October 11th saw the opening of hostilities, and of the first chapter of

the war, the conflict between Sir George White with sixteen thousand men

and General Joubert with something like double that number. The first

chapter had three sections: First, the unfortunate division of Sir

George White's force and the isolation of and unsuccessful attack upon

his right wing; secondly, the reunion of his wings at Ladysmith;

thirdly, the concentration of the Boers against the force at Ladysmith

and the surrounding or investment of Sir George White. This third

section is not yet ended, but the gathering of the forces at Cape Town

and at Port Natal points to its conclusion and to the opening of the

second chapter. The arrival of the first portion of the transport

flotilla is the only important change since last week.

I thought from the beginning that the division of Sir George White's

force was strategically unsound, and the position of Ladysmith a bad one

because it lent itself to investment. It is now known that the division

of forces and the decision to hold Ladysmith, even until it should be

turned and surrounded, was due not to strategical but to what are called

political considerations. The Government of Natal thought that if the

troops were withdrawn from Glencoe--Dundee, or the whole force

collected, say at Colenso instead of Ladysmith, the appearance of

retreat would have a bad effect on the natives, the Kaffirs, and perhaps

the Dutch farmers. Accordingly, out of deference to the view of the

local Government, the General consented to do his work in what he knew

to be the wrong way. This is a perfect specimen of the way in which wars

are "muddled"--I borrow the expression from Lord Rosebery--and it

deserves thinking over.

No popular delusion is more extraordinary and none more widespread than

the notion that there are two ways of looking at a war, one the military

aspect and the other the governmental or civil aspect, that both are

legitimate, and that, as the Government is above the general, in case of

a clash the military view must fall into the background. This notion is

quite wrong, and the more important the position of the men who have got

it into their heads, the more harm it does. There is only one right way

of looking at war, and that consists in seeing it as it is. If two men

both take a true view of an operation of war, they will agree, whether

they are both soldiers, both civilians, or one a soldier and the other a

civilian. It does not matter what you call their view, but, as a soldier

who knows his business ought to have true views about it, the proper

name for the true view is the military view. If the civil view is a

different one it must be wrong. In this case the belief that a retreat

from a position to which troops had been sent would have a bad effect

was no doubt founded on fact. But for that reason the troops ought not

to have been sent there until it was ascertained that the forward move

was consistent with the best plan of campaign. Some person other than

the general charged with the defence of Natal had been arranging his

troops for him without consulting him, and had done it badly. Then came

the question of moving them back, and the probable "bad effect" was

raised as a scarecrow. But the reply to that was that the bad effect of

retreat is not half so bad as the bad effect of defeat, or of the

embarrassments of a position which, being strategically wrong, may

involve mishaps.

When a civil government moves troops in connection with war it ought to

move them to the right places; that is according to sound strategy or

sound military principles. In short, whoever deals in war ought to

understand war. The reader may think that a commonplace, but in reality

it is like too many commonplaces--a truth that very important people

forget at critical moments. The first principle of action in war is to

have two men to one at the decisive point. How comes it, then, that for

six weeks Sir George White has to defend Natal with one against two?

Evidently the first principle has been violated. It came about exactly

in the same way as the putting one of Sir George White's brigades at

Dundee. The Government managed it; it was a fragment of the civil view

of war. How long, then, the reader may ask, should the civil view of war

be allowed scope and when should the military view be called in? Let me

be permitted to alter the labels and instead of "military view" to say

"view based upon knowledge"; and instead of "civil view" to say, "view

not based upon knowledge." I think that all dealings in war should be

guided by the view based upon knowledge and that the other view should

be for ever left out of account.

My unpopular belief that nobody should meddle with the management of a

war unless he understands it is, I admit, most uncomfortable, for as a

war is always managed by the Government I am obliged to think that every

Government ought to understand war. But in this country the Government

is entrusted to a Committee of Peers and Members of Parliament, none of

whom is supposed to be able to take a military view of war. If my belief

is right, a British Cabinet is very liable to take a civilian view, and

the consequences might be awkward. In fact they are awkward, as the

South African war up to date abundantly reveals.

The military view of war is that it consists in the employment of force

to compel an adversary to do your will. The employment of force is

required in the management of a Nation's affairs when the Nation has

quite made up its mind to have something done which another Nation or

State has made up its mind shall not be done. When there is this

point-blank conflict of wills, and neither side can give way, there must

be war; and the military view is that when you see war coming you should

get your troops into their places, because the first moves are the most

important, and a bad first move is very apt to lead to checkmate.

