The siege of Caffa, and the general circumstances of it, we may take as

historical on the authority of the Italian notary who was there; but it

may be doubted whether the plague began, as he says, among the nomade

hordes outside the fort. In sieges it has been not unusual for both sides

to suffer from infective disease; and although it is not always easy to

say where the disease may have begun, the presumption is that it arose

among those who were most crowded, most pressed by want, and most

desponding in spirit. It is, of course, not altogether inconceivable that

the Tartar besiegers of Caffa had bred a pestilential disease in their

camp; the nomades of the Cyrenaic plateau have bred bubo-plague itself

more than once in recent years in their wretched summer tents, and plague

has appeared from time to time in isolated or remote Bedouin villages on

the basaltic plateaus of Arabia. There is nothing in the nomade manner of

life adverse to pestilential products, least of all in the life of nomades

encamped for a season. But such outbreaks of bubo-plague or of typhus

fever have been local, sporadic, or non-diffusive. On the other hand the

plague which arose at the siege of Caffa was the Black Death, one of the

two greatest pestilences in the history of the world. Let us then see

whether there is any greater likelihood of finding inside the walls of

Caffa the lurking germs of so great a pestilence. Within the walls of the

Genoese trading fort were the Italian merchants driven in from all around

that region, with their merchandise--as De Mussis says, _fugientes pro

suarum tutione personarum et rerum_. Previous to their three years’ siege

in Caffa they, or some of them, had stood a siege in Tana, and had

retreated to the next post on the homeward route. Tana was at the

eastward bend of the Don, whence the road across the steppe is shortest to

the westward bend of the Volga; a little above the bend of the Volga was

the great city of Sarai--whence the caravans started on their overland

journey along northern parallels, across mountain ranges and the desert of

Gobi, to enter China at its north-western angle, just within the end of

the Great Wall[289]. The merchandise of Sarai and Tana was the return

merchandise of China--the bales of silks and fine cloths, spices and

drugs, which had become the articles of a great commerce between China and

Europe since Marco Polo first showed the way, and which continued to reach

Europe by the caravan routes until about 1360: then the route was closed

owing to the final overthrow of the authority of the Great Khan, which had

once secured a peaceful transit from the Yellow Sea to the Black Sea--so

completely closed that men forgot, two hundred years after, that it had

ever existed.

Did these bales of Chinese stuffs, carried into Caffa for protection,

contain the seeds of the Black Death? There is, at least, nothing

improbable in the seeds of plague lurking in bales of goods; that mode of

transmission was afterwards recognized as highly characteristic of the

plague during its Levantine days. Nor is there anything improbable in the

seeds of an infection being carried thousands of miles across the deserts

of Central Asia; cholera came in that way from India in 1827-8 by the

caravan-route to Cabul, Balkh, Bokhara, Khiva and the Kirghiz Steppe to

Orenburg, and again in 1847 to Astrakhan; and the slow land-borne viruses

of those two great epidemics exceeded in virulence the later importations

of cholera by the sea route from the East. Still farther, there is nothing

improbable in the germs of plague lying latent for a long time, or in the

disease existing as a potency although not manifested in a succession of

cases. The next stage of its progress, from Caffa to Genoa, illustrates

that very point; for we know that there were no cases of plague on board

ship, although the very atmosphere or smell of the new arrival seemed

sufficient to taint the whole air of Genoa, and to carry death to every

part of the city within a couple of days. And lastly the long imprisonment

of a virus in bales of goods, the crowding of merchants and merchandise

into the narrow space of a walled seaport, amidst the almost inevitable

squalor and fœtor of a three years’ siege, were the very circumstances

needed to raise the potency of the assumed virus to an unusual height, to

give it a degree of virulence that would make it effective, and a power of

diffusion that would spread and continue the liberated infection after the

manner of the greatest of pestilences.

Thus, if we have to choose between the origin of the plague-virus among

the Tartar hordes besieging the China merchants within the walls of Caffa,

and the pre-existence of that virus, for a long time latent, among the

goods or effects of the besieged, the latter hypothesis must be accorded

the advantage in probability. Accepting it, we follow the virus back to

Tana on the Don, from Tana to Sarai on the Volga, from Sarai by a

well-trodden route which need not be particularized[290], for many weeks’

journey until we come to the soil of China. According to a dominant school

of epidemiologists it is always enough to have traced a virus to a remote

source, to the “roof of the world” or to the back of the east wind, and

there to leave it, in the full assurance that there must have been

circumstances to account for its engendering there, perhaps in an equally

remote past, if only we knew them. If, however, we follow the trail back

definitely to China, it is our duty to connect it there with an actual

history or tradition, immemorial if need be, of Chinese plague. But there

is no such history or tradition to be found. We know something of the

China of Kublai Khan, fifty years before, from the book of Marco Polo; and

the only possible reference to plague there is an ambiguous statement

about “carbuncles” in a remote province, which was probably Yun-nan. Not

only so, but if we scrutinize the Chinese Annals closely, we shall find

that the thirty years preceding the Black Death were indeed marked by many

great calamities and loss of life on a vast scale, by floods, droughts,

earthquakes, famines and famine-fevers, but not by pestilence unconnected

with these; on the other hand, the thirty or forty years after the Black

Death had overrun Europe, beginning with the year 1352, are marked in the

Chinese Annals (as summarized in the _Imperial Encyclopædia_ of Peking,

1726) by a succession of “great plagues” in various provinces of the

Empire, which are not associated with calamitous seasons, but stand alone

as disease-calamities pure and simple[291]. If the Black Death connects at

all with events in China, these events were natural calamities and their

attendant loss of life, and not outbreaks of plague itself; for the

latter, assuming them to have been bubo-plague, were subsequent in China

to the devastation of Europe by the plague.

We are left, then, to make what we can of the antecedent calamities of

China; and we may now revert to the curious rumour of the time that the

relevant thing in China was the corruption of many corpses left unburied

after inundation, war and conflagration. So far as war and conflagration

are concerned they are quite subordinate; there was no war except an

occasional ineffective revolt in some remote western province, and the

conflagrations were minor affairs, noticed, indeed, in the Annals, but

lost among the greater calamities. The floods, droughts and famines were

events of almost annual recurrence for many years before, so that no

period in the Annals of China presents such a continuous picture of

national calamity, full as Chinese history has at all times been of

disasters of the same kind. It was the decadence of the great Mongol

empire, founded by Genghiz and carried by Kublai to that marvellous height

of splendour and prosperity which we read of in the book of Marco Polo.

The warlike virtues of the earlier Mongol rulers had degenerated in their

successors into sensual vices during the times of peace; and the history

of the country, priest-ridden, tax-burdened, and ruled by women and

eunuchs, neglected in its thousand water-ways and in all the safeguards

against floods and famine which wiser rulers had set up, became from year

to year an illustration of the ancient Chinese maxim, that misgovernment

in the palace is visited by the anger of the sky.

The following epitome of the calamities in China is taken from De

Mailla’s _Histoire générale de la Chine_. Paris, 1777, 9 vols. 4to., a

translation of the abridged official annals.

