CHAPTER X

THE SPANISH MARRIAGES[831]

At the close of the year 1845, when Peel had resigned office on

account of the dissensions in his Cabinet on the question of the

Corn Laws, Lord John Russell had in vain attempted to form a

government. His failure had been due to the objections urged by Lord

Grey to Palmerston's return to the Foreign Office.[832] Peel had,

in consequence, agreed to withdraw his resignation and to carry on

the government. But it was soon clear that the Protectionists, if

they could not prevent the passage of his Corn Bill, would certainly

encompass his downfall at the first opportunity. Palmerston, under

these circumstances, judged it advisable to take steps to remove the

impression that his nomination as Foreign Secretary would create alarm

in France and imperil "the cordial understanding." He, accordingly,

decided to visit Paris with the object of dispelling this idea. His

intimate knowledge of the French language and his considerable powers

of conversation, combined with the personal charm of Lady Palmerston,

soon achieved the desired result. In the previous month of December,

the prospect that "_ce terrible Lord Palmerston_" would be once again

at the Foreign Office had spread dismay in ministerial circles.

But, in the following spring, when he returned to England, after a

few weeks' stay in Paris, the amiable qualities and the friendly

dispositions of "_ce cher Lord Palmerston_" were the chief topic of

conversation in the political _salons_.[833]

Louis Philippe and his Foreign Minister had been most disagreeably

surprised by the disclosure of the proposal made by Christina to

the Duke of Saxe-Coburg. Lord Aberdeen's straightforward conduct

in the affair could not undo the fact that the Queen-Mother had

deliberately, and without the knowledge of the French ambassador,

opened a negotiation for the marriage of Isabella to a prince,

who was not a descendant of Philip V. In pursuance of this policy

the Duke of Sotomayor, the Spanish ambassador in London, had been

instructed to inquire officially in what light the British government

would regard the selection of a prince, who was not a Bourbon, as

the future husband of the Queen. To this question Lord Aberdeen had

replied that, "should it be found that no descendant of Philip V.

could safely be chosen, consistently with the happiness of the Queen

or with a due regard to the tranquillity of the country, it could be

no cause of displeasure to Great Britain were a prince from some other

family to be selected." He could not believe that in such a case "the

enlightened Court of the Tuileries" would interfere. "But, if contrary

to all reason and probability, an attempt were made to control the

wishes and feelings of the Queen and the clearly understood will of

her people, Spain would not only receive the warmest sympathy of Great

Britain but of all Europe."[834]

M. Guizot appears to have been even more annoyed than Louis Philippe

at Christina's proposal to the Coburgs. He is said, indeed, to

have attempted to persuade the King to counteract it, by demanding

the hand of Isabella for his son Montpensier. But neither Louis

Philippe nor the young Duke himself were prepared to resort to so

extreme a measure. The King, for the present, was content to address

acrimonious complaints to Christina,[835] and to instruct M. Bresson

to make a strong representation to the Spanish ministers.[836] At the

same time, both he and M. Guizot decided to take steps to effect a

reconciliation between the Queen-Mother and General Narvaez, whose

return to power they regarded as essential to the success of their

plans. Meanwhile, Jarnac spoke of Palmerston, with whom he had had his

first interview on July 14, as "fairly well intentioned and rather

timid." This description of his attitude, M. Guizot admitted, was

most satisfactory. "Nevertheless, between him and me," he pointed out

to his royal master, "there can be nothing more than a marriage of

reason." He purposed, therefore, so to arrange matters that he might

be enabled to communicate his views directly to Lord John Russell.

"It will require nice handling to speak to one about foreign affairs

without offending the other. But, on occasions, we may have to do

so."[837]

