CHAPTER VI

THE SOCIAL AND POLITICAL SIGNIFICANCE OF ARMING FOR WAR

Germany has great national and historical duties of policy and culture

to fulfil, and her path towards further progress is threatened by

formidable enmities. If we realize this, we shall see that it will be

impossible to maintain our present position and secure our future

without an appeal to arms.

Knowing this, as every man must who impartially considers the political

situation, we are called upon to prepare ourselves as well as possible

for this war. The times are passed when a stamp of the foot raised an

army, or when it was sufficient to levy the masses and lead them to

battle. The armaments of the present day must be prepared in peace-time

down to the smallest detail, if they are to be effective in time of

need.

Although this fact is known, the sacrifices which are required for

warlike preparations are no longer so willingly made as the gravity of

the situation demands. Every military proposal is bitterly contested in

the Reichstag, frequently in a very petty spirit, and no one seems to

understand that an unsuccessful war would involve our nation in economic

misery, with which the most burdensome charges for the army (and these

for the most part come back again into the coffers of the country)

cannot for an instant be compared. A victorious war, on the other hand,

brings countless advantages to the conqueror, and, as our last great

wars showed, forms a new departure in economic progress. The fact is

often forgotten that military service and the observance of the national

duty of bearing arms are in themselves a high moral gain for our

people, and improve the strength and capacity for work. Nor can it be

ignored that a nation has other than merely economic duties to

discharge. I propose to discuss the question, what kind and degree of

preparation for war the great historical crisis through which we are

passing demands from us. First, however, it will be profitable to

consider the importance of preparations for war generally, and not so

much from the purely military as from the social and political aspect;

we shall thus strengthen the conviction that we cannot serve the true

interests of the country better than by improving its military

capabilities.

Preparation for war has a double task to discharge. Firstly, it must

maintain and raise the military capabilities of the nation as a national

asset; and, secondly, it must make arrangements for the conduct of the

war and supply the requisite means.

This capability of national defence has a pronounced educative value in

national development.

As in the social competition the persons able to protect themselves hold

the field--the persons, that is, who, well equipped intellectually, do

not shirk the contest, but fight it out with confidence and certainty of

victory--so in the rivalry of nations and States victory rests with the

people able to defend itself, which boldly enters the lists, and is

capable of wielding the sword with success.

Military service not only educates nations in warlike capacity, but it

develops the intellectual and moral qualities generally for the

occupations of peace. It educates a man to the full mastery of his body,

to the exercise and improvement of his muscles; it develops his mental

powers, his self-reliance and readiness of decision; it accustoms him to

order and subordination for a common end; it elevates his self-respect

and courage, and thus his capacity for every kind of work.

It is a quite perverted view that the time devoted to military service

deprives economic life of forces which could have been more

appropriately and more profitably employed elsewhere. These forces are

not withdrawn from economic life, but are trained for economic life.

Military training produces intellectual and moral forces which richly

repay the time spent, and have their real value in subsequent life. It

is therefore the moral duty of the State to train as many of its

countrymen as possible in the use of arms, not only with the prospect of

war, but that they may share in the benefits of military service and

improve their physical and moral capacities of defence. The sums which

the State applies to the military training of the nation are distinctly

an outlay for social purposes; the money so spent serves social and

educative ends, and raises the nation spiritually and morally; it thus

promotes the highest aims of civilization more directly than

achievements of mechanics, industries, trades, and commerce, which

certainly discharge the material duties of culture by improving the

national livelihood and increasing national wealth, but bring with them

a number of dangers, such as craving for pleasure and tendency to

luxury, thus slackening the moral and productive fibres of the nations.

Military service as an educational instrument stands on the same level

as the school, and, as will be shown in a later section, each must

complete and assist the other. But a people which does not willingly

bear the duties and sacrifices entailed by school and military service

renounces its will to live, and sacrifices objects which are noble and

assure the future for the sake of material advantages which are

one-sided and evanescent.

It is the duty, therefore, of every State, conscious of its obligations

towards civilization and society, remorselessly to put an end to all

tendencies inimical to the full development of the power of defence. The

method by which the maintenance and promotion of this defensive power

can be practically carried out admits of great variety. It depends

largely on the conditions of national life, on the geographical and

political circumstances, as well as on past history, and consequently

ranges between very wide extremes.

