XV. MONEY AND BANKING.

Probably on no subject has there been such confused thinking or have

such widely varying views been held as on that of money. There is,

however, substantial unanimity of opinion on the important points

among economists today, though in practice there still remain many

unsolved problems. The modern industrial system has already been

characterized as one of capitalistic production, of large-scale

enterprises with extended use of machinery. Not less fundamental are

the processes of valuation and exchange made possible by the use of

money and credit; and also by the machinery for the geographical

distribution of goods, our railroads and steamship lines. The modern

stage of economic development has been described by Hildebrand as one

of “credit economy,” as opposed to those of barter and money economy,

which preceded. It is inconceivable that the modern complex system of

exchange could be maintained without the extended use of money and

credit. Without attempting to define these terms or to trace their

historical development, we may proceed at once to state some of the

problems to which they have given rise.

The first question that suggests itself is, what determines the value

of money? The generally accepted answer may be briefly stated: it is,

that the value of money depends, other things remaining the same, upon

its quantity. According to the quantity theory an increase in the

supply of money will cause a fall in the value of each unit, just as 138

an increase in the supply of wheat or cotton will cause a fall in the

value of each bushel or bale. Conversely, a decrease in the quantity

of money will cause a rise in the value of money. It is simply an

application of the general law of value to money. The phrase “other

things remaining the same” is however an important one, for it assumes

that the amount of business and the methods by which it is conducted

will remain substantially unchanged. Of course if an increase in the

amount of money is accompanied by an equivalent expansion of trade,

the one may offset the other and the value of money remain unchanged.

Now, inasmuch as the prices of all goods and services are measured and

expressed in terms of money, it is clear that a fall in the value of

money means a rise of general prices; the value of each commodity is

now expressed in terms of a larger number of less valuable units or

dollars. Prices will be high if the quantity of money in circulation

in a country is large; they will be low if the quantity is small. To

the question, which is better for a country, high prices or low

prices, it may be answered that it is a matter of indifference,

provided only that there is enough money to do the work of exchange

efficiently and that fluctuations are prevented. Just how much

constitutes enough is, however, a matter of contention. In the

undeveloped sections of our country, where capital is scarce and

banking facilities undeveloped and where most of the people are

debtors, there has always been a demand for cheap and abundant money.

Capital and money have been confused and the need of one has led to a

demand for the other.

It is not a matter of indifference, however, whether prices be rising

or falling, that is, whether inflation or contraction of the currency

is taking place. A period of falling prices means hardship and

injustice to debtors and producers of goods, as farmers,

manufacturers, etc. Having contracted obligations and engaged in the 139

production of commodities with the expectation of a given price, they

find their goods worth less when ready for the market and themselves

confronted with a loss instead of the anticipated profit. Under such

circumstances a contraction of the currency and falling prices means

lessened production of wealth. Consequently many writers, and even so

good an economist as President Walker, have urged that a slow steady

inflation of the currency would promote trade and “give a fillip to

industry.” The monetary history of the United States is filled with

attempts to realize this in practice: colonial and revolutionary bills

of credit were first issued; when these were forbidden by the new

Constitution resort was had to issues by state banks. When the Federal

Government began the issue of greenbacks and restricted the use of

state bank notes, the inflationists looked to this source for

assistance. After the defeat of the Greenback party, they turned

finally to the coinage of silver, which was now falling in price, and

the question of bimetallism in the United States was made a practical

political issue.

Down to 1870 practically all the nations of Europe and America had the

system of bimetallism at ratios of 15½ or 16 to 1. About that date

the great increase in the supply of gold and the fall in the value of

silver led one country after another to abandon the latter and to

adopt the system of gold monometallism. This was vigorously resisted

by many persons and several fruitless efforts made to secure a system

of international bimetallism. Failing that, the friends of silver in

this country endeavored to secure independent action by the United

States alone, and were ultimately successful in obtaining the purchase

by the Federal Government of practically the entire silver output of

the country during the years 1878-1893.

Development of the Manufacturing Industries in the United States,

1800-1905.

