CHAPTER XVI

THE SECRET TREATY OF BJÖRKE--I

Of all the extravagant and, one might add, irrational acts of the

weak-willed sovereign who at last gave the death-blow to the Tsarist

State the secret treaty, consisting of four brief clauses, which he

concluded with Kaiser Wilhelm at Björke in July, 1905, occupies a

foremost place. Politically it was a deed of surrender to the only

formidable rival of his Empire, a covenant which crowned the suicidal

process he had already inaugurated when he ordered Witte to accept

Germany's proposals for a commercial treaty.[1] The commercial

treaty bound Russia economically to the Teutons, was in fact the

first step towards reducing her rôle to that of one of their

colonies, while the Björke agreement gave official recognition to the

Kaiser's cherished plans for the permanent reorganisation of Europe,

placed the resources of the Russian Empire at his disposal for their

realisation, and implicitly handed over France to his mercy. Wilhelm

II. could not dispense with Russia's co-operation in the work of

constraining France to enter into an alliance which she would never

have accepted of her own free will, and Nicholas II. foolishly

pledged himself to supply it. From the only other point of view

worth considering, the act marked the Tsar as a degenerate on whose

mind no political ideal, no wise principle of international policy

had stamped itself durably. It may be worth while to cast a glance

in passing at the scheme which Wilhelm II., as the representative and

spokesman of the German people, had formed and was working

indefatigably and methodically to embody.

The psychological diagnosis, so common in France and Britain since

the outbreak of the Great War, which represents Kaiser Wilhelm II. as

a maniac of some kind and degree, is {313} one of the symptoms of the

self-deluding propensities of the Entente nations. It is an

injustice to one's people to belittle their adversaries, and it is

self-degradation to defame them. The Kaiser has probably more to

answer for than any other ruler known to human history, and future

generations will associate his name with the most appalling crime

against mankind ever recorded, but it avails us nothing to gainsay

the fact that in all his exertions for what he supposed to be the

good of his people he had remarkably clear conceptions and a right

understanding of the relation between cause and effect. The

tenacity, resource, and efficiency with which he worked to perfect

his armies, to build a navy, and to arrange the requisite political

conditions for the attainment of his principal aim challenge

recognition which one may bestow without committing oneself to

anything like approval of that aim. It can hardly be doubted that he

himself believes in its loftiness. Therein lies his force and the

force of the whole German people which shares that belief. They are

animated by that living, incandescent faith which melts away in its

blazing flame all individual and other interests except the welfare

of the collective organism as they misunderstand it. That is one of

the many differences between the Teuton races and others.

Parenthetically, I should like to record my conviction that the

Japanese, in at least as high a degree as the Germans, are permeated

by this sustaining faith which together with such invaluable

qualities as vision, organisation, grasp of detail, loyalty, and a

fine sense of measure foredestine them, whether or no we like the

prospect, to play a most important part in determining the trend of

human progress.

It is needless to remark that the qualities of unscrupulousness in

the pursuit of ends, insensibility to what Entente peoples regard as

points of honour, coarseness in address, arrogance towards inferiors

and equals from whom nothing is expected, obsequiousness and flattery

towards those who are to be exploited or duped, and the countless

forms of duplicity and unveracity as helps to success appeal neither

to the Latin nor to the Anglo-Saxon nations. But one would {314} do

well to remember that this list by no means exhausts the catalogue of

Teuton characteristics; of their positive qualities as well as of

their repulsive defects the war has given ample illustrations.

Adaptability to changing circumstances is one of the positive forces

of the Teuton race. It runs through their latter-day history like a

white thread in a dark texture. It is their source of elasticity in

organising, of coherence in politics, of docility and buoyancy in

battle. Yet the judgment rashly passed on them by some leaders of

the Entente nations is that they are stiff, unbending, wanting in

initiative, inaccessible to new ideas, easily disconcerted and

demoralised. As a matter of fact it is the non-Teuton peoples who

are slow to quit their habits of thought and action and accommodate

both to the new conditions of existence. Of the latter-day Teutons

at their best and their worst Wilhelm II. is a type.