In the case of South Africa the true view was taken at the right time by

Sir Alfred Milner. He was instructed that Great Britain would take up

the Uitlander's cause, and sent to Bloemfontein to see whether President

Kruger was prepared for an equitable settlement. He proposed such a

settlement, and, as President Kruger declared the terms impossible, he

made it plain that if there were no settlement on such lines as he had

suggested, there must be war. That was the true view, and the moment

when the conference was broken off was the moment for Great Britain to

get her forces ready with all convenient speed. But Mr. Balfour on the

day when he heard the news took a civilian view; instead of looking the

war in the face he expressed the hope that President Kruger would change

his mind. That hope the Government cherished, as we now know, until the

end of the first week of September, when the Boer forces were so far on

in their preparations that Natal had been begging for protection. The

Government then sent ten thousand men, making the sixteen thousand of

Sir George White. Yet the Government at that time had before it the

military view that to compel the Boers to accept Great Britain's will

seventy thousand men would be required. Evidently, then, the sending of

the ten thousand arose not from the military view, but the civil view

that war is a disagreeable business, and that it is to be hoped there

will be none of it, or at any rate as little as possible.

The misfortunes in Natal will probably be repaired and the war in time

brought to its conclusion--the submission of the Boers to Great

Britain's will. But suppose the dispute had been with a great Power, and

that in such a case the military view had been shut out from the day the

negotiations began until the great Power was ready? The result must have

been disaster and defeat on a great scale. Disaster and defeat on a

great scale are as certain to come as the sun to rise to-morrow morning

unless the Government arranges to take the military view of war into its

midst. There will have to be a strategist in the Cabinet if the British

Empire is to be maintained. This is another unpopular view and is

hateful to all politicians, who declare that it is unconstitutional. But

it does not, in fact, involve any constitutional change, far less change

than has been made since 1895 at the instance of Mr. Balfour; and it

would be better to alter a little the system of managing the Nation's

affairs than to risk the overthrow of the Empire.

BULLER'S PROBLEM

_November 22nd_, 1899

The six weeks of anxious waiting are over, and to-day the second chapter

of the war begins. On either side of the Boer States a division of Sir

Redvers Buller's force is now in touch with the enemy, and at either

point there may be a battle any day.

The small British forces sent out or organised on the spot before the

declaration of war have kept the enemy's principal forces occupied until

now, so that he has been unable to make any decisive use of the margin

of superiority which he possessed over and above what was needed to keep

the British detachments where they were. The resisting power of these

detachments is, however, not inexhaustible; they have kept at bay for a

considerable time forces much more numerous than themselves, and the

first move required of the fresh British forces is to take the pressure

off them and to combine with them. The centre of gravity is in Natal,

for there is the principal Boer army, probably two-thirds of the whole

Boer power, and there, too, a whole British division is invested. A

palpable success here for either side must go far to decide the issue of

the war.

General Joubert's force in Natal is so strong that while keeping his

grip upon Ladysmith, where Sir George White has not less than ten

thousand men, he has been able to move south with a considerable force,

perhaps fifteen thousand men, to oppose Sir C.F. Clery's advance. Sir

C.F. Clery has already at least seven, and possibly nine, strong

battalions, to which within a day or two three more will be added, and

perhaps as many as thirty-six guns, with parties of bluejackets and

various Natal levies. His interest is to delay battle until all his

force has come up. The advanced troops seem to be spread along the line

from Mooi River to Estcourt, and the Boer forces are facing them on a

long line to the east of the railway from a point beyond Estcourt to a

point below Mooi River. The Boers are on the flank from which their

attack would be most dangerous, and seem to aim at interposing between

the parts of Sir C.F. Clery's force, and at a convergent attack in

superior strength upon his advance guard at Estcourt.

I should have expected the advance parties of Sir C.F. Clery's force to

have fallen back as the Boers approached. The attempt to keep up the

connection between the parts of a concentrating force by means of the

railway strikes me as very dangerous from the moment that the enemy is

in the neighbourhood. The important thing for Sir C.F. Clery is not

whether his battle takes place twenty miles nearer to Ladysmith or

twenty miles farther away, but that it should be an unmistakable

victory, so that after it the Boer force engaged should be unable to

offer any further serious hindrance to his advance. To gain an end of

this kind a general should not merely bring up all the troops from the

rear, falling back for them if necessary, but should take care that none

can be cut off by the enemy in his front. A decisive victory by Sir C.F.

Clery or by Sir Redvers Duller, who may feel this action to be so

important as to justify his presence, would leave no doubt as to the

issue of the war. An indecisive battle would postpone indefinitely the

relief of Ladysmith and leave the future of the campaign in suspense.