======+==========+========================+===========+===========+

| | Wealth. | | |

| +---------------+--------+ | |

Fiscal| | | | | |

Year,|Population| | | Production| Raw wool |

ending| June 1. | | Per | of | imported. |

June | | Total. |capita. | wool.[B] | |

30-- | | | | | |

| | | | | |

| | | | | |

------+----------+---------------+--------+-----------+-----------+

| | Dollars. |Dollars.| Pounds. | Pounds. |

| | | | | |

1800 | 5,308,483| -- | -- | -- | -- |

1810 | 7,239,881| -- | -- | -- | -- |

1820 | 9,638,453| -- | -- | -- | -- |

1830 |12,866,020| -- | -- | 35,802,114| 669,883|

1840 |17,069,453| -- | -- | 52,516,959| 9,898,740|

1850 |23,191,876| 7,135,780,000| 307.69| -- | 18,695,294|

1851 |23,995,000| -- | -- | -- | 32,607,315|

1852 |24,802,000| -- | -- | -- | 18,343,218|

1853 |25,615,000| -- | -- | -- | 21,616,035|

1854 |26,433,000| -- | -- | -- | 20,228,035|

1855 |27,256,000| -- | -- | -- | 18,599,784|

1856 |28,083,000| -- | -- | -- | 14,778,496|

1857 |28,916,000| -- | -- | -- | 16,505,216|

1858 |29,758,000| -- | -- | -- | -- |

1859 |30,596,000| -- | -- | 60,264,913| -- |

1860 |31,443,321| 16,159,616,000| 513.93| 75,000,000| -- |

1861 |32,064,000| -- | -- | 90,000,000| -- |

1862 |32,704,000| -- | -- |106,000,000| 42,131,061|

1863 |33,365,000| -- | -- |123,000,000| 73,931,944|

1864 |34,046,000| -- | -- |142,000,000| 90,464,002|

1865 |34,748,000| -- | -- |155,000,000| 43,877,408|

1866 |35,469,000| -- | -- |160,000,000| 67,918,253|

1867 |36,211,000| -- | -- |168,000,000| 16,558,046|

1868 |36,973,000| -- | -- |180,000,000| 24,124,803|

1869 |37,756,000| -- | -- |162,000,000| 39,275,926|

1870 |38,558,371| 30,068,518,000| 779.83|160,000,000| 49,230,199|

1871 |39,555,000| -- | -- |150,000,000| 68,058,028|

1872 |40,596,000| -- | -- |158,000,000|122,256,499|

1873 |41,677,000| -- | -- |170,000,000| 85,496,049|

1874 |42,796,000| -- | -- |181,000,000| 42,939,541|

1875 |43,951,000| -- | -- |192,000,000| 54,901,760|

1876 |45,137,000| -- | -- |200,000,000| 44,642,836|

1877 |46,353,000| -- | -- |208,250,000| 42,171,192|

1878 |47,598,000| -- | -- |211,000,000| 48,449,079|

1879 |48,866,000| -- | -- |232,500,000| 39,005,155|

1880 |50,155,783| 43,642,000,000| 850.20|240,000,000|128,131,747|

1881 |51,316,000| -- | -- |272,000,000| 55,964,236|

1882 |52,495,000| -- | -- |290,000,000| 67,861,744|

1883 |53,693,000| -- | -- |300,000,000| 70,575,478|

1884 |54,911,000| -- | -- |308,000,000| 78,350,651|

1885 |56,148,000| -- | -- |302,000,000| 70,596,170|

1886 |57,404,000| -- | -- |285,000,000|129,084,958|

1887 |58,680,000| -- | -- |269,000,000|114,038,030|

1888 |59,974,000| -- | -- |265,000,000|113,558,753|

1889 |61,289,000| -- | -- |276,000,000|126,487,729|

1890 |62,622,250| 65,037,091,000|1,038.57|285,000,000|105,431,285|

1891 |63,844,000| -- | -- |294,000,000|129,303,648|

1892 |65,086,000| -- | -- |303,153,000|148,670,652|

1893 |66,349,000| -- | -- |298,057,384|172,433,838|

1894 |67,632,000| -- | -- |309,748,000| 55,152,585|

1895 |68,934,000| 77,000,000,000|1,117.01|272,474,708|206,033,906|

1896 |70,254,000| -- | -- |259,153,251|230,911,473|

1897 |71,592,000| -- | -- |266,720,684|350,852,026|

1898 |72,947,000| -- | -- |272,191,330|132,795,202|

1899 |74,318,000| -- | -- |288,636,621| 76,736,209|

1900 |76,303,387| 88,517,306,775|1,164.79|302,502,328|155,928,455|

1901 |79,003,000| -- | -- |287,450,000|166,576,966|

1903 |80,372,000| -- | -- |291,783,032|177,137,796|

1904 |81,752,000|107,104,211,917|1,310.11|295,488,438|173,742,834|

1905 |83,143,000| -- | -- |298,915,130|249,135,746|

1906 |84,216,433| -- | -- |298,294,750|201,688,668|

1907 |85,817,239| -- | -- |311,138,321|203,847,545|

1908 |87,189,392| -- | -- | -- |125,980,524|

------+----------+---------------+--------+-----------+-----------+

======+==========+=====================================================+

| | Manufactures of cotton. |

|Production+--------------------------+--------------------------+

Fiscal| of | Thousands of spindles in | Thousands of bales of |

Year,|cotton.[B]| operation on Sept. 1st. | domestic cotton taken |

ending| | | by mills. |

June | (500-lb. +--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+

30-- | bales, | In | In | Total | In | In | Total |

| gross |Southern|Northern| United |Southern|Northern| United |

| weight.) |States. | States.| States.| States.| States.| States |

