CHAPTER I

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THE STORY OF THE GREAT WAR

History of the European War from Official Sources

Complete Historical Records of Events to Date,

Illustrated with Drawings, Maps, and Photographs

Prefaced by

What the War Means to America

Major General Leonard Wood, U.S.A.

Naval Lessons of the War

Rear Admiral Austin M. Knight, U.S.N.

The World's War

Frederick Palmer

Theatres of the War's Campaigns

Frank H. Simonds

The War Correspondent

Arthur Ruhl

Edited by

Francis J. Reynolds

Former Reference Librarian of Congress

Allen L. Churchill

Associate Editor, The New International Encyclopedia

Francis Trevelyan Miller

Editor in Chieft, Photographic History of the Civil War

P. F. Collier & Son Company

New York

[Illustration: _King George V of Britain and King Albert of Belgium

inspecting Belgian troops. The youth is the Prince of Wales, and

beside him is Major General Pertab Singh of the Indian army._]

THE STORY OF THE GREAT WAR

Introductions

Special Articles

Causes of War

Diplomatic and State Papers

[Illustration: Editor's logo.]

VOLUME I

P · F · Collier & Son · New York

Copyright 1916

By P. F. Collier & Son

CONTENTS

Page

WHAT THE WAR MEANS TO AMERICA.

_By Major General Leonard Wood, U. S. A._ 9

NAVAL LESSONS OF THE WAR.

_By Rear Admiral Austin M. Knight, U. S. N._ 17

THE WORLDS WAR.

_By Frederick Palmer_ 31

THE THEATRES OF THE WAR'S CAMPAIGNS.

_By F. H. Simonds_ 83

THE WAR CORRESPONDENT.

_By Arthur Ruhl_ 113

PART I.--INDIRECT CAUSES OF THE WAR--POLITICAL AND DIPLOMATIC

HISTORY OF EUROPE FROM 1866 TO 1914, WITH A CHAPTER ON THE

HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF JAPAN

CHAPTER

I. Germany 126

II. Austria-Hungary 142

III. Russia 148

IV. France 159

V. England 172

VI. Italy 188

VII. Belgium 197

VIII. Japan 200

IX. The Neutral States--Portugal and Spain 203

X. Sweden, Norway, Holland, Luxemburg 208

XI. Summary of Political History 212

PART II.--THE BALKANS

XII. The Balkan Peoples 215

XIII. Bulgaria 224

XIV. War with Serbia 230

XV. Work of Stambuloff 234

XVI. Attempts at Reform in Macedonia 238

XVII. Crisis in Turkey 244

XVIII. Formation of the Balkan League 248

XIX. First and Second Balkan Wars 252

PART III.--DIRECT CAUSES OF THE WAR

XX. Assassination of Franz Ferdinand--Austria's Ultimatum 258

XXI. Serbia's Reply 265

XXII. Diplomatic Exchanges 270

XXIII. Preparation for War 279

XXIV. Territorial and Geographical Comparisons 286

XXV. Assembling of the German Armies 292

XXVI. French Mobilization 297

XXVII. Britain--Russia--Austria 304

PART IV.--DIPLOMATIC PAPERS RELATING TO THE ORIGIN OF THE WAR,

COLLATED FROM THE OFFICIAL DOCUMENTS

List of Official Documents 313

List of Sovereigns and Diplomats 315

Important Dates Preceding the War 325

Warnings of Hostile Intentions 328

Report of M. Cambon in 1913 335

The Assassination of the Austrian Archduke 341

Attempts at Mediation 356

The Austro-hungarian Note to Serbia 362

Text of the Note 366

Controversy Over Time Limit 369

Chronological Arrangement of Dates 370

Serbia's Reply to the Austro-Hungarian Note 394

Beginning of Mobilization 401

Kaiser and Czar Exchange Telegrams 438

Henry of Prussia and George V 451

Sir Edward Grey Refuses Terms of Neutrality 455

Further Exchanges Between William and Nicholas 461

Russia Explains Her Efforts for Peace 482

German Declaration of Intentions Toward Belgium 487

Serbia's Position Explained 488

Von Bethmann-Hollweg Explains Germany's Position in

The Reichstag 498

Sir Edward Goschen's Interview with Von Jagow 502

LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS

King George and King Albert Inspecting Belgian Troops _Frontispiece_

Opposite Page

George V, King of Great Britain and Emperor of India 46

M. Raymond Poincaré, President of France 78

Nicholas II, Emperor of All the Russias 142

Wilhelm II, German Emperor and King of Prussia 206

Franz Josef I, Emperor of Austria and King of Hungary 270

Albert I, King of Belgium 318

King Peter of Serbia 382

Vittorio Emanuele III, King of Italy 446

LIST OF MAPS

Page

Conflicting Interests of the Great Powers in Europe, Africa

and Asia (_Colored Map_) _Front Insert_

Europe in Twelfth Century, Historical Map 137

Europe in 1648-1789, Historical Map 150

Europe in 1793-1815, Historical Map 193

Balkan States Before the First Balkan War 217

Balkans After the Second Balkan War 254

Austria, 1815-1914 264

Poland and Its Divisions from 1772-1914 277

Armies of the Contesting Nations 293

Navies of the Contesting Nations 298

German-French Frontier, Fortresses of 303

German Confederation of 1815 307

German-Belgian Frontier, Strategic Railroads on 311

[Illustration: The Conflicting Interests of the Great Powers in

Europe and Neighboring African and Asiatic Territories before the

Outbreak of the War.]

WHAT THE WAR MEANS TO AMERICA

By MAJOR GENERAL LEONARD WOOD, U. S. A.

"Go yourselves, every man of you, and stand in the ranks and

either a victory beyond all victories in its glory awaits you, or

falling you shall fall greatly, and worthy of your

past."--DEMOSTHENES TO THE ATHENIANS.

What lesson will America draw from the present Great War? Must she

see the heads of her own children at the foot of the guillotine to

realize that it will cut, or will she accept the evidence of the

thousands which have lain there before? Will she heed the lesson of

all time, that national unpreparedness means national downfall, or

will she profit from the experience and misfortunes of others and

take those needed measures of preparedness which prudence and wisdom

dictate. In a word, will she draw any valuable lessons from the

Great War? This is the question which is so often asked. As yet

there is no answer.

It is the question uppermost in the minds of all those who are

intelligently interested in our country's welfare and safety. It is

the question which vitally concerns all of us, as it concerns the

defense and possibly the very existence of our nation. The answer

must be "Preparedness." If we are to live, preparedness to oppose

the force of wrong with the strength of right. Will it be? That's

the question! Or will America drift on blind to the lessons of the

world tragedy, heedless of consequences, concerned with the

accumulation of wealth, satiated with a sense of moral worth which

the world does not so fully recognize, planning to capture the

commerce of the warring nations, and expecting at the same time to

retain their friendship and regard. Let us hope that, in the light

of what is, and as a preparation against what may be, the answer

will be characteristic of a great people, peaceful but prudent and

foreseeing; that it will be thorough, carefully thought-out

preparedness; preparedness against war. A preparedness which if it

is to be lasting and secure must be founded upon the moral

organization of our people; an organization which will create and

keep alive in the heart of every citizen a sense not only of

obligation for service to the nation in time of war or trouble, but

also of obligation to so prepare himself as to render this service

effective. An organization which will recognize that the basic

principle upon which a free democracy or representative government

rests, and must rest, if they are to survive the day of stress and

trouble, is, that with manhood suffrage goes manhood obligation for

service, not necessarily with arms in hand, but for service

somewhere in that great complex mass which constitutes the

organization of a nation's might and resources for defense;

organization which will make us think in terms of the nation and not

those of city, State, or personal interest; organization which will

result in all performing service for the nation with singleness of

purpose in a common cause--preparedness for defense: preparedness to

discharge our plain duty whatever it may be. Such service will make

for national solidarity, the doing away with petty distinctions of

class and creed, and fuse the various elements of this people into

one homogeneous mass of real Americans, and leave us a better and a

stronger people.

Once such a moral organization is accomplished, the remaining

organization will be simple. This will include an organization of

transportation, on land and sea, and of communications. An

organization of the nation's industrial resources so that the energy

of its great manufacturing plants may be promptly turned into making

what they can best make to supply the military needs of the nation.

By military needs we mean all the complex requirements of a nation

engaged in war, requirements which are, many of them, requirements

of peace as well as of war. It will also include a thorough

organization of the country's chemical resources and the development

thereof, so that we may be as little dependent as possible upon

materials from oversea. At present many important and essential

elements come from oversea nations and would not be available in

case of loss of sea control. We must devise substitutes or find

means of making these things. Chemistry is one of the great weapons

of modern war. There must also be organization which will provide a

regular army organized on sound lines, supplied with ample reserves

of men and material; an army adequate to the peace needs of the

nation, which means, among other things, the secure garrisoning of

our oversea possessions, including the Philippines and the Hawaiian

Islands. These latter are the key to the Pacific, and one of the

main defenses of the Pacific Coast and of the Panama Canal. Whoever

holds these islands will dominate the trade routes of the Pacific,

and in a large measure the Pacific itself.

The regular army should also be sufficient for the secure holding

and safeguarding of the Panama Canal, an instrument of war of the

greatest importance, so long as it is in our control, greatly

increasing the value of our navy, and an implement of commerce of

tremendous value, a possession so valuable and of such vital

importance to us that we cannot allow it to lie outside our secure

grasp.

It must also be adequate to provide garrisons in Porto Rico and

Alaska, and at the same time maintain in the continental United

States a force of coast artillery sufficient to furnish the

necessary manning details for our seacoast defenses, and a mobile

force complete in every detail and adequate in time of war to meet

the first shock of an invasion and sufficient in time of peace to

meet the various demands made upon it for home service, such as

troops for home emergencies or disorders, troops for the necessary

training of the National Militia, also sufficient officers and

noncommissioned officers for duty at schools, colleges, military

training camps and in various other capacities. It must be also

strong enough to provide a strong expeditionary force, such as we

sent to Cuba in 1898, without interfering with its regular duties.

The necessity of building and maintaining an adequate navy, well

balanced, thoroughly equipped and maintained at the highest standard

of efficiency and ready always for immediate service, with necessary

adjuncts afloat and ashore, is also one of the clear lessons of the

war; others are the establishment of ammunition plants at points

sufficiently remote from the seacoast, and so placed as to render

their capture and destruction improbable in case of sudden invasion;

the provision of an adequate reserve corps of 50,000 officers, a

number sufficient for one and one-half million of citizen soldiers;

officers well trained and ready for immediate service; the provision

of adequate supplies and reserve supplies of artillery, arms, and

ammunition of all types for these troops.

We must also build up a system under which officers and men for our

citizen soldiery can be trained with the minimum of interference

with their educational or industrial careers, under conditions which

will permit the accomplishment of their training during the period

of youth, and once this is accomplished will permit their return to

their normal occupations with the minimum of delay.

The lesson which we should draw from the Great War is that nothing

should be left to chance or to the promise of others, or to the

fair-weather relations of to-day; that we should be as well

prepared, and as well organized on land as Switzerland, a nation

without a trace of militarism, and yet so thoroughly prepared and so

thoroughly ready and able to defend herself that to-day her

territory is inviolate, although she is surrounded by warring

nations.

Belgium to-day is an illustration of what may be expected from lack

of adequate preparedness.

The great outstanding lesson of the war is that we must not trust to

righteousness and fair dealing alone; we must be prepared to play

our part, and while loving justice and dealing fairly with others,

we must be always ready to do our full duty, and to defend our

country with force if need be. If we do not, we shall always be

helpless and at the mercy of our enemies. We can be strong, yet

tolerant, just, yet prepared to defend ourselves against aggression.

Another lesson is that our military establishment on land and sea

should not be dependent upon a system of militia and volunteers.

These will not be found adequate under the conditions of modern

war, and above all we should appreciate the fact that our military

system must be founded upon _equality of service, rich and poor

alike_. We must while extending equality of privilege to all,

including the thousands who are coming to us every day, insist upon

equality of obligation by all. With the privileges of citizenship

must go the obligations and responsibilities not only in peace but

also in war.

We should take heed of the lessons of the past, and remember that

the volunteer system has always failed us in our wars. Such

experience as we have had in war in recent years has in no way

prepared us for a war with a first-class nation prepared for war. We

have never engaged in such a war unaided. This experience is one

which is still before us. We should look upon service for the nation

in the same way as we look upon the payment of taxes, or the

compliance with the thousand and one laws and regulations which

govern our everyday life.

Relatively few people would voluntarily pay taxes even though they

knew the money was to go to the best of purposes. They pay taxes

because the law requires it. The people as a whole cannot be

expected, nor can we with safety trust to their performing their

military duties effectively, unless some general system of equal

service for all who are physically fit, is prescribed, some system

which will insure preparation in advance of war, some system which

will _bear upon all alike_. The volunteer spirit is superb, but the

volunteer system is not a dependable system to which to trust the

life and security of the people, especially in these days when the

highest degree of organization marks all nations with whom we may

possibly have some day differences which will result in the use of

force. The militia, willing as it is, cannot be depended upon as a

reliable military asset. Its very method of control makes it an

undependable force, and at times unavailable. The men and officers

are not at fault; they have done all that could be expected under a

system which renders efficiency almost impossible of attainment. The

militia must be absolutely and completely transferred to Federal

control; it must cease to be a State and become a Federal force,

without any relationship whatever with the State.

The militia must have thoroughly trained reserves sufficient in

number to bring it promptly to war strength. The infantry of the

National Guard, as in the regular army, is maintained on a peace

footing at rather less than half its maximum strength.

For a number of years we have been confronted by conditions which

may involve the use of a considerable force of troops, a force

exceeding the regular army and perhaps even the regular army in

conjunction with the militia. This means that a thousand or more men

would have to be added to each regular and National Guard infantry

regiment to bring it to full strength. In the National Guard only a

small proportion of the men have had long service and thorough

training, and if brought to full strength through the injection of a

thousand practically untrained men it would mean these regiments

would go to the front with not over 30 per cent of well-trained men.

In other words, they would be military assemblages of well-meaning,

but undisciplined and untrained individuals, and unless we are to

repeat the experiences of '98 it will be necessary to hold them for

several months in camp and put them through a course of the most

intensive training. It is probable that if they are called it will

be under an emergency which will not permit such training, and we

shall see again the scenes of '98, untrained, willing boys,

imperfectly equipped under inexperienced officers, rushed to the

front, willing but a more or less useless sacrifice.

Another great lesson should be to heed no longer those false

prophets who have been proclaiming that the day of strife has

passed, and that everything is to be settled by arbitration;

prophets of the class who obstructed preparation in England, who

decried universal military training, and all but delivered her into

the hands of her enemies.

"Our culture must, therefore, not omit the arming of the man. Let

him hear in season that he is born into a state of war, and that

the commonwealth and his own well-being require that he should

not go dancing in the weeds of peace; but warned, self-collected,

and neither defying nor dreading the thunder; let him take both

reputation and life in his hands, and with perfect urbanity dare

the gibbet and the mob by the absolute truth of his speech and

rectitude of his behavior."--EMERSON.

NAVAL LESSONS OF THE WAR

By REAR ADMIRAL AUSTIN M. KNIGHT, U. S. N.

Although the greatest war in history is not yet at an end, and none

of us can even guess when the end will come, it is possible to draw

certain very important conclusions from the developments to date,

especially in so far as these developments are concerned with war

upon the sea. The great sea fight for which the world has looked

since its two greatest naval powers went to war against each other

has not taken place. It may never take place, although both sides

profess that they are eager for it. And until it does take place,

the final word will not be spoken as to the relations between guns

and armor, between battleships and battle cruisers, or between

either of these types of "capital" ships on the one hand, and the

destroyer and submarine on the other.

The submarine has proven its power, it is true, and against the

battleship; but always where the element of _surprise_ has entered

into its attack in quite a different fashion from that which is

inherent in its always mysterious and stealthy nature. The battle

cruiser has shown the value of speed and long-range guns combined,

but in a comparatively restricted field. The destroyer has played a

part in coast patrol and has doubtless accounted for a number of

submarines; but in its proper sphere of activity it has accomplished

nothing. And the wonderful achievements of the airship have been

practically confined to operations on land. We have waited vainly

and shall continue so to wait for the one supreme lesson which the

war has been expected to yield, unless it chance that on some day to

be forever memorable in the annals of the world there shall sweep

out upon the stormy waters of the North Sea two fleets complete in

every type of craft that human ingenuity has thus far contrived, to

engage in a struggle to the death--a struggle by which the issue of

the war may be decided in an hour, and in a fashion incomparably

more dramatic than anything which the warfare on land, with all its

horrors, has presented or by any possibility can present.

Pending this one great lesson, what is it that the war has taught?

First of all, it has taught once more the old, old lesson that has

been taught by practically every war in which sea power has been a

factor, that where this element is a factor, it is a factor of

decisive importance. The British navy may not win the war for

England, but it is every day more apparent that if the British navy

did not exist, or if it dominated the sea less decisively than it

does, the cause for which England stands would be a lost cause. And

the extraordinary feature of the situation is that the navy is

accomplishing its mission by merely existing. Thus far the "Grand

Fleet" has not struck a blow. From its position on the English coast

it looks across to the mouth of the Kiel Canal, and--waits! Its

patrols are always on guard, the coasts which it defends are never

threatened, and the commerce which trusts to its protection comes

and goes with practically no thought of danger. For several months

during the submarine campaign against commerce, something like

one-half of one per cent of the merchant vessels bound to and from

the ports of England were sunk. But no industry was crippled for a

moment, and neither the necessities nor the luxuries of life were

appreciably curtailed. Even at the height of the submarine

operations, great transports loaded with troops crossed the English

Channel freely, and out of a million and a half of soldiers so

transported not a single one was lost. It is safe to say that in any

three months since the war began the British navy has repaid the

cost of its maintenance for a century in pounds, shillings, and

pence; and in the sense of security which its existence and

efficiency have imparted to the English people, the return upon the

investment has been beyond all calculation.

The first and greatest lesson of the war, then, is this--that the

value of an effective navy, when the time comes for it to manifest

its effectiveness, is out of all proportion to the sums, vast though

these may be, that it has cost; that if it overmatches the opposing

navy decisively enough, the country behind it may rest secure and

serenely indifferent to the thought of invasion or even of attack,

so far as its sea frontier is concerned; and that the navy--still

assuming it to be of commanding strength--may accomplish its whole

mission of defense without ever being called upon to strike a blow.

It can hardly be necessary to point out the fact that this lesson

may be read in terms of "preparedness." The British navy was

prepared when the war began; the British army was not. The German

army was prepared; the German navy was not--in the sense of being

large enough for its mission. With these facts in mind, we have only

to look at the contrast between the progress of the war on land and

that on the sea to read the whole lesson of preparedness in a form

so concrete that it is hard to understand how any observer can fail

to grasp its full significance.

Among the minor lessons of the war, it will probably appear to most

laymen that the unforeseen effectiveness of the submarine is the

most significant. In a way this is true; but the significance of the

lesson may be dangerously exaggerated unless we recognize the part

contributed to the early successes of the submarine by the element

of surprise to which allusion has already been made. When the war

began, the submarine was an untried and an almost unknown weapon,

and the British navy was rather contemptuous of it, or at least

indifferent toward it. Its dramatic appearance in the North Sea at

early dawn of a misty September morning was as great a surprise to

the three British cruisers which it sank in rapid succession as the

story of the disaster was to the world at large. The fact that the

cruisers by their carelessness invited the fate which came to them

does not, of course, deprive the incident of significance. But after

all, the world has never doubted that a submarine could sink a ship

that practically insisted upon being sunk.

As a result of this experience, British men-of-war operating

thereafter in what they considered submarine territory, took

reasonable precautions; and in such waters no other important

successes have been scored against them. But neither to them nor,

probably, to anyone else except their adversaries, did it occur that

a submarine could make its way from the North Sea to the

Dardanelles. And so it came about that when one of them appeared

there, it found conditions again ideal for surprise, and taking

advantage of these conditions delivered its attack and scored a

success as striking as the earlier one in its own home waters.

The activities of submarines against merchant shipping we need not

discuss here. The only lesson they hold for us, from the point of

view of naval warfare, is the lesson that for them, as for all other

activities of the submarine, there is an answer. The answer was not

ready when the war began, but it was not long delayed. We are apt to

think of the submarine as if it always operated under water, and

completely under water. But when it is completely under water, it is

completely blind and as helpless as other blind things are. To see

objects at a distance, it must be on the surface, and to see them

even close at hand it must at least expose its periscope. Having

definitely located an object within easy range, it may wholly

submerge and deliver its torpedo without seeing the target. But the

chance of a hit under these conditions is remote. Normally the

submarine remains on the surface until it sights an enemy. Having

approached as close as seems practicable without danger of being

seen itself, it submerges, _except for the periscope_, and

approaches within range, directing its course and its aim, _by

sight_--not by some occult instinct such as is often attributed to

it. When within a zone where imminent danger threatens, it may

remain wholly submerged for a long period of time, but when so

submerged, it is not in any degree a threat to other craft.

In other words, the submarine is dangerous only when it can see. And

when it can see, it can be seen--not easily perhaps, but certainly

by an observer reasonably close at hand and on the lookout. It is

especially liable to detection from an airship. Moreover, the noise

of its propellers can be heard at a considerable distance, and a

very sensitive microphone has been developed as a submarine

detector. The waters about Great Britain are now patrolled by

hundreds of small, fast craft--destroyers, trawlers, motor

boats--always on the lookout for a periscope or other indication of

the proximity of a submarine. If one is actually seen, its capture

or destruction follows as a matter of course. If the presence of one

is indicated by the microphone or other evidence, such as oil

floating on the water, or bubbles rising to the surface, nets are

lowered and the water dragged for miles around. It is not known how

many submarines have been destroyed by these tactics, but the number

is unquestionably large. Thus the submarine is being robbed of much

of its mystery and much of its terror, and while it remains, and

will always remain, a danger, the lesson of the war is that it must

take its place beside other dangers with which modern war is filled,

as something to be respected and feared, but not as having rendered

the battleship and battle cruiser obsolete.

Another lesson of the war has resulted from the fact that

practically all of the important operations on the British side have

been conducted by battle cruisers, not by battleships. It is not to

be understood from this that the battleship has been discredited,

for such is not the case. The fleet to which reference has already

been made as holding the gates of the North Sea and "containing" the

German fleet behind the fortifications of Helgoland is made up

principally of battleships, and it is largely because they have been

engaged in this important duty that the few opportunities which the

war has offered for active service have fallen to the lot of battle

cruisers. But there are other reasons for this which spring from the

nature of the battle cruiser itself and inhere in the difference

between this type and the battleship. In size the types are

practically identical, and in power of armament the difference is

not great. But the battle cruiser sacrifices much of the armor by

which the battleship is weighted down, and purchases by this

sacrifice a great increase in speed. The typical battleship of

to-day has some 14 inches of armor on the side; the battle cruiser,

from 5 to 9 inches. The battleship has 22 knots speed, the battle

cruiser 32 knots. There has been much discussion as to the relative

merits of the two types, and conservative officers have been slow to

accept the battle cruiser. The war has shown the necessity for both

types, and no better illustration of their relative merits could be

wished than that which is afforded by the spectacle of the

battleships engaged in what is practically a blockade of the German

fleet, while the battle cruisers have swept the German raiders, the

_Scharnhorst_, _Gneisenau_, and their consorts, from the distant

seas which were the chosen field of their operations. Following the

destruction of Admiral Cradock's little squadron by the faster and

more heavily armed _Scharnhorst_ and _Gneisenau_, the British

admiralty dispatched a squadron of battle cruisers to run down the

German ships, and in the battle off the Falkland Islands the history

of Coronel was repeated with a change of sides, the fast and heavily

armed battle cruisers under Admiral Sturdee making short work of the

German ships, which they overmatched in speed and range as

decisively as the Germans had overmatched the ships of Admiral

Cradock's squadron at Coronel. In each case victory went to the

ships of high speed and long-range guns, and these two are the

determining characteristics of the battle cruiser. In the action of

January 25, 1915, in the North Sea, the same characteristics won

again. Battle cruisers were engaged on both sides, but the side

which had the advantage in speed and range won the fight.

Thus the battle cruiser had justified itself, and its justification

is one of the striking lessons of the war. We may believe that the

lesson will be emphasized if the time ever comes when this type

finds the opportunity to display its adaptability for work in

certain other fields for which it was originally designed--in

scouting operations, for example, and in flanking movements in

connection with a fleet engagement.

It does not appear that aeroplanes were used for scouting in any of

the operations in the open sea--either as preliminary to the battle

off Coronel and the Falklands, or in the search for raiders like the

_Emden_ and the _Karlsruhe_. They have been used, however, in the

waters about the British Islands, and with such marked success as to

leave no doubt that they would have been of great value in search

operations on a larger scale. They were used also for directing the

fire of ships on the fortifications at the Dardanelles, and the

results indicate that they have an important field of usefulness for

directing the fire of one ship or fleet against another. It is to be

expected that from this time forward, vessels fitted for carrying

and launching both air and water planes will accompany fleets, and

it is impossible to think of a scout to be designed after the

lessons of this war, which will not carry several of them. As the

scouts are the eyes of the fleet, so the aeroplanes will be the eyes

of the scouts, extending the scouting range by several hundred miles

and making secrecy of operations at sea almost as impossible as they

have already made it on land.

Allusion has already been made to the use of aeroplanes--flying not

more than a few hundred feet above the water--for locating

submarines; and it is not difficult to understand how effective a

waterplane would be for destroying a periscope, or even a submarine

itself--this last, perhaps, by dropping a bomb.

