In this same conference Sir Edward Grey

"urged that the _German Government should suggest any method_

by which the influence of the four powers could be used

together to prevent war between Austria and Russia. France

agreed, Italy agreed. The whole idea of mediation or mediating

influence was ready to be put into operation _by any method

that Germany could suggest_ if mine were not acceptable. In

fact, mediation was ready to come into operation by any method

that Germany thought possible, if only Germany would 'press

the button' in the interests of peace."

[English "White Paper," No. 84.]

The difficulty was, however, that Germany never "pressed the button,"

although obviously it would have been easy for her to do so, as the

stronger and more influential member of the Double Alliance.

On the same day the Austrian Government left a memorandum with Sir

Edward Grey to the effect that Count Mensdorff said that the war with

Servia must proceed.

On the night of July 29 the British Ambassador at Berlin was informed

that the German Foreign Office "_had not had time to send an answer

yet_" to the proposal that Germany suggest the form of mediation, but

that the question had been referred to the Austro-Hungarian Government

with a request as to "what would satisfy them."

[English "White Paper," No. 107.]

On the following day the German Ambassador informed Sir Edward Grey that

the German Government would endeavor to influence Austria, after taking

Belgrade and Servian territory in the region of the frontier, to promise

not to advance further, while the powers endeavored to arrange that

Servia should give satisfaction sufficient to pacify Austria, but if

Germany ever exercised any such pressure upon Vienna, _no evidence of it

has ever been given to the world_. Certainly it was not very effective,

and for the reasons mentioned it is impossible to conclude that the

advice of Germany, if in good faith, would not have been followed by its

weaker ally.

From all that appears in the record, Austria made no reply to this most

conciliatory suggestion of England, but, in the meantime, the

irrepressible Kaiser made the crisis more acute by cabling to the Czar

that the mobilization of Russia to meet the mobilization of Austria was

affecting his position of mediator, to which the Czar made a

conciliatory reply, stating that Russia's mobilization was only for a

defense against Austria.

The Czar, to put at rest any anxiety of the Kaiser as to Russia's

intentions with respect to Germany, added:

"I thank you cordially for your mediation which permits the

hope that everything may yet end peaceably. It is technically

impossible to discontinue our military preparations which have

been made necessary by the Austrian mobilization. It is far

from us to want war. _As long as the negotiations between

Austria and Servia continue, my troops will undertake no

provocative action. I give you my solemn word thereon._ I

confide with all my faith in the grace of God, and I hope for

the success of your mediation in Vienna for the welfare of our

countries and the peace of Europe."

What more could Russia do? If Austria continued to mobilize, why not

Russia?

On this day, July 30, the German Ambassador had two interviews at St.

Petersburg with Sazonof, and it was then that Sazonof drew up the

following formula as a basis for peace:

"If Austria, recognizing that her conflict with Servia has

assumed character of question of European interest, declares

herself ready to eliminate from her ultimatum the points which

violate principle of sovereignty of Servia, _Russia engages to

stop all military preparations_."

[Russian "Orange Paper," No. 60.]

The New York Times Current History of the European War, Vol. 1, January 9, 1915 What Americans Say to Europe · 第 9 / 146 题