------+----------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+

| Number. | Thou- | Thou- | Thou- | Thou- | Thou- | Thou- |

| | sands. | sands. | sands. | sands. | sands. | sands. |

1800 | 73,222| -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |

1810 | 177,824| -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |

1820 | 334,728| -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |

1830 | 732,218| -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |

1840 | 1,347,640| 181 | 2,104 | 2,285 | 71 | 166 | 237 |

1850 | 2,136,083| 265 | 3,733 | 3,998 | 78 | 497 | 575 |

1851 | 2,799,290| -- | -- | -- | 60 | 404 | 464 |

1852 | 3,130,338| -- | -- | -- | 111 | 588 | 699 |

1853 | 2,766,194| -- | -- | -- | 153 | 650 | 803 |

1854 | 2,708,082| -- | -- | -- | 145 | 592 | 737 |

1855 | 3,220,782| -- | -- | -- | 135 | 571 | 706 |

1856 | 3,873,680| -- | -- | -- | 138 | 633 | 771 |

1857 | 3,012,016| -- | -- | -- | 154 | 666 | 820 |

1858 | 3,758,273| -- | -- | -- | 143 | 452 | 595 |

1859 | 4,309,642| -- | -- | -- | 167 | 760 | 927 |

1860 | 3,841,416| 324 | 4,912 | 5,236 | 94 | 751 | 845 |

1861 | 4,490,586| -- | -- | -- | 153 | 650 | 803 |

1862 | 1,596,653| -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |

1863 | 449,059| -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |

1864 | 229,372| -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |

1865 | 2,093,658| -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |

1866 | 1,948,077| -- | -- | -- | 127 | 541 | 668 |

1867 | 2,345,610| -- | -- | -- | 150 | 573 | 723 |

1868 | 2,198,141| -- | -- | -- | 168 | 800 | 968 |

1869 | 2,409,597| -- | -- | -- | 173 | 822 | 995 |

1870 | 4,024,527| 328 | 6,804 | 7,132 | 69 | 728 | 797 |

1871 | 2,756,564| -- | -- | -- | 91 | 1,072 | 1,163 |

1872 | 3,650,932| -- | -- | -- | 120 | 977 | 1,097 |

1873 | 3,873,750| -- | -- | -- | 138 | 1,063 | 1,201 |

1874 | 3,528,276| -- | -- | -- | 128 | 1,192 | 1,320 |

1875 | 4,302,818| -- | -- | -- | 130 | 1,071 | 1,201 |

1876 | 4,118,390| -- | -- | -- | 134 | 1,220 | 1,354 |

1877 | 4,494,224| -- | -- | -- | 127 | 1,302 | 1,429 |

1878 | 4,745,078| -- | -- | -- | 151 | 1,345 | 1,496 |

1879 | 5,466,387| -- | -- | -- | 186 | 1,375 | 1,561 |

1880 | 6,356,998| 561 | 10,092 | 10,653 | 189 | 1,382 | 1,570 |

1881 | 5,136,447| -- | -- | -- | 225 | 1,713 | 1,938 |

1882 | 6,833,442| -- | -- | -- | 287 | 1,677 | 1,964 |

1883 | 5,521,963| 860 | 11,800 | 12,660 | 313 | 1,759 | 2,072 |

1884 | 5,477,448| 1,050 | 12,250 | 13,300 | 340 | 1,537 | 1,877 |

1885 | 6,369,341| 1,125 | 12,250 | 13,375 | 316 | 1,437 | 1,753 |

1886 | 6,314,561| 1,150 | 12,250 | 13,400 | 381 | 1,781 | 2,162 |

1887 | 6,884,667| 1,200 | 12,300 | 13,500 | 401 | 1,687 | 2,088 |

1888 | 6,923,775| 1,250 | 12,300 | 13,550 | 456 | 1,805 | 2,261 |

1889 | 7,472,511| 1,360 | 12,700 | 14,060 | 480 | 1,790 | 2,270 |

1890 | 8,562,089| 1,570 | 12,814 | 14,384 | 539 | 1,979 | 2,518 |

1891 | 8,940,867| 1,740 | 12,900 | 14,640 | 613 | 2,027 | 2,640 |

1892 | 6,658,313| 1,950 | 13,250 | 15,200 | 684 | 2,172 | 2,856 |

1893 | 7,433,056| 2,100 | 13,450 | 15,550 | 723 | 1,652 | 2,375 |

1894 |10,025,534| 2,200 | 13,500 | 15,700 | 711 | 1,580 | 2,291 |

1895 | 7,146,772| 2,400 | 13,700 | 16,100 | 852 | 2,019 | 2,871 |

1896 | 8,515,640| 2,850 | 13,800 | 16,650 | 900 | 1,605 | 2,505 |

1897 |10,985,040| 3,250 | 13,900 | 17,150 | 999 | 1,793 | 2,792 |

1898 |11,435,368| 3,550 | 13,900 | 17,450 | 1,254 | 2,211 | 3,465 |

1899 | 9,459,935| 3,950 | 14,150 | 18,100 | 1,415 | 2,217 | 3,632 |

1900 |10,266,527| 4,368 | 15,104 | 19,472 | 1,523 | 2,350 | 3,873 |

1901 | 9,675,771| 5,500 | 11,700 | 20,200 | 1,583 | 1,964 | 3,547 |

1902 |10,827,168| 6,400 | 15,000 | 21,400 | 2,017 | 2,066 | 4,083 |

1903 |10,045,615| 6,900 | 15,100 | 22,000 | 1,958 | 1,966 | 3,924 |

1904 |13,679,954| 7,650 | 15,200 | 22,850 | 1,889 | 2,046 | 3,935 |

1905 |10,804,556| 7,631 | 16,056 | 23,687 | 2,140 | 2,139 | 4,279 |

1906 |13,595,498| 8,995 | 16,255 | 25,250 | 2,373 | 2,536 | 4,909 |

1907 |11,375,461| 9,528 | 16,847 | 26,275 | 2,411 | 2,574 | 4,985 |

1908 |13,587,306| 10,201 | 17,304 | 27,505 | 2,187 | 2,352 | 4,539 |

------+----------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+

======+===========+===========+===========+============

| | | |

| | | |

Fiscal| | | Unmanu- |

Year,| | | factured | Imports

ending| Exports. | Imports. | silk | of crude

June | (domestic)| | imported. | rubber.