In ethics the Kaiser is a law unto himself, and his morality is in

essentials that of the entire German race. He also has his own

ideals of international life which, if I who have heard and read a

great deal about them may venture to say so, differ in only one or

two particulars from President Wilson's League of Nations. It is

superfluous to add that these differences are momentous.

The German ideal in international ordering is the equivalent of

absolutism in national politics. As the State governs the nation so

a chosen race should direct the Continent and, if possible, the

world, and its instrument at the outset can only be force. The

leading rôle falls naturally to that race which has given proofs, not

only of the greatest, but also of absolute aptitude to do it justice,

and this race is the Teuton. Opposed to this conception stands that

of the democratic peoples of the world who are for republicanism with

a tendency to anarchy at home and for equality in the dealings of

State with State. Their instrument is law and public opinion, but

their sluggishness in working out this conception, which they might

long ago have done, to a fruitful solution is apparently invincible.

And the reason is not far to seek. Most of the political organs of

these advanced {315} communities of the west, such as the monarchy,

the republic, the legislative chambers, the press, appeared to

Wilhelm II. as little better than mere shams. The so-called

democratic peoples exist, he alleged, for the few, and the few are

among the most narrow-minded and ignorant of God's creatures. Their

institutions are in many cases mere veils that conceal from the

people a degree of insensibility to their needs and sufferings

greater far than that which the English and the French ascribe to the

German government. And that is why they have made no serious effort

to draw nearer to the national and international ideals towards which

they profess to be striving. If their professions were sincere, why,

he asked, have they never been accompanied by an organising policy?

The reason is, he answered, because, if the reform were carried out,

the reformers' easy job would be gone. In democratic lands the

ignorant talker comes nearly always to the top, and the nation has to

be content with appearance in lieu of reality. Accessibility to new

ideas and the systematic use of the intellect are checked and

discouraged there. In Germany, despite what the French and the

English say to the contrary, it is very different. There the career

is really open to the talents; things, however imperfect, are at

least what they seem, and the rulers are both competent and efficient.

The Kaiser professed to believe that under the German system nature

is made more subservient to social needs than under any other, and

that the higher and nobler elements of human character have freer

play there. Consequently the other races, and in particular the

Russian, French, and Italian, would stand to gain by closer

intercourse with the Germans, and would benefit by the incidental

advantage of substituting a moral relationship which would exclude

war for the state of nature that exists at present between them and

all the independent States of Europe. To establish this intimate

intercourse has been the Kaiser's goal ever since he had a policy of

his own. His way of reaching it was to induce or oblige the

continental powers to assent to the formation of a somewhat looser

league than that which keeps {316} the component parts of the German

Empire together, and to work on that fulcrum for the elimination of

war from continental politics, and also for the establishment at some

future period of a supreme board of government for all European

nations on which other great peoples would also be represented, as

are Bavaria, Wurttemberg, Saxony, etc., on the German Federal Council.

Hopefulness and a high degree of faith in humanity thus organised and

directed, or as we should say Teutonised, marked some of the

characteristic speculations in which Wilhelm II. indulged. The

general public has perhaps forgotten the sensation produced by the

picture which he fathered representing the European nations putting

the "yellow-skins" to flight, with the inscription, "Peoples of

Europe, protect your most sacred possessions."[2] On that canvas, a

reproduction of which he sent to President Carnot, France occupied a

foremost place by the side of Teutonia, whereas Britain was relegated

to the background.

Some of the persons who mentally connected this little incident with

the main political movements of Europe fancied that the Kaiser's

ideal was as disinterested and generous as the kindred visions of

Turgot or Condorcet. I confess I could never bring myself to share

this view. What Wilhelm aimed at, it seemed to me then and seems to

me still, was a vast world-organism such as was dreamed of by some of

the popes, and presided over by the head of the Hohenzollerns, rather

than the revival of the empire of Charlemagne. It was a vast scheme

of polity conceived for a continent, or rather for humanity in its

entirety, and therefore from a much broader angle of survey than that

of Charlemagne. The marvellous potency with which it appealed to men

of German blood is intelligible to those who realise the intensity,

the passion born of their faith in the unbounded potentialities of

their race. To them they are {317} the salt of the earth, capable of

progress which has no fixed limits, and capable too of adjusting the

social and political forces of the world to the magnitude of the

community and the variety of its temperaments, needs, and

aspirations. And in verity this was no mere abstract speculation, no

spinning of theory from the phrase-germs of philosophy, but a

concrete scheme complete in all its parts. And the first nucleus of

the vast society which he was thus eager to build up was, as I have

said, to be composed of the great powers of the Continent--a league

of European peoples of which the crowned head of the German Empire

would be the _ex-officio_ leader.

