When war broke out the "Dashnaktzagan"--the Armenian parliamentary party

in the Ottoman Empire--were in congress at Erzerum. A deputation of

Young Turk propagandists[16] presented themselves, and urged the

Armenians to join them in raising a general insurrection in Caucasia.

They sketched their proposed partition of Russian territory; the Tatars

[17] were to have this, the Georgians that, the Armenians this other;

autonomy for the new provinces under Ottoman suzerainty was to be the

reward for co-operation. The Dasknaktzagan had always worked with the

Young Turks in internal politics, but they refused to join them in this

aggressive venture. The Ottoman Armenians, they said, would do their

duty as Ottoman subjects during the war, but they advised the Government

to preserve peace if that were still possible[18]. But the Turks were

past reason, and their Army was already on the move. The main body

crossed the Russian frontier; a second force invaded Northern Persia,

and penetrated as far as Tabriz. Tabriz is the capital of Azerbaijan, a

province where the majority of the population is Turkish by language;

and beyond, across the River Aras, lies the Russian province of Baku,

also containing a large Turkish-speaking population and the vital

oilfields. The Turkish plan of campaign was frustrated by the brilliant

Russian victory of Sarikamysh. By the end of January, 1915, the Turkish

Army was back within its own frontiers, and in this quarter it has not

again advanced beyond them. But the Young Turks' irredentist ambitions

have remained in being. During their brief occupation of Northern Persia

they did their best to wipe out the Syriac element in the

population--the Nestorian Christians of Urmia. Their plan was to get rid

of all the non-Turkish peoples which separate the Turks of Anatolia from

the Turks of Baku and Azerbaijan, and this was the second motive of the

Armenian deportations, which they put in hand a month or two after their

military projects had failed.

The Turkish Irredentists propose, in fact, to gain their ends by

bloodshed and terrorism. Tekin Alp (like most Turkish publicists and

politicians since 1908) is a Macedonian[19], and is profoundly impressed

by the methods which the other nationalities there employed to the

discomfiture of the Turks themselves.

"Observers," he writes, "who, like myself, are Macedonians, and, like

myself, had ample opportunity of gaining an intimate knowledge of the

irredentist propaganda of the Bulgars, Greeks, Serbs, and Vlachs, are

able to judge the significance of this striving after a national ideal,

and how sweet and inspiring it is to go through the greatest dangers for

such a cause. This is best illustrated by a few living examples" (which

he proceeds to give)....

Macedonia is soaked in blood. Atrocities were committed here the mere

thought of which makes one's hair stand on end. Nevertheless, the

leaders of robber bands and members of the terrible irredentist

organisations were not regarded by the public as wild robbers, but as

heroes fighting for the unity of the nation.

"Will the Young Turks emulate the self-sacrifice of these men?"

Russia and Persia are the fields marked out for such activity:

"In some places ordinary propaganda is sufficient, but in

hotly-contested territory recourse is to be had to the more violent

measures used in Macedonia. The neighbouring land of Persia is without

doubt the best of all countries with Turkish population for spreading

the new ideas, and it has been found that simple propaganda is amply

sufficient to produce a satisfactory effect on this fruitful soil."

In Persia, Tekin Alp reckons, one-third of the population is of Turkish

blood. He passes these Turkish elements in review, and concludes that

"the spirit of the administration is Turkish, and also the leading

spirit of Persian civilisation, even though these be clothed in Persian

guise"--for at present the tables are turned. "All those Turkish

warriors and heroes, Shahs and Grand Viziers, thinkers and scholars,

have lost their Turkish consciousness and have become assimilated to the

Persians in writing, speech, and literature." Even the compact two

millions and a half of Turkish-speaking Azerbaijanis will write letters

only in Persian, and will not read a Turkish newspaper. He omits the

most important fact--that these Turks of Persia are Shias like their

Persian fellow-countrymen, while the "Mohammedan institutions and

traditions" for which the Ottoman Turks are pledged by the Young Turk

Party to "secure respect" are those of the Sunni persuasion. But then

Turkish Nationalism depends upon ignoring religion. Tekin Alp sets out

confidently to give the Turks in Persia "a Turkish soul." His model is

the Rumanian propaganda among the Vlachs in Macedonia, and his

expectations are great:

"There is no power in Persia to put down such a movement, because it

could do no harm to anyone. The nationalisation of the Persian Turks

would even be a great and unexpected help to the Persian Government....