In the Boer States, as among most uncivilized peoples, the military

training was almost exclusively left to the individual. That was

sufficient to a certain point, since their method of life in itself made

them familiar with carrying arms and with riding, and inured them to

hard bodily exertions. The higher requirements of combination,

subordination, and campaigning, could not be met by such a military

system, and the consequences of this were felt disastrously in the

conduct of the war. In Switzerland and other States an attempt is made

to secure national defence by a system of militia, and to take account

of political possibilities. The great European States maintain standing

armies in which all able-bodied citizens have to pass a longer or

shorter period of military training. England alone keeps up a mercenary

army, and by the side of it a territorial army, whose ranks are filled

by volunteers.

In these various ways different degrees of military efficiency are

obtained, but, generally, experience shows that the more thorough and

intelligent this training in arms, the greater the development of the

requisite military qualities in the units; and the more these qualities

become a second nature, the more complete will be their warlike efficiency.

When criticizing the different military systems, we must remember that

with growing civilization the requisite military capacities are always

changing. The duties expected from the Roman legionary or the soldiers

who fought in line under Frederick the Great were quite different from

those of the rifleman and cavalryman of to-day. Not merely have the

physical functions of military service altered, but the moral qualities

expected from the fighting man are altered. This applies to the

individual soldier as much as to the whole army. The character of

warfare has continually been changing. To fight in the Middle Ages or in

the eighteenth century with comparatively small forces was one thing; it

is quite another to handle the colossal armies of to-day. The

preparations for war, therefore, in the social as well as military

sense, must be quite different in a highly developed modern civilized

State from those in countries, standing on a lower level of

civilization, where ordinary life is full of military elements, and war

is fought under relatively simple conditions.

The crushing superiority of civilized States over people with a less

developed civilization and military system is due to this altered form

of military efficiency. It was thus that Japan succeeded in raising

herself in a brief space to the supremacy in Eastern Asia. She now reaps

in the advancement of her culture what she sowed on the battlefield, and

proves once again the immeasurable importance, in its social and

educational aspects, of military efficiency. Our own country, by

employing its military powers, has attained a degree of culture which it

never could have reached by the methods of peaceful development.

When we regard the change in the nature of military efficiency, we find

ourselves on ground where the social duty of maintaining the physical

and moral power of the nation to defend itself comes into direct contact

with the political duty of preparing for warfare itself.

A great variety of procedure is possible, and actually exists, in regard

to the immediate preparations for war. This is primarily expressed in

the choice of the military system, but it is manifested in various other

ways. We see the individual States--according to their geographical

position, their relations to other States and the military strength of

their neighbours, according to their historic claims and their greater

or less importance in the political system of the world--making their

military preparations with more or less energy, earnestness, and

expenditure. When we consider the complex movements of the life of

civilized nations, the variety of its aims and the multiplicity of its

emotions, we must agree that the growth or decrease of armaments is

everywhere affected by these considerations. War is only a _means_ of

attaining political ends and of supporting moral strength.

Thus, if England attaches most weight to her navy, her insular position

and the wide oversea interests which she must protect thoroughly justify

her policy. If, on the other hand, England develops her land forces only

with the objects of safeguarding the command of her colonies, repelling

a very improbable hostile invasion, and helping an allied Power in a

continental war, the general political situation explains the reason. As

a matter of fact, England can never be involved in a great continental

European war against her will.

So Switzerland, which has been declared neutral by political treaties,

and can therefore only take the field if she is attacked, rightly lays

most stress on the social importance of military service, and tries to

develop a scheme of defence which consists mainly in increasing the

security afforded by her own mountains. The United States of America,

again, are justified in keeping their land forces within very modest

limits, while devoting their energies to the increase of their naval

power. No enemy equal to them in strength can ever spring up on the

continent of America; they need not fear the invasion of any

considerable forces. On the other hand, they are threatened by oversea

conflicts, of epoch-making importance, with the yellow race, which has

acquired formidable strength opposite their western coast, and possibly

with their great trade rival England, which has, indeed, often made

concessions, but may eventually see herself compelled to fight for her

position in the world.

While in some States a restriction of armaments is natural and

justifiable, it is easily understood that France must strain every nerve

to secure her full recognition among the great military nations of

Europe. Her glorious past history has fostered in her great political

pretensions which she will not abandon without a struggle, although they

are no longer justified by the size of her population and her

international importance. France affords a conspicuous example of

self-devotion to ideals and of a noble conception of political and moral

duties.

In the other European States, as in France, external political

conditions and claims, in combination with internal politics, regulate

the method and extent of warlike preparations, and their attitude, which

necessity forces upon them, must be admitted to carry its own

justification.

A State may represent a compact unity, from the point of view of

nationality and civilization; it may have great duties to discharge in

the development of human culture, and may possess the national strength

to safeguard its independence, to protect its own interests, and, under

certain circumstances, to persist in its civilizing mission and

political schemes in defiance of other nations. Another State may be

deficient in the conditions of individual national life and in elements

of culture; it may lack the resources necessary for the defence and

maintenance of its political existence single-handed in the teeth of all

opposition. There is a vast difference between these two cases.

