; and then later, after introducing

unrestricted U-boat warfare, it would be seen that no other choice

was left to the peaceful tendencies of the Quadruple Alliance as

the means for a speedy ending of the struggle between the nations.

The leaders of the foreign policy agreed to take the necessary

steps in that direction, and remarked that certain arrangements

had already been made.

Admiral Haus agreed _unreservedly_ with the arguments of the

German Navy, as he declared that _no great anxiety need be felt_

as to the likelihood of America's joining in with military force,

and finally pointed out that, on the part of the Entente, a

ruthless torpedoing of hospital and transport ships had been

practised for some time past in the Adriatic. The Admiral urged

that this fact be properly recognised and dealt with, to which the

Foreign Affairs leaders on both sides gave their consent.

The Austrian Minister for Foreign Affairs, in conclusion, said

that the definite decision to be taken must be left to the

conclusions arrived at by both sovereigns, whereupon the 26th

inst. was fixed for a meeting to be held for that purpose.

After the general discussion, I had a private talk with the Emperor,

and found that he still had the same aversion to that means of warfare

and the same fears as to the result. We knew, however, that Germany

had definitely made up her mind to start the campaign in any case, and

that all our arguments would be of no practical value. It remained to

be decided whether we should join them or not. Owing to the small

number of our U-boats, our holding aside would not have had any great

effect on the final issue of the experiment, and for a moment I

entertained the idea of proposing to the Emperor that we should

separate from Germany on that one point, although I was aware that it

might lead to the ending of our alliance. But the difficulty was that

the U-boat effort would also have to be carried on in the

Mediterranean in order that it should not lose its effect in the

North Sea. If the Mediterranean remained exempt, the transports would

take that route and proceed by land via Italy, France, and Dover, and

thus render the northern U-boat warfare of no effect. But in order to

carry it on in the Mediterranean, Germany would need our support in

the Adriatic from Trieste, Pola, and Cattaro. If we allowed her at

those places it involved us in the campaign, and if we refused to let

our few U-boats go out, it would be attacking Germany in the rear and

we should become embroiled with her, which would lead to the definite

severance of the Alliance.

This was again one of those instances that prove that when a strong

and a weak nation concert in war, the weak one cannot desist unless it

changes sides entirely and enters into war with its former ally. None

who were in the Government would hear of that, and with a heavy heart

we gave our consent. Bulgaria, who was not affected by this phase of

the war, and had kept up diplomatic relations with America, was

differently situated, being able to stand aside without paralysing the

German plans. Apart from this, I was already persuaded then that

Bulgaria's not joining in would make a bad impression on the outside

world, and would not help her in any way. Although her relations with

America were maintained up to the last, they did not, as a matter of

fact, make her fate easier.

Had we been able to make Germany desist from the unrestricted U-boat

warfare, the advantage would have been very great; whether we joined

in or not was a matter of indifference viewed from the standpoint of

our treatment by the Entente, as is proved by the instance of

Bulgaria. As soon as America had declared war on Germany, a conflict

with us was inevitable in any case, as Austro-Hungarian troops and

artillery were then on the Western front facing Americans. We were

compelled to go to war with America, seeing that Germany was already

at war with her.

It was not possible, therefore, for us to remain in a state of even

nominally peaceful relations with America, such as existed between her

and Bulgaria to the very end of the war.

It is not quite clear when Germany really recognised the fact that

the unrestricted U-boat warfare had no effect, and was thus a terrible

mistake. To the public, as well as to the Allied Cabinets, the German

military authorities continued to profess the greatest optimism, and

when I left my post in April, 1918, the standpoint held in Berlin was

still that England would be defeated by the naval war. Writing on

December 14, 1917, Hohenlohe reported that in competent German circles

the feeling was thoroughly optimistic. I, however, certainly perceived

definite signs of doubt beginning in some German minds, and Ludendorff

in replying to the reproaches I made to him said: "Everything is risky

in war; it is impossible before an operation to be sure of the

results. I admit that the time limit was a mistake, but the final

result will show that I was right." In order to exculpate themselves

all the leaders in Germany declared that America would, in any case,

have gone to war, and that the U-boat had merely given the last

impetus. Whether this is quite true appears doubtful; it cannot either

be asserted or denied positively.

