CHAPTER XVIII.

The Government determine to dissolve the Parliament--Apathy of the

Country--Hopes and Fears as to the War--The Congress a Trick--Disraeli

on the approaching Elections--War declared--Mr. Greville resigns the

Clerkship of the Council--Result of the Elections--Mistakes of the

Austrian Government--Policy of the Opposition--Reconciliation of Lord

Palmerston and Lord John Russell--The Reconciliation doubtful--Meeting

of the Liberal Party--Resolution of the Meeting--Debate on the

Resolution of Want of Confidence--Defeat of Ministers--Lord Derby

resigns--Lord Granville sent for by the Queen--Lord Granville does not

form a Government--Lord Palmerston sent for--Lord Palmerston's Second

Administration--The Queen confers the Garter on Lord Derby--Successful

Progress of the French in Italy--Causes of Lord Granville's

Failure--Lord John claims the Foreign Office--Lord Clarendon declines

to take Office--Lord Clarendon's Interview with the Queen--Mr.

Cobden declines to take Office--The Armistice of Villafranca--Peace

concluded--The Terms of Peace--Position of the Pope--Disappointment of

Italy--Conference of the Emperors--Alleged Sensitiveness of the Emperor

Napoleon--Details of the War--A Visit to Ireland--Irish National

Education--Dublin--Howth Castle--Waterford--Killarney--Return from

Ireland--Numerous Cabinets--A Dispute with China--Lord Palmerston and

Lord John Russell--Lord Clarendon at Osborne--Spain and Morocco--The

Duc d'Aumale--Perplexity of the Emperor Napoleon--The Emperor Napoleon

and the 'Times.'

[Sidenote: DISSOLUTION OF PARLIAMENT.]

_April 7th_, 1859.--The determination of the Government, announced

in both Houses on Monday evening, took the world by surprise. Nobody

thought there would be a dissolution. Derby's speech was very bad,

much below his usual level. The attack on John Russell which formed

a chief part of it was merely a _réchauffé_ of that of Disraeli, but

very inferior to it in every respect. Disraeli in the other House spoke

much better, and with more taste and temper. The Opposition leaders are

evidently much taken aback; the Derbyites assert that they have reason

to expect a gain of forty votes, but nobody believes it. Many think a

much more Radical and an angry Parliament will be returned, but there

is no excitement, and it seems to me more probable that those are right

who think the relative proportions will not be materially altered. The

Whig chiefs are very angry with John Russell for committing himself as

he did on Monday night by his speech and announcement of his own plan

of Reform. Great attempts were made to dissuade him from doing this,

but he would not listen to reason. Palmerston made a speech clearly

indicative of disagreement with Lord John, though with a semblance of

union. The Resolutions on one side and the Dissolution on the other

have both been great faults, of which the mischievous consequences may

be very serious, but which cannot be made manifest till we see the

result of the election.

_April 15th._--I have been reading over to George Lewis my account

of what took place about the Reform Bill of 1832, to assist him in

reviewing that period of history, and in so doing it is impossible

not to be struck with the contrast between the public excitement

which prevailed then and the apathy and absence of interest which we

witness now. At every general election there is a great deal of bustle,

activity, party zeal, and contention, but there are not more of these

now than on ordinary occasions, if anything less. Both parties are

confident that they shall gain, and the Derbyites are making great

efforts, and have collected a very large sum of money. Derby has given

20,000_l._ to the fund, but candidates are slack in coming forward

with the prospect of the new Parliament not lasting many months. The

question of peace or war is still in abeyance, but inclines rather

towards war; the public securities oscillate like a barometer, and

people are puzzled and unable to form any opinion.

_April 20th._--The long promised statements were made in both Houses

on Monday night, but they told us nothing that was not already known,

and merely expressed hopes that war might still be averted. Disraeli

in the Commons was more sanguine than Malmesbury and Derby in the

Lords. Clarendon and Derby both made excellent speeches, the former

particularly; all he said was sound and true. The most striking thing

in both Houses was the extreme caution and reserve of the speakers on

both sides, and particularly their reticence and forbearance about

France. Not one word of blame of the Emperor of the French; no more

about him, his sayings and doings, than about the Emperor of Russia,

or than if he had had nothing whatever to do with the present state

of things. This was probably politic, but it was lamentable and

disgraceful that we should be obliged, or think ourselves obliged, to

abstain from speaking the truth, for fear of offending this rascally

adventurer, who by the egregious folly and cowardice of the French

nation has been invested with such an awful power of mischief, and whom

neither fear nor shame deters from pursuing his own wicked ends at the

expense of any amount of misery and desolation which he may inflict

upon mankind. One cannot help contrasting the extreme delicacy and

forbearance exhibited towards him with the violence and abuse which

were directed against the Emperor Nicholas in 1854.

[Sidenote: MR. DISRAELI'S EXPECTATIONS.]

I met Disraeli yesterday afternoon, when he told me they had got such

satisfactory news from the Continent that he considered the affair as

virtually settled and the danger at an end. God grant it may be so,

but I am far from being satisfied that the danger is over. On the eve

of great resolutions, and as the moment of taking an irrevocable step

draws near, the actors in great events have generally some misgivings,

and pause upon the brink, and so probably will these quasi-belligerents

do now; but I believe the concessions which France expresses herself

willing to make to our entreaties to be a part of her game. Clarendon

or Derby said that if Cowley had been allowed to work out his purpose

of mediation, probably all would have been settled, and that the

proposition of Russia for a Congress had been mischievous, and only

involved the question in fresh doubt and delay. But it appears evident

that this was a French trick, and that Russia proposed the Congress at

the instigation of France, who sought it for the purpose of delay, and

most likely in order to extract from it a plausible cause of quarrel.

Derby in his speech attributed a great deal to the menacing and

disturbing speech of the King of Sardinia in opening his Chambers, but

nobody said a word of Napoleon's _sortie_ to the Austrian Minister on

the 1st January, nor was any allusion made to various important facts

which were well known to many people in both Houses. No reproaches were

cast upon Sardinia, but a good many upon Austria; no comment made upon

the flagrant breach by Sardinia of the treaties existing between her

and Austria, and of the forbearance of the latter in not making that

breach a _casus belli_, as she might well have done.

I went to a Council on Monday for the prorogation, when I had some

conversation with Disraeli, and asked him what his real belief was as

to their prospects in the election. He said there was so much luck in

these matters that it was difficult to speak positively, but that he

had endeavoured to ascertain the true probabilities of the result,

and his conclusion was that _if they had luck_ they should gain sixty

votes; and what, I asked, if there was no luck on one side or the

other? Then, he said, they should gain forty. I told him the Opposition

calculators did not believe the Government would gain at all, or at

most not above eight or ten, if so many, and asked if he was confident

they should gain from twenty to thirty anyhow. He said from the day

of their taking office they had looked forward to a dissolution, that

their organisation was excellent, they had plenty of candidates and

of money, and he was quite confident they should gain that number and

more; he added that there was in no part of the country the slightest

desire for Reform, and he had altered the address he had first intended

to put forth, in consequence of finding what the prevailing sentiment

was on that question. I suppose they hold this language to justify

their dissolution, for it is difficult to believe they can really

expect such results, or that their opponents, who tell such a different

story, can be so completely mistaken.

_April 24th, Newmarket._--Disraeli's information on Tuesday last, when

I met him at Lady Jersey's, might well have warranted me in believing

that no war would take place, but I have never been able to persuade

myself that this calamity would be averted, and it appears that my

apprehensions were well founded, for now the die seems to be really

cast, and at the moment when I am writing it is probably actually

declared and begun. Though Austria is perfectly justified in declining

to wait any longer while France is maturing her preparations, and

cannot justly be blamed for bringing the affair to a crisis, she is

certain to be exposed to every sort of obloquy and misrepresentations

even in this country, and of course much more in France.

_April 27th._--On Monday we heard that the Austrians had sent their

ultimatum to Sardinia, and there was a complete panic in the City.

