CHAPTER I.

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THE PANGERMAN PLOT UNMASKED

THE PANGERMAN PLOT

UNMASKED

BERLIN’S FORMIDABLE PEACE-TRAP OF

“THE DRAWN WAR”

BY

ANDRÉ CHÉRADAME

WITH AN INTRODUCTION BY

THE EARL OF CROMER, O.M.

WITH MAPS

NEW YORK

CHARLES SCRIBNER’S SONS

1917

COPYRIGHT, 1916, BY

CHARLES SCRIBNER’S SONS

Published January, 1917

_All Rights Reserved_

[Illustration]

PUBLISHER’S NOTE

As will be understood from the author’s preface, M. Chéradame’s book

was published in Paris in the summer of this year, before the important

occurrences in the Balkans accompanying and following Roumania’s entrance

into the war. In issuing this translation no consideration of these

events has been added; but their bearing on M. Chéradame’s forecast will

be noted by the reader.

The maps have been reproduced direct from the French edition, without

translating the names into English, as they answer their purpose

perfectly well in their present form.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

PAGE

INTRODUCTION BY LORD CROMER xiii

AUTHOR’S PREFACE xix

PROLOGUE

PANGERMAN AND WILLIAM II. 1

I. The Pangerman Doctrine, p. 1.—II. The Kaiser as

originator of the Pangerman plan, p. 5.

CHAPTER I

THE PANGERMAN PLAN 11

I. The Pangerman plan of 1911, p. 11.—II. The stages by

which it has been effected, p. 16.—III. Why it has been

ignored, p. 19.

CHAPTER II

THE CAUSES OF THE WAR 26

I. Why the Treaty of Bukarest suddenly raised a formidable

obstacle to the Pangerman plan, p. 26.—II. How it was that

the internal state of Austria-Hungary drove Germany to let

loose the dogs of war, p. 31.—III. General view of the

causes of the war, p. 37.

CHAPTER III

HOW FAR THE PANGERMAN PLAN WAS CARRIED OUT AT THE BEGINNING

OF 1916 45

I. German pretensions in the West, p. 45.—II. German

pretensions in the East, p. 52.—III. German pretensions in

the South and South-East, p. 56.—IV. General view of the

execution of the Pangerman plan from 1911 to the beginning

of 1916, p. 62.

CHAPTER IV

SPECIAL FEATURES GIVEN TO THE WAR BY THE PANGERMAN PLAN 66

I. All the great political questions of the old world are

raised and must be solved, p. 67.—II. As the war is made by

Germany in order to achieve a gigantic scheme of slavery,

it follows that it is waged by her in flagrant violation of

international law, p. 69.—III. A struggle of tenacity and

of duplicity on the side of Berlin _versus_ constancy and

solidarity on the side of the Allies, p. 71.

CHAPTER V

THE DODGE OF THE “DRAWN GAME” AND THE SCHEME “FROM HAMBURG TO

THE PERSIAN GULF” 77

I. What would really be the outcome of the dodge called

the “Drawn Game,” p. 78.—II. The financial consequences

for the Allies of this so-called “Drawn Game,” p. 83.—III.

The Allies and the scheme “from Hamburg to the Persian

Gulf,” p. 88.—IV. Panislamic and Asiatic consequences

of the achievement of the scheme “from Hamburg to the

Persian Gulf,” p. 94.—V. Consequences for the world of the

achievement of the scheme “from Hamburg to the Persian

Gulf,” p. 100.

CHAPTER VI

THE CRUCIAL POINT OF THE WHOLE PROBLEM 108

I. The obligation which the threat of the scheme “from

Hamburg to the Persian Gulf,” imposes on the Allies,

p. 108.—II. The capital importance of the question of

Austria-Hungary, p. 114.—III. All the racial elements

necessary for the destruction of the Pangerman plan exist

in Central Europe, p. 121.

CHAPTER VII

THE BALKANS AND THE PANGERMAN PLAN 131

I. The connexion between the Pangerman plan and the plan

of Bulgarian supremacy, p. 132.—II. Greece and Pangerman

ambitions, p. 146.—III. Roumania and the Pangerman plan, p.

152.

CHAPTER VIII

GERMAN MANŒUVRES TO PLAY THE ALLIES THE TRICK OF THE “DRAWN

GAME,” THAT IS, TO SECURE THE ACCOMPLISHMENT OF THE

“HAMBURG TO THE PERSIAN GULF” SCHEME AS THE MINIMUM RESULT

OF THE WAR 158

I. The exceptional importance of the economic union of

the Central Empires, and the danger for the Allies of

establishing a connexion between that union and their own

economic measures after the war, p. 159.—II. Reasons for

the Turko-German dodge of making a separate peace between

the Ottoman empire and the Allies, p. 167.—III. Why a

separate and premature peace with Bulgaria would play the

Pangerman game, p. 174.

CHAPTER IX

THE STILL NEUTRAL STATES WHOSE INDEPENDENCE WOULD BE DIRECTLY

THREATENED BY THE ACHIEVEMENT OF THE “HAMBURG TO THE PERSIAN

GULF” SCHEME AND THEREFORE BY GERMANY’S CAPTURE OF

AUSTRIA-HUNGARY 183

I. The example of Portugal, p. 183.—II. Holland, p.

187.—III. Switzerland, p. 191.—IV. The States of South

America, p. 193.—V. The United States, p. 198.

CONCLUSIONS

What has been set forth in the preceding nine chapters appears

to justify the following conclusions 213

MAPS

PAGE

The Poles in the East of Germany 1

The Danes in Prussia 2

The Germans and the non-Germans in Austria-Hungary 3

The Pangerman plan of 1911 12

The Antigermanic barrier in the Balkans after the treaty of

Bukarest (10th August, 1913) 28

The nationalities in Austria-Hungary 32

The three barriers of Antigermanic peoples in the Balkans and in

Austria-Hungary 43

The German claims in the West (beginning of 1916) 46

The German claims in the East 53

The German claims in the South and South-East 57

The plan of 1911 and the extent of its execution at the beginning

of 1916 64

The great political questions raised by the war 68

The German fortress at the beginning of 1916 72

The consequences of the dodge called “The Drawn Game” 79

Asiatic consequences of the accomplishment of the scheme “From

Hamburg to the Persian Gulf” 95

World-wide consequences of the “Hamburg to the Persian Gulf”

scheme, as provided for by the plan of 1911 101

The crucial point of the European problem 113

Great Bulgaria 133

Serbian Macedonia 137

Greece after the treaty of Bukarest 147

Great Roumania 153

The nationalities in Turkey 170

Encroachments planned by Bulgaria on neighbouring States 181

Portugal and Colonial Pangermanism 185

The Neutral States of Europe and Pangermanism 188

Colonial Pangermanism and South America 194

Distribution of German-born Germans in the United States 201

Relation between the Pangerman plan of 1911 and the Pangerman

gains at the beginning of 1916 217

The Pangerman gains at the beginning of 1916 223

European States interested in the solution of the Austro-Hungarian

question 231

The States of Asia and America, interested in the solution of the

Austro-Hungarian question 233

INTRODUCTION.

BY THE EARL OF CROMER, O.M.

My reasons for commending M. Chéradame’s most instructive work to the

earnest attention of my countrymen and countrywomen are three-fold.

In the first place, M. Chéradame stands conspicuous amongst that very

small body of politicians who warned Europe betimes of the German danger.

The fact that in the past he proved a true prophet gives him a special

claim to be heard when he states his views as regards the present and the

future.

In the second place, I entertain a strong opinion that M. Chéradame’s

diagnosis of the present situation is, in all its main features, correct.

In the third place, in spite of the voluminous war literature which

already exists, I greatly doubt whether the special aspect of the case

which M. Chéradame wishes to present to the public is fully understood in

this country; neither should I be surprised to hear from those who are

more qualified than myself to speak on the subject that the same remark

applies, though possibly in a less degree, to the public opinion of

France.

