Matthew Arnold would have expressed this by saying that we are required

to be made accessible to the influence of the Zeitgeist. There is a

difficulty, no doubt, in discovering by what signs we may recognise the

utterances of the Zeitgeist; and distinguish between loyalty to the

real intellectual leaders and a simple desire to be arrayed in the last

new fashion in philosophy. There is no infallible sign; and, yet, a

genuine desire to discover the true lines in which thought is

developing, is not of the less importance. Arnold, like others, pointed

the moral by a contrast between England and Germany. The best that has

been done in England, it is said, has generally been done by amateurs

and outsiders. They have, perhaps, certain advantages, as being less

afraid to strike into original paths, and even the originality of

ignorance is not always, though it may be in nine cases out of ten, a

name for fresh blundering. But if sporadic English writers have now and

then hit off valuable thoughts, there can be no doubt that we have had

a heavy price to pay. The comparative absence of any class, devoted,

like German professors, to a systematic and combined attempt to spread

the borders of knowledge and speculation, has been an evil which is the

more felt in proportion as specialisation of science and familiarity

with previous achievements become more important. It would be very easy

to give particular instances of our backwardness. How different would

have been the course of English church history, said somebody, if

Newman had only known German! He would have breathed a larger air, and

might have desisted--I suppose that was the meaning--from the attempt

to put life into certain dead bones. And with equal truth, it may be

urged, how much better work might have been done by J. S. Mill if he

had really read Kant! He might not have been converted, but he would

have been saved from maintaining in their crude form, doctrines which

undoubtedly require modification. Under his reign, English thought was

constantly busied with false issues, simply from ignorance of the most

effective criticism. It is needless to point out how much time is

wasted in the defence of positions that have long been turned by the

enemy from sheer want of acquaintance with the relevant evidence, or

with the logic that has been revealed by the slow thrashing out of

thorough controversy. It would be invidious perhaps to insist too much

upon another obvious result: the ease with which a man endowed with a

gift of popular rhetoric, and a facility for catching at the current

phrases, can set up as a teacher, however palpable to the initiated may

be his ignorance. Scientific thought has perhaps as much to fear from

the false prophets who take its name as from the open enemies who try

to stifle its voice. I would rather emphasise another point, perhaps

less generally remarked. The study has its idols as well as its

market-place. Certain weaknesses are developed in the academical

atmosphere as well as in the arenas of public discussion. Freeman used

to say that English historians had avoided certain errors into which

German writers of far greater knowledge and more thorough scholarship

had fallen, simply because points were missed by a professor in a

German university which were plain to those who, like many Englishmen,

had to take a part in actual political work. I think that this is not

without a meaning for us. We have learnt, very properly, to respect

German research and industry; and we are trying in various directions

to imitate their example. Perhaps it would be as well to keep an eye

upon some German weaknesses. A philosophy made for professors is apt to

be a philosophy for pedants. A professor is bound to be omniscient; he

has to have an answer to everything; he is tempted to construct systems

which will pass muster in the lecture-room, and to despise the rest of

their applicability to daily life. I confess myself to be old-fashioned

enough to share some of the old English prejudices against those

gigantic structures which have been thrown out by imposing

philosophers, who evolved complete systems of metaphysics and logic and

religion and politics and æsthetics out of their own consciousness. We

have multiplied professors of late, and professors are bound to write

books, and to magnify the value of their own studies. They must make a

show of possessing an encyclopædic theory which will explain everything

and take into account all previous theories. Sometimes, perhaps, they

will lose themselves in endless subtleties and logomachies and

construct cobwebs of the brain, predestined to the rubbish-heap of

extinct philosophies. It is enough, however, to urge that a mere

student may be the better for keeping in mind the necessity of keeping

in mind real immediate human interests; as the sentimentalist has to be

reminded of the importance of strictly logical considerations. And I

think too that a very brief study of the most famous systems of old

days will convince us that philosophers should be content with a more

modest attitude than they have sometimes adopted; give up the

pretensions to framing off-hand theories of things in general, and be

content to puzzle out a few imperfect truths which may slowly work

their way into the general structure of thought. I wish to speak humbly

as befits one who cannot claim any particular authority for his

opinion. But, in all humility, I suggest that if we can persuade men of

reputation in the regions where subtle thought and accurate research

are duly valued, we shall be doing good, not only to ourselves, but, if

I may whisper it, to them. We value their attainments so highly that we

desire their influence to spread beyond the narrow precinct of

university lecture-rooms; and their thoughts be, at the same time,

stimulated and vitalised by bringing them into closer contact with the

problems which are daily forced upon us in the business of daily life.

