CHAPTER XV.

A REVIEW OF THE ALLIED PLANS IN THE WEST AT THE CLOSE OF THE FIRST

BATTLE OF YPRES.

At this time all our ideas in regard to the framing of plans in the

West were evolved and guided almost entirely by the progress of the

campaign in Poland and Galicia.

After the battle of the Marne, when we were at the Aisne, we were

still hopeful of effecting a great flanking movement which should lead

to more or less decisive results, or at least clear Northern France

and Belgium of the enemy's troops. It has been shown how the

development of events obliged us to modify our hopes and anticipations

until, at the close of the first battle of Ypres, we certainly felt at

our own G.H.Q. that the Allied Forces in Great Britain, France and

Belgium, could effect nothing of importance unless and until one of

two things happened.

Either there must be a considerable augmentation of our forces,

including a vastly increased supply of heavy artillery, machine guns,

trench artillery and ammunition--_or_, the enemy's forces on the

Western front must be so weakened by the necessity of sending troops

to stem the Russian advance in the East, as to enable the Allies with

their available forces to assume the offensive with success.

Now the only resources in regard to _personnel_ upon which the Allies

at that time had to depend for any considerable accession of strength

was the British "New Army," whose entry into the line of

battle must perforce be gradual. It could not be expected to make its

weight felt for a long time to come.

After the fall of Antwerp I realised that, by taking up our position

on the extreme left flank we should find ourselves very near to the

coast, and a good opportunity would be afforded of gaining the

co-operation of the Fleet. In other words, the paramount thought in my

mind was that the British and Belgian forces, co-operating with the

British Fleet, should constitute in themselves the left flank of the

Allied line in the West.

Whilst on the Aisne I had a visit from Mr. Winston Churchill, who was

then First Lord of the Admiralty. He arrived on the night of September

26th and left on the 28th. Winston Churchill had been for several

years one of my most intimate friends. I saw much of him during the

South African War, but it was not until about 1905 or 1906 that I

really got to know him well. His complex character is as difficult to

describe as it is to analyse. To those who do not understand him, the

impetuous disposition, which is one of his strongest characteristics,

is apt to throw into shadow the indomitable courage, tireless energy,

marvellous perspicuity and quick virile brain-power which are the main

features of Winston Churchill's extraordinary personality.

His experience and knowledge of public affairs must be unrivalled;

for, at an age when most men are undergoing the grinding drudgery

which falls to the lot of nearly all successful statesmen, lawyers,

soldiers or ecclesiastics, he was holding the highest offices in the

Government; and not even his most inveterate enemies can say that he

has failed to leave his mark for good on every department he has

supervised.

Possessing a combative nature, he engages constantly in

political strife which is marked by the sharpest controversy, and it

is, therefore, perhaps only his intimate friends who know the real

manly, generous kindliness of his disposition and his perfect loyalty.

The perspective of history will show the part he has played throughout

the Great War to have been consistently constructive and of direct

value to the nation.

His visit to my Headquarters at this time was productive of great

good. The Government were getting nervous of the military situation

and of the arrest of our forward advance. With his characteristic

energy and activity, Churchill visited and examined every part of the

battlefield, and what he saw and heard put him in a position to send

reassuring information to his colleagues.

I discussed with him fully my views as to the desirability of

establishing the British Forces in a theatre where they could

co-operate with the Navy and link up with the troops in Belgium. We

examined the possibility of a failure to effect a decisive turning

movement, and agreed in thinking that, in the last resort, we might

still be able, with the flank support of the Fleet, to snatch from the

enemy's possession the Belgian coast-line as far, at any rate, as

Zeebrugge.

When he left me on September 28th it was with a complete understanding

that he would prepare the Navy to fulfil this _role_, and a few

extracts from letters which I subsequently received from him will show

how well he redeemed his promise.

On October 26th he writes:--

"... But, my dear friend, I do trust you will realise how damnable it

will be if the enemy settles down for the winter along lines

which comprise Calais, Dunkirk, or Ostend. There will be continual

alarms and greatly added difficulties. We must have him off the

Belgian coast even if we cannot recover Antwerp.

