[128] Prince Gortchakof was far from having at the beginning absolute

confidence in the victory of Prussia; he told M. Thiers more than one

_piquant_ detail on this subject. Deposition of M. Thiers before the

commission of inquiry, p. 12. In an interview, towards the end of July,

with a political personage whom he knew to be in relation with Napoleon

III., he even let these words fall: "Tell the Emperor of the French to

be moderate." Valfrey, vol. i. 79.

[129] The _Golos_, quoted in the dispatch of Mr. Schuyler, 27th August.

[130] A. Sorel, _Diplomatic History_, vol. i. p. 254. Let us quote the

passage from another dispatch of M. de Beust, dated the 29th September,

and destined for London: "Let us not fear to say it: what to-day serves

powerfully to prolong the conflict to the extreme horrors of a war of

extermination, is, on one side illusions and false hopes, on the other

indifference and contempt for Europe, spectator of the combat."

[131] A. Sorel, _Diplomatic History_, vol. i. p. 402.

[132] Report of Sir A. Buchanan of the 17th October.

[133] It was only the simple recommendation of an armistice, with no

other design of influencing what might be the conditions of peace, that

Prince Gortchakof declined to make common cause. M. d'Oubril, his

minister at Berlin, found himself at the last moment without

instructions on this subject. "It is singular enough," wrote Lord

Loftus, on the 26th October, "that Russia, after having in many

circumstances, proved its desire for peace, thus stands aside and

prefers isolated to common action."

[134] Dispatch of Prince Gortchakof to Baron Brunnow at London, November

20, 1870.

[135] Dispatch of Mr. Joy Morris of the 2d September, quoted above.

[136] See the _Revue des deux Mondes_ of the 1st February, 1868 ("The

Diplomacy and the Principles of the French Revolution," by M. le Prince

Albert de Broglie).

[137] Note to Prince Gagarine at Turin, 10th October, 1860.

[138] Speech on the 1st August, in the House of Commons.

VI.

TEN YEARS OF ASSOCIATION.

On the 9th January, 1873, Napoleon III. passed sadly away from the land

of exile at Chiselhurst, and a short time after, the 27th March, William

I. entered on the sixty-sixth year of a life in which assuredly the most

extraordinary favors of fortune have not been wanting. Germany

celebrated the _fete_ of its new emperor with transports of joy, the

more noisy and sincere since the monarch had waited for this anniversary

to ratify a last convention with the government of Versailles, a

convention which assured the anticipated payment of the fifth milliard

of the French ransom, and the very early return of the troops of

occupation from the other side of the Vosges. The great accounts with

_the hereditary enemy_ thus definitely settled, the conqueror of Sedan

thought, on his part, of acquitting himself of a little debt of the

heart: he resolved to carry to the Emperor Alexander II. the expression

of his lively gratitude for the loyal aid which he had lent him during a

memorable period of trials and combats. Long foreseen, from time to time

announced and put off, the journey to St. Petersburg was at length

undertaken at the beginning of pleasant weather, and M. de Bismarck took

care to state precisely on this occasion the date as well as the

character of the close association of interests established between

Russia and Prussia, and which became so fatal to the Occident. "The

commonalty of views,"--thus the official organ of the German chancellor

expressed itself,[139]--"which brought about the alliance of Prussia and

Russia in 1863, at the time of the Polish insurrection, was the point of

departure for this present policy of the two states, which, on the

occasion of the great events of the last years, has affirmed its power.

Since the attitude of Russia in the question of Schleswig-Holstein, up

to the important proofs of sympathy given to Germany by the Emperor

Alexander during the last war, all has concurred to render this alliance

still more firm."