The lesson of the torpedo is connected with that of the submarine,

but has many features which are individual to itself. It is known

that within a very few years past the range and accuracy of the

torpedo have greatly increased, but there is little evidence

connecting these features with the performance of torpedoes in the

present war. So far as known, the submarines have done most of their

effective work at short ranges where hits were to be expected. And

no one will ever know how many shots have missed. The great

outstanding lesson thus far is the extraordinary destructiveness of

the torpedoes that have found their mark. It would never have been

believed two years ago that ships like the _Cressy_, _Aboukir_, and

_Hogue_ would turn turtle a few minutes after a single blow from a

torpedo. Still less would it have seemed possible to sink a

_Lusitania_ in fifteen minutes. A torpedo might, of course, produce

an extraordinary effect if it chanced to strike a boiler compartment

or a magazine. But it does not appear that this happened in any one

of the many disasters in question. It has been said that the German

torpedoes carry an exceptionally heavy explosive charge, the extra

weight having been gained by a sacrifice in speed and range. This

may in part explain their effectiveness, but when all allowance is

made for what we know or guess along this and similar lines, the

fact remains that the torpedo has shown itself a weapon of vastly

greater destructive power than the world has heretofore attributed

to it.

The story of the Dardanelles campaign has illustrated again the

futility of attacking land fortifications by battleships. Attacks of

this kind have never succeeded, and the temptation is strong to

accept the theory that in planning these operations the British

anticipated little or no resistance from those in command of the

forts. It was conceivable that the forts could be passed--as were

those at New Orleans and Mobile Bay by Farragut--but not that they

could be reduced by the gun fire of ships. Information is lacking as

to the damage actually done. It was probably greater than the

defenders have admitted; but it evidently fell far short of

silencing the forts. If the world needed a new demonstration of the

power of forts to stand out against ships, we may put this down as

one more lesson of the war.

An important revelation of the war is the smoothness and rapidity with

which large bodies of troops, with all their impedimenta--horses,

artillery, etc.--have been transported by water. This has, of course,

been possible only for Great Britain and her allies, and for them only

because they have held unchallenged the command of the sea. It is

thus, first of all, a confirmation of the lesson with which this paper

opened--the lesson that command of the sea is a factor of the very

first importance in any war in which it is a factor at all. It is

secondarily a lesson in the ease with which a nation which has command

of the sea can, in these days of large fast steamers, transport its

military forces in practically unlimited numbers to any distance that

may be desired. It is thus an answer to the protestations of those who

insist that the United States is secured against the danger of

invasion by the thousands of miles of water which separate its coasts

from those of possible enemies; for it demonstrates what has, from

the day of the first Atlantic crossing by a steamship, become more and

more notably a fact--that the oceans which separate frontiers for

certain purposes, connect them for other purposes and especially for

purposes of transit and transportation. The term "Ocean Highway" is no

mere figure of speech. The millions of troops that have passed by

water from England into France have made the passage with infinitely

less difficulty than has been connected with the further passage by

land to the fighting lines; and the hundreds of thousands from

England, France, India, and Australia, which have assembled in the

Near East could not have covered the distances that they have covered,

if they had moved by land, in ten times the number of days they have

occupied in moving by sea. The sea being clear of enemy ships, the

route from Liverpool to the Dardanelles has been a lane for an easy

and pleasant promenade. With the Atlantic and Pacific controlled by

the fleets of nations at war with us, their waters would invite,

rather than impede, the movement of an army to our shores. It would be

difficult to exaggerate the significance of this lesson for the United

States.

A rather grewsome lesson, but one which cannot be ignored, is that

in a naval battle, there are, at the end, neither "wounded",

"missing", nor "prisoners" to be reported. A ship defeated is, and

will be, in a great majority of cases, a ship sunk; and sinking, she

will sink with all on board. Some few exceptions there may be, but

the rule can hardly fail to be as thus stated. One of the first

things that a ship does in preparing for battle is to get rid of her

boats; and, as both her companions and her opponents are sure to do

the same, her crew can neither help themselves nor look for help

from friends or enemies. The _Good Hope_ and the _Monmouth_ went

down in the battle off Coronel leaving not a single survivor to tell

the story of their destruction. Following the battle off the

Falkland Islands, the British picked up a few survivors from the

German ships, but not enough to contradict the rule. In the running

engagement in the North Sea on January 25, 1915, the _Blücher_ went

down with 650 out of 900 of her crew. Scarcely a man was saved from

the _Cressy_, the _Aboukir_, or the _Hogue_. And so the story runs,

and so it must always run when modern ships fight in earnest.

One of the most striking features of the engagements up to the

present time is the range at which they have been fought. A few

years ago 10,000 yards was considered the extreme range at which

ships would open fire. The ranges used in the Russo-Japanese War

varied from 3,000 to 8,000 yards, and the battle off Tsushima was

decided at less than 6,000 yards. In the present war the ranges have

been nearly three times as great as these. In the battle off

Coronel, the _Good Hope_ was sunk at 12,000 yards, the _Monmouth_ at

a little less. In the battle off the Falkland Islands, both sides

opened fire at 17,000 yards, and the German ships were sunk at

approximately 16,000 yards. The running fight in the North Sea

opened at 18,000 yards, and the _Blücher_ was sunk at 15,000 yards.

This extraordinary increase in the fighting range corresponds in a

measure to an increase in accuracy of fire, but it corresponds also

to a new recognition of the enormous advantage which may result from

a fortunate hit early in the action. The theoretical advantage which

should result from this has been confirmed by practical experience,

and it may be regarded as certain that battle ranges hereafter will

conform more nearly to those off Coronel than to those of Tsushima.

To summarize: The great outstanding naval lesson of the war is this:

That a nation whose navy commands the sea can rest secure, so far as

its sea frontier is concerned, from the fear of invasion or of

serious attack; that, further, its command of the sea insures to its

commerce the freedom of the sea; and that, finally, this freedom

extends equally to its armed forces, to which the highways of the

sea are opened wide, affording a possibility of offense at distant

points which is denied to the forces of the enemy.

Perhaps the lesson second in importance is that, owing to the rapid

march of invention in these days of progress, it is to be expected

that every war which comes suddenly upon the world will come with

certain elements of surprise, some of them startling in their power

and effectiveness, some of them giving promise of much and

accomplishing comparatively little. However surprising and however

effective the best of these may be, they will fall short of

revolutionizing warfare, but they may profoundly modify it; and the

nation which has them ready for use in the beginning will gain an

initial advantage which may go far toward determining the issue of

the war.

Lessons of more limited significance have to do with the

effectiveness of the submarine and the unexpected radius of action

of which it has shown itself capable; the amazing destructive power

of the torpedo; the value of the battle cruiser, both for the

defense of a coast from raiding expeditions, and for operations in

distant seas where speed is needed to bring an enemy to action, and

heavy guns to insure his destruction; the difficulty of reducing

shore fortifications by fire from ships; the necessity of aeroplanes

for scouting at sea, and the modifications in naval strategy and

tactics which will result from their general adoption.

After many months of sparring between the British and German naval

forces in the North Sea, an important engagement took place on May

31, 1916, between the two main fleets. Exactly what forces were

engaged will probably not be known until the end of the war, and it

is certain that we must wait long for definitely reliable reports as

to the losses on the two sides. It is already clear, however, that

the encounter has added little to our knowledge of naval warfare.

British battle cruisers engaged German battleships at close range

and were badly punished. In this there was nothing new or

instructive. Nor has anything new or instructive developed from what

is thus far known of other phases of the battle. Indeed the one and

only striking feature of the battle appears to be the fact that

everything occurred practically as it might have been expected to

occur. Neither submarines nor destroyers, neither Zeppelins nor

aeroplanes provided any startling features. The only lesson thus far

apparent is the old one that while dash and audacity have their

place in warfare, they need the directing and steadying hand of

judgment and of skill.

THE WORLD'S WAR

By FREDERICK PALMER

INITIAL STRATEGY

In innumerable volumes future generations will learn the details of

this war: and the discussions among delving historians will never

end. For our time a simpler task is the service set for us. We

require a record of the essential facts of the struggle arranged

with a sense of historical perspective.

For forty years the great nations of Europe had had universal

service. Every able-bodied youth, unless his government chose to

excuse him, became a soldier. For forty years the diplomatists had

held the balance of power so delicately poised that the mighty armed

forces all kept to their own sides of their frontiers. It was in the

era of modern invention and man's mastery of material power that

these great armies were formed and trained for the war that was to

test their steel.

Where Napoleon marched a hundred thousand men along parallel roads,

the modern general sends his millions on railroad trains. The

problem for each nation when war came was to concentrate with a

greater rapidity than its adversary its enormous masses of men and

guns against the enemy; and success in this was not due as in former

days to speed of foot over good highways such as the Romans and

Napoleon built, but to organized railroad and automobile transport

or rather the prompt employment of all the industrial resources of

the nation for war alone.

Out of the conflicting reports day by day emerge to the observer as

he reviews the progress of the war, with the map before him, plans

of campaign as simple in their broad lines as in Cæsar's or

Alexander's day. Generals fighting with a million or two million men

under their command have held to the same principles as if they had

only ten or fifteen thousand.

All schools of successful warfare have believed in the offensive; in

quick decisive blows which take the enemy by surprise and find him

unready if possible. They hold that the army in rest must always be

beaten by the army which takes the initiative. This partly explains

the frequent small actions indicated by the reports of trenches

taken in assault along the western front, while the lines occupied

by the armies did not radically change. Such actions are the natural

expression by any spirited force of its sense of initiative. Unless

you sometimes take some of the enemy's trenches, he will be taking

yours. By striking him in one section you may prevent him from

striking you in another. Von Moltke and the other great German

generals were only following in the footsteps of Napoleon when they

taught that the offensive should be the first thought of every

soldier.

The offensive naturally seeks to flank its adversary. Lieutenant

General Winfield Scott once stated that if two lines of men, without

any officers, were placed in a field, one line would inevitably try

to get around the end of the other. The immensity of the forces, the

power and precision of modern armies in defense has lengthened the

battle fronts from a mile or a mile and a half in Napoleon's time to

hundreds of miles.

It is an old rule, that you cannot break through a battle front,

which means that you are thrusting in a wedge which will draw fire

on both sides. Pickett tried to break a battle front at Gettysburg.

A frontal attack which was no less pitiful in its results was that

of the Federals at Fredericksburg. Grant's hammering tactics against

Lee succeeded only by the flanking operations of superior numbers.

Strategically, the situation of the Central Powers was extremely

strong. Aside from the fact that their preparedness in numbers of

trained men, in arms and material, is too well known for mention

here, their excellent network of railways enabled them to make

rapid concentration. They had what is known as the interior line,

which gave Meade his advantage at Gettysburg. Whether the interior

line is three miles or a thousand miles long does not affect the

principle involved. Interior lines mean quick transportation of

reserves from point to point in concentration. It does not matter

whether their numbers are hundreds or hundreds of thousands; the

advantage is intrinsically the same. Joffre had probably fifteen

hundred thousand on the interior line of the Marne. Meade had

seventy thousand at Gettysburg.

In keeping with all great plans that of the Central Powers was

extremely simple. Austria was to look after Russia. She could

mobilize more rapidly than Russia, and her army was counted upon to

take the offensive into Russia and deliver a hard blow before the

Russian was ready to receive her. Indeed, the Austrian was to

attempt in the east what the German attempted in the west. The

German army was confident that in any event the slowness of Russian

mobilization would give it time for its daring venture in the west.

As the French, too, had excellent railroad systems, they also would

mobilize rapidly. The full strength of the German army, therefore,

was thrown against the French and the little Belgian army of eighty

thousand ill trained and equipped men in the first month of the war.

By using their interior lines, striking first in the west and then

in the east, the Germans were warranted on paper in counting on

successes that might have ended the war within the first four or

five months.

The frontier of France from Switzerland to Luxemburg, when manned by

the large numbers of the French army, became a battle front. There

was no room for a flanking operation. German ambition for a decisive

and prompt victory over the French army must have room for a turning

movement. The Germans made the invasion of Belgium a military

necessity for their purpose, which was the destruction of the French

army. They had built the great 17-inch mortars for smashing the

Belgian fortresses in order to open the gate for the flood which was

to sweep southward to Paris. These guns were less practicable for

field work or even for trench work, being best against cities and

stationary guns in forts.

Thus the German plan of campaign was fully developed the second day

of the war. It was no longer a secret to the general public, let

alone to the French staff, which recognized that it had to deal with

this effort of the German wing to come through Belgium. A French

movement into Alsace failed. The public reason given for this was

that it was a political demonstration in raising the Tricolor over

the "lost provinces" dear to the heart of every Frenchman.

Another--a military reason--which would seem a more obvious one to

the soldier, was a counteroffensive to draw off the force of the

German offensive at Liege and Namur, hoping thus, at least, while

Liege and Namur were holding the German right in position, to force

the German left to the bank of the Rhine. If you will look at the

map you will see that this strategy becomes transparently

intelligible.

Thus early in August the French were trying to turn the German left,

and the Germans were preparing to turn the French left. Had the

Belgians had anything like an adequate army, had it been skillfully

handled; had the fortress of Namur held ten days as many thought it

would, the German right might have been held long enough to prevent

the Germans forcing a battle on the Marne. By the third week of

August, however, the Germans had won their first point. They had

broken through Namur, so incapably defended. They had broken the

French left, put the British to flight, compelling the withdrawal of

the French from German Lorraine, and now the war in the west was

being waged entirely on French soil.

Technically and strategically the French had been outdone by

superior numbers and the incapable defense of Namur, but no decisive

battle had been fought. Indeed in a maneuver for positions, the

Germans had won. The test was to come on the Marne. Had France been

beaten there, she would have been beaten for good. Her army would

have been so badly shattered that the Germans would then have been

able to have thrown such preponderance of force, in conjunction with

the Austrians, against the Russians that Warsaw (and perhaps

Petrograd) must have fallen in the first year rather than in the

second of the campaign. It would not be going too far to call the

Marne the greatest battle in all history, both because of the

numbers engaged and the result. Barring a later successful German

offensive it decided the fate of France and very likely the fate of

the war. All the trench fighting that followed, after all, only

nailed down as it were the results of the Marne.

The general public taking its news from the daily press, thinks of

the Marne as having been waged mostly in the neighborhood of Paris.

It also wonders why the Germans did not go into Paris when they were

so near. Any entrance into Paris was of secondary and of superficial

consideration. The object of an army is to beat an enemy's army. Had

the German army beaten the French on the Marne, then it had plenty

of time for its entry into Paris. If it lost the battle, it could

not have held Paris.

The fate of Paris was no less decided in eastern France than on the

banks of the Marne. Far and away from a spectacular point of view,

the most interesting portion of that decisive conflict was among the

hills and valleys and woods of Lorraine, where over a front of

eighty miles the Bavarians and the French swayed back and forth in

fierce pitched battle. For the Bavarians were striking at the French

right flank toward the gap of Miracourt and the German Crown Prince

was striking in the Argonne at the same time that Von Kluck was

striking at the French left. The Bavarians and the crown prince

failed, while Von Kluck extended himself too far and was nearly

caught in the pincers by Manoury's new army striking on his flank.

But the vital, the human, the overwhelming factor was that the

French infantry after retreat, when they might have been in

confusion and poor heart, held with splendid stubbornness and

organization under the protection of the accurate fire from their

field batteries of 75's.

It is estimated that the Germans had actually on the front, or

within ready reach of the front in the battle of the Marne,

2,500,000 men, while the French had 1,500,000. As the population of

France is approximately forty-five million and that of Germany

seventy million, the ratio in armed men to population was

substantially the same for either combatant. For any decisive

offensive the Germans needed that percentage of superior numbers.

The fact that they failed carried its own significance.

Though they withdrew they were by no means decisively beaten. It

might be said--to give them the fullest benefit of the doubt--that

they undertook to buy something and the price was too high. To

insist, however, that they did not make their best effort is to

imply that the Germans were unwilling to pay the price for that

decisive victory which would win the war. They could not take the

risk of going too far or pressing too long and too hard; for that

might have meant, with the rapid mobilization of French reserves, a

defeat that would have thrown them clear out of France and lost the

war for them.

The Germans had profited by all the lessons of the Russo-Japanese

War, which taught the importance of trenches to modern armies, and

also the value of high-explosive shells, but their own expenditure

of shells had been far beyond their anticipation, and so far as we

can learn, at the Marne they faced a shortage. They lacked the

munitions to carry on the battle to a conclusion, even if they

possessed the men and the will.

Accepting the principle of the increased power of the defensive of

modern armies, they fell back to the defensive line of the Aisne,

and now the initiative must be with the French. There followed a

movement of precisely the kind characterizing many battles over a

smaller front and that was the extension of the line as reserves

were brought up by either side.

The French tried to flank the German left but the Germans extended

as rapidly as they, until the month of October found both armies

resting one flank on the sea and the other on Switzerland. Still

another reason for the German withdrawals from the Marne was the

loss of the battle of Lublin by the Austrians, due not to the

inferiority of the Austrian troops so much as to bad generalship.

The German staff was warranted by the defeat at Lublin in thinking

that they might have overestimated the Austrian army and

underestimated the Russian. In this case they might face the danger

of an invasion of Germany itself from Russia. Owing to the

heterogeneous character of the Austrian army with its many races and

the many pessimistic prophesies that have been made about the

loyalty of the Slav portions of Austria, which were fulfilled it is

said by the mutiny of some Slav regiments, it looked as if such

apprehensions had been well grounded.

In winning Lublin the Russians had done a distinct service to the

French in relieving pressure at the Marne and by their invasion of

East Prussia they undertook a service of a similar kind. The advance

of the Russian "steam roller" into Prussia so much heralded at the

time amounted to little more than an immense raid, as numbers go in

the greatest struggle of all history.

It won laurels for Von Hindenburg, a retired general, who became the

hero of the war in Germany, again illustrating that in this, as in

other wars, the fortune of circumstances and the character of your

enemy have much to do with the creation of martial glory. For it is

an open question if as a military feat Von Kluck's skillful

extrication of his army from the position beyond Paris is not as

worthy of praise as Von Hindenburg's clever victory of Tannenberg.

Though the German armies had not been able to gain a decisive

victory over the French, they had established themselves on French

soil. All the destructive effects of war must be borne by their

adversary while they could make use of the regions occupied to

supply and feed their troops. They had put the burden of direct

economic waste on the French and deprived them of economic supplies,

while the psychologic value of driving home to the enemy population

the ravages of war is considered important by military leaders.

Nor could the economic advantage be adequately measured by extent of

area occupied; for the one-twenty-sixth of the territory of France

which was held by the Germans represented far more than

one-twenty-sixth of French producing power for war purposes. A

nation's true material wealth in peace may be in its farms and

vineyards, but in war it is in the coal and steel and machine shops.

The "Black Country" of northern France of no interest to the

tourist, plays the same part to industrial France that the

Pittsburgh region plays to industrial America. Besides, with Lille

in German hands, France had lost the income from her export trade in

textiles.

As the Russians for lack of transport were not able to follow up

their success at Lublin, the succeeding weeks showed it to be far

from a decisive victory. The Austrian army soon recovered itself. In

comparison with Russia, both Austria and Germany were highly

organized industrial nations. They had not only been able to put

larger forces into the field at the outset than their adversaries,

but they had the resources in guns and rifles, and in the factories

for the manufacture of munitions, which enabled them to increase

their actual fighting forces faster than their adversaries, and to

supply them with larger quantities of munitions.

The German army was established in well-chosen positions in France,

which might be impregnable against even forces as superior as three

to one; the Austrian army was safely established in front of the

Russians. Both the French and the Russians were short of munitions,

and particularly of guns of heavier caliber, and of high-explosive

shells, which had become most essential in trench warfare.

Relatively, the Germans were depending upon their guns to hold the

Aisne line, while the Allies were depending upon the flesh and blood

of infantry. Germany was rushing every trained man she had to the

front and training a million volunteers. Now she could spare troops

moved by her efficient railroad system, taking advantage of the

interior line for Von Hindenburg to make a drive toward Warsaw,

where he repeated the same maneuver, in keeping with German practice

of the advance to the Marne. After his drive, he fell back from

Warsaw, and intrenched for the winter.

An unskilled garrison of Belgians held Antwerp, which was on the

flank of the German forces in Belgium. The fall of this fortress

meant the release of a considerable force of Germans, and allowed

their heavier concentration toward northwestern France. Having

failed to defeat the French at the Marne, which would have dropped

not only the ports of Dunkirk, Calais, and Boulogne, but also Havre,

like ripe plums into their basket, the Germans next sought to take

Calais, which is twenty-two miles from the coast of England. With

Calais went the possession of all Belgium, a strip of northern

France, and a foothold on the coast within twenty-two miles of

England, and with the free sweep of the Atlantic past the narrow

English Channel in front. Von Moltke, the chief of the German staff,

who was retired about this time, was said to have still favored the

greater conception of a decisive victory over the French army by an

attack on Verdun instead of on the Channel ports; and the kaiser's

own idea was said to have prevailed against his.

Now the allied armies in the west were to face a test second only to

that of the Marne. The British army, which had been in the

neighborhood of Soissons, had moved down to the left flank, hoping

to assist in a successful turning movement. Their little force was

being increased by every reserve that they could muster and arm.

From India they brought their native troops, long-service men

trained by British officers. These, at a time when every man of any

kind was needed, were thrown into the crucible of the coming

conflict, which reached its climax during the last days of October

in the chill rains and mists of Flanders, with rich fields of a flat

country turned into a glutinous mud.

Meanwhile, in a futile attempt, the British rushed small forces of

marines to the assistance of the Antwerp garrison. With Antwerp

theirs, the Germans were free to concentrate against the Channel

ports. Once more the offensive was entirely with them in the west.

They even brought into action some of the regiments of volunteers

who had been enlisted in August; and following the German system of

expending a fresh regiment in a single charge, these new levies were

sent in masses to the attack. The Belgians, including those who

escaped from Antwerp and from being driven into Holland, rested

their left on the sea. Some sixty thousand were all they could

muster out of a population of seven millions for the defense of the

sliver of country that still remained under their flag. A type of

man-of-war which was supposed to be antedated, the monitor, with its

low draft and powerful guns was brought into action by the British

in protecting the Belgians, who finally saved themselves by flooding

their front.

Next to the Belgians was a French army, and next to them the British

army, which shared with the French the brunt of the attack in that

sector around the old town of Ypres, which was to give its name to

the Ypres salient, the bloodiest region of this war, and of any war

in the history of Europe.

So far as one can learn, the losses of the British and the French

here were about 150,000, and of the Germans, about 250,000. Within

the succeeding year, probably another 200,000 men of both sides were

killed and wounded in the same locality. At the lowest estimate,

100,000 men have been killed outright in the Ypres salient, without

either side gaining any appreciable advantage. British regiments

held in the first battle of Ypres in some cases when they had a loss

of 80 per cent.

Both Germans and Allies fought in icy water up to their hips. Many

who survived succumbed to the cold. Lacking proper artillery

support, the British used to cheer when the Germans charged, as that

meant the end of shell fire, and they could come to close quarters

with the bayonet. Little by little, but grudgingly, they had to

yield against that persistent foe. The German staff was at its best

in its organized offensive, and the British at their best

"sticking," as they call it--and the prize was an arm of salt water,

to be all Ally or part German. When the Germans gave up the

struggle, they had the advantage of ground and the British stayed

where they were. Whether or not the Allies should have evacuated

Ypres and the deadly Ypres salient and withdrawn to better strategic

positions will ever be a subject of discussion; but the loss of the

city at the time would have had a moral effect on the situation of

the Allies, and the political consideration may have outweighed the

military.

Thus the campaign of the first summer and fall came to an end. The

Allies had failed in their hope of keeping the German within his

borders; and the German had failed to win any decisive victory

which could enforce peace on all or any one of the Allies.

The casualties, on account of the vast numbers engaged, had been

staggering. Germany held a small strip of Poland, and about the same

amount of territory in France that she was to hold a year later,

while Russia held a large section of Galicia. Where the armies had

operated, lay broad belts of ruins, destroyed at enormous cost by

shell fire. The moralist might well ask if the nations would have

entered the war if they could have foreseen the result of their

first four months' struggle.

SEA POWER

For any adequate understanding of the strategy of the war as a

whole, the trench line from Switzerland to Flanders must be extended

to the east of England across the North Sea to Iceland. This war has

again demonstrated the enormous value of sea power.

Glance at a map of the globe and you will see how small a portion of

it is occupied by the great nations of Europe, which for 2,000 years

have been the most vital and influential political, commercial, and

intellectual force in the world. The present nations are for the

most part only the modern expression of the vigorous races which

Cæsar found and conquered. They have been in continual competition

and in frequent wars.

The Russians have had only a little hold on the sea--in the Black

Sea and in the Baltic; the Germanic peoples have had the Baltic and

the North Sea; France faces the Mediterranean and the Atlantic; and

only twenty-two miles from France is the island of Britain and

Ireland, and other little islands, or what are known as the British

Isles, whose superficial area is less than that of France or

Germany.

Look again at the map, at the location of the British Isles and

Germany. Mark them in black, if you will, and those two little

points represent the two great antagonists in the war. Then turn the

globe around slowly, and you come to Canada, stretching from the

frontier of the United States to the Arctic, and across the Pacific

to Australia and Hongkong, the Straits Settlements and Ceylon,

India, and then in Africa, the most valuable of all its area--and

you have the dominions and the colonies of the British Empire!