The year 1308 marks the beginning of the series of bad seasons.

Droughts in some places, floods in others, locusts and failure of the

crops, brought famine and pestilence. The people in Kiang-Hoaï were

reduced to live on wild roots and the bark of trees. In Ho-nan and

Chan-tong the fathers ate the flesh of the children. The imperial

granaries were still able to supply grain, but not nearly enough for

the people’s wants. The provinces of Kiang-si and Che-kiang were

depopulated by the plague or malignant fever which followed the

famine. The ministers sent in their resignations, which were not

accepted.

In 1313 the same events recur, including the resignations of

ministers. An epidemic carried off many in the capital, and the whole

empire was desolated by drought. At a council of ministers to devise

remedies and avert further calamities it was proposed by some to copy

the institutions of ancient empires celebrated for their virtue, and

by others to abolish the Bhuddist priesthood of Foh as the cause of

all misfortunes. The throne is now occupied by Gin-tsong, an emperor

of a serious and ascetic disposition. In 1314 he revived the old

Chinese system of competitive examinations and the distinctive dress

among the grades of mandarins, which the earlier Mongol rulers had

been able to dispense with. Next year there is a public distribution

of grain, and a check to the exactions of tax-gatherers in the

distressed districts. In 1317, it appears that the provincial

mandarins, in defiance of express orders, had neglected the laws of

Kublai with reference to the distribution of grain, although it was

dangerous to defer such public aid longer; they had failed also to

relax their rigour in collecting the taxes. One day the emperor found

at Peking a soldier in rags from a distant garrison, and discovered

that a system of embezzlement in the army clothing department had been

going on for five years. Gin-tsong is reported to have said to his

ministers, “My august predecessors have left wise laws, which I have

always had at heart to follow closely; but I see with pain that they

are neglected, and that my people are unhappy.”

In 1318 we read of a great flood in one province, of multitudes

drowned, and of a public distribution of grain. In 1320, forty of the

Censors of the Empire remonstrated against the cruel exactions of

“public leeches,” and against a practice of calumniating honest men so

as to get them out of the way. The emperor Gin-tsong died in that

year, aged thirty-three, and with his death the last serious attempt

to check the flood of corruption came to an end. In 1321 there is

drought in Ho-nan, followed by famine. In 1324 we read of droughts,

locusts, inundations and earthquakes. The emperor demanded advice of

the nobles, ministers and wise men, and received the following answer:

“While the palace of the prince is full of eunuchs, astrologers,

physicians, women, and other idle people, whose maintenance costs the

State an enormous sum, the people are plunged in extreme misery. The

empire is a family, and the emperor its father: let him listen to the

cries of the miserable.” In 1325 famine follows the disasters of the

year before; and we learn that the people were supplied from the full

granaries of the rich, who were paid, not out of the State treasury,

but by places in the mandarinate! In 1326 the tyranny and

licentiousness of the Bhuddist lamas reaches a climax, and an edict is

issued against them. The year 1327 is marked by a series of calamities

and portents--drought, locusts, ruined crops, earthquakes,

inundations. In 1330, again floods and the harvest destroyed, a cruel

famine in Hou-Kouang, millions of acres of land ruined, and 400,000

families reduced to beggary. In 1331 the harvest is worse than in the

year before--in Che-kiang there were more than 800,000 families who

did not gather a single grain of corn or rice,--and all the while

enormous taxes were ground out of universal poverty.

In 1333 begins the long and calamitous reign of Shun-ti, who came to

the throne a weak youth of thirteen. Next year the misfortunes of

China touch their highest point. Inundations ruined the crops in

Chan-tong; a drought in Che-kiang brought famine and pestilence; in

the southern provinces generally, famine and floods caused the deaths

of 2,270,000 families, or of 13,000,000 individuals. In 1336

inundations in Chan-tong ruined the harvest; in Kiang-nan and

Che-kiang the first harvest was a failure from drought, multitudes

perished of hunger, and a plague broke out. The emperor, insensible to

the misfortunes of his people, abandons himself to his pleasures. Next

year sees the first of those provincial revolts, led by obscure

Chinese peasants, which eventually overthrew the dynasty in 1368.

Floods occurred in more than one river basin, by which multitudes of

men and beasts were drowned; in the valley of the Kiang (a tributary

of the Hoang-ho) four millions perished. For several years we read of

numerous and repeated shocks of earthquakes, in 1341 of a great

famine, in 1342 of a famine so severe that human flesh was eaten, in

1343 of seven towns submerged, in 1344 of a great tract of country

inundated by the sea in consequence of an earthquake, in 1345 of

earthquakes in Pe-chili, in 1346 of earthquakes for seven days in

Chan-tong, and of a great famine in Chan-si. In 1347 earthquakes in

various provinces, and drought in Ho-tong, followed by many deaths.

The record of disasters in De Mailla’s abridged annals, and in Des

Guignes, who had clearly access to fuller narrations, comes to an end

for a time at the year 1347.

It will be observed that in these records there is comparatively little

said of epidemic sickness. The references to pestilence would in no case

suggest more than the typhus fever which has been the usual attendant upon

Chinese famines, and has never shown the independent vitality and

diffusive properties of plague. But the minor place occupied by actual

pestilence in China, in the years before the Black Death in Europe, is

brought out even more clearly on comparing that period with the section of

the Chinese annals for the generation following. In the chronology of

Chinese epidemics drawn up by Gordon (London, 1884) from the Peking

_Encyclopædia_ of 1726, there are, from 1308-1347, just the same entries

of pestilence as are given above from De Mailla’s and Des Guignes’ French

adaptation of the Annals. (Gordon makes the obvious mistake of attributing

to pestilence the enormous loss of life which the Annals clearly assigned

to floods and famines, with their attendant sickness.) But with the year

1352 we enter upon a great pestilential period, as clearly marked in the

history of China by the annual recurrence of vast epidemics as the decades

before it were marked by the unusual frequency of floods, famines and

earthquakes. Every year from 1352 to 1363, except 1355, has an entry of

“great pestilence” or “great plague” (yi-li), in one province or another,

although the old tale of floods and famines has come to an end in the

Annals. The last of the nearly continuous series of great pestilences is

in 1369, when there was a great pest in Fukien, and “the dead lay in heaps

on the ground.” There is then a break until 1380, and after that a longer

break until 1403. It would thus appear as if the great pestilential period

of China in the fourteenth century had not coincided with the succession

of disastrous seasons, but had followed the latter at a distinct interval.

Conversely the years of plague from 1352 to 1369 do not appear to have

been years of inundations and bad harvests; they stand out in the

chronology, by comparison, as years of plague-sickness pure and simple;

and although nothing is said to indicate the type of bubo-plague, yet the

disease can hardly be assumed to have been the old famine fevers or other

sickness directly due to floods and scarcity, so long as not a word is

said of floods and famines in that context or in the Annals generally. The

suggestion is that the soil of China may not have felt the full effects of

the plague virus, originally engendered thereon, until some few years

after the same had been carried to Europe, having produced there within a

short space of time the stupendous phenomenon of the Black Death. If

there be something of a paradox in that view, it is the facts themselves

that refuse to fall into what might be thought the natural sequence.