Bresson appears to have expressed himself strongly in favour of

abandoning the Trapani marriage. In his opinion the matter resolved

itself simply into choosing one of the sons of Don Francisco. Jarnac

was, accordingly, instructed to propose to Lord Palmerston that these

two princes should be the objects of the joint support of France and

England. "London," wrote M. Guizot to Louis Philippe, "will certainly

favour Don Enrique, on account of his intimate connection with the

_Progressistas_. . . . Evidently Cadiz would be the best selection

for the Queen, Spain, and ourselves. Nevertheless, I do not think it

advisable to propose him directly."[838] Although Christina's overture

to the Duke of Saxe-Coburg at Lisbon had been made early in June, no

answer had yet been returned to it. The prudent Coburgs would seem to

have regarded it as inexpedient to incur the lasting enmity of Louis

Philippe, for the sake of seeing a member of their family raised to

the position of King-Consort of Spain. Upon his arrival in England,

at the end of June, the Duke was strongly advised in this sense both

by King Leopold and by Prince Albert. He, accordingly, resolved to

reject Christina's offer, on the ground of the injury which must

result to Spain from a marriage contracted in opposition to the wishes

of France.[839] This decision, however, would not appear to have been

communicated directly to Louis Philippe. Nevertheless, the private

letters, during the months of July and August, both of Bresson and

Guizot, show plainly that they were aware that the Coburgs had no

intention of entertaining the Queen-Mother's proposal.[840]

Palmerston, whilst in opposition, appears to have known nothing of

the details of the Spanish marriage question. Until informed of it

by Aberdeen, with whom he had a long conversation in the first days

of July, he was completely ignorant of Christina's proposal to the

Coburgs.[841] From 1834 to 1841, however, he had constantly been

engaged in combating the _Moderados_, and, upon his return to office

in 1846, he at once reverted to his former policy of favouring the

_Progressistas_. Under these circumstances, the candidature of Don

Enrique, whose connection with the extreme wing of the Liberal party

had been the cause of his exile and disgrace, would naturally enlist

his approval and support. Nevertheless, in his first communication to

Mr. Bulwer, he expressed no preference for any particular candidate.

Spanish affairs, he wrote in his famous despatch of July 19, appeared

to be divided into two questions--the marriage of the Queen and the

condition of the country. In respect to the first, he had nothing

to add to those instructions with which Bulwer had been supplied

by his predecessor in office. There were three candidates in the

field--Prince Leopold of Coburg and the two sons of Don Francisco de

Paula--and "Her Majesty's government could only hope that the choice

might fall upon the one most likely to secure the happiness of the

Queen and promote the welfare of the Spanish nation." The greater part

of the despatch, however, was concerned with the second question--the

political condition of the country. On that point, although Lord

Palmerston had no particular instructions to give, he had some very

severe criticisms to offer. "After a struggle of now thirty-four

years' duration for constitutional freedom, Spain," he declared,

"finds herself under a system of government almost as arbitrary in

practice, whatever it may be in theory, as any which has existed in

any former period of her history. She has indeed a Parliament, but

all freedom for discussion has been overborne by force. . . . There

is, indeed, by law liberty of the press, but that liberty has, by

the arbitrary acts of the government, been reduced to the liberty of

publishing what may be agreeable to the executive. . . . This system

of violence seems, in some degree, to have survived the fall of its

author[842] and not to have been as yet entirely abandoned by the

more moderate men who have succeeded him in the government. . . . It

was certainly not for the purpose of subjecting the Spanish nation

to a grinding tyranny that Great Britain entered into the Quadruple

Alliance and gave that active assistance, which contributed so

materially to the expulsion of Don Carlos from Spain. . . ."[843]

This despatch was not to be communicated to the Spanish Minister for

Foreign Affairs, but was intended to enable Mr. Bulwer to express,

"to those persons who might have the power of remedying the existing

evils," the opinions of his government upon the state of the country.

But, having sent it to Madrid, Palmerston, on July 20, confidentially

informed M. de Jarnac of its contents and allowed him to be supplied

with a copy of it. It is plain that he must have had some reason for

thus communicating to the French _chargé d'affaires_ a despatch,

replete with sentiments which could not but be otherwise than very

distasteful to his government. Without doubt, he must have known

that Bulwer's instructions would be at once passed on from Paris to

Madrid, and it can only, therefore, be supposed that he wished the

Spanish ministers to learn in this manner exactly what he thought

about them. Perhaps, also, he was not sorry that M. Guizot should

have an opportunity of realizing the very low estimation in which he

held his political friends, the _Moderados_. To the marriage question

he obviously attached little importance, and his remarks upon that

subject were, doubtless, drawn up far less carefully than those which

had reference to the actual condition of Spain.

Louis Philippe, at this time, was somewhat disturbed by a letter from

M. Bresson to M. Guizot, dated July 12, in which the ambassador gave a

lengthy account of his recent proceedings at Madrid. The Queen-Mother,

he reported, urged various objections to the Duke of Cadiz.