Persia would be situated with regard to the Turkish Government as

Bavaria towards Prussia."

And this is only a stage towards a higher goal:

"The united Turks should form the centre of gravity of the world of

Islam. The Arabs of Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia, the Persians, Afghans,

etc., must enjoy complete independence in their own affairs, but

outwardly the world of Islam must present a perfectly united front."

The Arabs of North Africa and the Shias of Iran can appraise the

"independence" held out to them by the "unity" which Turkish Nationalism

has been presenting already to Syria and Irak, the Yemen and the Hedjaz.

But Tekin Alp deals even less tenderly with Russia. In explaining the

bond of interest between Turkish Nationalism and Germany he remarks that

"The Pan-Turkish aspirations cannot come to their full development and

realisation until the Muscovite monster is crushed, because the very

districts which are the object of Turkish Irredentism--Siberia, the

Caucasus, the Crimea, Afghanistan, etc.--are still directly or

indirectly under Russian rule."

The "et cetera" proves to be nothing less than the province of Kazan:

"The alluvial plains of the Volga and the Kama, in European Russia, are

inhabited by four or five million Turks.... The Northern Turks are not

indeed superior to the Ottoman Turks, but must not therefore be

underrated. Their progressive economic and social organisation is in

every way a great help to the national movement.

"If," he concludes, "the Russian despotism is, as we hope, to be

destroyed by the brave German, Austrian, and Turkish Armies, thirty to

forty million Turks will receive their independence. With the ten

million Ottoman Turks this will form a nation of fifty million,

advancing towards a great civilisation which may perhaps be compared to

that of Germany, in that it will have the strength and energy to rise

ever higher. In some ways it will be even superior to the degenerate

French and English civilisations."

This Nationalism, which dominates Turkey's present, has also decided the

question of her future. If such a movement has taken possession of the

Osmanlis, the Osmanlis must lose possession of their Empire. Turkish

Nationalism now directs the Ottoman Government, wields its pretensions,

is master within its frontiers; and how does it use its mastery? To make

a hell of Armenia and Syria, and to plot out new Macedonias in Persia

and the heart of Russia. Thus Turkish Nationalism shows where the Turk

is intolerable and must go, but it also shows where he has some right to

stay.

There are innocent and constructive elements in it, as in all movements

of the kind. As in Europe, it has forced open the Dead Hand of the

Church. Under its influence the Ministry of _Evkaf_, which holds the

enormous religious endowments of Turkey in trust, has turned its funds

to the founding of a national bank and library, and the subsidising of a

national architecture. It has also started elementary schools, like the

voluntary schools supported by the Christian nationalities, in aid of

the Ministry of Education; and it has taken up the reform of the Moslem

seminaries (_Medressés_), which have been one of the strongholds of

Turkish reaction. The welfare of Turkish students is a concern of the

Nationalist society called _Turk Ujaghi_ (the Turkish Family), founded

in 1912, and now possessing sixteen branches in various provincial towns

of Anatolia--only Turks may be members--with affiliated societies in the

Caucasus and Turkestan. The _Turk Ujaghi_ organises lantern lectures,

lectures on mediaeval Anatolian art, and even lectures by a Turkish lady

on Panturanianism and woman's rights--she is said to have had

Khodjas[20] in her audience, and, if so, this certainly shows an

unheard-of openness to new ideas on the part of the "Islamji." Another

society, the _Turk Güji_ (Turkish Strength), encourages physical culture

like the Slavonic _Sokols_, and there are _Izdjis_, or Turkish

Boy-Scouts, under Enver Bey's patronage, who take "Turanian"

scout-names, blazon the White Wolf of Turkish paganism on their flags,

and cheer, it is said, not for the "Caliph" or the "Padishah," but for

the "Khakan."

