CHAPTER X.

AGGRESSION.

The preamble to the Protocol asserts that a war of aggression is an

international crime. I have discussed above[1] the agreement of the

parties to the Protocol not to resort to war except in defence against

aggression or in aid of defence against aggression or perhaps in

execution of a judicial decision or arbitral award. This is the

general covenant of Article 2 of the Protocol. It is this resort to

war, contrary to the terms of the Protocol, which is the chief breach

of the Protocol against which its chief Sanctions are ordered.

By Article 10 of the Protocol[2] every State which resorts to war in

violation of the undertakings either in the Covenant or in the

Protocol, is an aggressor.

It will be necessary to consider only the provisions of the Protocol

forbidding a resort to war, for it would be impossible to have a resort

to war contrary to the Covenant which would not also be a resort to war

contrary to the Protocol. The provisions of the Protocol go farther

than those of the Covenant in this regard.

It is true that there are in the Covenant certain engagements by

Members of the League not to resort to war. These are found in

Articles 12, 13 and 15; but it is unnecessary to consider them in

detail, for any resort to war contrary to the provisions of those

Articles of the Covenant would clearly also be contrary to the general

engagements of Article 2 of the Protocol.

The Report to the Assembly[3] seems to infer that a violation of the

obligation of Article 10 of the Covenant on the part of all Members of

the League to respect the territorial integrity and political

independence of other Members might be a resort to war not included in

the language of the Protocol; but I think that {55} any such forcible

violation would be within the terms of the Protocol also.

It is against the aggressor that the Sanctions of the Protocol are set

up and accordingly the provisions of the Protocol defining an aggressor

and the procedure for determining what State is an aggressor are of the

utmost consequence.

The definitions of an aggressor under the Protocol are complex in their

language though not in their fundamental idea, which is that aggression

is a resort to war instead of to arbitration.[4] The language of the

definitions is obscured by certain presumptions (Article 10) and by the

procedure laid down for the determination of an aggressor.

The general definition of an aggressor in the first paragraph of

Article 10 of the Protocol I have mentioned above. It is well,

however, to quote it in full:

"Every State which resorts to war in violation of the undertakings

contained in the Covenant or in the present Protocol is an

aggressor. Violation of the rules laid down for a demilitarized

zone shall be held equivalent to resort to war."

This is the general definition of principle. It relates back in its

meaning to Article 2 of the Protocol, the general engagement not to

resort to war. Beyond that, it makes the violation of the rules for an

agreed demilitarized zone the equivalent of a resort to war, the two

are assimilated.

The first question that arises regarding this general definition is

whether the words "resort to war" mean necessarily an actual and

technical state of war only, or whether they include all acts of

violence and force, even if such acts did not in a particular case

result in an actual state of war, because, for example, not resisted.

The view of the Report to the Assembly[5] in this matter is that such

acts of violence are included in the expression. I am {56} inclined to

agree with this view, though as a mere matter of language an argument

to the contrary is possible.

Suppose, however, that there is an actual state of war; how is it to be

determined which one of the two[6] belligerents is the aggressor?

The Protocol attempts to meet this difficulty by laying down two

different methods of determining the aggressor. One is by creating

certain presumptions, which I shall discuss later; the other is for the

case in which none of the presumptions is applicable.

In this case, that is to say, in the absence of the presumptions, it is

for the Council to determine the aggressor and, in order to come to

such a determination, the Council must act unanimously under the

general rule of Article 5 of the Covenant.

I have no doubt of this conclusion, which is the conclusion of the

Report to the Assembly. It is true that the language of Article 10 of

the Protocol is not as clear as it might be, since the duty and power

of the Council to determine the aggressor are not directly stated, but

rather to be inferred from the language.

What Article 10 of the Protocol says as to this in its last paragraph

but two[7] is that, apart from the cases when there is a presumption,

"if the Council does not at once succeed in determining the

aggressor, it shall be bound to enjoin upon the belligerents an

armistice, and shall fix the terms, acting, if need be, by a

two-thirds majority and shall supervise its execution."