A State like the latter is always more or less dependent on the

friendliness of stronger neighbours, whether it ranks in public law as

fully independent or has been proclaimed neutral by international

conventions. If it is attacked on one side, it must count on support

from the other. Whether it shall continue to exist as a State and under

what conditions must depend on the result of the ensuing war and the

consequent political position--factors that lie wholly outside its own

sphere of power.

This being the case, the question may well be put whether such a State

is politically justified in requiring from its citizens in time of peace

the greatest military efforts and correspondingly large pecuniary

expenditure. It will certainly have to share the contest in which it is

itself, perhaps, the prize, and theoretically will do best to have the

largest possible military force at its disposal. But there is another

aspect of the question which is at least arguable. The fighting power of

such a State may be so small that it counts for nothing in comparison

with the millions of a modern army. On the other hand, where appreciable

military strength exists, it may be best not to organize the army with a

view to decisive campaigning, but to put the social objects of military

preparation into the foreground, and to adopt in actual warfare a

defensive policy calculated to gain time, with a view to the subsequent

interference of the prospective allies with whom the ultimate decision

will rest. Such an army must, if it is to attain its object, represent a

real factor of strength. It must give the probable allies that effective

addition of strength which may insure a superiority over the antagonist.

The ally must then be forced to consider the interests of such secondary

State. The forces of the possible allies will thus exercise a certain

influence on the armament of the State, in combination with the local

conditions, the geographical position, and the natural configuration of

the country.

It is only to be expected that, since such various conditions exist, the

utmost variety should also prevail among the military systems; and such

is, in fact, the case.

In the mountain stronghold of Switzerland, which has to reckon with the

political and military circumstances of Germany, France, and Italy,

preparations for war take a different shape from those of Holland,

situated on the coast and secured by numerous waterways, whose political

independence is chiefly affected by the land forces of Germany and the

navy of England.

The conditions are quite otherwise for a country which relies wholly on

its own power.

The power of the probable antagonists and of the presumable allies will

have a certain importance for it, and its Government will in its plans and

military preparations pay attention to their grouping and attitudes;

but these preparations must never be motived by such considerations

alone. The necessity for a strong military force is permanent and

unqualified; the political permutations and combinations are endless,

and the assistance of possible allies is always an uncertain and

shifting factor, on which no reliance can be reposed.

The military power of an independent State in the true sense must

guarantee the maintenance of a force sufficient to protect the interests

of a great civilized nation and to secure to it the necessary freedom of

development. If from the social standpoint no sacrifice can be

considered too great which promotes the maintenance of national military

efficiency, the increase in these sacrifices due to political conditions

must be willingly and cheerfully borne, in consideration of the object

thereby to be gained. This object--of which each individual must be

conscious--if conceived in the true spirit of statesmanship, comprises

the conditions which are decisive for the political and moral future of

the State as well as for the livelihood of each individual citizen.

A civilization which has a value of its own, and thus forms a vital

factor in the development of mankind, can only flourish where all the

healthy and stimulating capacities of a nation find ample scope in

international competition. This is also an essential condition for the

unhindered and vigorous exercise of individual activities. Where the

natural capacity for growth is permanently checked by external

circumstances, nation and State are stunted and individual growth is set

back.

Increasing political power and the consequent multiplication of

possibilities of action constitute the only healthy soil for the

intellectual and moral strength of a vigorous nation, as is shown by

every phase of history.

The wish for culture must therefore in a healthy nation express itself

first in terms of the wish for political power, and the foremost duty of

statesmanship is to attain, safeguard, and promote this power, by force

of arms in the last resort. Thus the first and most essential duty of

every great civilized people is to prepare for war on a scale

commensurate with its political needs. Even the superiority of the enemy

cannot absolve from the performance of this requirement. On the

contrary, it must stimulate to the utmost military efforts and the most

strenuous political action in order to secure favourable conditions for

the eventuality of a decisive campaign. Mere numbers count for less than

ever in modern fighting, although they always constitute a very

important factor of the total strength. But, within certain limits,

which are laid down by the law of numbers, the true elements of

superiority under the present system of gigantic armies are seen to be

spiritual and moral strength, and larger masses will be beaten by a

small, well-led and self-devoting army. The Russo-Japanese War has

proved this once more.

