It was always considered as certain, therefore, that instead of

violating Swiss territory to attack France, Germany would certainly,

immediately on the declaration of war, throw an Army Corps into Belgium.

It was supposed that a German First Army Corps could be concentrated at

Aix-la-Chapelle on the eleventh day of mobilisation, and that it would

be established on the Meuse and on the Sambre to the south of Namur at

latest by the evening of the fifteenth day—that is to say, twenty-four

hours after the Second German Army Corps had deployed before the

position on the Othain.

This has no doubt been Germany’s intention. A huge army is being

concentrated on the Eastern frontier. But France is likely to forestall

the movement, and to reach Namur before her adversary. The extraordinary

rapidity of her mobilisation may be said to be due in great measure to

the perfection of her railway system on the Belgian frontier. She has

established between Dunkerque and Mezières no less than seven lines of

railway, of which four are double lines, which place her in direct and

immediate communication with Belgium. These roads are linked and tapped

by a transversal line that follows the whole length of the frontier as

far as Longwy. Then she has, moreover, on this frontier four huge

entrenched camps capable of serving as manœuvre pivots for her army, and

as supports to her base of operations. These camps are Dunkerque (with

its annexes—Bergues and Gravelines), Lille, Valenciennes (centre of a

system of defence which comprises Condé, Bouchain, and Le Quesnoy), and

Maubeuge. To ensure the retreat of her army in case of failure, she has

created a first line of defence, formed by Valenciennes, Maubeuge,

Landrecies, Hirson, and Mezières. For her second line she has the town

of Reims, surrounded by forts commanding the valleys of the Aisne and

the Marne, and the iron-bound triangle La Fère, Laon, and Soissons which

defends the valley of the Oise, and with the support of Peronne, the

valley of the Somme.

Thus encouraged by the rapidity of mobilisation—a rapidity certainly

never anticipated by Germany, and probably a little unexpected by her

own officers—France has decided to attack Germany by Belgium. The seven

natural obstacles in her path are not in themselves formidable. She has,

indeed, to cross the Meuse, the Lower Rhine, the Teutoburgerwald, the

Weser, the Hartz, and the Elbe. The Teutoburgerwald checked, it is true,

the Legions of Varus, but to-day the great roads pierce it in several

broad cuttings, and it is, moreover, traversed by two railway lines,

running from Hamm to Hanover and Magdeburg. The Hartz also is traversed

by good roads and girdled by two railway lines running to Berlin, one of

which is the line which places the German capital in communication with

Coblentz and Metz. Thus her advance should unquestionably be more rapid

than by the inter-Moselle and the Rhine. If, moreover, she can make good

her footing in Belgium before the German army, she will undoubtedly find

there better roads, better cantonments, and far greater resources of

every kind than she would find in Lorraine and Oldenburg and the

Palatinate.

With this object, we hear that the 1st and 2d French Army Corps are

being concentrated at Maubeuge, the 3d and 10th at Hirson, the 4th and

9th at Givet, and it is expected that all these forces will be united in

the neighbourhood of Namur in the course of the next four days—that is

to say, sooner by five days than any military authorities have believed

possible.

The entire interest in this country is, therefore, centred in Namur, for

which place I start at once.

NAMUR, _May 8_.

The wildest excitement animates this place. Garrison and townsfolk alike

are filled with generous enthusiasm for the French cause, a rapid change

of feeling which may be attributed in some degree to the Antwerp

episode. The most extravagant rumours are abroad. Belgian co-operation

with the French forces is talked of openly, and with a grandiloquent

disregard of consequences that would be almost amusing if it were not so

grave. It is loudly proclaimed that Chartreuse and the old citadel of

Liége are determined to resist the German advance, and here at Namur

itself the populace (not the army) declare their intention of holding

the ‘Key of Belgium,’ if need be, until their French allies can support

them. As for Namur, its strategical position might well entitle it to be

considered as one of the keys of Belgium. Till lately, however, the

fortifications were in no condition to resist modern artillery. Thanks,

however, to the wisdom of the Belgium Government in adopting the plans

of General Briamont all this has been changed. Within the year 1892 the

fortifications were so far completed as to furnish means for a strong

defence. I give these rumours merely for what they are worth, and to

show the temper of the populace.