The historian Gaubil thinks that the national Annals make the most of

these recurring calamities, having been written by the official scribes of

the next dynasty, who sought to discredit the Mongol rule as much as

possible[292]; but it is not suggested that the compilers had invented the

series of disasters,--now in one province or river basin, now in another,

at one time with thirteen millions of lives lost, at another with four

hundred thousand families reduced to beggary, this time a drought, and

next time a flood, and in another series of years a succession of

destructive earthquakes.

We are here concerned with discovering any possible relation that these

disasters, coming one upon another almost without time for recovery, can

have had to the engendering of the plague-virus. According to the rumours

of the time, it was the corruption of unburied corpses in China which

caused the Black Death; and certainly the unburied corpses were there, a

_vera causa_, if that were all. Recent experiences in China make it easy

for us to construct in imagination the state of the shores of rivers after

those fatal inundations of the fourteenth century, or of the roadsides

after the recurring famines. Thus, of the famine of 1878 it is said[293]:

“Coffins are not to be got for the corpses, nor can graves be prepared for

them. Their blood is a dispersed mass on the ground, their bones lie all

about.... Pestilence [it is otherwise known to have been typhus fever]

comes with the famine, and who can think of medicine for the plague or

coffins for the multitude of the dead?” Or, again, according to a memorial

in the official Peking Gazette of 16 January, 1878, “the roads are lined

with corpses in such numbers as to distance all efforts for their

interment[294].”

There is much of sameness in the history of China from century to century;

what happened in 1878, and again on a lesser scale two or three years

ago, must have happened on an unparalleled scale year after year during

the ill-starred period which ended about 1342; there must have been no

ordinary break-down in the decencies and sanitary safeguards of interment

in such years as 1334, when thirteen millions (two million, two hundred

and seventy thousand families) were swept away by the floods of the

Yang-tsi, or destroyed by hunger and disease. But we are not left

altogether to the exercise of the imagination. A strangely vivid picture

remains to us of a scene in China in those years, which a returning

missionary saw as in a vision. The friar Odoric, of Pordenone, had spent

six years in Northern China previous to 1327 or 1328, when he returned to

Italy by one of the overland routes. The story of his travels[295] was

afterwards taken down from his lips, and it is made to end with one

gruesome scene, which is brought in without naming the time or the place.

It is a vision of a valley of death, invested with the same air of

generality as in Bunyan’s allegory of the common lot.

“Another great and terrible thing I saw. For, as I went through a

certain valley which lieth by the River of Delights (_flumen

deliciarum_) I saw therein many dead corpses lying. And I heard also

therein sundry kinds of music, but chiefly nakers, which were

marvellously played upon. And so great was the noise thereof that very

great fear came upon me. Now, this valley is seven or eight miles

long; and if any unbeliever enter therein, he quitteth it never again,

but perisheth incontinently. Yet I hesitated not to go in that I might

see once for all what the matter was. And when I had gone in I saw

there, as I have said, such numbers of corpses as no one without

seeing it could deem credible. And at one side of the valley, in the

very rock, I beheld as it were the face of a man very great and

terrible, so very terrible indeed that for my exceeding great fear my

spirit seemed to die in me. Wherefore I made the sign of the Cross,

and began continually to repeat _Verbum caro factum_, but I dared not

at all come nigh that face, but kept at seven or eight paces from it.

And so I came at length to the other end of the valley, and there I

ascended a hill of sand and looked around me.”

Narrated as it is of no specified place and of no one year of his journey,

it may stand, and perhaps it was meant to stand, for a common experience

of China in the period of Mongol decadence. Whether he left the country by

the gorges of the Yang-tsi and the Yun-nan route, or along the upper

basin of the Hoang-ho by the more usual northern route to the desert of

Gobi, his vision of a Valley of Corpses is equally significant.

The Theory of the Plague-Virus.

The question that remains is the connexion, in pathological theory,

between the bubo-plague and the corruption of the unburied dead or of the

imperfectly buried dead. Some such connexion was the rumour of the time,

before any scientific theory can well have existed. Also the factor in

question was undoubtedly there among the antecedents, if it were not even

the most conspicuous of the antecedents. But we might still be following a

wandering light if we were to trust the theory of the Black Death to those

empirical suggestions, striking and plausible though they be. It is not

for the Black Death only, but for the great plagues of the Mohammedan

conquests, which preceded the Black Death by many centuries and also

followed that great intercurrent wave until long after in their own strict

succession, for the circumscribed spots of plague in various parts of Asia

and Africa in our own day, and above all for the great plague of

Justinian’s reign,--it is for them all that a theory of bubo-plague is

needed. A survey of the circumstances of all these plagues will either

weaken or strengthen, destroy or establish, the theory that the virus of

the Black Death had arisen on the soil of China from the cadaveric poison

present in some peculiar potency, and had been carried to Europe in the

course of that overland trade at whose terminus we first hear of its

virulence being manifested.

The theory of the origin of the plague-virus from the corruption of the

dead was a common one in the sixteenth century. It was held by Ambroise

Paré among others, and it was elaborately worked out for the Egypt of his

day by Prosper Alpinus, physician to the Venetian Consulate at Cairo

towards the end of the same century. But the most brilliant exposition of

it, one of the finest exercises of diction and of reasoning that has ever

issued from the profession of medicine, was that given for the origin in

Egypt of the great plague of Justinian’s reign by Etienne Pariset,

secretary to the Académie de Médecine and commissioner from France to

study the plague in Syria and Egypt in 1829[296].

