We can have no more hopeful answer to these questions than the

establishment of this great university in the very focus of the

commercial activity of the West. Its connection with the institution we

have been dedicating suggests some thoughts on science as a factor in

that scheme of education best adapted to make the power of a wealthy

community a benefit to the race at large. When we see what a factor

science has been in our present civilization, how it has transformed

the world and increased the means of human enjoyment by enabling men to

apply the powers of nature to their own uses, it is not wonderful that

it should claim the place in education hitherto held by classical

studies. In the contest which has thus arisen I take no part but that

of a peace-maker, holding that it is as important to us to keep in

touch with the traditions of our race, and to cherish the thoughts

which have come down to us through the centuries, as it is to enjoy and

utilize what the present has to offer us. Speaking from this point of

view, I would point out the error of making the utilitarian

applications of knowledge the main object in its pursuit. It is an

historic fact that abstract science--science pursued without any

utilitarian end--has been at the base of our progress in the

utilization of knowledge. If in the last century such men as Galvani

and Volta had been moved by any other motive than love of penetrating

the secrets of nature they would never have pursued the seemingly

useless experiments they did, and the foundation of electrical science

would not have been laid. Our present applications of electricity did

not become possible until Ohm's mathematical laws of the electric

current, which when first made known seemed little more than

mathematical curiosities, had become the common property of inventors.

Professional pride on the part of our own Henry led him, after making

the discoveries which rendered the telegraph possible, to go no further

in their application, and to live and die without receiving a dollar of

the millions which the country has won through his agency.

In the spirit of scientific progress thus shown we have patriotism in

its highest form--a sentiment which does not seek to benefit the

country at the expense of the world, but to benefit the world by means

of one's country. Science has its competition, as keen as that which is

the life of commerce. But its rivalries are over the question who shall

contribute the most and the best to the sum total of knowledge; who

shall give the most, not who shall take the most. Its animating spirit

is love of truth. Its pride is to do the greatest good to the greatest

number. It embraces not only the whole human race but all nature in its

scope. The public spirit of which this city is the focus has made the

desert blossom as the rose, and benefited humanity by the diffusion of

the material products of the earth. Should you ask me how it is in the

future to use its influence for the benefit of humanity at large, I

would say, look at the work now going on in these precincts, and study

its spirit. Here are the agencies which will make "the voice of law the

harmony of the world." Here is the love of country blended with love of

the race. Here the love of knowledge is as unconfined as your

commercial enterprise. Let not your youth come hither merely to learn

the forms of vertebrates and the properties of oxides, but rather to

imbibe that catholic spirit which, animating their growing energies,

shall make the power they are to wield an agent of beneficence to all

mankind.

XIX

THE UNIVERSE AS AN ORGANISM

[Footnote: Address before the Astronomical and Astrophysical Society of

America, December 29, 1902]

If I were called upon to convey, within the compass of a single

sentence, an idea of the trend of recent astronomical and physical

science, I should say that it was in the direction of showing the

universe to be a connected whole. The farther we advance in knowledge,

the clearer it becomes that the bodies which are scattered through the

celestial spaces are not completely independent existences, but have,

with all their infinite diversity, many attributes in common.

In this we are going in the direction of certain ideas of the ancients

which modern discovery long seemed to have contradicted. In the infancy

of the race, the idea that the heavens were simply an enlarged and

diversified earth, peopled by beings who could roam at pleasure from

one extreme to the other, was a quite natural one. The crystalline

sphere or spheres which contained all formed a combination of machinery

revolving on a single plan. But all bonds of unity between the stars

began to be weakened when Copernicus showed that there were no spheres,

that the planets were isolated bodies, and that the stars were vastly

more distant than the planets. As discovery went on and our conceptions

of the universe were enlarged, it was found that the system of the

fixed stars was made up of bodies so vastly distant and so completely

isolated that it was difficult to conceive of them as standing in any

definable relation to one another. It is true that they all emitted

light, else we could not see them, and the theory of gravitation, if

extended to such distances, a fact not then proved, showed that they

acted on one another by their mutual gravitation. But this was all.

Leaving out light and gravitation, the universe was still, in the time

of Herschel, composed of bodies which, for the most part, could not

stand in any known relation one to the other.