For many years I have been acquainted with the gist of the colloquies

which he had with my friend Witte on the subject, whose temper in

some few respects resembled his own, but who differed from him

profoundly in other ways. The impulsive and unbalanced German

monarch is certainly endowed with some of the qualities which in the

times of yore went to the making of founders of religions--fire and

mysticism, ecstatic vision and shrewd practical sense, concentrated

passion with a slight touch of dreaminess, the whole combined in a

personality who believes that his true vocation is the handling of

men. Wilhelm's plans were marked by grandeur of conception and

solidity of preparation. Moreover, however low one may rate his

administrative abilities--and many of our people affect to regard him

as little better than a fool--in his mode of tackling the problem on

its feasible side and dealing with the recalcitrant or indifferent

governments whose co-operation he needed, he knew exactly what it was

that he required from each and how best he could obtain it. In

grappling with Russia, for example, he assimilated the idea which I

had long been recommending to the notice of the British government,

that the only arrangement which could really bind the Tsardom--if any

compact could--must be concluded directly with the Tsar himself and,

if possible, not through the ordinary diplomatic channels.[3]

{318}

The most arduous, delicate, and dangerous part of the task was the

yoking of France to Germania's chariot. For the wound caused by the

amputation of Alsace and Lorraine had never cicatrised. It still

festered and rankled. The Kaiser employed all the arts of

conciliation with which he happened to be conversant. He lavished

honeyed phrases and graceful compliments on almost every Frenchman

that came in his way from my first French friend, the ex-minister

Jules Simon, to the manufacturer of chocolate. He had condoled with

the widow of Marshal MacMahon, had pardoned two Frenchmen interned on

a charge of espionage, and for some ten years he applied this system

of cheap beneficence to living down the antipathy which was being

strengthened by the very acts intended to remove it. He had failed

to touch the responsive heart of France. He had never been able to

visit the city on the Seine. His policy of giving a helping hand to

the French in their efforts to extend their colonial empire had not

touched either the people or their rulers. He never understood their

mentality.

During the Fashoda crisis I felt that he had an exceptionally

favourable opportunity, the like of which might not perhaps occur

again, and I was curious to watch the use he made of it. But it

brought him no returns. Shortly afterwards another and still more

auspicious conjuncture was formed by the Boer war, when practically

all Europe was arrayed against Britain. Almost automatically the

coalition of continental nations shaped itself. A generous gesture

on the part of Wilhelm II. and he might have effected much of what he

was striving after. But the devices and expedients which he and

others imagined and put in motion during that period were jejune and

barren. Russia's Foreign Secretary, the vulgar Count Muravieff, was

in Paris in November, 1899, and calling on Delcassé he "suggested"