As I write this telegram a report reaches me that French troops have

crossed the frontier at Maubeuge and Valenciennes, and it is alleged

that the small Belgian garrisons at Mons and Philippeville, after giving

a wildly enthusiastic reception to their visitors, have valiantly

offered their services to General Saussier.

THE MEETING OF THE FOUR FLEETS.

THE DUKE OF EDINBURGH IN COMMAND OF THE ENGLISH SQUADRON.

We are favoured with another letter from Admiral Colomb, who has been

fortunate enough—in one way—to observe the remarkable naval transactions

in the North Sea:—

‘Not knowing what would happen, or quite what to do, I lay at Colberg,

as being a place less likely to be interfered with by the Russians by

way of blockade than some of the other ports, and to get intelligence of

what was going on. It was here I heard of the violation of the Belgian

territories by France. I thought that the drawing of France into this

step was equally an example of German shrewdness and of French rashness.

I was not at all surprised that we should so suddenly have been brought

into it, in the occupation of Antwerp, which is now being hastened on,

and of course we were bound to mobilise everything we could put our

hands on. I was sure we could never stop at the defence of Belgium. It

seemed equally sure that we could not leave the Baltic, the Belts, and

the Sound in the hands of the French and the Russians, for that would

almost certainly sacrifice Germany. I had seen her hesitate to attack

the Russian Fleet alone, and I was sure that against Russia and France

together, she could only shut her main fleets up in her ports as she did

in 1870 though she is so much more powerful now than she was then. There

was a small German cruiser at Colberg; she trusted to get into shoal

water if a superior Russian found her out—and her captain told me that

he believed the German Government thought as I did in reference to the

policy of attacking the Russian fleet; but that, beside this, they were

alarmed at the crowds of small vessels with heavy guns, which, it was

assumed, might be associated in any naval action in Russian waters. I

only say this as I am told it,—I don’t know anything of the real facts.

‘I thought the appointment of the Duke of Edinburgh to the command in

chief of the North Sea Fleet was a very natural one. His reputation as a

tactician, I had always heard, was first-rate, and naval officers always

seemed ready to depend on and follow him. I was told the command had

been offered to Sir Geoffrey Hornby, but that his medical advisers

absolutely forbid his accepting it; however, he seems to have had a good

hand in the programme.

‘The German officers entirely calculated on France making such an attack

on their Baltic shores as she had proposed to make in 1870. The German

papers rather made light of it, and hammered away on the two points that

France would find it difficult to get transport and appliances, as

Cherbourg and Brest were really her nearest ports; and that England

would step in and prevent a descent if it got as far as that. But the

Germans were everywhere full of preparation on land, and troops were

concentrating at Colberg and elsewhere. I had read in one of our papers

last year that for a long time the bulk of the French Fleet had been

kept at Toulon, and so I was not surprised to see it stated in an

English paper that only five battle-ships had left Brest for the North

Sea, with, however, a good proportion of cruisers and small craft. If,

then, this were really so, it would follow that, supposing the Germans

had been able to bring forward any more ships in the time, and had

repaired the _Oldenburg_, they must be either _à cheval_ between the

French and Russian Fleets—able to strike at each before the other could

assist—or else between two fires; according to how they looked at it. I

had seen them retire before the Russian Fleet on the apprehension of a

French approach. Would they now, with more complete knowledge of the

forces against them, reverse their policy and strike at either? Or would

they remain quiescent; shut themselves up in Wilhelmshaven, and trust to

their land defences to repel all attacks? There seemed almost an even

chance, and I made up my mind to go on to Kiel, and to the Jahde, if I

made out nothing at the first-named port.

‘I had hoped to have made Kiel in daylight, but the wind failing me, it

was dark when I got off the port. I could only guess where I was, for

the Bülk Light did not show, and all I could make out in the way of

lights seemed to be about the works of Friedrichsort, though the regular

light there was also extinguished; thereupon I lay-to. I had the usual

side-lights burning, and I suppose they were seen, for we had not been

there ten minutes lying-to when a ship without lights of any sort came

out of the gloom, and a voice hailed us in an unknown tongue first, and

receiving no response, then in French, asking what we were. I answered,

and presently a boat with a Russian officer boarded us. He was very

polite; told us there were no German warships in Kiel except some small

craft; that a squadron of Russian cruisers was blockading the place; and

that I must get out of it. So there it was, and all I could do was to

make sail for the Sound.