The world has become used to looking upon Hindenburg and Ludendorff as

one; they belonged together. Together they rose to highest power, to

be forcibly separated in their fall. In all business transactions

Ludendorff was in the foreground. He was a great speaker, but always

in a sharp tone, suggestive of the Prussian military system. It

usually aroused a scene, but he seemed to take nothing amiss, and his

anger vanished as rapidly as it broke out. Hindenburg's retiring

modesty made him attractive. Once when we were speaking of the

photographers who besieged every conference in Berlin, the old

gentleman remarked: "I have lived to be seventy, and nobody ever

thought there was anything wonderful about me; now they seem all at

once to have discovered that I have such an interesting head." He was

much more staid and quiet than Ludendorff, nor was he so sensitive to

public opinion as the latter. I remember once how Ludendorff, when I

exhorted him to yield on the peace question, rejoined with vigour:

"The German people wishes for no peace of renunciation, and I do not

intend to end by being pelted with stones. The dynasty would never

survive such a peace." The dynasty has departed, the stones have been

thrown, and the peace of renunciation has become a reality, and is

certainly more terrible than the gloomiest pessimist could ever have

believed!

2

The rupture between America and Germany occurred on February 3, 1917.

The Ambassador, Count Tarnowski, remained in Washington, but was not

received by Wilson, and had intercourse with Lansing only. I still

hoped to maintain these semi-official relations with America, in case

America, in breaking off relations with Germany, might be content with

that and not declare war on her. The German Government would have

preferred our breaking off diplomatic relations simultaneously with

them.

On February 12 Count Wedel called on me, and his request and my

settlement of it appear in the following telegram to Hohenlohe:

_Vienna, Feb. 12, 1917._

To notify Your Excellency.

Count Wedel has been instructed to submit to me the following

three requests from his Government:

(1) Count Tarnowski is not to hand over his credentials until the

situation between Germany and America is clear.

(2) Count Tarnowski must protest to Mr. Wilson against his having

tried to make the neutrals turn against Germany.

(3) On the outbreak of war with Germany Count Tarnowski must be

recalled.

I have refused the first two items and accepted the last.

As we should not have been able to prevent Germany from beginning the

U-boat warfare, the only alternative for us was to use all means in

our power to maintain our relations with America, and thus enable us

later to play the part of mediator, although this could only be for

that period during which America, having broken off relations, had not

yet declared war. My answer of March 5, 1917, to America's request

for an explanation of our standpoint was sent with the object of

preventing America from breaking off relations with us, and also to

keep from the public the knowledge of our divergence from Germany.

This will be found noted in the appendix.[6] It met with success so

far that America continued diplomatic relations with us until April 9,

1917.

[Illustration: COUNT TISZA. _Photo: Stanley's Press Agency._]

I had a very lively correspondence with Stephen Tisza in consequence

of my answer. I received the following letter on March 3:

DEAR FRIEND,--In the interests of the cause I can only greatly

regret that I had no opportunity of appreciating the definite

sense of our _aide-mémoire_ before it was dispatched. Apart from

other less important matters, I cannot conceal my painful surprise

that we repeatedly and expressly admit having given a promise in

our _Ancona_ Note. I am afraid that we have placed ourselves in a

very awkward position with Wilson, which so easily could have been

avoided, as it was not in accordance with my views that we had

given a promise.

An expression of opinion is not a promise. Without wishing to

detract from its moral value, it has nevertheless a different

legal character, and from the point of view of a third person has

no legal authority in favour of that person as a promise.

By unnecessarily having admitted that we gave the Americans a

promise we admit the existence of obligations on our side to them.

In spite of the fine and clever argument in our Note, it will be

easy for the Americans to prove that our present procedure cannot

be reconciled with the previous statement; if the statement was a

promise, then the American Government has the right to look for

the fulfilment of it, and we will then be in an awkward

predicament. I remarked in my notification that I would prefer to

omit the admission that we had made any promise; there would have

been the possibility of recurring to it. By placing this weapon in

their hands we have exposed ourselves to the danger of a

checkmate, and I very much fear that we shall greatly regret it.