By a sort of historical fiction which confounds the reason not a little,

but which a sovereign will imposes on acts and even public monuments in

Russia, the campaign of 1870 did not cease to be exalted in the official

spheres of the empire of the czars as the continuation of the work of

1814, as the final episode of "that great epoch when the united armies

of Russia and Prussia fought for a sacred cause which was common to them

both."[140] At the Kremlin, in the splendid hall consecrated by the

Emperor Nicholas to the military glories of the country, and which is

the _arc de l'Etoile_ of Holy Russia, the foreign tourist is astonished

to see glittering now in letters of gold on the marble the names of

Moltke, of Roon, and other captains of Germany who shone in the last war

against France.[141] And the conqueror of Sedan might imagine that he

was still in the midst of his subjects in traversing in 1873 the vast

Muscovite plains: from the frontier to the Gulf of Finland the journey

was an uninterrupted succession of triumphs and ovations. At each depot

where the imperial train stopped a guard of honor was in waiting, and

played the German national song; the czar came to meet his august guest

to Gatchina, and the 27th April the two sovereigns entered the capital

of Peter the Great. The skies were gloomy and cold, and the sun refused

to lighten "the city of wet streets and dry hearts," as one of its poets

has called it; but human industry did all that was possible to supply

the place of nature, and make amends for the irreparable outrage of the

climate. "All the green-houses of the capital, without excepting those

of the imperial gardens," says an eye-witness,[142] "were literally

devastated to improvise around the gates and windows a spring which,

retarded in our North, only arrived with summer," and the rich carpets

suspended from the ledges or stretched along the edifices gave to the

boreal city the joyous aspect of the city of lagoons. "The perspective

of Izmailovsky, the perspective of Voznessensky, the Grande-Morskaia,

formed a sort of continuous alley of draperies of the Russian, German,

and Prussian colors. On a great number of balconies, one saw in the

midst of the verdure and the flowers the busts of the two monarchs

crowned with laurel. The facade of the great stable Preobrajensky was

ornamented with a number of standards surrounding a colossal cross of

that military order of Saint George of which his majesty the Emperor

William is the oldest knight and the only grand ribbon." The crowd

pressed close to the passage of the guests from Berlin; the unreserved

Prince de Bismarck and the taciturn Count de Moltke especially attracted

the eyes of the spectators.

For twelve days there was an endless succession of reviews, parades,

tatoos, illuminations, balls, _raouts_, banquets, concerts, and gala

representations. Among the latter, the chroniclers mention the two

splendid ballets of the "Roi Candaule" and "Don Quixotte." The people

had also their part in the rejoicings, especially on the evening of the

29th April, at the gigantic festival of the Place du Palais. The two

sovereigns were present at the immense balcony concert above the piazza

of the castle. "On their arrival, five electric suns all at once lighted

the square with such intensity that one could distinguish the features

of all the spectators, and the orchestra struck up the national Prussian

hymn. The total number of musicians was 1,550, in addition to 600

trumpets and 350 drums. After the hymn the "March of King Frederick

William III." was played; then came a whole series of military marches,

the "March of Steinmetz," the "Watch on the Rhine," the "March of the

Garde of 1808," to the music of which the Russian regiments returned to

St. Petersburg after the campaign of Eylau, and the "March of Paris,"

which the allied armies heard in olden times at the time of their

triumphal entry into the capital of France. The military prayer, "God is

great in Zion," also produced an immense effect." One can hardly explain

how, in the midst of music entirely consecrated to the gods Mars and

Vulcan, the sweet romance of Weber, entitled "The Praise of Tears,"

could be introduced, unless it was a discreet homage rendered to the

well known sensibility of the old Hohenzollern, and of which many

speeches, letters, or telegrams bear in history authentic traces. This

easily impressionable character of the sovereign of Germany was visible

as far as was necessary at St. Petersburg; it showed itself especially

at the moment when the two monarchs made their adieux in the imperial

_salons_ of the depot of Gatchina. In order not to succumb to his

emotion, William I. had to leave the _salon_ brusquely; his head bent

forward, his features contracted, he went out with hasty steps and

reached the car _without turning round_.

