CHAPTER IX.

ATTEMPTS TO IMPROVE THE PRESENT SYSTEM.

+The Double Election.+--In the preceding chapter we have strongly

insisted that the different methods considered for ensuring the return

of the candidate acceptable to all sections are not applicable to the

election of legislators. The true principles of political representation

require, not the election of the candidate most in general favour with

both parties, but the election by each party separately of its own most

favoured candidates. But as it is impossible for both parties to be

represented in a single-membered electorate, the best alternative is

that both should contest the seat and one be represented. The present

system of election has largely tended to realize this alternative,

especially in those countries in which party government was strong, such

as England and the United States; and representation has in consequence

been confined to the two main parties. In England, where the party

system was gradually developed, this result was attained without any

rigid control of nominations, because the true party spirit prevailed

and personal ambition was subordinated to political principle; and in

the United States it was only brought about at the cost of "machine"

control of nominations. But on the Continent of Europe, where party

government was transplanted from England, it has never really taken

root. Each small group nominated its own candidates, and the successful

candidate represented only a plurality, and not a majority, of the

electors. Instead of a contest between two organized parties there was a

scramble among numerous factions.

In France, Belgium, Italy, and Germany an attempt has been made to check

this evil by the double election. If at the first election no candidate

secures an absolute majority of the votes, a second election is held,

for which only the two candidates who head the poll at the first

election are allowed to compete. One must then get an absolute majority.

The double election has undoubtedly tended to prevent a further

splitting up into groups, but the Continental countries offer such poor

soil for the growth of party government that it has only restricted the

contest to two factions in each electorate; and, of course, the dominant

factions are not the same in the various electorates.

+The Advance Vote.+--In Australia the same evil has become increasingly

evident, and it is now no uncommon thing for a candidate to be elected

by less than one-third or one-quarter of the total votes. In Queensland

a plan has been introduced to meet the evil, under the name of the

Advance Vote, which is designed to secure the advantages of the French

plan without the trouble and expense of a second election. The electors

simply declare in advance at the first election how they would vote at

the second election. All that is necessary is that they place the

candidates in order of preference, 1, 2, 3, 4, &c. Then, instead of

holding a second election between the two who have the greatest number

of first preferences, it is merely necessary for the returning officer

to consult each ballot paper and see which of these two candidates is

higher in order of favour. Thus if one is marked 3 and the other 4, the

vote is counted to the candidate marked 3. This device is assumed to

give exactly the same result as the French plan, providing only that the

same electors vote at both elections, and do not change their views

between the two elections.

But in reality it possesses hardly any of the advantages of the French

plan. It is another instance of the danger of neglecting the factor of

human nature. The French do not go to the trouble and expense of a

second election for nothing. Their plan is far the better. First of all,

consider the candidates. They know well beforehand that unless one of

them gets an absolute majority of the votes at the first election they

will be put to the expense and delay of a second election, therefore it

is to their interest that the number of candidates be restricted. This

tends to keep down the representation to two sections. Next, consider

the electors. They know also that unless they give a majority of votes

to one of the candidates they will be put to the trouble of voting a

second time, therefore they will take good care the votes are not split

up, even if the candidates wanted it. What is the result? Simply that in

the vast majority of cases one of the candidates gets a majority at the

first election, and no second election is necessary; and, most important

of all, the tendency to split up is counteracted.

Now take the Queensland system. None of these checks operate. The

splitting up into groups is actually encouraged, and it is to the

interest of each group to see as many more groups as possible formed, in

order to increase its own relative importance, for the delegates of the

two strongest groups have a chance of election instead of the strongest

group only.

In practice the plan threatens to break down, owing to a practical point

being overlooked. It is evident that the success of the Advance Vote

depends on the electors marking all the preferences. The ballot paper

should be made informal unless all the preferences are given. In

Queensland this has not been done, and the consequence is that a large

proportion of the electors refuse to give more than one preference. No

more conclusive evidence is needed that the scheme has promoted the

growth of factions. These electors voluntarily disfranchise themselves

rather than vote for any of the other candidates, and of course the very

object of the scheme is defeated; the successful candidate cannot secure

a majority of the votes cast.

+The Exhaustive Ballot.+--A bill has just been introduced into the

Legislative Assembly of Victoria, providing for a further extension of

the principle of the Advance Vote. The plan is favoured by Professor

Nanson, and professes to be an improvement on the Queensland plan,

although it is only an "instalment of reform" in view of the ultimate

adoption of the more perfect Preferential Voting. The Queensland plan is

objected to because all but the two highest candidates are thrown out.

Suppose, for instance, two candidates stand for the weaker party and

three for the stronger party, it is quite likely that all the candidates

of the stronger party will be thrown out. Therefore the lowest candidate

only of the five should be thrown out. All his papers should be

transferred to the candidate who is marked 2 on them; and those below

him on all the papers should go up one point in order of favour. If he

stood 3 on a paper, the candidate who was 4 would now become 3. Another

count of first preferences should then be made, and the lowest again

thrown out; and so on till one candidate gets an absolute majority. It

is pointed out triumphantly that this plan, which is known as the

Exhaustive Ballot, actually saves in this instance all the trouble and

expense of no less than three separate elections. The process of

elimination is the same as that adopted in the Hare system, and is

little, if at all, better than the Queensland plan in securing the

election of the right candidate, while as regards the formation of

groups it is worse. For this plan actually encourages the groups to

split up, since if one candidate nominated by a group is thrown out his

vote will be transferred to the others. Therefore the double election is

much better than either form of the Advance Vote. They would do nothing

towards restoring the one redeeming merit of the single electorate, of

confining representation to the two main parties. And all other

mathematical schemes founded on the _a priori_ assumption that the

candidate most favoured by all sections is entitled to the seat are just

as objectionable.

The conclusion that must be reached from all these considerations is

that, except when there is a single candidate standing in the interests

of each of the two main parties, it is impossible to say with the

present system who ought to be elected. The difficulty is one of

fundamental principle. The only way to do justice to both parties is to

enlarge the electorates so that each can get its proportionate share of

representation, and then to provide such machinery as will allow each

party separately to elect its most favoured candidates. In no other way

can the people be induced to organize into two coherent parties.

Proportional Representation Applied to Party Government: A New Electoral System · 第 9 / 11 章