Guyana

The Guyanese economy exhibited moderate economic growth in

recent years and is based largely on agriculture and extractive

industries. The economy is heavily dependent upon the export of six

commodities - sugar, gold, bauxite, shrimp, timber, and rice - which

represent nearly 60% of the country's GDP and are highly susceptible

to adverse weather conditions and fluctuations in commodity prices.

Guyana's entrance into the Caricom Single Market and Economy (CSME)

in January 2006 has broadened the country's export market, primarily

in the raw materials sector. Economic recovery since a 2005

flood-related contraction was buoyed by increases in remittances and

foreign direct investment in the sugar and rice industries as well

as the mining sector. Chronic problems include a shortage of skilled

labor and a deficient infrastructure. The government is juggling a

sizable external debt against the urgent need for expanded public

investment. In March 2007, the Inter-American Development Bank,

Guyana's principal donor, canceled Guyana's nearly $470 million

debt, equivalent to nearly 48% of GDP, which along with other Highly

Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) debt forgiveness brought the

debt-to-GDP ratio down from 183% in 2006 to 120% in 2007. Guyana

became heavily indebted as a result of the inward-looking, state-led

development model pursued in the 1970s and 1980s. Growth slowed in

2009-10 as a result of the world recession. The slowdown in the

domestic economy and lower import costs helped to narrow the

country's current account deficit, despite generally lower earnings

from exports.

Haiti

Haiti's economy suffered a severe setback when a 7.1 magnitude

earthquake damaged its capital city, Port-au-Prince, in January

2010. Already the poorest country in the Western Hemisphere with 80%

of the population living under the poverty line and 54% in abject

poverty, the damage to Port-au-Prince caused the country's GDP to

contract an estimated 8% in 2010. Two-thirds of all Haitians depend

on the agricultural sector, mainly small-scale subsistence farming,

and remain vulnerable to damage from frequent natural disasters,

exacerbated by the country's widespread deforestation. US economic

engagement under the Haitian Hemispheric Opportunity through

Partnership Encouragement (HOPE) Act, passed in December 2006, has

boosted apparel exports and investment by providing tariff-free

access to the US. Congress voted in 2010 to extend the legislation

until 2020 under the Haitian Economic Lift Act (HELP); the apparel

sector accounts for three-quarters of Haitian exports and nearly

one-tenth of GDP. Remittances are the primary source of foreign

exchange, equaling nearly a quarter of GDP and more than twice the

earnings from exports. Haiti suffers from a lack of investment

because of insecurity and limited infrastructure, and a severe trade

deficit. In 2005, Haiti paid its arrears to the World Bank, paving

the way for reengagement with the Bank. Haiti received debt

forgiveness for over $1 billion of its debt through the

Highly-Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) initiative in 2009. The

remainder of its outstanding external debt was cancelled by donor

countries in early 2010 but has since climbed back to about $500

million. The government relies on formal international economic

assistance for fiscal sustainability.

Heard Island and McDonald Islands

The islands have no indigenous

economic activity, but the Australian Government allows limited

fishing in the surrounding waters.

Holy See (Vatican City)

The Holy See is supported financially by a

variety of sources, including investments, real estate income, and

donations from Catholic individuals, dioceses, and institutions;

these help fund the Roman Curia (Vatican bureaucracy), diplomatic

missions, and media outlets. The separate Vatican City State budget

includes the Vatican museums and post office and is supported

financially by the sale of stamps, coins, medals, and tourist

mementos; by fees for admission to museums; and by publications

sales. Moreover, an annual collection taken up in dioceses and

direct donations go to a non-budgetary fund known as Peter's Pence,

which is used directly by the Pope for charity, disaster relief, and

aid to churches in developing nations. The incomes and living

standards of lay workers are comparable to those of counterparts who

work in the city of Rome.