In the plague-stricken Egypt of that time, overburdened with population

and still awaiting the beneficent rule of Mehemet Ali, Dr Pariset had his

attention forcibly directed to the same contrast between the modern and

ancient manner of disposing of the dead, and to the insuitability of the

former to the Delta, which had been remarked by Prosper Alpinus in 1591,

and by De Maillet, French consul at Cairo, in 1735, and had been specially

dwelt upon by _philosophes_ of the eighteenth century, such as

Montesquieu, Volney and De Pauw. On the one hand he saw under his eyes

various revolting things in the Delta,--brick tombs invaded by water, an

occasional corpse floating at large, canals choked with the putrefying

bodies of bullocks dead of a murrain, the courtyards of Coptic and Jewish

houses, and the floors of mosques, churches and monasteries filled with

generations of the dead in their flooded vaults and catacombs. On the

other hand he saw, on the slopes of the Libyan range and on the edge of

the desert beyond the reach of the inundation, the occasional openings of

a vast and uncounted series of rock-grottoes in which the Egyptians of the

pre-Christian era had carefully put away every dead body, whether of bird,

or of beast, or of human kind. He was persuaded of the truth of Volney’s

remark, “In a crowded population, under a hot sun, and in a soil filled

deep with water during several months of every year, the _rapid_

putrefaction of bodies becomes a leaven of plague and of other

disease[297].” The remark of De Pauw, although it is not adduced, was

equally to the point: “Neither men nor beasts are any longer embalmed in

Egypt; but the ancient Egyptians seem to have done well in following that

mode, and in keeping the mummies in the deepest recesses of excavated

rocks.... Were we to note here all that those two nations [Arabs and

Turks] have left undone, and everything that they ought not to have done,

it would be easy to understand how a country formerly not altogether

unhealthy, is now become a hotbed of the plague[298].” These

eighteenth-century reflections, casual and discursive after the manner of

the time, were amplified by Pariset to scientific fulness and order, and

set in permanent classical form. Like De Pauw and Volney, he extolled the

ancient sanitary wisdom of Egypt, and excused the priestly mask of

superstition for the implicit obedience that it secured. De Pauw had

pointed out that the towns most remarkable for the worship of

crocodiles,--Coptos, Arsinöe (Crocodilopolis), and Athribis,--were all

situated on canals at some distance from the Nile; the crocodiles could

never have got to them unless the canals were kept clear; according to

Aelian and Eusebius the crocodile was the symbol of water fit to drink; so

that the superstitious worship of the animal was in effect the motive for

keeping the canals of the Nile in repair. The priests of Egypt, says

Pariset, with their apparatus of fictions and emblems, sought to veil from

the profane eyes of the vulgar and of strangers the secrets of a sublime

philosophy[299]. They made things sacred so as to make them binding, so as

to constrain by the force of religion, as Moses did, their disciple. They

had to reckon with the annual overflow of the Nile, with a hot sun, and a

crowded population. Suppose that all the dead animal matter, human or

other, were to be incorporated with the soil under these rapid changes of

saturation and drying, of diffusion and emanation, what a mass of poison,

what danger to the living! What foresight they showed in avoiding it, what

labour and effort, but what results! Can anyone pretend that a system so

vast, so beautiful, so coherent in all its parts, had been engendered and

conserved merely by an ignorant fanaticism, or that a people who had so

much of wisdom in their actions had none in their thoughts? Looking around

him at the Egypt of the Christian and Mohammedan eras, he asks, What has

become of that hygiene, attentive, scrupulous and enlightened, of that

marvellous police of sepulture, of that prodigious care to preserve the

soil from all admixture of putrescible matters? The ancient learning of

Egypt, the wisdom taught by hard experience in remote ages and perfected

in prosperous times, had gradually been overthrown, first by the Persian

and Greek conquests which weakened the national spirit, then by the Roman

conquest which broke it, then by the prevalence of the Christian

doctrines, and lastly by the Mohammedan domination, more hostile than all

the others to sanitary precaution.

Pariset’s remaining argument was that ancient Egypt, by its systematic

care in providing for a slow mouldering of human and animal bodies beyond

the reach of the inundation, had been saved from the plague; in the

historic period there had been epidemics, but these had been of typhus or

other sickness of prisons, slavery, and famines. According to Herodotus,

Egypt and Libya were the two healthiest countries under the sun. But when

St Paul’s vehement argument as to the natural and the spiritual body began

to make way, when men began to ask the question, “How are the dead raised

up, and with what body do they come?” the ancient practice of Egypt was

judged to be out of harmony with Christian doctrine. Embalming was

denounced as sinful by St Anthony, the founder of Egyptian monachism, in

the third century; and by the time that the church of North Africa had

reached its point of highest influence under St Augustine, bishop of

Hippo, the ancient religious rites of Egypt had everywhere given place to

Christian burial[300]. Bubo-plague had already been prevalent in at least

one disastrous epidemic in Lower Egypt at the time of the great massacres

of Christians in the episcopate of Cyprian; and in the year 542 it broke

out at Pelusium, one of the uncleannest spots in the Delta, spread thence

on the one hand along the North African coast, and on the other hand by

the corn ships to Byzantium, and grew into the disastrous world-wide

pestilence which has ever since been associated with the reign of

Justinian.

After the Mohammedan conquest things went from bad to worse; and from the

tenth century until the year 1846, plague had been domesticated on the

soil of Egypt.

The theory of Pariset was communicated by him to the Académie de Médecine

on 12 July, 1831, and finally published in a carefully designed and highly

finished essay in 1837. It was received with much disfavour; according to

his colleague Daremberg, the learned librarian of the Academy, nothing but

its brilliant style could have saved it from being forgotten in a week. It

was vigorously opposed by Clot Bey, on behalf of Egyptian officialdom,

because it fixed upon Egypt the stigma of holding in the soil an inherent

and abiding cause of the plague[301]. Besides the general objection that

it was the theorizing of a _philosophe_, exception was taken to particular

parts of the argument. Thus Labat demonstrated by arithmetic that the

mummied carcases of all the generations of men and animals in Egypt for

three thousand years would have required a space as large as the whole of

Egypt, which should thus have become one vast ossuary. And as to the fact,

he added, embalming was the privilege of the rich, and of some sacred

species of animals. Clot Bey asserted that the whole class of slaves were

not thought worthy of embalming. He found also, in the language used by

Herodotus, evidence that the people of Egypt felt themselves to be under

“the continual menace” of some great epidemic scourge and took precautions

accordingly--the very ground on which Pariset based his theory. The

objection which weighed most with Daremberg was the fact that, just about

the time when Pariset had asserted the immunity of Egypt from plague in

her prosperous days, evidence had been found, in the newly-discovered

collections of Oribasius, that a bubonic disease was recorded for Egypt

and Libya by a Greek physician two centuries before the Christian era, and

by another Greek medical writer about the beginning of our era.

It does not appear to have occurred to the opponents of Pariset’s theory

that the two chief objections, first that embalming was far from general,

and second that cases of plague did occur in ancient Egypt, answered each

other. But, as matter of fact, it can be shown that there were cheaper

forms of embalming practised for the great mass of the people. Again, it

was found by De Maillet that bodies not embalmed at all, but laid in

coarse cloths upon beds of charcoal under six or eight feet of sand at an

elevation on the edge of the great plain of mummies at Memphis, and beyond

the reach of the water, were as perfectly preserved from putrid decay as

if they had been embalmed, the dry air and the nitrous soil contributing

to their slow and inoffensive decomposition[302]. These facts tended to

support the notion that it was not ceremony which really determined the

national practice, but utility, into which neither art nor religion

necessarily entered. The existence also of bubonic disease in the period

of the Ptolemies proved that the risk assumed in Pariset’s theory was a

real risk, the precautions having been not always sufficient to meet it.

The plague which overran the known world in Justinian’s reign (542) was,

according to this theory, the effect on a grand scale of an equally grand

cause, namely, the final overthrow of a most ancient religion and national

life, which had not been built up for nothing and had a true principle

concealed beneath its superstitions. The parallelism between China and

ancient Egypt has been a favourite subject. In China whatever of religion

there is runs upon the Egyptian lines--reverence for the dead or worship

of ancestors. The Chinese do not indeed embalm their dead, but they

practise an equivalent art of preservation which may be read in almost

identical terms in the book of Marco Polo and in modern works on the

social life of China[303]. To prevent the products of cadaveric decay from

passing into the soil may be said to be the object of their practices. The

pains taken to secure dry burial-places are especially obvious in those

parts of the country, such as the “reed lands” of the Yang-tsi, which are

subject to inundations, annual or occasional[304]. Much of the national

art of Feng-shui is concerned, under the mask of divination, with these

common-sense aims.