Naturally this remains between us. But I was constrained to pour

out my heart to you and justify my request that the text of all

such important State documents which involve such far-reaching

consequences may be sent to me in time for me to study and

comment on them. Believe me, it is really in the interest of the

cause and in every respect can only be for the best. In sincere

friendship, your devoted

TISZA.

_Enclosure._

It may be presumed with some semblance of truth that the peace

wave in America is progressing, and that President Wilson,

influenced thereby, may perhaps be able at any rate to postpone a

decision of a warlike nature. Even though I may be wrong in my

presumption, it lies in our interests to avoid for as long as

possible the rupture of our diplomatic relations with America.

Therefore the answer to the American _aide-mémoire_, to be

dispatched as late as possible, should be so composed as to give

it the appearance of a meritorious handling of the theme put

forward on the American side without falling into the trap of the

question put forward in the _aide-mémoire_.

If we answer yes, then President Wilson will hardly be able to

avoid a breach with the Monarchy. If we give a negative answer we

shall abandon Germany and the standpoint we took up on January 31.

The handle wherewith to grasp evasion of a clear answer is

provided by the _aide-mémoire_ itself, as it identifies our

statements in the _Ancona_ and _Persia_ question with the attitude

of the German Note of May 4, 1916. We should, therefore, be quite

consistent if we, as we did in our Note of December 14, 1915, were

to declare that we should be governed by our own ideas of justice.

In our correspondence with the American Government respecting the

_Ancona_, _Persia_ and _Petrolite_ questions we treated the

concrete case always without going deeper into the individual

principles of legal questions. In our Note of December 29, 1915,

which contains the expression of opinion cited in the

_aide-mémoire_ (it may also be noted that our expression of

opinion was no pledge, as we had promised nothing nor taken any

obligation upon ourselves), the Austrian Government distinctly

stated that they would refer later to the difficult international

questions connected with the U-boat warfare.

Present war conditions did not appear suited to such a discussion.

In consequence, however, of the dealings of our enemies, events

have occurred and a state of things been brought about which, on

our side also, renders a more intense application of the U-boat

question unavoidable. Our merchantmen in the Adriatic, whenever

attainable, were constantly torpedoed without warning by the

enemy. Our adversaries have thus adopted the standard of the most

aggravated and unrestricted U-boat warfare without the neutrals

offering any resistance.

The Entente when laying their minefields displayed the same

ruthlessness towards free shipping and the lives of neutrals.

Mines are considered as a recognised weapon for the definite

protection of the home coast and ports, also as a means of

blockading an enemy port. But the use made of them as an

aggressive factor in this war is quite a new feature, for vast

areas of open sea on the route of the world's traffic were

converted into minefields impassable for the neutrals except at

the greatest danger of their lives.

There is no question but that that is a far greater check to the

freedom of movement and a greater obstacle to neutral interests

than establishing the unrestricted U-boat warfare within a limited

and clearly marked-out zone, leaving open channels for neutral

shipping, and by other measures giving due consideration to the

interests of the neutrals.

Just at the moment when the President's appeal to the entire

belligerent world coincided with the spontaneous statement of our

group, in which we gave a solemn proof of our willingness to

conclude a just peace and one acceptable by our enemies, a fresh

and larger minefield was laid down in the North Sea on the route

of the world's traffic, and, casting ridicule on the noble

initiative of the United States, a war of destruction against our

groups of Powers was announced by the Entente.

We urge the great aims that inspired the action of the American

Government: the quickest possible cessation of the fearful

slaughter of men and the founding of an honourable, lasting and

blessed peace by combating with the greatest energy our enemies'

furious war for conquest. The course we pursue leads to the common

aims of ourselves and the American Government, and we cannot give

up the hope of finding understanding in the people and the

Government of the United States.

TISZA.

I answered as follows:

_March 5._

DEAR FRIEND,--I cannot agree with you. After the first _Ancona_

Note you veered round and declared in a second Note that "we

agreed with the German standpoint in the main"--that was an

obvious yielding and contained a hidden promise.

I do not think that any legal wiles will dupe the Americans, and

if we were to deny the promise it would not advance us any

further.

But, secondly and principally, it is altogether impossible with

words to make the Americans desist from war if they wish it;

either they will make straight for war and then no Notes will

avail, or they will seek a pretext to escape the war danger and

will find it in our Note.