Yesterday we were informed that she had given fourteen days' grace

to Sardinia, and everything was up again. But this morning we were

undeceived, and found this latter report had no foundation. Meanwhile

the clamour against Austria has been senseless and disgraceful; nothing

could be more unworthy than Derby's allusion to her in his speech at

the Mansion House dinner on Monday. It was a claptrap, and meant to

obtain popularity and assist the Ministerial interest at the election.

Nothing has ever disgusted me more than to see the readiness with

which everybody finds fault with Austria, and the care with which they

avoid any notice of France, not, however, that this can or will last.

What sort of relations we shall continue to have with France I cannot

imagine. We have been treated in a manner which puts an end to the

possibility of any amicable feelings between the two countries. We

can never trust the Emperor again, and must take measures for our own

security as best we may; but unhappily the Indian war has so materially

diminished our power and absorbed our resources, and France has so

enormously gained upon us in point of naval strength, that we are not

in a condition to hold the language and play the part that befit the

dignity and the honour of the country. We can revile Austria with

impunity, for we know that we are in no danger of an attack from her,

but, on the contrary, that she has so much need of our good will that

she will endure our taunts and reproaches, and not quarrel with us even

in words. It was a prophetic saying of Mackintosh forty years ago at

Roehampton that it remained to be proved whether the acquisition of our

Indian Empire was in reality a gain to us, and we must hope that the

remark will not be illustrated in our days by seeing England herself

placed in danger by her exertions to retain or reconquer India, whose

value is so problematical and of which nothing is certain but the

immense labour and cost of her retention.

[Sidenote: WAR IN ITALY.]

_May 14th._--Another severe fit of the gout, principally in the right

hand, has prevented my writing a line for the last fortnight, during

which war has broken out, and the general election has been begun

and ended, and, what is most important to myself, I have resigned my

office. Hitherto the war and the election have equally disappointed

the expectations they gave rise to. The Austrians committed a blunder

in plunging into the war, and have not taken the only advantage such

a measure seemed to promise, viz. that of overpowering the Sardinians

before the French could join them, and now nobody can make out what

their tactics are, or when and where the contest will begin in earnest.

Meanwhile _we_ are taking an imposing attitude of armed and prepared

neutrality. Disraeli's anticipated sixty votes have dwindled down to a

gain of twenty, but Malmesbury told Cowley that they should have force

sufficient to maintain their ground, which I see their opponents do not

believe.

_May 17th._--The elections are nearly if not quite over, and, as well

as can be collected from the conflicting calculations of the rival

parties, they present a gain of nearly thirty for the Government.

With this they evidently hope and their opponents fear they will be

able to go on at least to the end of the session, and I incline to

think so likewise. Their Government is miserably weak and incapable,

their numbers respectable, but their staff deplorable. It is expected

they will propose to Lord Elgin to take Lytton's place. The general

election has been eminently satisfactory in this, that it has elicited

the completely Conservative spirit of the country. Palmerston, who

predicted that the consequence would be a large increase of Radical

strength, has been altogether mistaken. It may be added (whether this

is a good or an evil) that it has also manifested the indifference of

the country to all parties and to all political ties and connexions. In

the last general election the cry was all for Palmerston, in this there

has been no cry for anybody, neither for Palmerston nor Derby, and less

than all for John Russell or Bright. And yet John Russell is flattering

himself he shall have an opportunity of forming a Government, and talks

of his regret at being obliged to leave out so many of his friends.

It is remarkable that the Catholics have supported the Government,

and that they have done so under orders from Rome. Archbishop Cullen

is there, and has signified to the priests the pleasure of the Pope

that the Derby Government should be supported. Clarendon told me this

yesterday, and that the reason is because they think this Government

more favourably inclined to Austria than any other, especially than

either Palmerston or John Russell would be. The Papal Government have

never forgiven the Whigs for the Ecclesiastical Titles Bill, and this

accounts for the otherwise strange support given by the Catholics to

those who have always been their bitterest enemies.

The war still languishes, and nobody can make out what the Austrian

plans are. A great sensation has been made by the retirement of Buol

and the appointment of Rechberg. The first report was that it was a

sacrifice made to appease the resentment of Russia, but Clarendon told

me yesterday he did not believe this, but that it was rather to satisfy

some of the German Powers whom Buol had deeply offended. Nothing could

have exceeded the stupid blundering and misconduct of the Austrian

Government during the last few critical weeks, and their want of tact

towards Prussia and the German Powers. The Archduke Albrecht was sent

to Germany for the purpose of stirring up the German Powers, and

professedly to procure such a demonstration as should be the means of

preventing war, and then, while the Archduke was still at Berlin, they

blurted out their ultimatum (which was a declaration of war) without

letting Prussia know what they were about. The Archduke was obliged

to declare his own ignorance of the intentions of his Government, and

Prussia consequently to announce her disapprobation of the measure

and to signify the same to France, which was just what suited the

Emperor Louis Napoleon. I hear also that his departure from Paris was

accelerated by the necessity of repairing as speedily as possible to

the seat of war, in order to quiet the dissensions and quarrels which

were already raging between the French generals. Not a very promising

beginning of the campaign. This used to be the case formerly in the

great Napoleon's time wherever he was not present. His presence

silenced these quarrels, but it remains to be seen whether this man

will have equal authority over unruly subordinates, who cannot possibly

regard him with the same deference with which the old marshals looked

up to their mighty master.

[Sidenote: RESULT OF THE ELECTIONS.]

_May 24th._--The elections are all over, and the Opposition leaders

are already busy in devising the means of attacking the Government. On

Friday Palmerston went to Pembroke Lodge, and had a long conference

with John Russell. On Sunday there was a gathering there, attended

by Granville, George Lewis, Charles Wood, and probably others. The

question immediately to be decided is whether an Amendment shall or

not be moved to the Address. A very nice point of political strategy.

The Whig leaders are impatient to drive the Government to resignation,

without, as I believe, knowing how they are to form a Government likely

to be durable and strong. As matters stand, the Government appear to

be too strong to be driven out, and not strong enough to count upon

staying in. A greater fix can hardly be seen.

_May 26th._--Palmerston and John Russell have now made up all their

differences, and have come to a complete understanding and agreement

on all points, so that the schism may be considered at an end. Upon

Reform, upon foreign policy, upon the mode of opposition, they are

fully agreed, and even upon their respective personal pretensions.

Both are resolved not to quit the House of Commons, and Lord John

himself says that the question of the Primacy must be determined by the

Queen herself, and that whomever she may send for and charge with the

formation of a Government must necessarily be Premier. There is not

much doubt that this will be Palmerston, but what post Lord John would

require for himself I have not heard. It may possibly be the Foreign

Office, which Palmerston could hardly refuse to him, particularly as

they are agreed on foreign policy, and Clarendon is not inclined to

share their opinion. This reconciliation will be very favourable to

Granville's pretensions, and secure to him the lead of the House of

Lords, and not improbably, at some not very distant day, lead to his

being Prime Minister. In this age of political Methuselahs it is an

enormous advantage to be little more than forty years old. This state

of affairs I heard at Brooks's from the Duke of Bedford. It was Lord

John who took the initiative in their approaches to each other. He

wrote to Palmerston, on which Palmerston repaired to Pembroke Lodge,

where they had a long conversation, with the result aforesaid. Soon

afterwards I met Disraeli in the street. He did not appear to me to

be in very high spirits, and talked of the position and chances of

his Government without any expressions of confidence, though without

despondence. He said he hoped that they would move an Amendment to

the Address, as it was better to fight it out at once and bring the

question of strength to a crisis.

[Sidenote: LORD PALMERSTON AND LORD JOHN RUSSELL.]