‘Off the Jahde we found quite a strong combined French and Russian

Fleet. We counted seven large French ships and six large Russians, so

that it was clear that the Germans had made no attempt to interfere with

the junction. There were many smaller vessels, chiefly French, and the

whole fleet, except some small vessels, was at anchor.

‘We made for the vicinity of a French flagship, and were soon boarded by

a boat from another ship with some sort of flag up. The officer warned

us that the Jahde was blockaded, and that though, on our promise not to

try to slip in, we might remain with the fleets, we should assuredly be

captured or sunk if we tried to break blockade. As we only wanted to see

what was going on, I readily gave a promise, and then we learnt that the

Russian ships had only joined the French a few hours before we came in

sight, and that no one knew what was going to be done, but it was

ordered that the whole fleet must weigh before dark. The officer told us

they expected transports and troops daily, but that he did not know what

was intended.

‘Immediately after dark; accordingly, the whole combined fleet got under

weigh. Lights were shown during the process, but then all were

extinguished and the ships disappeared without our having the least idea

which direction they had taken.

‘We were astonished soon after daylight next morning to see not only our

friends the Russians and French steaming slowly in from the northward,

but to see an apparently still greater fleet in the haze to the

westward.

‘There was an evident check and hesitation in the Franco-Russian Fleet,

and presently we well understood why, when we distinctly made out the

English white ensign flying in the Western Fleet. Our ships came on

quite slowly. We could make out that they were grouped in three great

masses. I counted fifteen in the most advanced portion, all very large

ships, and I soon made out that they were in three lines, with a

flagship at the head of each. Soon I made out the middle one to be

certainly the _Alexandra_ with an Admiral’s flag at the main. On her

right I supposed was the _Camperdown_, with Vice-Admiral Seymour’s flag;

and on the left the _Anson_, with that of Rear-Admiral Adeane. I had

seen them both before I left England, and supposed they retained their

commands. There were several small vessels near this great mass of

ships, and then to the right of them was a group of seven large ships,

three of them as if partly rigged, and four of them like turret-ships.

Then, again, on the left of the main fleet I could make out what seemed

to be a cluster of smaller vessels.

‘We had barely made out all this, when out of the cloud of mist

overhanging the mouth of the Jahde there came clearly the body of the

German Fleet—ten of them I counted.

‘Never was such an exciting time as this. It seemed to me that I was

about to witness the greatest sea-battle that the world had ever seen,

and when I noticed the Franco-Russian Fleet separating its bigger from

its smaller ships, and drawing the latter into one long line, facing

west, and stretching north and south, I made certain they were going to

run right at the English Fleet pell-mell, in the way I had always read

about.’

RETREAT OF FRENCH CRUISERS.

SINKING OF THE ‘ELAINE.’

But yet I had not heard of any declaration of war by England, and it

seemed a terribly reckless thing for the French and Russians—of whom I

could only count fourteen in the line they had drawn out, to run down

upon what seemed to be twenty-two English ironclads, when they could be

joined, in a couple of hours perhaps, by the ten Germans. The three

fleets were each about ten miles from my yacht, and I was in the middle

part. There was not much wind, and what there was being from the

southward, left smooth water, but brought down a good deal of mist from

the flat land of which one could only get indications by buildings and

trees sticking up above the horizon. I could not help thinking how wise

the Germans were to have their fleet here rather than at Kiel. Nature

sheltered them from attack at Wilhelmshaven in a way that no sort of art

could do at Kiel, and here they were quite safe behind their shoals, and

yet ready to fall upon their enemies at a moment’s notice.

Nevertheless, they were hemmed in fast enough. That was made plain by

the fact that at least five small French cruisers had turned up at

daylight a long way inshore of where I was, and had evidently been there

all night keeping watch on the port. While I was weighing, these

cruisers, some of which seemed much nearer to our own fleet, appeared to

be coming out—I supposed in obedience to signal—and then I saw that

several German ships were evidently coming out after them, and steaming

at speed. I had hardly realised the state of affairs when I saw I was in

for a hot skirmish, and that we should be in the middle of it ourselves.

