There seem, indeed, to have been several mistakes in the political

principles on which the war was entered into, as well as in the plans

upon which it was conducted,--some of them very fundamental, and not

only visibly, but I may say palpably erroneous; and I think him to have

less than the discernment of a very ordinary statesman, who could not

foresee, from the very beginning, unpleasant consequences from those

plans, though not the unparalleled disgraces and disasters which really

did attend them: for they were, both principles and measures, wholly new

and out of the common course, without anything apparently very grand in

the conception to justify this total departure from all rule.

For, in the first place, the united sovereigns very much injured their

cause by admitting that they had nothing to do with the interior

arrangements of France,--in contradiction to the whole tenor of the

public law of Europe, and to the correspondent practice of all its

states, from the time we have any history of them. In this particular,

the two German courts seem to have as little consulted the publicists of

Germany as their own true interests, and those of all the sovereigns of

Germany and Europe. This admission of a false principle in the law of

nations brought them into an apparent contradiction, when they insisted

on the reëstablishment of the royal authority in France. But this

confused and contradictory proceeding gave rise to a practical error of

worse consequence. It was derived from one and the same root: namely,

that the person of the monarch of France was everything; and the

monarchy, and the intermediate orders of the state, by which the

monarchy was upheld, were nothing. So that, if the united potentates had

succeeded so far as to reëstablish the authority of that king, and that

he should be so ill-advised as to confirm all the confiscations, and to

recognize as a lawful body and to class himself with that rabble of

murderers, (and there wanted not persons who would so have advised him,)

there was nothing in the principle or in the proceeding of the united

powers to prevent such an arrangement.

An expedition to free a brother sovereign from prison was undoubtedly a

generous and chivalrous undertaking. But the spirit and generosity would

not have been less, if the policy had been more profound and more

comprehensive,--that is, if it had taken in those considerations and

those persons by whom, and, in some measure, for whom, monarchy exists.

This would become a bottom for a system of solid and permanent policy,

and of operations conformable to that system.

The same fruitful error was the cause why nothing was done to impress

the people of France (so far as we can at all consider the inhabitants

of France as a people) with an idea that the government was ever to be

really French, or indeed anything else than the nominal government of a

monarch, a monarch absolute as over them, but whose sole support was to

arise from foreign potentates, and who was to be kept on his throne by

German forces,--in short, that the king of France was to be a viceroy to

the Emperor and the king of Prussia.

It was the first time that foreign powers, interfering in the concerns

of a nation divided into parties, have thought proper to thrust wholly

out of their councils, to postpone, to discountenance, to reject, and,

in a manner, to disgrace, the party whom those powers came to support.

The single person of a king cannot be a party. Woe to the king who is

himself his party! The royal party, with the king or his representatives

at its head, is the _royal cause_. Foreign powers have hitherto chosen

to give to such wars as this the appearance of a civil contest, and not

that of an hostile invasion. When the Spaniards, in the sixteenth

century, sent aids to the chiefs of the League, they appeared as allies

to that league, and to the imprisoned king (the Cardinal de Bourbon)

which that league had set up. When the Germans came to the aid of the

Protestant princes, in the same series of civil wars, they came as

allies. When the English came to the aid of Henry the Fourth, they

appeared as allies to that prince. So did the French always, when they

intermeddled in the affairs of Germany: they came to aid a party there.

When the English and Dutch intermeddled in the succession of Spain, they

appeared as allies to the Emperor, Charles the Sixth. In short, the

policy has been as uniform as its principles were obvious to an ordinary

eye.

According to all the old principles of law and policy, a regency ought

to have been appointed by the French princes of the blood, nobles, and

parliaments, and then recognized by the combined powers. Fundamental law

and ancient usage, as well as the clear reason of the thing, have always

ordained it during an imprisonment of the king of France: as in the case

of John, and of Francis the First. A monarchy ought not to be left a

moment without a representative having an interest in the succession.

The orders of the state ought also to have been recognized in those

amongst whom alone they existed in freedom, that is, in the emigrants.

Thus, laying down a firm foundation on the recognition of the

authorities of the kingdom of France, according to Nature and to its

fundamental laws, and not according to the novel and inconsiderate

principles of the usurpation which the united powers were come to

extirpate, the king of Prussia and the Emperor, as allies of the ancient

kingdom of France, would have proceeded with dignity, first, to free the

monarch, if possible,--if not, to secure the monarchy as principal in

the design; and in order to avoid all risks to that great object, (the

object of other ages than the present, and of other countries than that

of France,) they would of course avoid proceeding with more haste or in

a different manner than what the nature of such an object required.