Honduras

Honduras, the second poorest country in Central America,

suffers from extraordinarily unequal distribution of income, as well

as high underemployment. While historically dependent on the export

of bananas and coffee, Honduras has diversified its export base to

include apparel and automobile wire harnessing. Nearly half of

Honduras's economic activity is directly tied to the US, with

exports to the US equivalent to 30% of GDP and remittances for

another 20%. The US-Central America Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA)

came into force in 2006 and has helped foster foriegn direct

investment, but physical and political insecurity may deter

potential investors; about 70% of FDI is from US firms. The economy

registered marginally positive economic growth in 2010, insufficient

to improve living standards for the nearly 60% of the population in

poverty. The LOBO administration inherited a difficult fiscal

position with off-budget debts accrued in previous administrations

and government salaries nearly equivalent to tax collections. His

government has displayed a commitment to improving tax collection

and cutting expenditures. This enabled Tegucigalpa to secure an IMF

Precautionary Stand-By agreement in October 2010. The IMF agreement

has helped renew multilateral and bilateral donor confidence in

Honduras following the ZELAYA administration's economic

mismanagement and the political coup.

Hong Kong

Hong Kong has a free market economy highly dependent on

international trade and finance - the value of goods and services

trade, including the sizable share of re-exports, is about four

times GDP. Hong Kong's open economy left it exposed to the global

economic slowdown, but its increasing integration with China,

through trade, tourism, and financial links, helped it recover more

quickly than many observers anticipated. The Hong Kong government is

promoting the Special Administrative Region (SAR) as the site for

Chinese renminbi (RMB) internationalization. Hong Kong residents are

allowed to establish RMB-denominated savings accounts;

RMB-denominated corporate and Chinese government bonds have been

issued in Hong Kong; and RMB trade settlement is allowed. The

territory far exceeded the RMB conversion quota set by Beijing for

trade settlements in 2010 due to the growth of earnings from exports

to the mainland. RMB deposits grew to roughly 3.6% of total system

deposits in Hong Kong by October 2010, an increase of over 250%

since the beginning of the year. The government is pursuing efforts

to introduce additional use of RMB in Hong Kong financial markets

and is seeking to expand the RMB quota for 2011. The mainland has

long been Hong Kong's largest trading partner, accounting for about

half of Hong Kong's exports by value. Hong Kong's natural resources

are limited, and food and raw materials must be imported. As a

result of China's easing of travel restrictions, the number of

mainland tourists to the territory has surged from 4.5 million in

2001 to 17.7 million in 2009, outnumbering visitors from all other

countries combined. Hong Kong has also established itself as the

premier stock market for Chinese firms seeking to list abroad. In

2009 mainland Chinese companies constituted about 40% of the firms

listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and accounted for 60% of the

Exchange's market capitalization. During the past decade, as Hong

Kong's manufacturing industry moved to the mainland, its service

industry has grown rapidly and in 2009 accounted for more than 90%

of the territory's GDP. GDP growth averaged a strong 4% from 1989 to

2008. Hong Kong's GDP fell in 2009 as a result of the global

financial crisis, but a recovery began in third quarter 2009, and

the economy grew nearly 6% in 2010. The Hong Kong government adopted

several temporary fiscal policy support measures in response to the

crisis that it may discontinue if strong growth is sustained. Credit

expansion and tight housing supply conditions caused Hong Kong

property prices to rise rapidly in 2010, and some lower income

segments of the population are increasingly unable to afford

adequate housing. Hong Kong continues to link its currency closely

to the US dollar, maintaining an arrangement established in 1983.

Hungary

Hungary has made the transition from a centrally planned to

a market economy, with a per capita income nearly two-thirds that of

the EU-25 average. The private sector accounts for more than 80% of

GDP. Foreign ownership of and investment in Hungarian firms are

widespread, with cumulative foreign direct investment worth more

than $70 billion. The government's austerity measures, imposed since

late 2006, have reduced the budget deficit from over 9% of GDP in

2006 to 3.8% in 2010. Hungary's impending inability to service its

short-term debt - brought on by the global financial crisis in late

2008 - led Budapest to obtain an IMF-arranged financial assistance

package worth over $25 billion. The global economic downturn,

declining exports, and low domestic consumption and fixed asset

accumulation, dampened by government austerity measures, resulted in

an economic contraction of 6.3% in 2009. The economy rebounded in

2010 with a big boost from exports, and growth of more than 2.5% is

expected in 2011. Unemployment remained high, at more than 11%.

