I have a Roma (gypsy) cleaning lady. She cleans my house every

fortnight. She is nice and well spoken. She values education and good

manners. She is spotless, obsessively purgatory, and compulsively tidy.

And she hates "shiptars" (the derogatory name assigned to Macedonian

Albanians). They are dirty, she says, and criminal and they have too

many children. They don't respect their women. She is afraid of them.

Her eyes glow with the gratification of the underdog turned top dog, if

only verbally, if only for a while, if only while cleansing my house.

This is the way it is, a chain of abuse, a torrent of prejudice, an

iron curtain of malice and stereotyping. Czechs portray "their" gypsies

with the same lingual brushstrokes, the same venomous palette, a

canvass of derision and atavistic, reflexive hatred.

In the Balkans reigns supreme the Law of the MinMaj. It is simple and

it was invariably manifested throughout history. It is this: "Wars

erupt whenever and wherever a country has a minority of the same

ethnicity as the majority in its neighbouring country."

Consider Israel - surrounded by Arab countries, it has an Arab minority

of its own, having expelled (ethnically cleansed) hundreds of thousands

more. It has fought 6 wars with its neighbours and (good intentions

notwithstanding) looks set to fight more. It is subjugated to the Law

of the MinMaj, enslaved by its steady and nefarious domination.

Or take Nazi Germany. World War Two was the ultimate manifestation of

the MinMaj Law. German minorities throughout Europe were either used by

Germany - or actively collaborated with it - to justify one Anschluss

after another. Austria, Czechoslovakia, Poland, France, Russia - a

parade of Big Brotherly intervention by Germany on behalf of allegedly

suppressed kinfolk. Lebensraum and Volkdeutsch were twin pillars of

Nazi ideology.

And, of course, there is Yugoslavia, its charred remnants agonizingly

writhing in a post Kosovo world. Serbia fought Croatia and Bosnia and

Kosovo to protect besieged and hysterical local Serbs. Croats fought

Serbs and Bosnians to defend dilapidated Croat settlements. Albanians

fought the Serbs through the good services of Kosovars in order to

protect Kosovars. And the fighting is still on. This dismembered

organism, once a flourishing country, dazed and scorched, still

attempts to blindly strike its former members, inebriated by its own

blood. Such is the power of the MinMaj.

There are three ways out from the blind alley to which the MinMaj Rule

inevitably and invariably leads its adherents. One exit is through

ethnic cleansing, the other via self-determination, the third is in

establishing a community, a majority of minorities.

Ethnic cleansing is the safest route. It is final, irreversible, just,

fast, easy to carry out and preventive as much as curative. It need not

be strewn with mass graves and smouldering villages. It can be done

peacefully, by consent or with the use of minimal force. It can be part

of a unilateral transfer or of a bilateral exchange of population.

There are many precedents - Germans in the Ukraine and in

Czechoslovakia, Turks in Bulgaria, Jews in the Arab countries. None of

them left willingly or voluntarily. All were the victims of

pathological nostalgia, deep, disconsolate grieving and the

post-traumatic shock of being uprooted and objectified. But they

emigrated, throngs of millions of people, planeloads, trainloads,

cartloads and carloads of them and they reached their destinations

alive and able to start all over again - which is more than can be said

about thousands of Kosovar Albanians. Ethnic cleansing has many faces,

brutality is not its integrated feature.

The Wilsonian ideal of self-determination is rarely feasible or

possible - though, when it is, it is far superior to any other

resolution of intractable ethnic conflicts. It does tend to produce

political and economic stillborns, though. Ultimately, these offspring

of noble principle merge again with their erstwhile foes within customs

unions, free trade agreements, currency unions. They are subsumed in

other economic, political, or military alliances and gladly surrender

part of that elusive golden braid, their sovereignty. Thus, becoming an

independent political entity is, to most, a rite of passage,

adolescence, heralding the onset of political adulthood and

geopolitical and economic maturity.

The USA and, to a lesser degree, the UK, France and Germany are fine

examples of the third way. A majority of minorities united by common

rules, beliefs and aspirations. Those are tension filled structures

sustained by greed or vision or fear or hope and sometimes by the very

tensions that they generate. No longer utopian, it is a realistic model

to emulate.