Between Germany and the rest of the world is the British navy. Every

German ship which sails the trade routes of the earth must go past

the British threshold. Germany, with a rapidly increasing

population, with an imperial patriotism which discouraged emigration

to foreign countries, wished to extend her domain; she wanted room

in which German national ambition could expand.

Through all her history, Britain has had one eye on the continent

and one on the seas. Continental affairs concerned her only so far

as they meant the rise of any power which might threaten her

dominion of the seas. The silver-pewter streak of channel kept her

safe from invasion by any continental power, yet she could land

troops across the Channel and throw the weight of her forces in the

balance when her dominion was threatened. It is her boast that she

has always won the "last battle," which is sufficient. She had only

30,000 troops in the allied army under Wellington, which delivered

the finishing blow to Napoleon.

Twenty years ago, when the German navy was in its infancy, her

policy was one of splendid isolation. France then was the second

naval power, and Russia the third. The British naval program was

superior to any two continental powers. The increase in German

population and in trade and wealth brought with it an increase in

the German navy, until Germany, with her ally, Austria, became the

threatening continental factor to British security.

Now Britain formed a combination for defense with Russia and France.

Her military part was to send 120,000 troops across the Channel to

cooperate with the French army against the Germans. She was the only

one of the great nations, except the United States, that depended

upon a regular army, which was occupied mostly in policing her

empire. Aside from her regulars, her only military organization were

her Territorials, which were something on the same order as the

American National Guard.

The number of men which she could throw across the Channel was

therefore insignificant, compared to the great hordes of the

European armies. Her real part was command of the sea. She was

either to destroy the German navy or make it helpless in interfering

with allied trade on the seas. Her Government was Liberal, her

people as a whole skeptical of the possibility of a European war.

For centuries they had been bred to believe that her security was in

her fleet. She had long enjoyed her empire, she possessed immense

capital, and her inclination was toward complacency, while Germany's

was that of the eager newcomer to power.

The situation in Ireland on account of the passage of the Home Rule

Bill had become so strained that many people believed civil war to

be inevitable. The conviction of the German Ambassador in London, as

well as most German observers, was that Britain would not actually

enter the war, when the test came. Upon her decision, it is now

evident, depended the fate of Europe. With England out, the French

army could not have saved France. For then, Germany could have had

the freedom of the seas. Her navy would have sent the French into

harbor, closing not only every French, but every Russian port to the

entrance of supplies and munitions, which would have meant food

scarcity in France, and utter scarcity of munitions in Russia.

German troops could have landed in France to the rear of the French

army. The whole complexion of the war would have been changed. So

well laid were their plans, so sure were they of their numbers of

men and guns, which they could promptly concentrate, that there

seems little question of the ability of the Central Powers to have

crushed France in the first three months of the war, and then to

have won a decisive victory over Russia, bringing home from either

country great indemnities, and, with Germany, if she choose,

annexing northern France and Belgium.

Thus the Central Powers would have established themselves so

strongly as the dominant nations of Europe, that Germany with her

seventy millions of people could have directed her energy as the

next step in her career against the Mistress of the Seas.

Had Belgium not been invaded, it is questionable if the British

public would have favored joining in the war. But this aroused

public indignation to the breaking point in support of the war

members of the cabinet. Sir Edward Grey, the British Minister of

Foreign Affairs, had his way.

The British navy was as thoroughly prepared for an emergency as the

German army. It had no illusions as to the nature of its task or of

its responsibility to the nation. Britain had superior resources in

shipbuilding to Germany. She had a fleet superior in every class of

ship, and she had led the world in naval progress--both her

dreadnoughts and her battle cruisers being of a later type than her

rival's. Her desire, inevitably, was that the German fleet should

come out at once and give battle. Confident of the outcome, she

contemplated the removal of her rival from the seas at a single

blow.

German naval policy was as careful to avoid this test as British was

to invite it. The German navy was kept safely at anchor in Kiel,

protected by immense fortress guns, by elaborate mine fields, scores

of submarines and destroyers, and by numerous nets against the

approach of any British submarine. There was no way for any enemy to

reach it except by the air. The Germans would have located any

British attempt to attack their navy, as it might have meant the

loss of important British fighting units which would have given the

Germans more nearly equal chances of victory if they chose to

precipitate an engagement. Sir John Jellicoe, in command of the

fleet, however, refused to take any risks of losing his units. He

kept his fleet in harbor, ready at any moment to steam out into the

North Sea for action. Throughout the war to this writing, not one of

his great first-class battleships has fired a shot, with the

exception of the _Queen Elizabeth_, which took part in the

bombardment of the Dardanelles forts.

Superiority of gun power has been sufficient to keep England safe

from invasion, German merchant ships from sailing the seas, protect

the sea passage of millions of troops, and insure the occupation of

the German colonies by British expeditionary forces. Except as it

was raised over a submarine or commerce raider, the German flag was

swept from the sea within the first six months of the war.

There has been no naval battle at all commensurate with the strength

of the two fleets. Each time that a British and German ship have met

in action, the overwhelming importance of speed and of gun range

have been demonstrated. Speed and range enabled Von Spee to destroy

Cradock's squadron at Coronel off Chile, with almost no loss to

himself. Later at the Falkland Islands he suffered the same fate at

the hands of Sturdee, who, with his second-class battle cruisers,

had the speed and range of the German third-class.

Again, in the battle off Dogger Bank, the _Blücher_, the

second-class battle cruiser which had only 26 knots, was left behind

by her sisters, the German first-class battle cruisers, while she

was pounded into the sea by the _Lion_, the _Tiger_, and the

_Princess Mary_, which were driving ahead at 30 knots. The honors of

the war, so far as the offensive goes, therefore, have been with the

last battle cruiser.

German naval policy, no less wise for its own ends than for the

British, has depended upon the submarine, whose importance may be

easily exaggerated and easily underestimated. No submarine can

approach the major fighting ships of a great fleet when that fleet

is properly protected by torpedo-defense guns and fast destroyers

and light cruisers. The deciding test of a submarine's power in this

respect was the fruitless attempts of the best German submarines to

reach the _Lion_ with a deathblow, when crippled, after the battle

off Dogger Bank, she was being towed home at 5 knots an hour, under

the protection of the destroyers.

However, any isolated vessel, whether a merchantman or a man-of-war,

is at the mercy of a submarine, which hunts the seas for this kind

of target. It has only to lie in wait on the trade routes until its

prey appears, submerging in case of danger. Then a torpedo sent home

and a valuable piece of property goes to the bottom of the sea. What

resourceful brigandage is to traffic on the highways, the German

submarine became to British traffic on the seas. It is the sniper of

naval warfare, but cannot give battle. It must find its protection

under the sea, while all freight and all passengers, all the world's

business is done on the surface of the sea; and the great guns of

the dreadnoughts command the surface.

[Illustration: George V, King of Great Britain and Emperor of

India.]

When brigandage becomes highly organized, it means enormous expense

in increased police work, particularly if you cannot trail the

brigands to their hiding places and force them to capitulate. In

this case the brigands' hiding places are under the protection of

powerful fortress guns and mine fields in secure harbors.

The British navy, with over three thousand ships, including mine

sweepers and auxiliaries of all sorts under Sir John Jellicoe's

command, was forced to go to immense expense and pains in combating

the submarine campaign. Many submarines were taken; but the Germans

kept on building them. It was a war against an unseen and cunning

foe, which required ceaseless vigilance and painstaking effort. The

amount of material, as well as the amount of ships required in order

to combat the submarines and also to keep the patrol intact from the

British channel to Iceland, could it be enumerated, would stagger

the imagination. Meanwhile, England had to go on building new

dreadnoughts and cruisers and destroyers at top speed, with a view

to increasing her rate of naval superiority over the Germans. Once

the German fleet had come out and been beaten, then the British

would be secure in victory, and they could spare many guns for the

army and devote all their energy to the land campaign.

While the Germans had a "fleet in being," they had an important

counter for peace negotiations. They were as rightly advised in

sticking to their harbor, as the British in holding their command of

the sea without risking their units by trying to force an entrance

into harbors equipped with every known defense of modern warfare.

In all instances the British army must wait for material if navy

demands were unsatisfied. With the tide of fortune going against the

Russians and French on the Continent, the original agreement for

only 120,000 men became entirely perfunctory, in view of the tragic

necessity of more troops to be thrown against the Central Powers on

the Continent. With a large proportion of her regular officers

killed in the first two months of the war, Britain had to undertake

the preparation of a vast army without adequate drill masters or

leaders. She had to make wholly untrained civilians into soldiers

while the war was being waged. This took time, but less time than

for the manufacture of rifles and guns. She had everything necessary

for supplying her navy, but ridiculously inadequate plants for

supplying a force of soldiers so immense. Thus England had scores of

battalions of excellently drilled soldiers prepared to go to France

before there were any rifles for them to fight with, or before they

had the all-important artillery for their support in battle.

In the early months of the war probably she was not awake to the

necessity of the situation. Besides, her manufacturers, still

confident of an early victory over Germany, were more interested in

permanently gaining markets which the Germans would lose than in

making munitions. The war was not brought home to the Englishman as

it was to the German and the Frenchman, by having bloody lines of

trenches on his own soil. Every British soldier was fighting across

the seas in the defense of the soil of another nation. Naturally, in

many cases, he was slow to a realization that this also was his own

national defense. But by the volunteer system alone, England

enlisted over two million men before conscription was threatened.

In order to centralize authority under a single man, Lord Kitchener

was intrusted with the stupendous task of organizing the new army

and seeing that it was properly equipped. He had foreseen at the

start that the war would be long and that it would be nearly two

years before England could throw anything like an armed force

adequately representing her population into the struggle on the

Continent. He had to train his officers at the same time that he

trained his men and build guns and make rifles.

Meanwhile, the German army system was complete. Indeed, there was no

want of men with military experience in any one of the continental

countries to act as drill masters. England was attempting a feat

equaled only in our Civil War, where vast armies of untrained men

were raised. But in this case, the enemy was not composed also of

recruits, but of men trained under universal service by a staff

which had traditions of preparedness as a basis for the preparation

before the war, while the British staff and the British army had

been trained in the handling of small, mobile forces in policing

their empire. But as the months wore on, it was evident that the

military decision of the war might rest with this new army when the

other armies were exhausted, when at last it reached the front in

full force with adequate arms and equipment in the hope of repeating

history, thanks to the command of the sea which gave Britain time to

prepare--by winning the last battle.

Had Britain lost command of the sea early in the war, she would have

been utterly helpless. The Germans could readily have landed a force

that would have taken London in six weeks. Even this would have been

an unnecessary military action. For, with her food supply shut off

by German ships, Britain would have had to throw up her hands and

ask for terms.

The Dominion of Canada, Australasia and South Africa would have

found themselves in the position of isolated nations, dependent for

the time being upon their own resources for defense. Their loyalty

to the British Empire has not been the least wonderful of the many

wonderful results of this war. They have sent legions of volunteers

across the seas to France and Gallipoli to fight beside the British

and the French. As for Hongkong, the Straits Settlements, Ceylon,

India, and all the colonies of the empire, they would have been

Germany's for the occupation. Such is the meaning of sea power. But

the British navy being superior to the German, held Germany in

siege.

THE SECOND SUMMER'S CAMPAIGN

Germany must make the best possible use of her comprehensive

industrial organization and of her preparedness for war and throw

the greatest possible number of men into the fighting line at the

earliest possible moment. She was practically in a race against

time; and time was with the Allies. While they retained command of

the sea the United States and other neutral nations overseas, once

their plants for manufacture were completed, could pour out supplies

of munitions.

Germany's foreign trade was practically at a standstill. From the

port of Hamburg her argosies of manufactures no longer went forth to

the world in return for raw material. Her many ships, from the

enormous passenger steamers to the small tramps which had brought

her tribute with their carrying trade, were idle. She could

manufacture, then, only for home consumption and all her plants that

had been manufacturing for export began producing for her armies.

The energies of the one hundred and twenty-five millions of people,

men, women and children, in Germany and Austria-Hungary were wholly

occupied in making war. Their object must be to push the walls back

as far as they could, and so to punish Russia or France that one or

the other would yield a separate peace. The aim of British

statesmanship must be to hold the Allies together at any expense and

keep Germany from breaking the siege. If more nations could be

brought in against Germany, that would strengthen the siege lines

and lengthen the front the Central Powers were building.

Through the winter of 1914-15 the diplomats of the Allies and the

Central Powers in Rome fought for Italy's hand with all the skill

and resources of trained European diplomacy. Responding to the

sentiment for the recovery of Trentino and Trieste which she

considered ethnologically and geographically a part of her domain

she was to throw in her fortunes with the Allies against her old

enemy, Austria.

Serbia had her troops still on the boundary of the Danube and the

Save. Rumania, facing Austria with Russia on her flank, also much

courted, was even more coy than Italy. Bulgaria, with her excellent

army, was on the flank of Serbia and blocked the road to Turkey.

Little Greece was another state watching the conflict with the

selfish interest of a small spectator, trying to judge which side

would be the victor.

Russia of the steppes and the multitudes of men was short of

munitions; her plants were incapable of making sufficient supplies.

The Baltic was closed to her by the German navy, Archangel was

frozen in and the closing of the passage of the Dardanelles shut her

off from the Mediterranean. She was in touch with the sea only in

the Far East, with the Pacific Ocean and the Rocky Mountains between

her and the manufacturing regions of the United States. Her crop of

wheat, which she exchanged for manufactured goods in time of peace

was no less interned than the manufactured products of Germany. If

the Dardanelles were opened she could empty her granaries and

receive arms and munitions in return. Therefore, the first winter of

the war, while their main armies were intrenched in colder climes,

both sides turned their attention to the southeast. In November the

Turks had joined the Central Powers, thus flying in the face of the

historical Turkish policy, so cleverly applied by Abdul Hamid, in

playing one European power against another and profiting by their

international differences.

For many years German diplomacy, capital and enterprise had been

busy building up German influence in Asia Minor. Abdul Hamid had

been overthrown under the leadership of Enver Pasha and other

officers who had been trained in Germany according to German

military methods and who had absorbed the German ideas. Von der

Goltz, a German general, had reorganized the Turkish army. The

access of Turkey to the Central Powers formed the addition of

another thirty million people, which gave them one hundred and fifty

million on their side.

Through the assistance of the Turks, the Germans never for a moment

deserting their idea of keeping the initiative and forcing their

enemies to follow it, threatened an offensive against the Suez

Canal, which was abortive, but served the purpose of requiring

British preparation for its defense. Germany saw more than mere

military advantage in the Turkish adventure. She was reaching out

into the Mohammedan world which stretches across Persia and Asia

Minor, through little known and romantic regions, to India where, as

a part of her Indian Empire, England rules more Mohammedans than the

population of the German Empire. The unrest which was reported to

have been ripe in India for the last decade might thus be brought to

a head in a rebellion against British authority; as it might, too,

in Egypt, the Sultan of Turkey being the Padishah or head of the

Mohammedan faith.

At least Britain would be forced to maintain larger garrisons than

usual both in Egypt and India against any threat of insurrection.

Among all who have had to deal with the Oriental peoples, and

particularly those who know them as intimately as the British rulers

of India, the importance of power--and publicly demonstrated

power--is fully understood. To the average British Indian or

Egyptian subject, Britain has been an unconquerable country, the

mistress of the world.

Many reasons united in calling for some action on the part of the

British to offset that of the Germans. With Russia in retreat the

Balkan States, which had regarded her prowess as irresistible, were

losing their faith in the Allies. One successful blow would do more

to dispel their skepticism and to bring Italy in on the side of the

Allies than sheafs of diplomatic cablegrams and notes. During such a

crisis every message in the game of war diplomacy becomes only a

polite calling card that represents armed men.

The British decided to take the initiative though their new army had

as yet received hardly sufficient training to make them soldiers and

their supply of rifles, guns and munitions was insufficient. Indeed,

England was just beginning to awaken fully to the fact that the

forces of France and Russia alone were insufficient to cope on land

with the Central Powers, particularly now that the weight of Turkey

was thrown in the balance.

With her casualties three times the number of her original

expeditionary force, with more than the original number of her army

engaged in Flanders, she undertook an offensive against

Constantinople itself. Second-class men-of-war which were not

required with the grand fleet and a single first-class dreadnought

of the latest type, the _Queen Elizabeth_, in conjunction with a

French squadron, bombarded and reduced the ancient forts at the

entrance to the Dardanelles and then attacked those in the narrows.

British bluejackets even smoked their pipes and cracked jokes as

they sat on the crest of Achi Baba, which became an impregnable

Turkish position after the British Mediterranean force was landed.

Had the _Queen Elizabeth_ been able to fire an army corps ashore,

the corps could have marched on into Constantinople.

The success or failure of the Gallipoli expedition depended upon

surprise. Superficially it seems a colossal blunder. There are

inside facts about it which have never been disclosed. Greece, it is

supposed, agreed to send troops, but at the last moment changed her

mind. Undoubtedly the expedition was an important influence in

bringing Italy in. There was a fatal delay in its departure from

Alexandria. Too much time elapsed between the preparatory

bombardment and the landing. The Turks had been forewarned what to

expect. They had leisure for concentration and preparation. On a

narrow front of difficult shore where the landing was to be made,

they had stretched their barbed-wire entanglements into the sea

itself, while along the beach were carefully concealed machine guns

and back of them ample forces of men and artillery.

No effort in history was ever more gallant than that of the British

force, including the Australians, which threw itself ashore in the

face of simply insurmountable obstacles and fire, under the cover of

the guns of the men-of-war. As a surprise, the affair was a complete

failure. Its only chance of success being as a surprise, most

competent military leaders and experts agree that this was

sufficient reason, in a military sense, for an immediate withdrawal;

yet British stubbornness would not yield.

Indeed, the Gallipoli expedition was a political move, a violation

of the true military principle--that you should always go against

the main body of your enemy, which was at this time on the frontiers

of Russia and France. Of course the effort was not entirely without

its compensations; no expedition is, which holds any part of the

enemy's troops in place in front of your own. The pressure was

withdrawn from the Russians in the Caucasus and also further

adventures from the outskirts of Asia Minor toward India in stirring

up the Mohammedan population were for the time abated.

The attempt to reach the heart of Turkish power, the sultan's

capital itself, by opening these famous straits and sending British

ships to lay Constantinople under their guns, was a splendid

conception worthy the military imagination of the daring ages when

the British Empire was built and the days of the Spanish Main, but

the only criterion in the ghastly business of war remains success.

Yet the spring of 1915 opened with no rebellion in India except

sporadic outbreaks of the frontier tribes which are always

recurring, while Egypt itself remained peaceful. The Germans

inaugurated their second year's campaign by closing the Belgo-Dutch

frontier and by the administrative use of every possible means for

safeguarding their movements on the western front, which would

indicate that they were to undertake another effort for the Channel

ports. This was an obvious feint to conceal an effort elsewhere.

Instead of using troops to make it, they tried out for the first

time a form of warfare which was not new in the consideration of any

army, though it had not been used because it was considered inhuman.

With the wind blowing in the right direction, the Germans released

an immense cloud of chlorine gas. Its gravity held it close to the

ground as it swept down upon the British and French in the famous

Ypres salient. The effort was successful beyond their expectation,

more successful than they realized and had they had sufficient

reserves to press on, they might have broken the allied line at this

point.

The effect of the gas was that of a horrible form of asphyxiation;

the soldiers who did not succumb retreated in face of a weapon which

could not be countered by any in their possession. The casualties

were heavy, the sufferings of the wounded indescribable in their

torment. From the military point of view, which holds that war is

killing and that any method whatsoever is warrantable, the attack

was a success as it gained ground, and for the time being confused

the enemy. But it was a form of attack which could succeed only

once. After the soldiers were provided with proper respirators

containing a chemical antidote, they were in no danger of being

"gassed." Among those in the thick of the gas attack were the first

Canadian contingent, who bore themselves with unflinching fortitude,

not only that, but after the first surprise of the attack was over,

the survivors charged with rare heroism.

Strategy which formerly meant the swift movement of a few thousand

troops to one flank or another overnight, or in a two or three-hour

march, now means the concentration of hundreds of thousands by

railway trains upon a particular point and of many thousands of guns

and enormous quantities of material of every kind from shells to

that for building railroads to keep up with your advance.

But the general of to-day no less than the general of yesterday,

would always know where his enemy is most vulnerable, and strike him

at that point. In the spring of 1915, the line of least resistance

for the German army was obviously to the east where the loose

organization of the Russian army, lacking munitions, was stretched

over a front of over a thousand miles.

The French were better off in munitions, and their army and the

British had a front of four hundred and fifty miles of intact trench

line. It is estimated that in order to hold a battle front with

modern troops, about three thousand men to the mile are required.

This does not mean that there are three thousand actually on every

mile; but counting the thin line in the trenches, the thicker line

in the reserve trenches and the soldiers who are out of the trenches

resting and the battalions in reserve and the reserve supplies of

men in the depots who can promptly be brought into action.

For example, to hold a mile of the famous Ypres salient might

require double the number of men necessary to hold a mile where the

lay of the ground was in the favor of your troops. Owing to the use

of motor trucks and to railway trains, whenever there is an attack,

concentration of men at any point is very rapid. Holding to this

rule, the Germans maintained all through the summer of 1915,

1,500,000 men on their western front, and they had that number at

least to spare for their eastern front. Field Marshal von Hindenburg

said that by hammering he would get Warsaw, and he was to keep his

word with stolid German persistence. Napoleon, who had depended upon

the number of his guns, would have fully appreciated the

Austro-German plan of action against Russia.

The Russian army has been compared to cotton wool. The farther you

went into Russia, the more cotton wool there was. The Russian army

would yield, but there never seemed any end of it. Gaining a passive

victory over the Russian army has also been compared to brushing the

snow off the front doorstep. The more you brushed, the more snow

banked up. Russia could afford to lose territory equivalent to the

area of all France without having received a vital blow. Russia has

plenty of room in which to retreat, as Napoleon learned. She is

confident in the safety of her distances. When the enemy falls back

she follows on his heels.

At the end of the winter, 1914-15, she was still in the possession

of a large portion of Galicia. But the Germans were preparing a

battering ram which their generals thought irresistible. Their plan

now was to deliver so hard a blow at the Russian that he would be

forced to yield a separate peace. Von Mackensen formed his

unprecedented phalanx of soldiery and of artillery in Galicia and

destroying all the fortifications and covering the trenches with

torrents of shell fire he skillfully worked his legions forward,

first breaking the Przemysl line, which compelled a general retreat,

and then breaking the Lemberg line. Thus, having beaten back the

Russian left wing, the Austro-Germans turned their attention to the

Warsaw front and there repeated the same organized machine method of

warfare. There were no brilliant strokes of genius, but merely the

use of superior systems of railroads in making the concentration; of

trained engineers and workmen in advancing the railroad lines; of

systematic overwhelming attacks at critical points, directed by the

unsurpassed German staff organization.

With the fall of Warsaw the Russian army was inevitably badly

broken. They had lost multitudes of prisoners, and staggering

quantities of material. But still it remained an intact army. It was

not decisively beaten. The prisoners were taken by brigades,

regiments, and divisions--thousands of them in reserve, without a

rifle in their hands, as they waited their turn to pick up the rifle

of a dead man. For six months, March to August, the greatest of all

campaigns in numbers of troops and length of line continued in the

east, Von Mackensen and the Austrians striking in the south and Von

Hindenburg in the north. Its details will be read in the history

which follows. Characteristic of either adversary was his method.

The German with concentration of population, resources, artillery,

soldiery, and organization, and the Russian part, glamorous, slow,

yielding to the terrific blows, flowing back like an ebb tide, and

taking his time, never risking a decision, his army never surrounded

or cut in two.

While Von Hindenburg's guns were hammering the Russians in front,

German political influence was occupied in Petrograd in the rear,

where certain official circles were under German influence in the

hope of getting Russia to capitulate. The situation was the most

critical for the Allies since the Battle of the Marne. A most

influential court party was undoubtedly in favor of capitulation.

Russia was bleeding cruelly. She was suffering the psychological as

well as the material effects of defeat. In Paris and London the

possibility of having to go on with the war without the Russian's

assistance had become a serious consideration. In short, the fate of

Europe was then in the hands of diplomatic and court intrigue.

According to the accounts it was the mass of the Russian people

whose pressure undoubtedly defeated the aims of German diplomacy.

Uninformed of the real situation, conscious only of the enormous

cost of the war in blood and treasure, their spirit of race

patriotism was undaunted. They realized if Russians in high places

did not, that surrender by Russia then meant a defeat, which would

set the Russian power back for another fifty years. England could

make peace and be in possession of more territory than she had at

the beginning of the war. France could be certain of retaining what

she had before the war. But Russia had not only lost Poland, but the

Slav had bowed the knee to the Teuton.

At the same time there was widespread unrest among the Russian

people. They felt that they had deserved victory, but had been

denied it. It was not a question of the grand duke's skill in

conducting the retreat from Warsaw, or his indomitable will and

sturdy patriotism, but of satisfying popular sentiment. The

announcement that the czar himself was to take command unified and

heartened the Russian people, who felt that "The Little Father" was

the natural God-given head of the army.

There was discontent in Russia too, with the situation on the

western front. All the news that Russia had from France was of an

occasional hundred or five-hundred-yard trench won or lost, while

the Russian army had been swept from Galicia and been swept back

again and had gone through the fearful ordeal of the retreat of July

and August. Why shouldn't France and Britain do something to release

the pressure on the Russians? For not the least of the advantages

the Central Powers had had was single-headed direction. They

represented one united force, working out a consistent and simple

plan of campaign. But Russia, England, and France had to cooperate

in council.