_May 29th._--It seems not unlikely that the Government may be after all

relieved from the immediate danger of an Amendment by the divisions

amongst the Opposition, or rather between the rival leaders. After

all I was told of the meeting between Palmerston and Lord John, and

the agreement they had come to on all the important points, I was

astonished at hearing on Friday evening that everything was again

thrown into uncertainty because Lord John would not say what he

intended to do. On the important question of who should be Premier he

would make no frank statement. He had, indeed, before said that the

Queen must decide it, and the man she sent for would naturally be at

the head of the Government; but he refused to say whether, supposing

Palmerston to be sent for, he would take office with and under him,

or even whether he would sit in the House of Commons on or behind the

Treasury Bench--in short he would give no clear and positive assurance

of his intentions. This is naturally very disgusting to the Whigs, and

throws everything into doubt and confusion. The Duke of Bedford is to

go down to him and tell him the plain truth, which no one else would

venture to do, pointing out to him the effect of his conduct on the

sentiments of the Liberal party and on his own position, with regard

to which his conduct is indefensible and suicidal. It remains to be

seen whether any effect will be produced on his mind, but in any case

nothing can look more hopeless than it does, or promise worse for the

future. Even though Lord John should consent to act under Palmerston

(and nobody expects that it is Lord John for whom the Queen would

send), there seems little hope of any cordial or lasting union between

them, or of his being satisfied with any position in which he might

consent to place himself, for his mind is evidently in a sour and

jaundiced state. The majority of the Whig and Liberal party who are

come up full of resentment from the elections are certainly desirous

of attacking the Government, but there is a considerable number of

them who are averse to joining in any vote of want of confidence, or

any other move which may turn the Government out without first being

assured that another Government can be formed, and that the union is

sufficiently complete to promise that such new Government would be

strong enough to maintain itself when formed.

_June 6th._--As I was at Epsom every day this week, I have heard

nothing of what has been going on, except the fact that there is to

be a great meeting of the Liberals at Willis's Rooms this afternoon,

called by a list of people which includes Palmerston and Lord John and

Milner Gibson, whose signature betokens the assent of the Radicals to

the object of it, which I conclude to be an agreement as to the attack

to be made on the Government to-morrow, and certain explanations as to

the intentions and sentiments of the Whig leaders. I see that there are

many dissentients from the course that is going to be adopted, many who

think this attempt to oust the Government at once neither patriotic

nor politic. Without any very decided opinion, or the means of forming

one, I am rather inclined to think that it would be better to leave

them alone, and to trust to their furnishing good cause for turning

them out, as they probably will do. The Government does not appear to

be obnoxious to any serious reproach and objection, except about their

mismanagement of foreign affairs. But it is very questionable whether

another Government might not give us a policy equally or still more

mischievous.

_June 7th._--The meeting of the Opposition yesterday at Willis's Rooms

went off as well as they could expect or desire. The two leaders gave

the required assurances that each would serve under the other, in the

event of either being sent for. There was a general concurrence in the

plan of attacking the Government at once, in which even Bright and

Ellice joined, the former disclaiming any desire for office in his own

person, but claiming it for his friends. The result promised is that

with very few exceptions all the opponents or quasi-opponents of the

Government will unite in supporting the vote of want of confidence, and

they are very confident of success. On the other hand, the Derbyites

do not despair of having a majority, and they comfort themselves with

the certainty that the division must be so close, that the successful

Whigs will be able to form no Government which will have a certain

working majority, and, not impossibly, that the majority itself may be

turned into a minority by the events of the re-elections. This is not

very probable, and it is rather more likely that if Palmerston forms

a Government, he will have the support of a good many of those who

will vote with the Government, as long as they remain in. There were,

however, some rather ominous manifestations made at this meeting. It

seemed to be agreed that the new Government should embrace not only

Whigs and Peelites, but 'advanced Liberals,' _i.e._ the followers of

Bright, and this, besides introducing the seeds of disunion, will

probably frighten away the Liberal Conservatives, who would like to

support Palmerston, inasmuch as a Government so formed would afford

little security for the maintenance of Conservative measures. Then

Palmerston in no ambiguous terms announced his pro-Gallican sympathies,

and the neutrality he declared for in every possible case which he

could contemplate, together with his desire for a cordial union with

France, can mean nothing but that under his rule England should look

quietly on while France crushes Austria, and accomplishes all her

ambitious and revolutionary objects. That this policy will be hateful

to many who will be his colleagues cannot be doubted, but what is

doubtful is whether those who will object to it will have virtue and

firmness enough to decline office rather than be parties to such a

policy.

_June 9th._--There is great excitement about this debate and the

probable division, and equal confidence on both sides of a majority.

The Opposition is the favourite, but their friends will not lay any

odds. Everybody says it must be very close, and on either side the

majority will not exceed ten. On the first night Disraeli made a

capital speech, and nobody else on their side would speak at all.

This was a sort of manoeuvre and attempt to bring about a division

that night, for they found out that seventeen of the Opposition had

not taken their seats, which would have secured a majority to the

Government. The Whigs therefore refused to divide, and put up one man

after another to keep the debate open, and eventually obtained an

adjournment. Palmerston's speech was in accordance with his declaration

at Willis's, and with his ancient practice; it was violently

pro-French and anti-Austrian, and it was full of gross falsehoods and

misrepresentations, which he well knew to be such. In his seventy-fifth

year, and playing the last act of his political life, he is just what

he always was.

[Sidenote: RESIGNATION OF LORD DERBY.]

_June 12th._--After a not very remarkable debate, the division

yesterday morning gave a majority of thirteen to the Opposition,

which was more than either side expected.[1] Derby resigned at eleven

o'clock, and the Queen immediately after marked her sense of his

conduct by sending him an extra Garter in an autograph letter. Much

to his own surprise she sent for Granville (and for nobody else) and

charged him with the formation of a Government. What passed between Her

Majesty and him I know not, but he accepted the commission and has been

busy about it ever since. How he is to deal with Palmerston and Lord

John, and to make such a project palatable to them I cannot imagine.

What the Queen has done is a very significant notice to them of her

great reluctance to have either of them at the head of affairs, and it

cannot but be very mortifying to them to be invited to accept office

under a man they have raised from the ranks, and who is young enough to

be son to either, and almost to be grandson of the elder of the two.

Nor will the mortification be less, after they have both so publicly

avowed their expectations that one or other of them must be sent for,

and their having, in what they consider a spirit of self-sacrifice,

consented to serve under each other, but without ever saying or

dreaming that it could be necessary to say they would take office under

any third party. Nobody, indeed, has ever thought of the possibility

of any but one of them being called upon by Her Majesty, and the only

question has been which it would be.

Footnote 1: [The Amendment to the Address, implying a want of

confidence in Ministers, was moved by the Marquis of Hartington. The

votes on the division were: For the amendment 323, against it 310.]

[Sidenote: LORD PALMERSTON'S SECOND ADMINISTRATION.]

_June 13th._--Lord Granville told me yesterday evening what had passed,

and that his mission was at an end, and Palmerston engaged in forming a

Government. The account of it all appears in the 'Times' this morning

quite correctly. Granville was rather disappointed, but took it gaily

enough, and I think he must have been aware from the first of the

extreme difficulty of his forming a Government which was to include

these two old rival statesmen. Palmerston had the wisdom to accede at

once to Granville's proposal, probably foreseeing that nothing would

come of Granville's attempt, and that he would have all the credit of

his complaisance and obtain the prize after all. The transaction has

been a very advantageous one for Granville, and will inevitably lead

sooner or later to his gaining the eminence which he has only just

missed now, which would have been full of difficulties and future

embarrassments at the present time, but will be comparatively easy

hereafter. Lord John's conduct will not serve to ingratiate him with

the Queen, nor increase his popularity with the country.[1]

Footnote 1: [It was the refusal of Lord John Russell to serve under

Lord Granville which rendered the formation of a Cabinet by that

statesman impossible. At the same time Lord John Russell expressed his

willingness to serve under Lord Palmerston on condition of his taking

the department of Foreign Affairs.]