Granted that the development of military strength is the first duty of

every State, since all else depends upon the possibility to assert

_power_, it does not follow that the State must spend the total of its

personal and financial resources solely on military strength in the

narrower sense of army and navy. That is neither feasible nor

profitable. The military power of a people is not exclusively determined

by these external resources; it consists, rather, in a harmonious

development of physical, spiritual, moral, financial, and military

elements of strength. The highest and most effective military system

cannot be developed except by the co-operation of all these factors. It

needs a broad and well-constructed basis in order to be effective. In

the Manchurian War at the critical moment, when the Japanese attacking

strength seemed spent, the Russian military system broke down, because

its foundation was unstable; the State had fallen into political and

moral ruin, and the very army was tainted with revolutionary ideas.

The social requirement of maintaining military efficiency, and the

political necessity for so doing, determine the nature and degree of

warlike preparations; but it must be remembered that this standard may

be very variously estimated, according to the notion of what the State's

duties are. Thus, in Germany the most violent disputes burst out

whenever the question of the organization of the military forces is

brought up, since widely different opinions prevail about the duties of

the State and of the army.

It is, indeed, impossible so to formulate and fix the political duties

of the State that they cannot be looked at from another standpoint. The

social democrat, to whom agitation is an end in itself, will see the

duty of the State in a quite different light from the political

_dilettante_, who lives from hand to mouth, without making the bearing

of things clear to himself, or from the sober Statesman who looks to the

welfare of the community and keeps his eyes fixed on the distant beacons

on the horizon of the future.

Certain points of view, however, may be laid down, which, based on the

nature of things, check to some degree any arbitrary decision on these

momentous questions, and are well adapted to persuade calm and

experienced thinkers.

First, it must be observed that military power cannot be improvised in

the present political world, even though all the elements for it are

present.

Although the German Empire contains 65,000,000 inhabitants, compared to

40,000,000 of French, this excess in population represents merely so

much dead capital, unless a corresponding majority of recruits are

annually enlisted, and unless in peace-time the necessary machinery is

set up for their organization. The assumption that these masses would be

available for the army in the moment of need is a delusion. It would not

mean a strengthening, but a distinct weakening, of the army, not to say

a danger, if these untrained masses were at a crisis suddenly sent on

active service. Bourbaki's campaign shows what is to be expected from

such measures. Owing to the complexity of all modern affairs, the

continuous advance in technical skill and in the character of warlike

weapons, as also in the increased requirements expected from the

individual, long and minute preparations are necessary to procure the

highest military values. Allusion has already been made to this at the

beginning of this chapter. It takes a year to complete a 30-centimetre

cannon. If it is to be ready for use at a given time, it must have been

ordered long beforehand. Years will pass before the full effect of the

strengthening of the army, which is now being decided on, appears in the

rolls of the Reserve and the Landwehr. The recruit who begins his

service to-day requires a year's training to become a useful soldier.

With the hasty training of substitute reservists and such expedients, we

merely deceive ourselves as to the necessity of serious preparations. We

must not regard the present only, but provide for the future.

The same argument applies to the political conditions. The man who makes

the bulk of the preparations for war dependent on the shifting changes

of the politics of the day, who wishes to slacken off in the work of

arming because no clouds in the political horizon suggest the necessity

of greater efforts, acts contrary to all real statesmanship, and is

sinning against his country.

The moment does not decide; the great political aspirations,

oppositions, and tensions, which are based on the nature of

things--these turn the scale.

When King William at the beginning of the sixties of the last century

undertook the reorganization of the Prussian army, no political tension

existed. The crisis of 1859 had just subsided. But the King had

perceived that the Prussian armament was insufficient to meet the

requirements of the future. After a bitter struggle he extorted from his

people a reorganization of the army, and this laid the foundations

without which the glorious progress of our State would never have begun.

In the same true spirit of statesmanship the Emperor William II. has

powerfully aided and extended the evolution of our fleet, without being

under the stress of any political necessity; he has enjoyed the cheerful

co-operation of his people, since the reform at which he aimed was

universally recognized as an indisputable need of the future, and

accorded with traditional German sentiment.

While the preparation for war must be completed irrespectively of the

political influences of the day, the military power of the probable

opponents marks a limit below which the State cannot sink without

jeopardizing the national safety.

Further, the State is bound to enlist in its service all the discoveries

of modern science, so far as they can be applied to warfare, since all

these methods and engines of war, should they be exclusively in the

hands of the enemy, would secure him a distinct superiority. It is an

obvious necessity to keep the forces which can be put into the field as

up-to-date as possible, and to facilitate their military operations by

every means which science and mechanical skill supply. Further, the army

must be large enough to constitute a school for the whole nation, in

which a thoroughgoing and no mere superficial military efficiency may be

attained.