It is only when ethnic cleansing is combined with self-determination

that a fracturing of the solutions occurs. Atrocities are the vile

daughters of ideals. Armed with stereotypes - those narcissistic

defence mechanisms that endow their propagators with a fleeting sense

of superiority - an ethnic group defines itself negatively, in

opposition to another. Self-determination is employed to facilitate

ethnic cleansing rather than to prevent it. Actually, it is the very

act of ethnic cleansing which validates the common identity, which

forms the myth and the ethos that is national history, which

perpetrates itself by conferring resilience upon the newly determined

and by offering a common cause and the means to feel efficient,

functional and victorious in carrying it out.

There are many variants of this malignant, brutal, condemnable,

criminal and inefficient form of ethnic cleansing. Bred by manic and

hysterical nationalists, fed by demagogues, nourished by the hitherto

deprived and humiliated - this cancerous mix of definition by negation

wears many guises. It is often clad in legal attire. Israel has a Law

of Return, which makes an instant citizen out of every spouse of every

Russian Jew while denying this privilege to Arabs born on its soil.

South Africa had apartheid. Nazi Germany had the Nuremberg Laws. The

Czech Republic had the infamous Benes Decrees. But ethnic cleansing can

be economic (ask the Chinese in Asia and the Indians in Africa). It can

be physical (Croatia, Kosovo). It has myriad facets.

The West is to blame for this confusion. By offering all three

solutions as mutually inclusive rather than mutually exclusive - it has

been responsible for a lot of strife and misery. But, to its credit, it

has learned its lesson. In Kosovo it defended the right of the indigent

and (not so indigent but) resident Albanians to live in peace and

plough their land in peace and bring forth children in peace and die in

peace. But it has not protected their right to self-determination. It

has not mixed the signals. As a result the message came through loud

and clear. And, for the first time in many years, people tuned in and

listened. And this, by far, is the most important achievement of

Operation Allied Force.

(Article written on July 4, 1999 and published July 12, 1999

in "Central Europe Review" volume 1, issue 3)

Return

The Balkans between Omerta and Vendetta

On the Criminality of Transition

In a State Department briefing on Thursday, August 5th, 1999, the

spokesman of this venerable and ever-so-truthful organ of the American

administration, James Rubin, said:

"We have supported and continue to support the regime in Montenegro

that is a democratic regime that has pursued a democratic course. We do

believe that Milosevic's efforts to consolidate power have led to

repeated violations of the Yugoslav federal constitution, in particular

the rights and privileges of Montenegro.

In particular, Belgrade has sought to strip Montenegro's constitutional

rights and powers and has prevented Montenegro from playing its

constitutional role in the federal government. We continue to believe

that Montenegro's leaders have demonstrated a measured and rational

approach to political and economic reform, which we support. We commend

their efforts to work within the FRY for reforms that would bring

democracy and a better life to all Yugoslav citizens.

To achieve that objective, we've been providing them assistance, we've

been exempting them from the effect of certain policies that apply to

Belgrade and the people of Serbia. We worked very, very hard during the

war to avoid any unnecessary damage to facilities or people in

Montenegro as a result of the air war. So we have been showing, I

think, great efforts to try to build up the democratic efforts that

President Djukanovic has shown in Montenegro. We think that they should

continue to work within Yugoslavia to ensure their rights are

protected."

The war in Kosovo and the impending war in Montenegro and the wars that

were in Croatia and Bosnia - were all gangland warfare. These were

skirmishes between gangs of criminals, disguised as statesmen,

politicians, members of "parliaments" and businessmen. Some of them

were protecting their turf - others were trying to usurp it and they

all made a killing, often literally. It is the same the world over -

from Lebanon to Myanmar, from Sierra Leone to Nigeria and from Sarajevo

and its ephemeral Stability Pact to the killing fields of Pristina.

Crime gangs, Mafiosi, local versions of omertas and vendettas, black

hands and red rivulets of the cheapest liquid of them all: blood.