With Russia so hard pressed and with the danger of her yielding to

the Germans so deeply impressed on London and Paris there was

nothing for the French staff to do but to respond by some sort of

action in loyalty to her allies as a matter of military necessity if

not of military wisdom. The attacks in Artois had fully demonstrated

the arduousness and cost of any such undertaking, particularly until

there was an unlimited supply of shells to draw on. A gain of two or

three miles' depth on a front meant no positive advance for either

side, but rather a waste of life. Indeed, any considerable attack on

that western trench line which did not actually break the line must

be considered a failure. And against their will, no doubt, the

French and British undertook another offensive on September 25,

1915.

On many sections of the western front the nature of the ground makes

an attack absolutely unfeasible. The place chosen by the French was

the Champagne region, in the neighborhood of the great army review

ground of Châlons. It is a rolling, sterile country, dotted with

sparse roads. There is a thin loam over a subsoil of chalk--excellent

for the defensive, but also permitting the rapid movement of artillery

troops in dry weather.

So far as can be learned the Germans had already given up their

offensive in Russia before the French began theirs. At least they

were well advised that the French offensive was under way, and they

needed to know it only a week beforehand, in order to transfer

reserves from their eastern front, which they brought to the number

of 300,000, concentrating them mostly in the Champagne region, where

they were to be needed. Coincident with the Champagne attack, the

British, who are for command purposes a part of the French army,

launched one in the region of Loos.

In northern France the country was extremely difficult, and as

unsuited for offense as the rest of the ground occupied by the

British. Aside from their object in assisting the Russians, the

French hoped to break the line. In this they failed. Over a

twelve-mile front they gained depths varying from one-half to three

miles; and altogether, with the British, they took some 25,000

prisoners and 160 guns. Both the numbers of prisoners and of guns

were small compared with the "bags" on the eastern front. But the

character of the fighting, the heavy volume of artillery fire and

extraordinary coordination of the first-class fighting units by the

most skilled armies in history, make this action memorable in

military annals in the same way as the German attack on Verdun in

the following February. The ground lost in no wise endangered the

German tenancy of their line.

Along the Italian front the summer had developed something of the

same kind of stalemate that had existed in France. Fighting in the

Alpine country so favored the defense that the Austrians did not

have more than three or four hundred thousand troops engaged in

holding the Italians in position. Therefore it had been easy for

anyone taking a superficial view to exaggerate the military value of

Italy's entry into the war. The Austrian troops had fought with

extreme tenacity, for naturally the Austrian staff had sent against

the Italians all those troops in Franz Josef's heterogeneous empire

who had any racial antagonism against the Italians, including those

who had been lukewarm in fighting against the Slav.

Unquestionably, honors at the end of the campaign in 1915 were with

Germany. She had held her line solidly in the west. She had stripped

the country of northern France and Belgium of all the machinery of

its factories which would be useful to her. She had been relieved of

any necessity of feeding the Belgian population, or of the menace

that would have come from the threat of a famine in either Belgium

or northern France by the American Food Commission which at first

had received supplies from America to carry on their work, and later

had depended almost altogether upon grants from the French and

English Governments and upon large voluntary contributions from

England. In the east she had gained territory almost equal in area

to that of Prussia itself. All Poland was hers. Her governor general

ruled Warsaw. Her situation as to food supplies was improved by the

occupation of immense productive areas. She had made war with all

her energy, and in want of able-bodied men to gather her own

harvests, she had used the hosts of prisoners which she had taken

from Russia. But, despite her victories, bravely and skillfully won,

she was still a nation in siege, with no communication with the

outside world, except through neutral countries.

In the second winter with uninterrupted energy she again turned

toward the southeast for another military adventure. Rumania still

held fast to her neutrality. In Bulgaria the Central Powers were to

succeed in gaining a fourth ally, which in sheer military advantage

was probably worth more than the accession of Italy to her enemies.

Though Russia had won her freedom for Bulgaria in '76, no sentiment

drew her to Russia's assistance when Russia was losing. No

statesmanship is more matter of fact than that of the Balkans.

Bulgaria had an old score to settle with Serbia, which had joined

Rumania and Greece against her in making the Second Balkan War,

after she had borne the brunt of the first against Turkey. Then,

besides, the military temptation offered the Bulgarian staff was

irresistible. Serbia had been through two wars before the heavy

drain of this one. A country of swineherds and miserable villages,

dependent for munitions upon England and the Allies--she was caught

in a wedge, with Bulgaria on the one side and the Austro-Hungarian

advance on the other. At the most the Central Powers had probably no

more than 300,000 troops--about the same number that the Bulgars

had. Against such a combination, Serbia, caught between the blades

of a pair of scissors, could make no successful resistance unless

assistance came from England and France, which the British and

French public demanded should be sent. There was no hope of

sufficient allied forces reaching Serbia in time to rescue her, but

the Allies, particularly the British, could not afford to see

Saloniki occupied by the Austro-Germans or by their friends, the

Bulgarians. Up to the Balkan War Saloniki was Turkish; then it

became Greek. This excellent port had long been the goal of Austrian

ambition, which sought an outlet to the Mediterranean, no less than

the traditional policy of Russia was aimed at the occupation of

Constantinople.

In the Crimean War France and England fought to thwart Russia's

designs on Turkey and now France and England were prepared to oppose

Austria's designs on Saloniki.

In order to defend Saloniki British and French troops must land on

the soil of Greece and march across the Greco-Serbian frontier,

which was no doubt one of the reasons that had kept the Allies from

sending forces before, in order to assist the Serbians on the Danube

and Save in closing "the ring of steel."

Venizelos, the Greek statesman, who had been the Greek Bismarck in

the extension of the Greek domain in the Balkan War, had taken sides

with the Allies; and he favored concessions by Greece as well as

Serbia to Bulgaria, in order to satisfy Bulgarian ambitions and keep

her from striking hands with the Central Powers, while the King of

Greece, with the Queen, a sister of the kaiser, had decidedly

pro-German leanings. The Greeks had a most difficult part, even for

Levantine diplomacy, to play. If they cast their fortunes with the

Allies and the Teutons won, then they could count upon the Central

Powers not only taking Saloniki away from them, but bringing

themselves practically under Germanic domination. If they openly

espoused the German side, then as the country depended upon the sea,

their ports would be blockaded, if not bombarded by the allied

fleets. In the event of an allied victory over the Central Powers

they were certain that Saloniki would not be annexed by the Allies,

bitter as they were against Greece because she was supposed to have

broken her pledged word to assist them in the Gallipoli expedition.

Following a policy of drift and protest, the Greeks consented to the

British and French landing troops at Saloniki and to their making it

a base of action.

Certain forces were sent into Serbia before the Serbian army had

been completely driven back, and whatever the public thought,

certainly with no expectation of gaining a victory over the

Bulgarians. This obvious movement was only for the purpose of

gaining time for fortifying a line around Saloniki and bringing

sufficient men and guns to defend it.

German diplomacy and staff work had not in all of the war gained a

more important technical advantage for less cost in time, money, and

troops, than it had in the fall of 1915 in the Balkans when they

made the Bulgars to serve as they had the Turks, to secure their

ends. At last the British withdrew from Gallipoli with such small

losses that the evacuation of this position on an exposed coast is

undoubtedly one of the most brilliant pieces of military maneuvering

of its kind in all history. No credit is ever given for retreats.

But this was a good deal more than a retreat. It was withdrawing

from a beach in face of a well-armed enemy. The story of it--as yet

unwritten--will some day bring a tribute to British military skill

from professional soldiers, if not from the lay public.

The Bulgarians decided not to invade Greece; the Greeks made no

attack. Those who looked forward to the war being settled in the

Balkans, and to Saloniki becoming another Port Arthur, had missed

their calculations. But every gun and every man that the Allies had

to maintain at Saloniki might be a gun and a man kept idle, when

they might be needed elsewhere.

The Germans having disposed of Serbia, had at the same time forced

the further dissipation of English and French troops. That they

could once more turn to the main theatre of the war and try to push

back the siege wall in another direction. Meantime, Turkey had been

doing their bidding in another quarter. The natural response of the

British to any threat to their Indian Empire was to take the

offensive, for this was one certain way to impress the Oriental

mind. Having annexed Egypt and Cyprus and occupied the German

colonies throughout the world, Britain now proceeded to the

extension of her Asiatic domain. The threat of Mohammedan

insurrection was met by an invasion of Mohammedan regions.

Her expedition toward Bagdad, had it not been in the midst of the

greatest war in all history, would perhaps have been the most

spectacular and interesting of all the small campaigns in remote

regions which have gradually extended British influence. It marched

through Mesopotamia and the Garden of Eden. The Turks under German

direction replied with an offensive which in turn put General

Townshend's army in siege, requiring that it should have relief.

The self-interest of each one of the parties to the war is evident,

with the exception of Turkey. Why she ever entered in on the side of

Germany, or on either side, is a puzzle. She was the one to lose in

any event. German success meant German domination. German failure

must mean that Russia would realize her ambition to take

Constantinople, and the British must further strengthen their empire

at her expense.

For many decades the British and Russian empires have glowered at

each other across the dividing belts of Thibet, Afghanistan, and

Persia. The fear of a Russian invasion of India haunted British

statesmen until the German power became so threatening that England

struck hands with France and Russia. Now while the British were

advancing northward, the Russians made a southerly move to her

assistance. The grand duke, who had been sent to the Caucasus in

February, 1916, took the offensive and captured the fortress of

Erzerum, an action which was bound to relieve pressure on the

British. Thus, the Turk who had been led to believe that he was to

regain Egypt and recover some of his lost territory, was simply

losing more. Indeed, after Saloniki, despite the talk to that

effect, the far-seeing Germans neither carried out their threatened

attempt to invade Egypt, nor, as many expected, were they drawn from

the main theatre of war by dispatching troops by rail to Turkey. In

dissipating the allied troops by their threats, they had taken care

not to dissipate their own.

Thus Germany would supply Turkey with officers, and all her

munitions, but she would not risk an army on the other side of

Bulgaria with a long line of communications threatened by the Allies

from Saloniki and Dedeagatch.

The approach of the spring of 1916 found them facing much the same

problem as in the spring of 1915. Despite the territory they had

gained, to ask for peace was to imply that their economic situation

was weaker and their casualties heavier than they were willing to

admit. Even if their economic situation was strong and the reserves

plentiful, any suggestion that they were ready for negotiations must

convince the Allies that they were reaching the end of their

resources. There could be no doubt of Russia's immense reserves of

men. It was only a question with her as to whether or not she could

make them into an efficient army properly equipped and supplied, and

whether or not she would be able to maintain her organization and

railway facilities and sufficient forces at the actual fighting

front to strike a successful blow against her enemies.

On the western front there had been an enormous accession of

munitions during the winter, while the British new army with two

million men yet to go under fire was gradually getting its rifles

and guns. Victory comes in war either when you are exhausted or when

you have taken from the enemy his capital or something of such vital

importance to him that he must yield in order to recover it. Neither

France nor Russia was by any means in that pass. Belgium had merely

become a dead land, a shop within a garden, cut off from all trade,

when it had been a nation of manufacturers and traders.

Germany, unless she were exhausted in men and supplies, could not

consider any peace which did not accord her the results of her

gains, while she was still in possession of much of the enemy's

territory, and she still maintained the power of the offensive. The

purpose of the Allies was to contain her, to strengthen "the ring of

steel." Her own purpose must be to strike some vital blow which

would win a separate peace either from Russia or France. The moment

she gave up her offensive and settled down to the defensive, which

was naturally against the policy of her staff and the vigorous

nature of her people, she was acknowledging that she had reached the

limit of her prowess. Then the Allies, with the sea at their

command, would bid her await their pleasure--unless she had so far

exhausted them that they considered a decided victory over her

hopeless, and they made a compromise.

Saloniki now being an incident of her military past, the next plan

of her staff was an effort on Verdun, the great fortress which

occupied a salient in the French siege line. Here, as elsewhere when

she attacked, she concentrated both her own and the Austrian heavy

artillery, and following the system of intense artillery

preparation, threw in her waves of infantry. This blow was struck at

the most inclement season of the year, in February snow and slush

and rain, as if to anticipate the allied attack which was generally

thought bound to come later in the spring when sufficient munitions

had been accumulated on the western front and the weather was

favorable.

By this time experts who had thought the war would be decided in the

Balkans had again realized that it never pays to desert the simple

military principle that the decision comes between the main bodies

of armies and not in remote regions from any clash of subsidiary

forces.

Paris or Petrograd in the hands of the Germans might mean such a

decision. Certainly, should the western front be broken by either

side, it would be the most telling blow of the war in both the moral

and the military sense. But after all, was the line of least

resistance for Germany the line of the western front? Would she

really strike her great blow of 1916--if she still had the power to

strike one--against the western rather than the eastern front?

Hitherto, attacks had succeeded against Russia.

It was in Russia that she had had her success. German officers had

always stated their confidence that with their superior gun fire and

tactics they could always force the Russians back. Could they press

back the French and the British?

When would the war end? seemed as unanswerable to the lay observer

in the spring of 1916 as in the spring of 1915. How long was the

fearful attrition to go on? Could either side ever strike a decisive

blow, or would the eventual result be a bloody stalemate, with

England still in command of the sea?

The significant generic lesson of the war is not in the power of

artillery, but the power of all material organization, when nations

set out to gain their ends by force: its military lesson was that

both sides had pretty well followed sound policy considering the

situation, despite armchair critics who knew nothing of inside

facts.

Europe was spending $100,000,000 or more a day in the business of

destruction--of life and of property. A broad belt of ruins spread

across France and Belgium for 450 miles; a broader one of 1,000

miles across Galicia and Russia. No nation engaged could be said to

be victorious except the Japanese. Japan had gained Kiao-chau;

strengthened her influence in China enormously, and was making

immense profits by working her arsenals and every plant at full

speed making munitions for Russia.

The United States at peace, preparing to make munitions as fast as

she could, and able to produce only 3,000 rifles a week for the

Allies on the 1st of December, 1915, and 5,000 a week March 1, 1916,

was enjoying an era of "boom" prosperity, thanks to the eager market

of nations whose own production was arrested while their workers

were at war. From the gloom of London and Paris, where men and women

had given up all luxuries, the transatlantic voyage brought you to

New York, which was the only gay capital in the world, enjoying all

the privileges of extravagance when money is plentiful.

WAR BY MACHINERY

This has been a war of machinery; but the old rule has been true

that development in any weapon of offense has been countered by

further development of means of defense. Nor is the theoretical

power of weapons ever equaled by their actual power when the test of

war comes. With self-preservation remaining the first law of nature,

man is in nothing so skillful as in avoiding the enemy's blows.

When one watches a 15-inch gun fired and hears its 2,000-pound shell

go screaming through the air, his concept of its destructive action

is exaggerated by imagination, and further confirmed if he sees that

shell burst inside a house, reducing its interior to wreckage. But

the shell may not hit the house; it may fall in an open field and

merely make a crater in the earth. Besides, someone must be in the

house when it is hit if there are to be any casualties; and it is

quite possible that a single person present might be dug out of the

debris unharmed. Vulnerable as man's flesh is, he remains a pretty

small object on the landscape. If he knows that his house is in

danger of being struck he then either goes into the cellar at the

first alarm, after having covered his floor with sandbags, or he may

take to a dugout in his yard.

When one has seen ten 15-inch shells strike a town of 25,000

inhabitants in a busy hour of the day and only half a dozen persons

killed and injured, he may learn a contempt for shell fire which,

however, is promptly turned into a tragic respect when one of the

same sort of shells strikes in a stone-paved courtyard where a

hundred soldiers are at their evening meal, and two-thirds of them

are killed and wounded.

The bursting of a shrapnel shell and its spray of low-velocity

bullets is also theoretically most destructive, but a roof of 6-inch

boards will furnish perfect protection from the bullets. Mother

Earth remains the best protection there is from fire. No rifle

bullet can penetrate through a 3-foot thickness of sandbags. A 6 or

8-inch high-explosive shell, which is the largest caliber

practicable for trench warfare, may burst near a double layer of

bags of stone rubble without hurting anyone in a cellar 30 feet

underneath. The rain of shrapnel bullets which mows the barbed wire

in front of a trench, as hail mows ripening grain, will not reach a

single man in the trench to the rear, if he keeps his head down.

At first thought it seems utterly inconsistent when bullets carry

effectively a mile and a half, and guns carry twenty miles, that

infantry should be fighting so close that they can throw bombs at each

other from distances of 15 and 20 yards. The very destructiveness of

modern weapons has contributed toward this result.

There has never been anything like so many guns used in battle, and

never have they been capable of such rapid fire. The field gun can

fire consistently eight or ten shots a minute, thanks to its modern

recoil cylinder and to the steadiness of aim, and literally

establish a "curtain of fire" with its torrent of bullets shot down

from the air and the cataracts of earth shot up by the bursting of

high-explosive shells in the ground, which no infantry can pass.

A machine gun behind a shield firing 500 shots a minute is

practically safe from rifle fire, and soldiers intrenched on either

side of it add to its volume their own more accurate fire from their

rifles. Infantry in the open, though they were not subjected to the

fearful concentration of artillery fire, could not survive through a

mile of machine-gun and rifle-swept space. Successful advances

against anything but very inferior numbers badly armed become

impossible in any frontal attack in the open. Thus all modern

infantry operations must have more or less a siege character, as the

only practicable means of approach is by digging your way forward.

The spade has become almost as important a weapon as the rifle.

Impatience with digging, which was characteristic of the early days

of the American Civil War, and which has been generally resented by

all armies in the past, has now become second nature to every

soldier, because its value is brought home to him by the most

telling kind of lesson in experience--death. He puts earth between

himself and the enemy's fire as instinctively as one holds up his

hand to ward off a blow.

In trench fighting all that is exposed of a man firing is his head

and shoulders, which accounts for the high percentage of dead to

wounded in this war. In other wars it has been as one to five; while

in this war, on the western front, it has varied from as one to two

and three. If the trenches are brought extremely close together then

either side is safe from the other's artillery fire, because there

is as much danger of hitting your own trench as the enemy's with

your shells. A distance of 20 or 30 yards meant that at any time

either side could start in throwing bombs or grenades by hand across

that one definitely neutral country--the zone of death between the

trenches. Beyond that range up to the average range, trench mortars

which "lobbed" a charge of high explosive from trench to trench

could be used. Thus the war of machinery became a war of explosives.

Anything that could be dropped into the trench and burst might kill

or wound some of the enemy, which meant debit on their side of the

ledger in a war of attrition and exhaustion. The higher the angle of

flight the more likely the charge actually to fall into the narrow

ditch in the earth, instead of breaking its force against the wall,

which accounts for the superiority of the howitzer with its high

angle of flight and shorter range to the gun with its lower

trajectory and longer range.

Thus there can be no limitation to the amount of artillery and the

quantities of explosives serviceable in this kind of warfare. No one

of the armies has ever had anything like enough shells. None ever

can. Five hundred guns of all ranges set back of one another from

3,000 to 20,000 yards' range to a mile could be placed, or 225,000

for the western front, and they could readily use five million

shells a day in this contest of munitions and manufacturing

resources.

All armies had to conserve their ammunition, and in parts of the

line, which were known as "quiet corners," for tactical reasons the

stalemate was almost peaceful, either side holding its fire unless

the other became restless. But between the trenches which had

remained in the same position for many months, no living thing was

visible day after day except a rabbit or a field mouse where the

ground birds made their nests, and there the piping of birds joined

with the song of the bullets. Except for occasional snipers' shots

at the sight of anything moving on the enemy's parapet, the day wore

monotonously on--when to expose the head for half a minute meant

death.

Naturally the trenches do not run straight. They bend in and out at

sharp angles in order to localize the explosions of shells; they are

so narrow in most places that two men can pass with difficulty. A

few soldiers are on guard, the rest may be lying about their dugouts

or probably engaged in building new traverses or in putting up new

layers of sandbags or deepening their dugouts. They become beavers

rather than warriors, day laborers with spade and shovel rather than

knights. There is no marching and countermarching; they have no use

for the skirmish drill or the maneuver ground. Sharpshooters with

clamped rifles watch for a target patiently as fishermen for a bite.

Back from the first line trench runs a winding communication trench,

a foot or more deeper than the average man's height and the turns in

its walls stop any bullets which otherwise might sweep its length in

enfilade. In the reserve trenches are other men in burrows who have

not even the excitement of sniping. They do nothing but wait and

dig, repairing damages wrought by occasional shells on dull days.

At any hour the enemy may suddenly decide to attack and they may

find their houses pounded down about their heads and perhaps half of

a company wiped out in a quarter of an hour. Then other

communication trenches lead back until finally you are in the open

country out of the range of bullets, but not outside the range of

shells. Here the munition caissons and the transport wagons come up

by night bringing the food for men and guns which is taken up to the

hungry mouths under the cover of darkness; and here, on an average

day, one will occasionally observe the passing of an ambulance with

its green roof and sides which melts it into the road and the

landscape--and processions of ambulances when there is battle. All

the detail of army existence is as precise as that of the best

organized industrial plant.

As you walk along you will spy at intervals a hidden battery,

perhaps in a house, perhaps in a hedge, perhaps in a group of trees,

perhaps beautifully roofed over with sod, so that it is invisible

from the air. You rarely look up without seeing an aeroplane flying

overhead. When there is action, you will see many. A faint pur comes

out of the heavens and two planes are seen circling as they exchange

bullets from their machine guns. Another plane is turning to the

right and left and ducking to avoid the thistle blows of smoke which

burst from the shrapnel shells fired by the antiaircraft guns.

Follow the course of the long procession of motor trucks which feed

the army and you arrive at one of the great supply depots which

every day send out the precise quota of supplies that are needed,

with every motor truck having its schedule and keeping that schedule

with the accuracy of a first-class passenger train. Follow the

ambulances back from station to station, where the wounded men are

examined to see if they are suffering from a hemorrhage and whether

they are able to stand the farther journey and do not need an

immediate operation, and you are brought to the immense base

hospitals in a closely guarded and well ordered camp where every

sanitary tradition known to modern life is absolutely enforced. One

of these hospitals had twelve thousand beds and in the offensive of

September 25, 1915, it discharged seven thousand patients in a day.

Soldiers are restricted to the neighborhood of their billets and

officers themselves must have passes if they travel outside the

region occupied by their battalions. Everyone is a policeman under

an intricate system guarding every detail of army secrets from any

spy and from those gallant aviators who risk antiaircraft gunfire in

the hope of bringing home some information to their side.

Never has the Intelligence Service of an army had so many secrets to

guard; never has it required such complicated measures of protection

against espionage. In Napoleonic times, it was enough to know that

your adversary was marching a hundred thousand men along parallel

roads. This your cavalry scouts might discover; or a spy who had

crossed the frontier in an unfrequented place might be watching the

enemy's army and counting his numbers as they passed. Now the

frontier is an intact line of trenches.

The spies of Richelieu's day have been surpassed in this, our

day--with their stories yet to be told. Many a man who spoke the

enemy's language well has put on the enemy's uniform, joined one of

his scouting parties between the trenches in the darkness, entered

the enemy's trenches, heard all the talk and slipped back to his own

lines safely. If apprehended, his fate was certain--death.

The most efficient spy, of course, is the one with military training

He knows the value of what he sees. Usually he is an officer of good

family who has been cashiered for gambling or debt and takes a

desperate chance out of patriotism and the hope of atonement.

Naturally, the easiest route for spies was through Holland and

Switzerland which became the gateway of passing spies and the

playground of espionage and counterespionage. Gradually the

restrictions tightened for all neutral travelers from capital to

capital, while none were permitted to go into the zones of the

armies, some twenty or thirty miles from the trenches.

The problem of the Intelligence Corps is much like that of putting

the parts of a picture puzzle together. A line from a newspaper in

one part of the world, a line from a newspaper in another taken in

connection with a photograph, an excerpt from a letter found on a

prisoner or a fact got from a prisoner by skillful catechism, might

develop a valuable contributory item. The amount of information

procured by either side about the other was only less amazing to the

outsider than how it was obtained. Again, events revealed amazing

ignorance. Most baffling and most secret of all branches is this,

whose work is both gaining and conserving information, and just as

professional, just as carefully prepared before the war as any

other.

A single instance illustrates how small a fact may be of value to

the enemy. A certain well known "military expert" went out to

British headquarters as a guest of a general. From a tower in the

square of a small town, he watched a certain action. When he wrote

his account of it, it was submitted to the general who was his

friend; and the general carelessly passed one little statement which

no Chief of Intelligence of any army would ever have passed and

probably no correspondent of experience would have had the temerity

to submit to the censor unless he wanted to be responsible for the

death of men who were his hosts and his friends. For the writer

stated that he saw the battle from this tower.

Now the London papers reach Holland at four o'clock in the afternoon

where they are seized promptly by the tentacles of the German

Intelligence Service, which did not need to undertake any "picture

puzzle work" on this occasion. It was plain as day that this tower

must be used as an artillery observation post by the enemy. From

there he could see the fall of shells from his batteries and know

whether they were "on" or not. Out of the blue sky the next morning,

came a German artillery concentration which brought the tower down

like a house of cards, and many British soldiers billeted in the

neighborhood were killed or wounded.

In order to deepen the shroud of mystery over his side which baffles

the enemy, many military men would undoubtedly make the press merely

the herald of official bulletins. The British Admiralty carried out

this system to the letter, as a navy may better than an army, in the

resistance of the German submarine campaign. Thus the "Untersee-boots"

came out from Kiel or Zeebrugge and disappeared in the mists of the

North Sea with no message of how they had been destroyed when they

never returned.