It is essential that, before the terms of peace are discussed, a clear

idea should be formed of the reasons which led the German Government

to provoke this war. It is well that, if such a course be at all

possible, those who are personally responsible for the numerous acts of

barbarity committed by the Germans should receive adequate punishment.

But attention to points of this sort, however rational and meritorious,

should not in any degree be allowed to obscure the vital importance

of the permanent political issues which call loudly for settlement.

Otherwise, it is quite conceivable that a peace may be patched up, which

may have some specious appearance of being favourable to the Allies,

but which would at the same time virtually concede to the Germans all

they require in order, after time had been allowed for recuperation, to

renew, with increased hope of success, their attempts to shatter modern

civilization and to secure the domination of the world.

M. Chéradame explains—and I believe with perfect accuracy—the nature of

the German objective. It is, in his opinion, to lay secure and stable

foundations for the system known as Pan-Germanism. What is Pan-Germanism?

It may be doubted whether all that is implied in that term is fully

realized in this country. One interpretation may be given to the word,

which is not merely innocuous, but which may even reasonably appeal

to the sympathies of those who approve of the new map of Europe being

constituted with a view to applying that nationalist principle, which

finds almost universal favour in all democratic countries. It cannot be

too distinctly understood that the political programme now advocated by

Germany has no sort of affinity with a plan of this sort. The Germans

contend not only that all those who are generally denominated Germans by

the rest of the world should be united, but that all who are of what is

termed “German origin” should be brought into the German fold. Moreover,

they give to this latter phrase an expansion and a signification which

is condemned and derided by all who have paid serious attention to

ethnological studies. This, however, is far from stating the whole case.

The object of the German Government is to effect the whole or partial

Germanization of countries inhabited by races which cannot, by any

conceivable ethnological process of reasoning, be held to be of German

stock. In fact, M. Chéradame very correctly describes Pan-Germanism when

he says that its object is to disregard all questions of racial and

linguistic affinity and to absorb huge tracts of country the possession

of which is considered useful to advance Hohenzollern interests. In other

words, what they wish is to establish, under the name of Pan-Germanism, a

world system whose leading and most immediate feature is the creation of

an empire stretching from the Persian Gulf to the North Sea.

That this project has for a long while past been in course of preparation

by the Kaiser and his megalomaniac advisers cannot for a moment be

doubted. When, in November, 1898, William II. pronounced his famous

speech at Damascus, in which he stated that all the three hundred

millions of Mohammedans in the world could rely upon him as their

true friend, the world was inclined to regard the utterance as mere

rhodomontade. It was nothing of the sort. It involved the declaration of

a definite and far-reaching policy, the execution of which was delayed

until a favourable moment occurred and, notably, until the Kiel Canal was

completed. The whole conspiracy very nearly succeeded. In spite of their

careful attention to detail, their talent for organization, and their

elaborate preparations to meet what appears to them every contingency

which may occur, the Germans seem to have a constitutional inability to

grasp the motives which guide the inhabitants of other countries. A very

close analogy to the mistake made by the Kaiser is to be found in an

incident of recent English history. It is alleged, I know not with what

truth, that when, in 1886, Lord Randolph Churchill resigned his position

as Chancellor of the Exchequer in Lord Salisbury’s administration, he

“forgot Goschen,” who, as it will be remembered, was speedily nominated

to succeed him. The Kaiser forgot England. For various reasons, which are

too well-known to require repetition, he and his advisers were firmly

convinced that England would not join in the war. The programme was,

first, to destroy the power of France and Russia, and then, after that

had been done, to fall upon England. In one sense it was fortunate that

the Germans committed the gross international crime of invading Belgium.

Had they not done so, it is quite possible that the English nation would

not have woke up to the realities of the situation. As it was, however,

it became clear, even to the most extreme pacificists, that honour and

interest alike pointed to the necessity of decisive action. Thus as M.

Chéradame indicates, the original German plan was completely upset.

The advance on Paris had to be stayed. But the programme, which was

the result of long and deliberate contemplation, has by no means been

abandoned. On the contrary, with the adhesion of the Bulgarians, who

will eventually, unless the Allies secure a decisive victory, become the

victims of Pan-Germanism, and also that of the Turks, who were manœuvred

into the war by an adroit and absolutely unscrupulous diplomacy, a very

considerable portion of the plan has already been put into execution.

M. Chéradame states with great reason that France, Italy, Russia,

England, and all the minor Powers are vitally interested in frustrating

the German project of establishing their dominion from the Persian Gulf

to the North Sea. He also warns us against making a separate peace with

either Austria-Hungary or Turkey, both of these Powers being merely

vassals of Germany. He is very clearly of opinion that the mere cession

of Alsace-Lorraine to France and the rehabilitation of Belgium cannot

form the foundations of a durable peace. If peace were concluded on this

basis, the Germans would have achieved their main object, and, as Herr

Harden pointed out last February, even if Germany was obliged, under

pressure, to cede Alsace-Lorraine, there would still be seventy millions

of Germans firmly determined to regain possession of those provinces at

the first suitable opportunity. In fact, the realization of the German

project, although accompanied by certain temporary disabilities from the

German point of view, would eventually enable Germany to strangle Europe.

I need not dwell upon all the proposals set forth by M. Chéradame

with a view to the frustration of this plan, but the corner-stone of

his programme is similar to that advocated with great ability in this

country by Mr. Wickham Steed and Mr. Seton Watson. It is to create a

Southern Slav State, which will afford an effectual barrier to German

advance towards the East. It is essential that the immense importance of

dealing with the territories of the Hapsburgs as a preliminary to a final

settlement of all the larger aspects of the Eastern question should be

fully realized. It constitutes the key of the whole situation.

For these reasons, I hope that M. Chéradame’s work, which develops

more fully the arguments which I have very briefly stated above, will

receive in this country the attention which it certainly merits. I

should add that the book is written in a popular style, and that M.

Chéradame’s arguments can be easily followed by those who have no special

acquaintance either with Eastern policy or with the tortuous windings of

Austrian and German diplomacy during the last quarter of a century.

CROMER.

SEPTEMBER 4, 1916.

PREFACE.

The Pangerman plot is the only cause of the war. It is, in fact, the

cause at once of its outbreak and of its prolongation till that victory

of the Allies has been won which is indispensable to the liberty of the

world. In this book I propose to demonstrate this truth by a series of

documents, precise, clear, and intelligible to all. The fate of every

man in the allied countries, and even in some of the countries which

are still neutral, really depends on the issue of the formidable war

now being waged. This cataclysm, unprecedented in history, let loose

by Prussianized Germany, will have infinite reverberations in every

sphere, reverberations which will affect every one of us individually

for good or, alas! too often for ill. Every one, therefore, has a direct

interest in knowing clearly why these inevitable reverberations of the

immense struggle will be produced, and on what fundamental conditions

those of them which bode ill for the Allies, and are yet but imperfectly

understood, can and must be avoided. Hence every one of the Allies should

acquire an exact notion of the present realities. Once fortified by the

evidence, his opinion will become a force for the Allied Governments;

it will then contribute to the victory and to the imposition of the

conditions necessary for the peace.

In writing this popular book my aim has been to bring home, even to those

who are least versed in foreign affairs, the formidable problems raised

by the war. In my opinion this work is addressed to women quite as much

as to men. The reading of it may perhaps bring not only instruction but

consolation to those whose affections have been so cruelly wounded. When

they comprehend better by what an atrocious plan of slavery the world

is threatened, they will understand more fully for what a sublime, what

a stupendous cause their husbands, their sons, their plighted lovers,

are fighting or dying with such heroic self-sacrifice. May that larger

understanding of the formidable events now occurring yield to the women

of the Allies at least some alleviation of their sufferings.