_June 26th._--All the time that the formation of the new Government

was going on I was at a cottage near Windsor for the Ascot races, and

consequently I heard nothing of the secret proceedings connected with

the selection of those who come in, and the exclusion of those who

belonged to Palmerston's last Government, nor have I as yet heard what

passed on the subject.[1] The most remarkable of the exclusions is

Clarendon's, who I was sure, when the Foreign Office was seized by John

Russell, would take nothing else; and of the admissions, Gladstone's,

who has never shown any good will towards Palmerston, and voted with

Derby in the last division. This Government in its composition is

curiously, and may prove fatally, like that which Aberdeen formed in

1852, of a very Peelite complexion, and only with a larger proportion

of Radicals, though not enough, it is said, to satisfy their organs,

and Bright is displeased that he has not been more consulted, and

probably at office not having been more pressed upon him. It is still

very doubtful whether Cobden will accept the place offered to him.

The Tories are full of rancour, and express great confidence that this

Government will not last, and that they shall all be recalled to power

before the end of the year. Derby had a large gathering at Salisbury's

house, when he made them a speech recommending union and moderation,

the first of which recommendations they seem more likely to adopt than

the second. The affair of his Garter was in this wise. On resigning he

wrote to the Queen and besought her to bestow Red Ribands on Malmesbury

and Pakington. She wrote him an answer acceding to his request, and

adding that she could not allow him to retire a second time from

her service without conferring upon him a mark of her sense of his

services, and she therefore desired him to accept the Garter, though

none was vacant. He told me this, and said it was the only way in which

he could have taken it, as he never should have given it to himself,

and I believe if a vacancy had occurred he meant to have given it to

the Duke of Hamilton.

While we have been settling our Government for good or for evil,

the war has continued to pursue its course of uninterrupted success

of the Allies, and unless something almost miraculous should occur,

the Austrian dominion in Italy may be considered as at an end. The

sentiments of people here are of a very mixed and almost contradictory

character, for they are on the whole anti-Austrian, anti-French,

and though more indulgent than they deserve to the Sardinians, not

favourable to them. The most earnest and general desire is that we

should keep out of the _mêlée_, and any termination of the war would be

hailed with gladness, because we should thereby be relieved from our

apprehensions of being involved in it. We should not be sorry to see

the Austrians driven out of Italy for good and all, though most people

would regret that the Emperor Louis Napoleon should be triumphant, and

that such a course of perfidy, falsehood, and selfish ambition should

be crowned with success. The Austrians deserve their fate, for nothing

can exceed the folly of their conduct, first in rushing into the war,

and thereby playing the whole game of their adversaries, and secondly

in placing in command men evidently incapable, and who have committed

nothing but blunders since the first day of the campaign.

Footnote 1: [Lord Palmerston's second Administration consisted of the

following members:--

First Lord of the Treasury Viscount Palmerston

Lord Chancellor Lord Campbell

Lord President Earl Granville

Lord Privy Seal Duke of Argyll

Chancellor of the Exchequer Mr. Gladstone

Home Secretary Sir George C. Lewis

Foreign Secretary Lord John Russell

Colonial Secretary Duke of Newcastle

War Secretary Mr. Sidney Herbert

Indian Secretary Sir Charles Wood

Duchy of Lancaster Sir George Grey

Postmaster-General Earl of Elgin

Admiralty Duke of Somerset

Board of Trade Mr. Milner Gibson

Lord-Lieutenant of Ireland Earl of Carlisle

Irish Secretary Mr. Cardwell

This Administration lasted until the death of Lord Palmerston on October

18, 1865.]

_June 27th._--Yesterday I went to Kent House, where I found Clarendon

and his sister alone, and we had a long talk, in the course of which he

told me all that had passed (especially with regard to himself) about

the formation of the Government. Although he spoke very good-naturedly

about Granville and his abortive attempt, I saw clearly that he thought

Granville had been in the wrong to undertake it, and that he ought at

once to have told the Queen it was impossible, and have declined it.

Though Palmerston had given a qualified consent to act with him, it

was with evident reluctance, and he had guarded it by saying it must

be subject to his approbation of the way in which the Government was

composed. Lord John's consent was still more qualified, and he annexed

to it a condition which at once put an end to the attempt. This was, as

I had suspected, that he should be leader of the House of Commons. To

this Palmerston refused to agree, and so the whole thing fell to the

ground. Granville, by Clarendon's advice, at once reported his failure

to the Queen, gave her no advice as to whom she should send for, and of

her own accord she sent for Palmerston.

[Sidenote: LORD JOHN RUSSELL FOREIGN MINISTER.]

Previously to this, and I think before the vote, Palmerston and

Clarendon had discussed the probability of Palmerston's forming a

Government, when Palmerston told him he should expect him to return to

the Foreign Office. As soon as Palmerston had been with Her Majesty,

he went off to Pembroke Lodge, and saw Lord John; told him all that

had happened, and that he would of course take any office he pleased.

Lord John said, 'I take the Foreign Office.' Palmerston said he had

contemplated putting Clarendon there again, enumerating his reasons and

Clarendon's claims, but that if he insisted on the Foreign Office as a

right, he must have it. Lord John said, 'I do insist on it,' and so it

was settled.

I ought to have inserted that when Palmerston and Clarendon talked the

matter over at first, Clarendon begged him not to think of him, and

that if, as was probable, John Russell desired the Foreign Office, he

_must_ give it him, for if he did not, or even made any difficulty,

an immediate breach would be the consequence, and John Russell would

get up a case against Palmerston which would be very embarrassing.

Palmerston at first said he should certainly insist on Clarendon's

not being put aside to please Lord John, but in the end Clarendon

persuaded him not to adhere to that resolution. After all was settled

there was a small gathering at Cambridge House, when Palmerston told

Clarendon that he might have the choice of any other office, but

Clarendon replied that he was not conversant with Colonial, Indian,

or War affairs, and he would not take an office for which there would

be many candidates, while he much preferred being out, and Palmerston

would not have half offices enough to satisfy the demands for them.

Palmerston said he would not take this as his last word, and the next

day the Queen sent for Clarendon, by Palmerston's own desire, to try

and persuade him to take office. He went to Buckingham Palace and had

an audience, or rather interview, of three hours with Her Majesty and

the Prince, in which she treated him with the most touching kindness

and confidence, and exhausted all her powers of persuasion to induce

him to join the Government, but he was firm and would not. She then

said, in the event of a vacancy of the Foreign Office, 'You must

promise me you will take it,' to which he replied, 'Your Majesty knows

I would do anything in the world for your service; but you must allow

me, in any case which may occur, to exercise my own discretion under

the circumstances, and to rest assured that I shall in every case be

actuated solely by a desire to do what is best for your Majesty, and

most conducive to your pleasure and interest.' The Queen talked to

Clarendon of the publication in the 'Times' with much indignation, and

said, 'Whom am I to trust? These were my own very words.' Clarendon,

however, endeavoured to convince her that the article had in fact

(however indecorous it might appear) been eminently serviceable to her,

inasmuch as it negatived any suspicion of intrigue or underhand dealing

in any quarter, and represented her own conduct in a manner to excite

universal approbation. He dilated on this in a way which made great

impression both on the Prince and on her, and ultimately satisfied her

that all had been for the best, thereby acting a very good-natured part

and a very wise one.

[Sidenote: MR. COBDEN DECLINES OFFICE.]

_July 4th._--Cobden has declined to take office, though he was advised

by his friends to accept, and he approves of Milner Gibson and Charles

Villiers having joined the Government. The reasons he gives are that

he has always been a strenuous opponent of Palmerston, and that his

conduct will be liable to reproach in taking office under him, that he

has been the advocate of economy and low establishments, and would find

himself obliged to act very inconsistently, or to oppose his colleagues

in a policy respecting which popular opinion would be against him; but

he expresses great satisfaction with Palmerston, who he says is a much

better fellow than he was aware of, and he means to give the Government

all the support in his power. These reasons do not seem sufficient

for his not joining, which he had better have done. Granville laments

Clarendon's having declined to take office as a Secretary of State, and

that he will not be in the Cabinet to throw into the scale of foreign

policy his political weight. I said I knew nothing of his motives,

but assuming that he did not see foreign affairs in the same light as

Palmerston and John Russell, he would be placed in an awkward position

before long. Granville said this might be true, but he thought before

very long he would be at the Foreign Office again. What he meant by

that I do not know.

