THE RACE WITH RUIN

After leaving Rykov I went to see Krestinsky, the

Commissar of Finance, the curious little optimist whose

report on the Extraordinary Tax I had heard at the last

meeting of the Executive Committee. I found him in the

Ilyinka street, in the Chinese town. I began by telling him

that I did not believe that they meant to pay the loans. He

laughed and gave me precisely the answer I had expected:--

"Of course we hope there will be a revolution in other

countries, in which case they will repudiate their debts and

forgive us ours. But if that does not happen we know very

well that we shall have to pay, and we are prepared to pay,

and shall be able to pay, in concessions, in raw material

which they need more than they need gold."

Then, being myself neither an economist nor a theoretical

socialist, I put before him what had been said to me in

Stockholm by an Englishman who was both one and the

other; namely, that, being isolated from European finance,

the Soviet Government of Russia was bound to come to an

end on economic and financial grounds alone.

He said: "That would certainly be so, if rising prices, rising

wages, were to mean indefinitely increased demands on the

printing machines for paper money. But, while we are at

present forced to print more and more money, another

process is at work which, in the long run, will bring this state

of things to an end. Just as in our dealings with other

countries we exchange goods instead of paying in money, so

within our own frontiers money is ceasing to be the sole

medium of exchange. Gradually the workmen are coming to

receive more and more in other forms than money. Houses,

for example, lighting and heating are only a beginning.

These things being state monopolies, the task of supplying

the workman's needs without the use of money is

comparatively easy. The chief difficulty is, of course, food

supplies, which depend on our ability to keep up an

exchange of goods with the villages. If we can supply

the villages with manufactured goods, they will supply us

with food. You can fairly say that our ruin or salvation

depends on a race between the decreasing value of money

(with the consequent need for printing notes in ever greater

quantities) and our growing ability to do without money

altogether. That is of course, a broad view, and you must

not for a moment suppose that we expect to do without

money in the immediate future. I am merely showing you

the two opposing tendencies on which our economic fate

depends."

I will not set down here what he said about the

Extraordinary Tax, for it was merely a repetition of what I

had heard him say in committee. In connection with it,

however, he admitted that capitalism and profiteering were

hard things to root out, saying that they had great difficulty

in getting at what he called "the new bourgeoisie," namely

the speculators who have made fortunes since the revolution

by selling scarce food products at fantastic prices. It was

difficult to tax them because they carried on their operations

secretly and it was next to impossible to find out who

they were. They did not bank their money, and though

an attempt had been made to get at them through the house

committees, it was found that even these committees were

unable to detect them. They will, however, be made to

disgorge their ill-gotten gains when the measure first proposed by

Sokolnikov last summer is put into practice. This is a

general exchange of new money for old, after which the old

will be declared invalid. "Of course," said Krestinsky, "they

will cheat in every possible way, scattering out the money

among a number of friends and relations. But something

will have been done in cleaning them up, and that process

will be completed by a second exchange of money later on."

Fifteen milliards of new notes for the first exchange are

already printed, but they think that twenty milliards will be

necessary.

I asked if the new money was better looking than the old, if

it looked more like money that was worth having than the

wretched little notes printed by the Provisional Government

and scornfully called "Kerenkies" by the populace.

Krestinsky said he was afraid not, but that the

second and final exchange would be made in notes

which they expected to be permanent. They did not expect

the notes of the first exchange to circulate abroad, but the

notes of the second would carry with them state obligation

and they expected them to go into general currency. He

added, smiling that the words "Proletariat of all lands, unite,"

were to appear on the notes in eight languages. The

question of the look of the notes, of their ability to inspire

confidence by their mere appearance, is of real importance

in a country where so many of the peasantry will judge their

value by nothing else.

I reminded him of the hostility roused in some villages by

mistakes in the assessment and collecting of the

Extraordinary Tax, mistakes which (so other Communists

had assured me) would cost them more, politically, than the

tax was worth to them, and asked him, "Will you not have

great difficulty in getting the exchange made, and are you

not running the risk of providing the reactionaries with a

new profitable basis of agitation?"

He said that of course they would not make the attempt

unless they felt sure they were politically strong enough

to carry it through. "If it is properly explained to the villages

there will be nothing to fear, because the measure will not

threaten any but the rich and therefore the small minority of

the peasantry. It would be a different matter if the same

thing were to be tried by the counter-revolutionaries,

because they would not discriminate in favour of the poor.

If Kolchak and Company overthrow us and try to substitute

their money for ours, their action would affect rich and poor

alike, minority and majority together. If there were not a

hundred other causes guaranteeing the insecurity of their

position, the fact that they will be unable to get rid of our

money without rousing the most violent opposition in the

masses throughout the country would alone be sufficient to

do it."

I asked whether that was the reason why they intended to

print on the notes "Proletariat of all lands, unite," so that the

counter-revolutionaries, unable to tolerate money bearing

that hated phrase, should be forced to a step disastrous for

themselves.

He laughed, and said that he did not think

counter-revolution in the least likely unless brought

in by invasion, which he did not think politically possible.

Russia in 1919 · 第 21 / 38 题