the advisability of making "representations" to England in concert

with France and Germany. The suggestion, like so many others that

have a Russian, French, or British appearance, had been "made in

Germany," approved by {319} the Tsar, assimilated by the Tsar's

minister, and reproduced as a Russian proposal. The idea underlying

it was the same that had actuated the three powers in their

intervention to upset the Treaty of Shimonoseki between China and

Japan. Delcassé answered affirmatively, adding that the

representations which he favoured would be courteous and theoretical,

and would merely offer to the English the assistance of the republic

in concluding an honourable peace. As this answer was not what had

been expected the matter dropped. In the following year[4] Muravieff

tried again, and with somewhat better results. On his way back to

Petersburg he stayed at Potsdam, where he reported to Bülow and the

Kaiser what he had heard and seen[5] in the French capital. They

were only half satisfied with the result attained by the undiplomatic

Russian, but resolved to make the best of it. I have grounds for

believing that the lukewarmness of the French government was less

marked than has since been asserted. The joint move could have been

arranged without difficulty if the Kaiser had had either the

enterprise to pay the full price then and there, or else the patience

necessary to wait until some future time for a more abundant harvest

from the seed he was sowing. The immediate consequence of what he

actually did was to frustrate his whole plan and estrange France from

Germany more completely than before. He began by impressing the

Russian and French governments with the seriousness of the concerted

action contemplated, the need for a long sustained effort and a

united front, and consequently the removal in advance of all causes

that might lead to differences among the three powers themselves

during their diplomatic crusade in favour of the Boers. And by way

of removing the most dangerous of these causes he deemed it

indispensable that France, Russia, and Germany should guarantee the

integrity of each other's European possessions. That proposal

revealed the cloven foot. Its acceptance would have meant that the

lapse of twenty years had sufficed to make the French nation resign

itself to the loss of Alsace-Lorraine and ratify voluntarily the

treaty that {320} gave these provinces to Germany. Thereupon the

negotiations broke down and subsequently the Kaiser had the hardihood

to assert--in order to ingratiate himself with the British--that his

object in laying down that deterrent condition was precisely to

render his own scheme impossible.

But the most favourable moment of all for the execution of Wilhelm's

design was in 1904-5, because Russia, being at first busied and then

crippled by the Manchurian campaign, France was deprived of her

mainstay. And as her diplomatic position in Europe depended very

largely on the worth of her alliance with Russia, the prostration of

this Empire left the republic almost isolated. As the Kaiser himself

wrote to the Tsar, England "could not defend Paris" with her fleet.

And according to the traditional German idea, the capture of Paris

connotes or entails the conquest of France.

It was evident, therefore, that the only way to get the republic to

join a combination of the kind which Wilhelm desired was by

constraining it. There was no alternative. Now constraint could be

effected only with the active help of Russia. And as the Tsar was

Russia, he must win over the Tsar. At the first blush the task

seemed easy enough. Nicholas II. was a timid, shy, insignificant

creature who seemed unable to offer effective resistance to a clever

campaign of suasion and intimidation. Already he had proved so

weak-willed that the Kaiser managed the Kiao Chow business with ease.

But that was Wilhelm's only victory over his imperial relation.

Since then the Tsar had been careful and kept out of further

temptation. He shunned the society of his Teuton kinsman. Indeed,

cordiality could hardly be said to mark the relations between the

two. The calculating German monarch, who now needed the services of

the Russian Tsar, was resolved to ascertain the reason and remove it.

And he went to work in this ingenious fashion. Witte was sent to

Germany to negotiate with Bülow a commercial treaty[6]--a delicate

and momentous task just then because this accord was foredestined by

the Berlin government to be the groundwork of Germany's future

prosperity. {321} The treaty with Russia was the first to be

concluded on the new lines and was to serve as the model for all

others. Moreover, Witte had been the bitter opponent of all

Germany's rapacious proposals on the subject, and had even declared

that under no conditions would he assent to this particular

arrangement. But the vicissitudes of the war had made the Tsardom

pliant, and it was now willing to pay the Kaiser's price for the

privilege of employing in the Far East the troops necessary for

protecting its frontiers in the West. And that price was the treaty

on Germany's terms. As Nicholas II. could not well refuse this, he

sent Witte with a number of experts to do the best he could under the

trying conditions. And what this statesman actually effected was

worthy of admiration.

Witte was known personally as well as by reputation to the Kaiser.

He had negotiated through delegates a commercial treaty with Germany

under Alexander III.,[7] and certain of the stratagems he then

employed were still talked of in Petersburg and Berlin. For example,

Count Caprivi was determined that come what might Russia should give

Finland the right of concluding a separate autonomous treaty with

Germany, and Count Shuvaloff, the Tsar's ambassador in Berlin,

apprised Witte of this condition _sine qua non_. Witte, without

consulting the Emperor, sent an urgent telegram to the ambassador

demanding the absolute withdrawal of the demand, and in case of a

refusal threatened to recall the delegates from Berlin. No reply

came for several days, and it looked as though Germany would not give

way. Witte became uneasy and said to one of his friends, "I am

anxious, but I have the consolation of thinking that Caprivi is not

less so, and at this moment he is probably walking up and down in his

study like me, uncertain what to do." At last Shuvaloff telegraphed

that the Kaiser's government would not press the point. Witte

reporting next day to the Tsar confessed that he had exceeded his

powers, but that the Germans had given way. "And that's as it should

have been," responded Alexander III. who shook hands with him warmly.