"Isabella," she declared, "had an insurmountable aversion to him and

she herself had grave doubts about his virility. This last statement,"

wrote M. Bresson, "took us upon very delicate ground. She adverted

to his voice, his hips, and his general bodily conformation, and I

replied by insisting that his rigid morality was to be ascribed solely

to his consuming passion for the Queen, her daughter. Furthermore, I

pointed out, that his desire to marry was inconsistent with the idea

that he was incapable of fulfilling the conditions of matrimony."

Christina's opinion upon that point was probably little influenced by

arguments such as these. But, when M. Bresson took upon himself to

assure her that, "in any Bourbon combination" the marriage of the Duc

de Montpensier with the Infanta could be announced simultaneously with

that of the Queen, she received the information with "every appearance

of sincere pleasure." Rianzarez also expressed to him his satisfaction

with this arrangement, which would remove the great political

objection to the Queen's marriage with Cadiz or, even, with Trapani.

Bresson, however, was of opinion that her union with the former could

be effected more easily and expeditiously than with the latter, and

he, accordingly, suggested that his regiment should be brought to

Madrid, in order that, "by constantly seeing him, Isabella might grow

accustomed to his voice and hips."[844]

The Queens, Louis Philippe declared at once, must be given to

understand clearly that Bresson had no right to promise that the

two marriages would be concluded simultaneously. He was not to be

moved from this decision by Guizot's insinuation that possibly the

ambassador had not gone quite so far as His Majesty imagined. On the

contrary, he replied, he had very little doubt that he had committed

himself even more deeply than he admitted. It was while he was in this

mood that Jarnac's copy of Palmerston's despatch of July 19 reached

Paris. A perusal of its contents caused the King a considerable amount

of annoyance,[845] yet it would not appear to have weakened his

determination to insist upon the disavowal of M. Bresson.[846] But the

question, as to how far the despatch of July 19 was responsible for

the final decision of Louis Philippe, will be discussed later on.

Although in his official instructions he had expressed no preference

for any particular candidate, Palmerston soon informed Bulwer,

privately, that Don Enrique was the British candidate.[847] The

selection of that prince called forth no objections from M. de

Jarnac. On the contrary, as late as August 16, he gave Palmerston

definitely to understand that, provided he would adhere to that

arrangement, France would join with him in pressing it upon the

Court of Madrid.[848] Bulwer, however, was filled with dismay on

learning that he was expected to support the suit of Don Enrique.

He had little fault to find with him personally. He considered him

manly, enterprising and ambitious, and described him as resembling

in many respects Prince Louis Napoleon.[849] There was one objection

to him, however, and that was an insuperable one--nothing short of a

successful revolution would induce Christina to accept him. "Let me

caution your Lordship again and again," he wrote on August 4, "against

appearing to listen to the counsels of the _Progressistas_ and Don

Enrique, if you wish to retain the confidence of the palace."[850]

No sooner was Palmerston installed at the Foreign Office, than Bulwer,

reverting to his former scheme, began to plead earnestly in favour

of the Coburg marriage. France, he maintained, in order to carry out

successfully her plans of aggrandisement in Algeria, Morocco, Tunis

and Egypt must exercise a paramount influence at Madrid. It followed,

therefore, that all her ambitious designs would be checkmated by the

Queen's marriage outside the Bourbon line. "The policy of maintaining

good relations with France," he was not disposed to dispute it, "was

a great and wise policy. But what would happen," he asked, "were

Louis Philippe to die? In that event would not the power of a great

military nation fall into the hands of three or four enterprising

young men, burning for glory in their several careers? The policy of

good relations with France depended," he much feared, "upon the life

of a man of seventy-four and upon the well or the ill-directed aim of

an assassin."[851] The Coburg marriage, Christina assured him, could

still be arranged. Let the management of the affair be entrusted to

him and he would undertake to bring it to a successful conclusion.

France would oppose it vigorously, and it must, therefore, be prepared

in secrecy. Indeed, he acknowledged that his plan must needs "wear

the aspect of an intrigue, in order to avoid the effects of an

intrigue."[852]