Adopting this, the only rational system, the rational mode of proceeding

upon it was to commence with an effective siege of Lisle, which the

French generals must have seen taken before their faces, or be forced to

fight. A plentiful country of friends, from whence to draw supplies,

would have been behind them; a plentiful country of enemies, from whence

to force supplies, would have been before them. Good towns were always

within reach to deposit their hospitals and magazines. The march from

Lisle to Paris is through a less defensible country, and the distance is

hardly so great as from Longwy to Paris.

If the _old_ politic and military ideas had governed, the advanced guard

would have been formed of those who best knew the country and had some

interest in it, supported by some of the best light troops and light

artillery, whilst the grand solid body of an army disciplined to

perfection proceeded leisurely, and in close connection with all its

stores, provisions, and heavy cannon, to support the expedite body in

case of misadventure, or to improve and complete its success.

The direct contrary of all this was put in practice. In consequence of

the original sin of this project, the army of the French princes was

everywhere thrown into the rear, and no part of it brought forward to

the last moment, the time of the commencement of the secret negotiation.

This naturally made an ill impression on the people, and furnished an

occasion for the rebels at Paris to give out that the faithful subjects

of the king were distrusted, despised, and abhorred by his allies. The

march was directed through a skirt of Lorraine, and thence into a part

of Champagne, the Duke of Brunswick leaving all the strongest places

behind him,--leaving also behind him the strength of his artillery,--and

by this means giving a superiority to the French, in the only way in

which the present France is able to oppose a German force.

In consequence of the adoption of those false politics, which turned

everything on the king's sole and single person, the whole plan of the

war was reduced to nothing but a _coup de main_, in order to set that

prince at liberty. If that failed, everything was to be given up.

The scheme of a _coup de main_ might (under favorable circumstances) be

very fit for a partisan at the head of a light corps, by whose failure

nothing material would be deranged. But for a royal army of eighty

thousand men, headed by a king in person, who was to march an hundred

and fifty miles through an enemy's country,--surely, this was a plan

unheard of.

Although this plan was not well chosen, and proceeded upon principles

altogether ill-judged and impolitic, the superiority of the military

force might in a great degree have supplied the defects, and furnished a

corrective to the mistakes. The greater probability was, that the Duke

of Brunswick would make his way to Paris over the bellies of the rabble

of drunkards, robbers, assassins, rioters, mutineers, and half-grown

boys, under the ill-obeyed command of a theatrical, vaporing, reduced

captain of cavalry, who opposed that great commander and great army.

But--_Diis aliter visum_. He began to treat,--the winds blew and the

rains beat,--the house fell, because it was built upon sand,--and great

was the fall thereof. This march was not an exact copy of either of the

two marches made by the Duke of Parma into France.

There is some secret. Sickness and weather may defeat an army pursuing a

wrong plan: not that I believe the sickness to have been so great as it

has been reported; but there is a great deal of superfluous humiliation

in this business, a perfect prodigality of disgrace. Some advantage,

real or imaginary, must compensate to a great sovereign and to a great

general for so immense a loss of reputation. Longwy, situated as it is,

might (one should think) be evacuated without a capitulation with a

republic just proclaimed by the king of Prussia as an usurping and

rebellious body. He was not far from Luxembourg. He might have taken

away the obnoxious French in his flight. It does not appear to have been

necessary that those magistrates who declared for their own king, on the

faith and under the immediate protection of the king of Prussia, should

be delivered over to the gallows. It was not necessary that the

emigrant nobility and gentry who served with the king of Prussia's army,

under his immediate command, should be excluded from the cartel, and

given up to be hanged as rebels. Never was so gross and so cruel a

breach of the public faith, not with an enemy, but with a friend.

Dumouriez has dropped very singular hints. Custine has spoken out more

broadly. These accounts have never been contradicted. They tend to make

an eternal rupture between the powers. The French have given out, that

the Duke of Brunswick endeavored to negotiate some name and place for

the captive king, amongst the murderers and proscribers of those who

have lost their all for his cause. Even this has not been denied.

It is singular, and, indeed, a thing, under all its circumstances,

inconceivable, that everything should by the Emperor be abandoned to the

king of Prussia. That monarch was considered as principal. In the nature

of things, as well as in his position with regard to the war, he was

only an ally, and a new ally, with crossing interests in many

particulars, and of a policy rather uncertain. At best, and supposing

him to act with the greatest fidelity, the Emperor and the Empire to him

must be but secondary objects. Countries out of Germany must affect him

in a still more remote manner. France, other than from the fear of its

doctrinal principles, can to him be no object at all. Accordingly, the

Rhine, Sardinia, and the Swiss are left to their fate. The king of

Prussia has no _direct_ and immediate concern with France;

_consequentially_, to be sure, a great deal: but the Emperor touches

France _directly_ in many parts; he is a near neighbor to Sardinia, by

his Milanese territories; he borders on Switzerland; Cologne, possessed

by his uncle, is between Mentz, Treves, and the king of Prussia's

territories on the Lower Rhine. The Emperor is the natural guardian of

Italy and Germany,--the natural balance against the ambition of France,

whether republican or monarchical. His ministers and his generals,

therefore, ought to have had their full share in every material

consultation,--which I suspect they had not. If he has no minister

capable of plans of policy which comprehend the superintendency of a

war, or no general with the least of a political head, things have been

as they must be. However, in all the parts of this strange proceeding

there must be a secret.