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So that in those cases where the presumptions hereafter considered do

not arise, it is the duty of the Council to determine the aggressor; it

must act unanimously in coming to such a determination; as the Report

to the Assembly says,

"Where there is no presumption, the Council has to declare the

fact of aggression; a decision is necessary and must be taken

unanimously";

and, if the Council is not unanimous, it _must_ enjoin an armistice

upon the belligerents.

Before coming to the procedure before the Council, I now enumerate

those cases in which, because of the existence of certain facts, a

State is "presumed" to be an aggressor; any such presumption can be

upset only by the _unanimous_ decision of the Council to the contrary.

These cases are as follows:

1. If hostilities have broken out and a State has refused to

submit the dispute to the procedure for pacific settlement

contemplated by the Protocol.

2. If hostilities have broken out and a State has refused to

comply with a decision, award, etc.

3. If hostilities have broken out and a State has disregarded a

determination that the matter in dispute is a domestic matter

_and_ has not submitted the question for discussion by the

Council or Assembly under Article 11 of the Covenant.

4. If hostilities have broken out and a State has violated the

provisional measures against mobilization, etc., contemplated

by Article 7 of the Protocol (and which will be mentioned

later).

Certainly the theory of the first three of the four instances above

mentioned is the theory stated by Herriot in his speech before the

Assembly that the State that refuses arbitration is an aggressor.[8]

In other words, law is substituted for force.

Now it is to be observed that in each of the four foregoing {58} cases

_hostilities must have broken out_ and in each one of them at least one

additional fact must have occurred.

In other words, given certain facts, there is a presumption as to the

aggressor; but who is to say, how it is to be determined, whether or

not at any particular moment these facts exist? It is not sufficient

to say that the facts will be open and notorious, for they might not

be. Indeed, if we look critically at each one of what I may call the

required facts, we find that doubt might arise.

Take the primary fact, which is always required for any presumption to

arise; this fact is that hostilities shall have broken out. One's

first impression might be that this could never be a matter of doubt;

but this is not so. Take the case of Corfu, for example. Italian

officers had been murdered in Greece by somebody; various individuals

had been killed at Corfu by a bombardment of the Italian fleet. Had or

had not hostilities broken out within the meaning of Article 10 of the

Protocol? Surely the point is at least debatable.

Take the next required fact, that a State has refused to submit a

dispute to the procedure for pacific settlement. It is very easy to

suppose cases where there would be a difference of view as to this. A

State might claim, for example, that the matter was a domestic question

which it did not have to submit to the procedure for pacific

settlement. There might be a difference of opinion as to whether or

not the matter had been actually decided by the tribunal. It is not at

all uncommon in municipal law for parties to disagree as to whether a

particular question is or is not _res judicata_; there have been many

litigations over this very point; and there have been international

arbitrations in which it was raised.[9]

Similarly, difference of opinion might exist as to whether or not a

State had disregarded a determination that the matter in dispute was

domestic or as to whether or not a State had {59} submitted a question

for discussion under Article 11 of the Covenant. Such differences of

opinion could easily arise because of the non-formulation in precise

terms of just what the dispute was. Parties do not always agree as to

what it is they are differing about and they may in fact be at the same

time differing as to more than one question. As to whether or not a

State had violated the provisional measures against mobilization

contemplated by Article 7 of the Protocol, that document itself

recognizes that such a question would require investigation, and in

such case and in such case only the Protocol gives the Council the

power to determine the question of fact, acting by a two-thirds

majority.

So we come back to the situation that a presumption as to the aggressor

can exist only if certain facts exist; and that the existence of one or

more of these facts may very likely be in doubt or dispute and that,

with one exception, there is no procedure for determining such

questions of fact so as to be able to say with certainty that the

presumption _does_ exist.