Shadowy dealings, drug trafficking, white slavery, smuggling and

forfeit goods are all intertwined with political power in the Balkans.

Thaci we discussed elsewhere. Milosevic we discussed everywhere. But

Djukanovic is portrayed as different - more gentlemanly, "democratic",

a protector of civil rights.

Nothing can be further from the truth. The West - notably the USA - is

in the habit of creating pairs of villains and heroes, monsters and

saints where there are none. It provides for good soundbites, it raises

the fighting spirits at home and it focuses attention and energy on the

enemy. Very often, the spin-doctors are caught in their own whirlwind

and with them - if they happen to be American - the rest of the world.

Shrewd villagers such as all Balkan politicians are, have caught on to

this self-delusion. They pose as democrats, autocrats, strong men,

underdogs - anything to get Western aid and investment flowing. It is

currently very fashionable and expedient to be a democrat - so Mr.

Djukanovic is a democrat. And the West duly delivers the goods:

international recognition, money, and political support.

Milka Tadic is the Editor of the popular (and, as you will see,

independent) Montenegrin magazine "Monitor". This week, she wrote about

Djukanovich (in "Currency Wars", in IWPR number 63):

"Whenever Djukanovic, then Montenegro's Prime Minister, demanded

economic liberalization and more economic independence, Milosevic would

close the border and block trade between Serbia and Montenegro. In

retaliation, Djukanovic opened Montenegro's borders with Italy, to

cigarette smuggling, and with Albania, for oil imports. Djukanovic also

liberalized the import of foreign, second-hand cars - many of them

stolen vehicles from Western Europe that Montenegrins bought from the

Bosnian-Croat mafia, in border towns in Bosnia. Taxes from imported

cars, the smuggling of cigarettes and oil, provided Djukanovic with the

hard currency to replenish the republic's coffers and begin to chart an

independent course away from Belgrade. In economic terms, this tiny

republic was becoming less and less dependent on its partner in the

Yugoslav federation. ... As NATO launched its bombing campaign, the

Yugoslav Army took over control of the Montenegrin border crossings and

custom posts, banning even the entrance of humanitarian aid; speed

boats smuggling cigarettes between Montenegro and Italy could no longer

break the blockade; and the border with Albania was also closed.

Djukanovic was facing economic disaster and was only saved by the end

of the war, since when Montenegro has resumed its dubious trade with

its neighbours."

Hence the love affair with the West.

Human vice is the most certain thing after death and taxes, to

paraphrase Benjamin Franklin. The only variety of economic activity,

which will surely survive even a nuclear holocaust, is bound to be

crime. Prostitution, gambling, drugs and, in general, expressly illegal

activities generate c. 400 billion USD annually to their perpetrators,

thus making crime the third biggest industry on Earth (after the

medical and pharmaceutical industries).

Many of the so-called Economies in Transition and of HPICs (Highly

Indebted Poor Countries) do resemble post-nuclear-holocaust ashes. GDPs

in most of these economies either tumbled nominally or in real terms by

more than 60% in the space of less than a decade. The average monthly

salary is the equivalent of the average daily salary of the German

industrial worker. The GDP per capita - with very few notable

exceptions - is around 20% of the EU's average. These are the telltale

overt signs of a comprehensive collapse of the infrastructure and of

the export and internal markets. Mountains of internal debt, sky-high

interest rates, cronyism, other forms of corruption, environmental,

urban and rural dilapidation - characterize these economies.

Into this vacuum - the interregnum between centrally planned and free

market economies - crept crime. In most of these countries criminals

run at least half the economy, are part of the governing elites

(influencing them behind the scenes through money contributions,

outright bribes, or blackmail) and - through the mechanism of money

laundering - infiltrate slowly the legitimate economy.

What gives crime the edge, the competitive advantage versus the older,

ostensibly better established elites?

The free market does. Criminals are much better equipped to deal with

the onslaught of this new conceptual beast, the mechanism of the

market, than most other economic players in these tattered economies

are.