This jumble of efforts, half-admirable and half-absurd, will justify

Turkish Nationalism if it brings about the regeneration of the Anatolian

peasantry. The Anatolians have suffered as much from the Ottoman

dominion as any of the races which have come under its yoke. They have

paid for Ottoman Imperialism with their blood and physique; their

villages have been ravaged by the syphilis of the garrison towns, and

the wider the frontiers of the Empire the further from their homes the

Anatolian soldiers have died--in the Yemen, in Albania, in Irak, on the

snow-covered Armenian plateau. Two things are necessary for Anatolia's

salvation--the limitation of the Turkish State to the lands inhabited by

its Turkish-speaking population, and the replacement of the mongrel

Osmanli bureaucracy by a cleaner and more democratic political order. If

the Allies can compass this, they may claim without hypocrisy to have

liberated another nationality; for Anatolia will be reborn on the day of

its escape from the Ottoman chrysalis as truly as were Serbia and Greece

and Rumania and Bulgaria.

The beginnings will be difficult, as they have been in the Balkans.

Whatever frontiers a Turkish National State may receive, they cannot be

drawn without including non-Turkish elements--racial geography is

nowhere very simple between Bagdad and Vienna--and in view of what the

Turk's racial minorities have suffered during the War and before it,

those left to him hereafter must be safeguarded by stringent

guarantees--far more stringent than the Capitulations, which, for that

matter, protected none but the nationals of foreign Powers. The

Capitulations are a problem in themselves. They were repudiated by the

Young Turkish Government at the beginning of the War, as well as the

conventions regulating the customs tariff. It is difficult to see how

the Peace Conference can pass over flagrant violations of international

treaties, and the Nationalists' contention that Turkish justice has been

brought up to a European standard will not bear examination; on the

contrary, the Young Turkish congress of 1911 passed a resolution that

"the reorganisation of the administration of justice was less important

than the abolition of the Capitulations." These difficulties, however,

might be settled with a new and better Anatolian government; and as for

the racial question, with time and guaranteed tolerance for religion it

might solve itself, for there is a rude vitality in the Turkish

language, and the Greek and Armenian minorities in Central Anatolia have

been gradually adopting it in place of their native speech, though this

tendency is now being counteracted by the spread of national schools

among the scattered outposts of the two nationalities in the interior.

III

With these suggestions, Anatolia and Turkish Nationalism may be

dismissed from our survey. Shorn of their pretensions in Armenia and the

countries south of Taurus, the Turks may experiment in the art of

government without the tragedies which their present domination has

brought upon mankind. The other lands and peoples of Western Asia, when

they have ceased to be "Turkey," will be restored once more to the

civilised world. What forces will shape their growth? Not, even

indirectly, the discrowned Turk, for if he were not banned by his crimes

he would still be doomed by his incapacity.

The relative qualities of the different Near Eastern races are not in

doubt. A German teacher in the German Technical School at Aleppo, who

resigned his appointment as a protest against the Armenian atrocities in

1915, thus records his personal judgment in an open letter to the

_Reichstag_[21]:

"The Young Turk is afraid of the Christian nationalities--Armenians,

Syrians and Greeks--on account of their cultural and economic

superiority, and he sees in their religion a hindrance to Turkifying

them by peaceful means. They must therefore be exterminated or

converted to Islam by force. The Turks do not suspect that in so doing

they are sawing off the branch on which they are sitting themselves. Yet

who is to help Turkey forward if not the Greeks, Armenians, and Syrians,

who constitute more than a quarter of the population of the Empire? The

Turks, _the least gifted of the races living in Turkey_, are themselves

only a minority of the population, and are still far behind the Arabs in

culture. Where is there any Turkish trade, Turkish handicraft, Turkish

industry, Turkish art, Turkish science? They have even borrowed their

law and religion from the conquered Arabs, and their language, so far as

it has been given literary form.

"We teachers, who have been teaching Greeks, Armenians, Arabs, Turks,

and Jews in German schools in Turkey for years, can only pass judgment

that of all our pupils the pure Turks are the most unwilling and the

least talented. When for once in a way a Turk does achieve something,

one can be sure in nine cases out of ten that one is dealing with a

Circassian, an Albanian, or a Turk with Bulgarian blood in his veins.