30-- | | | |

| | | |

| | | |

------+-----------+-----------+-----------+------------

| Dollars. | Dollars. | Pounds. | Pounds.

| | | |

1800 | -- | -- | -- | --

1810 | -- | -- | -- | --

1820 | -- | 7,812,326| -- | --

1830 | 1,318,183| 5,774,013| -- | --

1840 | 3,549,607| 6,504,104| -- | --

1850 | 4,734,424| 20,781,346| -- | --

1851 | 7,241,205| 22,164,442| -- | --

1852 | 7,672,151| 19,689,496| -- | --

1853 | 8,768,894| 27,731,363| -- | --

1854 | 5,535,516| 33,949,503| -- | --

1855 | 5,857,181| 17,757,112| -- | --

1856 | 6,967,309| 25,917,999| -- | --

1857 | 6,115,177| 28,685,726| -- | --

1858 | 5,651,504| 18,584,810| -- | --

1859 | 8,316,222| 26,976,381| -- | --

1860 | 10,934,796| 33,215,541| -- | --

1861 | 7,957,038| 25,271,382| -- | --

1862 | 2,946,464| 8,890,119| -- | 2,125,561

1863 | 2,906,411| 14,121,589| -- | 5,104,650

1864 | 1,456,901| 14,341,501| 407,935| --

1865 | 3,451,561| 9,223,686| 288,286| --

1866 | 1,780,175| 27,502,194| 567,904| --

1867 | 4,608,235| 19,302,005| 491,983| --

1868 | 4,871,054| 17,335,406| 512,449| 8,438,019

1869 | 5,874,222| 20,481,312| 720,045| 7,813,134

1870 | 3,787,282| 23,380,053| 583,589| 9,624,098

1871 | 3,558,236| 29,876,640| 1,100,281| 11,031,939

1872 | 2,304,330| 35,307,447| 1,063,809| 11,803,437

1873 | 2,947,528| 35,201,324| 1,159,420| 14,536,978

1874 | 3,095,840| 28,193,869| 794,837| 14,191,320

1875 | 4,071,882| 27,738,401| 1,101,681| 12,035,909

1876 | 7,722,978| 22,725,598| 1,354,991| 10,589,297

1877 | 10,235,843| 18,923,614| 1,186,170| 13,821,109

1878 | 11,438,660| 19,081,037| 1,182,750| 12,512,203

1879 | 10,853,950| 19,928,310| 1,889,776| 14,878,584

1880 | 9,981,418| 29,929,366| 2,562,236| 16,826,099

1881 | 13,571,387| 31,219,329| 2,790,413| 20,015,176

1882 | 13,222,979| 35,719,791| 3,549,404| 22,712,862

1883 | 12,951,145| 38,036,044| 4,731,106| 21,646,320

1884 | 11,885,211| 29,074,626| 4,284,888| 24,574,025

1885 | 11,836,591| 27,197,241| 4,308,908| 24,208,148

1886 | 13,959,934| 29,709,266| 6,818,060| 29,263,632

1887 | 14,929,342| 28,940,353| 6,028,091| 28,649,446

1888 | 13,013,189| 28,917,799| 6,370,322| 36,628,351

1889 | 10,212,644| 26,805,942| 6,645,124| 32,339,503

1890 | 9,999,277| 29,918,055| 7,510,440| 33,842,374

1891 | 13,604,857| 29,712,624| 6,266,629| 33,712,089

1892 | 13,226,277| 28,323,841| 8,834,049| 39,976,205

1893 | 11,809,355| 33,560,293| 8,497,477| 41,547,680

1894 | 14,340,886| 22,346,547| 5,902,485| 33,757,783

1895 | 13,789,810| 33,196,625| 9,316,460| 39,741,607

1896 | 16,837,396| 32,437,504| 9,363,987| 36,774,460

1897 | 21,037,678| 34,429,363| 7,993,444| 35,574,449

1898 | 17,024,092| 27,267,300| 12,087,951| 46,055,497

1899 | 23,566,914| 32,054,434| 11,250,383| 51,063,066

1900 | 24,003,087| 41,296,239| 13,073,718| 49,377,138

1901 | 20,272,418| 40,246,935| 10,405,555| 55,275,529

1902 | 32,108,362| 44,460,126| 14,234,826| 50,413,481

1903 | 32,216,304| 52,462,755| 15,270,859| 55,010,571

1904 | 22,403,713| 49,524,246| 16,722,709| 59,015,551

1905 | 49,666,080| 48,919,936| 22,357,307| 67,234,256

1906 | 52,944,033| 63,043,322| 17,352,021| 57,844,345

1907 | 32,305,412| 73,704,636| 18,743,904| 76,963,838

1908 | 25,177,758| 68,379,781| 16,662,132| 62,233,160

------+-----------+-----------+-----------+------------

[B] Calendar years.

Development of the Manufacturing Industries in the United States,

1800-1905--Continued.

