Israel

Israel has a technologically advanced market economy. It

depends on imports of crude oil, grains, raw materials, and military

equipment. Despite limited natural resources, Israel has intensively

developed its agricultural and industrial sectors over the past 20

years. Cut diamonds, high-technology equipment, and agricultural

products (fruits and vegetables) are the leading exports. Israel

usually posts sizable trade deficits, which are covered by large

transfer payments from abroad and by foreign loans. Roughly half of

the government's external debt is owed to the US, its major source

of economic and military aid. Israel's GDP, after contracting

slightly in 2001 and 2002 due to the Palestinian conflict and

troubles in the high-technology sector, grew about 5% per year from

2004-07. The global financial crisis of 2008-09 spurred a brief

recession in Israel, but the country entered the crisis with solid

fundamentals - following years of prudent fiscal policy and a series

of liberalizing reforms - and a resilient banking sector, and the

economy has shown signs of an early recovery. Following GDP growth

of 4% in 2008, Israel's GDP slipped to 0.2% in 2009, but reached

3.4% in 2010, as exports rebounded. The global economic downturn

affected Israel's economy primarily through reduced demand for

Israel's exports in the United States and EU, Israel's top trading

partners. Exports account for about 25% of the country's GDP. The

Israeli Government responded to the recession by implementing a

modest fiscal stimulus package and an aggressive expansionary

monetary policy - including cutting interest rates to record lows,

purchasing government bonds, and intervening in the foreign currency

market. The Bank of Israel began raising interest rates in the

summer of 2009 when inflation rose above the upper end of the Bank's

target and the economy began to show signs of recovery.

Italy

Italy has a diversified industrial economy, which is divided

into a developed industrial north, dominated by private companies,

and a less-developed, welfare-dependent, agricultural south, with

high unemployment. The Italian economy is driven in large part by

the manufacture of high-quality consumer goods produced by small and

medium-sized enterprises, many of them family owned. Italy also has

a sizable underground economy, which by some estimates accounts for

as much as 15% of GDP. These activities are most common within the

agriculture, construction, and service sectors. Italy has moved

slowly on implementing needed structural reforms, such as reducing

graft, overhauling costly entitlement programs, and increasing

employment opportunities for young workers, particularly women. The

international financial crisis worsened conditions in Italy's labor

market, with unemployment rising from 6.2% in 2007 to 8.4% in 2010,

but in the longer-term Italy's low fertility rate and quota-driven

immigration policies will increasingly strain its economy. A rise in

exports and investment driven by the global economic recovery

nevertheless helped the economy grow by about 1% in 2010 following a

5% contraction in 2009. The Italian government has struggled to

limit government spending, but Italy's exceedingly high public debt

remains above 115% of GDP, and its fiscal deficit - just 1.5% of GDP

in 2007 - exceeded 5% in 2009 and 2010, as the costs of servicing

the country's debt rose.

Jamaica

The Jamaican economy is heavily dependent on services, which

now account for more than 60% of GDP. The country continues to

derive most of its foreign exchange from tourism, remittances, and

bauxite/alumina. Remittances account for nearly 15% of GDP and

exports of bauxite and alumina make up about 10%. Tourism revenues

account for roughly 10% of GDP, and both arrivals and revenues grew

in 2010, up 4% and 6% respectively. The Economic growth faces many

challenges: high crime and corruption, large-scale unemployment and

underemployment, and a debt-to-GDP ratio of more than 120%.

Jamaica's onerous debt burden - the fourth highest per capita - is

the result of government bailouts to ailing sectors of the economy,

most notably to the financial sector in the mid-to-late 1990s. The

Government of Jamaica signed a $1.27 billion, 27-month Standby

Agreement with the International Monetary Fund for balance of

payment support in February 2010. Other multilaterals have also

provided millions of dollars in loans and grants. The government's

difficult fiscal position hinders spending on infrastructure and

social programs, particularly as job losses rise in a shrinking

economy. The GOLDING administration faces the difficult prospect of

having to achieve fiscal discipline in order to maintain debt

payments, while simultaneously attacking a serious and growing crime

problem that is hampering economic growth. High unemployment

exacerbates the crime problem, including gang violence that is

fueled by the drug trade.