The Intelligence Service in common with army transport and the

sanitary service and every other expert branch has for its object

the conserving of the lives of your own soldiers and the taking of

those of the enemy, best expressed by an infantry attack on the

enemy's trenches, whether to gain a few hundred yards or a belt of

eight to ten miles as in the case of the French attack in Champagne

in September, 1915, and the German attack on Verdun in February,

1916. The first step is the concentration of batteries for

artillery preparation. Gradually, these guns all try out their range

with the aeroplanes spotting the fall of their shells. Then, at the

scheduled minute they loose their blasts upon the front line

trenches which are to be taken. In front of the trenches, of course,

are the elaborate barbed-wire entanglements. These are often twenty,

thirty or even forty feet deep. There may be more than one series of

entanglements and some may be screened in some fashion or other from

the effects of artillery fire. Aside from these, _trous de loup_,

pits with sharpened sticks to impale the invader, and all the other

devices of former times are used--in short, every obstacle from the

time of Moses to the modern machine gun. No invader can possibly

reach the enemy's trench to contest it with him until these

impedimenta are removed. Thousands of short-cut plans and inventions

have been offered for cleaning away the barbed wire before an

attack, but not one has succeeded because it requires that whoever

is to carry out the suggestion or remove the obstruction, must be

submitted to murderous grilling machine-gun and rifle fire. Shrapnel

shells with their sprays of bullets bursting at a height of a foot

above ground remain the approved method of cutting barbed wire. If

the barbed wire is not destroyed, the men in the charge are "hung

up" in it, as the saying is. Then if a machine gun is still in

position in the enemy's trench, they are riddled with bullets where

they lie. No form of death could be more pitiless or helpless for

the soldier than this. He becomes a target on a spit, as it were.

Granted that the barbed wire is swept away perfectly, no charge can

succeed if many machine guns or rifles from the trenches are playing

upon it. Then men simply rush into a spray of bullets. Therefore,

all the teeth must be drawn from the trench itself. This is done by

the concentration of high-explosive shells from guns of larger

caliber, mostly howitzers, which burst in the earth, tossing up

great fountains of dust, burying and smashing the machine guns and

driving all the operators into their dugouts, where they are

sometimes buried alive.

Back of the trench, the guns of smaller caliber which destroy the

barbed wire place a "curtain of fire," as it is called, which does

not permit the enemy to escape from a trench, or any reserves to

come to his assistance. This process is kept up for such a length of

time as is deemed sufficient. At a given moment, the invader

charges, often protected by a screen of smoke which is sent out from

his own trenches.

As the burrowers in the earth crawl from the parapets and take to

their legs, they know that their fate is almost altogether dependent

upon the preparation by the guns rather than any effort of their

own. Ahead of them is this wall of smoke and dust from the

explosions, in which they are lost to the observer. Keeping units

together and protecting them is as difficult as maneuvering ships in

a fog. The delicate problem of the gunner is to protect the invader

just as far forward as possible, without putting shells into his own

men. A few from defective fuses must fall short. This is expected

and is a part of the cost of a charge; but none with correct fuses

and dependable powder should. The gunners time their part to that of

the invader, by lifting their fire from the first to the second line

trench, as their own men are entering the first.

Granted that the barbed wire is cleared and the men enter the

enemy's trench, they may find themselves struggling over heaps of

dust mixed with the rags of sandbags, splintered timbers and the

flesh and uniforms of their enemy--at first see not a single

adversary. They will be instantly due for heavy shell fire; and also

for heavy machine gun and rifle fire from the second line enemy

trench. They begin to dig at once in order to establish protection.

Out of this wreckage they have to reverse the enemy's trench, so

that it shall face toward him. This becomes a matter of desperate

effort and usually it is in the course of this that the severest

casualties are suffered. But should the artillery destruction of the

trench be imperfect, upon entering it they may still take the enemy

by surprise in his dugouts. In that case, bombs in hand, at the

doorways of these cellars they demand surrender. In case it is not

given, they throw the bombs into the dugout; for, to enter, means

that they will be shot down.

Or, upon entering the trench, they may meet the enemy's soldiers

running out of their dugouts for hand-to-hand battle. The traverses

are so narrow that the length of the rifle makes it a clumsy weapon,

and the adversaries in modern war, whose guns carry twenty miles,

engage hand to hand, using knives, bombs and even their fists. With

discarded rifles and bombs lying about a trench, it is difficult to

give quarter. For a prisoner who is down may pick up a rifle or a

bomb and turn on his captor. It is not human savagery so much as

conditions that has made the fighting so grim. Having established

themselves in a certain section or sections of the trench, naturally

the new occupants have the enemy on their right and left. That is,

on one side of one of the winding traverses will be a German, and

say on the other side a Frenchman. Neither sees the other's head,

for both are hidden behind these walls of earth. If one starts

around the corner, it means a bayonet or a bullet for him.

To gain ground in a trench requires a superior supply of bombs. Any

small package that will contain a high explosive would serve the

purpose. Early in the war, bombs were made out of jam tins and bottles

or any other receptacle which could be filled with an explosive and

set off by a fuse. Later on, different varieties of manufactured bombs

in great quantities appeared. There have been instances of five

thousand being used in a single day over two hundred yards of trench.

After throwing a bomb from the traverse, the offensive follows up the

explosion by rushing along the traverse and catching the defender with

a bayonet while he is _hors de combat_ from the effect of the

explosion. While this orgy--characteristic of cave dwellers battling

on a precipice in its ferocity--is proceeding, all is precision at the

rear. As the caissons bring up the supplies of ammunition, the

green-curtained motor ambulances speed on to the hospital with the

wounded and the military police direct the congested traffic and keep

watch for spies.

VITAL LESSONS

War is force, violence, killing. Whoever tries to disguise its character

is a poor soldier and a poorer citizen. If you would avoid it, and if

you would prepare for it, you must look at it as a fact, squarely in

the face. Never has war been so savage as it is in this most progressive

age in history. We had popular education, aseptic surgery, the wireless,

and antitoxin, but war came nevertheless, and in the wake of Hague

conferences and much preaching of internationalism. It came when the

nations were supposed on account of the press and the telegraph to have

been farther removed from parochialism than ever before, when more

people in every nation in Europe knew the language of their neighbors

than ever in history.

In the cave dweller's time, combatants used a stone hatchet which

was the best weapon that science could produce. To-day by land and

sea they have used all the powers of destruction known to modern

man; all the scientific brains of Europe have been at the disposal

of commanders. Yet no single revolutionary invention has appeared in

the course of the war. The idea of the gas was old. Man already had

learned to fly. Guns have been larger and shells more powerful, but

the principle is the same. Weapons have been further developed, but

the types have not changed.

All the essential lessons which the Germans applied they learned in

the Russo-Japanese War. The line of trenches throughout the winter

of 1904-05 before Mukden were much the same type as those along the

Aisne. There were trenches in the Civil War and in the Crimea, and

in the American Revolution and in many wars before that. So far as

one can learn, there has not been a single invention by a civilian

which would have been of any use to the British navy in fighting

submarines. All have been devised and applied by naval experts who

knew conditions. No profession is more expert than soldiering and

none is older, because it began when Cain killed Abel.

War being the ultimate resort of force, then the poet, the dreamer,

the scholar, the doctor and the organizer of the arts of peace may

succumb to the bully with the square jaw, the low brow and

flesh-tearing incisors, unless the civilized man uses his resources

and talents to make weapons which are stronger than the bully's

fist. This is precisely what civilization does in order to protect

itself.

The two forces which were really prepared for this war were the

British navy and the German army. The British navy has kept command

of the seas and the German army has planted its trenches on foreign

soil. For any nation which is separated from other nations by the

sea, the military lesson of this war is that the sea is the first

line of defense. You will escape bloody trenches at home if you

never allow an enemy to land. He cannot land until he has driven

your navy off the seas.

The other lesson is that a nation should know its method of defense

and have it as complete, practicable and ready as the German army

and British navies were. For three or four years, the Belgians saw

the Germans constructing railroad sidings at Aix and making their

preparations for the blow they struck. Yet the Belgians did not

modernize their forts, or adequately strengthen their army for

defense. If to the staffs of England and France war seemed

inevitable, their governments refused to be convinced.

Any nation which is considering preparedness for national defense

must have a national policy. It must know what it is going to defend

and how it is going to defend it. The British navy was built for the

specific problem of either defeating the German navy in battle or

keeping it fast in its lair. The German army was organized for the

purpose of the invasion of France and then of Russia; the French

army for defense from Germany.

Their efficiency was not the result of the expenditure of money, for

money will not buy defense. It requires training, organization, and

patriotism, and courage, which are not for sale in the market places

of mankind.

Until this war the opinion among English-speaking peoples was

universal that the volunteer system was the best method of

recruiting. This on the principle that the man who offers himself to

fight, fights better than the one who is called to arms by

government order. Thus England raised 3,000,000 men. But to a man

who has lived much with armies, it seems an immoral method; it means

hiring men to fight for you. One man's life is just as valuable to

him as another's. It is the final sacrifice which he makes for the

defense of his country or his home. He should make it himself and

not ask others to make it for him. Those who should be the first

into battle are the men of wealth, of position, the favored ones.

They owe their country more than the others, because their country

has done more for them.

[Illustration: M. Raymond Poincaré, President of France.]

The courage which every Continental army has exhibited has forever

destroyed the idea that universal service weakens the valor of an

army. Millionaire and peasant, nobleman and workman fighting side by

side in the ranks, and doing all the drudgery of the trenches in

common, develop a democracy which means that a man appreciates his

fellow man for his own sake.

The old idea that wars must be frequent in order to keep up a

nation's virility has also been disproved. Universal service both in

France and Germany through forty years of peace, had been an

important influence in the better physical development of the race,

which led to the fortitude, precision, and courage exhibited. At the

same time, a realization of the seriousness of war on the part of

all men, because they knew before this war began the punishing

effect of rifle or machine-gun and artillery fire, is a powerful

deterrent to making war in any spasm of emotion.

There is no more glory, there is no more sport to war. It has become

scientific, businesslike, and commonplace. Never has an unprepared

nation been so helpless against the prepared as to-day. The American

Revolution could never have been won by untrained levies to-day

against the British regulars if they possessed modern weapons. Our

forefathers had their fowling pieces, taken from the walls in the

days when the cannon fired a solid shot for a few hundred yards, and

there were few cannon; and so far as weapons were concerned, they

were almost on a level with their enemy, the enemy's only

superiority being that of their drill and organization. Now the

enemy would have guns and rifles which it takes many months to make,

even if you have the plants.

In an era of sanitation and bodily cleanliness and popular education,

it has been shown that far from men having lost their virility, they

fought far better than the so-called "strong" and primitive man, and

those soldiers of former ages who "drank hard six days a week and

fought like the devil on Sunday" and would look down upon this age as

effeminate. Physically, mentally, and morally, the soldiers who sprang

to arms in the beginning of this war were superior unquestionably to

any soldiers who have ever gone into any war in Europe. They had more

skill, more courage, more determination. Their pride was greater, and

that alone made them more gallant. Those who wanted to know what war

was like, to have the experience of their first baptism of fire, soon

had it in the swift processes of mobilization and attack. Then, in

their stubbornness, they settled down to the long, grim business of

seeing through a task that was begun. The trenches were the last

places where you would hear the advocacy of war as war. There the

sentiment was simply of duty that must go on until a decision was

reached.

Never has war been more savagely fought, possibly because the modern

mind reasons that war being force and violence and killing, this

principle should be applied to the limit. Yet never have the wounded

been so tenderly cared for, never has the hospital organization been

so complete. Never probably in the history of European warfare have

prisoners, once they were taken, been so well treated. In other wars

100,000 survivors or so returned home when the struggle was over.

Here millions will go. Every home will either have its dead hero or

its living veteran. These are the men who will rule Europe in the

future. Behind the lines, among the civilian population, the war has

acted as a scourge. It has submerged self into the whole. Fatty

degeneration of the heart of the body politic has been cut away to

the muscle.

THE THEATRES OF THE WAR'S CAMPAIGNS

By F. H. SIMONDS

MAIN MILITARY FEATURES

The purpose of this review is to summarize briefly the main military

phases of the first year and a half of the Great War. To do this it

is perhaps simplest to accept the unity supplied by the three major

campaigns of the Central Powers, that of Germany against France,

that of Austria and Germany against Russia, and that of Germany,

Austria, and Bulgaria against Serbia.

There is no intention of discussing here any ethical or political

considerations. Certain historical details are, however, of real

interest and value. Thus it is worth while to recall that the

present conflict differs little, if at all, from the earlier

coalition wars of Europe, in which one nation, numerically weaker,

has sought to impose its will upon a group of nations collectively

larger, richer, and potentially capable of employing greater numbers

of men. In a word, the present war is a pretty accurate repetition

of the wars of Louis XIV and Napoleon I, with Germany playing the

French rôle.

Now in such struggles it had always been true, and German writers,

notably Bernhardi, insisted it would be true of any future war, that

the single chance for a decisive victory for the smaller nation lay

in crushing the several foes before they were able to get their

collective strength in the field, while the superior preparedness,

training, general military efficiency of the smaller nation still

enabled it to put the superior numbers at the decisive point at the

crucial moment.

This whole conception is made perfectly clear by a glance at the

familiar and classic parallel of the Napoleonic wars. In 1805

Napoleon, facing a European coalition, which included Russia, Great

Britain, and Austria, and was bound to enlist Prussia ultimately,

quite as the present anti-German group enlisted Italy, had to solve

the same military problem.

Consider what he did. Breaking his camp at Boulogne, which he left

in September, 1805, he sent his Grand Army into southern Germany and

against Ulm. On October 20 he captured Mack's army at Ulm. On

December 2 he routed the Austrian and Russian armies at Austerlitz,

and on December 26 there was signed the Treaty of Pressburg, which

eliminated Austria from the war. Prussia now intervening, he

destroyed the Prussian armies at Jena and Auerstädt on October 14,

1806. In June, 1807, he completed his task by defeating the Russians

at Friedland. The Peace of Tilsit, which followed immediately,

removed Russia and Prussia from the fighting line, as Austria had

already been removed. Between the capitulation of Ulm and the

victory of Friedland there intervened nineteen months. More than

eighteen have now passed since the fall of Liege in the present war.

The Peace of Tilsit made Napoleon the master of Europe with only

Great Britain left in the field against him. The subsequent military

and political history which led to Napoleon's downfall has no

pertinence in the present discussion. What it is essential to

recognize is that the German high command in August, 1914,

approached a Napoleonic problem in the Napoleonic fashion.

In German quarters there had been before the war, and there has been

since, a debate as to the comparative advantage of making the first

campaign against France or against Russia. The fact that the attack

on France failed has doubtless contributed to strengthen the case of

those who held the view of the elder Moltke and advocated an eastern

offensive. But this is merely an academic discussion. What is of

interest to us now is to recognize that Germany did decide to attack

France, that she did direct against the republic the first and

necessarily the greatest blow she could deliver. It was not until

April, 1915, that she actually undertook an attack upon Russia, and

then the prospect of a decisive victory, on the Napoleonic order,

had practically disappeared.

THE ATTACK UPON FRANCE

Turning now to the first campaign, the attack upon France, it is to

be recognized at the outset that the German purpose was to dispose

of France in the military sense for the period of the war by a

campaign that should repeat the success of 1870. It was essential

that this victory should be achieved before France could profit by

Russian activity in the east and before Great Britain could render

material military assistance to her French ally. It was equally

essential that the blow should be so swift and heavy that it would

crush the French before they could equip and organize their great

reserves, for whom, thanks to legislative folly and pacifist

agitation, there was lacking equipment and arms.

For the accomplishment of this great task, Germany counted upon her

superior numbers, the greater speed of her mobilization, and the

excess of her population over France to give her a decisive

advantage. She counted also upon her advantage in heavy artillery

and machine guns, on her organization of motor transport, which was

to establish new records in invasion. Only in field artillery, in

the now famous "seventy-fives," could France claim any advantage.

In 1870 Sedan had come four weeks after the first German troops had

entered France. For the new campaign the Germans allowed six weeks.

For this time German high command reckoned that Russia could be

mobilized in the east, and that any incidental Russian success in

East Prussia or Silesia would be counterbalanced by the tremendous

victories to be won in northern France. Paris itself would be a

sufficient counterprize for Posen, Breslau, or Cracow.

The time limit, however, imposed certain other conditions. The

Franco-German frontier from Luxemburg to Switzerland had been

transformed into one long barrier, garnished with detached forts

and resting upon the first-class fortresses of Verdun, Toul, Epinal,

and Belfort. To pierce such a barrier was not impossible but to

break through in three weeks, with the whole French army before the

forts and the shortness of the front offering the Germans no

opportunity to take advantage of their superior numbers, was

recognized as next to impossible.

There was left the roads through Belgium and Luxemburg. To come this

way Germany had for more than a decade been constructing strategic

railways leading from the Rhine and Moselle valleys to the Belgian

frontier, double-track roads that served in a desolate country, but

were provided with all the necessary machinery for detraining

thousands of soldiers.

Belgium might not consent to suffer this invasion of her territory

but the Belgian army was negligible, and the German heavy artillery

was known to be adequate to dispose of the antiquated forts of Namur

and Liege with brief delay. Once the Germans had passed the Meuse

and deployed upon the Belgian plain, they could turn south and pass

the Franco-Belgian frontier, which was destitute of real defenses,

the few fortresses being obsolete, and thence the road ran down to

Paris clear and open.

Conceivably Great Britain might make the Belgian invasion a cause

for joining France. But, again, the British army was small, there

was the gravest doubt as to whether it would be sent to the

Continent at all, and even if it came, it would not redress the

balance between the French and German armies. Such being the case,

as German high command saw it, Belgium was summoned, and refusing,

was attacked, the German armies passing the Belgian frontier in the

direction of Liege on August 4, 1914, the day on which Germany

declared war upon France, and the forty-fourth anniversary of the

invasion of France in the Franco-Prussian War.

FROM THE MEUSE TO THE MARNE

To grasp the main circumstances of the opening campaign it is

simplest to think of the whole German invading forces as comprising

one army. The right of this army under Kluck and Bülow came west

through Belgium by Brussels and Namur, swinging south after the

Belgians were disposed of, and leaving a guard to curtain the

Belgian army which had retreated on Antwerp. The center moved

southwest through the Belgian Ardennes and Luxemburg, entering

France between Longwy and Givet on the Meuse. The left moved from

Metz and Strassburg, attempting to force the French barrier line

between Toul and Epinal. The center was commanded by the German

Crown Prince, Albert of Württemberg, and Hausen, the left by the

Crown Prince of Bavaria and Heeringen. Smaller forces operating in

Upper Alsace played little real part in the operations.

Taking up first the German right: It did not begin its real advance

until August 12, 1914. Liege had been captured on August 7, the last

fort fell on August 15. Meantime the Germans pushed a heavy screen

of cavalry forward, and there was steady skirmishing between Liege

and Brussels, which was magnified into battles and German defeats.

In point of fact, the Belgian army was rapidly pushed back, and once

the main German advance began, it fled to Antwerp.

Kluck took Brussels on August 18, 1914, and turned south, meeting

the first serious resistance at Mons. Bülow, moving across the Meuse

at Huy, took Namur on August 23, 1914, and his troops fought at

Charleroi, while those of Hausen forced a passage of the Meuse south

of Namur. The French were beaten at Charleroi, and the British while

the battle of Mons was still undecided, were forced to retreat,

because Bülow's success in taking Namur had imperiled the whole

allied left flank.

Because he delayed his retreat too long, Sir John French was

immediately threatened with destruction, Kluck having succeeded in

getting on his flank, while sending superior numbers against his

front. For a week there was grave danger that the Germans would be

able to destroy the British and intervene between the French left

and the city of Paris. At Cambrai on the 25th, British destruction

seemed imminent, but the British just managed to win clear, and

French troops coming up on their exposed flank by September 1, they

were safe.

The French center had essayed an offensive into the Ardennes at the

moment the battle of Charleroi was beginning. In this they did not

succeed, and the Fourth Army under Langle de Cary fell back in

perfect order from the Belgian-Luxemberg frontier across the Meuse

near Sedan, where they held their line until the general retreat

began. Henceforth the French armies from left to right were not

seriously threatened until the final struggle at the Marne.

But the right under De Castelnau had been obliged to retreat. It had

opened the campaign by a series of victories which had carried the

main force into German Lorraine as far as Saarburg on the railroad

from Metz to Strassburg. To the south Mülhausen had been taken,

lost, and recaptured. But in the third week of August the main army

encountered strong forces in the region of Morhange and fell back on

Nancy, the frontier town of Lunéville being momentarily occupied by

the Germans. At Nancy it stood. But its stand was one of the

important battles of the western war and a contributory cause to the

subsequent victory at the Marne. By this victory the eastern barrier

was held and the German effort to isolate Verdun and Toul blocked.

Some of the most terrible fighting of the war took place here, and

the Germans, fighting under the eye of the kaiser suffered colossal

losses.

In the last days of August Joffre had to make his great decision.

His right was holding before Nancy, and was soon to make a

successful advance, clearing most of eastern Lorraine. His center,

stretched across the Champagne country from the Argonne to the Oise,

had recovered from early reverses and won several considerable local

counteroffenses, notably at Guise. But his left was still shaky, his

reserves were not yet up and his reconcentration was incomplete.

Should he risk all now, or take his army back until his left rested

upon Paris? To do this latter would be to surrender more French

territory, but it would mean a further exhaustion of the Germans, a

further increase in his numbers. The morale of his troops was

unshaken. He had suffered defeats, but merely incidental defeats,

the real test had not yet come.

THE BATTLE OF THE MARNE

Joffre decided to continue his retreat, and took his army south of

the Marne, his left formed by the British resting upon the forts of

Paris, behind which he had massed a new army, his center stretching

between Paris and Verdun, his right along the barrier line from

Verdun to Switzerland. The German armies, already worn down by their

exertions and their losses, were now to be attacked by their foe,

whom they regarded as already vanquished.

The first phase of the Battle of the Marne was fought northeast of

Paris along the Ourcq, which gives its name to the local battle.

Kluck had marched past the French capital, going south along its

eastern front and leaving only small guards to cover his rear and

flank. He had before him the British and on his flank the new Paris

army, of the existence of which he was totally ignorant. In Joffre's

strategy this army was to strike east while the British struck

north, together they were to act like the two blades of a pair of

scissors. Between them Kluck was to be destroyed and his rout would

expose the flank and rear of all the German forces in France.

The French struck with great promptness, but the British failed to

move quickly enough. Kluck extricated himself from between the

blades with supreme generalship, brought his main force back against

the French, borrowing a corps from Bülow and presently the French

were driven back upon Paris. British slowness had wrecked the master

stroke of Joffre's strategy.

But in the center the situation was changing. Joffre had issued his

famous order to attack upon September 5. The Paris army under

Manoury had struck on the 6th, and the French offensive had steadily

communicated itself from west to east along the whole line, that is,

to the British army, then to the armies of Franchet d'Espérey, of

Foch, of De Langle de Cary, of Sarrail. In the French center about

September 9, General Foch, commanding still another new army, had

begun his attack. By a combination of operations, which remain the

most brilliant of the war, he flung a portion of the Germans before

him into the marshes of St. Gond and routed the remainder. In this

field the Germans now began a retreat which was almost a rout.

Meantime, further to the east, Sarrail, holding Verdun, had begun to

attack the crown prince, who was in difficulty.

Foch's success was decisive, Kluck and Bülow began their retreat,

leaving their own fights undecided. Hausen, who faced Foch, was

removed in disgrace, and his army now in bad shape, went back to

Châlons and then to the Rheims-Argonne district. The crown prince

with difficulty drew his forces out of the lower Argonne and north

of Verdun. The French victory in Lorraine had also become absolute,

and the Germans were back on the frontier.

But there was lacking to the French the numbers and the strength to

make their victory conclusive. They had been outnumbered at the

moment of victory, their twenty-two corps facing twenty-seven at the

Marne, 900,000 at most against 1,200,000. The fall of Maubeuge had

released fresh German troops, who came south, and, reenforcing

Kluck, enabled him to stand at the Aisne. The German front was

reconstituted, running from the Oise at Noyon to Metz and the

deadlock was about to begin, had in fact begun.

The remainder of the western campaign requires little comment. There

now followed that operation, well described as "the race to the

sea." The French coming east around the right flank of the Germans

north of Noyon attempted to reach their rear at St. Quentin and turn

them out of France. The Germans endeavored to extend their line

westward to the sea and thus secure their flank and, in addition,

take possession of the whole French coast from the mouth of the

Somme to Belgium.

Neither side succeeded. Instead a line was erected from the Oise due

north to the German Ocean at Nieuport, which became the new battle

front. Antwerp fallen, the Germans made a supreme effort to shorten

and straighten their line by attacking the French, British, and

Belgians, who held the extreme left of the allied forces between

Nieuport and La Bassée, along the Yser and about Ypres. This

struggle lasted for nearly a month, and was desperate in the

extreme. For the British it was a gigantic repetition of Waterloo,

and they were again asked to hold a position, not now for hours, but

for days, under heavy pressure, and in the face of odds such as

Napoleon did not possess in the earlier conflict. In the end the

line held, German approach to the Channel was blocked, and by

December 1 the western war had dropped to trench fighting which

still persists along the lines that had been substantially occupied

in November, 1914.