=====+=======================+============+

| | |

| Production of | Exports of |

| | domestic |

+------------+----------+ copper & +

Year.| | | manufac- |

| Coal.[C] |Copper.[C]| tures |

| | | of. |

| | | |

| | | |

-----+------------+----------+------------+

| Long | Long | Dollars. |

| tons. | tons. | |

| | | |

1800| -- | -- | -- |

1810| 20| -- | 17,426|

1820| 3,080| -- | 18,547|

1830| 285,779| -- | 36,601|

1840| 1,848,249| 100 | 86,954|

1850| 6,266,233| 650 | 105,060|

1851| 7,798,683| 900 | 91,871|

1852| 8,764,879| 1,100 | 103,039|

1853| 9,437,757| 2,000 | 108,205|

1854| 10,698,841| 2,250 | 91,984|

1855| 11,541,672| 3,000 | 690,766|

1856| 12,095,469| 4,000 | 534,846|

1857| 11,910,883| 4,800 | 607,054|

1858| 12,477,213| 5,500 | 1,985,223|

1859| 13,958,192| 6,300 | 1,048,246|

1860| 13,044,680| 7,200 | 1,664,122|

1861| 14,721,439| 7,500 | 2,375,029|

1862| 15,612,353| 9,000 | 1,098,546|

1863| 19,034,877| 8,500 | 1,026,038|

1864| 21,076,003| 8,000 | 251,272|

1865| 21,243,012| 8,500 | 991,746|

1866| 25,896,056| 8,900 | 143,761|

1867| 27,432,520| 10,000 | 474,110|

1868| 29,341,036| 11,600 | 479,488|

1869| 29,378,893| 12,500 | 355,274|

1870| 29,496,054| 12,600 | 504,741|

1871| 41,861,679| 13,000 | 188,218|

1872| 45,940,535| 12,500 | 185,983|

1873| 51,430,786| 15,500 | 88,711|

1874| 46,969,571| 17,500 | 356,758|

1875| 46,739,571| 18,000 | 1,085,688|

1876| 47,571,429| 19,000 | 3,441,939|

1877| 54,019,429| 21,000 | 2,913,943|

1878| 51,728,214| 21,500 | 2,319,901|

1879| 60,808,749| 23,000 | 2,831,053|

1880| 63,822,830| 27,000 | 793,455|

1881| 76,679,491| 32,000 | 824,896|

1882| 92,456,419| 40,467 | 658,941|

1883| 103,310,290| 51,574 | 1,404,243|

1884| 107,281,742| 64,708 | 2,664,964|

1885| 99,250,263| 74,052 | 5,447,423|

1886| 101,500,381| 70,430 | 2,602,869|

1887| 116,652,242| 81,017 | 2,033,523|

1888| 132,731,837| 101,054 | 3,812,798|

1889| 126,097,779| 101,239 | 2,348,954|

1890| 140,866,931| 115,966 | 2,349,392|

1891| 150,505,954| 126,839 | 4,614,597|

1892| 160,115,242| 154,018 | 7,226,392|

1893| 162,814,977| 147,033 | 4,525,573|

1894| 152,447,791| 158,120 | 19,697,140|

1895| 172,426,366| 169,917 | 14,468,703|

1896| 171,416,390| 205,384 | 19,720,104|

1897| 178,776,070| 220,571 | 31,621,125|

1898| 196,407,381| 235,050 | 32,180,872|

1899| 226,554,636| 253,870 | 35,983,529|

1900| 240,789,310| 270,588 | 57,852,960|

1901| 261,874,836| 268,782 | 43,267,021|

1902| 269,277,178| 294,423 | 41,218,373|

1903| 319,068,229| 311,627 | 39,667,196|

1904| 314,121,784| 362,739 | 57,142,081|

1905| 350,820,840| 402,637 | 86,225,291|

1906| 369,783,284| 409,735 | 81,282,664|

1907| 428,895,914| 387,945 | 94,762,110|

1908| -- | -- | 104,064,580|

-----+------------+----------+------------+

=====+===========================================+======================+

| | |

| Production of | Iron and steel +

| | Manufactures. |

+----------+----------+----------+----------+----------+-----------+

Year.| | | | | | |

| Natural | Iron | Pig | Steel.[C]| Imports. | Exports |

| gas.[C] | ore.[C] | iron.[C] | | | (domestic)|

| | | | | | |

| | | | | | |

-----+----------+----------+----------+----------+----------+-----------+

| Dollars. |Long tons.|Long tons.|Long tons.| Dollars. | Dollars. |

| | | | | | |

| | | | | | |

1800| -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 52,144|

1810| -- | -- | 53,908| -- | -- | 91,914|

1820| -- | -- | 20,000| -- | -- | 46,552|

1830| -- | -- | 165,000| -- | 6,346,287| 322,747|

1840| -- | -- | 286,903| -- | 8,157,923| 1,127,877|

1850| -- | -- | 563,755| -- |20,145,067| 1,953,702|

1851| -- | -- | -- | -- |22,439,297| 2,336,587|

1852| -- | -- | -- | -- |23,568,649| 2,368,384|

1853| -- | -- | -- | -- |34,944,002| 2,541,554|

1854| -- | -- | 657,338| -- |35,456,143| 4,249,959|

1855| -- | -- | 700,159| -- |28,693,979| 3,803,706|

1856| -- | -- | 788,515| -- |29,050,101| 4,256,613|