When, forty years ago, the spectroscope was applied to analyze the

light coming from the stars, a field was opened not less fruitful than

that which the telescope made known to Galileo. The first conclusion

reached was that the sun was composed almost entirely of the same

elements that existed upon the earth. Yet, as the bodies of our solar

system were evidently closely related, this was not remarkable. But

very soon the same conclusion was, to a limited extent, extended to the

fixed stars in general. Such elements as iron, hydrogen, and calcium

were found not to belong merely to our earth, but to form important

constituents of the whole universe. We can conceive of no reason why,

out of the infinite number of combinations which might make up a

spectrum, there should not be a separate kind of matter for each

combination. So far as we know, the elements might merge into one

another by insensible gradations. It is, therefore, a remarkable and

suggestive fact when we find that the elements which make up bodies so

widely separate that we can hardly imagine them having anything in

common, should be so much the same.

In recent times what we may regard as a new branch of astronomical

science is being developed, showing a tendency towards unity of

structure throughout the whole domain of the stars. This is what we now

call the science of stellar statistics. The very conception of such a

science might almost appall us by its immensity. The widest statistical

field in other branches of research is that occupied by sociology.

Every country has its census, in which the individual inhabitants are

classified on the largest scale and the combination of these statistics

for different countries may be said to include all the interest of the

human race within its scope. Yet this field is necessarily confined to

the surface of our planet. In the field of stellar statistics millions

of stars are classified as if each taken individually were of no more

weight in the scale than a single inhabitant of China in the scale of

the sociologist. And yet the most insignificant of these suns may, for

aught we know, have planets revolving around it, the interests of whose

inhabitants cover as wide a range as ours do upon our own globe.

The statistics of the stars may be said to have commenced with

Herschel's gauges of the heavens, which were continued from time to

time by various observers, never, however, on the largest scale. The

subject was first opened out into an illimitable field of research

through a paper presented by Kapteyn to the Amsterdam Academy of

Sciences in 1893. The capital results of this paper were that different

regions of space contain different kinds of stars and, more especially,

that the stars of the Milky Way belong, in part at least, to a

different class from those existing elsewhere. Stars not belonging to

the Milky Way are, in large part, of a distinctly different class.

The outcome of Kapteyn's conclusions is that we are able to describe

the universe as a single object, with some characters of an organized

whole. A large part of the stars which compose it may be considered as

divisible into two groups. One of these comprises the stars composing

the great girdle of the Milky Way. These are distinguished from the

others by being bluer in color, generally greater in absolute

brilliancy, and affected, there is some reason to believe, with rather

slower proper motions The other classes are stars with a greater or

less shade of yellow in their color, scattered through a spherical

space of unknown dimensions, but concentric with the Milky Way. Thus a

sphere with a girdle passing around it forms the nearest approach to a

conception of the universe which we can reach to-day. The number of

stars in the girdle is much greater than that in the sphere.

The feature of the universe which should therefore command our

attention is the arrangement of a large part of the stars which compose

it in a ring, seemingly alike in all its parts, so far as general

features are concerned. So far as research has yet gone, we are not

able to say decisively that one region of this ring differs essentially

from another. It may, therefore, be regarded as forming a structure

built on a uniform plan throughout.

All scientific conclusions drawn from statistical data require a

critical investigation of the basis on which they rest. If we are

going, from merely counting the stars, observing their magnitudes and

determining their proper motions, to draw conclusions as to the

structure of the universe in space, the question may arise how we can

form any estimate whatever of the possible distance of the stars, a

conclusion as to which must be the very first step we take. We can

hardly say that the parallaxes of more than one hundred stars have been

measured with any approach to certainty. The individuals of this one

hundred are situated at very different distances from us. We hope, by

long and repeated observations, to make a fairly approximate

determination of the parallaxes of all the stars whose distance is less

than twenty times that of a Centauri. But how can we know anything

about the distance of stars outside this sphere? What can we say

against the view of Kepler that the space around our sun is very much

thinner in stars than it is at a greater distance; in fact, that, the

great mass of the stars may be situated between the surfaces of two

concentrated spheres not very different in radius. May not this

universe of stars be somewhat in the nature of a hollow sphere?

This objection requires very careful consideration on the part of all

who draw conclusions as to the distribution of stars in space and as to

the extent of the visible universe. The steps to a conclusion on the

subject are briefly these: First, we have a general conclusion, the

basis of which I have already set forth, that, to use a loose

expression, there are likenesses throughout the whole diameter of the

universe. There is, therefore, no reason to suppose that the region in

which our system is situated differs in any essential degree from any

other region near the central portion. Again, spectroscopic

examinations seem to show that all the stars are in motion, and that we

cannot say that those in one part of the universe move more rapidly

than those in another. This result is of the greatest value for our

purpose, because, when we consider only the apparent motions, as

ordinarily observed, these are necessarily dependent upon the distance

of the star. We cannot, therefore, infer the actual speed of a star

from ordinary observations until we know its distance. But the results

of spectroscopic measurements of radial velocity are independent of the

distance of the star.