However, if during this sojourn of the Prussian guests on the banks of

the Neva all the honors were for the uncle of the czar, the curiosity of

the public, panting and almost feverish, willingly turned, one may be

sure, to the extraordinary minister whose uniform of the white

curassiers set off his imposing stature--to this chancellor of Germany

who, in the short space of a lustrum, had founded an empire on the ruins

of two others. One had not had time to forget at St. Petersburg the

grumbling diplomat, who from 1859 to 1862 astonished and amused the

Russian society by his slanders against his own court, by his

pleasantries on the "old fogies of Potsdam" and the "Philistines of the

Spree," and who occasionally repeated the famous _mot_ of M.

Prudhomme--the _mot_: "_If I were the government!_"--he who was to laugh

at it the first. He was the government at this time, he was even the

master of Europe; and his star had dimmed the star of a Hapsburg, of a

Napoleon! The subject gave rise to more than one touching

reconciliation, to many a _piquant_ reminiscence, and there was room

also for futile remarks for the _plerisque vana mirantibus_ of which the

immortal historian speaks in presence of any prodigious change of

fortune. In presence of the man of the five milliards, the great ladies

at the winter palace remembered a certain ambassadress ten years before,

who one day boldly declared that she could not pay forty silver roubles

for early asparagus, who another day avowed in all candor that she owed

her new diamond ear-rings only to the exchange of a valuable snuff-box,

an old gift of the Prince of Darmstadt.[143] The ambassadress was the

wife of Prince de Bismarck, then baron, prince to-day, a good prince

too, and having lost nothing of his former affability. He was easy,

playful, earnest, as at the time of his mission in Russia; he inquired

for friends, acquaintances, small or great people whom he had known

formerly, and seemed to renew relations and conversations as if

interrupted only yesterday. The statesman disappeared entirely, to show

only the courtier and the man of the world, and it was only in his

relations with Prince Gortchakof, a sagacious observer tells us, that

he laid aside the foreign minister, and only appeared as the companion,

almost as the compatriot. He showed him the deference of an affectionate

friend towards his elder,--of a disciple towards the master, said the

flatterers, without thinking of evil, without thinking, above all, on

the _discipulus supra magistrum_ of whom Alexander Mikhailovitch, a good

Latinist himself, perhaps thought.

They often appeared thus in public, at numerous _fetes_ and receptions,

side by side, the one towering above the crowd with his strongly-marked

head, the other also easily recognizable by his fine, _spirituel_, and

rather sharp features. According to that ingenious court etiquette of

which the good Homer has given the first precept, in making Diomede and

Glaucus exchange their brilliant armor, the Russian minister wore the

insignia of the black Eagle of Prussia, and the Prussian minister the

insignia of St. Andrew of Russia,--and this exchange of ribbons

involuntarily recalled the commonalty of ties which had for so long

united these illustrious diplomats. Such a cordial, unalterable

understanding between two statesmen directing two different empires, was

assuredly a rare phenomenon, well calculated to excite attention, and

which, during the pompous solemnities of St. Petersburg, did not cease,

in fact, to occupy reflective minds. They sought in vain in the past for

the example of a harmony of action as constant and glowing: certain

political friendships celebrated in history, those among others of

Choiseul and Kaunitz, of Dubois and Stanhope, or yet of Mazarin and

Cromwell, were only evoked an instant to be immediately recognized as

deceptive souvenirs, apparent analogies only. No one, however,

disregarded the considerable, decisive influence which the accord

between the two chancellors has had on the recent destinies of Europe;

nor did any one doubt the prodigious benefit which M. de Bismarck has

been able to draw from this juncture in his bold enterprises: the

opinions began to differ only when there was a question of settling the

accounts of Russia, of fixing well the profits brought to the empire of

the czars by this association of ten years, the most turbulent ten years

which the Continent has known since the day of Waterloo.