Palmerston, however, was not to be diverted from his intention by

these arguments. The Court, the government, and the Coburgs themselves

were alike agreed that Louis Philippe's hostility to it had rendered

the Spanish proposal unacceptable. On August 22, therefore, he

addressed a lengthy despatch to Bulwer, in which he laid it down as

the deliberate opinion of the British government that Don Enrique was

the most suitable candidate.[853] But, before this communication could

reach Madrid, the affair to which it referred had been definitely

settled. The French government had not failed to turn its knowledge

of Palmerston's dispatch of July 19 to account. M. Bresson, in

pursuance of M. Guizot's[854] instructions, had been busily engaged in

representing it as a declaration of hostility against the _Moderado_

government in Madrid. Nuñoz, the brother of the Duke of Rianzarez,

informed Mr. Bulwer that all hope of arranging the Coburg marriage

had been abandoned, that Palmerston "would listen to no other

alliance but that of Don Enrique, who is looked upon by the Court as

an open adversary and a disguised rebel," and that a _Progressista_

insurrection was being prepared in London.[855] Only a week after

he had transmitted this news, the British minister, on August 29,

reported that the Queen, the night before at 12 o'clock, had made

up her mind in favour of Don Francisco de Asis, Duke of Cadiz.

Furthermore, he had to inform Lord Palmerston that the marriage of

the Duc de Montpensier would take place at the same time. "I learn,"

he wrote in conclusion, "that directly the Queen had signified her

intention of marrying her cousin, Count Bresson formally asked the

hand of the Infanta for the Duke of Montpensier, stating that he had

powers to enter upon and conclude that affair."[856]

M. Guizot, on September 1, communicated this news to Lord Normanby,

the new British ambassador in Paris.[857] Palmerston, who was

yachting with Her Majesty on the south coast of England, received

the information of the conclusion of the double marriage in a letter

from the Comte de Jarnac. Louis Philippe eluded the disagreeable

task of apprising Queen Victoria that he had broken his compact, by

allowing his own Queen, Marie Amélie, to convey the intelligence

to her. The reply which she received was short and cold. "You will

remember," wrote Queen Victoria, "what passed between the King and

myself at Eu. . . . You will, doubtless, have heard that, in order

to be agreeable to your King, we declined to arrange the marriage

of our cousin, Prince Leopold, with the Queen of Spain. . . . You

will, therefore, easily understand that the sudden announcement of

this double marriage could only cause us surprise and the keenest

regret. . ."[858]

M. Guizot explained his conduct by referring to the _Memorandum of

February 27, 1846_, of the existence of which Palmerston was now for

the first time informed. In that document France had reserved to

herself the right of departing from the agreement at Eu, should at any

time a Coburg marriage appear "imminent or probable." Palmerston's

inclusion of Prince Leopold among the available candidates in his

despatch of July 19, combined with Christina's overture at Lisbon,

in the previous month of May, had created a situation, M. Guizot

insisted, which released France from all her engagements. But,

although he firmly maintained this contention and instructed M. de

Jarnac to hold the same language in London, his conduct was not that

of a man confident in the justice of his cause. Besides attempting

to induce Lord Aberdeen to declare that, under the circumstances, a

departure from the compact at Eu was permissible, he drew up a bitter

attack upon Lord Palmerston and sent it to Jarnac with instructions

to forward it to Lord John Russell. But in both cases he met with

disappointment. Aberdeen told him frankly that he could not adopt his

view of the case, and that he had no fault to find with the language

or the conduct of his successor in office.[859] John Russell showed

his letter to Palmerston, and informed M. de Jarnac that his colleague

had his hearty approval and support.[860] Louis Philippe, meanwhile,

had compiled a lengthy statement of his case and had sent it to

his daughter, the Queen of the Belgians, in order that it might be

placed before Queen Victoria. But neither his laboured attempts to

extenuate his own conduct nor his insinuations about Lord Palmerston

produced the desired effect. After a careful consideration of his

letter, replied the Queen on September 27, she had failed to discover

any reasons which could justify him in breaking his promise. She had

arrived at this conclusion, she begged him to believe, "by the help

of her own eyes," not, as he had suggested, by the aid of those of

Lord Palmerston.[861]

The protests of the Queen, however, were as ineffectual as the

official remonstrances of Bulwer at Madrid and of Normanby in Paris.