"I am getting old ships with heavy guns ready, protected by barges

with nets against submarines, so as to dispute the whole seaboard with

him. On the 31st inst. the "Revenge," with four 13-1/2-in. guns, can

come into action if required, and I have a regular fleet of monitors

now organised, which, they all say, have hit the Germans hard this

week, a fleet which is getting stronger every day.

"If you could gain a passage off to the left, I could give you

overwhelming support from the sea, and there you will have a flank

which certainly they cannot turn...."

In a letter dated November 22nd, again:--

"... If you push your left flank along the sand-dunes of the shore to

Ostend and Zeebrugge, we would give you 100 or 200 heavy guns from the

sea in absolutely devastating support. For four or five miles inshore

we could make you perfectly safe and superior. Here, at least, you

have their flank, if you care to use it; and surely, the coast strip,

held and fed well with troops, would clear the whole line out about

Dixmude and bend it right back, if it did not clear it altogether.

"... We could bring men in at Ostend or Zeebrugge to reinforce you in

a hard south-eastward push. There is no limit to what could be done by

the extreme left-handed push and swoop along the Dutch frontier.... In

a few hours I could have fifty 12-in. guns and seventy 6-in. firing on

the enemy's right and rear. It is difficult for submarines

to attack because of the sandbanks...."

On December 7th the First Lord was again my guest at G.H.Q. We

discussed the situation, and were completely in agreement as to the

advisability of my projected coastal advance and close co-operation

with the Fleet. I told him there was fear of disagreement with the

French, and that political difficulties would certainly arise. He said

he did not think that they were insuperable, and shortly after our

conversation he left for England, promising to arrange everything with

the Prime Minister and Kitchener.

Then came his letter, despatched on December 8th, after he had seen

his colleagues in the Cabinet:

"... Kitchener agrees entirely with your view. We held an immediate

conference with the Prime Minister and Sir Edward Grey, and, as the

result, the strongest possible telegram is being drafted. The

Admiralty attach the greatest importance to the operation and will aid

in every way. We are already making the necessary preparations on an

extensive scale. Later I will let you have very full and clear

details. The combination must be perfect.

"Kitchener proposes to let you have the 27th Division in time ... I

hope you will continue to press the new plan hard, both here at home

and on the French Generals."

I quote in full Sir Edward Grey's telegram, dated December 9th, to Sir

Francis Bertie at Bordeaux:

"The military situation points to the advisability of shortly taking

steps to prevent the Germans withdrawing their best first-line troops

from the Western theatre for employment against Russia and replacing

them by second-rate troops.

"As some forward movement to achieve this object may be

decided on, I desire to bring to the serious attention of the French

Government the very strong opinion held by His Majesty's Government

that British troops should be so placed in the line as to advance

along the coast in immediate co-operation with our Fleet, and thus

enable us, if necessary, to land further forces at any critical

juncture during the operation.

"To obtain this result a slight change in the present position of Sir

John French's forces in the line would be necessary.

"The British troops would have to be moved to the left of the Allied

line, being replaced in their present position by the French troops

now on the left. They would thus be again taking up the position in

the line they held after moving from Soissons.

"I would point out to the French Government that the people of this

country realise that the Belgian coastal positions are now held by

Germany as a menace to Great Britain. They would, therefore, regard

any losses entailed by an active offensive taken by our troops against

these coastal positions as fully justified. British public opinion

will even demand that the menace should be removed, for the forts on

the coast of Belgium are being prepared as a base of operations by sea

and air against Great Britain especially, and this may in time hamper

the safe transport of fresh troops from England to France.

"Moreover, we feel sure that our co-operation with any contemplated

French effort to drive the Germans back from their present positions

would be rendered much more effective, and lead to more decisive and

far-reaching results, if this preliminary step in the redistribution

of the troops were now taken and our troops subsequently

used in the manner indicated.

"His Majesty's Government consider it most urgent and important that

this step should be taken, and you should ask the French Government to

agree to it and to arrange with Gen. Joffre for carrying it out."