1857| -- | -- | 712,640| -- |30,743,649| 4,959,238|

1858| -- | -- | 629,548| -- |20,171,007| 4,843,592|

1859| -- | -- | 750,560| -- |22,379,743| 5,577,748|

1860| -- | -- | 821,223| -- |26,158,235| 5,870,114|

1861| -- | -- | 653,164| -- |21,160,235| 6,039,149|

1862| -- | -- | 703,270| -- |11,451,707| 4,732,348|

1863| -- | -- | 846,075| -- |16,152,843| 6,681,417|

1864| -- | -- | 1,014,282| -- |23,822,876| 7,541,967|

1865| -- | -- | 831,770| -- |16,660,991| 11,227,294|

1866| -- | -- | 1,205,663| -- |25,598,147| 4,006,180|

1867| -- | -- | 1,305,023| 19,643|31,630,519| 9,351,062|

1868| -- | -- | 1,431,250| 26,786|30,346,768| 10,950,275|

1869| -- | -- | 1,711,287| 31,250|38,213,717| 10,938,492|

1870| -- | 3,031,891| 1,665,179| 68,750|40,273,682| 13,483,163|

1871| -- | -- | 1,706,793| 73,214|53,024,075| 21,189,692|

1872| -- | -- | 2,548,713| 142,954|67,852,616| 11,463,880|

1873| -- | -- | 2,560,963| 198,796|74,302,102| 13,655,087|

1874| -- | -- | 2,401,262| 215,727|46,786,469| 15,098,248|

1875| -- | -- | 2,023,733| 389,799|31,432,380| 19,534,215|

1876| -- | -- | 1,868,961| 533,191|23,197,417| 15,449,846|

1877| -- | -- | 2,066,594| 569,618|19,320,927| 16,501,638|

1878| -- | -- | 2,301,215| 731,977|18,987,130| 16,053,571|

1879| -- | -- | 2,741,853| 935,273|19,594,608| 15,133,493|

1880| -- | 7,120,362| 3,835,191| 1,247,335|71,266,699| 14,716,524|

1881| -- | -- | 4,144,254| 1,588,314|60,604,477| 16,608,767|

1882| 215,000| -- | 4,623,323| 1,736,692|67,976,897| 20,748,206|

1883| 475,000| -- | 4,595,510| 1,673,535|58,495,246| 22,826,528|

1884| 1,460,000| -- | 4,097,868| 1,550,879|40,147,053| 21,909,881|

1885| 4,857,200| -- | 4,044,526| 1,711,920|33,610,093| 16,592,155|

1886|10,012,000| -- | 5,683,329| 2,562,503|37,534,078| 15,745,569|

1887|15,817,500| -- | 6,417,148| 3,339,071|49,203,164| 15,958,502|

1888|22,629,875| -- | 6,489,738| 2,899,440|48,992,757| 17,763,034|

1889|21,097,099|14,518,041| 7,603,642| 3,385,732|42,377,793| 21,156,077|

1890|18,792,725|16,036,043| 9,202,703| 4,277,071|41,679,591| 25,542,208|

1891|15,500,084|14,591,178| 8,279,876| 3,904,240|53,544,372| 28,909,614|

1892|14,870,714|16,296,666| 9,157,000| 4,927,581|28,928,103| 28,800,930|

1893|14,346,250|11,587,629| 7,124,502| 4,019,995|34,937,974| 30,106,482|

1894|13,954,400|11,879,679| 6,657,888| 4,412,032|20,925,769| 29,220,264|

1895|13,006,650|15,957,614| 9,446,308| 6,114,834|23,048,515| 32,000,989|

1896|13,002,512|16,005,449| 8,623,127| 5,281,689|25,338,103| 41,160,877|

1897|13,826,422|17,518,046| 9,652,680| 7,156,957|16,094,557| 57,497,872|

1898|15,296,813|19,433,716|11,773,934| 8,932,857|12,626,431| 70,406,885|

1899|20,074,873|24,683,173|13,620,703|10,639,857|12,100,440| 93,716,031|

1900|23,698,674|27,553,161|13,789,242|10,188,329|20,478,728|121,913,548|

1901|27,066,077|28,887,479|15,878,354|13,473,595|17,874,789|117,319,320|

1902|30,867,863|35,554,135|17,821,307|14,947,250|27,180,247| 98,552,562|

1903|35,807,860|35,019,308|18,009,252|14,534,978|51,617,312| 96,642,467|

1904|38,496,760|27,644,330|16,497,033|13,859,887|27,028,312|111,948,586|

1905|41,562,855|42,526,133|22,992,380|20,023,947|23,510,164|134,728,363|

1906|46,873,932|47,749,728|25,307,191|23,398,136|29,053,987|160,984,985|

1907|52,866,835|51,720,619|25,781,361|23,362,594|40,587,865|181,530,871|

1908| -- | -- |15,936,018| -- |27,607,909|183,982,182|

-----+----------+----------+----------+----------+----------+-----------+

=====+========================================+===========

| Prices of staple commodities. |

+-------------------+---------+----------+ Washed

| Per ton.[C] | | |Ohio fleece

|---------+---------+ Middling| Standard | wool, per

Year.| | Steel | cotton, |sheetings,| lb., in

| Pig iron| rails, | per | per | eastern

| No. 1, |standard |pound.[C]| yard.[C] | m’k’ts,

| foundry.|sections.| | | July 1.

| | | | | Medium.

-----+---------+---------+---------+----------+-----------

| Dollars.| Dollars.| Cents. | Cents. | Cents.