On October 10, 1846, the double marriage was duly solemnized at the

palace, in the hall called "_de Embajadores_." The British minister

was not present at the ceremony, which was witnessed by a great crowd

of persons. "One _viva_ only was heard, and that not very loud,

when the Infante Don Francisco descended from his carriage."[862]

Louis Philippe and M. Guizot had attained their object, but they had

sacrificed "the cordial understanding." In England, the authors of

the Spanish marriages stood condemned by the Court, by the Cabinet,

and by public opinion. There was no thought of an appeal to arms, but

it was felt that in the future the relations of the two governments

could no longer be carried on in the same spirit of close and friendly

intimacy. Palmerston, founding his case upon the renunciation made at

the Peace of Utrecht[863] by the Duc d'Orléans of that day, sought to

induce the Powers to declare that any children, which might be born

to the Duc de Montpensier and the Infanta, would be excluded from

succeeding to the Spanish throne. Throughout Europe, however, there

were ominous signs of a recrudescence of the revolutionary spirit,

and Metternich, in consequence, had strong reasons for desiring to

propitiate Louis Philippe and M. Guizot. He, therefore, refused to

pronounce himself and simply adopted an attitude of neutrality, taking

care to point out that the trouble could never have arisen, had the

legitimist principle been upheld and had Don Carlos been enthroned.

Russia and Prussia, which like Austria had never acknowledged the

sovereignty of Isabella, followed the example of the Court of Vienna

and declined to be drawn into the controversy.

Palmerston's conduct was, unquestionably, ill-advised in thus

attempting to apply to Spain, in the middle of the nineteenth century,

the stipulations of diplomatic instruments framed when the conditions

of Europe were very different. But, if his objections to the Infanta's

marriage, founded upon the Treaty of Utrecht, were unsuccessful, he

was afforded the satisfaction of completely refuting the pleas set up

by M. Guizot in justification of his actions. The argument which forms

the main contention of his despatches, both of October 31, 1846 and

of January 8, 1847, is unanswerable. The _Memorandum of February 27,

1846_, to which the French government attached so much importance was,

he pointed out, unofficial and verbal. No record of it was to be found

at the Foreign Office. M. de Jarnac had never mentioned it to him,

"until after the event had happened for which it was now quoted as a

justification." But, "even admitting for the sake of argument that Her

Majesty's present government were to be held bound by it, how could it

justify a departure from the engagement of Eu? The imminent danger,

specified in that _memorandum_, was the likelihood that either the

Queen or the Infanta should be about immediately to marry a foreign

Prince, not being a descendant of Philip V. But if that likelihood had

ever existed, it had at all events ceased to exist, when M. Bresson

demanded the hand of the Infanta for the Duc de Montpensier. Not only

had it then ceased to exist, but with respect to the Queen, whose

marriage was then the immediate and only subject of discussion, it

had been succeeded by an impossibility; because when Count Bresson

demanded the hand of the Infanta the marriage of the Queen to the

Infant Don Francisco had actually been resolved upon and settled."[864]

Both in the French Chambers and in the British Parliament the Spanish

marriages were the subject of debate, at the opening of the session of

1847. The publication of the English _blue-book_ created a profound

sensation in France.[865] After reading the correspondence, no one

could any longer maintain that England had encouraged the candidature

of Prince Leopold of Coburg, or that Louis Philippe had been justified

in breaking the agreement of Eu. Nevertheless, in spite of the light

which was thus thrown upon the proceedings which led up to the

marriages, the true history of the case was only imperfectly revealed.

Even to-day, the real motives which actuated some of the principal

actors in the affair are still largely a matter of conjecture.

Palmerston[866] himself believed, and his opinion has been adopted by

the majority of English writers, that a secret understanding existed

between Christina and Louis Philippe. The Queen-Mother's overture to

the Duke of Saxe-Coburg has been represented as a trap craftily laid

for the British government. England, it was calculated, would never

resist the temptation of actively supporting the candidature of Prince

Leopold, and Louis Philippe would, in consequence, be furnished with

a pretext for repudiating his promises.[867] But, plausible as this

explanation of Christina's conduct may sound, it cannot stand the test

of a close examination.

Had the Queen-Mother never manifested any anxiety to marry her

daughter to a Coburg, until she requested Bulwer to transmit her

proposal to Lisbon, her proceedings, it must be admitted, would be

open to grave suspicion. But the facts of the case are very different.

On at least three previous occasions, when she cannot possibly have

been acting in collusion with Louis Philippe, she had declared her

predilection for the Coburg match. In 1838, during the civil war,

she mentioned the matter to Lord Clarendon.[868] In 1841, after her

abdication, when she was living in Paris, she sent Count Toreno to

Lord Cowley to inform him that she regarded a Coburg Prince as the

most suitable husband for Isabella.[869] No sooner was she back at

Madrid, in 1844, than she expressed herself in the same spirit to Mr.