The French Government received these proposals very coldly. It was

quite evident that they had no intention of leaving the British Forces

in sole charge of the Allied left, but for the moment they agreed to

regard the question as a military one and to refer it to General

Joffre.

I had several conversations with him on the subject, but there

appeared to be no disposition on his part to acquiesce in my plans.

This attitude on the part of the French was evidently well known in

London, for, on December 13th, I received a letter from Winston

Churchill in which he said: "Of course, we are disappointed here with

the turn events have taken, but we shall do our best to help the

French."

This meant that Joffre had rejected my scheme, but had substituted the

idea of another kind of attack, to be made chiefly by the French, with

fewer troops, in a different direction and with quite another

objective. I will return to this presently, for such an operation

actually took place and proved to be a very feeble substitute for what

I had intended.

Yielding thus to French representations, our Government began to

weaken. Churchill adhered to his views throughout, but was not

supported.

The terms of Sir Edward Grey's communication of December 9th were

unanswerable. Everything which subsequently happened in the course of

the war has proved it. The possession by the Germans of that strip of

Belgian coast-line has been the sharpest of all thorns with

which they have succeeded in pricking us. It has been one of the main

causes of the prolongation of the war. Their vigorous and successful

defence against all our attacks in the autumn of 1917 showed the value

which they attached to the retention of this coast-line.

Lord Kitchener addressed a Memorandum to me in January, 1915, from

which I quote _in extenso_:

"The questions raised in your recent Memorandum of January 3rd,

1915"--he wrote--"and in your appreciation of the situation in the

various theatres of war, were considered by a War Council presided

over by the Prime Minister, on Thursday, January 7th, and Friday,

January 8th.

"The principal questions discussed were--

1. The proposed advance to Zeebrugge.

2. The organisation of the New Armies.

3. The possibility of employing British Forces in a different

theatre to that in which they are now used.

"With regard to the proposed advance to Zeebrugge, the First Lord's

telegram, No. 2623, sent to you on January 2nd, explained the

difficulties imposed on the Admiralty by the development of Zeebrugge

as a base for submarines, and the War Council realised that one of

your principal motives in suggesting an offensive to effect the

capture of Ostend and Zeebrugge was to ease the naval position.

"On a general review, however, of the whole situation, naval and

military, the Council came to the conclusion that the advantages to be

obtained from such an advance at the present moment would not be

commensurate with the heavy losses involved, as well as the extension

that would be thus caused to the lines of the Allies in

Northern Flanders.

"The Council was also influenced in this conclusion by the following

considerations. The first of these was that the reinforcements of 50

battalions of Territorial troops, which you considered indispensable,

could only be supplied at a considerable dislocation of the

organisation of the future reinforcements to be sent to you. It must

be borne in mind that the original organisation of the Territorial

Force included no provision for drafts. Great difficulties have

already been encountered in providing drafts for the 24 battalions

already in your command; and, although arrangements for the necessary

machinery to create a special reserve for the Territorials are in

hand, it would not at present be possible to supply 50 more battalions

with drafts without an entire reorganisation of the forces allotted to

Home Defence, and this would modify the programme for reinforcements

to join our Army in the future.

"The second consideration was that it is impossible at the present

time to maintain a sufficient supply of gun ammunition on the scale

which you considered necessary for offensive operations. Every effort

is being made in all parts of the world to obtain an unlimited supply

of ammunition; but, as you are well aware, the result is still far

from being sufficient to maintain the large number of guns which you

now have under your command adequately supplied with ammunition for

offensive purposes.

"You have pointed out that offensive operations under the new

conditions created by this war require a vast expenditure of artillery

ammunition, which may, for even 10 or 20 days, necessitate the supply

of 50 or 100 rounds per gun per day being available, and that, unless

the reserve can be accumulated to meet expenditure of this

sort, it is unwise to embark on extensive offensive operations against

the enemy in trenches. It is, of course, almost impossible to

calculate with any accuracy how long offensive operations, once

undertaken, may last before the object is attained; but it is evident

that the breaking off of such operations before accomplishment, owing

to the want of artillery ammunition, and not on account of a

successful termination or a convenient pause in the operations having

been reached, might lead to a serious reverse being sustained by our

forces.