{322}

But despite this success the negotiations were moving slowly. Witte

was dissatisfied and apprehensive. The Junkers were obstructive. In

order to silence them the Russian Finance Minister decided to try the

effect of a ruse. He requested his friend Kovalevsky to draft a bill

for presentation to the Council of the Empire forbidding the Polish

harvesters, without whose cheap labour the East Prussian could not

live,[8] to hire themselves out of Russia any more, unless the German

government should give way to the Tsar's ministers on the contentious

questions under discussion. The bill was duly drawn up, printed,

signed by the wily Finance Minister, and then all the copies but two

were burned. Of these two Witte contrived that one should be stolen

and given to Caprivi, while the other found its way to a Prussian

agrarian journal as "a very confidential State paper." Caprivi laid

the important document before the deputies at a secret sitting and

the Junkers gave way all along the line. Witte had also had

interesting talks with the Kaiser about the reconstruction of

political Europe, which set both of them pondering over the problems

involved.

But since that time the Russian statesman had experienced the

inconstancy of the German monarch. Wilhelm II. had, however, of late

frequently lavished genuine praise and heavy German flattery on the

Tsar's most trusted servant. "If you were my subject," he once

remarked, "I would employ your services as Chancellor, and there is

nothing that we two working together could not accomplish. But men

like you are the world's rarest possessions, and the Tsar is a lucky

monarch." Now Witte was very sensitive to flattery and could be led,

up to a certain point, by a potentate like the Kaiser who

condescended to swing the censer briskly before his face. Wilhelm

more than once expressed his regret that he could not have the

benefit of consulting the genial Russian whenever he needed advice,

and his hope that Witte himself would not hesitate to offer him

suggestions whenever they occurred to him, especially {323} if the

matter were important. He would ever welcome his counsel and feel

grateful for it. They must look upon each other as friends. On

Witte this soft sawder produced the intended effect. The first

occasion that arose after that for appealing to Wilhelm was when the

agreement between the latter and the Tsar respecting Kiao Chow was

about to be executed. The Russian, as I narrated in a preceding

chapter, repaired to the German Embassy, saw Von Tschirschky,

reminded him of the Kaiser's permission to appeal to him, and said

that as the leasing of the Chinese port would bring disaster to

Germany and Russia, he implored the Emperor to waive his claim to the

execution of the compact. The Kaiser was wild with rage, but

answered that Witte was obviously unaware of the circumstances that

preceded and conditioned the conclusion of the covenant, and he kept

Nicholas II. to his bargain. Witte too was angry and often

complained bitterly to me of the Kaiser's impulsiveness, fitfulness,

and inconstancy.

The former cordiality was not restored until the Tsar's great subject

on his return as peace-maker from Portsmouth was received by Wilhelm

at Rominten, and then it lasted for less than a week.

But to return to the year 1904. When the Kaiser's promise to

guarantee Russia's western frontier called for some practical

manifestation of Russia's gratitude, Witte was deputed by the Tsar to

repair to Germany to bargain with official representatives of the

government and beat down their exorbitant demands for concessions in

the new commercial treaty. He afterwards narrated to me his varied

experiences there, and in particular the conversations he had with

Von Bülow.[9]

This is not the place to give to the world the details of the

interesting story. It may, however, be permissible to state that the

Kaiser extorted from the Tsardom, for this mark of his friendship, a

tribute which Stolypin and Witte both assured me was much greater

than any war indemnity on record. I needed no one to tell me that

the renewal of {324} this accord would create friction intense enough

to start a conflagration. In conversation with the Tsar's ministers

in March, 1914, I gave free utterance to this conviction. The

Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs admitted that I was probably

right, but requested me, if possible, to abstain from drawing public

attention to this danger. Witte confirmed my view, emphatically

repeating, "It will assuredly lead to war." He was right. As a

matter of fact, before the negotiations had begun it became one of

the main factors of the present struggle.