GERMAN FAILURE

Such briefly was the history of the first German venture, the effort

to dispose of France. So far as its main object was concerned it

failed absolutely. It failed because Joffre met the German thrust

with a parry which turned it aside. French military power was not

destroyed, it was not even shaken. France was not eliminated by a

crushing defeat as Austria had been eliminated at Austerlitz in a

similar conflict.

The victory had been won because Joffre had deliberately held his

forces in hand and avoided a decisive issue, until he had brought

the Germans to his own battle field. He had avoided a German net

which might have encircled a portion of his armies, as Bazaine had

been encircled at Metz; he had declined to consider political

conditions and fight as MacMahon had been compelled to fight at

Sedan. With inferior numbers, with smaller resources in heavy

artillery and transport, with a handicap of inferior subordinates,

who in Alsace and in the Ardennes, as well as at Charleroi, had by

their incompetence imperiled his first plans, he had won a campaign.

That the success was not conclusive cannot be charged to him, Sir

John French's failure along the Grand Morin, as other critics

assert, or Manoury's excess of zeal at the Ourcq, by enabling Kluck

to avoid Joffre's embrace, possibly saved the Germans from a general

disaster.

The Battle of the Marne denied Germany the continental supremacy

which Austerlitz prepared for Napoleon. It saved France, gave Great

Britain time to raise her volunteer armies, mobilize her industries.

To win it France had put in her last ounce of available strength,

and there was needed for her, too, time to reorganize her armies,

and prepare to conduct a long war. She was not able and she has not

yet been able to turn Germany out of that twenty-fifth of French

area, which Germany holds, and has held since October, 1914.

But in every sense this Battle of the Marne was one of the few

really decisive battles of all human history. It was a French

victory, organized by French genius and won by French soldiers. The

British contribution was slight, just as the British numbers were

insignificant. It was not due to Belgian resistance, as has been so

frequently asserted in the past, and the determining phase was the

wonderful fight of Foch at Champenoise, after the Paris army had

failed against Kluck.

AGAINST RUSSIA

The character of the German operations against Russia in the opening

days of the war was determined by the decision to attack France.

Necessarily all troops save that minimum which represented the

barest margin of safety were sent to the west and there was left to

a small force the duty of defending the East Prussian marshes.

Germany counted upon the slowness of Russian mobilization to give

her six weeks of immunity on her eastern frontier. She expected in

that time to dispose of France, and she believed that at the end of

it Russia would still be engaged in concentrating her masses. Both

calculations were wrong.

But the main reliance of Germany in the east was Austria, whose

whole force, save for one or two corps borrowed by Germany to defend

Alsace and four corps sent against Serbia, was available for the

invasion of Russian Poland. If Austria could organize a resistance

that would last for six weeks, Germany was prepared to do the rest.

This she expected of Austria, and again her calculations were wrong.

A glance at the map serves to explain the opening moves in the

eastern campaign. Russian Poland projects into Austro-German

territory, and is nearly encircled by German East Prussia and

Austrian Galicia. Russian mobilization had therefore to take place

not at the frontier, but behind the Vistula and the armies, once

concentrated, advanced from the Niemen, west of Kovno, from Warsaw,

from Brest-Litovsk on the Bug and from the Rowno-Dubno-Lutsk

fortresses west of Kiev. Thus the military as contrasted with the

political frontier of Russia was behind the Vistula, the Niemen and

the Bug.

The Austro-German plan contemplated a defensive fight on the north,

in East Prussia, and an offensive campaign from the south, aimed at

Lublin and Brest-Litovsk. The Russians on their side planned an

immediate invasion of East Prussia from Warsaw and Kovno and a far

more considerable offensive into Galicia from the Rumanian boundary

to Rowno. The objective of the northern operation was the conquest

of the whole of Prussia east of the Vistula, that of the southern

the capture of Lemberg and the conquest of all Galicia. Combined,

these two movements would abolish the Polish salient and give the

Russian right flank the protection of the Baltic, the left the cover

of the Carpathians. Only then could there be any safe advance by the

center through Poland upon Posen and Breslau and thence upon Berlin.

Russian mobilization was more rapid than Russia's allies could have

hoped for and it wholly confounded the Germans. While the Battle of

the Marne was still two weeks off Russian forces were sweeping west

from the Niemen and approaching Königsberg, a second army was

striking north from Warsaw. East Prussian populations were fleeing

before the invaders and a German disaster seemed imminent.

The genius of Hindenburg, who now appeared upon the eastern battle

ground, saved the situation. Gathering in all his available forces

and leaving the Russian army coming from the Niemen almost

unopposed, he caught the Warsaw army in the swamps about the

frontier in the last days of August and, thanks to his generalship

and heavy artillery, destroyed a Russian army. Tannenberg was a

great victory and it saved East Prussia. The Niemen army had to

retreat rapidly to escape destruction. At the time, it was asserted

that the Russian invasion had compelled the Germans to draw upon

their western front to meet the thrust and thus to weaken their

armies in advance of the decisive battle. This is not now believed

to be true, but there is no doubt that it drew reserves who might

otherwise have gone to the west or to the south.

Tannenberg was a victory which filled the world with its splendor,

but it merely disguised for the moment the far more considerable

Austrian disaster to the south. One Austrian army had crossed the

frontier and approached Lublin, another had advanced east from

Lemberg. Upon the Lemberg army the full weight of the Russian thrust

now fell and the army was promptly routed, driven through Lemberg

and west of the San or across the Carpathians. The force that had

approached Lublin was thus left in the air and succumbed to a series

of disasters, which culminated in the terrible defeat of Rawa-Ruska.

Meantime the Austrian troops, which had invaded Serbia were routed

in the Battle of the Jedar, which preceded the other Austrian

disasters and was, in fact, the first considerable triumph for the

Allies in the whole war.

AUSTRIAN PERIL

Austria was now in dire straits and her whole military structure

seemed on the point of crumbling. Russian armies flowed west through

Galicia and approached Tarnow, Przemysl was isolated, tens of

thousands of prisoners, innumerable guns and vast quantities of

stores fell to the victors. While the great German attack upon

France was failing, Russia seemed on the point of achieving against

Germany's ally what Germany had failed to achieve against France.

Germany was now compelled to intervene. At the moment when she was

organizing her final effort in the west and sending her best troops

to hack their way to Calais, she had to divert other troops to the

east. Hindenburg undertook a new offensive, this time from the

Silesian frontier, and pushed with great rapidity to the very

suburbs of Warsaw. He only failed by a narrow margin, Siberian

troops coming up just in time to save the Polish capital, and

Hindenburg, now outnumbered, conducted a swift and orderly retreat

to the frontier. But his intervention had disorganized the Russian

campaign in Galicia and Russian armies there had been compelled to

retreat and send reenforcements north.

Hindenburg's retreat was a signal for a fresh Russian advance, this

time the czar's forces reached the gates of Cracow and began to

crowd through the Carpathian passes and sweep down into the

Hungarian Plain. Przemysl was again invested, Russian troops for the

first time entering German territory west of the Vistula. It was

necessary for Germany to intervene again.

This time Hindenburg was more successful. He had retreated upon

Cracow and Breslau; gathering up his armies he transported them

rapidly to the north by strategic railways, brought them back into

Poland south of the Vistula, interposed between the Russians and

Warsaw and very nearly repeated at Lodz his great success of

Tannenberg. But this time the Russians after desperate fighting won

clear, and fell back to the lines in front of Warsaw, which they

were to hold for so many months. At the same time they retreated in

Galicia from before Cracow to Tarnow and stood behind the Dunajec

River. Austria was saved again, but having, in her extreme peril

recalled some of her corps from an army engaged in a new invasion of

Serbia, that army was routed and well-nigh destroyed.

GERMANY'S SECOND OFFENSIVE

From December to April the eastern campaign lacked decisive

circumstances. In the north Hindenburg won a new and splendid

victory at the Mazurian Lakes, expelling a Russian army which had

renewed the invasion of East Prussia. In the south the Russians

steadily pushed the Austrians back into the Carpathians, took

Przemysl with more than 125,000 prisoners, and as spring came seemed

on the point of crowning the Carpathians and descending into the

Hungarian Plain.

But the Germans were already organizing their second great

offensive. They were raising new armies, collecting fresh stores of

ammunition and preparing for a thrust against Russia as gigantic as

that against France, with the deliberate purpose of eliminating

Russia from the war. There was no longer any chance of a Napoleonic

success in Europe. But if Russia were eliminated, they could still

hope to win a peace that might leave them Belgium. Some portion of

their plans was spoiled almost as the spring campaign opened, by the

entrance of Italy on the Allies' side, but Italy came too late to

save Russia from the disasters that had begun.

The German plan of campaign was simple. Hindenburg was to strike east

and south from East Prussia at the Russian lines along the

Niemen-Bobr-Narew. Mackensen, having pushed the Russians out of

Galicia, was to strike north through Lublin and toward Brest-Litovsk.

A new army was to invade Courland and aim at Riga. It was the German

hope that the main Russian masses would be caught and enveloped by

Hindenburg and Mackensen, that Poland would be taken and all its

garrisons, and the bulk of the Russian military power be destroyed.

The first blow fell at Gorlice in Galicia in the last days of April.

Mackensen, furnished with the greatest train of artillery war had

ever seen, burst through the Russian lines along the Dunajec,

destroyed Dmitrieff's army, which faced him, almost captured the

Russian Carpathian forces and drove the Russians rapidly beyond the

San, retook first Przemysl and then Lemberg, thus clearing all but a

corner of Galicia.

The main German and Austrian armies were then sent north toward

Brest-Litovsk, while Hindenburg began his thrust by attacking

Ossowetz and the Niemen-Bobr-Narew barrier of forts. By this time

the world knew that Russian ammunition had failed and for many weeks

the possibility of a tremendous Russian disaster existed. Step by

step the Russians were pushed back. The fall of Warsaw was assured

in July and it was not until August that the escape of the Russian

garrison was certain. The same problem was raised about Kovno and

Brest-Litovsk, but again the Russians won clear. Late in August the

final net of the Germans about Vilna was drawn, but for the last

time the Russians eluded it.

And with the battle of Vilna the German eastern campaign practically

ends. In the north the Russians held Riga and the Dwina line, in the

center they were behind the great marshes of Pinsk, to the south

they were behind the Styr and Stripa, still holding Rowno, still

clinging to a corner of Galicia. They had lost hundreds of thousands

of prisoners and many guns. All of Russian Poland, most of Courland,

and much other territory had been surrendered. But they had kept

their armies intact and were once more in line.

In so far as the German campaign had been designed to free Austrian

soil and relieve the pressure upon Austrian and German fronts in the

east, it had been a shining success. It had served, too, to restore

German prestige in the Balkans. But it had come too late to keep

Italy out, and it had not eliminated Russia.

Unless the Germans were prepared to repeat the fatal Napoleonic

march upon Moscow, there was now nothing for them to do but abandon

their eastern campaign for the winter, to dig in and hold until the

spring permitted new operations. But this offered to the Russians a

period of recuperation and rest. In the spring they would have new

armies and fresh artillery. These circumstances were the measure of

the German failure in their second offensive. In their first they

had set out to dispose of France and had suffered defeat at the

Marne. In the second they had undertaken to put Russia out, and

after a long series of victories, Russia had escaped and was now

beyond their grasp.

From the military point of view the Russian failure was even more

serious than the French, because it came a year later, and at the

hour when the superior numbers and resources of the enemies of

Germany were already beginning to tell.

THE THIRD GERMAN OFFENSIVE

The two preceding German campaigns had been based on purely military

considerations. The first was a true Napoleonic conception designed

to grasp a Napoleonic opportunity. The second was partly imposed

upon Germany by Russian success and Austrian failure. There was no

longer a question of destroying the opponents in order, it was a

question of eliminating one and then finding a basis for peace with

the others. The third German campaign, that in the Balkans, was

political quite as much as it was military. It was designed to

provide Germany with some profit for her great sacrifices and her

great losses, but it was no longer a question of the conquest of any

considerable foe.

By the operations of British sea power, Germany had now practically

lost her colonial empire. It was certain that with peace she would

not again be permitted to make use of British colonies or ports, as

she had done before. Her overseas commerce with belligerents and

their colonies was bound to be ruined, even if peace came soon, for

the period of the war it was, of course, abolished.

The entrance of Turkey on the German side had opened for the Germans

a new field for industrial exploitation, if there could once be

opened a road from the Danube to Constantinople. This field would be

beyond the reach of sea power. Once Germany had taken actual command

at Constantinople, once the railroad from Hamburg to the Bosphorus

was open, it was possible to threaten Britain in Egypt, and perhaps

ultimately in India by the Bagdad and Mecca railways.

Such a threat, coupled with one more successful campaign, might

exercise a decisive influence upon the minds of the people of the

allied countries, and in opening a road to the Golden Horn, Germany

might find the path to peace. Already there was apparent willingness

in Berlin to evacuate Belgium and northern France, only from Russia

did Germany now insist upon tribute in the form of conquered

provinces. But until the road to Constantinople was open, until the

Serbian nuisance was abolished, peace could not be considered.

Turkey, too, was calling for aid. Early in the year the Anglo-French

fleets had tried to force the Dardanelles. Their failure had been

followed by a land attack at Gallipoli, which had so far failed, but

Turkish ammunition and artillery was inadequate for a sustained

fight, and there was needed German aid. To lose the Dardanelles was

to see Turkey conquered, Russia provided with munitions, and the

whole German dream of expansion to Asia Minor destroyed.

It was necessary, too, to provide the German people with a new

victory. They had been bitterly disappointed that the Russian

campaign had not brought peace, or, at the least, the elimination of

Russia. A new and relatively cheap success, the conquest of the

Balkans, would fire their imagination and again stimulate their

hopes for a victorious peace. In addition, Bulgaria now beckoned to

the Germans. Her army was at the disposition of the two kaisers, but

there was plain peril that if the coming were too long delayed, the

Allies might succeed in persuading Ferdinand to cast his lot with

the camp that now offered him Serbian Macedonia and Turkish Thrace,

and were suggesting the further _pourboire_ of Greek Kavala.

Accordingly Germany decided to go south, having gone west and east

without finding peace or decisive victory. She had available for

this operation troops no longer needed against Russia since the

campaign on this front had died out, and she had to command it, the

great Mackensen, whose fame now rivaled that of Hindenburg, whose

victories had regained Galicia. "Constantinople and Peace" became

the new German watchword, just as "Paris and Peace" and "Warsaw and

Peace" had been in preceding months.

And at the outset of this third campaign it is perhaps appropriate

to point out that Germany was now to achieve that complete military

success that had been denied to her in France and Russia, she was to

win a victory in the military sense which was beyond cavil, but she

was this time to lose the political profit she had hoped, because

she had mistaken the importance in the minds of her enemies of the

Balkan field and fatally overestimated the war weariness of the

peoples that opposed her. At the Golden Horn she was to find not

peace, but the necessity for new campaigns.

THE SERBIAN PHASE

On the military side the Serbian campaign was the simplest of

operations. For many months the Serbian forces had been posted south

of the Danube and the Save and east of the Drin, looking over their

frontiers into Hungary and Bosnia. Behind them from the Danube at

Belgrade to the Ægean at Saloniki ran the Orient railroad, by which

they were munitioned. At Nish halfway to the sea, the line drew near

to the Bulgarian frontier and sent a branch off, which passed

through Bulgaria and reached Constantinople.

The Saloniki railway was the life line of Serbia, it was also the

natural route for a retreat, if the Austro-German attack became too

heavy. But it was fatally exposed, should Bulgaria enter the war

against Serbia. In the Treaty of Bucharest, Greece and Rumania had

undertaken to join Serbia should she be attacked by Bulgaria, and

the mission of Greece was to cover the Saloniki railroad as far

north as it was necessary to join hands with the Serbians.

Now, while the Bulgarians were beginning to mobilize and the

Austro-German hosts were gathering to the north, Serbia appealed to

her former allies to keep their agreement. Both declined, and their

refusal was fatal. The Allies had relied upon Greek promises, and

had failed to collect any considerable force at Saloniki. They had

trusted Bulgaria and refused to let Serbia attack her neighbor

before Bulgarian mobilization was complete. Once Bulgaria had

mobilized the doom of Serbia was settled.

What happened was this: The Germans forced the passage of the Danube

north and east of Belgrade and came south along the broad Morava

River Valley, driving the Serbs before them. Thanks to the heavy

artillery of the invaders Serbian resistance was impotent. The

Austrians, meantime, crossed the Drin and came east from Bosnia.

Think of Serbia as a rectangle and you can visualize two sides of

the figure as closing in on the center, which was the heart of

Serbia.

At the appointed moment the Bulgarians struck west from a third side

of the rectangle, speedily crossed the Belgrade-Nish-Saloniki

railroad, and thus cut off the true line of Serbian retreat, that

upon Saloniki.

Very early in the campaign the Bulgars seized Uskub, thus

interposing a wedge between the small Anglo-French force at Saloniki

and the Serbs about Nish to the north of Uskub. Meantime a desperate

concentration was taking place at Saloniki, and an Anglo-French

force, commanded by Sarrail, was being pushed up the Saloniki

railroad toward Uskub to open a road to the Serbs to join their

allies. The operation suggested that successfully conducted in

Flanders in the opening months of the war, which enabled the Belgian

army to escape from Antwerp and join their allies in Flanders.

But this operation failed. The French came north to the outskirts of

Veles, twenty miles from Uskub, just too late to save the Serbians,

who now fled west to Monastir and south to Montenegro and Albania.

As a fighting force the Serbs were eliminated, the wrecks of their

armies barely escaping to the Adriatic and Ægean coasts at Durazzo

and Saloniki. Bulgarian troops forced the Katchanik gorges and took

Prisrend, and German and Austrian forces entered the ill-omened

Plain of Kossovo and overran the ancient Sanjak of Novibazar.

Before the storm that was now moving south, the French and British

retreated upon Saloniki, and presently began to construct about this

Greek city lines and defenses recalling those Wellington built at

Torres Vedras before Lisbon to restrain the flood of Napoleonic

invasion in the Iberian peninsula. The conquest of the Balkan

peninsula, save for Greece, was now as complete as Napoleon's own

success in Spain had been more than a century before.

In due course of time an Austrian army repeated the operations of

the Germans, this time succeeding in reducing the strongholds of

Montenegro, which had defied the Turk through long centuries. Mount

Lovetcen, the peak which looks down upon Cattaro and commands the

inner bay, was at last taken, Scutari followed, northern Albania was

overrun, Nicholas followed Peter into exile. All Macedonia was taken

and the Allies forced out of Serbia, which had become an entirely

conquered country. To complete the conquest of the Near East there

was needed nothing but a successful siege of Saloniki, but this

required preparation and the rebuilding of destroyed railroads, and

so the Allies found respite in this Ægean port for a brief time.

Such was Germany's third campaign. Her victory enabled her to send

munitions to Constantinople, and insured the failure of the allied

attack at the Dardanelles. Only a few weeks later the allied armies

evacuated the Gallipoli Peninsula; thus testifying to the decisive

character of the German operation. Still later Turkish reenforcements,

doubtless drawing upon German sources for munitions, defeated another

British expedition almost under the walls of Bagdad and drove it in

retreat down the Tigris, ultimately surrounding it at Kut-el-Amara, a

hundred miles to the south.

Again, there came immediately forecasts of another Turkish thrust at

Suez, under German direction, a first attack having failed in the

previous winter. Whether Germany actually obtained any considerable

stock of provisions or foodstuffs may be doubted by her succor, but

it is clear that her campaign had enabled her to make use of many

thousands of Turkish troops, who were waiting only for arms, it had

given her control of the Bulgarian army, a small but efficient

force, and it had provided an eventual means of attacking the

British Empire by land, once the advance upon Egypt could be

organized.

This last circumstance is worth noting, for the time had now arrived

when the Germans perceived that Great Britain had so far escaped

injury, was the single one of the larger powers who had drawn profit

without terrible loss from the war and was becoming the determining

force in the allied camp, because its resources were still

unexhausted and its armies only just coming into the field, while

German numbers were approaching a positive decline. If Germany could

reach Suez, conquer Egypt, using Turkish armies and German genius

and munitions, she would deal a heavy blow to the British Empire,

and she might compel the British to listen to proposals for peace,

which were now contemptuously thrust aside by London.

In sum, the Serbian campaign saved Turkey, disposed of Serbia,

enlisted Bulgaria, opened the road to the Near East and to

subsequent attacks upon Egypt and perhaps upon India, but it did not

bring peace, and it did not inflict any immediate injury upon any

one of Germany's larger foes, only Serbia and Montenegro actually

suffered serious loss, and the destruction of their armies was but a

detail in a world war.

ITALY

For the purposes of a summary it is unnecessary to review in detail

the Italian operations. They have no distinctive challenge to the

reader. Italian statesmanship imposed upon the Italian high command

a task which made immediate victory impossible, and assigned to

Italy the useful but inglorious rôle of occupying some 400,000

Austrian troops, and thus contributing to the strain imposed upon

the Central Powers and to the hastening of the moment when

exhaustion might be expected to set in.

Had Italy decided to enter the war at the moment when Russia was

destroying Austrian armies in Galicia in September and October of

1914 she would almost unquestionably have supplied the necessary

numbers to bring a speedy and decisive defeat for the Central

Powers. Again, had she selected the moment when Russian armies were

at the crests of the Carpathians, and Przemysl had just fallen, she

would have probably made the German offense against Russia

impossible, brought Rumania in with her, and produced the collapse

of Austria. Bulgaria would not have enlisted with the Central

Powers, Greece would almost certainly have attacked Turkey, and the

Balkan campaign would not have taken place.

But German diplomacy averted the second peril, and Italian alignment

with Austria and with Germany in the Triple Alliance made an attack

at the opening of the war unthinkable. When Italy did come in, the

German victory in Galicia had been won, Russia was in retreat, the

allied defeat before the Dardanelles forts and the Russian disasters

had produced a profound effect in Balkan capitals, and Austria was

able to find the troops to meet and check the Italian advance almost

at the frontier. Since that time the Italian operations have been

merely trench conflicts, and Italy has nowhere penetrated a score of

miles into Austrian territory, nor has she taken Trieste, Trent, or

even Gorizia.

If one desires a parallel for the Italian operations it is to be

found in the later phases of the Peninsula War against Napoleon.

This field was never of decisive importance, but it did require the

attention of several of Napoleon's best marshals, and drew off

thousands of French soldiers needed by the great emperor in the

campaigns in eastern Germany, where his fortunes were finally

decided. What Wellington did, the Italians under Cadorna have been

imitating in their own peninsula, and their service to their allies

has thus been very considerable.

Nor is it necessary for the purposes of so rapid a review of the

main phases of the war to dwell upon the allied failure in the west

between the end of the battles of Flanders in November, 1914, and

February, 1916. At the beginning of 1915 what were allied hopes and

purposes in the west? Unquestionably French and British public

believed that with the coming year the Grand Alliance would be able

to crush Germany. Unquestionably French and British high commands

planned to open the summer with a drive that would clear France and

Belgium. As for the Germans, having laid their plans to go to

Russia, they asked nothing of their western armies save that the

lines should be held.

The French began their spring drive in Artois and in Champagne. The

Artois fighting of May and June was exceedingly severe, incidental

gains were made, but the British were suddenly disclosed lacking in

all proper ammunition, lacking in numbers to support the French

offensive, and barely able to hold their own lines about Ypres,

after desperate fighting, made memorable by the first use by the

Germans of gas as a weapon of offense.

From June until September the western armies stood still, while

Britain organized her munition manufactures and continued to send

her new troops to the Continent. Kitchener's "million" was not

realized until the late fall, instead of the early spring. But

when, in the latter days of September, the British attacked about La

Bassée, and the French in Champagne, the muddling of British

officers cost the Allies a considerable triumph in Artois, and the

French victory in Champagne was purely local. Some 30,000 prisoners,

200 cannon, this was the fruit of an offensive which cost the

British 60,000 casualties, and the French hardly less than twice as

many.

German defense, therefore, fulfilled its mission in the west, German

armies were able to drive deep into Russia without having to detach

reenforcements to the west. Such offensives as the Allies ventured

were either complete failures or merely local successes, without

major value. Belgium and northern France were not liberated, and

there was, as yet, not even a promise of the crushing of Germany.

ALLIED POLICY

In the brief space that remains I desire to discuss the policy of

the nations which are fighting the Teutonic Alliance. The German

purpose at the outset of the war has been discussed. Franco-Russian

preparation had been made long before the war, and the general plan

of the high commands of the two allies worked out without any

material interruption. The same is true of the cooperation of the

British army. This simply followed out the plans agreed upon years

before.

It is not true, as has been frequently asserted, that France or her

allies were surprised by the German invasion of Belgium, this had

long been foreseen. It is not true, as was believed widely at the

time, that Joffre invited disaster by sending the mass of his troops

into Alsace-Lorraine, yielding to political and patriotic sentiment.

He did nothing of the sort. Such troops as were sent into these

provinces fulfilled their mission and contributed to drawing German

corps away from the north. The bulk of the French armies and the

British Expeditionary Corps were in line along the Belgium frontier

from Arlon to Mons when the Germans began their great drive.

The French were surprised in two respects. They had not foreseen the

rapidity with which the German heavy artillery would reduce the

forts in Belgium, the fall of Namur was the greatest catastrophe of

the first period of the campaign, and they had not dreamed that the

Germans would be able to mobilize so many troops in so short a

period. Joffre had planned to meet the Germans along the Meuse and

the Sambre, that is along the French frontier, but when the German

advance began, his troops on these fronts were outnumbered by at

least two to one, not because the mass of the French troops had been

sent to Alsace-Lorraine, but because the French had not foreseen the

capacity of the Germans to mobilize their reserves and had little

more than their first-line troops ready, while the Germans were

making use of Landwehr and even Landsturm formations in the first

shock.