| | | | |

| | | | |

1800| -- | -- | -- | -- | --

1810| -- | -- | -- | -- | --

1820| -- | -- | -- | -- | --

1830| -- | -- | -- | -- | 50

1840| 27.88 | -- | -- | -- | 39

1850| 20.88 | -- | 12.34 | 7.87 | 37

1851| 21.38 | -- | 12.14 | 7.08 | 42

1852| 22.63 | -- | 9.50 | 6.96 | 38

1853| 36.13 | -- | 11.02 | 7.92 | 53

1854| 36.88 | -- | 10.97 | 7.96 | 37

1855| 27.75 | -- | 10.39 | 7.64 | 40

1856| 27.18 | -- | 10.30 | 7.50 | 42

1857| 26.34 | -- | 13.51 | 8.90 | 50

1858| 22.19 | -- | 12.23 | 8.25 | 37

1859| 23.33 | -- | 12.08 | 8.50 | 40

1860| 22.70 | -- | 11.00 | 8.73 | 50

1861| 20.26 | -- | 13.01 | 10.00 | 30

1862| 23.92 | -- | 31.29 | 18.55 | 47

1863| 35.24 | -- | 67.21 | 36.04 | 70

1864| 59.22 | -- | 101.50 | 52.07 | 100

1865| 46.08 | -- | 83.38 | 38.04 | 73

1866| 46.84 | -- | 43.20 | 24.31 | 67

1867| 44.08 | 166.00 | 31.59 | 18.28 | 49

1868| 39.25 | 158.46 | 24.85 | 16.79 | 45

1869| 40.61 | 132.19 | 29.01 | 16.19 | 48

1870| 33.23 | 106.79 | 23.98 | 14.58 | 45

1871| 35.08 | 102.52 | 16.95 | 13.00 | 60

1872| 48.94 | 111.94 | 22.19 | 14.27 | 70

1873| 42.79 | 120.58 | 20.14 | 13.31 | 48

1874| 30.19 | 94.28 | 17.95 | 11.42 | 53

1875| 25.53 | 68.75 | 15.46 | 10.41 | 49

1876| 22.19 | 59.25 | 12.98 | 8.85 | 35

1877| 18.92 | 45.58 | 11.82 | 8.46 | 44

1878| 17.67 | 42.21 | 11.22 | 7.80 | 36

1879| 21.72 | 48.21 | 10.84 | 7.97 | 38

1880| 28.48 | 67.52 | 11.51 | 8.51 | 48

1881| 25.17 | 61.08 | 12.03 | 8.51 | 44

1882| 25.77 | 48.50 | 11.56 | 8.45 | 45

1883| 22.42 | 37.75 | 11.88 | 8.32 | 41

1884| 19.81 | 30.75 | 10.88 | 7.28 | 34

1885| 17.99 | 28.52 | 10.45 | 6.75 | 31

1886| 18.71 | 34.52 | 9.28 | 6.75 | 33

1887| 20.93 | 37.08 | 10.21 | 7.15 | 37

1888| 18.88 | 29.83 | 10.03 | 7.00 | 39

1889| 17.76 | 29.25 | 10.65 | 7.00 | 39

1890| 18.41 | 31.78 | 11.07 | 7.00 | 37

1891| 17.52 | 29.92 | 8.60 | 6.83 | 35

1892| 15.75 | 30.00 | 7.71 | 6.50 | 34

1893| 14.52 | 28.12 | 8.56 | 5.90 | 26

1894| 12.66 | 24.00 | 6.94 | 5.11 | 21

1895| 13.10 | 24.33 | 7.44 | 5.74 | 21

1896| 12.95 | 28.00 | 7.93 | 5.45 | 18

1897| 12.10 | 18.75 | 7.00 | 4.73 | 23½

1898| 11.66 | 17.62 | 5.94 | 4.20 | 29

1899| 19.36 | 28.12 | 6.88 | 5.28 | 31½

1900| 19.98 | 32.29 | 9.25 | 6.05 | 31½

1901| 15.87 | 27.33 | 8.75 | 5.54 | 26

1902| 22.19 | 28.00 | 9.00 | 5.48 | 26¾

1903| 19.92 | 28.00 | 11.18 | 6.25 | 31½

1904| 15.57 | 28.00 | 11.75 | 7.13 | 32½

1905| 17.88 | 28.00 | 9.80 | 7.00 | 39

1906| 20.98 | 28.00 | 11.50 | 7.25 | 37

1907| 23.89 | 28.00 | 12.10 | 7.62 | 36

1908| 17.70 | 28.00 | 10.62 | 6.75 | 38

-----+---------+---------+---------+----------+-----------

[C] Calendar year.

The arguments in favor of bimetallism are as various as the motives of

its advocates, but two or three of the more important ones may be 140

briefly stated. It is urged because it would give a more stable

measure of value than either silver or gold alone could do; and the

evil effects of fluctuations in the value of gold since 1873 are

pointed out to illustrate this contention. Monometallists answer this

by asserting that most of the price changes can be accounted for by

improvements in production; that even if they were caused by a

contraction of the currency, this was simply one of the risks of

business; and finally, that the evil effects of falling prices are

offset by a corresponding reduction in interest rates. A second

argument of the bimetallists was the alleged insufficiency of gold on

which to do the world’s business. As this has been practically met by

the phenomenal increase in gold production in the last decade,

especially since the gold discoveries in Alaska, it is not necessary

to dwell upon this argument. On February 1, 1909, the per capita

circulation of money in the United States reached $35.00, the highest

point in our history. A final argument of the bimetallists concerns

foreign trade: it would facilitate this by establishing a fixed

par-of-exchange between all countries. While the weight of this may be

admitted, it has been practically deprived of all force by the

adoption of the gold standard by virtually all the industrially

developed nations of the world. This last fact shows that the question

has now been actually settled by the logic of events and today the

issue of bimetallism has only an academic interest.

Another problem connected with money which has been removed from the

arena of oratory to that of calm discussion is that of government

paper money. It is urged, with much truth, that if a nation issued

paper money instead of gold or silver, it would save all the expense

of mining these metals. It would resemble, as Adam Smith said, the

discovery of wagon roads through the air in the realm of

transportation. Another argument advanced in favor of government paper

money is that it would be possible by a scientific adjustment of the 141

issues to regulate the amount of money in circulation and so to

prevent all fluctuations in prices. Both contraction and inflation

would be prevented and a cheap and yet ideal system of money would

exist. Still others see in this form of money an instrument for the

creation of wealth; this last argument simply results from a confusion

of ideas and need not be dealt with. A sufficient answer to the other

two is an appeal to the lesson of history: no government which has

embarked upon the issue of paper money has ever been able to restrict

the issues within reasonable limits; often it has led to national

bankruptcy and the repudiation of the entire issues. The experience of

the United States with the greenbacks has been more fortunate than

that of many countries, but does not tempt to further experiment.

The monetary situation in the United States today may be regarded as

fairly well settled. Although we have a very heterogeneous assortment

of different kinds of money, a fairly distinct sphere is allotted to

each, and as the basis for all, the gold standard has been definitely

established by law. Money of large denominations consists of gold and

gold certificates (lowest denomination, $20), of greenbacks and

national bank notes (lowest denomination, $10, though one-third of

bank notes may be $5); the needs of retail trade are met by the issue

of silver certificates and silver dollars, and of fractional currency.