However, we put on full speed, and steamed as hard as we could, straight

for the _Alexandra_. Some of the French now passed us in retreat, firing

their stern guns; and presently we were passing between an advancing and

retiring line, and were between two fires. My wife gripped my arm tight

and stood and looked, but never a word she said. Nor I either, for I had

a horror of what might happen, and was powerless.

[Illustration:

SINKING OF THE YACHT ‘ELAINE.’

]

‘What’s that?’ cried my wife presently, pointing to the sky over the

German ships. What, indeed? I was only conscious that some monstrous,

roaring, and very relentless thing had passed me, and made a crash

somewhere, and that my steward had torn up the hatchway, crying, ‘Good

God! the bottom’s out of the ship!’

Then I knew that a German projectile had passed through our deck and

planking below, and that we were sinking. I holloaed down to the

engineer, ‘Keep her going as long as you can!’ dashed down for my wife’s

jewel-box, collared it, and was up again to find the men clearing away

the boat. I knew the engine-room compartment was by way of being

water-tight, and that we had a little time to spare in consequence; but

I wanted to run out of the fire, which I could not do in the overcrowded

boat. My engineer was as cool and white as marble. ‘She’ll go a bit yet,

sir!’ he called up through the skylight; ‘the water’s leakin’ in through

them sluices pretty, but there ain’t more nor six inches yet.’

The boat was down, towing alongside, and I gave the word to quit the

yacht as she was sinking markedly by the stern. The engineer came

regretfully last into the boat before myself. ‘Them blooming engines ’ll

go a bit yet,’ he muttered as he passed me. ‘I’m glad it worn’t a

Rooshian shot anyhow.’ It was no use sticking to the yacht, but she had

done us the good turn of carrying us out of the line of fire, which,

indeed, was slackening by reason of the approach of the French to their

own fleet.

The whole thing was such a scurry that one hardly knew what had, and

what had not happened, but we understood it when my poor _Elaine_, with

a great snort and splash, suddenly threw her nose into the air and went

down stern first, leaving us in the overcrowded boat, clear now of the

cross fire which had, indeed, nearly ceased. Then I became aware of two

things; one, that a heavy English cruiser, with a flag of truce flying,

was steaming towards the Franco-Russian Fleet; and next, that a smaller

ship was steering direct for my boat. In a very few moments we found

ourselves safe on board the _Blonde_, kindly welcomed and commiserated

by Commander Pretyman, who told us he had been signalled to pick us up

and take us to the flagship.

ON BOARD THE FLAGSHIP.

ACCEPTANCE OF THE ENGLISH TERMS BY THE RUSSIAN AND FRENCH ADMIRALS.

The change was sudden and unexpected enough when we found ourselves

greeted by the Duke the moment we put foot on board the _Alexandra_. My

old friend Keppel had, we found, already turned out of his cabin to make

room for my wife; and the Duke led us—still rather dazed—into his

after-cabin, assuring us that we were his welcome guests till he could

send us home. I could not help wondering at the moment at the quietness

of his manner and his exceeding urbanity on the brink of such tremendous

occurrences and with such awful responsibilities on his shoulders. I

found I was by no means alone in my admiration of this amiable _aplomb_,

but I soon learnt that not only the Duke, but most of the officers did

not apprehend a collision.

For the situation was that war with France had not yet been formally

decreed, and that the flag of truce had gone with the Duke’s Flag

Captain, Brooke, to ‘invite’ the French to withdraw their forces, in

which case no attack would be made, and the Russians might retire

unmolested to Cronstadt. If, however, in three hours the Russian

Squadron had not separated from the French, and the French had not

signified their acquiescence, the united English and German Fleets

together would enforce compliance. The Duke’s secretary, Mr. Rickard,

showed me the copy of the message. It was exceedingly firm, but

exceedingly conciliatory; praying the French Admiral Planché and the

Russian Shestakov to reflect that, in presence of forces so enormously

superior, their honour could in no way be touched, and that common

dictates of humanity forbade the awful effusion of blood which would be

so uselessly shed in the event of a refusal.