Once this fact was clearly established, Joffre resolutely drew his

forces back until he was able to put more reserves in the field and

thus approximately restore the balance between the two armies. But

he was still heavily outnumbered at the decisive moment, winning his

great battle with inferior forces. His enemy had reckoned on the

traditional eagerness of the French to attack, and had expected to

obtain a decisive victory, through superior numbers, in the first

days of the war. The impression which the press reports gave in the

early days, that the French were driven from defeat to defeat and

almost succumbed to the German attack is far from accurate. In point

of fact, the French armies, after suffering marked but relatively

insignificant reverses at the outset, reverses due to the blunders

of the subordinate generals in part, and to the greatly superior

German numbers and artillery in the main, were drawn back in

obedience to a carefully conceived plan, were denied the opportunity

to fight, as they desired, until the exhaustion of German strength,

ammunition, and transport, and the increase in French numbers gave

the opportunity for a victory. The whole opening campaign was fought

on the French side with a very keen recollection of the mistakes of

1870, and the result justified the strategy.

But with the end of the Battle of the Marne both the Allied and the

German plans collapsed. Neither side had foreseen clearly the

possibility of a battle in which the French might win a decisive

victory, yet lack the numbers to enforce the decision absolutely.

But the Germans were able to meet the situation promptly and, by

preparing a position on the Aisne, to retain a considerable portion

of the ground they had occupied in their first rush. Thus in failing

to repeat their triumphs of the Franco-Prussian War and of the Seven

Weeks' War, they had escaped the disaster of Napoleon at Waterloo,

when he, too, had staked all on a single throw.

In the weeks and months that followed the German defeat at the

Marne, allied understanding of the actual nature of the war

developed only slowly. Until the coming of spring and the British

failure to get men or munitions, the French and the British public,

and probably their soldiers, believed that the Germans were shortly

to be turned out of France. But with the failure there was at last

established the real situation, the war had taken on the character

of our own Civil War, it had become a struggle in which the decision

would follow the exhaustion of one of the contending forces and the

incidental victories of either side could not contribute materially

to the ending of the war.

In the Civil War the North was exceedingly slow in learning this

lesson and it was not until General Grant at last assumed the

command of all the Northern armies that an intelligent policy was

adopted. This policy has been summarized as the policy of attrition

and it is now generally recognized as the policy on which the

enemies of the Central Powers rely for ultimate success. Grant's own

statement of this policy was as follows: "To hammer continuously

against the armed force of the enemy and his resources, until by

mere attrition, if in no other way, there should be left to him

nothing but submission." By this policy Grant won his war.

Now the allied policy, which it is necessary to recognize, to

understand the war as it is viewed by one of the two contending

forces, is this: The Allies are satisfied that the German numbers

have begun or are beginning to fail. They fix at around 8,000,000

the total man power of Germany at the outset, using all means of

computation including their own experience. They figure that at the

end of the first eighteen months Germany had lost permanently not

less than 3,500,000, possibly 4,000,000. They know that it requires

upwards of 3,000,000 men to hold Germany's present lines and about

1,000,000 to perform other necessary services.

Now no such wastage has to be faced by the Allies as a whole. France

is in the German situation, but Great Britain is still possessed of

large numbers of men and her losses are under 600,000, while her

population together with that of her colonies is above 60,000,000,

whites alone being considered, against Germany's 67,000,000.

Russia's man power is practically limited only by the ability to

equip and munition. Italy has, as yet, made little draft upon her

resources. Austria, on the other hand, has suffered more heavily,

proportionately figured, than Germany.

Within a time that can be approximately fixed, the Allies believe

that Germany will have either to shorten her lines or underman them.

If she undermans them she will face the peril that overtook Lee

about Richmond, when, as he said, his lines were stretched so thin,

they broke. If Germany shortens her lines, this will be a confession

of defeat and will deprive her of the conquered territories.

Meantime the entire strategy of the Allies is summed up in Grant's

grim words, and as Grant kept up his hammering on all the fronts of

the Confederacy so the Allies are keeping up their pressure.

But attrition of men is only half; there is the question of food and

of money. Command of the sea insures the food supply of the Allies

and their financial resources greatly surpass those of Germany.

Germany is suffering--we have Harden's word for this, because of

food shortage, she is suffering from economic paralysis resulting

from the blockade and she is suffering from the lack of certain

materials needed in war. She is compelled to find money for her

other and poorer allies. The enemies of Germany do not expect that

she will be starved out or that she will have to surrender for lack

of materials to make ammunition. But they do believe that shortage

of food, economic pressure, financial difficulties, will go hand in

hand with the failure of numbers.

In a word the Allies are fighting a war with many weapons of which

the army is only one and the British navy another, perhaps the most

effective. They are not fighting to win a campaign and they are not

basing their expectation of victory on the incidents in any one

field or in any single campaign. The Germans, on the contrary, as we

have seen, have undertaken three tremendous campaigns, the first to

win an absolute victory on the battle field, a victory which would

make the Germany of William II the successor of the France of

Napoleon I in Europe; the second to dispose of one of the great foes

and thereby win a limited but considerable success; the third to win

peace and an incidental opportunity to expand toward the east, the

only direction in which expansion cannot be checked by sea power.

The Allies still expect to crush Germany; by crushing Germany they

mean bringing her back to her frontiers of 1914, detaching

Alsace-Lorraine from her and possibly Prussian territory east of the

Vistula. They mean to destroy her fleet, demand indemnities for

Belgian and French sufferers, they mean to abolish what they regard

as the Prussian menace to peace. They are fighting Germany as Europe

fought Napoleon and with the same determination. On the German side

the struggle is also being waged in the Napoleonic fashion, Germany

is seeking to employ the Napoleonic method and has so far achieved

something of the early success of the great emperor.

But the simplest fashion in which to describe the later phases of

the conflict is to say that a war of action has become a war of

endurance, that Germany has sought and missed a decision on the

battle field and her foes are now seeking the decision through

economic forces quite as much as military and through casualty lists

rather than brilliant campaigns.

THE WAR CORRESPONDENT

By ARTHUR RUHL

When the American fleet was sent to Vera Cruz in the summer of 1914

and it looked for a time as if an army might go into Mexico, Major

General Funston explained the conditions under which correspondents

were to go to the front. There was to be no repetition of the

scandalous free-for-all of the Spanish War, when news prospectors of

all sorts and descriptions swarmed over to Cuba in almost as

haphazard fashion as Park Row reporters are rushed uptown to cover a

subway explosion or a four-alarm fire.

The number of men was to be limited and their privileges strictly

defined. Only the press associations and some twenty or thirty

newspapers were to send correspondents, and they must put up

substantial bonds for each man--one for his good behavior, the other

to serve as an expense fund against which would be charged his keep

as a civilian guest of the army. These conditions fulfilled, the men

were to accompany the expedition with the privileges, practically,

of officers or neutral attachés.

They would join an officers' mess or have a mess of their own with

similar service; they might provide their own horses which would be

cared for with the other horses of the unit to which they were

attached. They were to stay where they were put, so far as nearness

to the fighting was concerned, according to the judgment of the

commanding officer, and all their dispatches must first pass a

military censor.

These rules were read with some dismay by those not included in the

provisional list. To many who had hoped to see something of a war

they doubtless seemed severe, yet it is a fact that had they been

put into effect, the correspondents in Mexico would have seen much

more, comparatively speaking, than any group of correspondents has

seen in Europe. They would actually have accompanied the army,

sharing throughout the expedition the day-to-day life of the

fighting men, like the old-fashioned "horseback correspondent"--and

nobody in Europe has done that.

At the beginning of the war, England permitted no correspondents at

all at the front, and while a group was chosen, it was well into

1915 before they were even allowed to cross to France. Once they

reached their headquarters they saw a good deal. They lived at or

near the front instead of merely shooting up and back for a glimpse

of it. They met many officers more or less intimately, saw the life

behind and in the trenches; occasionally they were taken to

observation stations from which they saw the effect of artillery

fire, and even, perhaps, in the distance, charging infantry. Yet the

number who had even these privileges was so limited that it included

but one American.

Mr. Frederick Palmer was thus chosen to act as a sort of

correspondent at large for the American press. Mr. Ashmead Bartlett,

an English journalist, acted in a similar capacity for the English

press and, indeed, for the rest of the world, at the Dardanelles. He

saw a great deal, as much, perhaps, as any reporter has seen of any

campaign, but he was almost alone in his glory, and so far as the

distribution of such privileges is concerned, the English have been

more cautious than any of the belligerents.

The French military authorities were more open minded, yet, while a

few favored sons or the head of some press association whose

position in Paris was almost as secure as that of an accredited

diplomat, were quietly taken up to the trenches from the first,

several months had elapsed before a group of correspondents went to

the front. The desirability of publicity was better understood

later, many neutral correspondents visited the trenches, and a few

specially favored individuals spent some time at or near the front,

but, even here, permission was obtained as a result of individual

effort rather than as a part of a general scheme for handling, more

or less impersonally, all applicants in good standing.

In Germany, correspondents were rather freely taken to the various

fronts from the first. One reason for this, was, perhaps, that the

Germans, with their thorough organization of everything, including

censorship and secret service, may have known better just how far

they could go. They were not afraid of what might get through the

wall, because the wall was tight, and they knew just what could get

out and what couldn't. At any rate, many reporters, both native born

and foreign, were getting glimpses of the various fronts while the

English group were still eating their heads off in London. Once

there, however, they saw less, as a rule, than the English

correspondents finally did, for their trips were generally mere

visits--a sort of Cook's tour in war time.

A quotation from an article of mine in "Collier's" written after a

trip through Belgium and down to the first-line German trenches at

Givenchy will suggest the nature of these excursions:

"You go out a sort of zoo--our party included four or five

Americans, a Greek, an Italian (Italy had not yet gone into the

war), a diminutive Spaniard and a tall, preoccupied Swede--under the

direction of some hapless officer of the General Staff. For a week,

perhaps, you go hurtling through a closely articulated program,

almost as helpless as a package in a pneumatic tube--night

expresses, racing military motors, snapshots at this and that, down

a bewildering vista of long gray capes, heel clickings, stiff bows

from the waist, and punctilious military salutes. You are under fire

one minute, the next shooting through some captured palace or

barracks or museum of antiques. At noon the guard is turned out in

honor, at four you are watching distant shell fire from the Belgian

dunes; at eleven crawling under a down quilt in some French hotel

where the prices of food and wines are fixed by the local

commandant. Everything is done for you--more, of course, than one

would wish--the gifted young captain conductor speaks English one

minute, French or Italian the next, gets you up in the morning, to

bed at night, past countless sentries and thick-headed guards

demanding an _Ausweis_, contrives never to cease looking as if he

had stepped from the bandbox, and presently pops you into your

hotel in Berlin with the curious feeling of never having been away

at all."

There were a great many trips of this sort under the auspices of the

German General Staff, and every neutral correspondent who came to

Berlin with letters establishing his position as a serious workman

in good standing in his own country, could hope, after a reasonable

interval for getting acquainted, to obtain permission to go on one

of them. It was not an ideal way of working, to be sure, yet the

"front" was a big and rather accidental place, and one could

scarcely touch it anywhere without bringing back something to help

complete the civilian's puzzle picture of war.

One man would get a chance to spend a night in the trenches, with

the sky criss-crossed with searchlight shafts and illuminating

bombs; an automobile party might be caught on some East Prussian

road with the woods on either side crackling with rifle fire as the

skirmishers beat through the timber after the scattered enemy as

after so many squirrels. Our moment came one afternoon in the German

trenches at Givenchy, when, with the English trenches only a stone's

throw away, both sides began to amuse themselves by shooting

dynamite bombs.

Groups of native-born correspondents were likely to see rather more

than outsiders, and the more authoritative home writers were

attached not infrequently to an army corps or staff headquarters for

weeks at a time. The Berlin and Vienna bookshops are filled with

books and pamphlets written by such men, though, of course, little

of their correspondence has ever reached America. A man like Ludwig

Ganghofer, for instance, became so much of an institution that

papers even joked about him, and I remember a cartoon--in "Jugend,"

I think--picturing him puffing up a hill where a staff was waiting

and the commanding officer saying "Ganghofer's here. The attack may

now begin!"

In Germany, however, as in France, at least during the first year of

the war, each correspondent, particularly a foreigner, was merely a

privateer, making his own fight for a chance to work, and pulling

what wires he could. After his brief excursion he returned to

Berlin, a mere tourist, so to speak, and had to begin the old

tiresome round--his own embassy--the German Foreign Office--the War

Office--all over again. There was no organization in which he could

enroll, so to speak, he had no permanent standing. This

drawback--from the correspondent's point of view--was met in

Austria-Hungary by the Presse Quartier, an integral part of the army

like any other branch of the service, whose function it was to

handle the whole complicated business of war correspondence.

The Austro-Hungarians, prepared from the first for a large number of

civilian observers, including news and special writers,

photographers, illustrators and painters, and, to handle them

satisfactorily, organized this Presse Quartier, once admitted to

which--the fakers and fly-by-nights were supposed to be weeded out

by preliminary red tape--they were assumed to be serious workmen and

treated as the army's guests.

The Presse Quartier--the Germans later organized one on somewhat

different lines--was in two sections; an executive section with a

commandant responsible for the arrangement of trips to the various

fronts and the general business of censorship and publicity; and a

second, an entertainment section, so to speak, also with its

commandant, whose business it was to board, lodge, and otherwise

look after correspondents when they were not on trips to the front.

At the time I visited the Presse Quartier the executive section was

in the city of Teschen, across the border of Silesia; the

correspondents lived in the village of Nagybicse in Hungary, two or

three hours' railroad journey away. In this village--the most novel

part of the scheme--some thirty or forty correspondents were living,

writing their past adventures, setting forth on new ones, or merely

inviting their souls for the moment under a régime which combined

the functions of tourists' bureau, rest cure, and a sort of military

club.

For the time being they were part of the army--fed, lodged, and

transported at the army's expense, and unable to leave without

formal military permission. They were supposed to "enlist for the

whole war," so to speak, and most of the Austro-Hungarian and German

correspondents had so remained--some had even written books

there--but a good deal of freedom was allowed observers from neutral

countries and permission given to go when they felt they had seen

enough.

Isolated thus in the country--the only mail the military field post, the

only telegrams those that passed the military censor--correspondents

were as "safe" as in Siberia. They, on the other hand, had the

advantages of an established position, of living inexpensively in

pleasant surroundings where their relations with the censor and the

army were less those of policemen and of suspicious characters than of

host and guest. To be welcomed here, after the usual fretful dangling

and wire-pulling in war office anterooms and city hotels was

reassuring enough.

Correspondents were quartered in private houses, and as there was

one man to a family, generally, he was put in the villager's room of

honor, with a tall porcelain stove in the corner, a feather bed

under him and another on top. Each man had a soldier servant who

looked after his boots and luggage, kept him supplied with cigars

and cigarettes from the Quartier commissariat--for a paternal

government included even tobacco!--and whack his heels together

whenever spoken to and flung back an obedient "Ja wohl!" We

breakfasted separately, whenever we felt like it, lunched and

dined--officers and correspondents--together. There were soldier

waiters, and on every table big carafes of Hungarian white wine,

drunk generally instead of water. For beer one paid extra.

The commandant and his staff, including a doctor, and the

officer-guides not on excursions at the moment, sat at the head of

the long U-shaped table. Anyone who came in or went out after the

commandant was supposed to advance a bit into this "U," catch his

eye, bow and receive his returning nod. The silver click of spurs,

of course, accompanied this salute when an officer left the room,

and Austro-Hungarian and German correspondents generally snapped

their heels together in semi-military fashion. All our goings and

comings, indeed, were accompanied by a good deal of manner. People

who had seen each other at breakfast shook hands formally half an

hour later in the village square, and one bowed and was bowed to

and heard the sing-song "habe die Ehre!" a dozen times a day.

With amenities of this nature the Quartier guests passed their time

while waiting their turn to go to the front. There were always,

while I was there, one or more parties in the field, either on the

Italian or the Russian front, or both, while a few writers and

artists were well enough known to be permitted to go out alone. The

Hungarian, Mr. Molnar, for instance, whose play, "The Devil," was

seen in America a few years ago, was writing at that time a series

of letters under the general title, "Wanderings on the East Front,"

and apparently, within obvious military limitations, he did wander.

One day, another man came into lunch with the news that he was off

on the best trip he'd had yet--he was going back to Vienna for his

skis, to go down into the Tyrol and work along glaciers to the

battery positions. Another man, a Budapest painter, started off for

an indefinite stay with an army corps in Bessarabia. He was to be,

indeed, part of the army for the time being, and all his work

belonged to the army first.

Foreigners not intending to remain in Austria-Hungary could not

expect such privileges, naturally; but if they were admitted to the

Quartier at all they were sent on the ordinary group excursions like

the home correspondents themselves. Indeed, the wonder was--in view

of the comparative ease with which neutral correspondents drifted

about Europe; the naiveté to put it mildly, with which the wildest

romances had been printed in American newspapers--that we were

permitted to see as much as we did.

When a group started for the front it left Nagybicse in its own car,

which, except when the itinerary included some large city--Lemberg,

for instance--served as a little hotel until they came back again.

The car was a clean, second-class coach, of the usual European

compartment kind, two men to a compartment, and at night they bunked

on the long transverse seat comfortably enough. We took one long

trip of a thousand miles or so in this way, taking our own motor, on

a separate flat car, and even an orderly servant for each man.

Each of these groups was, of course, accompanied by an officer

guide--several were detailed at the Quartier for this special

duty--whose complex and nerve-racking task it was to answer all

questions, make all arrangements, report to each local commandant,

pass sentries, and comfortably waft his flock of civilians through

the maze of barriers which cover every foot, so to speak, of this

region near the front.

The things correspondents were permitted to see differed from those

seen on the other fronts less in kind than in quantity. More trips

were made, but there is and can be little place for a civilian on a

"front," any spot in which, over a strip several miles wide, from

the heavy artillery positions of one side to the heavy artillery of

the other, may be in absolute quiet one minute and the next the

center of fire.

There is no time to bother with civilians during an offensive, and,

if a retreat is likely, no commander wishes to have country

described which may presently be in the hands of the enemy. Hidden

batteries in action, reserves moving up, wounded coming back,

flyers, trenches quiet for the moment--this is about as close to

actual fighting as the outsider, under ordinary circumstances, can

expect to get on any front.

The difference in Austria-Hungary was that correspondents saw these

things, and the battle fields and captured cities, not as mere

outsiders, picked up from a hotel and presently to be dropped there

again, but as, in a sense, a part of the army itself. They had their

commandant to report to, their "camp" and "uniform"--the

gold-and-black Presse Quartier arm band--and they returned to

headquarters with the reasonable certainty that in another ten days

or so they would start out again.

Another advantage of the Quartier was the avoidance of the not

uncommon friction between the civilians of the Foreign Office and

the soldiers of the War Office. The Foreign Office runs things, so

to speak, in times of peace and it is to the Foreign Office that the

diplomatic representatives of foreign powers apply for favors for

their own fellow-citizens. But in war time the army runs things, and

the Foreign Office official who has charge of correspondents is

continually promising things or wishing to do things he is not sure

of being able to carry out. The result is often a rather unpleasant

sort of competitive wire-pulling between correspondents, some trying

the Foreign Office, some the War Office, some attacking both at the

same time--one would even hear it said now and then that the surest

way to get anything from the soldiers was to complain to them that

the Foreign Office civilians wouldn't do anything for you!

In Austria-Hungary the Presse Quartier acted as a bridge between the

two. It was the definite court to which all applicants were referred

and a good deal of aimless waiting about and wire-pulling eliminated

at once. And having cleared away the preliminary red-tape, the

correspondent had, in the Quartier commandant, an agent more likely

to push his interests than the civilian officials back in the

capital and more likely to be listened to by those at the front.

The war correspondent had been "killed off" so many times in

newspapers and magazines of late years that one might expect him to

be as dead as the dodo, and of course the old-fashioned "horseback"

correspondent--a sort of unofficial envoy extraordinary from the

reading public, who carried his own elaborate outfit and rode more

or less where he pleased--is extinct. A horse would have been about

as useful on most of the European fronts, under the conditions

prescribed, as a rowboat. What the correspondent needed, in the few

hours he was permitted to see anything, was a fast motor car, and

quite as much as the car itself the pass, without which it would

have been stopped at the first crossroads.

Wandering round the active front where any point in a strip of

several miles wide, however apparently peaceful, is under

observation and likely to be at any moment under fire, is not

practicable even were it permitted. Modern artillery, long range

rifles, aeroplanes and field telephones have put an end to such

strolling; while the elaborate system of communication in such

highly civilized neighborhoods as those in which the present war is

being fought, and the care with which every scrap of information

about the enemy is pieced together and coordinated, makes it

imperative that every possible source of such information shall be

controlled.

Nevertheless the Great War had no sooner started than the old guard

bobbed up serenely, and with them new ones--men and women writers,

adventurous novelists, privateers of all sorts. They have kept on

working and seeing more or less, and have performed necessary and

valuable service. They have described the life behind the front, the

life in towns, camps, prisons, hospitals and given the news--the

rough general outlines--of the swiftly changing drama. Very few have

seen any fighting, properly speaking, and although bits of their

work here and there deserve to become part of the permanent history

of the war, they themselves would be the last to suggest that they

have told the real story.

The real story is of two kinds. There is the narrative of the

events, the orderly, understanding arrangement and coordination of

the showers of facts and rumors that blow in from a hundred sources

to the great news centers far from the front. And there is the story

of personal experience, the sensations of the individual as he looks

into the face of war. The first tells what happened, the other how

it felt. For the one, the correspondent is too near, for the other

too far away.

The division of the enormous battle fronts into innumerable little

news-tight compartments, so to speak, understood in their entirety

only by the commanders in chief at the centers of the telegraph and

telephone network far behind the front, makes it impossible for a

correspondent to see very far beyond his own nose. Even were he

permitted to understand the general plan of his own army he could

scarcely know, while still at the front, the general plan of the

enemy. A well-informed observer working comfortably at his desk in

one of the capitals, with the news of the world at his disposal,

with experts on every subject within easy calling distance, and with

every sort of map and reference book, is much better able to write a

story of the war--such a story as this, for instance--than any

correspondent actually at the front, however fortunately situated.

There have been many such "correspondents at home" and reporters

returning from first-hand glimpses of this and that, have often for

the first time understood the significance of such details when they

were seen through the broad perspective and leisurely analysis of

such long-distance observers.

The nourishing flavor of such a little book as Fritz Kreisler's

"Four Weeks in the Trenches"--scarcely more than a magazine article,

with no sensational adventures and no attempt at rhetorical effect,

and of several little collections of published letters--reveals at

once the correspondent's other disability. People feel that this man

really was _there_--this is what one real man with a gun in his hand

did feel, and not what some civilian, sitting safely out of range,

imagines crowds of men might have felt. Its very incompleteness,

things left out because of sensibilities so stunned that events made

no mark as they whirled by, is often more impressive than the

conventional war correspondent's cocksureness and windy eloquence.

There are scores of men like this gifted violinist--playwriters,

painters, journalists, men trained to see things in various

ways--drawn in by universal service and now buried in the mass, but

destined some day to emerge to normal life.

From them the story of the individual, of the fighting itself, must

come long after the war is over. It will come piecemeal, from

diaries now stuck away in the soldiers' pockets, from memories that

will only begin to act when peace has given weary brains a chance to

work again, from men now tired and dirty and horror-stunned and

scarcely able to remember their own names.

PART I--INDIRECT CAUSES OF THE WAR

POLITICAL AND DIPLOMATIC HISTORY OF EUROPE FROM 1866 TO 1914 WITH A

CHAPTER ON THE HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF JAPAN

In order to understand properly the underlying causes which were

responsible for the outbreak of the Great European War of 1914, it

is necessary to be acquainted with the recent historical development

of the various nations involved. In considering the various phases

of this development it becomes evident that in modern times the

history of any _one_ country exerts a powerful influence upon the

history of all the other countries. The vast development of means of

communication between the various countries of the earth--railways,

steamships, telegraphs, telephones--resulted in an equally vast

increase of their commercial and social intercourse until one might

almost claim that there is not a single event of any importance

whatsoever happening in _one_ country which does not make its

influence felt throughout the entire world. It is not always easy or

even possible to determine the exact degree to which the various

nations of the world are affected by this mutual interdependency,

and frequently many years elapse before it becomes evident at all

that what one nation has done or neglected to do has an important

relation to the fate of another nation, even though the two nations

may have few points of contact and be separated by great distances.

To describe historical events as they happen day by day or even year

by year throughout the modern world is an almost hopeless task,

because a description of this nature would result in a confusion

which would be even worse than an entire lack of knowledge

concerning these matters. We will, therefore, consider separately

the historical development of each nation and thereby try to arrive

finally at a clear understanding of the historical causes of the

Great War of 1914.

Some of these causes, of course, may be claimed to go back to the

beginnings of the history of the various nations; but a majority of

them had their origin in comparatively recent times. It is also true

that the Napoleonic Wars resulted in certain international

alignments some of which, at least in part, held over until

comparatively recently. But it was only approximately at the

beginning of the second half of the nineteenth century that

international relations assumed the important position and the

fateful influence which they hold now. The short war of 1866 between

Prussia and Austria, fought primarily to determine the supremacy in

German affairs, may conveniently be considered for our purposes a

starting point of modern international history because it resulted

in changes so important that their final results had a powerful

influence over the fate of the entire civilized world. Inasmuch as

this war affected more directly Germany and Austria, we will first

consider these two countries.