_July 12th._--On Friday morning the world was electrified by reading

in the 'Times' that an armistice had been agreed upon between the

belligerent Emperors in Italy, and the subsequent announcement that

they were to have a personal meeting yesterday morning, and the

armistice to last for five weeks (till August 15), led to a pretty

general conclusion that peace would be the result.[1] The Stock

Exchange take the same view, for everywhere and in all securities

there has been a great rise. I saw George Lewis on Sunday and asked

him if the Government had any intelligence, when he told me that the

only thing, besides what had appeared in the papers, was that France

had proposed to us to interpose our mediation on the basis of Austria

giving up everything, and Prussia had made the same proposal on the

basis of Austria giving up nothing, both which proposals we had very

naturally declined.

Footnote 1: [The battle of Solferino was fought on June 24, and an

armistice between the Emperors of France and Austria was signed at

Villafranca on July 7.]

[Sidenote: THE ARMISTICE OF VILLAFRANCA.]

_July 13th._--We had scarcely had time to begin discussing and

speculating on the probable results of the armistice, before the news

of peace being actually concluded burst upon us. As yet we have only

the great fact itself and the skeleton of the arrangement, and we

shall probably be for some time without materials for judging as to

the merits of the Treaty of Peace and its probable consequences, but

the first impressions and the first ideas that present themselves may

be worth recording. There is no denying that the Emperor Napoleon has

played a magnificent part, and whatever we may think of his conduct,

and the springs of his actions, he appears before the world as a very

great character.[1] Though he can lay no claim to the genius and

intellectual powers of the first Napoleon, he is a wiser and a soberer

man, with a command over himself and a power of self-restraint, and

consequently of moderation in pursuit of objects, which the other did

not possess, and therefore while the towering genius of the uncle led

him on through magnificent achievements and stupendous vicissitudes

to his ruin, it appears highly probable that the better regulated

mind and the habitual prudence of the nephew will preserve him from

the commission of similar errors, and render his career somewhat less

splendid, but more durable and infinitely more beneficial to his

country.

With regard to the present affair, the first thing we must be struck

with is the way in which the King of Sardinia has been treated.

Napoleon, indeed, tosses him a large share of the spoils, but not

only was he not admitted to the Conference which led to peace, but he

does not appear to have been consulted upon it any more than any of

the French generals; the only notice that was taken of the King (so

far as we know) being that he was ordered, upon the conclusion of the

armistice, to desist from the siege of Peschiera. I had heard before

that the Emperor was extremely disgusted with his ally and Cavour,

and at all that the latter had said and done, at the proclamations

and other documents he had put forth, and at the audacious manner

in which that Government had annexed every scrap of territory they

could lay their hands on, and assumed the government of every State

that they could manage to revolutionise, and all without the sanction

and concurrence of the Emperor. Nothing is more likely than that the

Italian War will not be closed without much bickering and heartburning

between the two allies, and that the King and his Cavour will find, in

spite of all they are to obtain, that they will have no bed of roses to

repose upon after their fatigues and labours.[2]

Then, so far as we can judge of the settlement, it seems one that

is likely to give more offence and disappointment than satisfaction

to the bulk of the Italian people, and to imagine that affairs will

relapse or resolve themselves into a peaceable and quiescent state is

a mere delusion. What passed between the two Emperors we may perhaps

never know, though the effects of their interview may one day become

dangerously apparent; but it is not unreasonable to conjecture that

Napoleon exerted all his arts and blandishments to make a friend of

Francis Joseph, and to persuade him that a cordial alliance with France

would be more advantageous to him than one with England, and he might

with every appearance and much of the reality of truth tell him that

England had done nothing for him; that neither the Government nor the

nation had any sympathies with Austria, whom, so far from assisting,

they had gladly seen defeated in Italy; and that the forbearance of the

Emperor in leaving Austria in possession of any part of Italy would be

unpalateable to Palmerston and John Russell, and generally unpopular.

One cannot but suspect that an alliance was at least projected, if

not formed, between the three great despotic Powers, France, Austria,

and Russia, for the purpose of domineering over Europe, and dealing

with the several States according to their pleasure, or the pleasure

of France, and with the ultimate object of attacking, weakening, and

humbling England.

[Sidenote: THE CONFERENCE OF THE EMPERORS.]

Of all the provisions of this Treaty that which regards the sovereignty

of the Pope is the most curious and seems the most difficult to carry

out; it is indicative of the necessity under which the Emperor thinks

he is placed of disarming the hostility and consulting the prejudices

of the Catholic party and the Church in France. Whether the Pope

will accept the temporal office assigned to him may be doubted, but

it can hardly be doubted that his supremacy will not be willingly

accepted and acknowledged by the Italians generally, to whom the

Papal rule is already odious.[3] One cannot but feel glad at the deep

mortification and disappointment which will overtake the Republicans

and Socialists, the Mazzinis, Garibaldis, Kossuths, _et hoc genus

omne_, at a pacification so ruinous to all their hopes and designs.

Clarendon told me he believed the account in the 'Times' of the compact

between the Emperor and Kossuth, and nothing is more likely than that

at the beginning of the contest he employed Kossuth in the way stated,

and gave him all sorts of promises, and when he found he could do

everything _sine tali auxilio_, and that he had a stronger interest in

making friends with Austria, he threw Kossuth over without scruple or

hesitation. This is exactly the course he would be likely to follow.[4]

Footnote 1: [The conclusion of the peace after the battle of Solferino

was creditable to the Emperor Napoleon, but was no indication of

a great character. His motives were that he had not the means of

undertaking a siege of the great fortresses of the Quadrilateral,

and that if the war had been prolonged it was not improbable that

the forces of the Germanic Confederation, including Prussia, would

have taken the field against France. He therefore acted wisely in

terminating the war, and if the Austrians had withdrawn within the

Quadrilateral and refused to treat, the Emperor Napoleon might have

been placed in great difficulties. As it was, he broke his engagement

to Cavour to liberate Italy from the Alps to the sea, and to Kossuth to

support a Hungarian insurrection. Italy eventually owed the liberation

of Venice, not to France, but to Prussia, as the reward for her

combined action with that Power in the war of 1866.

Cf. the account of the manner in which the peace was concluded in Lord

Malmesbury's 'Autobiography,' vol. ii p. 200.]

Footnote 2: [M. de Cavour bitterly resented the prompt conclusion of

peace, and for a time quitted the Ministry of which he was the head.]

Footnote 3: [It was proposed by the Sovereigns to place the Pope at the

head of an Italian Confederation--a wild scheme, which entirely failed.]

Footnote 4: [This was so. The details of Kossuth's negotiations with

the Emperor have been published by Kossuth himself in his memoirs.]

_July 15th._--The news of the peace took everybody so much by surprise,

that people had no time to arrange their thoughts upon it; but in the

midst of the general satisfaction that the war is over, it is already

apparent that there is an explosion of disappointment and resentment to

come. All the Italian sympathisers here are in despair, Palmerston is

much dissatisfied, and the anti-Austrian Press is indignant. The King

of Sardinia has not openly testified any ill-humour, and has published

an Address to his new Lombard subjects in a joyful style, but it is

impossible he should not deeply feel and resent the contemptuous way in

which he has been treated by his Imperial ally, and the resignation of

Cavour is a clear manifestation of _his_ feelings on the subject.