From my personal experience I can only prophesy that the Turks proper

will never achieve anything in trade, industry, or science.

"We are told now in the German Press about the Turks' hunger for

education, and of how they are thronging eagerly to learn German. There

is even a report of language courses for adults which have been started

in Turkey. They have certainly been started, but with what result? One

reads of the language course at a technical school which began with

twelve Turkish teachers as pupils. Our informant forgets to add,

however, that after four lessons only six pupils presented themselves;

after five, five; after six, four; and after seven only three, so that

after eight lessons the course broke down, through the indolence of the

pupils, before it had properly commenced. If the pupils had been

Armenians they would have persevered till the end of the school year,

learnt industriously, and finished with a respectable mastery of the

German language."

From a German teacher who has worked in Turkey for three years this

verdict is crushing, and Tekin Alp himself virtually admits the charge.

"It is true," he writes, "that the Turkish character is usually lacking

in the qualities most essential to trade or economic undertakings, but

these may be acquired by a reasonable and methodical training and

organisation." The only "organisation" that seems to occur to him is the

Boycott, which has been popular with the Turks since the Revolution of

1908.

"The unaccommodating attitude of the Greek Government was sufficient

excuse," he remarks, in reference to the Boycott of 1912. "The real

motive, however, was the longing of the Turkish nation for independence

in their own country. The Boycott, which was at first directed solely

against the Greeks, was then extended to the Armenians and other

non-Mohammedan circles, and was carried out with undiminished energy.

This movement, which lasted in all its rigour for several months, caused

the ruin of hundreds of small Greek and Armenian tradesmen.... The

systematic and rigorous Boycott is now at an end, but the spirit it

created in the people still persists.... It can now be asserted that the

movement for restoring the economic life of Turkey is on the right

road."

The real effects of the Boycott of 1912 are described by the German

authority whose memorial has several times been cited in this article.

He tells us how, under the patronage of the Young Turkish Government,

associations were formed which intimidated the Moslem peasants into

buying from them, when they came to market, instead of from the

Christians with whom they had formerly dealt.

"The peasants came to their old dealers," the memorial continues,

"lamented their fate, and asked their advice as to how they could save

themselves from the hands of their fellow-countrymen. They were

delighted when at last the Boycott came to an end and they could once

more buy from Greeks and Armenians, where they were well served and got

good value for their money."

If the Turkish Nationalists had confined themselves to economic weapons,

the Turks' economic ineptitude would have prevented them from doing

serious harm; but by abusing the political and military powers of the

Ottoman State to perpetrate the recent atrocities they have struck a

mortal blow at the prosperity of Western Asia.

"In the whole of Asia Minor, with perhaps one or two exceptions," the

same German authority states, "there is not a single pure Turkish firm

engaged in foreign trade.... The extermination of the Armenian

population means not only the loss of from 10 to 25 per cent. of the

total population of Anatolia[22], but, what is most serious, the

elimination of those elements in the population which are the most

highly developed economically and have the greatest capacity for

civilisation...."

And this is the universal judgment of those in a position to know.

"The result of the deportations," the American Consul at Aleppo declares

in an official report[23], "is that, as 90 per cent. of the commerce of

the interior is in the hands of the Armenians, the country is facing

ruin. The great bulk of business being done on credit, hundreds of

prominent business men other than Armenians are facing bankruptcy. There

will not be left in the places evacuated a single tanner, moulder,

blacksmith, tailor, carpenter, clay-worker, weaver, shoemaker, jeweller,

pharmacist, doctor, lawyer, or any of the professional people or

tradesmen, with very few exceptions, and the country will be left in a

practically helpless state."

The German memorialist presses the indictment:

"You cannot become a merchant by murdering one. You cannot master a

handicraft if you smash its tools. A sparsely-populated country does not

become more productive if it destroys its most industrious population.