The ships were all prepared for action,—those with masts appearing to be

nearly stripped,—and now I saw that the German Fleet was well out, and

steaming directly for us. The officers all seemed a good deal more

excited than the Admiral, but still I found that no one believed in the

possibility of resistance. The latest news by a despatch vessel

represented that the embarkation of troops at Cherbourg, which was

closely watched by several of our cruisers, had apparently been stopped,

and this, it was felt, gave additional cause to believe in a peaceable

solution, as it was made clear that even if the English Fleet only

stopped the transports, the whole Franco-Russian game was up. A last

telegram from Paris, _viâ_ Madrid, expressed belief that the French

Admiral Prémesnil had sailed with orders to return to Brest if the

English appeared in observation off the Jahde in greatly superior force.

Notwithstanding, there was not a glass in the ships that was not

persistently directed upon the _Immortalité_—now about ten miles off,

and stopped close to the French Flagship—and her great white flag, for

it had been arranged that she should hoist the Dutch ensign under it as

the signal that the terms were rejected.

The hours drew on, and for perhaps two there was no sign. The distance

was too great to make out ordinary flag signals, but sometimes it could

be seen that such were hoisted, and one of the signal midshipmen created

a fresh stir by affirming that the ships in view were ‘stoking up.’

My heart was in my mouth with the excitement of the moment, but if I was

as cool and unconcerned in outward appearance as the officers and men

surrounding me, I must have wonderfully belied my real feelings.

Suddenly the head signalman called out in a hurried voice, not taking

his eye from his glass: ‘The Russians are moving, sir!’

We could not in fact distinguish French from Russians at the distance,

but I had told them that the Russians were on the right wing, and as

they looked, they could see the right wing opening out from the left. A

sort of disappointed sigh passed round the group, as by a single impulse

they dropped their glasses and looked at one another. I am sure I saw an

impatient gesture of the Duke’s right arm, and a certain setting of his

lips which confirmed it. There was no Dutch ensign. Common sense had

overcome the sentiment of the allies; the terms were accepted, and the

Russians were off to the Gulf of Finland.

All this surmise was confirmed when Captain Brooke returned on board;

but I never saw complete disappointment so unmistakably betrayed as it

was on his face, that of the Admiral and the other officers who received

him at the gangway.

I have little more to say. The French Fleet presently passed us,

steering to the westward. The Duke detached twelve of his battle-ships

under Sir Michael Seymour with seven or eight cruisers—all newest types

of ships—to follow up the Russians into their own waters, while he

himself followed up the French with the remainder of his fleet. My wife

and I were sent on board the _Thames_ which came home full speed with

the news.

I remain in a kind of mental paralysis. No one had ever suggested to me

that in the presence of British power, naval war was to become but naval

peace. All the naval people whom I had ever heard talk about it always

seemed to have in their minds a certainty that in naval war, no two

hostile fleets could ever see one another without rushing to a mutual

destruction pell-mell. And yet I could get away from the fact that to

every Frenchman and every Russian in the combined fleet I had seen, it

must have been clear that no one but a madman could have pursued any

other course than that which their Admirals followed. Of course it might

have been different had war been actually declared.

PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDING OF BRITISH TROOPS AT TREBIZONDE.

THE PROTECTION OF ERZEROUM—TURKS, LIKE THE ENGLISH, AS USUAL, TOO LATE.

(_From our Special Correspondent, Mr. Francis Scudamore._)

KARAKURGHAN, _April 29_.

I owe the opportunity afforded me for writing to you from this wretched

place to an accident which has befallen my best horse, and will delay me

possibly for another couple of days. The mischance is doubly unfortunate

at this moment, inasmuch as reports from our front lead to the

supposition that an important engagement is at hand. Any adequate

analysis of the rumours that reach me constantly, contradictory as they

are, continually varied, chequered with additions and omissions, and

burdened with the extravagant local interest environing some wholly

trivial circumstance, would be as entirely out of the question for me as

for any of your readers at home. Indeed, your readers are certainly

infinitely better informed than I am as to current events.

The Great War of 189-: A Forecast · 第 7 / 23 段