But if this book is a popular work, I beg my readers to remark that it

is not the result of a hasty effort, vamped up by a mere desire to treat

of the moving, the tragic subject of the hour. The book is, indeed,

the logical conclusion of a labour on which I have been engaged for

twenty-one years. As my readers have an interest in knowing how far they

may trust me, they will allow me to explain to them how I was led to

concentrate my studies on the Pangerman policy of Germany, what has been

the result of my efforts, and how they are linked together.

* * * * *

In former days I was the pupil of Albert Sorel at the Free School of

Political Science. That great master was good enough to admit me to his

intimacy; and he brought to light and maturity the latent and instinctive

propensity which I had for foreign politics. My practical studies abroad

led me to Germany in 1894, just at the time when the Pangerman _movement_

had begun. As the movement was manifestly the modern development of the

Prussianism of the Hohenzollerns, I was then extremely struck by its

importance. The movement appeared to me so threatening for the future

that I resolved to follow all the developments of the Pangerman _plot_,

which was already the consequence of the movement, and which from 1895

onward had taken definite shape. The task which I thus laid on myself

was at once arduous, vast, and thrilling, for from that time it was

certain that the Germans based their political and military Pangerman

plan on a study of all the political, ethnographical, economic, social,

military and naval problems not only of Europe but of the whole world.

In truth, the intense labour accomplished in the cause of Pangermanism

by the Germans in the last twenty-one years has been colossal. They have

carried it out everywhere with a formidable tenacity and a methodical

thoroughness which will be the astonishment of history. Indisputably, the

Pangerman plan, which is the result of this gigantic effort, is the most

extraordinary plot which the world has ever witnessed.

I made the study of that plot for twenty-one years the work of my life,

convinced as I was, in spite of the scepticism which long greeted my

efforts to give warning of the peril, that the study would serve a useful

purpose one day.

The study has necessitated very many and very long journeys of inquiry. I

was obliged in fact to go and learn, on the spot, at least the essential

elements of the complex problems mentioned above, which have been the

base of the Pangerman plan, in order that I might be able to grasp the

most distant ramifications of the Prussian programme for dominating the

world.

This obligation led me to sojourn in very different countries. That the

reader may have an idea of at least the material extent of my inquiries,

I will indicate the number of the towns in which I have been led to work

for the purpose of discovering the constituent elements, direct and

indirect, of the Pangerman plan.

The United States, 14; Canada, 11; Japan, 11; Corea, 4; China, 11;

Indo-China, 19; British India, 24; Spain, 1; Italy, 4; Belgium,

6; Luxemburg, 1; Holland, 5; Switzerland, 4; England, 8; Greece,

2; Bulgaria, 4; Roumania, 3; Serbia, 8; Turkey, 3; Germany, 16;

Austro-Hungary, 18.

In these towns, according to the requirement of my studies, I passed

days, weeks, or months, often on repeated occasions. I endeavoured, so

far as the opportunities and the time admitted of it, to enter into

direct relations with the acting ministers, the leaders of the various

political parties, the diplomatists and the consuls, both French and

foreign, some heads of states, influential journalists, officers of

repute, military and naval attachés, well-informed merchants and

manufacturers. It was thus that, by means of information of many sorts

drawn from the most diverse sources, and checked by comparison with each

other, I have attempted to set forth the Pangerman political and military

plan.

Since 1898 I have endeavoured to draw the attention of the public to the

immense danger which that plan was laying up for the world, as my former

works testify, particularly _L’Europe et la Question d’Autriche au seuil

du XXe Siècle_, which appeared in 1901, therefore fifteen years ago, and

contained an exposition, as precise as it was then possible to make it,

of the Pangerman plan of 1895, summed up in the formula “Hamburg to the

Persian Gulf”; also _Le Chemin de fer de Bagdad_, published in 1903,

wherein I set forth the danger of that co-operation between Germany and

Turkey, which was then only nascent, but which we see full-fledged to-day.

I attempted also by numerous lectures to diffuse among the public some

notion of the Pangerman peril. I did not content myself with warning

my countrymen. I am proud to have been one of the first Frenchmen to

preach a cordial understanding between France and England at a time

when there was perhaps some merit in doing so. I deemed it, therefore,

a duty to inform the British public, so far as it lay in my power, that

the Pangerman peril concerned Great Britain quite as much as France. In

1909 the Franco-Scottish Society kindly invited me to lecture to its

members at Edinburgh, Glasgow and Aberdeen. I seized the opportunity, and

took for the subject of my lectures, “The problem of Central Europe and

universal politics.”

_The Aberdeen Free Press_, of May 8th, 1909, summed up very exactly as

follows the substance of what I said, seven years ago, to my British

hearers:

“ ... The lecturer attached enormous importance to the Pan-German

movement, which he regarded as the decisive factor in the situation,

and he pointed out that the propaganda which had gone on in Germany and

in Austria was part of a great policy to extend the boundaries of the

German State and dominate middle and south-eastern Europe. The _rapport

personnel_ established in recent years between Berlin and Vienna pointed,

he said, to the conclusion that Germany and Austria were working hand in

hand. In the recent Balkan crisis he described Aehrenthal as playing a

_partie de poker_, in which his bluff had been crowned with success. The

off-set to the Pan-German movement was to be found in the Triple Entente

between England, France and Russia, and it followed from a consideration

of European politics that the questions confronting England with regard

to the supremacy of the sea were intimately bound up with the question

which concerned the land powers of Europe. In particular, the speaker

thought that the Pan-German aspirations would be effectually combatted by

the growing social and political development of the various minor Slav

peoples in the south-east of Europe. The development of these peoples was

a thing which it was with the interests of England, France and Russia to

encourage to the utmost.”

My Scottish hearers gave me a very kind reception, of which I have

preserved a lively recollection. But truth compels me to declare that I

had the impression that the great majority of them did not believe me. I

strongly suspect that they then saw in me simply a Frenchman, who, moved

by the spirit of revenge, tried above all to stir up the British public

against Germany. The impression did not discourage me any more than many

similar instances of want of success. In 1911 the Central Asian Society

did me the honour of inviting me to express my views in London (22nd

March) on the Bagdad railway. I used this fresh opportunity to expound

a method of Franco-English co-operation which seemed to me necessary to

parry the dangers of the near future.

“Such is,” I then said, “broadly speaking, the affair of Bagdad. The most

moderate conclusion which, in my judgment, inevitably follows is that

from beginning to end the logical and methodical spirit of Germany has

got the better of the French, English, and Russian interests, which have

been compromised by our slowness to grasp the importance of the problem

confronting us, and by the lamentable want of cohesion between the

diplomacies of the three countries.

“The lesson apparently to be drawn from these considerations is, that for

the future we ought no longer to be satisfied with a hand-to-mouth policy

and with seeking solutions only when the difficulties take an acute form.

“If we wish to serve and defend our interests effectually, we must, as

Talleyrand said, keep the future in mind, and learn something of that

German method of which the good results are incontestable.

“So far as the eye can range to the visible political horizon, the

essential interests of England, France, and Russia are in agreement;

it is, therefore, to all appearance, absolutely necessary that the men

who exercise an influence on public opinion in this country, in France,

and in Russia, should enter into personal relations in order to discuss

the great national interests which they have in common, and to adopt a

useful line of conduct, while there is yet time. Such a course would be

effectual, because it would be determined before the decisive events

instead of after them, that is to say, when it is too late.

“Were we to adopt this method, which after all is very simple, the

future attempts of our adversaries against our interests would encounter

effectual obstacles, and we should no longer have to regret miscarriages

such as those of which the Bagdad affair is an example.”

Has the method thus recommended been followed? Apparently not; otherwise

could France and England have been surprised by the war?

My propaganda having had little practical result, I endeavoured at least

to keep myself well informed of the events that were happening.