Russia was not a free agent in 1904 when she acquiesced in Germany's

demands. So long as she was unfettered her resistance had been

invincible. But as usual the Teutons opened their campaign most

ingeniously. On old Christmas Day, 1902, they raised the duty on

corn from 43 to 78 per cent. and enacted that it could not be lowered

by commercial treaties. Owing to this law they could afterwards

plead that their hands were tied. This increase meant for Russia an

annual tribute to Germany--and from one source only--of eighty

million marks which would become greater every year. Witte responded

by raising the duties on German manufactured goods. When pourparlers

began the Teuton method was again resorted to and the demands

preferred were exorbitant. Russia held out for a lower corn tariff,

Germany for the abolition of the excess duties on manufactured goods

to be levied by the law of January, 1903, and also _for permission

for all the Kaiser's subjects, without exception, to purchase and

possess land in any part of Russia on the same footing as the

subjects of the Tsar_.

Witte declared that he preferred a tariff war to economic subjection

of that degree and duration. Nothing, he added, would induce him to

entertain the demands of the Berlin government. But the Tsar's Yalu

speculation and its sequel had bereft his Empire of its independence.

The Japanese were defeating Russia's armies in Manchuria. The

nationalities in the interior and the revolutionists there and abroad

were joining hands and menacing the throne and the regime. Nicholas

II., unable to withstand the pressure exerted by {325} the Germans,

sent Witte to Berlin to save whatever could still be saved from the

Teuton prehensile hands. The statesman was welcomed as a messenger

of good tidings by the Kaiser and his Chancellor and cordial

relations were apparently re-established between them. In spite of

Witte's relative success the nature of the concrete result of the

treaty[10] may be inferred from this one detail which was typical of

the remainder. Owing largely to the concessions made by this

agreement the Prussian ploughman earned by the same amount of work as

his Russian comrade, and with far less risk, 400 per cent. more. The

Russian press often reverted to this servitude, characterised it as a

crushing war indemnity,[11] and adjured the government not to ratify

it for another term of ten years in 1916. From the end of 1913 a

puissant agitation was going on all over Russia to hearten and oblige

the Tsar's government to adopt a _non possumus_ attitude when

Germany's demand for the renewal of the treaty for a further period

of ten years would be presented to them officially. Everywhere in

the Tsardom voices were uplifted against continuing to the Germans

these same opportunities of enriching themselves and draining the

country economically. In the month of March, 1904, for instance, a

congress of South Russian exporters passed a resolution calling upon

the Tsar's government to emancipate the Empire from its economic

dependence on Germany "which is humiliating for a great power." But

the Kaiser's government was firmly resolved, come what might, to

insist on the prolongation of the commercial treaty for another

decennium. In these mutually incompatible aims lay one of the chief

of the proximate causes of the Great War.

But to return to the final negotiations between the German Chancellor

and the first plenipotentiary of the Russian government. Witte and

Bülow were living at Norderney[12] during the negotiations to suit

the Chancellor's convenience. {326} One evening after the work of

the day was over Bülow turned to Witte and said,[13] "'The Emperor

has a curious and inquiring mind. He is never satisfied unless he

can get to the bottom of things. Now one of the every-day mysteries,

if I may so term them, which he has not yet fathomed but hopes to

solve with your assistance is this: Your Tsar is cold and reserved

towards him, and apparently as the result of design rather than

temperament. He never unbends. Cordiality whenever it appears is

not real. And yet the Kaiser is most attentive to Nicholas II., and

has been from the very beginning. He feels drawn towards him. He is

never tired of thinking out ways of being agreeable to him. He has

sent him several deputations, as you know. But do what he may he

never elicits a really warm response. Now the Kaiser wishes me to

ask you, who are a past master of psychology, why is that? His

Majesty hopes you will shed some light on the subject because by

doing this you will be rendering a precious service to your country

as well as to ours. All that my sovereign wants to know is what

attitude on his part will enable him to establish cordial relations

between the two monarchs and therefore between their respective

peoples.'

"While Bülow and I were together on that island," Witte said to me

parenthetically, "he was receiving every day communications from the

Kaiser. I don't remember any day that did not bring at least one.

And I had the impression that this awkward question was the result of

one of the latest. I answered it in a friendly spirit. But before I

did so Von Bülow went on, 'Please speak as frankly as you like.