Bulwer.[870] To the very last she appears to have struggled against

the dictation of the King of the French. Finding that the Coburgs were

fearful of incurring the wrath of the Court of the Tuileries, she did

all in her power to persuade Louis Philippe not to insist upon her

daughter's marriage with a Bourbon, "who had none of the qualities

calculated to make her happy." As late as the middle of July, 1846,

she sent the Marquis of Miraflores to Paris to plead her cause with

him. But the "Citizen King" was inflexible. "Royal marriages," he

reminded her, "were not like of those of private individuals."[871]

Nevertheless, she still refused to yield, and when she at last gave

way and compelled the unfortunate Isabella to marry the Duke of Cadiz,

it was the ill-judged intervention of Lord Palmerston which was the

cause of her surrender, not the expostulations and threats of Louis

Philippe.

In Spain, in 1846, the victory of one party over another meant

something more than that a particular set of politicians had been

temporarily replaced in office by their opponents. Disgrace, exile

and even loss of liberty were the fate which generally awaited the

leaders of a defeated party. Christina herself, after the triumph

of the _Progressistas_ in 1836, had had to submit to the insolent

dictation of a band of mutinous sergeants and had seen her _Moderado_

ministers forced to fly from the country. Four years later the same

party, in its hour of victory, had humiliated her as a woman and as

a Queen and had driven her to resign the regency. She was not by

nature vindictive, but she, doubtless, regarded a _Progressista_

with feelings very similar to those which her father or her brother

entertained for a _Carbonaro_. It may be imagined, therefore, with

what dismay she read Palmerston's despatch of July 19. In every

line of it the intention of befriending her enemies was apparent.

Palmerston, it was clear to her, was declaring that Don Enrique was

the only suitable husband for Isabella, simply in order to promote the

fortunes of the _Progressistas_.

Once convinced that the _Moderado régime_ was endangered by the

hostility of Lord Palmerston, Christina determined to comply with

Louis Philippe's demands and thus obtain his protection. The Duke

of Cadiz was hastily summoned to Madrid and Isabella was compelled

to accept him for a husband. It is not absolutely certain whether

the Queen-Mother insisted upon the simultaneous announcement of

Montpensier's marriage with her second daughter, or whether the

proposal came from M. Bresson. It is highly probable, however, that

she made it an indispensable condition to her acceptation of Cadiz.

The fact that the Infanta was betrothed to a son of Louis Philippe

would conciliate the French party and would be looked upon by people,

generally, as some compensation for the extreme insignificance of the

King Consort. Moreover, from her point of view there was another, and

a far stronger reason, in favour of the simultaneous conclusion of the

two marriages. Once the elder brother was the husband of the Queen, it

would be very difficult to prevent the marriage of the younger, Don

Enrique, with the Infanta.[872] That danger could be averted only by

the announcement that she was betrothed to, and was shortly to marry,

Montpensier.

Notwithstanding that he owed his crown to a popular revolution, Louis

Philippe attached the highest importance to the natural alliances of

the Bourbons. The maintenance of relations with Spain on the footing

of consanguinity was, in consequence, the constant aim of his policy.

In the pursuit of this object he found a ready instrument in his

Foreign Minister. By upholding the principle that Isabella's husband

must be a descendant of Philip V., M. Guizot purposed to disprove

the reproach of his opponents that this foreign policy was weak and

subservient to England.[873] His motives are perfectly comprehensible.

But the reasons which induced the King to break the compact of Eu,

by consenting to allow his son's marriage to take place at the same

time as that of the Queen, have never been satisfactorily explained.

Louis Philippe was very angry upon learning, on July 20, 1846, that

M. Bresson, in order to overcome Christina's repugnance to the Duke

of Cadiz, had held out to her the inducement that Montpensier's

marriage with the Infanta might be concluded simultaneously. Turning

a deaf ear to the timid remonstrances of M. Guizot, he insisted upon

the necessity of acquainting the Queen-Mother that his ambassador

had greatly exceeded his instructions. His private correspondence,

discovered at the Tuileries after the Revolution of '48, makes his

sentiments upon that point absolutely clear.[874] Nevertheless, in

the course of the next three weeks all his scruples vanished, and he

allowed M. Bresson to be furnished with the powers necessary for the

conclusion of the double marriage.

According to the official French version of the affair, it was

the despatch of July 19 which caused the King to change his mind.