In December, 1913, and January, February, and March, 1914, I made new

and minute inquiries in Central Europe, the Balkans, and Turkey, and

these inquiries were of particular value to me. The truth is, that the

treaty of Bukarest of August 10th, 1913, by reason of its far-reaching

and important consequences, had completely upset the former state of

affairs, so much so that without my journey of 1914, I should certainly

have been unable to understand the new situation. In the course of my

journey I set myself to apply, with great rigour, my method of research,

which consists essentially in trying to see the situations as they are,

without preconceived ideas, while listening to all opinions in order to

compare them afterwards and extract, if possible, the average truth.

In Serbia, in Greece, in Turkey, in Roumania, in Bulgaria, where for a

long time I had been in personal relations with people of many different

sorts, I was able to have long talks with persons in the most diverse

walks of life. In particular, I had the good fortune to be graciously

received by the sovereigns and princes of the Balkans: King Peter of

Serbia (23rd December, 1913), Prince Alexander, heir of Serbia (December,

1913), King Constantine (25th January, 1914), Prince Nicholas of Greece

(28th January), King Charles of Roumania (18th February), Tsar Ferdinand

(28th February), Prince Boris, heir of Bulgaria (29th February). If I

record the audiences which these high personages were so good as to grant

me, it is because they were really not commonplace. These sovereigns

and princes knew that I had long studied their country impartially, and

they consented to speak with me of the great interests which guided

their policies. During these various audiences, which lasted from half

an hour to two hours, I heard many points of view of real importance set

forth. No doubt each of my various interlocutors only said to me what he

wished to say; but, thanks to the multiplicity of the opinions expressed

and to the variety of my sources of information, I was able at least to

construct a general picture of the true Balkan situation, and to connect

it afterwards with the problem of Central Europe and the general policy

of Germany.

This inquiry, which in returning I completed in Hungary and Austria,

convinced me that, contrary to the opinion which has been held down to

quite recent times in many Allied circles, the treaty of Bukarest by no

means constituted an injustice, as the Allies have supposed—a belief

which has been the source of most of their mistakes in the Balkans in

1915. On the contrary, the treaty of Bukarest, particularly because it

for the first time drew Roumania out of the German orbit, appeared to

me the most astonishingly favourable event which had happened on the

Continent since 1870, and which was entirely in accordance with the

interests of France, England, and Russia. The consequences of this treaty

formed in fact, as we shall see, the most effectual arrangement that

could be conceived for arresting the Pangerman danger and maintaining

peace in Europe. But this pacific dam to keep back the Pangerman flood

was only possible on condition that the Entente powers held themselves

ready for war, which would probably have sufficed to prevent it, and

that at the same time they resolutely and unanimously supported Greece,

Roumania, and Serbia.

On the other hand, the check which the treaty of Bukarest gave to the

Pangerman plan in Europe, appeared to me so pregnant with consequences

that I considered it highly probable that the Government of Vienna,

instigated by that of Berlin, would not shrink from war for the purpose

of undoing the treaty of Bukarest, with its far-reaching effects, at the

earliest possible moment, unless the other powers put themselves on their

guard. On my return to France I tried to explain the imminence of the

danger, but no one would believe it.

In truth, German aggression caught the present Allied countries napping

for the following fundamental reason. No doubt, before the war,

Pangermanism, as a doctrine, was well enough known in some circles, but

the political and military Pangerman plan, the application of which has

been pursued methodically by the government of Berlin since the opening

of hostilities, had not been studied and taken very seriously except by

an extremely small number of private persons in France, England, and

Russia.

The efforts made by these private persons to convince the men at the helm

in the now Allied countries of the awful danger ahead, were vain. The

principal reason why their warnings fell unheeded was this. When by the

help of documents they explained that William II.’s ultimate aim was the

establishment of German supremacy on the ruins of _all_ the great powers,

they were taken for crazy dreamers, so chimerical did such formidable

projects appear.

That is why among the Allies the political and military Pangerman plot

was ignored in its true character and its extent, down to the outbreak

of war. This lack of knowledge in France is proved by a statement in

_Le Temps_ of 16th December, 1915. Before the war, “we did not believe

in the possibility of a war, and we took no pains to prepare for that

redoubtable event.” It was absolutely the same in England, as was

demonstrated by the complete surprise of Great Britain at the German

aggression.

More than that, the Kaiser’s entire plan has continued to be

misunderstood in the Allied countries down to a date which seems quite

recent. In fact, Sir Edward Carson, when explaining his resignation in

the House of Commons, November 2nd, 1915, said: “I hope that the new plan

of campaign has been definitely settled, for while I was a member of the

Cabinet, the Cabinet had no plan” (quoted by _Le Temps_, 4th November,

1915).

But if the Pangerman plan had been known in London, the English and

consequently the French would certainly have long ago adopted the

counter-plan which could not have failed to destroy it; for the

Pangerman plan consists of such definite and precise elements that the

mere recognition of them at once suggests the means of frustrating

it; in particular, the advantages and the necessity of the Salonika

expedition, which has been so sharply opposed and so tardily undertaken,

would have been understood from the beginning of 1915, when M. Briand

recommended it in principle. Besides, as anybody may convince himself,

if the Pangerman plan had been fully known, it is highly probable that

the Allies would never have perpetrated the blunders which they have

committed in the Balkans, the Dardanelles, and Serbia. It appears that

the magnitude of the Pangerman plan, and particularly the part which is

masked behind the pretended “drawn game,” has not even yet been clearly

apprehended in many circles which imagine themselves well acquainted

with the aims pursued by Germany in the war. In fact, quite recently,

in France and in England, certain important organs, though not, it is

true, of an official character, have argued that since Germany means to

extend her _Zollverein_ to Austria-Hungary, the Allies ought to form a

powerful economic league with the view of combatting the Austro-German

union _after the war_. But as we shall see, the question really could

not, except by some deplorable inadvertence, be stated in these terms

in the Allied countries. No connexion should be voluntarily established

by them between the economic union of the Allies, however natural it

may be, and the economic union of Central Europe. In truth, to permit

the future extension of the German _Zollverein_ to Austria-Hungary, in

other words, to acquiesce in that economic alliance, under any form,

between the two Central empires, which has formed the base and condition

of the whole Pangerman plot for twenty-one years (the plot of 1895),

would be to permit implicitly the seizure by Germany of fifty millions

of inhabitants, of whom nearly three-fourths are not Germans; the

inevitable consequence, as I shall prove, would be to accept the German

supremacy over the Balkans and Turkey. Now it is manifest that such

results would be in absolute contradiction to the declarations of the

Allied governments, which have proclaimed that their object in waging the

war has been to destroy Prussian militarism and not, consequently, to

allow such a new state of things as the seizure, direct or indirect, of

Austria-Hungary by Germany, which would multiply her power ten-fold.

The fact that such “inadvertences” can still be committed, after twenty

months of war, in circles which, though not official, are nevertheless

important, suffices to prove that the widest possible publicity of the

Pangerman plot throughout the great masses of the enlightened public in

the Allied countries is really needful, if not indispensable. It is also

extremely desirable that neutrals should know exactly what the Pangerman

plot is in its nature and in its extent. In particular, those Americans

who imagine that they can stand aloof from the present formidable

conflict, will then clearly understand that their future liberty really

depends on the victory of the Allied soldiers, who are fighting not only

for their own independence, but in reality for the independence of the

whole civilized world, and particularly for that of the United States.

I earnestly trust that the English edition of this book may contribute to

bring about this result. Its object is to inform public opinion exactly,

so far as the English tongue is spoken, as to the Berlin plot for the

domination of the globe. Moreover, an exact knowledge of the Pangerman

political and military plot throws a flood of light on all the essential

problems of the war: it brings out the deep-seated cause of the war; it

explains the immediate causes, which are still almost unknown; it shows

why it is indispensable to the freedom of the world that the Allies

should achieve, not a hollow and treacherous peace, but a complete

victory resulting in the destruction of Prussian militarism, which alone

can put an end to the great armaments in Europe and ensure a really

lasting peace.