A divorce between the men of thought and the men of action is really

bad for both. Whatever tends to break up the intellectual stupor of

large classes, to rouse their minds, to increase their knowledge of the

genuine work that is being done, to provide them even with more of such

recreations as refine and invigorate, must have our sympathy, and will

be useful both to those who confer and to those who receive

instruction. So, after all, a philosopher can learn few things of more

importance than the art of translating his doctrines into language

intelligible and really instructive to the outside world. There was a

period when real thinkers, as Locke and Berkeley and Butler and Hume,

tried to express themselves as pithily and pointedly as possible. They

were, say some of their critics, very shallow: they were over-anxious

to suit the taste of wits and the town: and in too much fear of the

charge of pedantry. Well, if some of our profounder thinkers would try

for once to pack all that they really have to say as closely as they

can, instead of trying to play every conceivable change upon every

thought that occurs to them, I fancy that they would be surprised both

at the narrowness of the space which they would occupy and the

comparative greatness of the effect they would produce.

An ethical society should aim at supplying a meeting-place between the

expert and specialist on one side, and, on the other, with the men who

have to apply ideas to the complex concretes of political and social

activity. How far we can succeed in furthering that aim I need not

attempt to say. But I will conclude by reverting to some thoughts at

which I hinted at starting. You may think that I have hardly spoken in

a very sanguine or optimistic tone. I have certainly admitted the

existence of enormous difficulties and the probabilities of very

imperfect success. I cannot think that the promised land of which we

are taking a Pisgah sight is so near or the view so satisfactory as

might be wished. A mirage like that which attended our predecessors may

still be exercising illusions for us; and I anticipate less an

immediate fruition, than a beginning of another long cycle of

wanderings through a desert, let us hope rather more fertile than that

which we have passed. If this be something of a confession you may

easily explain it by personal considerations. In an old controversy

which I was reading the other day, one of the disputants observed that

his adversary held that the world was going from bad to worse. "I do

not wonder at the opinion," he remarks; "for I am every day more

tempted to embrace it myself, since every day I am leaving youth

further behind." I am old enough to feel the force of that remark.

Without admitting senility, I have lived long enough, that is, to know

well that for me the brighter happiness is a thing of the past; that I

have to look back even to realise what it means; and to feel that a

sadder colouring is conferred upon the internal world by the eye "which

hath kept watch o'er man's mortality." I have watched the brilliant

promise of many contemporaries eclipsed by premature death; and have

too often had to apply Newton's remark, "If that man had lived, we

might have known something". Lights which once cheered me have gone

out, and are going out all too rapidly; and, to say nothing of

individuals, I have also lived long enough to watch the decay of once

flourishing beliefs. I can remember, only too vividly, the confident

hope with which many young men, whom I regarded as the destined leaders

of progress, affirmed that the doctrines which they advocated were

going forth conquering and to conquer; and though I may still think

that those doctrines had a permanent value, and were far from deserving

the reproaches now often levelled at them, I must admit that we greatly

exaggerated our omniscience. I am often tempted, I confess, to draw the

rather melancholy moral that some of my younger friends may be destined

to disillusionment, and may be driven some thirty years hence to admit

that their present confidence was a little in excess.

I admit all this: but I do not admit that my view could sanction

despondency. I can see perhaps ground for foreboding which I should

once have rejected. I can realise more distinctly, not only the amount

of misery in the world, but the amount of misdirected energy, the

dulness of the average intellect, and the vast deadweight of

superstition and dread of the light with which all improvement must

have to reckon. And yet I also feel that, if a complacent optimism be

impossible, the world was never so full of interest. When we complain

of the stress and strain and over-excitement of modern society we

indicate, I think, a real evil; but we also tacitly admit that no one

has any excuse for being dull. In every direction there is abundant

opportunity for brave and thoughtful men to find the fullest occupation

for whatever energy they may possess. There is work to be found

everywhere in this sense, and none but the most torpid can find an

excuse for joining the spiritually unemployed. The fields, surely, are

white for the harvest, though there are weeds enough to be extirpated,

and hard enough furrows to be ploughed. We know what has been done in

the field of physical science. It has made the world infinite. The days

of the old pagan, "suckled in some creed outworn," are regretted in

Wordsworth's sonnet; for the old pagan held to the poetical view that a

star was the chariot of a deity. The poor deity, however, had, in fact,

a duty as monotonous as that of a driver in the Underground Railway. To

us a star is a signal of a new world; it suggests universe beyond

universe; sinking into the infinite abysses of space; we see worlds

forming or decaying and raising at every moment problems of a strange

fascination. The prosaic truth is really more poetical than the old

figment of the childish imagination. The first great discovery of the

real nature of the stars did, in fact, logically or not, break up more

effectually than perhaps any other cause, the old narrow and stifling

conception of the universe represented by Dante's superlative power;