Seeing that Palmerston had placed Coburg at the head of the list

of candidates, he, rightly or wrongly, conceived that the danger,

specified in the _Memorandum of February 27, 1846_, had become

"probable and imminent," and that he was, in consequence, released

from all his engagements to England. But his secret correspondence

with M. Guizot completely disproves this assertion. In forwarding, on

July 24, the despatch to the King, Guizot himself made no suggestion

of that nature. On the contrary, he expressed the extremely judicious

opinion that Palmerston was very indifferent about Coburg and was

rather trying to regain his influence over the _Progressistas_. Louis

Philippe took the same view of the case. He was greatly annoyed at

the strictures passed upon his friends, the _Moderados_, predicted

that Palmerston's proceedings would lead to the _bouleversement_ of

Spain, but "all that," he wrote, "makes it the more necessary that our

disavowal of the simultaneous marriage plan should reach Christina

at once. The more we suspect bad faith in others the more must we be

careful to keep our own hands clean."[875] The letters published in

the _Revue retrospective_ show that he adhered to these admirable

sentiments for some ten days longer. There is no document, however,

or trustworthy evidence to explain why, probably about August 13 or

14, he suddenly decided to adopt a totally different view of the

matter. Under these circumstances it is only possible to suggest the

following explanation.

Louis Philippe in the question of the Spanish marriages had a twofold

object in view. To his Bourbon policy was subjoined the _bourgeois_

policy of the _père de famille_, who was desirous of obtaining for

his son the large fortune which was supposed to be the portion

of the Infanta. Palmerston, however, was determined to prevent

the accomplishment of this plan. To the well-known instructions

transmitted to Bulwer, on August 22, was appended a despatch, marked

_separate and confidential_, in which he laid down the principle that

Montpensier's marriage with the Infanta "would be as objectionable,

and in some respects more so, than his marriage with the Queen."[876]

It is true that the contents of this despatch were unknown to Louis

Philippe and his agents, and moreover, that before it reached Bulwer's

hands the affair had been concluded. But Guizot was, undoubtedly,

aware of Palmerston's opinions on the subject. Indeed, in a letter to

the King, on August 8, he expressed the fear that, although Coburg

might be abandoned so far as Isabella was concerned, Palmerston

would probably attempt to marry him to the Infanta. "After our first

battle," he wrote, "we shall have to fight another, and a very sharp

one."[877] Louis Philippe himself, a few days later, appears to

have been disturbed by a letter which his Queen had received from

Christina. The tone of it he considered unpleasant, "and it contained

no mention of Montpensier's marriage." . . . "Our situation,"

he informed Guizot, "has, in consequence, much changed for the

worse."[878]

It is evident, therefore, that on August 12, Louis Philippe was

aware that danger threatened his project of marrying his son to the

Infanta from two quarters. Palmerston was resolved to oppose it, and

the Queen-Mother, if not actually hostile to it, was showing some

reluctance to support it. But in the course of the next day or two,

news would probably be received from Madrid of the effect which the

despatch of July 19 had had upon Christina and her ministers. Under

these circumstances, a great effort was, doubtless, made to persuade

the King to give Bresson a free hand. Guizot, Madame Adelaïde,[879]

and other members of his family assuredly represented to him that

the present opportunity must not be allowed to escape. Christina was

thoroughly frightened, and would be prepared to accept both Cadiz and

Montpensier, provided only that the two marriages could take place

simultaneously. Should there be either hesitation or delay, however,

Palmerston would have time to mature his plans, and the Infanta and

her fortune would be lost to them.

If the theory, here put forward, be correct, that it was Palmerston's

hostility to Montpensier's projected marriage which caused Louis

Philippe to break his promise to England, the question arises,

whether, under the circumstances, he was not justified in regarding

himself as released from his engagements. M. Thureau-Dangin[880]

contends that the King, having undertaken at Eu to postpone his son's

marriage with the Infanta until the Queen should have children,

had a right to expect that, in the interval, England should do

nothing to facilitate her marriage with any other prince. Aberdeen,

unquestionably, did not regard the matter in that light. He simply

looked upon Montpensier's marriage with the Infanta as delayed for

several years, until, by the birth of heirs to Isabella, it should

have lost its political significance. Even then, when it should be

less objectionable, he did not consider that England was bound to

consent to it, and, in the meantime, as he pointed out to Peel,

"many things might happen."[881] Palmerston most certainly would

have repudiated the notion that the compact of Eu debarred him from

recommending the alliance of the Infanta with Leopold of Coburg. "We

can admit of no parity of position," he told Jarnac, "between a son

of the King of the French and the third son of a German nobleman as

closely related to the French, as to the British, Royal Family."[882]

M. Guizot, in the _Memorandum of February 27_, undoubtedly declared

that the Bourbon principle applied equally to the Queen and the

Infanta, but he clearly had not much faith in his ability to make good

that contention. He was perfectly aware of Palmerston's sentiments

with respect to Montpensier's marriage, but he never attempted to

argue that, because of them, the King was released from his promise.