"The abandonment of the Zeebrugge project does not prevent you from

co-operating to the utmost extent, compatible with your present

resources, with any offensive movement contemplated by Gen. Joffre,

and your previous instructions in this sense are in no way modified.

"The Council further thought that there were certain indications,

which should not be neglected, of German reinforcements reaching their

Armies in the Western theatre in the near future, which may lead

German Commanders to undertake a fresh attempt to force the lines you

and the French Army hold. If this movement should develop, it could

probably be better met and defeated by holding your present lines of

prepared positions than by extending the line to the Dutch frontier

and placing the Belgian Army in probably a more exposed position than

they now occupy. You may rest assured that, as they become available,

fresh troops will be sent to you with the least possible delay to

strengthen your forces as far as is practicable. The 28th Division

have already received orders to leave for France on the 14th inst."

The telegram from the First Lord of the Admiralty, dated January 2nd,

referred to in the above memorandum, ran as follows:--"The

battleship 'Formidable' was sunk this morning by a submarine in the

Channel. Information from all quarters shows that the Germans are

steadily developing an important submarine base at Zeebrugge. Unless

operations can be undertaken to clear the coast, and particularly to

capture this place, it must be recognised that the whole

transportation of troops across the Channel will be seriously and

increasingly compromised. The Admiralty are of the opinion that it

would be possible, under cover of warships, to land a large force at

Zeebrugge in conjunction with any genuine forward movement along the

shore to Ostend. They wish these views, which they have so frequently

put forward, to be placed again before the French Commander, and hope

they may receive the consideration which their urgency and importance

require."

It will be seen from this that Mr. Churchill was not in accord with

the views expressed in Lord Kitchener's memorandum.

The situation was well known to the Cabinet before the despatch of Sir

Edward Grey's telegram of December 9th. It is clear that the points

raised in the memorandum of January 9th were excuses used as a veil to

screen the disinclination of the British Government to taking a firm

stand against the attitude adopted by the French. But there was

something more.

Lord Kitchener's objections can be easily answered. They may be

generally stated thus:--

(1) That the seizure from the Germans of this strip of sea coast

would not be an adequate return for the heavy losses likely to be

incurred in the operation.

(2) That the line then to be held would be unduly extended.

(3) That the reinforcement of the additional troops

demanded "would only be supplied at a considerable dislocation of

the organisation of the future reinforcements to be sent you."

(4) That the supply of gun ammunition on the scale demanded would

be impossible.

(5) That embarking on such an enterprise would prejudice our

power of resisting a possible German counter-offensive in the

immediate future.

My answer to (1) is this: Had we been in possession of the Belgian

coast-line between Nieuport and the Dutch frontier in the early part

of 1915, and had we maintained it to the end of the war, the Germans

would have been deprived in a great measure of the power they have

exercised throughout with such success, to prosecute their submarine

campaign. Any price we might have had to pay in the way of losses

would have been well worth the object attained.

In a lesser degree this may be said of the enemy's aircraft

enterprises. I claim that the naval history of this war clearly bears

out my contention.

As to (2), the extent of the line to be held would depend upon the

degree of success attained by the operations. If we had been able to

make good our advance from the left flank (between Nieuport and

Dixmude) by means of powerful naval support from the sea, the least we

should have effected would have been to clear the Germans out of the

triangle Nieuport--Dixmude--Zeebrugge.

If the operation had then to be suspended, we should have had to hold

the line Dixmude--Zeebrugge instead of Dixmude--Nieuport. In actual

distance the former space is about double the latter. But our position

at Zeebrugge would have afforded a large measure of naval support,

and the country to the south-west of that place lends itself

to inundations. This would have enabled us to occupy the north-eastern

portion of the line in much less strength. Further, it was just in

anticipation of such a necessity that the extra troops were asked for.