Criminals, by the very nature of their vocation, were always private

entrepreneurs. They were never state owned or subjected to any kind of

central planning. Thus, they became the only group in society that was

not corrupted by these un-natural inventions. They invested their own

capital in small to medium size enterprises and ran them later as any

American manager would have done. To a large extent the criminals,

single handedly, created a private sector in these derelict economies.

Having established a private sector business, devoid of any involvement

of the state, the criminal-entrepreneurs proceeded to study the market.

Through primitive forms of market research (neighbourhood activists)

they were able to identify the needs of their prospective customers, to

monitor them in real time and to respond with agility to changes in the

patterns of supply and demand. Criminals are market-animals and they

are geared to respond to its gyrations and vicissitudes. Though they

were not likely to engage in conventional marketing and advertising,

they always stayed attuned to the market's vibrations and signals. They

changed their product mix and their pricing to fit fluctuations in

demand and supply.

Criminals have proven to be good organizers and managers. They have

very effective ways of enforcing discipline in the workplace, of

setting revenue targets, of maintaining a flexible hierarchy combined

with rigid obeisance - with very high upward mobility and a clear

career path. A complex system of incentives and disincentives drives

the workforce to dedication and industriousness. The criminal rings are

well run conglomerates and the more classic industries would have done

well to study their modes of organization and management. Everything -

from sales through territorially exclusive licences (franchises) to

effective "stock" options - has been invented in the international

crime organizations long before it acquired the respectability of the

corporate boardroom.

The criminal world has replicated those parts of the state, which were

rendered ineffective by unrealistic ideology or by pure corruption. The

court system makes a fine example. The criminals instituted their own

code of justice ("law") and their own court system. A unique - and

often irreversible - enforcement arm sees to it that respect towards

these indispensable institutions is maintained. Effective - often

interactive - legislation, an efficient court system, backed by ominous

and ruthless agents of enforcement - ensure the friction-free

functioning of the giant wheels of crime. Crime has replicated numerous

other state institutions. Small wonder that when the state

disintegrated - crime was able to replace it with little difficulty.

The same pattern is discernible in certain parts of the world where

terrorist organizations duplicate the state and overtake it, in time.

Schools, clinics, legal assistance, family support, taxation, the court

system, transportation and telecommunication services, banking and

industry - all have a criminal doppelganger.

To secure this remarkable achievement - the underworld had to procure

and then maintain - infrastructure and technologies. Indeed, criminals

are great at innovating and even more formidable at making use of

cutting edge technologies. There is not a single technological advance,

invention or discovery that criminals were not the first to utilize or

the first to contemplate and to grasp its full potential. There are

enormous industries of services rendered to the criminal in his

pursuits. Accountants and lawyers, forgers and cross border guides,

weapons experts and bankers, mechanics and hit-men - all stand at the

disposal of the average criminal. The choice is great and prices are

always negotiable. These auxiliary professionals are no different to

their legitimate counterparts, despite the difference in subject

matter. A body of expertise, know-how and acumen has accumulated over

centuries of crime and is handed down the generations in the criminal

universities known as jailhouses and penitentiaries. Roads less

travelled, countries more lenient, passports to be bought, sold, or

forged, how to manuals, classified ads, goods and services on offer and

demand - all feature in this mass media cum educational (mostly verbal)

bulletins. This is the real infrastructure of crime. As with more

mundane occupations, human capital is what counts.

Criminal activities are hugely profitable (though wealth accumulation

and capital distribution are grossly non-egalitarian). Money is stashed

away in banking havens and in more regular banks and financial

institutions all over the globe. Electronic Document Interchange and

electronic commerce transformed what used to be an inconveniently slow

and painfully transparent process - into a speed-of-light here-I-am,

here-I-am-gone type of operation. Money is easily movable and virtually

untraceable. Special experts take care of that: tax havens, off shore

banks, money transactions couriers with the right education and a free

spirit. This money, in due time and having cooled off - is reinvested

in legitimate activities. Crime is a major engine of economic growth in

some countries (where drugs are grown or traded, or in countries such

as Italy, in Russia and elsewhere in CEE). In many a place, criminals

are the only ones who have any liquidity at all. The other, more

visible, sectors of the economy are wallowing in the financial drought

of a demonetised economy. People and governments tend to lose both

their scruples and their sense of fine distinctions under these unhappy

circumstances. They welcome any kind of money to ensure their very

survival. This is where crime comes in. In Central and Eastern Europe

the process was code-named: "privatisation".