You do not advance the progress of civilisation if you drive into the

desert, as the scapegoat for decades and centuries of wasted

opportunities, the element in your population which shows the greatest

economic ability, the greatest progressiveness in education, and the

greatest energy in every respect, and which was fitted by nature to

build the bridge between East and West. You only corrupt your own sense

of right if you tread the rights of others under foot. The popularity of

an unpopular war may temporarily be promoted among the Turkish masses by

the destruction and spoliation of the non-Mohammedan elements--the

Armenians most of all, but also, in part, the Syrians, Greeks,

Maronites, and Jews--but thoughtful Mohammedans, when they realise the

whole damage which the Empire has sustained, will lament the economic

ruin of Turkey most bitterly, and will come to the conclusion that the

Turkish Government has lost infinitely more than it can ever win"--it is

a German writing--"by victories at the front."

"We may call it political necessity or what not," declared an American

travelling in Anatolia during the deportations of 1915, "but in essence

it is a nominally ruling class, jealous of a more progressive race,

striving by methods of primitive savagery to maintain the leading

place[24]."

What forces will be released in Western Asia when the Turk has met his

fate? Who will repair the ruin he leaves behind?

The Germans? They have been penetrating Turkey economically for the

last thirty years. They have organised regular steamship services

between German and Turkish ports, multiplied the volume of Turco-German

trade, and extended their capital investments, particularly in the

Ottoman Debt and the construction of railways. In 1881, when the Debt

was first placed under international administration, Germany held only

4.7 per cent., of it, and was the sixth in importance of Turkey's

creditors; by 1912 she held 20 per cent., and was second only to

France[25]. Her railway enterprises, more ambitious than those of any

other foreign Power, have brought valuable concessions in their

train--harbour works at Haidar Pasha and Alexandretta, irrigation works

in the Konia oasis and the Adana plain, and the prospect, when the

Bagdad Railway reaches the Tigris, of tapping the naphtha deposits of

Kerkuk[26]. Dr. Rohrbach, the German specialist on the Near East,

forecasts the profits of the Bagdad Railway from the results of Russian

railway-building in Central Asia. He prophesies the cultivation of

cotton, in the regions opened up by the line, on a scale which will

cover an appreciable part of the demands of German industry, and will

open a corresponding market for German wares among the new

cotton-growing population[27]. "Yet the decisive factor in the Bagdad

Railway," he counsels his German readers, "is not to be found in these

economic considerations but in another sphere."

Dr. Wiedenfeld drives this home.

"Germany's relation to Turkey," his monograph begins, "belies the

doctrine that all modern understandings and differences between nations

have an economic origin. We are certainly interested in the economic

advancement of Turkey ... but in setting ourselves to make Turkey strong

we have been influenced far more by our political interests as a State

among States (_das politische, das staatlich-machtliche Interesse_).

Even our economic activity has primarily served this aim, and has in

fact originated to a large extent in the purely politico-military

problems (_aus den unmittelbaren Machtaufgaben_) which confronted the

Turkish Government. Exclusively economic considerations play a very

subordinate part in Turco-German relations.... Our common political

aims, and Germany's interest in keeping open the land-route to the

Indian Ocean, will make it more than ever imperative for us to

strengthen Turkey economically with all our might, and to put her in a

position to build up, on independent economic foundations, a body

politic strong enough to withstand all external assaults. The means will

still be economic; the goal will be of a political order[28]."

And Dr. Rohrbach formulates the political goal with startling precision.

After twelve pages of disquisition on recent international diplomacy he

brings his thesis to this point: the Bagdad Railway links up with the

railways of Syria, and

"The importance of the Syrian railway system lies in this, that, if the

need arose, it would be the direct instrument for the exercise of

pressure upon England ... supposing that German-Austro-Turkish

co-operation became necessary in the direction of Egypt."

Written as it was in 1911, this is a remarkable anticipation of Turkish

strategic railway-building since the outbreak of war; but it is

infinitely remote in purpose from the economic regeneration of Western

Asia, and even when the German publicists reckon in economic values they

generally betray their political design.

"The special point for Germany," Dr. Wiedenfeld lays down, in discussing

the agricultural possibilities of the Ottoman territories, "is that to a

large extent crops can be grown here which supplement our own economic

resources in important respects.... In peace time, of course, no one

would think of transporting goods of such bulk as agricultural products

any way but by sea; but the War has impressed on us with brutal

clearness the value for us of being able on occasions of extreme

necessity to import cotton from Turkey by land."

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