Jan Mayen

Jan Mayen is a volcanic island with no exploitable natural

resources, although surrounding waters contain substantial fish

stocks and potential untapped petroleum resources. Economic activity

is limited to providing services for employees of Norway's radio and

meteorological stations on the island.

Japan

In the years following World War II, government-industry

cooperation, a strong work ethic, mastery of high technology, and a

comparatively small defense allocation (1% of GDP) helped Japan

develop a technologically advanced economy. Two notable

characteristics of the post-war economy were the close interlocking

structures of manufacturers, suppliers, and distributors, known as

keiretsu, and the guarantee of lifetime employment for a substantial

portion of the urban labor force. Both features are now eroding

under the dual pressures of global competition and domestic

demographic change. Japan's industrial sector is heavily dependent

on imported raw materials and fuels. A tiny agricultural sector is

highly subsidized and protected, with crop yields among the highest

in the world. Usually self sufficient in rice, Japan imports about

60% of its food on a caloric basis. Japan maintains one of the

world's largest fishing fleets and accounts for nearly 15% of the

global catch. For three decades, overall real economic growth had

been spectacular - a 10% average in the 1960s, a 5% average in the

1970s, and a 4% average in the 1980s. Growth slowed markedly in the

1990s, averaging just 1.7%, largely because of the after effects of

inefficient investment and an asset price bubble in the late 1980s

that required a protracted period of time for firms to reduce excess

debt, capital, and labor. The Japanese financial sector was not

heavily exposed to sub-prime mortgages or their derivative

instruments and weathered the initial effect of the recent global

credit crunch, but a sharp downturn in business investment and

global demand for Japan's exports in late 2008 pushed Japan further

into recession. Government stimulus spending helped the economy

recover in late 2009 and 2010, but Tokyo is warning that GDP growth

will slow in 2011. Prime Minister Kan's government has proposed

opening the agricultural and services sectors to greater foreign

competition and boosting exports through free-trade agreements, but

debate continues on restructuring the economy and funding new

stimulus programs in the face of a tight fiscal situation. Japan's

huge government debt, which is approaching 200 percent of GDP,

persistent deflation, and an aging and shrinking population are

major complications for the economy.

Jersey

Jersey's economy is based on international financial

services, agriculture, and tourism. In 2005 the finance sector

accounted for about 50% of the island's output. Potatoes,

cauliflower, tomatoes, and especially flowers are important export

crops, shipped mostly to the UK. The Jersey breed of dairy cattle is

known worldwide and represents an important export income earner.

Milk products go to the UK and other EU countries. Tourism accounts

for one-quarter of GDP. In recent years, the government has

encouraged light industry to locate in Jersey with the result that

an electronics industry has developed, displacing more traditional

industries. All raw material and energy requirements are imported as

well as a large share of Jersey's food needs. Light taxes and death

duties make the island a popular tax haven. Living standards come

close to those of the UK.

Jordan

Jordan's economy is among the smallest in the Middle East,

with insufficient supplies of water, oil, and other natural

resources, underlying the government's heavy reliance on foreign

assistance. Other economic challenges for the government include

chronic high rates of poverty, unemployment, inflation, and a large

budget deficit. Since assuming the throne in 1999, King ABDALLAH has

implemented significant economic reforms, such as opening the trade

regime, privatizing state-owned companies, and eliminating most fuel

subsidies, which in the past few years have spurred economic growth

by attracting foreign investment and creating some jobs. The global

economic slowdown, however, has depressed Jordan's GDP growth.