Moreover, most of the poor economies are also closed economies. They

are the economies of nations xenophobic, closed to the outside world,

with currency regulations, limitations on foreign ownership,

constrained (instead of free) trade. The vast majority of the populace

of these economic wretches has never been further than the neighbouring

city - let alone outside the borders of their countries. Freedom of

movement is still restricted. The only ones to have travelled freely -

mostly without the required travel documents - were the criminals.

Crime is international. It involves massive, intricate and

sophisticated operations of export and import, knowledge of languages,

extensive and frequent trips, an intimate acquaintance with world

prices, the international financial system, demand and supply in

various markets, frequent business negotiations with foreigners and so

on. This list would fit any modern businessman as well. Criminals are

international businessmen. Their connections abroad coupled with their

connections with the various elites inside their country and coupled

with their financial prowess - made them the first and only true

businessmen of the economies in transition. There simply was no one

else qualified to fulfil this role - and the criminals stepped in

willingly.

They planned and timed their moves as they always do: with shrewdness,

an uncanny knowledge of human psychology and relentless cruelty. There

was no one to oppose them - and so they won the day. It will take one

or more generations to get rid of them and to replace them by a more

civilized breed of entrepreneurs. But it will not happen overnight.

In the 19th century, the then expanding USA went through the same

process. Robber barons seized economic opportunities in the Wild East

and in the Wild West and really everywhere else. Morgan, Rockefeller,

Pullman, Vanderbilt - the most ennobled families of latter day America

originated with these rascals. But there is one important difference

between the USA at that time and Central and Eastern Europe today. A

civic culture with civic values and an aspiration to, ultimately,

create a civic society permeated the popular as well as the highbrow

culture of America. Criminality was regarded as a shameful

stepping-stone on the way to an orderly society of learned, civilized,

law-abiding citizens. This cannot be said about Russia, for instance.

The criminal there is, if anything, admired and emulated. The language

of business in countries in transition is suffused with the criminal

parlance of violence. The next generation is encouraged to behave

similarly because no clear (not to mention well embedded) alternative

is propounded. There is no - and never was - a civic tradition in these

countries, a Bill of Rights, a veritable Constitution, a modicum of

self rule, a true abolition of classes and nomenclatures. The future is

grim because the past was grim. Used to being governed by capricious,

paranoiac, criminal tyrants - these nations know no better. The current

criminal class seems to them to be a natural continuation and extension

of generations-long trends. That some criminals are members of the new

political, financial and industrial elites (and vice versa) - surprises

them not.

(Article written on August 11, 1999 and published August 23, 1999

in "Central Europe Review" volume 1, issue 9)

Return

The Myth of Great Albania

Introduction

To the politicians of the Balkans - almost without exception corrupt

and despised by their own constituencies - the myth of Great Albania

comes handy. It keeps the phobic Macedonians, the disdainful Serbs and

the poor and crime ridden Albanians united and submissive - each group

for differing reasons.

To reiterate, it is the belief that people of Albanian extract,

wherever they may be, regard their domicile as part of a Great Albania

and undertake all efforts necessary to secure such an outcome. Thus, to

mention one example, Kosovo should be part of this Great Albania, so

the myth goes, because prior to 1912, when the Serbs occupied it,

Kosovo has administratively been part of an Ottoman mandated Albania.

Sali Berisha - a former Prime Minister of Albania - talks ominously

about an "Albanian Federation". The younger, allegedly more urbane

Pandeli Majko, the current Prime Minister of Albania, raises the idea

(?) of a uniform curriculum for all Albanian pupils and students,

wherever they may reside. Albanians in Macedonia make it a point to fly

Albanian flags conspicuously and of every occasion. This could have

well been a plausible scenario had it not been for two facts. First

that there is no such thing as homogeneous "Albanians" and second that

Great Albania is without historical precedent.

After the Rain : how the West lost the East · 第 6 / 22 段