Defeat would be disastrous, for it would probably involve the ultimate

loss of Sir George White's force. For these reasons I regard the battle

shortly to be fought in Natal as the first decisive action of the war,

and am astonished that a larger proportion of Sir Redvers Buller's force

has not been sent to take part in it.

The whole business of a commander-in-chief in war is to find out the

decisive point and to have the bulk of his forces there in time. If he

can do that on the half-dozen occasions which make the skeleton of a

war he has fulfilled his mission. He never need do anything else, for

all the rest can be done by his subordinates. Not every commander

fulfils this simple task because not every one refuses to let himself be

distracted. All sorts of calls are made upon him to which he finds it

hard to be deaf; very often he is doubtful whether one or another

subordinate is competent, and then he is tempted to do that

subordinate's work for him. That is always a mistake because it means

neglect of the commander's own work, which is more important.

The task, though it appears simple is by no means easy, as the present

war and the present situation show. While the fate of the Empire hangs

in the balance between Ladysmith and Pietermaritzburg, a good deal

depends on the course of events between Kimberley and Queenstown. In the

northern part of Cape Colony the Dutch inhabitants are naturally divided

in their sympathies, and the loyally disposed have been sorely tried by

the long weeks of waiting for some sign of Great Britain's power. None

has yet been forthcoming. They know that Kimberley is besieged and that

the British Government has done little for its defence. During the last

week or two they have been threatened by the Free State Boers, and have

seen Stormberg and other places evacuated by the British. At length the

Free State Boers have come among them, marched into their towns,

proclaimed the annexation of the country, and commandeered the citizens.

If this goes on the Boer armies will soon be swelled to great dimensions

by recruits from the British colony, a process which cannot go on much

longer without shaking the faith of the whole Dutch population in the

supremacy of Great Britain. Some manifestation of British strength,

energy, and will is evidently urgently needed in this region. Moreover,

Kimberley is hard beset, and its fall would seem to the whole

countryside to be the visible sign of a British collapse. No wonder,

then, that Sir Redvers Duller has sent Lord Methuen as soon as he could

be ready to the relief of Kimberley. The column consists of the Brigade

of Guards, the Ninth Brigade, made up of such battalions as were at hand

to replace Hildyard's brigade (sent to Natal), of a naval detachment, a

cavalry regiment, and two or three batteries, besides local levies.

Kimberley is five or six days' march from Orange River, and at some

point on the way the Boers will no doubt try to stop the advance. I feel

confident that Lord Methuen, whom I know as an accomplished tactician,

will so win his battle as not to need to do the same work twice over.

The advance of Lord Methuen's division renders imperative the protection

of the long railway line from Cape Town to Orange River. This seems to

be entrusted to General Forestier-Walker's forces, reduced to two

battalions, and to General Wauchope's Highland brigade. One battalion

only is with General Gatacre at Queenstown, and two battalions of

General Lyttelton's brigade which have reached Cape Town are as yet

unaccounted for in the telegrams.

How, then, if all his forces are thus employed could Sir Redvers Buller,

by taking thought, have added anything to Sir C.F. Clery's force on the

Mooi River? The answer is that a commander's decision must usually be a

choice of risks. To have sent on to Natal a part of the troops now in

Cape Colony would have been to have increased the danger of the Cape

Dutch going over to the Boers. Which was the less of two possible

evils--the spread of disaffection in the Cape Colony or the loss of Sir

George White's force? No one at home can decide with confidence because

the knowledge here available of the situation in either colony is very

limited. Subject to this reserve, I should be disposed to think the

danger in Natal the more serious, and the chance of losing Colonel

Kekewich's force a mere trifle in comparison with the defeat of General

Joubert, for the effect of Joubert's defeat would be felt on the Orange

River, whereas the relief of Kimberley can hardly produce an appreciable

effect on the situation in Natal.

The difficult problem of which General Buller is now giving his solution

has been created for him by the Government, which from June to October

was playing with a war which according to its own admissions it did not

seriously mean. "Mistakes in the original assembling of armies can

hardly be repaired during the whole course of the campaigns, but all

arrangements of this sort can be considered long beforehand and--if the

troops are ready for war and the transport service is organised--must

lead to the result intended." So wrote Moltke in 1874 in one of the most

famous passages ever published. If last spring the Government or even

the Secretary of State for War alone had been in earnest, had been doing

what plain duty required, the nature and conditions of the South African

war would have been thought out, and the military judgment which was to

conduct it would have been set to devise the proper opening. That would

have consisted in landing simultaneously, thirty thousand men at Durban

and forty thousand at the Cape. These forces would not have moved

forward until they were complete and ready, and though the Boers might

meantime have overrun their borders, the British advance when it came

would have been continuous, irresistible, and decisive. Instead of that

the Government gave the Boers notice in June that there might be war, so

that the Boers had the whole summer to get ready.