But let us not claim too much. We cannot yet say with certainty that

the stars which form the agglomerations of the Milky Way have, beyond

doubt, the same average motion as the stars in other regions of the

universe. The difficulty is that these stars appear to us so faint

individually, that the investigation of their spectra is still beyond

the powers of our instruments. But the extraordinary feat performed at

the Lick Observatory of measuring the radial motion of 1830

Groombridge, a star quite invisible to the naked eye, and showing that

it is approaching our system with a speed of between fifty and sixty

miles a second, may lead us to hope for a speedy solution of this

question. But we need not await this result in order to reach very

probable conclusions. The general outcome of researches on proper

motions tends to strengthen the conclusions that the Keplerian sphere,

if I may use this expression, has no very well marked existence. The

laws of stellar velocity and the statistics of proper motions, while

giving some color to the view that the space in which we are situated

is thinner in stars than elsewhere, yet show that, as a general rule,

there are no great agglomerations of stars elsewhere than in the region

of the Milky Way.

With unity there is always diversity; in fact, the unity of the

universe on which I have been insisting consists in part of diversity.

It is very curious that, among the many thousands of stars which have

been spectroscopically examined, no two are known to have absolutely

the same physical constitution. It is true that there are a great many

resemblances. Alpha Centauri, our nearest neighbor, if we can use such

a word as "near" in speaking of its distance, has a spectrum very like

that of our sun, and so has Capella. But even in these cases careful

examination shows differences. These differences arise from variety in

the combinations and temperature of the substances of which the star is

made up. Quite likely also, elements not known on the earth may exist

on the stars, but this is a point on which we cannot yet speak with

certainty.

Perhaps the attribute in which the stars show the greatest variety is

that of absolute luminosity. One hundred years ago it was naturally

supposed that the brighter stars were the nearest to us, and this is

doubtless true when we take the general average. But it was soon found

that we cannot conclude that because a star is bright, therefore it is

near. The most striking example of this is afforded by the absence of

measurable parallaxes in the two bright stars, Canopus and Rigel,

showing that these stars, though of the first magnitude, are

immeasurably distant. A remarkable fact is that these conclusions

coincide with that which we draw from the minuteness of the proper

motions. Rigel has no motion that has certainly been shown by more than

a century of observation, and it is not certain that Canopus has

either. From this alone we may conclude, with a high degree of

probability, that the distance of each is immeasurably great. We may

say with certainty that the brightness of each is thousands of times

that of the sun, and with a high degree of probability that it is

hundreds of thousands of times. On the other hand, there are stars

comparatively near us of which the light is not the hundredth part of

the sun.

[Illustration with caption: Star Spectra]

The universe may be a unit in two ways. One is that unity of structure

to which our attention has just been directed. This might subsist

forever without one body influencing another. The other form of unity

leads us to view the universe as an organism. It is such by mutual

action going on between its bodies. A few years ago we could hardly

suppose or imagine that any other agents than gravitation and light

could possibly pass through spaces so immense as those which separate

the stars.

The most remarkable and hopeful characteristic of the unity of the

universe is the evidence which is being gathered that there are other

agencies whose exact nature is yet unknown to us, but which do pass

from one heavenly body to another. The best established example of this

yet obtained is afforded in the case of the sun and the earth.

The fact that the frequency of magnetic storms goes through a period of

about eleven years, and is proportional to the frequency of sun-spots,

has been well established. The recent work of Professor Bigelow shows

the coincidence to be of remarkable exactness, the curves of the two

phenomena being practically coincident so far as their general features

are concerned. The conclusion is that spots on the sun and magnetic

storms are due to the same cause. This cause cannot be any change in

the ordinary radiation of the sun, because the best records of

temperature show that, to whatever variations the sun's radiation may

be subjected, they do not change in the period of the sun-spots. To

appreciate the relation, we must recall that the researches of Hale

with the spectro-heliograph show that spots are not the primary

phenomenon of solar activity, but are simply the outcome of processes

going on constantly in the sun which result in spots only in special

regions and on special occasions. It does not, therefore, necessarily

follow that a spot does cause a magnetic storm. What we should conclude

is that the solar activity which produces a spot also produces the

magnetic storm.