The system would be much simplified by the retirement and destruction

of the $346,000,000 in greenbacks, but as there is now a fifty-per

cent reserve in gold back of them, little danger need be apprehended

from their presence. Many people have regarded the existence of some

$500,000,000 worth of silver dollars as a menace to the goodness of

our money supply, but as the amount of gold in circulation increases

the silver will form a constantly smaller percentage of the whole. It

is a cumbersome and not very valuable asset of the Government, but 142

is now almost powerless for good or ill.

Important as is the subject of money and essential as is the need of a

standard of undoubted goodness, it is overshadowed in practical

significance by the problems of banking and credit. An investigation

by the Comptroller of the Currency some years ago showed that over 90

per cent of the receipts of the national banks consisted of credit

instruments, while probably 60 per cent of the trade of the country

was carried on by credit rather than by cash transactions. A credit

transaction is a transfer of goods or money for a future equivalent;

the element of time is introduced. This makes possible an enormous

increase in the number of exchanges and obviates the necessity, to a

large extent, of using money. Most of us enjoy personal credit, which

is limited only by our ability to persuade other people to trust in

us. But this power of purchasing things without immediate payment must

be made readily available if the ordinary business man is to make use

of it. This is done through the medium of a bank, whose business it is

to discount the notes of its customers, which in turn is based upon

confidence in their prospective earnings. The bank credit thus

obtained may be transferred by means of checks to other persons and to

other banks. It is the most fluid and volatile means of payment yet

devised, and is subject to dangers and abuses. In the last analysis

business based upon such a system of credit rests upon confidence in

the honesty of individuals and in the enforcement of the law governing

contracts, and also in the ability of those who have pledged

themselves to future payment to make good their obligations. In times

of panic credit fails and resort is had to money.

The fundamental institution in our credit economy is the bank, and it

is therefore essential that it be thoroughly safe and responsive to

the needs of the business world. A bank may furnish its customers 143

with the ready means of payment they need in exchange for their future

promises either in the form of bank notes or bank credit. The former

are more largely used on the continent of Europe and in rural

districts in this country, the latter by England and the United

States, especially in the cities. The preference for one or the other

seems to be a matter of geography. The issue of bank notes has been

very carefully safeguarded since the establishment of the national

banking system in 1863. They are based upon the purchase of government

bonds and are absolutely safe. They lack, however, one essential

quality of good bank money in that they are quite inelastic. That is

to say, the amount of bank notes in circulation does not vary

according to the needs of business, increasing to meet an increased

demand, and then declining again when the demand has passed. Being

based upon government bonds and not upon the value of business assets,

they vary in amount only with the price of the former and not at all

with the volume of the latter.

The main practical problem connected with our banking system is,

therefore, to find some other basis for the issue of bank notes,

especially as it is not desirable to maintain a permanent bonded

indebtedness solely for this purpose. Various suggestions have been

made, as the establishment of a central bank with sole power of issue,

like the government banks in European countries. This is a favorite

proposal with the big bankers, but is unlikely to be adopted as it is

directly contrary to the spirit of the existing system. The Canadian

system is held up as a model, with its system of branch banking and 5

per cent safety fund for the redemption of the notes of failed banks.

Curiously enough this was copied after the system in operation in New

York State, which was nipped in the bud by some early mistakes and by

the development of the national banking system. It works admirably in

Canada and is well worth careful study. The plan of asset currency 144

is another suggestion, according to which bank notes should be issued

up to a certain percentage of the resources of the bank, but without

pledging any specific property for their redemption as is done in the

case of the national banks at present. It has finally been urged that

our present bond deposit system should be modified by substituting

state, municipal, railroad, or industrial bonds for those of the

Federal Government, but that in other respects the system should be

left intact. We may look for legislation along one or another of these

lines in the next few years, as the subject is an urgent one whose

solution cannot long be postponed.

Another problem is connected with the money reserves that the banks

are required by law to keep on hand in order to meet demand

liabilities. Under the national system in the United States the

country banks may deposit three-fifths of their lawful reserves with

banks in reserve cities, and these banks in turn may deposit one-half

of their reserves in banks in central reserve cities (New York,

Chicago, and St. Louis). Thus there is a massing, under this system,

of the bank reserves of the country in the city of New York, and

within that city in some twenty banks. While there is great economy in

such a system the concentration of reserves is certainly attended by

great dangers, not the least of which is its use by speculative

influences in the New York money market, as a great part of it is

loaned out to speculators on call.

Still another practical problem connected with the monetary and

banking system of the United States is that of the independent

treasury system. The Federal Government is to a large extent its own

banker; it collects, disburses its revenue and keeps its money in its

own vaults; it even, as we have seen, issues paper money and keeps a

reserve therefor. By its action in withdrawing large amounts of money

from use, or on the other hand making large disbursements, it can and 145

does affect the money market vitally and sometimes disastrously. While

it is permitted to deposit funds in selected national banks and has

recently made increasing use of this privilege, thus correlating in a

measure the reserves of the Government and the needs of the business

community, it is held by most students that the independent treasury

system should be abolished, and that the banks should act as the

intermediaries between the Government and the people in the collection

and expenditure of its funds.

So far we have been discussing commercial banks, but there is another

kind of institution which goes by the same name but serves quite a

different purpose, namely, the savings bank. The essential and almost

the only requirement of such an institution is safety. As we have

seen, it is not only desirable for personal reasons to inculcate

habits of saving and thrift in individuals, but it is also necessary

to secure the accumulation of capital needed in modern industry. It is

therefore important that such institutions should be widespread,

accessible, and thoroughly trusted. These requirements seem to be best

fulfilled by the postal savings banks in England and elsewhere, which

have led to a great increase in savings on the part of the people. The

introduction of such a system in the United States is greatly to be

desired.

Business Administration: Theory, Practice and Application. [Vol. 1] Business Economics · 第 35 / 172 题