Throughout the controversy he confined himself to asserting, what

he knew to be untrue, that Palmerston's proceedings had rendered

"probable and imminent" the alliance of a Coburg prince with Queen

Isabella.

In most English accounts it is taken for granted that Louis Philippe

selected the Duke of Cadiz as a husband for Isabella, in order to

make certain that the succession to the Spanish throne should pass

to the descendants of Montpensier. But the circumstances do not

warrant this assumption. Count Trapani, whose physical fitness was

never called into question, was always his favourite candidate. It

was only in the last resort, when, owing to the unpopularity of the

Neapolitan connection, he was forced to bring forward another Bourbon,

that he fell back upon Cadiz. The suspicions which existed about the

virility of this young prince did not deter the King from seeking to

impose him upon Isabella. He cannot, however, be fairly charged with

having expressly chosen him, because he believed him to be impotent.

Don Enrique and the sons of Don Carlos being for different political

reasons out of the question, he had no option but to renounce his

Bourbon principle, or to insist upon the Queen's marriage with the

Duke of Cadiz.

The experience of England during the eighteenth century had taught

her to look with dread upon the prospect of having to struggle

single-handed against the two Bourbon Powers. The lesson of 1783 was

never forgotten by her statesmen. Under the Restoration, when the

absolute rule of Ferdinand VII. was re-established by French bayonets,

Mr. Canning, to avert the dangers of a close alliance between the

Courts of Madrid and of the Tuileries, acknowledged the revolted

Spanish colonies and "called in the new world to redress the balance

of the old." Palmerston was confronted by a different situation. Spain

was weaker, but France had acquired Algiers and was upon terms of

suspicious friendliness with Mehemet Ali. In alliance with the Pasha

of Egypt in the east and with Spain in the west, she might, it was to

be feared, obtain a complete control of the Mediterranean. It was,

therefore, Palmerston conceived, a matter of the first importance that

her influence over the Cabinet of Madrid should be destroyed. This

object, in his opinion, could never be successfully attained until

Spain should be endowed with Liberal institutions, and should adopt a

national, not a dynastic, policy. It was with this end in view that he

entered into the Quadruple Treaty, by which England engaged to assist

the _Christinos_ to expel Don Carlos from the Peninsula. Without

doubt, the idea upon which his policy was based was statesmanlike;

nevertheless, the methods by which he hoped to accomplish his purpose

were deplorably unsound. The treaty of 1834 involved interference in

the domestic affairs of Spain, and that in combination with the very

Power the ascendancy of which over the Spanish government it was his

secret object to diminish.

Any military advantages which the _Christinos_ may have derived from

the Quadruple Treaty were more than counterbalanced by the harm, which

the jealous interference of France and Great Britain in her internal

affairs, inflicted upon Spain. Long after the Pretender had fled and

outward peace had been restored, the political settlement of the

country was retarded by the rivalry and intrigues of the ambassadors

and ministers of the two Powers. The marriages of 1846, and all the

evils which they brought in their train, were an outcome of the policy

which Palmerston had inaugurated twelve years before. But he had not

been in power during the whole of this period, and, when he returned

to the Foreign Office, the marriage question was already far advanced.

Aberdeen was not responsible for the Quadruple Treaty, and he was

sincerely desirous of putting an end to the practice of meddling with

internal politics, which both the French and British agents at Madrid

had adopted. Nevertheless, his weakness and irresolution in dealing

with M. Guizot were the cause of much mischief. Had he adhered to

his first pronouncement that England would object to any alliance

which threatened to disturb the balance of power, but that, with that

exception, she looked upon the Royal marriages as an exclusively

Spanish affair, none of the subsequent complications could have

arisen. Unfortunately, however, after the downfall of Espartero, he

undertook to observe a kind of benevolent neutrality towards the

principle of the French government--that Isabella's husband must

be a Bourbon. The compact of Eu and the different interpretations

which were placed upon it, the pretensions set up in the _Memorandum

of February 27_, 1846, were the consequences of the modifications

introduced into his original declaration.

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