Both Egypt and China are liable to have their river-basins flooded at one

time and parched to dust at another. These extreme fluctuations of the

ground water are now known to scientific research to be the cause of

peculiar and unwholesome products of putrefaction in the soil: given a

soil charged with animal matters, the risk to those living upon it is in

proportion to the range of fluctuation of the ground water. If it happen

as an annual thing that the pores of the ground are now full of water, now

full of air, or if these extreme alternations be a common liability, then

a soil with the products of animal decomposition dispersed through it will

be always unwholesome, and unwholesome on a national scale. It is often

held that even vegetables rotting on the ground are pestiferous; Ambroise

Paré believed that the rotting carcase of a stranded whale caused an

outbreak of bubo-plague at Genoa; but human decomposition is something

special--at least for the living of the same species[305]. Most special of

all is it when its gross and crude matters pass rapidly into the ground,

getting carried hither and thither by the movements of the ground water,

and giving off those half-products of oxidation which the extreme

alternations from air to water, or from water to air, in the pores of the

ground are known to favour. There may be nothing offensive to the sense,

but the emanations from such a soil will in all probability be poisonous

or pestilent. In particular circumstances of locality the permeation or

leavening of the soil with the products of organic decomposition produces

Asiatic cholera; in still more special circumstances the result is yellow

fever; in circumstances familiar enough to ourselves the result is typhoid

fever, and probably also summer diarrhœa or British cholera. These are all

soil poisons. Bubo-plague also is a soil poison; and it is claimed as

specially related to the products of _cadaveric_ decomposition, diffused

at large in such a soil as soil-poisons are ordinarily engendered in.

It is possible to subject that theory of the plague to the test of facts

still further. Thus bubo-plague dogged the steps of Mohammedan conquest

from the first century after the Hegira, now in Syria when Damascus was

the capital, now in Irak when Bagdad was the centre of Mohammedan rule,

now in Egypt when the seat of empire shifted to Grand Cairo; and, over a

great part of the period, simultaneously in all the regions of Islam. That

long series of plague-epidemics has been recorded in Arabic annals, and

has lately been published in an abstract accessible to all, with a summary

of conclusions[306].

What are the conclusions of the learned commentator on the Arabic annals,

as to the general causes of the thousand years of Mohammedan

plague?--“War, with the wasting of whole nations, in disregard of all

established rights, with plundering of towns and concentration of great

masses of men ill provided for and unregulated, who developed the seeds of

communicable and malignant diseases. Add to these things the negligent or

wholly neglected burial of those who had fallen in battle, the straits and

privations of the wounded, and the effects of a hot climate, especially in

flooded and swampy tracts of country.... The kind of burial, in very

shallow and often badly covered graves, which used to be practised in most

Eastern towns, and in part is still practised, may also have had

disastrous consequences not unfrequently.”

The Theory tested by Modern Instances.

With that general statement for the long succession of plague-epidemics in

Islam during nine centuries from the Hegira, beginning with a Syrian

epidemic in A.D. 628 and ending with a close succession of twelve

epidemics in Egypt from 1410 to 1492, we may pass to the more detailed

accounts of the conditions under which bubo-plague has been found in

various localities, often circumscribed spots far apart and out of the

way, during recent years. These spots are so varied, have so little

apparently in common, and are so capriciously chosen in the midst of

their several regions of the globe, that they do not readily fall into

any order or classification. What are we to make of a few spots of plague

among nomade Arabs of the Cyrenaic plateau; of plague in some stricken

villages high up in the highlands of Kurdistan, or in low-lying towns such

as Resht, near the shore of the Caspian, or amidst the black ooze of

amphibious habitations in the lower valley of Tigris and Euphrates; of

true bubonic disease in some few Bedouin villages or small towns on the

summits of the basaltic plateaus that rise like gigantic warts from the

Arabian desert; of bubo-plague in Yun-nan, at or near the capital Talifoo,

where the Mohammedan and Chinese influences have been struggling for

mastery, as well as among the cabins in the rocky valleys of the Salwen;

of some forty or fifty Himalayan hamlets picked out as plague-spots among

the six thousand villages of Kumaon; and of the now extinct but

comparatively recent centres of the same disease in the walled towns and

walled villages of Kutch, Kattiwar, and Marwar? And lastly what are we to

make of those cases of typhus fever with buboes which have been observed

in villages of the Yusufzai valley, near Peshawur, in 1852; in the Chinese

town of Pakhoi, on the gulf of Tonking, in 1886; occasionally among the

fever-cases in Burdwan since the health of that province underwent so

disastrous a change about the year 1870; and, on credible report, among

the troops in the Russo-Turkish war of 1879? It is surely unnecessary, at

least, to refute the sterile dogmatism that these are all the effects of

one pre-existing virus, carried, we know not how, from point to point of

the globe in an unbroken succession. It is a far cry even on a small-scale

map from Kumaon to Kutch, from Yun-nan to the Gulf of Tonking, from Resht

to the Armenian highlands, from the centre of Arabia to Tripoli, and from

Mesopotamia to North Yemen. And what is the use of assuming that there has

always been bubo-plague in the “cradle of the human race,” and concluding

that the Black Death was one of its excursions westwards, so long as the

plagues of Islam were going on from decade to decade, all through the

Middle Ages, at no great distance from Byzantium and from Western Europe?

Are not Damascus, Bagdad and Grand Cairo of more account as plague-foci

than a few villages in the Himalaya or in Kattiwar, even granting that the

plague may have been in the latter at an earlier date than we know? It is

not communication that connects the several seats of plague, scattered

widely in time and place; but it is community of conditions, or of the

causes and associated circumstances which breed the plague in each

separately. Let us take them in some sort of order.

Among the most remarkable habitats of modern bubo-plague are the villages

on the basalt plateaus of the Arabian desert. We have information of these

plague-spots from Doughty[307], who did not indeed visit Assir, the most

notorious of them, but several others more to the north and east. He

describes the ruined villages of Mogug, Gofar, Hâyil and others, where the

people had died of plague some years before. A year of dearth preceded the

plague in some, if not in all of them. The author is struck by the

carelessness of burial, or the difficulties of it in the baked soil,

although he does not directly connect that with the epidemics. Thus, in

passing the graveyard of Hâyil, one of the plague-towns, he remarks:

“Aheyd was a man of much might and glory in his day; he lies a yard under

the squalid gravel in his shirt.” Of Kheybar, with vague traditions of

plague, he says: “We passed through a burial-ground of black volcanic

mould and salt-warp; the squalid grave heaps are marked with headstones of

wild basalt. That funeral earth is chapped and ghastly, bulging over her

enwombed corses, like a garden soil in spring-time which is pushed by the

new spring plants. All is horror at Kheybar!” He is led to the following

general remarks: “The care of sepulture was beyond measure in the

religions of antiquity, which were without humility. Under the new

religion [of Arabia] the deceased is wound in a shirt-cloth of calico, and

his corse is laid in the shallow pit of droughty earth.” Again, of Bedouin

burials in general: “The deceased is buried the same day or on the morrow.