When it was announced that an interview was to take place between the

two Emperors, everybody predicted that the elder of the two would have

as much success in diplomacy over his rival as he had already obtained

in arms, but the result does not appear to bear out that expectation,

though we do not yet know what the real motives of the Emperor Napoleon

were in concluding such an extraordinary peace. Granville told me that

at this interview the Austrian Emperor had taken a very high line, and

shown little disposition to concession. He said to Napoleon, 'You have

conquered Lombardy, and I do not contemplate making any attempt to

recover it. I am therefore quite ready to cede it to _you_, and _you_

will deal with it as you please. I have nothing to say to the King of

Sardinia, and make no concessions to him. With regard to Venetia, and

the country of which I remain in possession, I have nothing to concede

or to offer, _all that_ I mean to retain, but I have no objection to

my Venetian dominions forming part of the Italian Confederation.' They

appear to have had a vast deal of conversation and discussion, for they

are said to have been together for above twelve hours. What they talked

about it would be interesting to know, but which they will neither of

them tell us. The field for speculation is as wide as can well be. How

the settlement of Italy is to be accomplished, how the Italians are

to be contented, and how peace in that country is to be permanently

secured, are questions enough to puzzle the acutest politicians.

We congratulate ourselves at having kept entirely clear both of the

war and the peace, but no doubt Palmerston is mortified, and I think

England generally will be provoked that changes of such importance

should have been made without any consultation or even communication

with us.

The friends of the Emperor Napoleon say that they believe his motive

for making peace on any terms he could get to have been principally

that he was so shocked and disgusted at the fearful scenes of pain and

misery that he had to behold after the battle of Solferino in addition

to the other battle-fields, and at the spectacle of thousands of killed

and wounded presented to his eyes, that his nerves could not bear it.

Lady Cowley told me that he was so tenderhearted that he could not bear

the sight of pain, much less being the cause of inflicting it, and she

had seen him quite upset after visiting hospitals at the sufferings

he had witnessed there, which of course are not to be compared with

the horrible scene of a battle-field. It is impossible to say that

this may not be true wholly or in part, it is impossible to account

for human idiosyncrasies; but it is quite certain that the man who

is said to shrink with horror from the sight of suffering does not

scruple to inflict it in quite as bad a form when he does not himself

witness the infliction. He has hundreds and thousands of people torn

from their families, and without form of trial or the commission of any

crime sends them to linger or perish in pestilential climates, when he

fancies it his interest to do so, and for _their_ sufferings he evinces

no pity or any nervous sensations.

_August 7th._--I have found it impossible to collect anything to

record in this book for the last month almost. The session is drawing

to a close, having glided on without difficulty for the Government,

and almost without opposition. The Election Committees have made

great havoc in Palmerston's small majority, having unseated no less

than seven Liberal members. I am told, perhaps on no good authority,

that Palmerston, John Russell, and Gladstone are anxious to join in a

Congress to mix themselves up in the settlement of Italian affairs,

but that they cannot have their way, the majority of the Cabinet being

opposed to it, and the House of Commons and the country (as represented

by the Press) being decidedly against any such interference.[1]

[Sidenote: THE ITALIAN CAMPAIGN.]

I met Edward Mildmay the other day, who gave me some account of his

own personal experiences during the last Italian campaign, when he was

attached to the Austrian Army. He confirmed all previous accounts of

the excellence of that army and the incompetency of its chiefs; that

nothing could have saved the French Army at Magenta if the Austrians

had been tolerably commanded; that Giulai, who had never seen any

service, had been allowed to retain the command by the influence of

General Grünne, whose friend he is, and that the indignation and

disgust of the army at having been thus sacrificed to Court favour and

partiality had been extreme. He told me that at Solferino the Austrian

loss was (within a fraction of) 20,000, the French 19,000, and the

Sardinians 9,000 men; Benedek is the ablest of the Austrian generals,

and if he had had the command probably affairs would have taken a very

different turn. Mildmay has no doubt that peace was much more necessary

to the French than to the Austrians, and he still believes that if the

war had continued the tide of victory would have been rolled back, as

the latter had 90,000 fresh troops coming into line. It is probably

better as it is than if the Austrians had recovered all their losses;

the Emperor Napoleon seems likely to be satisfied with his military

exploits, and to be really intending to revert to his peaceful policy.

He is certainly doing all he can to persuade the world that such is his

intention, and there seems a disposition here to take him at his word.

Footnote 1: [I think it was at this time that Lord Palmerston and

Lord John Russell proposed to the Cabinet that England should enter

into a Treaty of Alliance with France and Sardinia, but the proposal

was negatived by their colleagues. The feelings of these Ministers,

however, speedily changed when the cession of Savoy and Nice, and the

manner in which it was brought about, were known, and their language

became so hostile that it gave great offence to the Emperor Napoleon.

See Lord Malmesbury, 'Autobiography,' vol. ii. p. 225.]

_Viceregal Lodge, Phoenix Park, August 22nd._--I have at last

accomplished the object I have desired for so many years, and find

myself in Ireland. I have seized the first opportunity of being my

own master to come here. I left London the week before last, and went

to Nun Appleton, thence to Grimstone, and on Saturday I came here,

railing through York and Manchester to Holyhead; crossed over on a

beautiful evening, with sea as smooth as glass, but it was too dark

to see the Bay of Dublin. Most hospitably received by Lord Carlisle,

and very comfortably lodged. Passed the day in Dublin yesterday; twice

at church, in the morning at Christ Church, afternoon St. Patrick's,

attracted by the celebrity of the choir and the performance of the

cathedral service, which was finely done, though the best voices (three

brothers Robinson) were absent. I am greatly struck by the fineness of

the town of Dublin, and of the public buildings especially.

[Sidenote: EDUCATION IN IRELAND.]

_Dublin, August 23rd._--On Monday morning the Lord-Lieutenant went to

pay his first visit since his return to the National School and took me

with him. I was much gratified at the sight, and with the appearance

of the children and their intelligence. There was a grand gathering

of Commissioners and others to meet Carlisle, but no Catholics except

Lord Bellew and Dean ----, who alone of all the Catholic ecclesiastics

has had courage and resolution to adhere to the system. Not one

Catholic Bishop now remains on the board. Bishop Denver was the last

to resign, which it is believed he did reluctantly, but it seems that

the rule of their Synod is, that when a majority has decided, those who

are in the minority give in their adhesions, and produce unanimity.

The National System is apparently in the crisis of its fate, and a

desperate struggle is being made by the Popish clergy to destroy it,

while the ultra-Protestants will join them (for different reasons

and with different objects) for the same end. I earnestly hope these

factions will fail. The most encouraging circumstance is found in the

return which was given me of the 'Central Model Schools,' in which the

number of pupils seeking admission is 1,179, an evident proof of the

popularity of the system, and that up to this time the priests have

not been able to deter their flocks from giving their children its

benefits. This return is sufficiently interesting to be copied into

this journal:--

Males Females Infants

Number of pupils on roll 564 447 375

Pupils in attendance 436 348 311

Seeking admission 203 866 110

Carlisle was received with great enthusiasm by both pupils and

teachers. After this we went to the Hill of Killinie, whence there is a

grand panoramic view of the Bay of Dublin and the surrounding country,

and then to my old friend Lady Campbell[1] (Pamela Fitz-Gerald), whose

beautiful daughters are as well worth seeing as anything in Ireland.

Footnote 1: [Lady Campbell was the daughter of Pamela and Lord Edward

Fitz-Gerald.]