Export-oriented sectors such as manufacturing, mining, and the

transport of re-exports have been hit the hardest. The Government

approved two supplementary budgets in 2010, but sweeping tax cuts

planned for 2010 did not materialize because of Amman's need for

additional revenue to cover excess spending. The budget deficit is

likely to remain high, at 5-6% of GDP, and Amman likely will

continue to depend heavily on foreign assistance to finance the

deficit in 2011. Jordan's financial sector has been relatively

isolated from the international financial crisis because of its

limited exposure to overseas capital markets. Jordan is currently

exploring nuclear power generation to forestall energy shortfalls.

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan, geographically the largest of the former

Soviet republics, excluding Russia, possesses enormous fossil fuel

reserves and plentiful supplies of other minerals and metals, such

as uranium, copper, and zinc. It also has a large agricultural

sector featuring livestock and grain. Kazakhstan's industrial sector

is primarily focused on the extraction and processing of these

natural resources. Kazakhstan enjoyed double-digit growth in 2000-01

and 8% or more per year in 2002-07 - thanks largely to its booming

energy sector but also to economic reform, good harvests, and

increased foreign investment; GDP growth slowed dramatically

following the near-collapse of the banking sector in late 2007 and

the declines in oil and metals prices associated with the global

economic downturn in 2008-09. Kazakhstan has embarked upon an

industrial policy designed to diversify the economy away from

overdependence on the oil sector as well expanding export markets

away from its historical reliance on Russia. Nevertheless, growth is

still driven by oil. The government has engaged in several disputes

with Western oil companies over the terms of production agreements,

most recently, with regard to the Kashagan project in 2007-08 and

the Karachaganak project in 2009.

Kenya

Although the regional hub for trade and finance in East

Africa, Kenya has been hampered by corruption and by reliance upon

several primary goods whose prices have remained low. In 1997, the

IMF suspended Kenya's Enhanced Structural Adjustment Program due to

the government's failure to maintain reforms and curb corruption.

The IMF, which had resumed loans in 2000 to help Kenya through a

drought, again halted lending in 2001 when the government failed to

institute several anticorruption measures. In the key December 2002

elections, Daniel Arap MOI's 24-year-old reign ended, and a new

opposition government took on the formidable economic problems

facing the nation. After some early progress in rooting out

corruption and encouraging donor support, the KIBAKI government was

rocked by high-level graft scandals in 2005 and 2006. In 2006, the

World Bank and IMF delayed loans pending action by the government on

corruption. The international financial institutions and donors have

since resumed lending, despite little action on the government's

part to deal with corruption. Post-election violence in early 2008,

coupled with the effects of the global financial crisis on

remittance and exports, reduced GDP growth to 1.7 in 2008, but the

economy rebounded in 2009-10.

Kiribati

A remote country of 33 scattered coral atolls, Kiribati has

few natural resources and is one of the least developed Pacific

Islands. Commercially viable phosphate deposits were exhausted at

the time of independence from the UK in 1979. Copra and fish now

represent the bulk of production and exports. The economy has

fluctuated widely in recent years. Economic development is

constrained by a shortage of skilled workers, weak infrastructure,

and remoteness from international markets. Tourism provides more

than one-fifth of GDP. Private sector initiatives and a financial

sector are in the early stages of development. Foreign financial aid

from the EU, UK, US, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, UN

agencies, and Taiwan accounts for 20-25% of GDP. Remittances from

seamen on merchant ships abroad account for more than $5 million

each year. Kiribati receives around $15 million annually for the

government budget from an Australian trust fund.

Korea, North

North Korea, one of the world's most centrally directed

and least open economies, faces chronic economic problems.

Industrial capital stock is nearly beyond repair as a result of

years of underinvestment and shortages of spare parts. Large-scale

military spending draws off resources needed for investment and

civilian consumption. Industrial and power output have declined in

parallel from pre-1990 levels. Severe flooding in the summer of 2007

aggravated chronic food shortages caused by on-going systemic

problems, including a lack of arable land, collective farming

practices, and persistent shortages of tractors and fuel.