What is the answer to this difficulty? If we look at the matter

technically, we must conclude that none of the presumptions created by

Article 10 of the Protocol can ever arise unless the facts[10] were

admitted by the two[11] disputants. Such an admission would mean, in

other words, that one of the parties openly admitted that it was an

aggressor.

If the facts were in dispute or, in other words, if the existence of

the presumption was in dispute, the Council could not determine the

aggressor on the basis of a presumption requiring the unanimous vote of

the Council to upset it; but would be required to determine the

aggressor under the general provision which was first mentioned, under

which no presumption exists and when the Council is required by

affirmative unanimous vote to determine the aggressor.

Here again, however, there would unquestionably be disputed facts; that

is to say, unless one of the parties said that it was the aggressor, it

would require an elaborate investigation to {60} determine under the

language of Article 10 of the Protocol whether a State _had_ resorted

to war in violation of its undertaking, or _had_ violated the rules

laid down for a demilitarized zone. It is utterly impossible to

suppose that the Council could ever immediately determine the aggressor

under such circumstances by unanimous vote; and such determination

_must_ be immediate. The language of the text is: "at once"; and in

the French: "dans le plus bref délai."

Let us look at the matter concretely and take up the question of

procedure, supposing an actual case before the Council. There is a

crisis; hostilities have or are supposed to have broken out; there are

two States which either are or are thought to be at war; the Council

meets. Not only under the realities of the situation, but under the

express language of the Protocol, the Council must act instantly; the

peace of the world is at stake.

Now, under those circumstances, there could be only two situations.

One would be when some Great Power, either by open and announced

defiance or by its refusal even to meet with the Council, proclaimed

itself an aggressor. In that case of course neither the language of

Article 10 nor any other language would make any difference. The other

situation would be that the two States were there before the Council,

each claiming that the other was in the wrong, each disputing the

allegations of fact made by the other's representative. In such case

clearly no presumption could arise and in such case the Council could

not ever immediately determine the aggressor by unanimous vote. The

mere fact that it would require time to examine into the truth of the

respective allegations would prevent this. So the Council, by the

compelling facts of the situation and indeed in accordance with the

strictest construction of the Protocol, would be constrained to declare

and would declare an armistice.

Any dispute as to what State was guilty of aggression prior to that

time would be put over for subsequent adjustment; the armistice would

be laid down and would be obeyed. Of course, in theory, it could be

violated and the violator of the armistice {61} would become the

aggressor; but a State that was going to refuse or violate the

armistice, knowing the procedure, would doubtless not go to the Council

at all.

So, to my mind, the vital part of the procedure laid down by Article 10

for determining an aggressor is found in the provision giving the

Council the power immediately to declare an armistice; and, under the

procedure, this, in my judgment, is the only power that the Council

would ever exercise, except in the case suggested, in which a State

itself denounced itself as an aggressor.

I am aware that the framers of the Protocol are not in accord with

these views. In their opinion, the presumptions of Article 10

establish "an automatic procedure which would not necessarily be based

on a decision of the Council." They say that where a presumption has

arisen and is not unanimously rejected by the Council, "the facts

themselves decide who is an aggressor" and otherwise that "the Council

has to declare the fact of aggression."

I can only say that their conclusions, while perhaps admissible as a

mere matter of language and nothing but language, take no account of

the inevitable certainty that there will always be at least two views

of what the facts are; to put it from a legalistic viewpoint, tribunals

do not deal with facts; they deal with what lawyers call facts, but

which are merely conclusions based on such evidence as is available.

This sort of a "fact" is arrived at only after a hearing or a trial of

some kind; and to suppose that the Council could ever conduct such a

hearing, and at the same time come to a unanimous and immediate

conclusion is to suppose a contradiction in terms.[12]

So while from the language of Article 10 of the Protocol difficulty may

arise in determining an aggressor under its provisions (for there might

in any case be a disputed or doubtful question of fact; and the Council

under the provisions of the Covenant would in general have to act

unanimously) the Protocol provides a solution of any such difficulty by

saying that if the Council does not immediately determine the

aggressor, it _must_ {62} (the language is mandatory) proceed to enjoin

an armistice, to fix its terms and to supervise its execution, acting

for these purposes by two-thirds majority. Then the Protocol provides

that any belligerent which refuses the armistice or violates it shall

be the aggressor.