_Dublin, August 24th._--Yesterday in the morning a review in the

Phoenix Park, after which Bagot took me to Howth Castle, which I was

curious to see, but it is not very remarkable, though very ancient. It

has a modernised appearance, and is a comfortable house, said to be the

oldest _inhabited_ house in Ireland, and one of the towers of fabulous

antiquity. I remarked that the hall door was left open, according to

the traditional obligation. One of the Ladies St. Lawrence told me the

story as follows: An old woman, 'the Granawhile,' came to the castle

and asked for hospitality or alms, and was refused and driven away. She

was the wife of a pirate. On the seaside she found the young heir with

his nurse, whom she seized and carried off. Afterwards she brought the

boy back, and consented to restore him on condition that henceforward

no beggar should be refused admittance, that the hall door should be

kept continually open, and that at dinner a place should be kept and

a plate laid for any stranger who might appear. The beggars are kept

away by not being admitted through the lodge gates; the hall door is

open, but there is another door behind it, and the vacant place has by

degrees fallen into disuse. I know not how old the story is, but there

is enough to show that it had a foundation of some sort, and that it

retains a relic in the customs of the family. On returning to Dublin

I went to see Trinity College, and the beautiful museum erected a few

years ago. Dublin is, for its size, a finer town than London, and I

think they beat us hollow in their public buildings. We have no such

squares as Merrion Square, nor such a street as Sackville Street.

[Sidenote: VISIT TO IRELAND.]

_Bessborough, August 26th._--I came here on Wednesday viâ Kilkenny.

A very nice place, comfortable, and in as good order as any place

in England. People apparently well off, and cottages clean and not

uncomfortable.

_August 28th._--Went yesterday to Waterford; pretty good town, but

looking very foreign. They showed me a hill, to which it is said

Cromwell advanced, but found the town too strong to be attacked; hence

Waterford has been called the _Urbs invicta_. I doubt the story, for he

would have stormed Waterford easily enough if he had chosen. Saw the

National School; a very good establishment, boys absent on holidays,

but a very civil intelligent master, a Roman Catholic. The clergy

of neither persuasion will come near the school, except the Dean of

Waterford, who still supports it. Went on to Curraghmore, a vast and

magnificent park, but a mean house.

_August 31st._--Went on Tuesday to Woodstock; very pretty place, and in

admirable trim. Weather changing, and I fear I shall see Killarney in

rain and cold.

_Viceregal Lodge, September 6th._--Went to Muckrosson Thursday last;

passed three days there in exquisite enjoyment of the beautiful scenery

of Killarney; weather was perfect, and I went over and round all the

lakes; returned here on Monday, and went yesterday to the Curragh.

_Jervaulx Abbey, Sunday, September 11th._--Crossed over from Kingstown

to Holyhead on Thursday last; beautiful passage. Passed the last day,

Wednesday, in Dublin with William Fitzgerald seeing the town. He took

me over the old Leinster House, now the Royal Institution, and then

to the Bank to see the old House of Lords; a fine room, exactly as it

was, and what was the House of Commons, now completely altered and not

retaining a vestige of the famous locality where Flood and Grattan

and Plunket once shook the walls with their eloquence. I left Ireland

with regret, for I spent several very happy days there, interested and

amused even more than I expected, and treated with great kindness and

hospitality. Went from Holyhead to Manchester, and on to Worsley to

sleep; came here on Friday. The old Abbey is very picturesque, and very

perfect as a ruin. It reminds me, place and all, of Bolton Abbey.

_London, September 26th._--I stayed three days at Jervaulx, then

to Doncaster, Bretby, and to town. All the Ministers in London,

having passed their lives during the last fortnight in the railway

or in Cabinets, which have been very numerous, as well they may,

for they have plenty to occupy them in the Italian, Chinese, and

American questions, all, in their several ways and degrees, extremely

embarrassing. I have not the slightest conception what our Government

are doing about the Italian question, but I suppose trying to keep well

with Napoleon III., and to obtain good terms for the Italian Duchies.

At present it looks as if a Congress would be got together to untie

this complicated knot, but I fear we are not likely to play in it a

part which will be consistent with our principles, or creditable to our

national character, and I wish we could abstain from having anything to

do with it. The incident about the American Boundary is awkward, but I

feel confident it will be amicably settled.

[Sidenote: DISPUTES WITH CHINA.]

The Chinese affair is the most serious, and one can see no solution of

it that is not full of objections and embarrassments.[1] In the first

place it looks at present very much as if our case was a bad one. We

had no business to go with an armament and force our way up the river,

and even if we were upon any ground justified in such an extreme

measure, it was to the last degree impolitic and unwise to exercise

such a right. The object for which Bruce was sent to China was to

conclude a peace, and to establish amicable relations with the Chinese

Government, and it might have occurred to him that the employment of

force, even if it was ever so successful, must infallibly defeat his

object. It required no great sagacity to perceive that the arrival at

Pekin of a victorious Ambassador, who had forced his way to the capital

at the head of an imposing force, would not serve to make his reception

a friendly one, or to establish permanent harmonious relations between

the English and the Chinese Governments. As long as there was a

possibility of procuring access to Pekin by peaceful means and by

negotiation, it would have been better to be patient and to wait any

time than to employ force; and besides the political objections that

seem conclusive against the adoption of such a course, it seems highly

probable that no such force as that which we employed on this occasion

could have been pushed on into the heart of the country without

imminent danger of its being cut off and eventually destroyed. The

mere fact of destroying again the Peiho forts would be deemed by the

Chinese as the renewal of the war, and the perpetrator of the outrage

would not have been received in the sacred character of an Ambassador,

but would have been looked on as an invader, and treated accordingly.

This is the first view of the question which presents itself. Then

comes that of vindicating our honour, and retrieving the disaster we

have suffered, which involves the necessity of rushing into war again

and scattering havoc and desolation through the country, massacring

thousands of people who can make no effectual resistance to our power,

and making territorial conquests, which will only embarrass us, and

which we shall have more difficulty in getting rid of than we shall

have in making their acquisition. In short, we are going to be engaged

in a contest in which failure will be disgraceful, and success will be

inconvenient, and to place additional obstacles in the way of that good

understanding which it is so much our interest to establish with China.

Nor are our difficulties diminished by the fact of being connected

with, and therefore more or less dependent on the French, and in a less

degree with the Russians and the Americans in this unfortunate contest.

This local and accidental alliance impairs our freedom of action, and

of necessity introduces delays and complications of all sorts into the

affair.

Footnote 1: [Mr. Bruce having been detained in his mission to Pekin,

which was of a pacific character, Admiral Hope made an attempt to

force the passage by reducing the forts at the mouth of the Peiho. The

attack failed, with a loss of nearly 400 men killed and wounded in

the storming party and the gunboats. The 'Plover' and 'Lee' gunboats

grounded, and the 'Cormorant' was so damaged by the enemy's fire that

she sank soon afterwards. The whole proceeding was injudicious and

disastrous.]

_October 19th._--Nearly a month and nothing to record, besides the

events of the day, of which I know nothing more than the newspapers

report. I only take up my pen now because Clarendon called on me,

and it is worth while to recollect the little he told me during a

very short visit. I had not seen him since his visit to Osborne in

the summer, and he began by giving me an account of it. The Queen

was delighted to have him with her again and to have a good long

confidential talk with him, for it seems she finds less satisfaction

in her intercourse with either Palmerston or Lord John. The relations

of these two are now most intimate and complete, and Palmerston has

obtained an entire influence and authority over Lord John, who only

sees with his eyes and without any contest submits to be entirely

guided and controlled by Palmerston. The _jeu_ of the thing is rather

amusing. Palmerston, who is thoroughly versed in foreign affairs

(while Lord John knows very little about them), in every important

case suggests to Lord John what to do. Lord John brings it before the

Cabinet as his own idea, and then Palmerston supports him, as if the

case was new to him.

But to return to the Queen and Clarendon. He was unfortunately attacked

by gout and confined to his room. He was sitting there with Lady

Clarendon, when Lady Gainsborough came in and told him that she was

desired by the Queen to beg he would if possible move into the next

room (the Lady-in-waiting's room) and establish himself there; that the

Queen would come in, when all the ladies present were to go away and

leave her _tête-à-tête_ with him. All this was done, and she remained

there an hour and a half, talking over everything, pouring all her

confidences into his ears, and asking for his advice about everything.