When we inquire into the possible nature of these relations between

solar activity and terrestrial magnetism, we find ourselves so

completely in the dark that the question of what is really proved by

the coincidence may arise. Perhaps the most obvious explanation of

fluctuations in the earth's magnetic field to be inquired into would be

based on the hypothesis that the space through which the earth is

moving is in itself a varying magnetic field of vast extent. This

explanation is tested by inquiring whether the fluctuations in question

can be explained by supposing a disturbing force which acts

substantially in the same direction all over the globe. But a very

obvious test shows that this explanation is untenable. Were it the

correct one, the intensity of the force in some regions of the earth

would be diminished and in regions where the needle pointed in the

opposite direction would be increased in exactly the same degree. But

there is no relation traceable either in any of the regular

fluctuations of the magnetic force, or in those irregular ones which

occur during a magnetic storm. If the horizontal force is increased in

one part of the earth, it is very apt to show a simultaneous increase

the world over, regardless of the direction in which the needle may

point in various localities. It is hardly necessary to add that none of

the fluctuations in terrestrial magnetism can be explained on the

hypothesis that either the moon or the sun acts as a magnet. In such a

case the action would be substantially in the same direction at the

same moment the world over.

Such being the case, the question may arise whether the action

producing a magnetic storm comes from the sun at all, and whether the

fluctuations in the sun's activity, and in the earth's magnetic field

may not be due to some cause external to both. All we can say in reply

to this is that every effort to find such a cause has failed and that

it is hardly possible to imagine any cause producing such an effect. It

is true that the solar spots were, not many years ago, supposed to be

due in some way to the action of the planets. But, for reasons which it

would be tedious to go into at present, we may fairly regard this

hypothesis as being completely disproved. There can, I conclude, be

little doubt that the eleven-year cycle of change in the solar spots is

due to a cycle going on in the sun itself. Such being the case, the

corresponding change in the earth's magnetism must be due to the same

cause.

We may, therefore, regard it as a fact sufficiently established to

merit further investigation that there does emanate from the sun, in an

irregular way, some agency adequate to produce a measurable effect on

the magnetic needle. We must regard it as a singular fact that no

observations yet made give us the slightest indication as to what this

emanation is. The possibility of defining it is suggested by the

discovery within the past few years, that under certain conditions,

heated matter sends forth entities known as Rontgen rays, Becquerel

corpuscles and electrons. I cannot speak authoritatively on this

subject, but, so far as I am aware, no direct evidence has yet been

gathered showing that any of these entities reach us from the sun. We

must regard the search for the unknown agency so fully proved as among

the most important tasks of the astronomical physicist of the present

time. From what we know of the history of scientific discovery, it

seems highly probable that, in the course of his search, he will,

before he finds the object he is aiming at, discover many other things

of equal or greater importance of which he had, at the outset, no

conception.

The main point I desire to bring out in this review is the tendency

which it shows towards unification in physical research. Heretofore

differentiation--the subdivision of workers into a continually

increasing number of groups of specialists--has been the rule. Now we

see a coming together of what, at first sight, seem the most widely

separated spheres of activity. What two branches could be more widely

separated than that of stellar statistics, embracing the whole universe

within its scope, and the study of these newly discovered emanations,

the product of our laboratories, which seem to show the existence of

corpuscles smaller than the atoms of matter? And yet, the phenomena

which we have reviewed, especially the relation of terrestrial

magnetism to the solar activity, and the formation of nebulous masses

around the new stars, can be accounted for only by emanations or forms

of force, having probably some similarity with the corpuscles,

electrons, and rays which we are now producing in our laboratories. The

nineteenth century, in passing away, points with pride to what it has

done. It has become a word to symbolize what is most important in human

progress Yet, perhaps its greatest glory may prove to be that the last

thing it did was to lay a foundation for the physical science of the

twentieth century. What shall be discovered in the new fields is, at

present, as far without our ken as were the modern developments of

electricity without the ken of the investigators of one hundred years

ago. We cannot guarantee any special discovery. What lies before us is

an illimitable field, the existence of which was scarcely suspected ten

years ago, the exploration of which may well absorb the activities of

our physical laboratories, and of the great mass of our astronomical

observers and investigators for as many generations as were required to

bring electrical science to its present state. We of the older

generation cannot hope to see more than the beginning of this

development, and can only tender our best wishes and most hearty

congratulations to the younger school whose function it will be to

explore the limitless field now before it.

XX

THE RELATION OF SCIENTIFIC METHOD TO SOCIAL PROGRESS [Footnote: An

address before the Washington Philosophical Society]

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