and made incredible the systems based on the conception that man can be

the centre of all things and the universe created for the sake of this

place. It is enough to point to the similar change due to modern

theories of evolution. The impassable barriers of thought are broken

down. Instead of the verbal explanation, which made every plant and

animal an ultimate and inexplicable fact, we now see in each a movement

in an indefinite series of complex processes, stretching back further

than the eye can reach into the indefinite past. If we are sometimes

stunned by the sense of inconceivable vastness, we feel, at least, that

no intellectual conqueror need ever be affected by the old fear. For

him there will always be fresh regions to conquer. Every discovery

suggests new problems; and though knowledge may be simplified and

codified, it will always supply a base for fresh explanations of the

indefinite regions beyond. Can that which is true of the physical

sciences be applied in any degree to the so-called moral sciences? To

Bentham, I believe, is ascribed the wish that he could fall asleep and

be waked at the end of successive centuries, to take note of the

victories achieved in the intervals by his utilitarianism. Tennyson, in

one of his youthful poems, played with the same thought. It would be

pleasant, as the story of the sleeping beauty suggested, to rise every

hundred years to mark the progress made in science and politics; and to

see the "Titanic forces" that would come to the birth in divers climes

and seasons; for we, he says--

For we are Ancients of the earth,

And in the morning of the times.

Tennyson, if this expressed his serious belief, seems to have lost his

illusions; and it is probable enough that Bentham's would have had some

unpleasant surprises could his wish have been granted. It is more than

a century since his doctrine was first revealed, and yet the world has

not become converted; and some people doubt whether it ever will be.

If, indeed, Bentham's speculations had been adopted; if we had all

become convinced that morality means aiming at the greatest happiness

of the greatest number; if we were agreed as to what is happiness, and

what is the best way of promoting it,--there would still have been a

vast step to take, no less than to persuade people to desire to follow

the lines of conduct which tend to minimise unhappiness. The mere

intellectual conviction that this or that will be useful is quite a

different thing from the desire. You no more teach men to be moral by

giving them a sound ethical theory, than you teach them to be good

shots by explaining the theory of projectiles. A religion implies a

philosophy, but a philosophy is not by itself a religion. The demand

that it should be is, I hold, founded upon a wrong view as to the

relation between the abstract theory and the art of conduct. To convert

the world you have not merely to prove your theories, but to stimulate

the imagination, to discipline the passions, to provide modes of

utterance for the emotions and symbols which may represent the

fundamental beliefs--briefly, to do what is done by the founders of the

great religions. To transmute speculation into action is a problem of

tremendous difficulty, and I only glance in the briefest way at its

nature. We, I take it, as members of Ethical Societies, have no claim

to be, even in the humblest way, missionaries of a new religion: but

are simply interested in doing what we can to discuss in a profitable

way the truths which it ought to embody or reflect. But that is itself

a work of no trifling importance; and we may imagine that a Bentham,

refreshed by his century's slumber, and having dropped some of his

little personal vanities, would on the whole be satisfied with what he

saw. If Bacon could again come to life, he too would find that the

methods which he contemplated and the doctrines which he preached were

narrow and refutive; yet his prophecies of scientific growth have been

more than realised by his successors, modifying, in some ways,

rejecting his principles. And so Bentham might hold to-day that,

although his sacred formula was not so exhaustive or precise as he

fancied, yet the conscious and deliberate pursuit of the happiness of

mankind had taken a much more important place in the aspirations of the

time. He would see that the vast changes which have taken place in

society, vast beyond all previous conception, were bringing up ever new

problems, requiring more elaborate methods, and more systematic

reasoning. He would observe that many of the abuses which he denounced

have disappeared, and that though progress does not take place along

the precise lines which he laid down, there is both a clearer

recognition of the great ends of conduct, and a general advance in the

direction which he desired. That this can be carried on by promoting a

free and full discussion of first principles; that the great social

evils which still exist can be diminished, and the creed of the future,

however dim its outlines may be to our perception, may be purified as

much as possible from ancient prejudice and superstition, is our faith;

and however little we can do to help in carrying out that process, we

desire to do that little.