Finally, the nature of the preparation for war is to some degree

regulated by the political position of the State. If the State has

satisfied its political ambitions and is chiefly concerned with keeping

its place, the military policy will assume a more or less defensive

character. States, on the other hand, which are still desirous of

expansion, or such as are exposed to attacks on different sides, must

adopt a predominantly offensive military system.

Preparations for war in this way follow definite lines, which are

dictated by necessity and circumstances; but it is evident that a wide

scope is still left for varieties of personal opinion, especially where

the discussion includes the positive duties of the State, which may lead

to an energetic foreign policy, and thus possibly to an offensive war,

and where very divergent views exist as to the preparation for war. In

this case the statesman's only resource is to use persuasion, and to so

clearly expound and support his conceptions of the necessary policy that

the majority of the nation accept his view. There are always and

everywhere conditions which have a persuasive character of their own,

and appeal to the intellects and the feelings of the masses.

Every Englishman is convinced of the necessity to maintain the command

of the sea, since he realizes that not only the present powerful

position of the country, but also the possibility of feeding the

population in case of war, depend on it. No sacrifice for the fleet is

too great, and every increase of foreign navies instantly disquiets

public opinion. The whole of France, except a few anti-military circles,

feels the necessity of strengthening the position of the State, which

was shaken by the defeats of 1870-71, through redoubled exertions in the

military sphere, and this object is being pursued with exemplary

unanimity.

Even in neutral Switzerland the feeling that political independence

rests less on international treaties than on the possibility of

self-defence is so strong and widespread that the nation willingly

supports heavy taxation for its military equipment. In Germany, also, it

should be possible to arouse a universal appreciation of the great

duties of the State, if only our politicians, without any diplomatic

evasion, which deceives no one abroad and is harmful to the people at

home, disclosed the true political situation and the necessary objects

of our policy.

To be sure, they must be ready to face a struggle with public opinion,

as King William I. did: for when public opinion does not stand under the

control of a master will or a compelling necessity, it can be led astray

too easily by the most varied influences. This danger is particularly

great in a country so torn asunder internally and externally as Germany.

He who in such a case listens to public opinion runs a danger of

inflicting immense harm on the interests of State and people.

One of the fundamental principles of true statesmanship is that

permanent interests should never be abandoned or prejudiced for the sake

of momentary advantages, such as the lightening of the burdens of the

taxpayer, the temporary maintenance of peace, or suchlike specious

benefits, which, in the course of events, often prove distinct

disadvantages.

The statesman, therefore, led astray neither by popular opinion nor by

the material difficulties which have to be surmounted, nor by the

sacrifices required of his countrymen, must keep these objects carefully

in view. So long as it seems practicable he will try to reconcile the

conflicting interests and bring them into harmony with his own. But

where great fundamental questions await decision, such as the actual

enforcement of universal service or of the requirements on which

readiness for war depends, he must not shrink from strong measures in

order to create the forces which the State needs, or will need, in order

to maintain its vitality.

One of the most essential political duties is to initiate and sanction

preparations for war on a scale commensurate with the existing

conditions; to organize them efficiently is the duty of the military

authorities--a duty which belongs in a sense to the sphere of strategy,

since it supplies the machinery with which commanders have to reckon.

Policy and strategy touch in this sphere. Policy has a strategic duty to

perform, since it sanctions preparations for war and defines their limit.

It would, therefore, be a fatal and foolish act of political weakness to

disregard the military and strategic standpoint, and to make the bulk of

the preparations for war dependent on the financial moans momentarily

available. "No expenditure without security," runs the formula in which

this policy clothes itself. It is justified only when the security is

fixed by the expenditure. In a great civilized State it is the duties

which must be fulfilled--as Treitschke, our great historian and national

politician, tells us--that determine the expenditure, and the great

Finance Minister is not the man who balances the national accounts by

sparing the national forces, while renouncing the politically

indispensable outlay, but he who stimulates all the live forces of the

nation to cheerful activity, and so employs them for national ends that

the State revenue suffices to meet the admitted political demands. He

can only attain this purpose if he works in harmony with the Ministers

for Commerce, Agriculture, Industries, and Colonies, in order to break

down the restrictions which cramp the enterprise and energy of the

individual, to make all dead values remunerative, and to create

favourable conditions for profitable business. A great impulse must

thrill the whole productive and financial circles of the State, if the

duties of the present and the future are to be fulfilled.

Thus the preparation for war, which, under modern conditions, calls for

very considerable expenditure, exercises a marked influence on the

entire social and political life of the people and on the financial

policy of the State.

Germany and the Next War · 第 6 / 14 章