According to the ideas of some, there was only advantage and gain for

the people of Rourik, in the situation created by the immense events of

Sadowa and Sedan. They showed the humiliating treaty of 1856 torn up,

Austria punished for its "treason" at the time of the Crimean war,

France sunken and weakened, England a resigned spectator of the progress

of General Kaufman at Bokhara, and Russia recovering its ancient

prestige, tasting in all quiet the vengeance, that pleasure of the gods

and of the great favorites of the gods like Alexander Mikhailovitch. Is

there not in truth, was said, a marvelous fortune, an imposing unity in

the career of this minister who, at the conference of Vienna, had sworn

to take revenge for the abasement of his country, and who has so well

kept his word? Is there not a grand Nemesis in the successive

chastisement of these proud "allies" who, in 1853, had undertaken the

defense of the crescent against the cross of St. Andrew, who, ten years

later, had dared to raise the question of Poland? At the present time

Austria and France are rivals in flattering, obsequious conduct before

the so decried "barbarian of the North," England solicits of him a

_modus vivendi_ in central Asia; and this enviable and glorious position

Russia has obtained without conflict, without sacrifices, only by

_meditating_, developing its interior prosperity, and letting its

neighbor act alone, its secular, tried friend, whose devotion has never

been doubted. It is only just that Prussia should reap the fruits of its

valor and its fidelity, and the well known sentiments of the Emperor

William towards the czar, the family ties which have so long united the

two courts; lastly, the destinies, so distinct and yet so connected, of

the two states, are certain gages of a future, permanent, and immovable

understanding. How many times has Prussia solemnly declared that it has

no interest in the Oriental question. The day when the question of the

succession of the Osmanli arises, the Hohenzollern will prove his

gratitude to the Romanof. The little jealousies and the little rivalries

have had their day, like the little states and the little artifices of

influence and of the balance of power: the future is for a rational

policy based on the nature of things, the reality of geography, the

homogeneity of races; and this policy assigns to Russia and Germany

their respective _roles_ and corollaries. In point of view of general

principles, we can only rejoice that the sceptre of the Occident has

escaped a turbulent, volcanic nation now making Jacobin, now

ultramontane propaganda, but always revolutionary, to pass into the

hands of a well-ordered, hierarchical, and disciplined state, as it is.

Lastly, Sadowa and Sedan were Protestant victories over the first two

Catholic Powers, and the contest in which M. de Bismarck engaged against

the Roman Curia is only the logical consequence of this great fact of

history; but without even sharing certain ideas, widely spread however,

of a possible fusion of the Protestant and Orthodox beliefs, it is not

for the church of Photius, in any case, to take umbrage at the mortal

blow given to the Vatican.

To such justifications, in which neither convincing arguments nor sharp

touches were wanting, those dissenting opposed objections inspired by a

patriotism equally sincere, but much less hopeful. Also admiring the

facility and promptitude with which Russia has arisen from its great

disaster of the Crimea, they pretended only that this great result had

been obtained long before the advent of M. de Bismarck, long before any

association with him, and that from the year 1860 the empire of the

Rourik had retaken the great position which it deserved in Europe, when

the sovereigns of Austria, Prussia, and so many of the princes of

Germany had come to salute the czar at Warsaw, to recognize his moral

supremity, and that Napoleon III. on his part sought his friendship and

accepted his arbitration. The great ability with which Prince Gortchakof

used the "French cordiality" for the good of Russia, without giving up

any essential interests, and without compromising the conservative and

traditional principles of his government, always remained one of his

greatest claims to the gratitude of his country, and it would have been

desirable had he preserved the same moderation, the same reserve, later

in this intimacy with Prussia, which on the occasion of the Polish

insurrection had replaced the former understanding with the Tuileries.

The successor of Nesselrode exaggerated, without doubt, the bearing and

the danger of the famous _remonstrances_ on the subject of Poland, as

well as the nature of the services, very selfish as a whole, which his

friend of Berlin then rendered him; in any case, that was certainly not

a reason to pout at Europe after the affair had turned out to the

striking advantage of the Russian government, to pout at it during long

years, to wish no other ally than Prussia, and to persist, in respect to

this last Power, in the constant policy of let-go, let-do, and let-take.