They scrape out painfully with a stick and their hands in the hard-burned

soil a shallow grave. I have seen their graves in the desert ruined by

foul hyenas, and their winding-sheets lay half above ground.”

Of the best known of these Arabian plague-spots the plateau of Assir, to

the south-east of Mecca, we have the following information relating to the

years 1874-79[308]; the chief plague-locality is Namasse, the principal

town of Beny Sheir, with five other villages.

The site is on a mountain ridge too high for camels, the climate is

cold and moist, the soil fruitful, springs abundant, and no standing

water. The houses are built of stone, and stand close together. The

ground-floor of each house is used as the stable; and as the winter in

these mountains is very severe, so that water freezes, the inhabitants

live with their cattle in a horrible state of filth. According to

information from the district superintendent, there had been plague in

a few villages every two or three years for the previous thirty-five

or forty years. It has seldom extended further than five or six

leagues. The region is a mountain canton, with no trade; it is cut off

from the rest of the world. The disease is mostly attended with buboes

in the groins, armpits, and neck, but not always; sometimes petechial

spots were spoken of; in the sheikh Faïk’s own household the disease

began with rigors, and developed buboes, petechiæ, headache and

burning thirst. Dr Nury counted up in six villages, with a population

of eight hundred, cases of plague to the number of 184 (68 men, 45

women, 50 boys and 21 girls), with 155 deaths and 29 recoveries.

Let us now place beside this the accounts of the plague in the mountains

village of Kumaon[309].

Of the plague-villages of Danpore and Munsharee, near the snow, we read:

“Their houses are generally built of stone, one storey high. On the

ground-floor herd the cattle; in this compartment the dung is allowed

to accumulate till such time as there is no room left for the cattle

to stand erect; it is then removed and carefully packed close around

all sides, so that the house literally stands in the centre of a

hot-bed.... In many instances we have seen it accumulated above the

level of the floor of the upper story in which the family lives.” In

that compartment, four feet high, with no window and a door of some

three feet by eighteen inches, ten or fifteen people live, lying

huddled together with the door shut. Their food is as poor as their

lodging. When plague breaks out, the family ties are rudely loosened:

those who can, flee to the jungle, leaving the stricken to their fate.

The following is by Renny: “Fourteen died at a place in the forest

half a mile or more from Duddoli, respecting which I had the best

description yet given to me of the career of the sickness. Here were

only two houses, or long low huts, occupied by two separate families,

the heads being two brothers, sixteen souls in all. These two huts had

to contain also thirty head of cattle, large and small, at the worst

season of the year. In these two huts the Mahamurree [bubo-plague]

commenced about ten or eleven months ago, corresponding to the time it

appeared in Duddoli. At this place the sixteen residents kept together

till fourteen died, and one adult only, a man of about thirty years of

age, with his female child of six years old, survived. There was no

particular disorder among the cattle, but the outbreak of the plague

was preceded and accompanied by a great mortality among the rats in

their houses.”

Let us now take the accounts, twenty-five years later, of the plague in

the same district in 1876-77[310].

Confirming the earlier statements as to the extraordinary filth of the

houses--the cattle under the same roof and the baskets of damp and

unripe grain--he directs attention specially to the disposal of the

dead. The custom of the country is to burn the body beside the most

convenient mountain stream terminating in the Ganges. But from that

good practice the people have deviated in regard to bodies dead of any

pestilence (smallpox, cholera, plague), which are buried. Of all

countries the Himalaya is least suited to the burial of the dead. For,

by reason of the rocky subsoil, it is seldom possible to dig a grave

more than two feet deep; and, as a rule, the pestilent dead are laid

in shallow trenches in the surface soil of the field nearest to the

place of death, or of the terrace facing the house, or even of the

floor of the house itself. This bad practice is begotten of fear to

handle the body, and has been long established. Such mismanagement of

the dead is sufficient to account for the continuous existence of the

active principle of plague-disease, sometimes dormant for want of

opportunity, but ever ready to affect persons suitably prepared by any

cause producing a low or bad state of health. In the houses of

families about to suffer from an outbreak of plague, rats are

sometimes found dead on the floor. Planck had seen them himself; all

that he had seen appeared to have died suddenly, as by suffocation,

their bodies being in good condition, a piece of rag sometimes

clenched in the teeth. He mentions nine villages, all of them endemic

seats of plague, in which the premonitory death of rats in the

infected houses was testified. The affected villages were not one in a

hundred of all the villages of Kumaon, and were widely scattered

throughout the northern half of the province. Even in each of those

few villages, the plague is confined to one house, or one terrace, or

one portion of the village.

Let us turn next to the small spots of bubo-plague in the remote province

of Yun-nan. Our information comes from members of the British and French

Consular services[311].

The plague occurs in towns and villages and is the cause of much

mortality. After ravaging villages scattered about the plains, it

frequently ascends the mountains, and takes off many of the aborigines

inhabiting the high lands. What, in M. Rocher’s opinion, aggravates

the evil is the practice of not burying the bodies of those who die of

this disease. Instead of being buried, the body is placed on a bier

and exposed to the sun. As a consequence of this practice the

traveller passing the outskirts of a village where the plague is

raging is nearly choked with the nauseous smell emanating from the

exposed and rotting corpses. Burial is the usual mode of disposal,

although many of the villages are on rocky mountain sides, as in

Kumaon. The rats are first affected; as soon as they sicken, they

leave their holes in troops, and after staggering about and falling

over each other, drop down dead. Mr Baber had the same information

from a French missionary in the upper valley of the Salwen, a long,

low valley about two miles broad, walled in by immense precipices, so

hot in summer that the inhabitants go up the hill sides to live. The

approach of bubo-plague (the buboes may be as large as a hen’s or

goose’s egg) may often be known from the extraordinary behaviour of

the rats, who leave their holes and crevices and issue on to the

floors without a trace of their accustomed timidity, springing

continually upwards from their hind legs as if they were trying to

jump out of something. The rats fall dead, and then comes the turn of

the poultry, pigs, goats, etc. The good father had a theory of his own

that the plague is really a pestilential emanation slowly rising in an

equable stratum from the ground, the smallest creatures being first

engulfed. The larger plague-centre at or near the capital, Talifoo,

appears to be related to Mohammedan warfare, and possibly to the

neglect to bury the dead, which is an admitted fact, although not

connected by the narrator with the prevalence of plague.

The other Chinese plague-spot is hundreds of miles away, on the shores of

the Gulf of Tonking. The best known centre of plague is the port of

Pakhoi, the native quarter of which is described as peculiarly filthy. The

houses are little cleaner than the streets, the floors being saturated

with excrement, and the drains being either close to the surface or open

altogether. An outbreak of plague there in 1882 is minutely described by

Dr Lowry[312].