Iceland

Iceland's Scandinavian-type social-market economy combines a

capitalist structure and free-market principles with an extensive

welfare system. Prior to the 2008 crisis, Iceland had achieved high

growth, low unemployment, and a remarkably even distribution of

income. The economy depends heavily on the fishing industry, which

provides 40% of export earnings, more than 12% of GDP, and employs

7% of the work force. It remains sensitive to declining fish stocks

as well as to fluctuations in world prices for its main exports:

fish and fish products, aluminum, and ferrosilicon. Iceland's

economy has been diversifying into manufacturing and service

industries in the last decade, particularly within the fields of

software production, biotechnology, and tourism. Abundant geothermal

and hydropower sources have attracted substantial foreign investment

in the aluminum sector and boosted economic growth, although the

financial crisis has put several investment projects on hold. Much

of Iceland's economic growth in recent years came as the result of a

boom in domestic demand following the rapid expansion of the

country's financial sector. Domestic banks expanded aggressively in

foreign markets, and consumers and businesses borrowed heavily in

foreign currencies, following the privatization of the banking

sector in the early 2000s. Worsening global financial conditions

throughout 2008 resulted in a sharp depreciation of the krona

vis-a-vis other major currencies. The foreign exposure of Icelandic

banks, whose loans and other assets totaled more than 10 times the

country's GDP, became unsustainable. Iceland's three largest banks

collapsed in late 2008. The country secured over $10 billion in

loans from the IMF and other countries to stabilize its currency and

financial sector, and to back government guarantees for foreign

deposits in Icelandic banks. GDP fell 6.8% in 2009, and unemployment

peaked at 9.4% in February 2009. GDP fell 3.4% in 2010. Since the

collapse of Iceland's financial sector, government economic

priorities have included: stabilizing the krona, reducing Iceland's

high budget deficit, containing inflation, restructuring the

financial sector, and diversifying the economy. Three new banks were

established to take over the domestic assets of the collapsed banks.

Two of them have foreign majority ownership, while the State holds a

majority of the shares of the third. British and Dutch authorities

have pressed claims totaling over $5 billion against Iceland to

compensate their citizens for losses suffered on deposits held in

the failed Icelandic bank, Landsbanki Islands. Iceland agreed to new

terms with the UK and the Netherlands to compensate British and

Dutch depositors, but the agreement must first be approved by the

Icelandic President. Iceland began EU accession negotiations with

the EU in July 2010, however, public support has dropped

substantially because of concern about losing control over fishing

resources and in reaction to measures taken by Brussels during the

ongoing Eurozone crisis.

India

India is developing into an open-market economy, yet traces of

its past autarkic policies remain. Economic liberalization,

including industrial deregulation, privatization of state-owned

enterprises, and reduced controls on foreign trade and investment,

began in the early 1990s and has served to accelerate the country's

growth, which has averaged more than 7% per year since 1997. India's

diverse economy encompasses traditional village farming, modern

agriculture, handicrafts, a wide range of modern industries, and a

multitude of services. Slightly more than half of the work force is

in agriculture, but services are the major source of economic

growth, accounting for more than half of India's output, with only

one-third of its labor force. India has capitalized on its large

educated English-speaking population to become a major exporter of

information technology services and software workers. In 2010, the

Indian economy rebounded robustly from the global financial crisis -

in large part because of strong domestic demand - and growth

exceeded 8% year-on-year in real terms. Merchandise exports, which

account for about 15% of GDP, returned to pre-financial crisis

levels. An industrial expansion and high food prices, resulting from

the combined effects of the weak 2009 monsoon and inefficiencies in

the government's food distribution system, fueled inflation which

peaked at about 11% in the first half fo 2010, but has gradually

decreased to single digits following a series of central bank

interest rate hikes. New Delhi in 2010 reduced subsidies in fuel and

fertilizers, sold a small percentage of its shares in some

state-owned enterprises and auctioned off rights to radio bandwidth

for 3G telecommunications in part to lower the government's deficit.

The Indian Government seeks to reduce its deficit to 5.5% of GDP in

FY 2010-11, down from 6.8% in the previous fiscal year. India's long

term challenges include widespread poverty, inadequate physical and

social infrastructure, limited non-agricultural employment

opportunities, insufficient access to quality basic and higher

education, and accommodiating rual-to-urban migration.

