PROBABILITIES.

It has been the fashion to depreciate Montesinos, but I find it

impossible to discover the reasons by which this depreciation can be

justified. It is alleged that he uses fanciful hypotheses to explain

Peru. The reply to this seems to me conclusive. In the first place, he

is, in this respect, like all other writers of his time. That was an age

of fanciful theories. Montesinos is certainly no worse than others in

this respect, while he has the merit of being somewhat more original. He

brought the Peruvian civilization from Armenia, and argued that Peru was

Solomon's Ophir. Undue importance has been accorded to several of the

old Spanish chroniclers, whose works contain suggestions and fancies

much more irrational. In the second place, his theories have nothing

whatever to do with his facts, by which they are sometimes contradicted.

He found in Peru materials for the scheme of its ancient history, which

he sets forth. Readers will form their own estimates of its value, but

no reasonable critic will confound this part of his work with his

fanciful explanations, which are sometimes inconsistent with it. For

instance, his theory assumes that the first monarch of the old kingdom

began his reign as far back in the past as the year 2500 B.C. But he

reports only sixty-four rulers of that old kingdom. Now, if there were

so many as sixty-four, and if we allow an average of twenty years to

each reign (which is sufficient), we can not carry back the beginning of

that first reign to the year 1200 B.C.

There is another objection, which must be stated in the words of one of

the critics who have urged it: "Montesinos treats the ancient history of

Peru in a mode so original and distinct from all others that we can

perceive it to be a production alike novel and unknown." If this means

any thing, it means that it was highly improper for Montesinos to find

in Peru what was "unknown" to poorly-informed and superficial Spanish

writers, who had already been accepted as "authorities." It would have

been singular if his careful investigation, continued through fifteen

years, had not given him a great amount of information which others had

never taken pains to acquire. His treatment of the subject was "original

and distinct from all others," because he knew what other writers did

not know. His information did not allow him to repeat the marvelous

story of Manco-Capac and Mama Oello, nor to confine Peruvian history to

the time of the Incas. But when the result of his inquiries was

announced in Europe, Garcilasso and others regulated the fashion of

Peruvian studies, and the influence of their limited and superficial

knowledge of the subject has been felt ever since.

The curious theories of Montesinos may be brushed aside as rubbish, or

be studied with other vagaries of that age in order to understand its

difference from ours; but whoever undertakes to criticise his facts

needs to be his equal in knowledge of Peru. His works, however, tell us

all that can ever be known of Peruvian ancient history, for the

facilities for investigation which existed in his time are no longer

possible. It may, however, be useful to consider that the main fact in

his report on the subject is no more "original and distinct" than the

testimony of the monuments around Lake Titicaca. The significance of

this testimony is now generally admitted. There _was_ a period in the

history of Peruvian civilization much earlier than that of the Incas, a

period still represented by these old monuments which, so far as relates

to this point, are as "novel" and "original" as Montesinos himself.

That the civilization found in the country was much older than the Incas

can be seen in what we know of their history. Their empire had grown to

be what Pizarro found it by subjugating and absorbing a considerable

number of small states, which had existed as civilized states before

their time. The conquest of Quito, which was not inferior to the Valley

of Cuzco in civilization, had just been completed when the Spaniards

arrived. The Chimus, subjugated a few years earlier, are described as

even more advanced in civilization than any other Peruvian community.

The small states thus absorbed by Peru were much alike in manners,

customs, manufactures, methods of building, and general culture. It is

manifest that their civilization had a common origin, and that to find

its origin we must go back into the past far beyond Inca-Rocco, the

first of his line, who began the work of uniting them under one

government.

Moreover, there were civilized communities in that part of the

continent which the Incas had not subjugated, such as the Muyscas on the

table-land of Bogota, north of Quito, who had a remarkable civil and

religious organization, a temple of the sun built with stone columns, a

regular system of computing time, a peculiar calendar, and who used

small circular gold plates as coin. They were described by Humboldt.

The condition of the people composing the Peruvian empire at the time of

the Conquest bore witness to an ancient history something like that

reported by Montesinos. There were indications that the country had

undergone important revolutionary changes before this empire was

established. The Peruvians at that time were not all one people. The

political union was complete, but there were differences of speech, and,

to some extent, of physical characteristics. Three numerous and

important branches of the population were known as Aymaraes, Chinchas,

and Huancas. They used different tongues, although the Quichua dialect,

spoken by the Incas, and doubtless a dialect of the Aymaraes, to whom

the Incas belonged, was the official language in every part of the

empire. There was a separated and fragmentary condition of the

communities with respect to their unlike characteristics, which implied

something different from a quiet and uniform political history. These

differences and peculiarities suggest that there was a period when Peru,

after an important career of civilization and empire, was subjected to

great political changes brought about by invasion and revolution, by

which the nation was for a long time broken up into separate states.

Here, as in Mexico and Central America, there was in the traditions

frequent mention of strangers or foreigners who came by sea to the

Pacific coast and held intercourse with the people; but this was in the

time of the old kingdom. As the Malays and other island people under

their influence formerly traversed the Pacific, this is not improbable.

Some have assumed that the Peruvians had no communication with the

Mexicans and Central Americans, and that the two peoples were unknown to

each other. This, however, seems to be contradicted by the fact that an

accurate knowledge of Peru was found among the people inhabiting the

Isthmus and the region north of it. The Spaniards heard of Peru on the

Atlantic coast of South America, but on the Isthmus Balboa gained clear

information in regard to that country from natives who had evidently

seen it. To what extent there was intercourse between the two civilized

portions of the continent is unknown. They had vessels quite as good as

most of those constructed at Panama by the Spanish hunters for Peru,

such as the _balsas_ of the Peruvians and the "shallop" of the Mayas

seen by Columbus, which made communication possible up and down the

coast; but whether regular intercourse between them was ever

established, and every thing else relating to this matter, must

necessarily be left to a calculation of probabilities.

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