CHAPTER I

GERMANY

In 1866 there was strictly speaking no Germany. That part of the

world which during the past forty-five years has been known as

Germany consisted of a large number of small states and

principalities, speaking the same language and having in a general

way the same customs and ideals. All attempts to find some basis for

their political unification, however, miscarried. Whenever Prussia,

which beyond doubt was the biggest and most powerful of all the

German-speaking states, attempted to take the lead it was opposed by

powerful Austria as well as by a varying number of smaller states.

The latter, much as they desired in certain ways to bring about a

united Germany in order to be better protected against their much

more powerful neighbors, Russia and France, feared these hardly

more than a Germany under the control of Prussia. It gradually

became clear that unification of Germany would never be realized as

long as Austria and Prussia were contending for leadership. How

utterly impossible it was for these two countries to achieve any

lasting success as long as they made a common cause of anything had

been proven only two years earlier, when both went to war with

Denmark about the succession to the throne of the duchies of

Schleswig-Holstein. For no sooner had they succeeded through their

combined efforts in defeating Denmark and thereby forced the

northern kingdom to relinquish its claims on Schleswig-Holstein than

they found it next to impossible to settle among themselves the

division of the newly acquired territory.

It was about at this time that the greatest statesman of modern

Germany, Bismarck, began to become all powerful. It was he who

recognized more clearly than anyone else the need of eliminating

Austria from German affairs, and then finding some cause which would

appeal strongly and equally to all the other German states. The

difficulties connected with the division of Schleswig-Holstein

offered to him an opportune cause for a quarrel with Austria, and

when he felt in 1866 that the Prussian army had been sufficiently

re-formed and built up to overpower not only Austria, but any of the

other German states which might possibly join with her, he went to

war. Prussia had succeeded in forming an alliance with the newly

united Italy on the basis of the latter's desire to regain the north

Italian territory which was then in the possession of Austria. On

the other hand the latter had drawn to its side the kingdoms of

Hanover and Saxony, as well as all the south German states. The war

was one of the shortest in the history of mankind, considering the

size of the countries involved and the odds at stake. In less than

two months, after only one important battle--at Sadowa--had been

fought on July 3, and lost by the Austrians, peace was concluded at

Prague. As a result of the arrangements made then, Austria was

eliminated from German affairs and withdrew all its claims for

Schleswig-Holstein, and Prussia was free to form a confederation of

the north German states with itself as a leader, while the south

German states were permitted to form a federation of their own.

Austria furthermore lost Venetia to Italy. Of the Austrian allies,

the south German states were let off easy with a money indemnity,

but Hanover, Nassau, and Hesse-Cassel lost their independence and

became part and parcel of the Prussian kingdom.

This addition to its territory made Prussia even more predominant in

Germany than it had been in the past and Bismarck immediately

proceeded to take the first step in the unification of Germany. This

took the form of the North German Confederation and so well did he

build at that time that the new government which he conceived then

has ever since remained the government of united Germany. In its way

it was unique. It was a mixture of monarchism and federation. Each

of the federated states retained a large amount of control over its

internal affairs, but yielded to Prussia control of its armies,

foreign relations, railways, and posts and telegraphs. The King of

Prussia became the president of this federation and as such its

chief executive. The legislative powers were intrusted to two

bodies, the Bundesrat and the Reichstag, the former representing the

various states, the latter their people. The members of the

Bundesrat were appointed by the rulers of the states which they

represented, whereas the members of the Reichstag were elected by

universal manhood suffrage.

This rise of Prussia's power and influence disturbed and displeased,

among all the European states, none more than France. It was only a

few years before Napoleon III saw himself forced, partly through

internal difficulties and partly through his failures in Mexico and

Italy, to challenge William I of Prussia. In this combat the

predominancy in German affairs was no longer at stake, as it had been

between Prussia and Austria; but so powerful had Prussia become that

France felt it necessary to defend the leadership in Central European

affairs which it then claimed. The revolution which had broken out in

1868 in Spain and resulted in the expulsion of Queen Isabella became

the indirect cause of the Franco-Prussian War. After various

unsuccessful attempts on the part of Spanish statesmen to find a king

for their country among the European princes they offered the crown of

Spain to Prince Leopold of Hohenzollern-Sigmaringen, a relative of the

King of Prussia. Naturally the prospect of having a German prince rule

its western neighbor greatly excited France and led immediately to a

strong protest on its part. But not satisfied with this Napoleon

demanded from King William a promise that he should at no time permit

his cousin to accept the Spanish throne. These demands of the French

were promptly refused by the King of Prussia, and Bismarck and Von

Moltke saw to it that the message as delivered was brusque and

calculated to excite France to anger. Indeed, opinion was so deeply

stirred that Napoleon felt compelled to ask for a declaration of war.

On July 19, 1870, this step was taken.

Undoubtedly Napoleon was influenced in his decision by his

expectation that the south German states would either side openly

with him or else at least refuse to side with Prussia, basing this

hope on their fear that if Prussia should become all powerful in

Germany their own independence would be threatened. His

expectations, however, were not realized. As much through the

wonderful statesmanship of Bismarck, who knew when to give as well

as when to take, as through the awakening of an immensely strong

national feeling throughout the length and breadth of Germany, the

south Bavarian states, within a few days after France had declared

war, sided openly with Prussia. This combination proved too strong

for France, for it was superior not only in numbers and equipment,

but especially in leadership. The unified German armies won battle

after battle in quick succession and by September 2, Napoleon found

himself with a large army hopelessly surrounded in Sedan and was

forced to surrender. He was sent to Germany as a prisoner of war and

his downfall resulted in the end of the Second Napoleonic Empire and

the declaration of the Third French Republic.

The German armies immediately proceeded to the siege of Paris and on

January 8, 1871, the French capital had to capitulate. A few months

later, in May, France and Germany made peace, the former paying an

indemnity of $1,000,000,000 and ceding Alsace and a part of

Lorraine. In the meantime the unification of Germany had progressed

rapidly. Even before Paris had fallen, the German princes, headed by

the King of Bavaria, had offered to King William the presidency over

a new federation containing both the north and the south German

states. This federation was to be known as the German Empire and its

president as the German Emperor. On January 18, 1871, in the Hall of

Mirrors at Versailles King William accepted this offer, and was

proclaimed German Emperor.

It was quite natural that in the beginning the path of the newly

created German Empire should not be strewn exclusively with roses. At

the time of its formation, it is true, it had nothing to fear from

other nations. France which, in a way, may be considered at that time

as its only external enemy, had been beaten, and beaten in such a way

that it was clear that years would have to elapse before the new

republic would be in a position to undertake anything against Germany.

Indeed, a great many thoughtful people throughout the entire civilized

world were hoping that this period of recuperation through which

France was bound to pass would result in a gradual understanding

between Germany and France. The gulf which separated them immediately

after the Franco-Prussian War, to be sure, was wide; for the attitude

of the two peoples in regard to the taking over of Alsace-Lorraine was

widely different. The French felt that Germany had abused its power at

the moment of its victory to tear an integral part off the body

politic of the republic. They vowed that although the necessity of the

moment had forced them to submit they would never forget the "lost

provinces," and this spirit, this demand for restitution, was fostered

and nourished throughout the years to come. From time to time it

seemed as if the great masses of people in the two countries would

finally reach an understanding. But whenever the cry for restitution

seemed to have been stilled, politicians of one kind or another

succeeded in making it sound again. Germany on the other hand claimed

that Alsace-Lorraine had originally been a German province, had been

taken from Germany by force, and that the French had neither a legal

nor moral claim to the territory.

Internally the new chancellor of the German Empire had a great many

battles to fight in order to achieve the financial, social, and

military reforms which he deemed necessary for the safety and

upbuilding of the empire. It is not necessary for our purposes to go

into these struggles in detail. It suffices to note in passing that

they resulted in increases and in vast improvements of the German

army, and laid the foundation for the marvelous industrial and

commercial expansion of the German Empire.

The leading men of the German Empire fully appreciated the need of

their country of a long period of peace in order to work out the

many problems which the unification had brought about. In every

possible way the diplomats, politicians, and rulers of the various

German states did their best to make it clear to the other nations

that they had no desire for further conquests and were, to say the

least, as anxious as their neighbors to maintain peace. In 1872 the

three emperors of Russia, Austria, and Germany met together with

their ministers at Berlin, and although no treaty was concluded at

that time, the conferences which took place then and throughout the

following years had a powerful influence on the continuation of

European peace. About the same time Italy also attempted to show its

good will toward Germany by sending the crown prince of the new

kingdom on a visit to the German Emperor, and it seemed at that time

as if the fate of all of Europe and, indeed, of the entire civilized

world, was in the hands of the central European states--Germany,

Austria, Russia, and Italy. Both France and England seemed to be

isolated.

However, it was not long before clouds appeared on the firmament,

and they came, as they had come before, and as they were to come

again, from the East.

The first disturbance of the cordial relations, that apparently had

been established among Germany, Austria, and Russia, was caused in

1876 when the Near Eastern question became again an issue between

Austria and Russia. The latter's inquiries at Berlin as to the

German attitude in a possible war between the other two empires were

met with an evasive answer, except that it was made clear that

Germany would not permit Russia to deal with Austria beyond a

certain point. As a result of this stand Russia decided to settle

the Eastern question through a war with Turkey rather than with

Austria.

During the Russo-Turkish War, April, 1876, to February, 1877, the

causes and results of which will be considered in another place,

Germany maintained the strictest neutrality, so strict in fact that

at its conclusion Germany was chosen as mediator. To this part the

young empire adhered most carefully during the Congress of Berlin,

June to July, 1878, and, difficult though it was, showed the

strictest impartiality. At the same time it refused to gain any

profit from the readjustment which resulted. In spite of this,

however, it received little appreciation on the part of Russia,

which apparently had expected a more active display of gratitude on

the part of Germany for its own friendly neutrality during the

Franco-Prussian War. In a way this marks the beginning of a strong

anti-German feeling in Russia, which by 1879 had grown strong enough

to make a war between the two countries seem possible. Bismarck

immediately took the necessary steps to insure Germany against such

a possibility by concluding an alliance with Austria, October 7,

1879, at Gastein. In this he was bitterly opposed by William I,

whose personal feelings were leaning much more toward Russia than

Austria. However, a threat on the part of the chancellor to resign

brought this rapidly aging emperor to terms.

The Austro-German alliance was defensive only. It stipulated that in

case of an attack by Russia on either contracting party the other

was to assist with its entire forces. In case of an attack by any

other power only friendly neutrality was to be observed, except if

such a power was in any way supported by Russia, when the first

stipulation was to take force.

Three years later, in 1882, Bismarck strengthened Germany's

international position by overcoming Italy's enmity against Austria

to the extent of inducing the southern kingdom to join in this

defensive alliance, which from then on was known as the "Triple

Alliance," and which endured until Italy's declaration of war

against Austria in 1915. The chancellor had now succeeded in placing

the keystone in Germany's defensive bulwark. He had to fear no

longer the possibility of a joint attack by Russia and France. For

the powerful triple block of Central Powers would make any joining

of forces by these two countries impossible.

A result of this security was Germany's entrance among the colonial

powers of the world. The objects of this step were twofold: to open

up new fields for the rapidly expanding German trade, and to divert

German emigration in such a way that its steady stream would not

drain the Fatherland of too large a proportion of its surplus

population. From 1884 on Germany used every opportune moment to

acquire colonial possessions. Though for many years none of the

other powers seriously objected, it was quite natural that sooner or

later Germany would find itself in conflict with the other

colonizing powers, especially with the greatest of all--England.

In 1884, Alexander III, who had succeeded his murdered father in

1881 and who was much less pro-German than the latter, showed signs

of succumbing to France's strenuous advances looking toward an

alliance to enable the republic to gratify its desire for revenge.

But Bismarck's diplomatic genius not only prevented this, but even

brought about a secret neutrality treaty between the two empires,

which, however, was entirely separate from the Triple Alliance.

Gradually, thus, the chancellor accomplished all that he had set out

to do after the formation of the German Empire to place his country,

not only among the great powers of the world, but to gain for it

within certain limitations, a leading position. With his internal

policies he was hardly less successful, although he had many hard

battles to fight to gain his end. The year 1888 saw him in the

zenith of his power, and Wilhelmstrasse (where the German Foreign

Office was located) promised fair to take the place that Downing

Street had held. That year, however, brought a change of rulers to

Germany. In March William I died at the age of ninety-one, and was

succeeded by his son Frederick III, the son-in-law of Queen

Victoria of England. This in itself endangered Bismarck's position

and influence. For ever since 1879 Frederick had more or less openly

allied himself with the National-Liberal party, which strongly

opposed the chancellor's foreign policy. The new emperor, however,

had been stricken with a mortal disease, which in 1878 was diagnosed

as cancer of the throat, and which resulted in his death on June 15,

1888, less than four months after he had become emperor.

His son and successor, William II, was less than thirty years old, a

more or less unknown quantity, with little experience, but

possessing a very strongly individual temperament. The break between

him and Bismarck came soon, and resulted in the latter's resignation

on March 18, 1890. Germany could ill spare the master hand that had

guided so successfully its destinies since 1870, and at no time

since has Germany's international position been so strong or its

foreign policies as purposeful as under its first chancellor.

The second incumbent of this office was General von Caprivi,

1890-1894, whose accomplishments were chiefly of a military and

economic nature. Of the former the most important was the change to

the two years' term of army service, of the latter the conclusion of

commercial treaties with Austria-Hungary, Russia, Italy, and

Rumania. In the field of foreign relations his term of office

yielded the important result of a better understanding with England,

accompanied, however, by a lessening of friendly relations with

Russia. This period also brought to Germany the island of Helgoland

in exchange for certain readjustments of boundaries in Africa.

Bismarck's work in regard to cementing the German-Russian relations

was undone by the refusal of Germany to renew the secret neutrality

treaty which expired in 1890, and in 1891 Russia concluded an

alliance with France which from then on considerably reduced the

influence of the Triple Alliance. The menace of a France recovered

and supported by a strong ally again loomed up, and the

dissatisfaction of German public opinion, increased by the severe

criticism of the retired "iron chancellor," resulted finally in the

resignation of Von Caprivi.

His successor, Prince Chlodwig Hohenlohe-Schillingfürst, 1894-1900,

was an experienced diplomat, distantly related to the emperor, and

possessing much stronger convictions of his own. By this time

Germany's industrial development had made immense strides. From an

agricultural country it had changed to a nation deeply interested in

industry and commerce. Its merchants contended everywhere for the

world's trade. Articles of German manufacture made the term "made in

Germany" a by-word of quality and efficiency. Riches flowed into the

empire in a steady stream. Riches, however, were not the only result

of this development. The young empire began a fight for leadership

in manufacture and commerce, in science and the arts. To achieve

these ambitions, German agents and salesmen penetrated all

countries, new and old, and built up vast markets for German

products, at the same time using every means available to undermine

and destroy the economic influence of other nations. Nor was the

empire contented with material gain and new-found prestige; Germany

abandoned its former policy of concerning itself only with European

affairs, and became a sinister and unscrupulous opponent of other

great powers in the dangerous game of "world politics." We are not

concerned here, however, with this feature of Germany's advance,

which is fully treated elsewhere.

This period brought out more and more the strong individuality of

William II, who had early--earlier, perhaps, than anyone

else--recognized his country's new needs, and who put all of his

immense vitality into his efforts to fill them. Some results were:

the beginning of a very definite and extensive naval program, the

building and completion (1895) of the Kaiser-Wilhelm Canal between

the Baltic and the North Sea, active participation in the

development of Turkey in Europe and Asia, the acquisition of a

"sphere of influence" in China, and the lease of Kiao-chau in 1897,

the purchase of the Carolina Islands in 1899. All these activities

brought Germany more and more frequently in contact and often in

conflict with English interests. Its naval ambitions aroused the

suspicions of the old mistress of the sea, and relations which at no

time since the death of William I had been overcordial became more

strained.

In 1909, Prince Hohenlohe was succeeded by his Foreign Secretary,

Count, later Prince von Bülow. Though an experienced diplomat and a

man of great intelligence and culture, he found his road beset with

difficulties. Not only had he to face in international politics at

every step the dual alliance of France and Russia, which was

becoming rapidly more intimate, but English aversion against German

independence in matters of world politics, and English resentment

against German expansion grew day by day. The culmination of this

general dread of German ascendancy found expression in the formation

of the Anglo-French _entente cordiale_ of 1904 and the Anglo-Russian

arrangement of 1907, of which we shall hear more when considering

the histories of the three countries directly involved. Whether or

not the German claim that these agreements were concluded with the

ulterior motives of isolating and then crushing Germany and her

allies had foundations, is of little importance. For the fact

remains that they were considered in this light, not only by

Germany's diplomats, but by the nation at large, and ever after

Germany's foreign policy was based on this consideration.

Even before England had actually come to a definite understanding

with Russia, the first test was put to the new line-up of the

European powers. In 1905 trouble arose about the extension of French

influence in North Africa. Although a general European war seemed

more possible at that time than at any other time within recent

years, it was averted as a result of the so-called Algeciras

Conference. In this first inning Germany won together with Italy and

Austria against France, backed by Russia and England, and the result

was the declaration of Morocco's integrity.

[Illustration: Europe in Twelfth Century, Historical Map.]

During the next decade the foreign policy of Germany showed the same

chief characteristic that was noticeable in that of the other

countries--high tension. One is almost tempted to compare this

period of Europe's history to the hours immediately preceding a

violent electrical storm. The diplomatic atmosphere was surcharged

with electricity, and long before the storm really broke the growl

of distant thunder could be heard and occasional flashes of

lightning announced its approach. That, in spite of all signs, so

many people firmly believed that the storm would never break, is

easily explained with the innate optimism of mankind, and is on a

par with the spirit of unbelief in unpleasant things that makes

people go out unprepared for rain, as long as rain only threatens,

but does not actually fall.

In 1911, Morocco again almost became the stumblingblock. In that

year France annexed this north African country in spite of the

agreement that had been reached at Algeciras. Germany immediately

entered a strong protest, which, however, was later withdrawn in

consideration of certain commercial privileges in connection with

the development of the country, and the cession of territory in

central Africa. Once more war had been avoided.

This period also saw numerous upheavals in the Balkans. Throughout

these Germany made it clear that it would permit nothing in that

part of the world which would work out to the disadvantage of its

ally--Austria.

In spite of temporary reduction in the tension existing between

Germany on the one hand, and England, France, and Russia

respectively on the other, the differences between these countries

became more marked, diplomatic clashes more frequent, and their

mutual suspicion of each other more pronounced. England especially

resented the ambitious naval program of Germany, which seriously

threatened British supremacy on the sea and forced England to

tremendous expenditures to maintain its overwhelming naval strength.

France was menaced by Germany's increase in the peace strength of

its army, which was accomplished in 1913 by means of special

taxation known as the "Wehrbeitrag."

The German-French relations were influenced considerably, not only by

French colonial policy, but also by conditions in Alsace-Lorraine. We

have already heard of the French attitude in regard to these so-called

"lost provinces." Right after the Franco-Prussian War of 1870-71, and

for a considerable period afterward, the desire for restitution and

the demand for the reconquest of the lost territory undoubtedly was as

sincere as it was widespread among the French nation. It is, however,

no less true that these sentiments decreased in fervor, and most

likely would have subsided entirely if they would have been permitted

to take their natural course. Instead of this, this question gradually

became a political issue of the first magnitude, and now one political

party and then another would use it for its own purposes. It was thus

that the French-German animosity was kept alive and nurtured. On the

German side the more or less uncompromising attitude toward all things

French as far as Alsace-Lorraine was officially claimed to be a matter

of political necessity. At any rate it gave continual opportunities to

French politicians to make capital out of the conditions as they

existed in Alsace-Lorraine. One of the most severe outbreaks of

anti-German and antimilitary feeling in that part of the German Empire

happened in December, 1913, in the small Alsatian garrison town of

Zabern, when some Alsatians of French antecedents and sympathizers

were wounded in a clash with German officers and soldiers. Unimportant

as this affair was, in a way, it resulted in a great deal of very

pointed and unfriendly comment in the French press, and undoubtedly

added fuel to the fire of Franco-German animosity which was burning

even then stronger than it had done for many years.

In 1908, near the end of Prince von Bülow's incumbency of the

chancellorship, his position became very difficult, because of the

general disapproval on the part of the nation of the German

emperor's custom to make long speeches concerning foreign affairs.

Some of these speeches caused a considerable amount of offense in

foreign capitals, and, while this matter, too, may be considered a

minor detail in Germany's relations with foreign powers, it had at

the same time some influence. Throughout this period the chancellor

was supported by a combination of the National-Liberal and

Conservative parties. But in 1909 the continuation of this

combination became impossible on account of the divergence of

opinion existing between these two parties in regard to the

Government's financial reforms. The National-Liberal as well as the

Social-Democrat and other radical members of the Finance Committee

withdrew, and the Conservatives formed a new combination with the

Center party. This new majority, however, made so many changes in

the original Government bill, and forced through measures which the

chancellor so thoroughly disapproved, that he handed his resignation

to the emperor. It was not accepted right away, but upon his

continued insistence, he finally was permitted to resign in July.

His successor was Dr. von Bethmann-Hollweg, up to then Minister of

the Interior of Prussia, a member of an old patrician house with

strong National-Liberal tendencies.

In 1910 the Far Eastern problem again became acute. Russia, Japan,

and England, of course, were most vitally interested in the future

of China. Both France and Germany, too, had important commercial

interests. For a time it looked as if these great powers would clash

about the Chinese question, which each wished to solve in such a

manner that the greatest possible advantage and gain would come to

itself and none or the least possible to the others. However, in

1910 the United States proposed that the Manchurian railway, just

then the principal issue, be financed by an international syndicate,

reasserting, thereby, its previous stand for an "open-door" policy

in China. Germany supported this attitude, and undoubtedly did not

make through this action any friendships among the other powers.

In May, 1911, the Reichstag, after long discussion, accepted a bill

giving a separate constitution to Alsace-Lorraine, making, thereby,

this territory more equal to the other parts of the German Empire.

This action, of course, was welcomed by the inhabitants of

Alsace-Lorraine, and was a long step toward reconciling them

sometime to the German overlordship. In the same degree in which it

accomplished this it caused displeasure in France, where, by this

time, every success in the Germanizing of the "lost provinces" was

viewed naturally with almost as much disapproval as the original

occupation.

It was in the same year, 1911, that the Morocco difficulties arose

again with France, as we have already seen, but in spite of the

appearance of a German gunboat at the port of Agadir and the

threatening attitude of Germany, matters were finally settled

amicably. The terms of the settlement, however, pleased neither the

German nor the French nation at large, and a considerable feeling of

enmity remained.

Late that year, 1911, a determined campaign was started by the

German Navy League in an effort to bring about an increase of

Germany's naval forces through the force of public opinion. This

activity, which met with considerable success, was viewed with alarm

and displeasure in England. These sentiments grew and spread to

France when in the spring of 1912 the newly elected Reichstag

adopted a bill carrying greatly increased expenditures for both army

and navy.

In the summer of 1912 the Balkan question, which is treated in

detail in a separate chapter, assumed threatening proportions.

Germany as well as the other great powers, however, at that time

managed to find a common basis and kept all from active

participation in the two Balkan wars, restricting their activities

to the exertion of their various influences for as just a settlement

as was possible under the circumstances when the time for settlement

had arrived in 1913. In spite of the inactivity of the powers there

can be no doubt that their respective attitudes at that time toward

the various Balkan States and their ambitions had an important

influence on the latter's attitude toward the various powers after

the war of 1914 had broken out.

In December, 1912, the Triple Alliance was renewed, although even

then the conflicting interests of Italy and Austria in the Balkans

had made such a step somewhat doubtful.

The early spring of 1913 brought with it the uncovering of a rather

extensive scandal in connection with the manufacture of guns and

other war materials. One of the Socialistic leaders in the Reichstag

charged some officials of the great munition firm of Krupp and of

other firms with bribery of War Department officials, and with the

creation of artificial war scares in other countries for the sake of

increasing munition orders. Although the German courts later

sustained this contention to a certain extent, and although it

resulted in a certain amount of antiwar sentiment, Germany continued

with its well-defined program of increased preparedness. That the

Government had behind it in its efforts the full support of public

opinion was proven in June of the same year, 1913, by the passage in

the Reichstag of another bill carrying considerable increases in the

peace strength of the army, and by the fact that the necessary

expenditures were met by special taxation, which, though severe in

its effects alike on poor and rich, was borne cheerfully by the

entire nation.

[Illustration: Nicholas II, Emperor of All the Russias.]

Although the Balkan question continued to be the source of

considerable anxiety and extensive diplomatic conferences, the

political horizon of Europe during the latter half of 1913 and the

first half of 1914 seemed comparatively cloudless to all but the

keenest observers. Like a flash of lightning out of a clear sky,

therefore, came the news that the heir to the throne of

Austria-Hungary, Archduke Francis Ferdinand, and his wife, the

Duchess of Hohenberg, had been assassinated during a visit to

Sarajevo, the capital of Bosnia, June 28, 1914, and that the

Austrian Government had determined to hold Serbia responsible.

England, France, Russia, and Serbia tried, in vain, during the next

five weeks to check the outbreak of a general European war.

The Story of the Great War, Volume 1 Introductions; Special Articles; Causes of War; Diplomatic and State Papers · 第 1 / 16 章