In order that the demonstration may be as convincing as possible, I shall

refrain, as far as I can, from giving my readers my own personal opinions

and impressions. I shall do my utmost, above all, to lay before them

exact documents and arguments intelligible to all, thus furnishing them

with facts which will enable them to form a judgment for themselves.

In any case, this work has no other aim than to speak the truth, and to

serve a cause the justice of which will appear more and more manifest to

a world long deceived by the energetic and astute propaganda of Germany.

_5th August, 1916._

PROLOGUE.

PANGERMANISM AND WILLIAM II.

I. The Pangerman Doctrine.

II. The Kaiser as originator of the Pangerman plan.

The Germans are truly methodical people. In every department of life

their plans are based on a theory; it may be a true one or a false

one, but once they have conceived it they forge ahead with bull-dog

tenacity. It is therefore necessary for us to grasp the exact meaning

of the Pangerman doctrine, for the whole universal Pangerman plot, both

political and military, springs from that tenet.

I.

[Illustration: THE POLES IN THE EAST OF GERMANY.]

It might be supposed that the expression Pangermanism embodies the theory

in virtue of which the Germans claim to annex only the regions inhabited

by dense masses of Germans, on the borders of the Empire, which, after

all, would be in accordance with the principle of nationalities.

But Pangermanism has by no means such a restricted and legitimate aim.

Again, it might be thought that its object was to gather within the same

political fold the peoples who are more or less Germanic by origin.

Such a claim would of itself be quite inadmissible. But Pangermanism is

more than that. It is really the doctrine, of purely Prussian origin,

which aims at annexing all the various regions, irrespective of race or

language, of which the possession is deemed useful to the power of the

Hohenzollerns.

[Illustration: THE DANES IN PRUSSIA.]

It was in the name of Pangermanism, a theory bred of cupidity and

wanton greed, that Prussia charged the Parliament of Frankfort to

claim as German lands the Eastern Provinces, where in reality the Slavs

predominate to such an extent, that they still contain a population of

about four million Poles.

It was in the name of Pangermanism that in 1864 Prussia seized that part

of Schleswig which was entirely Danish.

[Illustration: THE GERMANS AND THE NON-GERMANS IN AUSTRIA-HUNGARY.]

It is in the name of Pangermanism that Austria-Hungary has been for long

the object of German covetousness, although the Germans in that country

are in a very small minority. Statistics show 12 millions of Germans

against 38 millions of non-Germans, and that must be above the mark, for

we have to remember that German statistics systematically exaggerate the

number of Germans dwelling in the Hapsburg Monarchy.

Already in 1859 the _Augsburg Gazette_ avowed the object of Germany’s

designs on Austria with absolute cynicism:

“We loudly declare that if Austria[1] were not a member of the

Confederation; if it were not Austria who happened to be the legitimate

owner of these non-German regions, it would be the duty of the German

nation to conquer them at all costs, because they are absolutely

necessary for her development and for her position as a great power.”

The future Marshal von Moltke, also inspired by Pangermanism, had

written, as far back as 1844: “We hope that Austria will uphold the

rights and protect the future of the Danube lands, and that Germany will

finally succeed in keeping open the mouth of her great rivers” (see V.

Moltke _Schriften_, t. II., p. 313).

The author of a pamphlet published in 1895, _i.e._ exactly twenty-one

years ago, inspired by this doctrine of fraud and protected by the

_Alldeutscher Verband_, the most powerful Pangerman Society, after

expounding the main plan of future annexations, concludes with simple

effrontery thus:

No doubt the newly-constituted Empires will not be peopled merely by

Germans, but: “Germans alone will govern; they alone will exercise

political rights; they alone will serve in the Army and in the Navy; they

alone will have the right to become landowners; thus they will acquire

the conviction that, as in the Middle Ages, the Germans are a people of

rulers. However, they will condescend so far as to delegate inferior

tasks to foreign subjects subservient to Germany” (see _Grossdeutschland

und Mitteleuropa um das Jahr_ 1950, published by Thormann und Goetsch,

Berlin, p. 48).

Identity of race and language served for a long time to justify

Pangermanism; but the facts we have shown and the explicit declarations

we have quoted prove clearly that race and language were merely a pretext

for the diffusion of the Pangerman doctrine inspired by Prussia. If we

dissect this doctrine we find it is composed of cupidity both political

and economic. The truth is that Pangermanism is a scheme of piracy to

be carried on for the benefit of the Prussian monarchy. Its object is,

by successive and indefinite expansions of territory to include within

the same boundaries, at first economic but afterwards political, such

lands and such peoples as are likely to prove a profitable possession

to the Hohenzollerns themselves and to their main support, the German

aristocracy.

To sum up, Pangermanism is a doctrine of international burglary, and

therefore it is exactly the reverse of the principle of nationality, that

noble idea ushered into the world by the French Revolution.

II.

From the Pangerman doctrine the military and political Pangerman plot was

bred and stage-managed by William II. Outside of Germany, the Kaiser was

looked upon, for a long time, as a peace-loving monarch. It is difficult

to explain how such a very serious error could have arisen. Shortly after

his accession in 1888, William II. was secretly hatching that plot which

so recently has caused the European conflagration, and subsequently, by

his public utterances, he has clearly showed his Pangerman tendencies.

On August 28th, 1898, in reply to the Burgomaster of Mayence’s speech,

the Kaiser declared that his wish was to keep inviolate the heritage

bequeathed by his “immortal grandfather.” “But,” added William, “I

can only reach that goal if our authority firmly keeps sway over our

neighbours. For this object the unity and the co-operation of every

German tribe is required.” On the 4th October, 1900, William II., on

laying the foundation stone of the Roman Museum of Saalburg, again said:

“May our German Fatherland become in the future as strongly united, as

powerful, as wonderful as was the Roman universal empire; may this end be

attained by the united co-operation of our princes, of our peoples, of

our armies and of our citizens, in order that in the times to come it may

be said of us as it used to be said of yore: _Civis Romanus sum_.”

On the 28th October, 1900, speaking at an officers’ mess, William II.

affirmed: “My highest aim is to remove whatever separates our great

German people.” Now, in September, 1900, at Stettin, the Kaiser had just

declared: “I have no fear of the future. I am convinced that my plan will

prove successful.” In the Kaiser’s mind the whole matter was summed up in

the chief formula of Pangerman domination: _From Hamburg to the Persian

Gulf_. To accomplish this object the Kaiser had decided to forge closer

and still closer links between Austria-Hungary and Germany. In order to

consolidate his supremacy over the Balkan peoples he reckoned on the

co-operation of such of their Kings as were Germanic by origin (Bulgaria

and Roumania), or on others who were strongly influenced by Germany—in

reality by himself.

Thus he arranged the marriage of his own sister, Sophia, in 1889, with

the heir of the Throne of Greece, King Constantine of to-day. Finally,

almost immediately after his accession he had begun to think of showering

his Imperial favours on the Turks and the Musulmans; this was with the

object of seizing the Ottoman Empire, later on, and of making use of the

Mahometans of the whole world as a mighty lever against all other powers.

On November 8th, 1898, at Damascus, William II. pronounced the famous

words, the full significance of which is only made clear now that we

have seen the German action develop in Turkey and Persia, and that we

have learnt about William’s endeavours to cause an agitation among the

Musulmans of Egypt, India and China:

“May His Majesty the Sultan, as well as the three hundred millions of

Musulmans who venerate him as their Khalifa, be assured that the German

Emperor is their friend for ever.”

The adulation of the sanguinary Sultan Abdul-Hamid proved of practical

use to William II. He obtained on the 27th November, 1899, the first

concession of the Bagdad railway; now that railway, although still

unfinished, has just been utilized by the German offensive both against

Russia and England.

All over his Empire William II. had encouraged the formation of military

and naval leagues—which number millions of members who, for the last

twenty years have carried on an incessant propaganda in favour of such

German armaments by land and sea—as were wanted by the Kaiser.