Large-scale international food aid deliveries have allowed the

people of North Korea to escape widespread starvation since famine

threatened in 1995, but the population continues to suffer from

prolonged malnutrition and poor living conditions. Since 2002, the

government has allowed private "farmers' markets" to begin selling a

wider range of goods. It also permitted some private farming - on an

experimental basis - in an effort to boost agricultural output. In

October 2005, the government tried to reverse some of these policies

by forbidding private sales of grains and reinstituting a

centralized food rationing system. By December 2005, the government

terminated most international humanitarian assistance operations in

North Korea (calling instead for developmental assistance only) and

restricted the activities of remaining international and

non-governmental aid organizations. In mid-2008, North Korea began

receiving food aid under a US program to deliver 500,000 metric tons

of food via the World Food Program and US nongovernmental

organizations; but Pyongyang stopped accepting the aid in March

2009. In December 2009, North Korea carried out a redenomination of

its currency, capping the amount of North Korean won that could be

exchanged for the new notes, and limiting the exchange to a one-week

window. A concurrent crackdown on markets and foreign currency use

yielded severe shortages and inflation, forcing Pyongyang to ease

the restrictions by February 2010. Nevertheless, firm political

control remains the Communist government's overriding concern, which

likely will inhibit changes to North Korea's current economic system.

Korea, South

Since the 1960s, South Korea has achieved an incredible

record of growth and global integration to become a high-tech

industrialized economy. Four decades ago, GDP per capita was

comparable with levels in the poorer countries of Africa and Asia.

In 2004, South Korea joined the trillion dollar club of world

economies, and currently is among the world's 20 largest economies.

Initially, a system of close government and business ties, including

directed credit and import restrictions, made this success possible.

The government promoted the import of raw materials and technology

at the expense of consumer goods, and encouraged savings and

investment over consumption. The Asian financial crisis of 1997-98

exposed longstanding weaknesses in South Korea's development model

including high debt/equity ratios and massive short-term foreign

borrowing. GDP plunged by 6.9% in 1998, and then recovered by 9% in

1999-2000. Korea adopted numerous economic reforms following the

crisis, including greater openness to foreign investment and

imports. Growth moderated to about 4-5% annually between 2003 and

2007. With the global economic downturn in late 2008, South Korean

GDP growth slowed to 0.2% in 2009. In the third quarter of 2009, the

economy began to recover, in large part due to export growth, low

interest rates, and an expansionary fiscal policy, and growth

exceeded 6% in 2010. The South Korean economy's long term challenges

include a rapidly aging population, inflexible labor market, and

overdependence on manufacturing exports to drive economic growth.