Inasmuch, however, as such a situation would have forced upon the

enemy the necessity of holding a dangerous and exposed salient which

could be reached on the north side by our guns from the Fleet, it is

more than possible that he would have effected such a retirement as

would have considerably shortened our line.

(3) This contention is disputed; but even if it were true, it is no

sound military argument against embarking on an operation which

promised such valuable results.

(4) There is a complete answer to this objection. Some two or three

months later, large trainloads of ammunition--heavy, medium, and

light--passed by the rear of the Army in France _en route_ to

Marseilles for shipment to the Dardanelles.

(5) The best possible means of warding off an attack is to take a

strong and powerful initiative.

I cannot characterise these reasons for rejecting my plans as other

than illogical, and I feel sure they must really have appeared so to

their authors.

Perhaps the true explanation which underlay all this is to be found in

the following Memorandum of the War Council of January 9th, 1915. It

runs as follows:--

THE POSSIBILITY OF EMPLOYING BRITISH FORCES IN A DIFFERENT THEATRE

THAN THAT IN WHICH THEY ARE NOW USED.

"The Council considered carefully your remarks on this subject in

reply to Lord Kitchener's letter, and came to the conclusion

that, certainly for the present, the main theatre of operations for

British forces should be alongside the French Army, and that this

should continue as long as France was liable to successful invasion

and required armed support. It was also realised that, should the

offensive operations subsequently drive the Germans out of France and

back to Germany, British troops should assist in such operations. It

was thought that, after another failure by Germany to force the lines

of defence held by the French Army and yours, the military situation

in France and Flanders might conceivably develop into one of

stalemate, in which it would be impossible for German forces to break

through into France, while at the same time the German defences would

be impassable for offensive movements of the Allies without great loss

of life and the expenditure of more ammunition than could be provided.

In these circumstances, it was considered desirable to find some other

theatre where such obstructions to advance would be less pronounced,

and from where operations against the enemy might lead to more

decisive results.

"For these reasons, the War Council decided that certain of the

possible projects for pressing the war in other theatres should be

carefully studied during the next few weeks, so that, as soon as the

new forces are fit for action, plans may be ready to meet any

eventuality that may be then deemed expedient, either from a political

point of view, or to enable our forces to act with the best advantage

in concert with the troops of other nations throwing in their lot with

the Allies."

In fact, the idea became fixed in the minds of the War Council that a

condition of stalemate was bound to occur on the Western front, and

therefore other theatres which might afford greater opportunities of

prosecuting a successful offensive must be sought.

I was asked for my views as to this, and I gave them in full. Space

does not allow me to quote my memorandum on the subject _in extenso_,

but my ideas will be gleaned from the concluding paragraphs, which run

as follows:--

"Assuming however, that all the foregoing arguments are brushed aside,

it remains to be seen where any effective action could be taken. The

countries to be considered are the following:--

"(_a_) _Russia._--Impossible, as there is no means of sending an Army

there, the Baltic being closed. Archangel shut in winter and

unsuitable at other seasons, and Vladivostok much too far away.

"(_b_) _Denmark_ and (_c_) _Holland_.--One or other of these countries

would have to declare war on Germany unless her neutrality were

violated, and in both cases the overseas communication would be so

vulnerable to mine or torpedo attack as to be in the highest degree

insecure.

"(_d_) _North German Coast._--Communications would be equally

vulnerable.

"(_e_) _Italy._--Assumes that Italy is a friendly belligerent, in

which case she would probably not require the assistance of British

troops, as her own action should be sufficient to finish Austria. It

is unlikely that Italy would be induced to join in simply by the offer

of troops which her military intelligence must know would be better

employed elsewhere.

"(_f_) _Istria and Dalmatia._--A very dangerous line of communication,

and one which would be impossible in the face of a hostile Italy. The

islands on the Dalmatian seaboard are specially favourable for the

action of defending submarines and torpedo craft, while mines might

render any approach to the coast out of the question. With an

actively friendly Italy an advance through her territory would be more

practicable, but, as stated in preceding paragraph, unnecessary.