Again, William II. encouraged the creation of the _Alldeutscher Verband_.

This association or Pangerman Union, counts among its members a large

number of important and influential persons, and at the door of this

society must be laid the most overwhelming responsibility for the

outbreak of the war. Founded in 1894, it has organized thousands of

lectures besides scattering broadcast millions of pamphlets to spread

Pangerman notions and to get the masses of the people to favour schemes

of aggrandizement. It was due to the _Alldeutscher Verband_ that all

the Germans living outside the Empire were formed into a systematic

organization for the present war; this being specially the case in

Austria and in the United States.

Is it possible to believe that such an autocrat as William II. had

not desired this end? How could three powerful associations, with

ever-growing means of action, have carried on a most costly, as well as a

most violent propaganda, in a police-ridden country like Germany, unless

they had been approved of by the authorities usually so meddlesome or so

vigilant?

* * * * *

As to the hour of the war, who set the clock going, if it were not the

Kaiser? As a matter of fact he put the hands of the dial forward (see

Chapter II).

From November, 1913, onward, the Kaiser was busy preparing for early

hostilities; he was aware that the enlargement of the Kiel Canal would be

complete by July, 1914—therefore he arranged to be ready by that date,

and as we know war was declared on August 1st, _i.e._, a few days after

the completion of the Kiel Canal. The Arch-Duke Francis-Ferdinand, the

heir to the Austria-Hungarian throne, tempted by the Kaiser, is dazzled

by the mirage of great profits which were to accrue from a joint action

of the Central Powers. In April, 1914, the Kaiser goes on a visit to

the Archduke at Miramar, near Trieste. Again he meets him at Konopischt

in June, 1914, and is then accompanied by von Tirpitz, that notorious

Chief of Pirates, that submarine Corsair. Now comes the right moment for

drafting the bold main lines of the combined action of the German and

Austrian forces by land and sea. The murder of the Arch-Duke Ferdinand,

on June 28th, 1914, made no change in the Kaiser’s plans, it merely

precipitated events by furnishing an excellent pretext for intervention

against Serbia. Thus the criminal action of the Kaiser stands revealed;

for twenty-five years he had been elaborating the Pangerman plan.

According to Baron de Beyens, who before the war was Belgian Minister

at Berlin, “it has been maintained that William II. was an unconscious

tool in the hands of a caste and of a party who needed war in order to

assert their own power. William has, indeed, listened to them, but he has

lent them an ear because their designs chimed in with his own. In the

judgment of history it is he who is doomed to bear the responsibility

for the disasters by which Europe has been overwhelmed” (Baron Beyens,

_L’Allemagne avant la guerre_, p. 41, G. Van Oest, Paris).

* * * * *

For twenty-five years, and by order of the Kaiser, a violent Pangerman

propaganda had been carried on throughout the Empire; therefore, let

there be no mistake, William II., in declaring war, was supported in his

decision, not only by the influential circles of German opinion, but

by the large majority of the German people. A very notorious German,

Maximilian Harden, has explicitly acknowledged this fact in his review

_Zukunft_ of November, 1914:

“This war has not been forced on us by surprise; we have desired it, and

it was our bounden duty thus to desire it. Germany wages war because of

her immutable conviction that greater world expansion and freer outlets

are due to her by right of her own works” (quoted by _Le Temps_, 20th

November, 1914).

Having thus formed and perfected for twenty years the Pangerman plot of

a European conflagration, William II. had the prodigious audacity to

declare, in his Manifesto to the German people (August 1st, 1915), after

drenching Europe with streams of blood for a whole year: “Before God and

before History, I swear that my conscience is clear. I did not desire

war.”

CHAPTER I.

THE PANGERMAN PLAN.

I. The Pangerman plan of 1911.

II. The stages by which it has been effected.

III. Why it has been ignored.

I.

The Pangerman plot in its broad outlines was laid as early as 1895,

but since that date events have happened throughout the world, which

encouraged Pangermans to enlarge the structure of their scheme.

In 1898 the Fashoda incident almost caused a breach between France and

England. In 1905 Japan compelled Russia to sign peace after a long war

which exhausted all the Tsar’s military resources and disturbed the

balance of power in Europe for a long time to the advantage of Germany.

In 1909 the Vienna Government, under cover of the veiled ultimatum

which Berlin sent to the Tsar, carried out the annexation of Bosnia and

Herzegovina, countries which are almost entirely peopled by Serbians.

This seizure of a huge Slav territory was a great triumph for Germanism.

On November 3rd, 1910, at the Potsdam meeting, the Kaiser obtained

from the Tsar’s Government the abandonment of all opposition to the

completion of the Bagdad railway. England and France took up the same

attitude. On July 1st, 1911, the Kaiser ventured on the Agadir episode,

which was clearly an attempt to force a quarrel on France. It led to

the Franco-German treaty of November 4th, 1911, which ceded to Germany

275,000 square kilometres of the French Congo, while at the same time the

commerce of Morocco was heavily mortgaged in favour of Germany.

These various events deeply injured the interests of France, England and

Russia; but these powers preferred to submit to the hardest sacrifices

rather than undertake the dreadful responsibility of letting loose a

fearful war on Europe. The Pangermans misread this attitude as a sign of

weakness, and of a desire to keep the peace at all costs; and accordingly

they were encouraged to entertain high hopes of huge success in a near

future. That is why the original Pangerman plan of 1895, considerably

altered, became the perfected plan of 1911.

[Illustration: THE PANGERMAN PLAN OF 1911.]

This plan of 1911 (_see map_) provided in Europe and in Western Asia:

1º. The establishment, under German rule, of a vast Confederation of

Central Europe, comprising:

+------------------------------------+-----------+------------+

| | Square | |

| |Kilometres.|Inhabitants.|

+------------------------------------+-----------+------------+

| In the West: | | |

| Holland | 38,141 | 6,114,000 |

| Belgium | 29,451 | 7,500,000 |

| Luxemburg | 2,586 | 260,000 |

| Switzerland* | 41,324 | 3,800,000 |

| The Departments of the North of | | |

| France to the N.E. of a line drawn | | |

| from the S. of Belfort to the | | |

| mouth of the Somme about | 50,271 | 5,768,000 |

| +-----------+------------+

| Total | 161,773 | 23,442,000 |

| +-----------+------------+

| To the East: | | |

| Russian Poland | 127,320 | 12,467,000 |

| Baltic Provinces, Esthonia, | | |

| Livonia, Courland | 94,564 | 2,686,000 |

| The three Russian Governments | | |

| of Kovno, Vilna, Grodno | 121,840 | 5,728,000 |

| +-----------+------------+

| Total | 343,724 | 20,881,000 |

| +-----------+------------+

| To the South-East: | | |

| Austria-Hungary† | 676,616 | 50,000,000 |

+------------------------------------+-----------+------------+

| These three groups form a grand total of 1,182,113 Square |

| Kilometres and 94,323,000 inhabitants. |

+-------------------------------------------------------------+

* Minus eventually the French and Italian Cantons which the

Pangermans declare that they do not care to annex.

† Minus the Italian regions of the Trentino, which Berlin

decided to cede (at the expense of Austria) to Italy as the

price of her neutrality.

This confederation was thus to group under German supremacy

Square

Kilometres. Inhabitants.

Actual German Empire 540,858 68,000,000

New territories of the Confederation 1,182,113 94,000,000

----------------------

Total 1,722,971 162,000,000

of whom only 77 millions are Germans and 85 millions non-Germans.

2º. The absolute subordination of the Balkan countries (containing

499,275 square kilometres and 22 millions of non-Germans) to the Great

Central European Confederation. The Balkan States to become mere

satellites of Berlin.

3º. Germany’s political and military seizure of Turkey, which was

afterwards to be enlarged by the annexation of Egypt and Persia. It was

provided that Turkey should be dealt with in two successive stages.