Indian Ocean

The Indian Ocean provides major sea routes connecting

the Middle East, Africa, and East Asia with Europe and the Americas.

It carries a particularly heavy traffic of petroleum and petroleum

products from the oilfields of the Persian Gulf and Indonesia. Its

fish are of great and growing importance to the bordering countries

for domestic consumption and export. Fishing fleets from Russia,

Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan also exploit the Indian Ocean, mainly

for shrimp and tuna. Large reserves of hydrocarbons are being tapped

in the offshore areas of Saudi Arabia, Iran, India, and western

Australia. An estimated 40% of the world's offshore oil production

comes from the Indian Ocean. Beach sands rich in heavy minerals and

offshore placer deposits are actively exploited by bordering

countries, particularly India, South Africa, Indonesia, Sri Lanka,

and Thailand.

Indonesia

Indonesia, a vast polyglot nation, has weathered the

global financial crisis relatively smoothly because of its heavy

reliance on domestic consumption as the driver of economic growth.

Although the economy slowed significantly in 2009 from the 6%-plus

growth rate recorded in 2007 and 2008, by 2010 growth returned to a

6% rate. During the recession, Indonesia outperformed its regional

neighbors and joined China and India as the only G20 members posting

growth. The government made economic advances under the first

administration of President YUDHOYONO, introducing significant

reforms in the financial sector, including tax and customs reforms,

the use of Treasury bills, and capital market development and

supervision. Indonesia's debt-to-GDP ratio in recent years has

declined steadily because of increasingly robust GDP growth and

sound fiscal stewardship. Indonesia still struggles with poverty and

unemployment, inadequate infrastructure, corruption, a complex

regulatory environment, and unequal resource distribution among

regions. YUDHOYONO's reelection, with respected economist BOEDIONO

as his vice president, suggests broad continuity of economic policy,

although the start of their term has been marred by corruption

scandals and the departure of an internationally respected finance

minister. The government in 2010 faces the ongoing challenge of

improving Indonesia's insufficient infrastructure to remove

impediments to economic growth, while addressing climate change

mitigation and adaptation needs, particularly with regard to

conserving Indonesia's forests and peatlands, the focus of a

potentially trailblazing $1 billion REDD+ pilot project.

Iran

Iran's economy is marked by an inefficient state sector,

reliance on the oil sector, which provides the majority of

government revenues, and statist policies, which create major

distortions throughout the system. Private sector activity is

typically limited to small-scale workshops, farming, and services.

Price controls, subsidies, and other rigidities weigh down the

economy, undermining the potential for private-sector-led growth.

Significant informal market activity flourishes. The legislature in

late 2009 passed President Mahmud AHMADI-NEJAD's bill to reduce

subsidies, particularly on food and energy. The bill would phase out

subsidies - which benefit Iran's upper and middle classes the most -

over three to five years and replace them with cash payments to

Iran's lower classes. However, the start of the program was delayed

repeatedly throughout 2010 over fears of public reaction to higher

prices. This is the most extensive economic reform since the

government implemented gasoline rationing in 2007. The recovery of

world oil prices in the last year increased Iran's oil export

revenue by at least $10 billion over 2009, easing some of the

financial impact of the newest round of international sanctions.

Although inflation has fallen substantially since the mid-2000s,

Iran continues to suffer from double-digit unemployment and

underemployment. Underemployment among Iran's educated youth has

convinced many to seek jobs overseas, resulting in a significant

"brain drain."

Iraq

An improved security environment and an initial wave of foreign

investment are helping to spur economic activity, particularly in

the energy, construction, and retail sectors. Broader economic

improvement, long-term fiscal health, and sustained increases in the

standard of living still depend on the government passing major

policy reforms and on continued development of Iraq's massive oil

reserves. Although foreign investors viewed Iraq with increasing

interest in 2010, most are still hampered by difficulties in

acquiring land for projects and by other regulatory impediments.

Iraq's economy is dominated by the oil sector, which provides over

90% of government revenue and 80% of foreign exchange earnings.