So much for the merits of the matter.

What you demand is technically impossible. The Note was not easy

to compile. I had to alter it entirely as time went on; His

Majesty then wished to see it, made some alterations and

sanctioned it. Meanwhile Penfield[7] importuned me and telegraphed

even a week ago to America to reassure his people; the Germans,

too, had to be won over for that particular passage.

You know how ready I am to discuss important matters with you, but

_ultra posse nemo tenetur_--it was physically impossible to upset

everything again and to expect His Majesty to alter his views.

In true friendship, your

CZERNIN.

I thereupon, on March 14, received the following answer from Tisza:

DEAR FRIEND,--I also note with genuine pleasure the success of

your American _aide-mémoire_ (meaning thereby America's resolve

not to break off relations with us). But it does not alter my

opinion that it was a pity to admit that a pledge had been given.

It may be requited at a later stage of the controversy, and it

would have been easy not to broach the subject for the moment.

Do you think me very obstinate? I have not suppressed the final

word in our retrospective controversy so that you should not think

me better than I am.

Au revoir, in true friendship, your

TISZA.

Tisza was strongly opposed to the U-boat warfare, and only tolerated

it from reasons of _vis major_, because we could not prevent the

German military leaders from adopting the measure, and because he, and

I too, were convinced that "not joining in" would have been of no

advantage to us.

Not until very much later--in fact, not until after the war--did I

learn from a reliable source that Germany, with an incomprehensible

misunderstanding of the situation, had restricted the building of more

U-boats during the war. The Secretary of State, Capelle, was

approached by competent naval technical experts, who told him that, by

stopping the building of all other vessels, a fivefold number of

U-boats could be built. Capelle rejected the proposal on the pretext

"that nobody would know what to do with so many U-boats when the war

was at an end." Germany had, as mentioned, 100 submarines; had she

possessed 500, she might have achieved her aims.

I only heard this in the winter of 1918, but it was from a source from

which I invariably gleaned correct information.

Seldom has any military action called forth such indignation as the

sinking, without warning, of enemy ships. And yet the observer who

judges from an objective point of view must admit that the waging war

on women and children was not begun by us, but by our enemies when

they enforced the blockade. Millions have perished in the domains of

the Central Powers through the blockade, and chiefly the poorest and

weakest people--the greater part women and children--were the victims.

If, to meet the argument, it be asserted that the Central Powers were

as a besieged fortress, and that in 1870 the Germans starved Paris in

similar fashion, there is certainly some truth in the argument. But it

is just as true--as stated in the Note of March 5--that in a war on

land no regard is ever paid to civilians who venture into the war

zone, and that no reason is apparent why a war at sea should be

subject to different moral conditions. When a town or village is

within the range of battle, the fact has never prevented the artillery

from acting in spite of the danger to the women and children. But in

the present instance, the non-combatants of the enemy States who are

in danger can easily escape it by not undertaking a sea voyage.

Since the débâcle in the winter of 1918, I have thoroughly discussed

the matter with English friends of long standing, and found that their

standpoint was--that it was not the U-boat warfare in itself that had

roused the greatest indignation, but the cruel nature of the

proceedings so opposed to international law. Also, the torpedoing of

hospital ships by the Germans, and the firing on passengers seeking to

escape, and so on. These accounts are flatly contradicted by the

Germans, who, on their part, have terrible tales to tell of English

brutality, as instanced by the _Baralong_ episode.

There have, of course, been individual cases of shameful brutality in

all the armies; but that such deeds were sanctioned or ordered by the

German or English Supreme Commands I do not believe.

An inquiry by an international, but neutral, court would be the only

means of bringing light to bear on the matter.

Atrocities such as mentioned are highly to be condemned, no matter who

the perpetrators are; but in itself, the U-boat warfare was an

allowable means of defence.

The blockade is now admitted to be a permissible and necessary

proceeding; the unrestricted U-boat warfare is stigmatised as a crime

against international law. That is the sentence passed by might but

not by right. In days to come history will judge otherwise.

FOOTNOTES:

[5] The Ambassador, Gottfried, Prince Hohenlohe-Schillingsfurst.

[6] See p. 279.

[7] Mr. Penfield, American Ambassador to Vienna.

In the World War · 第 5 / 13 章