SCIENCE AND POLITICS.[2]

It is with great pleasure that I address you as president of this

Society. Your main purpose, as I understand, is to promote the serious

study of political and social problems in a spirit purged from the

prejudice and narrowness of mere party conflict. You desire, that is,

to promote a scientific investigation of some of the most important

topics to which the human mind can devote itself. There is no purpose

of which I approve more cordially: yet the very statement suggests a

doubt. To speak of science and politics together is almost to suggest

irony. And if politics be taken in the ordinary sense; if we think of

the discussions by which the immediate fate of measures and of

ministries is decided, I should be inclined to think that they belong

to a sphere of thought to which scientific thought is hardly

applicable, and in which I should be personally an unwarrantable

intruder. My friends have sometimes accused me, indeed, of indifference

to politics. I confess that I have never been able to follow the

details of party warfare with the interest which they excite in some

minds: and reasons, needless to indicate, have caused me to stray

further and further away from intercourse with the society in which

such details excite a predominant--I do not mean to insinuate an

excessive--interest. I feel that if I were to suggest any arguments

bearing directly upon home rule or disestablishment, I should at once

come under that damnatory epithet "academical," which so neatly cuts

the ground from under the feet of the political amateur. Moreover, I

recognise a good deal of justice in the implied criticism. An active

politician who wishes to impress his doctrines upon his countrymen,

should have a kind of knowledge to which I can make no pretension. I

share the ordinary feelings of awful reverence with which the human

bookworm looks up to the man of business. He has faculties which in me

are rudimentary, but which I can appreciate by their contrast to my own

feebleness. The "knowledge of the world" ascribed to lawyers, to

politicians, financiers, and such persons, like the "knowledge of the

human heart" so often ascribed to dramatists and novelists, represents,

I take it, a very real kind of knowledge; but it is rather an instinct

than a set of definite principles; a power of somehow estimating the

tendencies and motives of their fellow-creatures in a mass by rule of

thumb, rather than by any distinctly assignable logical process; only

to be gained by long experience and shrewd observation of men and

cities. Such a faculty, as it reaches sound results without employing

explicit definitions and syllogisms and inductive processes, sometimes

inclines its possessors to look down too contemptuously upon the closet

student.

[2] Address to the Social and Political Education League, 29th

March, 1892.

While, however, I frankly confess my hopeless incapacity for taking any

part in the process by which party platforms are constructed, I should

be ashamed to admit that I was not very keenly interested in political

discussions which seem to me to touch vitally important matters. And

fully recognising the vast superiority of the practical man in his own

world, I also hold that he should not treat me and my like as if we,

according to the famous comparison, were black beetles, and he at the

opposite pole of the universe. There exists, in books at least, such a

thing as political theory, apart from that claiming to underlie the

immediate special applications. Your practical man is given to

appealing to such theories now and then; though I confess that he too

often leaves the impression of having taken them up on the spur of the

moment to round a peroration and to give dignity to a popular cry; and

that, in his lips, they are apt to sound so crude and artificial that

one can only wonder at his condescending to notice them. He ridicules

them as the poorest of platitudes whenever they are used by an

antagonist, and one can only hope that his occasional homage implies

that he too has a certain belief that there ought to be, and perhaps may

somewhere be, a sound theory, though he has not paid it much attention.

Well, we, I take it, differ from him simply in this respect, that we

believe more decidedly that such theory has at least a potential

existence; and that if hitherto it is a very uncertain and ambiguous

guide, the mere attempt to work it out seriously may do something to

strengthen and deepen our practical political convictions. A man of real

ability, who is actively engaged in politics without being submerged by

merely political intrigues, can hardly fail to wish at least to

institute some kind of research into the principles which guide his

practice. To such a desire we may attribute some very stimulating books,

such, for example, as Bagehot's _Physics and Politics_ or Mr. Bryce's

philosophical study of the United States. What I propose to do is to

suggest a few considerations as to the real value and proper direction

of these arguments, which lie, as it were, on the borderland between the

immediate "platform" and the abstract theory.