Since mid-2009, oil export earnings have returned to levels seen

before Operation Iraqi Freedom and government revenues have

rebounded, along with global oil prices. In 2011 Baghdad probably

will increase oil exports above the current level of 1.9 million

barrels per day (bbl/day) as a result of new contracts with

international oil companies, but is likely to fall short of the 2.4

million bbl/day it is forecasting in its budget. Iraq is making

modest progress in building the institutions needed to implement

economic policy. In 2010, Bagdad signed a new agreement with both

the IMF and World Bank for conditional aid programs that will help

strengthen Iraq's economic institutions. Some reform-minded leaders

within the Iraqi government are seeking to pass laws to strengthen

the economy. This legislation includes a package of laws to

establish a modern legal framework for the oil sector and a

mechanism to equitably divide oil revenues within the nation,

although these and other important reforms are still under

contentious and sporadic negotiation. Iraq's recent contracts with

major oil companies have the potential to greatly expand oil

revenues, but Iraq will need to upgrade its oil processing,

pipeling, and export infrastructure to enable these deals to reach

their potential. The Government of Iraq is pursuing a strategy to

gain additional foreign investment in Iraq's economy. This includes

an amendment to the National Investment Law, multiple international

trade and investment events, as well as potential participation in

joint ventures with state-owned enterprises. Provincial Councils

also are using their own budgets to promote and facilitate

investment at the local level. However, widespread corruption,

inadequate infrastructure, insufficient essential services, and

antiquated commercial laws and regulations stifle investment and

continue to constrain the growth of private, non-energy sectors. The

Central Bank has successfully held the exchange rate at

approximately 1,170 Iraqi dinar/US dollar since January 2009.

Inflation has decreased consistently since 2006 as the security

situation has improved. However, Iraqi leaders remain hard pressed

to translate macroeconomic gains into improved lives for ordinary

Iraqis. Unemployment remains a problem throughout the country.

Reducing corruption and implementing reforms - such as bank

restructuring and developing the private sector - would be important

steps in this direction.

Ireland

Ireland is a small, modern, trade-dependent economy. Ireland

joined 11 other EU nations in circulating the euro on 1 January

2002. GDP growth averaged 6% in 1995-2007, but economic activity has

dropped sharply since 2008 with GDP falling by over 3% in 2008,

nearly 8% in 2009, and 1% in 2010, and further contraction is

expectd in 2011. Ireland entered into a recession for the first time

in more than a decade with the onset of the world financial crisis

and subsequent severe slowdown in its domestic property and

construction markets. Agriculture, once the most important sector,

is now dwarfed by industry and services. Although the export sector,

dominated by foreign multinationals, remains a key component of

Ireland's economy, construction most recently fueled economic growth

along with strong consumer spending and business investment.

Property prices rose more rapidly in Ireland in the decade up to

2007 than in any other developed economy. However, average home

prices have fallen 50% from the 2007 peak. In 2008 the COWEN

government moved to guarantee all bank deposits, recapitalize the

banking system, and establish partly-public venture capital funds in

response to the country's economic downturn. In 2009, in an effort

to stabilize the banking sector, the Irish Government established

the National Asset Management Agency (NAMA) to acquire problem

commercial property and development loans from Irish banks. Faced

with sharply reduced revenues and a burgeoning budget deficit, the

Irish Government introduced the first in a series of draconian

budgets in 2009. In addition to across-the-board cuts in spending,

the 2009 budget included wage reductions for all public servants.

These measures were not sufficient. The budget deficit reached

nearly 38% of GDP in 2010 because of additional government support

for the banking sector. In late 2010, the COWEN Government agreed to

a $112 billion loan package from the EU and IMF to help Dublin

recapitalize its banking sector and avoid defaulting on its

sovereign debt, and initiated a four-year austerity plan to cut an

additional $20 billion from its budget.

Isle of Man

Offshore banking, manufacturing, and tourism are key

sectors of the economy. The government offers low taxes and other

incentives to high-technology companies and financial institutions

to locate on the island; this has paid off in expanding employment

opportunities in high-income industries. As a result, agriculture

and fishing, once the mainstays of the economy, have declined in

their contributions to GDP. The Isle of Man also attracts online

gambling sites and the film industry. Trade is mostly with the UK.

The Isle of Man enjoys free access to EU markets.

The 2010 CIA World Factbook · 第 340 / 461 段