These provisions regarding an armistice seem to me to meet any possible

objection that might be raised to the absence of a more complete and

detailed system of determining in fact and in law what State is an

aggressor.

No matter what the presumptions were or even what procedure was laid

down, it is clear that, after hostilities in any given case had

actually commenced, there would be enormous difficulty for any tribunal

whatever in laying down conclusively which State was the aggressor.

After all, the vital thing is to prevent war; and the opening of

hostilities, to be immediately followed by an armistice, would not be

very much of a war. So I regard these provisions as to an armistice as

the most ingenious [Transcriber's note: ingenuous?] and, except its

statements of principle, the most important of all the provisions of

Article 10 of the Protocol.

The power given to the Council to formulate an armistice would be the

power exercised if hostilities broke out rather than the power of

adjudging the aggressor; unless the aggression was openly admitted,

which would mean that one of the parties to the Protocol really defied

the others; and, in that case, of course, it would defy the terms of an

armistice as well as any other terms. But in any other case a new

consideration would immediately arise. The Council would formulate an

armistice and in the absence of an open defiance by one State, or

possibly by a group of States, of all the others, the armistice would

introduce a new situation, a situation in which hostilities were _not_

going on; and human experience shows that, given an armistice, the

recommencement of hostilities on the old grounds is a real

impossibility.

In the view that I take, the Sanctions of the Protocol become less

important in the light of its provisions as to the determination of an

aggressor, for it is only against an aggressor that the {63} main

Sanctions of the Protocol can be brought into play; and these

provisions for determining the aggressor really mean that an aggressor

is a State or a combination of States which has finally and

deliberately determined to begin war and to carry it on regardless of

its most solemn engagements to the contrary. In other words, there

could be no war as between the parties to the Protocol without a

wilful, wanton and wicked disregard of its provisions.

[1] p. 50, _et seq._

[2] First paragraph.

[3] Annex C, p. 156 at p. 186.

[4] I use the word here in its largest sense.

[5] Annex C, p. 156 at p. 187.

[6] Of course there may be more than two.

[7] The reason why I have used in regard to Article 10 of the Protocol

this uncouth language, "its last paragraph but two," is that in the

English text of Article 10 there is a textual error which is extremely

confusing. Article 10 really consists of five paragraphs, and the

second of these five paragraphs has two sub-heads or sub-paragraphs

numbered 1 and 2. The third paragraph of Article 10, in referring to

these two sub-heads of the second paragraph calls them "paragraphs 1

and 2." In other words, the first words of what is here referred to as

the third paragraph of Article 10 (the paragraph which I call "the last

paragraph but two") read as follows: "Apart from the cases dealt with

in paragraphs 1 and 2 of the present Article." They should read

something like this: "Apart from the cases dealt with in sub-heads 1

and 2 of the second paragraph of the present article." Compare the

French text which is perfectly clear: "Hors les hypothèses visées aux

numeros 1 et 2 du présent article." See the English and French Texts

of Article 10 in full, _infra_, pp. 144, 145.

[8] September 5, 1924.

[9] _e. g._, the Pious Fund case reported in the Hague Arbitration

Cases, p. 1, and the Interest Case between Russia and Turkey, _op.

cit._, p. 260. These two cases are also in Stowell and Munro's

International Cases, Vol. I, p. 58, _et seq._

[10] I mean the facts from which the presumption as to the aggressor

would arise.

[11] I assume only two, for convenience.

[12] In the Dogger Bank case, the Commission of Inquiry sat for more

than two months. Hague Court Reports, Scott, p. 403.

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