When in September the Government began to think of action the only idea

was defending Natal. But this defence was not thought of as part of a

war. The idea never seems to have occurred to the Government that the

need for defence in Natal could not arise except in case of war, and

that then to defend Natal would be impracticable except by beating the

Boer army. Accordingly, the handful of troops in Natal were posted

without regard to the probable outlines of the war, and therefore,

wrongly posted. The consequence was that when war came they could not be

concentrated except at the cost of fighting and loss, and of a retreat

which gave the enemy the belief that he had won a victory. Even then the

point held--Ladysmith--was too far north and liable to be turned. All

these mistakes, made before Sir George White arrived, were evident to

that general when he first reached Ladysmith, but they could not then be

remedied, and he had to do, and has done, the best he could in the

circumstances. The fact of Sir George White's investment compels Sir

Redvers Buller to begin his campaign with the effort to relieve him, and

the fact that Kimberley is held by a weak force compels him to divide

his force when his one desire certainly must have been to keep it

united. In the expected battle at Mooi River Sir Redvers Buller will be

trying to make up for the faulty arrangements of September. The desire

to hold as much of the railway as possible--also due to the false

position of Sir George White's force--has, perhaps, led General

Hildyard to spread out his force over too long a line. But, in spite of

the difficulties created by errors at the start, I am not without hopes

that these remarks will soon be put out of date by a decisive British

victory.

FIGHTING AGAINST ODDS

_November 29th_, 1899

Two factors in the present war were impressed upon my mind at the

beginning: first, that the British Army was never in better condition as

regards the zeal and skill of its officers, the training and discipline

of the men, and the organisation of the field services; secondly, that

the Government had deliberately handicapped that Army by giving the

Boers many weeks' clear start in which to try with their whole forces to

overwhelm the small British parties sent out at haphazard to delay them.

The whole course of events up to now has been underlining these two

judgments. The British troops gave proof of their qualities at Talana

Hill, at Elandslaagte, and on the trying retreat from Dundee. There is

no more difficult task in war than a frontal attack upon a position

defended by the repeating rifle. Good judges have over and over again

pronounced it impossible. But the British troops have done it again and

again. General Hildyard's attack on Beacon Hill, an arduous action for a

definite purpose which was effected--the re-opening of the railway from

Estcourt towards the south--was a creditable achievement on the Natal

side. On the Cape side Lord Methuen's advance from Orange River is an

example of the greatest determination and energy coupled with caution on

the part of the general, and of the most brilliant courage on the part

of the troops. I thought it probable that so skilful a tactician as Lord

Methuen would combine flank with frontal attacks. It seems that the

conditions gave him little or no opportunity to do that, and he has had

three times to assault and drive back a well-posted enemy. At Belmont,

on the 23rd, and at Enslin, on the 25th, Lord Methuen had a numerical

superiority large enough to justify an attack in which heavy loss was to

be expected. The losses were not exceptionally great, and this fact

proves that the British troops are of very much higher quality than

their adversaries. At Modder River, on the 28th, the numbers were

practically equal. The Boers were strongly entrenched and concealed, and

could not be out-flanked. That they were driven back at all is as proud

a record for our troops as any army could desire, for the attacking

force ought to have been destroyed. The engagement may well have been

"one of the hardest and most trying in the annals of the British Army,"

and if the victory is a glory to the soldiers, the resolve to attack in

such conditions reveals in Lord Methuen the strength of character which

is the finest quality of a commander.

If it is well that we at home should appreciate the splendid results of

many years of good teaching given to the officers and men of the Army,

results to be attributed in great part, though not exclusively, to the

efforts of Lord Wolseley and his school, it is no less our duty to face

squarely the fact that the Nation has not done its duty by this Army.

The Nation in this sense means the people acting through the Government.

To see how the Government has treated the Army we have only to survey

the situation in South Africa. Fifty thousand men were ordered out on

October 7th,--an Army Corps, a cavalry division and troops for the line

of communications. The design was that, with the communications covered

by the special troops sent for that duty, the Army Corps and the cavalry

division, making together a body of forty thousand men, should cross the

Orange River and sweep through the Free State towards Pretoria, while

Natal was protected by a special force there posted.

But long before the Army Corps was complete this plan had been torn to

pieces by the Boers. Sir George White's force, being hardly more than a

third the strength of the army with which the Boers invaded Natal, could

not stop the invasion, though it could hold out when surrounded and

invested.

Lessons of the War: Being Comments from Week to Week to the Relief of Ladysmith · 第 2 / 8 段