Kosovo

Over the past few years Kosovo's economy has shown

significant progress in transitioning to a market-based system and

maintaining macroeconomic stability, but it is still highly

dependent on the international community and the diaspora for

financial and technical assistance. Remittances from the diaspora -

located mainly in Germany and Switzerland - are estimated to account

for about 14% of GDP, and donor-financed activities and aid for

another 7.5%. Kosovo's citizens are the poorest in Europe with an

average annual per capita income of only $2,500. Unemployment,

around 40% of the population, is a significant problem that

encourages outward migration and black market activity. Most of

Kosovo's population lives in rural towns outside of the capital,

Pristina. Inefficient, near-subsistence farming is common - the

result of small plots, limited mechanization, and lack of technical

expertise. With international assistance, Kosovo has been able to

privatize 50% of its state-owned enterprises (SOEs) by number, and

over 90% of SOEs by value. Minerals and metals - including lignite,

lead, zinc, nickel, chrome, aluminum, magnesium, and a wide variety

of construction materials - once formed the backbone of industry,

but output has declined because of ageing equipment and insufficient

investment. A limited and unreliable electricity supply due to

technical and financial problems is a major impediment to economic

development. Kosovo's Ministry of Energy and Mining has solicited

expressions of interest from private investors to develop a new

power plant in order to address Kosovo and the region's unmet and

growing demands for power. The official currency of Kosovo is the

euro, but the Serbian dinar is also used in Serb enclaves. Kosovo's

tie to the euro has helped keep core inflation low. Kosovo has one

of the most open economies in the region, and continues to work with

the international community on measures to improve the business

environment and attract foreign investment. Kosovo has kept the

government budget in balance as a result of efficient value added

tax (VAT) collection at the borders and inefficient budget

execution. In order to help integrate Kosovo into regional economic

structures, UNMIK signed (on behalf of Kosovo) its accession to the

Central Europe Free Trade Area (CEFTA) in 2006. However, Serbia and

Bosnia have refused to recognize Kosovo's customs stamp or extend

reduced tariff privileges for Kosovo products under CEFTA. In July

2008, Kosovo received pledges of $1.9 billion from 37 countries in

support of its reform priorities. In June 2009, Kosovo joined the

World Bank and International Monetary Fund, and Kosovo began

servicing its share of the former Yugoslavia's debt.

Kuwait

Kuwait has a geographically small, but wealthy, relatively

open economy with self-reported crude oil reserves of about 102

billion barrels - about 9% of world reserves. Petroleum accounts for

nearly half of GDP, 95% of export revenues, and 95% of government

income. Kuwaiti officials have committed to increasing oil

production to 4 million barrels per day by 2020. The rise in global

oil prices throughout 2010 is reviving government consumption and

economic growth as Kuwait experiences a 20% increase in government

budget revenue. Kuwait has done little to diversify its economy, in

part, because of this positive fiscal situation, and, in part, due

to the poor business climate and the acrimonious relationship

between the National Assembly and the executive branch, which has

stymied most movement on economic reforms. Nonetheless, the

government in May 2010 passed a privatization bill that allows the

government to sell assets to private investors, and in January

passed an economic development plan that pledges to spend up to $130

billion in five years to diversify the economy away from oil,

attract more investment, and boost private sector participation in

the economy. Increasing government expenditures by so large an

amount during the planned time frame may be difficult to accomplish.

Kyrgyzstan

Kyrgyzstan is a poor, mountainous country with a dominant

agricultural sector. Cotton, tobacco, wool, and meat are the main

agricultural products, although only tobacco and cotton are exported

in any quantity. Industrial exports include gold, mercury, uranium,

natural gas, and electricity. The economy depends heavily on gold

exports - mainly from output at the Kumtor gold mine. Following

independence, Kyrgyzstan was progressive in carrying out market

reforms, such as an improved regulatory system and land reform.

Kyrgyzstan was the first Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS)

country to be accepted into the World Trade Organization. Much of

the government's stock in enterprises has been sold. Drops in

production had been severe after the breakup of the Soviet Union in

December 1991, but by mid-1995, production began to recover and

exports began to increase. In 2005, the BAKIEV government and

international financial institutions initiated a comprehensive

medium-term poverty reduction and economic growth strategy. Bishkek

agreed to pursue much needed tax reform and, in 2006, became

eligible for the heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC) initiative.

The government made steady strides in controlling its substantial

fiscal deficit, nearly closing the gap between revenues and

expenditures in 2006, before boosting expenditures more than 20% in

2007-08. GDP grew about 8% annually in 2007-08, partly due to higher

gold prices internationally, but slowed to 2.3% in 2009. The

overthrow of President BAKIEV in April, 2010 and subsequent ethnic

clashes left hundreds dead and damaged infrastructure. Shrinking

trade and agricultural production, as well as political instability,

caused GDP to contract about 3.5% in 2010. The fiscal deficit

widened to 12% of GDP, reflecting significant increases in

crisis-related spending, including both rehabilitation of damaged

infrastructure and bank recapitalization. Progress in

reconstruction, fighting corruption, restructuring domestic

industry, and attracting foreign aid and investment are key to

future growth.

The 2010 CIA World Factbook · 第 341 / 461 段