Philosophers have given us the name "Sociology"--a barbarous name, say

some--for the science which deals with the subject matter of our

inquiries. Is it more than a name for a science which may or may not

some day come into existence? What is science? It is simply organised

knowledge; that part of our knowledge which is definite, established

beyond reasonable doubt, and which achieves its task by formulating

what are called "scientific laws". Laws in this sense are general

formulæ, which, when the necessary data are supplied, will enable us to

extend our knowledge beyond the immediate facts of perception. Given a

planet, moving at a given speed in a given direction, and controlled by

given attractive forces, we can determine its place at a future moment.

Or given a vegetable organism in a given environment, we can predict

within certain limits the way in which it will grow, although the laws

are too obscure and too vague to enable us to speak of it with any

approach to the precision of astronomy. And we should have reached a

similar stage in sociology if from a given social or political

constitution adopted by a given population, we could prophesy what

would be the results. I need not say that any approximation to such

achievements is almost indefinitely distant. Personal claims to such

powers of prediction rather tend to bring discredit upon the embryo

science. Coleridge gives in the _Biographia Literaria_ a quaint

statement of his own method. On every great occurrence, he says, he

tried to discover in past history the event that most nearly resembled

it. He examined the original authorities. "Then fairly subtracting the

points of difference from the points of likeness," as the balance

favoured the former or the latter, he conjectured that the result would

be the same, or different. So, for example, he was able to prophesy the

end of the Spanish rising against Napoleon from the event of the war

between Philip II. and the Dutch provinces. That is, he cried, "Heads!"

and on this occasion the coin did not come down tails. But I need

hardly point out how impossible is the process of political arithmetic.

What is meant by adding or subtracting in this connection? Such a rule

of three would certainly puzzle me, and, I fancy, most other observers.

We may say that the insurrection of a patriotic people, when they are

helped from without, and their oppressors have to operate from a

distant base and to fight all Europe at the same time, will often

succeed; and we may often be right; but we should not give ourselves

the airs of prophets on that account. There are many superficial

analogies of the same character. My predecessor, Professor Dicey,

pointed out some of them, to confirm his rather depressing theory that

history is nothing but an old almanac. Let me take a common one, which,

I think, may illustrate our problem. There is a certain analogy between

the cases of Cæsar, Cromwell, and Napoleon. In each case we have a

military dictatorship as the final outcome of a civil war. Some people

imagined that this analogy would apply to the United States, and that

Washington or Grant would be what was called the man on horseback. The

reasoning really involved was, in fact, a very simple one. The

destruction of an old system of government makes some form of

dictatorship the only alternative to chaos. It therefore gives a chance

to the one indisputable holder of power in its most unmistakable shape,

namely, to the general of a disciplined army. A soldier accordingly

assumed power in each of the three first cases, although the

differences between the societies ruled by the Roman, the English and

the French dictators are so vast that further comparison soon becomes

idle. Neither Washington nor Grant had the least chance of making

themselves dictators had they wished, because the civil wars had left

governments perfectly uninjured and capable of discharging all their

functions, and had not produced a regular army with interests of its

own. In this and other cases, I should say that such an analogy may be

to some extent instructive, but I should certainly deny that there was

anything like a scientific induction. We, happily, can reason to some

extent upon political matters by the help of simple common sense before

it has undergone that process of organisation, of reduction to precise

measurable statements, which entitles it to be called a scientific

procedure. The resemblance of Washington to Cromwell was of the

external and superficial order. It may be compared to those analogies

which exist between members of different natural orders without

implying any deeper resemblance. A whale, we know, is like a fish in so

far as he swims about in the sea, and he has whatever fishlike

qualities are implied in the ability to swim. He will die on land,

though not from the same causes. But, physiologically, he belongs to a

different race, and we should make blunders if we argued from the

external likeness to a closer resemblance. Or, to drop what may be too

fanciful a comparison, it may be observed that all assemblies of human

beings may be contrasted in respect of being numerous or select, and

have certain properties in consequence. We may therefore make some true

and general propositions about the contrasts between the action of

small and large consultative bodies which will apply to many widely

different cases. A good many, and, I think, some really valuable

observations of this kind have been made, and form the substance of

many generalisations laid down as to the relative advantages of

democracy and aristocracy. Now I should be disposed to say that such

remarks belong rather to the morphology than the physiology of the

social organism. They indicate external resemblances between bodies of

which the intimate constitution and the whole mode of growth and

conditions of vitality, may be entirely different. Such analogies,

then, though not without their value, are far from being properly

scientific.

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