He said he had endeavoured to do as much good as he could by smoothing

down her irritation about things she did not like. As an example, he

mentioned that while the Prince was with him a box was brought in with

a despatch from Lord John, which the Prince was to read. He did so with

strong marks of displeasure, and then read it to Clarendon, saying

they could not approve it, and must return it to Lord John. Clarendon

begged him not to do this, that it was not the way to deal with him,

and it would be better to see what it contained that really was good

and proper, and to suggest emendations as to the rest. He persuaded the

Prince to do this, advised him what to say, and in the end Lord John

adopted all the suggestions they had made to him. On another occasion

the Queen had received a very touching letter from the Duchess of Parma

imploring her protection and good offices, which she sent to Lord John

desiring he would write an answer for her to make to it. He sent a very

short, cold answer, which the Queen would not send. She asked Clarendon

to write a suitable one for her, which he did, but insisted that she

should send it to Lord John as her own. She did so, Lord John approved,

and so this matter was settled.

[Sidenote: WAR BETWEEN SPAIN AND MOROCCO.]

_Newmarket, October 21st._--Clarendon told me, and has since written

to me, that Government regard in a very serious light the approaching

war between Spain and Morocco, which they think will have the effect

of putting Gibraltar in peril;[1] that Spain is playing the part of

catspaw to France, who wants to get possession of Morocco, giving

Tangier to Spain, which would give her, and France through her, the

command of both sides the Straits, and as we depend upon Tangier for

supplies to Gibraltar, it would be difficult for us to hold the place

when this scheme is accomplished. He writes to-day: 'No news to-day

except that things look very fishy with Spain and Morocco, and I

suspect we are going to be vigorous, which, though it may be expedient,

may also be productive of much trouble.'

He was lately at Broadlands, and had much talk with Palmerston, who

was very friendly and confidential, told him everything, and appeared

very anxious to have his opinions and advice. He says that Palmerston's

hatred of Austria amounted to a monomania, and this of course produces

a divergence between the present policy of France and ours. He talked

about America. When Clarendon was lately at Clumber he discussed that

affair with the Duke of Newcastle and offered to write to Buchanan,

with whom it seems he is in correspondence, and say to him what it

is desirable should be said, unofficially; and he suggested that he

should hold out to Buchanan the prospect of a visit from the Prince of

Wales, who it seems is going to Canada some time or other. This the

Duke mentioned at the Cabinet, where the proposal was highly approved,

but when it was broached to the Queen, Her Majesty objected to anything

being said about the Prince of Wales going to the United States, so it

fell to the ground.[2]

Footnote 1: [On October 22, Spain declared war on Morocco, on the

ground that further territory was required for the protection of her

settlements on the North African coast. Tetuan was captured by the

Spaniards on February 4, 1860, and peace was signed on April 27, the

Emperor of Morocco paying an indemnity of twenty million piastres.

Marshal O'Donnell, who had commanded the expedition, was created Duke

of Tetuan.]

Footnote 2: [Whatever may have been the objection to the mention of

the Prince of Wales's visit to the United States at this moment, the

project did not fall to the ground, for on July 9 in the following year

(1860) the Prince started on a visit to Canada and the United States,

accompanied by the Duke of Newcastle, where he was entertained by

President Buchanan on October 25.]

[Sidenote: EMPEROR NAPOLEON ON ITALY.]

_London, October 30th._--Clarendon came to town yesterday morning on

his way to Windsor and called here. He told me that we were going to

send a representative to the Congress, and I was not a little surprised

to perceive that he would not be at all disinclined to go there

himself. He did not indeed say so, but unless I am greatly deceived

this is in his mind, though not without feeling the difficulty of

his acting with John Russell. Clarendon says that the preparations

going on in France are on the most enormous scale, and can have no

object but one hostile to this country, and that the feeling against

England is fomented by the Government and extending all over France.

He is persuaded that the fixed purpose of Louis Napoleon is to humble

this country, and deprive her of the great influence and authority

she has hitherto exercised over the affairs of Europe. He is bent

upon getting us to take part in the Congress, and that in order to

persuade us he will pretend to be entirely agreed with us in opinion,

and only wishing to concert the most proper means of carrying out our

common objects, and when he has thus cajoled us into a participation

he will throw us over, and place us under the necessity of agreeing to

what we disapprove, or of putting ourselves _en désaccord_ with all

Europe. He told me that John Russell is supposed on the Continent to

be the implacable enemy of the Catholic religion, and this will be a

great disqualification for his acting at a Congress mainly composed

of Catholic Powers; that this opinion, which is rife in Ireland, is

propagated all over the world, and that the recollections of the Durham

Letter and the Ecclesiastical Titles Bill are still as strong as

ever.[1]

Footnote 1: [The Congress which it was proposed to hold had reference

to the affairs of Italy, which were extremely perplexing to the

Emperor Napoleon himself. But Lord Clarendon's apprehensions were

certainly unfounded, for it deserves to be remarked that about this

time negotiations were opened between the Emperor and Mr. Cobden

for a commercial treaty, which was intended to strengthen, and did

strengthen, the amiable and pacific relations of France and England.]

_November 18th._--- Last week at the Grove to meet the Duc d'Aumale,

who is one of the most enlightened and agreeable Princes I ever met,

very simple and natural, and full of information and knowledge of all

sorts.

I do not remember to have gathered anything particularly interesting

from Clarendon in our various conversations, except that in the event

of our consenting to join the Congress he would not be unwilling to go

to it, and that he thinks he might be able to effect an arrangement.

This confidence has in great measure been produced by a letter from

Cowley which he showed me, containing an account of his visit to

Biarritz and his communications with the Emperor. He said he had

resolved not to say a word to His Majesty of Italian affairs, thinking

the Emperor would abstain from talking of them to him, but as soon as

they met he began to talk, and went at length into the whole subject.

The upshot was that he found the Emperor in such a state of perplexity

and embarrassment, and so fully conscious of the scrape into which he

had got himself, that he did not know what to do or which way to turn;

his object evidently is to get us to help him out of his difficulty,

and Clarendon thinks that he should be able to draw him into such

measures as we could support if the matter was well managed.

A day or two ago the Duke of Bedford, whom I have not seen or

communicated with for a long time, called on me. He told me one curious

anecdote, which he had heard from his brother. Persigny called on Lord

John one day, and told him he was come in strict confidence to show him

the letter which the Emperor had written to the King of Sardinia, but

which he must not mention even to his own colleagues, except of course

to Palmerston. Lord John promised he would not, and a day or two after

he read the letter in the 'Times.' He sent for Persigny and asked for

an explanation. Persigny said he could not explain it, but would write

to Walewski. John Russell also wrote to Cowley, who spoke to Walewski

about it. Walewski declared he could not account for it, and that it

must have been sent from Turin, and he would write to that Court to

complain of the indiscretion and would also speak to the Emperor. He

went to the Emperor, told him what had passed, and showed him what he

proposed to write to Turin, when the Emperor said: 'No, don't write

at all, take no notice of the publication. The fact is, I sent the

letter myself to the "Times" Correspondent.' It was Mocquard who took

it to him. A most extraordinary proceeding, and showing the extreme

difficulty of all diplomatic dealing between the two Governments.

The Emperor is by way of being indignant with the 'Times,' and never

fails to pour forth complaints and abuse of the paper to whomever he

converses with. He did so, for instance, to Cobden, to whom he gave

an audience at Paris. But who can tell whether this is not a pretence

and a deceit, and whether he may not all the time have a secret

understanding with the 'Times'? Such a supposition would seem to be

inconsistent with their articles and his conduct, and the comments of

the former upon the latter; but how difficult it is to form any certain

judgement upon a policy so tortuous as his, and upon designs so close

and councils so crooked!

The Greville Memoirs, Part 3 (of 3), Volume 2 (of 2) A Journal of the Reign of Queen Victoria from 1852 to 1860 · 第 8 / 10 章