This was in general the profound misfortune of the fifteen or twenty

last years,--thought these enlightened patriots,--that rancor and bad

humor had played such a great _role_ in the grave affairs of the world:

sad sentiments surely, and from which the present chancellor of Germany

has alone been able to preserve himself! It was through anger at the

conduct of the cabinet of St. Petersburg in the Italian question, that

Austria took under its protection the insurgents of Poland; it was

through bad humor towards England in the question of the congress that

Napoleon III. abandoned the cause of Denmark, and Alexander

Mikhailovitch yielded to such motives more than to any others; he was

the first to practice this "policy of spite" with his imaginary

grievances against Austria in the war of the Orient, as he was also not

the last to cherish a certain "_policy de pour-boire_" with his _league

of the neutrals_ which hindered any concerted action of the Powers.

What happy opportunities for the preservation of Europe, for the glory

of his nation and the splendor of his august master, has not the Russian

chancellor let pass through love for Prussia: in the spring of 1867,

when France and Austria offered him such large concessions in the

Orient; in the autumn of 1870, when England and Austria solicited him to

take the initiative in the work of peace! What illusions also in that

belief, that Prince Gortchakof has sacrificed nothing during those ten

years of association with his formidable colleague! Was the port of

Kiel, the key of the Baltic, delivered into the hands of the Germans,

nothing? Was that nothing, the dismemberment of the Danish monarchy, the

country of the future empress? Was the vassalage of Queen Olga nothing?

The overturning and spoliation of so many reigning families allied by

blood to the House of Romanof, the loss of the independence of these

secondary States always so devoted and so faithful to Russia? Lastly,

was this profound overturning of the ancient European equilibrium, and

the unmeasured, gigantic aggrandizement of a neighboring Power, nothing?

"Greatness is a relative thing, and a country can be diminished, while

remaining the same, when new forces accumulate around it."[144] These

words, which Napoleon III. heard on the day after Sadowa, Russia could

well apply to itself, since the day of Sedan, for assuredly no one would

wish to pretend that the abolition of Article III. of the treaty of

Paris is the equivalent of the forces accumulated by Prussia in the

centre of Europe. As to the _hopes_ in the Orient, they are very

contingent, like every speculation of heritage: the _sick man_ has

already so many times deceived the expectations of his doctors, one can

no longer count the mortal crises which should have carried him off, and

perhaps it is not Russia that should complain of this prolongation of

the agony. It is still a question in truth if Russia is now in a

position to take care of the succession, if it is sufficiently supplied

with implements for such a vast establishment; if, in a word, it has all

its military and financial strength, as well as all the administrative

_personnel_ indispensable to advantageously occupy the domains as

various as extended. It cannot take possession of European provinces

like the countries along the Amour and Syr-Daria; it runs the risk of

finding more than one ungovernable Poland among those peoples of the

Danube and the Balkan; and the unity of the law, the uniformity of the

_svod_, will not be so easy to establish in the countries where, side by

side, the most incongruous institutions have flourished from the

_regime_ of the cimeter to that of the parliament. Will not the

transformation of Turkey transform, however, in turn the Muscovite

people, and will not history on this occasion be careful to repeat the

great and pathetic lessons of _Graecia capta_? Will Russia still be

Russia the day when it rules the Oriental peninsula, and can an empire

bathed by the blue waves of the Bosphorus preserve its capital on the

icy banks of Finland? Grave and obscure problems before which it is

allowable to stop, to conceive apprehensions and doubts. What is not

doubtful, on the contrary, is that at the destined hour Prussia will

make its conditions and will stipulate its compensations. It will not be

a debt of gratitude which it will think of paying then, it will be a new

bargain which it will make. Will it demand as the price of its consent,

Holland, Jutland, or the German territories of Austria? the frontier of

the Vistula, or the provinces of the Baltic?

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