It is probably known to ministers. I do not mean to penetrate into it.

My speculations on this head must be only conjectural. If the king of

Prussia, under the pretext or on the reality of some information

relative to ill practice on the part of the court of Vienna, takes

advantage of his being admitted into the heart of the Emperor's

dominions in the character of an ally, afterwards to join the common

enemy, and to enable France to seize the Netherlands, and to reduce and

humble the Empire, I cannot conceive, upon every principle, anything

more alarming for this country, separately, and as a part of the general

system. After all, we may be looking in vain in the regions of politics

for what is only the operation of temper and character upon accidental

circumstances. But I never knew accidents to decide the _whole_ of any

great business; and I never knew temper to act, but that some system of

politics agreeable to its peculiar spirit was blended with it,

strengthened it, and got strength from it. Therefore the politics can

hardly be put out of the question.

Great mistakes have been committed: at least I hope so. If there have

been none, the case in future is desperate. I have endeavored to point

out some of those which have occurred to me, and most of them very

early.

Whatever may be the cause of the present state of things, on a full and

mature view and comparison of the historical matter, of the transactions

that have passed before our eyes, and of the future prospect, I think I

am authorized to form an opinion without the least hesitation.

That there never was, nor is, nor ever will be, nor ever can be, the

least rational hope of making an impression on France by any Continental

powers, if England is not a part, is not the directing part, is not the

soul, of the whole confederacy against it.

This, so far as it is an anticipation of future, is grounded on the

whole tenor of former history. In speculation it is to be accounted for

on two plain principles.

First, That Great Britain is likely to take a more fair and equal part

in the alliance than the other powers, as having less of crossing

interest or perplexed discussion with any of them.

Secondly, Because France cannot have to deal with any of these

Continental sovereigns, without their feeling that nation, as a maritime

power, greatly superior to them all put together,--a force which is only

to be kept in check by England.

England, except during the eccentric aberration of Charles the Second,

has always considered it as her duty and interest to take her place in

such a confederacy. Her chief disputes must ever be with France; and if

England shows herself indifferent and unconcerned, when these powers are

combined against the enterprises of France, she is to look with

certainty for the same indifference on the part of these powers, when

she may be at war with that nation. This will tend totally to disconnect

this kingdom from the system of Europe, in which if she ought not rashly

to meddle, she ought never wholly to withdraw herself from it.

If, then, England is put in motion, whether by a consideration of the

general safety, or of the influence of France upon Spain, or by the

probable operations of this new system on the Netherlands, it must

embrace in its project the whole as much as possible, and the part it

takes ought to be as much as possible a leading and presiding part.

I therefore beg leave to suggest,--

First, That a minister should forthwith be sent to Spain, to encourage

that court to persevere in the measures they have adopted against

France,--to make a close alliance and guaranty of possessions, as

against France, with that power,--and, whilst the formality of the

treaty is pending, to assure them of our protection, postponing any

lesser disputes to another occasion.

Secondly, To assure the court of Vienna of our desire to enter into our

ancient connections with her, and to support her effectually in the war

which France has declared against her.

Thirdly, To animate the Swiss and the king of Sardinia to take a part,

as the latter once did on the principles of the Grand Alliance.

Fourthly, To put an end to our disputes with Russia, and mutually to

forget the past. I believe, if she is satisfied of this oblivion, she

will return to her old sentiments with regard to this court, and will

take a more forward part in this business than any other power.

Fifthly, If what has happened to the king of Prussia is only in

consequence of a sort of panic or of levity, and an indisposition to

persevere long in one design, the support and concurrence of Russia will

tend to steady him, and to give him resolution. If he be ill-disposed,

with that power on his back, and without one ally in Europe, I conceive

he will not be easily led to derange the plan.

Sixthly, To use the joint influence of our court, and of our then allied

powers, with Holland, to arm as fully as she can by sea, and to make

some addition by land.

Seventhly, To acknowledge the king of France's next brother (assisted by

such a council and such representatives of the kingdom of France as

shall be thought proper) regent of France, and to send that prince a

small supply of money, arms, clothing, and artillery.

Eighthly, To give force to these negotiations, an instant naval armament

ought to be adopted,--one squadron for the Mediterranean, another for

the Channel. The season is convenient,--most of our trade being, as I

take it, at home.