During the first, the handful of “Young Turks” who have ruled the Ottoman

Empire since 1908, and who play the German game, were to remain in power

merely as figure-heads. Turkey was to retain a nominal independence

during this phase, though in reality she was to have been tied to

Germany by a treaty of military alliance. Under pretence of effecting

reforms, numerous German officials were to be placed at the head of

all the Ottoman administrations, and that would have paved the way for

the second stage. The latter had for its aim the putting of Turkey,

with her 1,792,000 square kilometres and her 20 millions of non-German

inhabitants, under the strict protectorate of Germany, to say nothing of

the subject provinces, Egypt and Persia.

* * * * *

The Germanic Confederation of Central Europe was to form a huge

_Zollverein_ or Customs Union. Treaties of Commerce of a special

character imposed on the Balkan States and on subjected Turkey would

have provided for Great Germany an economic outlet and reserved for her

exclusively those vast regions.

Finally, we can sum up the Pangerman plan of 1911 in four formulas:

Berlin—Calais; Berlin—Riga; Hamburg—Salonika; Hamburg—Persian Gulf.

The union of the three groupings—Central Europe, Balkan States and

Turkey—would have placed under the predominating influence of Berlin

4,015,146 square kilometres and 204 millions of inhabitants, of whom 127

millions were to be ruled directly or indirectly by merely 77 millions of

Germans.

This continental Pangerman plan of 1911 was to have been completed by

colonial conquests of great magnitude, of which an account is given at

the end of Chapter V.

William II. was well aware that such a project could only become an

enduring reality if all other great powers disappeared from the face

of the earth. The Kaiser had therefore positively resolved, when

hatching his Pangerman plot, to accomplish the destruction of five great

powers. It is necessary to grasp fully this fundamental truth, if we

wish to understand the nature of the present war. It was foreseen that

Austria-Hungary would disappear by her absorption under cover of entrance

into the German _Zollverein_. France and Russia were to have been

totally ruined by means of a furious preventive war which would entirely

destroy their military forces. England was to be put out of action by

a subsequent operation, which would have been an easy matter when once

France and Russia had been dismembered and reduced to utter impotence.

As to Italy—destined to become a vassal state—she was not considered

as being capable of hindering in the least the Pangerman ambitions.

One of the Kaiser’s agents for propagating this scheme wrote in 1900:

“Italy cannot be looked upon as a rival for she is too incompetent in

warfare” (_Deutschland bei Beginn des 20 Jahrhunderts_, p. 53. Military

publishers, R. Felix, Berlin, 1900).

It must be added that the Pangerman plot of 1911 did not include war

with England. When he declared hostilities in August, 1914, William II.

was convinced that England would take no share in them, at least not

immediately. The Kaiser had laid every conceivable kind of trap to add

fuel to the flames of all internal English disturbances and to deceive

the London Cabinet. At one moment he almost succeeded in his endeavours.

England’s decision to participate without delay in the struggle only

hung by a thread, but that thread was broken. If England had tarried,

if she had tarried only for a few days, German landings in Normandy,

Brittany, and as far as Bordeaux would have been effected. France being

thus rendered quickly powerless on all sides, the English intervention

would have proved futile at a later stage, and the Pangerman plan of

1911 would thus have been fully achieved. But in going to war just at

the right moment and in controlling the sea, Great Britain has, while

saving herself, furnished to civilized humanity the means of avoiding the

Prussian yoke. The initial German plan has truly been upset by English

intervention following on the respite gained by the splendid resistance

of Belgium in arms.

But the Germans are clever, they are stubborn and crafty. Adapting

themselves to new conditions thrust on them, they are still endeavouring

to make an enormous profit out of the war. We must, therefore, try to

understand what operations they have devised for carrying out, even now,

the Pangerman plot almost in its entirety.

II.

As it is necessary to open the eyes of neutrals, many of whom have been

misled by the German propaganda, we must try to expose very clearly the

inner workings of the Pangerman plot as it is revealed to us in the

searchlight of facts.

From 1892 down to the outbreak of the War, that is to say, for twenty-two

years, the Pangerman movement has developed with ever growing intensity;

a multitude of publications, giving full details of the plan, were

scattered among the German people, in order to excite in them the greed

of conquest and so prepare them for the struggle through the allurement

of plunder. Of these publications two are of special importance: first,

the pamphlet published under the auspices of the _Alldeutscher Verband_:

namely, _Grossdeutschland und Mitteleuropa um das Jahr 1950_ (Thormann

und Goetsch, Berlin, 1895), which gives the Pangerman plan of 1895:

second, the book of Otto Richard Tannenberg: _Grossdeutschland, die

Arbeit des 20ᵗᵉⁿ Jahrhunderts_ (Bruno Volger, Leipzig-Gohlis, 1911),

which gives all suitable details of the plan of 1911.

Unfortunately, although this Pangerman literature is very considerable,

full of documentary evidence and spread broadcast among the masses by

most powerful associations, whose patrons are the highest authorities

in the land, few people outside of Germany would believe in its extreme

importance. But now the facts speak for themselves. The reality, the

extent, and the successive stages of the Pangerman plan of 1911 are shown

by:

1º. The course which Germany has taken since August 1st, 1914, in her

political and military operations which have for their object not, as

many have supposed, the obtaining of securities, but the annexation of

territories in the manner set forth in Tannenberg’s book, and more or

less in accordance with the plan of 1911.

2º. The memorial delivered on May 20th, 1915, to the German Chancellor

by the League of Agriculturists, the League of German Peasants, the

Provisional Association of Christian German Peasants, now called the

Westphalian Peasants’ Association, the Central German Manufacturers’

Union, the League of Manufacturers, and the Middle-Class Union of the

Empire (_see_ _Le Temps_, 12th August, 1915). The importance of this

document cannot be overrated, for it is issued by the most powerful

associations of the Empire, including all the influential elements of

the German nation, specially the agrarians and the iniquitous Prussian

squires. Now the purport of that memorial, as will be shown, is to

demand all such annexations mentioned in the Pangerman plan of 1911, as

the development of military operations has so far rendered feasible.

Any one who knows Germany can hardly doubt that this memorial was not

handed in to Bethmann-Hollweg without a previous understanding with him.

Doubtless it was intended that this document should seem to exercise an

overmastering pressure of public opinion on William II.’s government.

But if the ideas expressed in this memorial reflect, as they certainly

do, the wishes of influential German circles, it is also unquestionable

that they correspond very closely to the scheme of aggrandizement, which

William II. has been nursing for over twenty years.

3º. The declarations made at the sitting of the Reichstag of the 11th

December, 1915, prove the exactitude of this statement. The Imperial

Chancellor said:

“If our enemies will not submit now, they will be obliged to do so

later on.... When our enemies shall offer us such peace proposals as

are compatible with the dignity and security of Germany we shall be

ready to discuss them.... But our enemies must understand that the more

unrelentingly they wage war, the higher will be the guarantees exacted.”

Bethmann-Hollweg could hardly have spoken more explicitly, but his

diplomatic game was naturally to unmask Germany’s enormous pretensions

only bit by bit, in order that the eyes of neutrals should not be opened

to the Pangerman monster in all its horror until the last moment. But

hardly had the Chancellor finished his speech than the Deputy Spahn

explained the real drift of it with great precision:

“We await,” said Herr Spahn, “the hour which will allow of peace

negotiations which will safeguard in a permanent way and by all means,

including the needful territorial annexations, all military economic and

political interests of Germany in its total extent.”

The thundering applause which greeted these words proves that they echoed

the sentiments of the overwhelming majority of the German deputies, who

at that moment still believed that it was possible for Germany to achieve

enormous annexations.

III.

The preparation of the Pangerman plan has required for over twenty

years a huge propaganda among the German masses as well as a world-wide

organization. How is it that this plan has been ignored in its nature

and in its extent by the diplomats of France, England and Russia? Such,

however, has been the case, for otherwise the war could not have come

upon these three powers as a surprise. We deal here with a matter which

at first sight seems improbable and which, therefore, needs explanation.