"(_g_) Through Greece to Servia, presumably _via_, Salonika, presumes

Greece to be a friendly belligerent. Probably the least objectionable

of any possible proposal, but necessitating the strict neutrality of

Bulgaria, as otherwise the land communications would be very open to

attack. A hostile Italy would also jeopardise the whole force.

"(_h_) _Gallipoli_, _Asia Minor_, _Syria_.--Any attack on Turkey would

be devoid of decisive result. In the most favourable circumstances it

could only cause the relaxation of the pressure against Russia in the

Caucasus and enable her to transfer two or three Corps to the West--a

result quite incommensurate with the effort involved. To attack Turkey

would be to play the German game and to bring about the end which

Germany had in mind when she induced Turkey to join in the war,

namely, to draw off troops from the decisive spot, which is Germany

itself.

"To sum up, my opinions are--

"(1) That the impossibility of breaking through the German line in

Flanders has not been proved, and that that operation is feasible

provided a sufficiency of high-explosive shells and of guns is

provided.

"(2) That, even if it were proved impossible to break the German line,

so large a margin of safety is needed that troops could not be

withdrawn from this theatre. It is to be remembered that the Allies

are in a much better position to await the outcome of events. Time is

against Germany; she will not sit for ever behind her entrenchments,

and the Allies must be prepared with an adequate force to

strike her whenever she may attempt to break out or withdraw.

"(3) That there are no theatres, other than those in which operations

are now in progress, in which decisive results could be attained.

"I have not gone into details in considering the question of the

employment of forces in other theatres, as such operations were

considered by the M.O. Directorate of the War Office when I was

C.I.G.S., and I have no doubt that a full record of the conclusions

which were reached are filed there."

General Joffre's final opinion is expressed in a memorandum, dated

January 19th, 1915, of which the following is a summary:--

"1. I wish to call your particular attention to the following

points:--

"2. The French General Staff consider a German offensive

possible--even probable--in the near future. The Germans are certainly

making new formations; the 38th Corps has been identified in Bavaria.

"3. Our front must therefore be made absolutely secure. If broken, for

example, about Roye and Montdidier, the consequences for the Allies

would be of the most serious description.

"4. In addition to (3) we must place ourselves in the position of

being able to assume the offensive.

"5. Because of (3) and (4), reserves are absolutely necessary.

"6. For these reasons, I am anxious for a rapid release of the Corps

north of the British line.

"7. We must never lose sight of the decisive result, and all secondary

operations must give way.

"8. Operations towards Ostend--Zeebrugge, though important,

are, for the moment, secondary, and in my opinion should follow rather

than precede the principal action, viz., the Collection of Reserves.

"To resume:--

(_a_) To beat the enemy it is necessary to have Reserves.

(_b_) These Reserves can only come from the north, as British

reinforcements set them free.

(_c_) The German menace, not a vain thing, makes it necessary to

collect these Reserves in the shortest possible time.

(_d_) The main object, viz., the defeat of the enemy, makes it

necessary to delay the offensive towards Ostend--Zeebrugge."

I always disagreed with these views, and remain convinced that my

plans should have been accepted and tried. I will only add, as a

further argument against embarking upon operations in other theatres

of war, that our military forces at that time, and for at least

fifteen months afterwards, were not sufficient to enable us to carry

on great operations in more than one theatre with the necessary power

and energy required for success. They could only have resulted in what

actually happened in 1915, viz., the series of feeble and on the whole

unsuccessful attempts to break through the German line in France, and

an absolute failure, compelling ultimate withdrawal of our troops, in

the Dardanelles.

I have dealt at perhaps wearisome length with the strategic

alternatives and the problems which presented themselves for solution

after the close of the First Battle of Ypres. It has been necessary to

do so in order that my countrymen may understand the situation as it

actually existed at the time, and that they may appreciate what seemed

to me conclusive reasons why greater progress was not made in 1915.

Divided counsels lead to half measures and indecisive action. Such

counsels have always had, and always will have, the most deterrent and

disadvantageous effect on any vigorous prosecution of a war, great or

small.

1914 · 第 15 / 19 章