After speaking of a plan formed upon the ancient policy and practice of

Great Britain and of Europe, to which this is exactly conformable in

every respect, with no deviation whatsoever, and which is, I conceive,

much more strongly called for by the present circumstances than by any

former, I must take notice of another, which I hear, but cannot persuade

myself to believe, is in agitation. This plan is grounded upon the very

same view of things which is here stated,--namely, the danger to all

sovereigns, and old republics, from the prevalence of French power and

influence.

It is, to form a congress of all the European powers for the purpose of

a general defensive alliance, the objects of which should be,--

First, The recognition of this new republic, (which they well know is

formed on the principles and for the declared purpose of the destruction

of all kings,) and, whenever the heads of this new republic shall

consent to release the royal captives, to make peace with them.

Secondly, To defend themselves with their joint forces against the open

aggressions, or the secret practices, intrigues, and writings, which are

used to propagate the French principles.

It is easy to discover from whose shop this commodity comes. It is so

perfectly absurd, that, if that or anything like it meets with a serious

entertainment in any cabinet, I should think it the effect of what is

called a judicial blindness, the certain forerunner of the destruction

of all crowns and kingdoms.

An _offensive_ alliance, in which union is preserved by common efforts

in common dangers against a common active enemy, may preserve its

consistency, and may produce for a given time some considerable effect:

though this is not easy, and for any very long period can hardly be

expected. But a _defensive_ alliance, formed of long discordant

interests, with innumerable discussions existing, having no one pointed

object to which it is directed, which is to be held together with an

unremitted vigilance, as watchful in peace as in war, is so evidently

impossible, is such a chimera, is so contrary to human nature and the

course of human affairs, that I am persuaded no person in his senses,

except those whose country, religion, and sovereign are deposited in the

French funds, could dream of it. There is not the slightest petty

boundary suit, no difference between a family arrangement, no sort of

misunderstanding or cross purpose between the pride and etiquette of

courts, that would not entirely disjoint this sort of alliance, and

render it as futile in its effects as it is feeble in its principle. But

when we consider that the main drift of that defensive alliance must be

to prevent the operation of intrigue, mischievous doctrine, and evil

example, in the success of unprovoked rebellion, regicide, and

systematic assassination and massacre, the absurdity of such a scheme

becomes quite lamentable. Open the communication with France, and the

rest follows of course.

How far the interior circumstances of this country support what is said

with regard to its foreign polities must be left to bettor judgments. I

am sure the French faction here is infinitely strengthened by the

success of the assassins on the other side of the water. This evil in

the heart of Europe must be extirpated from that centre, or no part of

the circumference can be free from the mischief which radiates from it,

and which will spread, circle beyond circle, in spite of all the little

defensive precautions which can be employed against it.

I do not put my name to these hints submitted to the consideration of

reflecting men. It is of too little importance to suppose the name of

the writer could add any weight to the state of things contained in this

paper. That state of things presses irresistibly on my judgment, and it

lies, and has long lain, with a heavy weight upon my mind. I cannot

think that what is done in France is beneficial to the human race. If it

were, the English Constitution ought no more to stand against it than

the ancient Constitution of the kingdom in which the new system

prevails. I thought it the duty of a man not unconcerned for the public,

and who is a faithful subject to the king, respectfully to submit this

state of facts, at this new step in the progress of the French arms and

politics, to his Majesty, to his confidential servants, and to those

persons who, though not in office, by their birth, their rank, their

fortune, their character, and their reputation for wisdom, seem to me to

have a large stake in the stability of the ancient order of things.

BATH, November 5, 1792.

REMARKS

ON

THE POLICY OF THE ALLIES

WITH RESPECT TO FRANCE.

BEGUN IN OCTOBER, 1793.

ON THE POLICY OF THE ALLIES.

As the proposed manifesto is, I understand, to promulgate to the world

the general idea of a plan for the regulation of a great kingdom, and

through the regulation of that kingdom probably to decide the fate of

Europe forever, nothing requires a more serious deliberation with regard

to the time of making it, the circumstances of those to whom it is

addressed, and the matter it is to contain.

As to the time, (with the due diffidence in my own opinion,) I have some

doubts whether it is not rather unfavorable to the issuing any manifesto

with regard to the intended government of France, and for this reason:

that it is (upon the principal point of our attack) a time of calamity

and defeat. Manifestoes of this nature are commonly made when the army

of some sovereign enters into the enemy's country in great force, and

under the imposing authority of that force employs menaces towards those

whom he desires to awe, and makes promises to those whom he wishes to

engage in his favor.

As to a party, what has been done at Toulon leaves no doubt that the

party for which we declare must be that which substantially declares for

royalty as the basis of the government.

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