It occurred in the hot weather of June (85° Fahr. day, 76° Fahr.

night); for fear of thieves the houses are carefully shut up even on

the hottest night. The epidemic caused about 400 to 500 deaths in a

population of 25,000. The disease does not spread. In nearly every

house where the disease broke out, the rats had been coming out of

their holes and dying on the floors: Dr Lowry dissected several of

them, and found the lungs congested. In the human subject, except for

the buboes, the disease resembled typhus: “anyone going to the bedside

of a patient would certainly at first think it was that disease he had

to deal with.” The same disease occurred at Lien-chow, a city twelve

miles off. Another English physician in the service of the China

Maritime Customs heard of a malady with the symptoms of plague in

certain districts of Southern Kiangsi in the autumn of 1886; but no

particulars were to be had. Typhus was prevalent, and very fatal,

every year in the towns, villages and hamlets of Northern Kiangsi.

One curious piece of evidence as to the death of rats, not associated

with plague in men, comes from a more northern province of China. In

the autumn of 1881, on the opposite side of the Yang-tsi from Nanking

and in the western suburbs of the ancient capital, the rats emerged

from holes in dwellings, jumped up, turned round, and fell dead.

Baskets and boxes filled with their bodies were cast into the canal.

“Here,” says Dr Macgowan, “was evidently a subsoil poison which

affected the animals precisely in the same way as the malaria of the

Yun-nan pest. Happily the subterranean miasm at Nanking did not affect

animals that live above ground[313].”

The evidence from Kutch, Kattiwar, and Marwar relates to the years

1815-20, and 1838. In circumstances peculiar in some respects, namely, of

walled towns and stockaded villages, but the same as those already given

in the matter of filth from cattle crowded into the human dwellings, we

find bubo-plague breaking out so long as the unwholesome state of things

lasted under Mahratta rule and until British rule had been fairly at work.

The causes of the bubo-plague, says Whyte, were the same as of

typhus--walled and crowded towns, cattle housed with human beings, slow

wasting diseases among the cattle, which were not killed for food but

kept for milk and ghee. He questions whether, in shutting out their

enemies, they had not shut in one far more powerful[314]. Here also we

have various independent witnesses[315] testifying to the premonitory

death of the rats; they lay dead in all places and directions--in the

streets, houses, and hiding-places of the walls. This happened in every

town that was affected in Marwar, so that the inhabitants of any house

instantly quitted it on seeing a dead rat.

Relation of Typhus to Bubo-plague.

The smallest and the most easily surveyed of all the recent foci of

bubo-plague, is that among the Bedouin of the Cyrenaic plateau in North

Africa (port of Benghazi), a desert region corresponding to one of the

most famous corn-lands of antiquity.

There was no difference of opinion that the small outbreak of plague

in 1874 began simultaneously in the tents of Orphas and the tents of

Ferig-el-Hanan, containing together about a hundred souls[316]. These

Arabs keep cows, sheep and goats; some of them also cultivate small

patches of corn. They are subject to periodic famines, and there had

been much want among them in 1869, 1870, 1871, 1872 and 1873, attended

by epidemics of typhus, cholera and smallpox. In the winter they found

employment among the traders of Merdjé, and at the end of March, 1873,

had quitted that village to place their animals in the neighbouring

hill-pastures. The ground had been saturated, after long drought, by

the rains of the winter. Their tents are pitched in hollows which may

be filled by water in a few minutes. The encampments, like those of

the Bedouin in Arabia, are excessively filthy and are often the scene

of typhus fever. In April, 1874, the plague began, the first case

being in a child; the buboes were in the groin, armpit or neck. The

other symptoms were bilious vomiting, black vomit, haematemesis,

petechiae, anthraceous boils, pains in the head, collapse, and

delirium. A few cases were mild, but the majority grave and fatal; in

several cases there was a relapse with new buboes. The disease was

brought from the tents to the village of Merdjé, in which 270 were

attacked in a population of 310, with 100 deaths. The total known

attacks from 5 April to 24 July were 533 in a population of 734, with

208 deaths and 325 recoveries, 201 resisting the infection. The

sanitary state of the village was as bad as that of the tents: the

houses, entered by a low door, had windows not to the sun, but to the

courtyard, which is a stable choked with filth; the floors of the

houses are covered with filth. The graveyard is in the centre of the

village, beside a pool of standing water: the graves are shallow, and

the corpses are sometimes unearthed by jackals. Both in the village

and in the encampments a fall of rain was followed by a new series of

attacks. The advice of the sanitary commisioner was to make graves at

least six feet deep, and to cover them with lime.

These events in 1874 were an exact repetition of those of 1858. In both

years heavy rains followed long drought, giving promise of an abundant

harvest after a period of famine. The dry years, in both instances, were

attended with sickness, typhus and other; the first wet season turned the

sickness to plague, that is to say, it added the complication of buboes

and haemorrhagic symptoms to the characters of typhus. The meaning of that

seems to be that the saturation of the ground generated a soil-poison

where there had previously been the milder aerial poison of typhus. This

view of plague, as a typhus of the soil, or a disease made so much more

malignant than typhus just because of underground fermentation of the

putrescible animal matters, is borne out by the facts already given for

China and for India. The latter country furnishes other illustrations of

typhus fever becoming complicated with buboes, and so becoming something

like plague. Perhaps the best instance is the fever observed in the

Yusufzai valley, near Peshawur, in 1852[317].

It arose mostly in the filthy Mohammedan houses, shared by cattle and

human beings; but it invaded some of the cleaner Hindoo houses also.

The disease began in low, marshy situations, which were covered with

water after rain and heavy night dews. It was of the type of typhus,

or relapsing fever, with yellowness of the skin, bleeding from the

gums, and from the bowels, and often from the nose. One of the

observers says: “The only other concomitant affection worthy of note

is swelling of the lymphatic glands over various parts of the body;

this, however, is only met with in a very few instances.” The other

authority says: “Inflammation and suppuration of the glands in the

groin, axilla, and neck occurred in some that survived the first or

second relapse.” To this outbreak, which is removed only in degree

from the Benghazi plague, the Pakhoi plague, and the Pali plague

(Gujerat), may be added some others, about which the information is

more general. Thus, the fevers which have become notorious in Burdwan

since the health of that province changed so disastrously owing to the

damming of the ground-water, are said to have been attended now and

then with buboes. The typhus fever at Saugor in 1859 was occasionally

complicated with suppuration of the lymphatic glands: “In the Doab, as

in the subsequent gaol attack, the glands in the groin were very

rarely affected; those in the neck were more frequently affected, but

this was not a prominent feature in the disease[318].” Again, General

Loris Melikoff told the correspondent of the _Golos_ that twenty men

died in a day in the Russo-Turkish war in the winter of 1878, with

glandular swellings; everywhere there was Schmutz, Schmutz! And

lastly, in the epidemic of 1878 at Vetlianka, on the Volga, which is

reckoned among the historic occurrences of bubo-plague in Europe, the

first ten cases in November, 1878, had suppurating glands in the

axilla, did not take to bed, and recovered; there had been ordinary

typhus in the filthy fisher cottages in 1877, and there was typhus

concurrent with the disease which at length became, and was at length

recognized as, true bubo-plague in the winter of 1878-79[319].