Everything you say will be received with respect and gratitude, and

anything that you suggest will be carried out. For we have absolute

confidence in you.' I then replied, 'The answer to your question is

that the Kaiser does not know the Tsar, does not understand his

nature and, consequently, cannot approach him in the right way.'

'And what is the right way?' 'If you like, I will give you a recipe

for {327} dealing with my sovereign.' 'Please do.' 'But I am not at

all sure that I ought. It is a delicate matter, and after all the

Kaiser is a man who has his own ideas of people and things.' ... 'I

assure you he will be delighted.' ... That evening we got no

further, because I deemed it best to wait and hear.

"Next evening when we had shaken off the heat and the worries of the

day, the Chancellor returned to the charge. 'I can now assure you

absolutely that the Kaiser will be truly obliged to you for your

diagnosis and advice. He will not take offence. I am speaking this

evening with first-hand knowledge.' 'Good, then I will be brief.

The Kaiser is too bluff and too patronising. He is

hail-fellow-well-met with the Tsar, whose conception of his own

dignity and of his rôle in the world is that of the monarchs of the

Jewish theocracy. A soft haze of mysticism refracts everything he

beholds and magnifies his own functions and person. I am sure the

Kaiser has not allowed for this. I daresay he writes, "I advise you,

I suggest, etc." If so, he is making a mistake, and in the Tsar's

eyes a capital one. What he ought to do is to ask for light, to seek

for help, to beg for advice, for co-operation from one whom he

recognises as sagacious and far-seeing.

"'If I were the Kaiser and had need of his assistance, I would invent

problems to lay before him. I would say, for example, "I am not sure

whether it would be wise to dismiss Von Bülow after that last

injudicious speech of his in the Reichstag. You who know the world

and understand men's motives so thoroughly could advise me. How does

it strike you?" Now what your Kaiser does is the very opposite. He

treats Nicholas II. as a much younger brother, patronises him, and

rubs him the wrong way. I can give you an example. It has come to

my knowledge that when the Tsar was last in Darmstadt the two

monarchs had a private conversation, during which your Emperor

behaved as though he were a very big brother and the Tsar a very

little one. Part of the time he held his arm over the shoulder of

Nicholas II., and afterwards, too, he overshadowed and eclipsed him.

I {328} believe they were photographed together in that posture.

Well, these things hurt.

"'I will give you one more example, and I shall consider my promise

redeemed. Some time ago the Kaiser passed near Darmstadt without

visiting the Grand Duke Ernst Ludwig. Now that was a slight. You

may say that the Grand Duke is not an equal and that the Kaiser

cannot be expected to treat princelets always as though they were

emperors. That may be true enough in the abstract, and it may apply

to German princes who are this and nothing more, but in this

particular case the person offended was the Tsaritsa's brother, and

the sting was indirectly felt by the Tsar himself. These may seem,

nay they are, small things, but they tell.'" ...

[1] That ruinous arrangement was negotiated between Bülow and Witte

and their expert advisers in the summer of 1904. It is the same

treaty that at present obtains between the two countries (March,

1918).

[2] Japan's genial statesman, Ito, told me in presence of several

other persons, including the late W. T. Stead, that when he was

received by the Kaiser he espied that picture hanging in the

apartment where they met. Tact and fine feeling are not among the

qualities of Wilhelm II.

[3] Cf., for example, _Contemporary Review_, June and July, 1904,

"The Obstacles to an Anglo-Russian Convention," by E. J. Dillon.

[4] In 1900.

[5] In February, 1900.

[6] In the summer of 1904.

[7] In the year 1893.

[8] In the year 1905 Prussia employed 454,348 foreign workmen, of

whom 124,184 were Russian subjects. In the year 1911 she required

820,831 foreign working men, of whom 204,522 were of Russian

nationality.

[9] All these conversations, many of which were dictated to me after

lunch or dinner, are extant, but they are not all accessible at

present.

[10] Concluded in 1904.

[11] Cf. the article of A. Stolypin in the _Novoye Vremya_ of

4th/17th March, 1914.

[12] An island in the North Sea, province of Hanover.

[13] What follows was dictated to me by Witte himself, to be used

after his death, if I should survive him.

{329}

The eclipse of Russia · 第 16 / 19 章