The diplomatic agents of the Allies are certainly not inferior personally

to those of William II., but the Kaiser’s foreign service, as a whole,

includes novel instruments of observation and influence by which,

for the last twenty years, the Government of Berlin has seconded its

official diplomacy without allowing the connexion between it and them

to transpire. None of the Allied countries have employed similar

instruments, the result being that the Entente is considerably inferior

in this department of foreign policy.

* * * * *

The Pangerman plan is founded on a very exact knowledge of all political,

ethnographical, economic, social, military and naval problems, not

only of Europe, but of the whole world; the Germans have acquired that

knowledge by means of an intense labour of over twenty-five years. But

this task has not been performed by the official German diplomats; it has

been carried out either by the members of the _Alldeutscher Verband_, the

Pangerman Union, or by the agents of the German secret service, which

has been enormously extended. These agents might be called connecting

links between the regular spies and the official diplomats; Baron von

Schenk, who worked at Athens from 1915-1916, is a sample of that category

of agents who have studied methodically all the root questions of the

Pangerman plan, who have prepared means to delude the minds of neutrals,

to paralyze the revolt of the Slavs in Austria-Hungary, to corrupt all

such neutral individuals or neutral newspapers as were susceptible of

corruption, etc. After these numerous agents had made their reports,

and when once these had been examined and summarized, they were sent to

the Wilhelmstrasse, to the great German General Staff, whose concerted

operations are always so combined as to answer both to political and

to military needs. At the same time the reports reached William II.’s

private study, and his brain was thus able to store up all technical

means necessary for the achievement of his plan of domination.

Was the diplomatic corps of the Allies so well served that it could

grasp in its universal significance the immense work of preparation

accomplished by the secret Pangerman agents? Indeed, they were not

properly supplied with the right tools for such a task, and we shall see

why it was so.

First of all it is necessary to dispel a false notion which “the man in

the street” has of diplomacy. He fondly thinks that diplomats, while

preparing clever and mysterious combinations, fashion History. Now the

experience of centuries shows that as a general rule diplomats merely

chronicle History but do not make it. My teacher, Albert Sorel, neatly

expressed that truth by saying: “Diplomats are History’s attorneys.”

In fact, the diplomacy of any country helps to prepare and to fashion

history only when there happens to be at its head a great man of large

and just ideas, who knows how to apply these ideas by all the means

available in his time.

It is a strange fact and worthy of notice, that such a great man is

rarely, if ever, a professional diplomat. For example, Richelieu,

Napoleon, Palmerston, Disraeli, Cavour, Bismarck, who all prepared and

fashioned History, were not trained diplomatists. Unfortunately, it does

not seem that Fortune has endowed any of our Allied countries, either

before or since the war, with a head capable of leading, on grand lines,

the diplomatic affairs of the Entente. The latter therefore has been only

served by those diplomats who are mere officials, and who as such await

instructions from higher quarters, and these instructions are very often

found wanting.

Besides, the diplomacy of the Allies, not being seconded, like that of

Germany, by novel means of observation, can only obtain the information

it needs by methods still so old-fashioned that they are almost identical

with those used a century ago. They are totally inadequate to point out

the sequence of ideas or the rapid development of events which in Central

Europe and the Balkans have been, as will be seen, the immediate causes

of the war; nor are the means employed by our diplomats at all sufficient

if they wish to recognize what forms the whole chain of the Pangerman

organization. Just because this organization is huge, just because it is

so complex, its total importance cannot be properly gauged unless the

connecting links between the varied elements are clearly perceived.

The typical professional diplomat lives in a world of his own. Either

his information comes from the office or it is second-hand; it rarely is

reached by direct observation of people or facts. The secretaries at the

Embassies divide their time between office work, copying documents in

copper plate hand, or social functions, pleasant enough but confined to

a particular and narrow set. Few of the secretaries know the language of

the country in which they reside, fewer still travel in the interior of

the land in order to study it.

The events which have led to the European conflagration spring from

two main causes: the stupendous scope of the German ambitions and the

progress of the Austro-Hungarian and Balkan nationalities. Now both these

factors have been revealed on many occasions, by purely local events

which, to a keen observer, would have betrayed most significantly the end

in view, but they have occurred for the most part in places far removed

from capital cities, and to appreciate fully their importance would have

needed direct observation on the spot.

This is quite contrary to the tradition followed by official diplomats.

Those of the Entente had not, at their disposal, agents who could go

and, for instance, hear the numerous lectures given by the Pangerman

propaganda, and who could have procured and translated for them the

illuminating pamphlets of the _Alldeutscher Verband_. Also they had no

means of getting into personal touch with the party leaders, either Slav

or Latin, of Austria-Hungary; often these leaders were men without a

place in parliament, frequently without fortune or social rank; all they

had was their national ideal, their strength of conviction, but they were

real and novel forces, for they acted on the popular masses with whom

they were in complete intellectual sympathy.

As the diplomatic corps of the Entente was not provided with that

indispensable aid—an organization of secondary agents of observation—they

have been reduced to accept information of a superficial and incomplete

nature. Often it was merely provided by press cuttings and even those

were frequently from papers written in a tongue which the diplomats

could not read; at best these cuttings were without any connecting link

and quite insufficient to warn them of the approach of a great peril.

We must add that in diplomatic circles of all periods—unless they are

led by some eminent man—there are certain formulas current, such as: “No

fuss,” “it is necessary to wait and see,” “we must not believe that it

has happened,” which have had a baneful influence. The result has been

a sceptical attitude which in diplomatical circles passes for essential

and in good taste. If we add to this frame of mind the absence of varied,

direct and coherent information, we can understand how it was that before

the war, when any one tried to persuade a professional diplomatist that

William II.’s political aim was nothing short of the establishment

of German supremacy over the whole world, he was soon set down as a

visionary with a head stuffed full of groundless suspicions.

Finally, we must realize that the system by which a diplomat is sent from

pillar to post, often to the antipodes, every four or five years, is not

conducive to the acquirement of a general and exact knowledge, founded

on documentary evidence, of events still in progress, in a wide zone, so

complex and so difficult to study as Central Europe and the Balkans.

These various considerations help us to understand why, during the

twenty-five years which preceded the war, no diplomat of the Allies

has been able to grasp the total Pangerman plan in its nature and in

its extent, though possibly a few of them may have indicated in their

reports now and then some local Pangerman act which aroused suspicion.

These considerations explain also, at least in part, the failure of the

diplomatic corps of the Entente in the Balkans.

* * * * *

To sum up, allied official diplomats are not personally inferior to

German official diplomats, but the latter have an enormous advantage

over their colleagues of the Entente in knowing the general plan of the

Berlin policy, in knowing, each in his own post, in what direction to

proceed and what must be done or prevented in order to attain the final

end. During the last twenty-five years the Kaiser’s foreign policy has

been constructive and framed on a definite plan, while the diplomats of

the Allies, reflecting the policy of their Governments without concrete

plans, have been hampered, because they believed obstinately in Peace, in

a vague and stagnant defensive. On the other hand, the allied diplomacy,

regarded as an instrument of observation, confined to old-fashioned

methods, is like an ordinary magnifying glass which shows nothing but

the largest objects. On the contrary, the German foreign policy, thanks

to the new, busy and secret organs, by which the German diplomacy has

been seconded, may be compared to a workshop provided with powerful

microscopes by which facts can be studied not only in their general

aspect, but also in their most minute details, details which often are

not without their importance.

Finally, the allied diplomacy, regarded as an instrument of action, still

clinging to antiquated traditional methods, may be compared to an army

which possesses only field guns, while the foreign diplomacy of Germany,

in its totality, is comparable to an army equipped both with heavy and

with field artillery.

The PanGerman Plot Unmasked: Berlin's formidable peace-trap of "the drawn war" · 第 1 / 9 章