One thing which distinguishes these recent outbreaks of plague from the

great plague of Justinian’s reign, in part from the series of Mohammedan

plagues, and from the Black Death, is that they have for the most part

shown no independent vitality and no diffusive power. As in typhus fever

itself (except on great occasions), they have been almost confined to

those who lived in the filthy houses, and to those who came within the

influence of the pestilential emanations. The great plagues of the 6th and

14th centuries had, on the other hand, a diffusive power which carried

them over the whole known world. The buboes of Egypt and of China became

familiar as far as Norway and Greenland.

But, apart from diffusiveness, the conditions of recent local plagues are

not unlike those of the great historical epidemics. The very same

observation of the rats leaving their holes, which is so abundantly

confirmed from the recent plague-spots of Southern China, of Yun-nan, of

Kumaon, and of Gujerat, was familiar in the plague-books of London and of

Edinburgh in the Elizabethan period. Of the great outbreak in 1603, Thomas

Lodge writes: “And when as rats, moules, and other creatures (accustomed

to live underground) forsake their holes and habitations, it is a token of

corruption in the same, by reason that such sorts of creatures forsake

their wonted places of aboade[320].” That is only one of many proofs that

the virus of plague has its habitat in the soil, although it may be

carried long distances clinging to other things. In its most diffusive

potency it is a soil-poison generated, we may now say with some

confidence, out of the products of cadaveric decay[321]; in its less

diffusive but hardly less malignant potency, it is a soil-poison generated

out of the filth of cattle housed with human beings, or out of domestic

filth generally, and in nearly all the known instances of such generation,

associated with, but perhaps not absolutely dependent upon, carelessness

in the disposal of the dead after famine or fever; in the least malignant

form, when plague is only a small part of an epidemic of typhus and with

the buboes inclined to suppurate, it appears to be still a soil-poison,

and to differ from typhus itself, just because the pestilential product of

decomposing filth has been engendered in the pores of the ground, rather

than in the atmosphere of living-rooms.

* * * * *

The Black Death, which here concerns us immediately, is one of the two

great instances of a plague-virus with vast diffusive power, enormous

momentum, and centuries of endurance. So great effects may be said to

postulate adequate causes; and one must assume that the virus had been

bred from cadaveric decomposition in circumstances of peculiar

aggravation and on some vast or national scale. The sequence of events

carries us to China; and the annals of China do furnish evidence that the

assumed cause was there on a vast scale through a long period of national

disaster, while the national customs of China for the disposal of the

dead, like those of ancient Egypt, point to the existence of a real risk

from allowing the soil to be permeated at large by the crude or hasty

products of cadaveric decomposition.

It is our duty to construct the best hypothesis we can, sparing no labour.

No one really dispenses with theory, whatever his protestations to the

contrary; those who are the loudest professors of suspended judgment are

the most likely to fall victims to some empty verbalism which hangs loose

at both ends, some ill-considered piece of argument which ignores the

historical antecedents and stops short of the concrete conclusions. It has

been so in the case of infective diseases, and of bubo-plague in

particular. The virus of the plague, we are told, is specific; it has

existed from an unknown antiquity, and has come down in an unbroken

succession; we can no more discover how it arose, than we can tell how the

first man arose, or the first mollusc, or the first moss or lichen; its

species is, indeed, of the nature of the lowest vegetable organisms.

The objection to that hypothesis of plague is that it involves a total

disregard of facts. It is a mere formula, which saves all trouble,

dispenses with all historical inquiry, and appears to be adapted equally

to popular apprehension and to academic ease. The bubo-plagues of history

have not, in fact, been all of the same descent; notably the Black Death

was a wave of pestilence which Mohammedan countries, accustomed as they

had been to native bubo-plagues for centuries before, recognized as an

invasion from a foreign source, as an interruption of the sequence of

their own plagues. Again, the attempt to link in one series the various

scattered and circumscribed spots of plague now or lately existing must

fail disastrously the moment it is seriously attempted. The hypothesis of

one single source of the plague, of a species of disease arising we know

not how, beginning we know not when or where, but at all events reproduced

by ordinary generation in an unbroken series of cases, _ab aevo, ab ovo_,

is the merest verbalism, wanting in reality or concreteness, and dictated

by the curious illusion that a species of disease, because it reproduces

itself after its kind, must resemble in other respects a species of living

things.

The diffusive power of the virus of the Black Death, which has been

equalled only by that of the plague in Justinian’s reign, may seem to have

depended upon the favouring conditions that it met with. But although

favouring conditions count for much, they are not all. The Black Death

raged as furiously as anywhere among the nomade Tartars who were its first

victims; the virus, as soon as it was let loose, put forth a degree of

virulence which must have been native to it, or brought with it from its

place of engendering. None the less the incidence of the Black Death in

Europe had depended in part upon the preparedness of the soil. It came to

Europe in the age of feudalism and of walled towns, with a cramped and

unwholesome manner of life, and inhabited spots of ground choked with the

waste matters of generations. But even amidst these generally fostering

conditions, there would have been more special things that determined its

election. It is a principle exemplified in all importations of disease

from remote sources, in smallpox among the aerial contagions and in

Asiatic cholera among the soil-poisons, that the conditions which favour

diffusion abroad are approximately the same amidst which the infection had

been originally engendered. A soil-poison of foreign origin makes straight

for the most likely spots in the line of its travels; it may not, and

often does not confine itself to these, but it gives them a preference.

Thus, if we conclude on the evidence that the bubo-plague is a soil-poison

having a special affinity to the products of cadaveric decomposition, we

shall understand why the Black Death, when it came to England, found so

congenial a soil in the monasteries, and in the homes of the clergy.

Within the monastery walls, under the floor of the chapel or cloisters,

were buried not only generations of monks, but often the bodies of

princes, of notables of the surrounding country, and of great

ecclesiastics. In every parish the house of the priest would have stood

close to the church and the churchyard. One has to figure the virus of the

Black Death not so much as carried by individuals from place to place in

their persons, or in their clothes and effects, but rather as a leaven

which had passed into the ground, spreading hither and thither therein as

if by polarizing the adjacent particles of the soil, and that not

instantaneously like a physical force, but so gradually as to occupy a

whole twelvemonth between Dorset and Yorkshire. Sooner or later it reached

to every corner of the land, manifesting its presence wherever there were

people resident. Such universality in the soil of England, we have reason

to think, it had. But it appears to have put forth its greatest power in

the walled town, in the monastery, and in the neighbourhood of the village

churchyard.

A History of Epidemics in Britain, Volume 1 (of 2) From A.D. 664 to the Extinction of Plague · 第 5 / 19 章