Condorcet (though no marquis, as he styled himself before the

Revolution) is a man of another sort of birth, fashion, and occupation

from Brissot,--but in every principle, and every disposition to the

lowest as well as the highest and most determined villanies, fully his

equal. He seconds Brissot in the Assembly, and is at once his coadjutor

and his rival in a newspaper, which, in his own name, and as successor

to M. Garat, a member also of the Assembly, he has just set up in that

empire of gazettes. Condorcet was chosen to draw the first declaration

presented by the Assembly to the king, as a threat to the Elector of

Treves, and the other princes on the Rhine. In that piece, in which both

Feuillants and Jacobins concurred, they declared publicly, and most

proudly and insolently, the principle on which they mean to proceed in

their future disputes with any of the sovereigns of Europe; for they

say, "that it is not with fire and sword they mean to attack their

territories, but by what will be _more dreadful_ to them, the

introduction of liberty."--I have not the paper by me, to give the exact

words, but I believe they are nearly as I state them.--_Dreadful_,

indeed, will be their hostility, if they should be able to carry it on

according to the example of _their_ modes of introducing liberty. They

have shown a perfect model of their whole design, very complete, though

in little. This gang of murderers and savages have wholly laid waste and

utterly ruined the beautiful and happy country of the Comtat Venaissin

and the city of Avignon. This cruel and treacherous outrage the

sovereigns of Europe, in my opinion, with a great mistake of their honor

and interest, have permitted, even without a remonstrance, to be carried

to the desired point, on the principles on which they are now themselves

threatened in their own states; and this, because, according to the poor

and narrow spirit now in fashion, their brother sovereign, whose

subjects have been thus traitorously and inhumanly treated in violation

of the law of Nature and of nations, has a name somewhat different from

theirs, and, instead of being styled King, or Duke, or Landgrave, is

usually called Pope.

[Sidenote: State of the Empire.]

The Electors of Treves and Mentz were frightened with the menace of a

similar mode of war. The Assembly, however, not thinking that the

Electors of Treves and Mentz had done enough under their first terror,

have again brought forward Condorcet, preceded by Brissot, as I have

just stated. The declaration, which they have ordered now to be

circulated in all countries, is in substance the same as the first, but

still more insolent, because more full of detail. There they have the

impudence to state that they aim at no conquest: insinuating that all

the old, lawful powers of the world had each made a constant, open

profession of a design of subduing his neighbors. They add, that, if

they are provoked, their war will be directed only against those who

assume to be _masters_; but to the _people_ they will bring peace, law,

liberty, &c, &c. There is not the least hint that they consider those

whom they call persons "_assuming to be matters_" to be the lawful

government of their country, or persons to be treated with the least

management or respect. They regard them as usurpers and enslavers of the

people. If I do not mistake, they are described by the name of tyrants

in Condorcet's first draught. I am sure they are so in Brissot's speech,

ordered by the Assembly to be printed at the same time and for the same

purposes. The whole is in the same strain, full of false philosophy and

false rhetoric,--both, however, calculated to captivate and influence

the vulgar mind, and to excite sedition in the countries in which it is

ordered to be circulated. Indeed, it is such, that, if any of the

lawful, acknowledged sovereigns of Europe had publicly ordered such a

manifesto to be circulated in the dominions of another, the ambassador

of that power would instantly be ordered to quit every court without an

audience.

[Sidenote: Effect of fear on the sovereign powers.]

The powers of Europe have a pretext for concealing their fears, by

saying that this language is not used by the king; though they well know

that there is in effect no such person,--that the Assembly is in

reality, and by that king is acknowledged to be, _the master_,--that

what he does is but matter of formality,--and that he can neither cause

nor hinder, accelerate nor retard, any measure whatsoever, nor add to

nor soften the manifesto which the Assembly has directed to be

published, with the declared purpose of exciting mutiny and rebellion in

the several countries governed by these powers. By the generality also

of the menaces contained in this paper, (though infinitely aggravating

the outrage,) they hope to remove from each power separately the idea of

a distinct affront. The persons first pointed at by the menace are

certainly the princes of Germany, who harbor the persecuted House of

Bourbon and the nobility of France; the declaration, however, is

general, and goes to every state with which they may have a cause of

quarrel. But the terror of France has fallen upon all nations. A few

months since all sovereigns seemed disposed to unite against her; at

present they all seem to combine in her favor. At no period has the

power of France ever appeared with so formidable an aspect. In

particular the liberties of the Empire can have nothing more than an

existence the most tottering and precarious, whilst France exists with a

great power of fomenting rebellion, and the greatest in the

weakest,--but with neither power nor disposition to support the smaller

states in their independence against the attempts of the more powerful.

I wind up all in a full conviction within my own breast, and the

substance of which I must repeat over and over again, that the state of

France is the first consideration in the politics of Europe, and of each

state, externally as well as internally considered.

Most of the topics I have used are drawn from fear and apprehension.

Topics derived from fear or addressed to it are, I well know, of

doubtful appearance. To be sure, hope is in general the incitement to

action. Alarm some men,--you do not drive them to provide for their

security; you put them to a stand; you induce them, not to take measures

to prevent the approach of danger, but to remove so unpleasant an idea

from their minds; you persuade them to remain as they are, from a new

fear that their activity may bring on the apprehended mischief before

its time. I confess freely that this evil sometimes happens from an

overdone precaution; but it is when the measures are rash, ill-chosen,

or ill-combined, and the effects rather of blind terror than of

enlightened foresight. But the few to whom I wish to submit my thoughts

are of a character which will enable them to see danger without

astonishment, and to provide against it without perplexity.

To what lengths this method of circulating mutinous manifestoes, and of

keeping emissaries of sedition in every court under the name of

ambassadors, to propagate the same principles and to follow the

practices, will go, and how soon they will operate, it is hard to say;

but go on it will, more or less rapidly, according to events, and to the

humor of the time. The princes menaced with the revolt of their

subjects, at the same time that they have obsequiously obeyed the

sovereign mandate of the new Roman senate, have received with

distinction, in a public character, ambassadors from those who in the

same act had circulated the manifesto of sedition in their dominions.

This was the only thing wanting to the degradation and disgrace of the

Germanic body.

The ambassadors from the rights of man, and their admission into the

diplomatic system, I hold to be a new era in this business. It will be

the most important step yet taken to affect the existence of sovereigns,

and the higher classes of life: I do not mean to exclude its effects

upon all classes; but the first blow is aimed at the more prominent

parts in the ancient order of things.

What is to be done?

It would be presumption in me to do more than to make a case. Many

things occur. But as they, like all political measures, depend on

dispositions, tempers, means, and external circumstances, for all their

effect, not being well assured of these, I do not know how to let loose

any speculations of mine on the subject. The evil is stated, in my

opinion, as it exists. The remedy must be where power, wisdom, and

information, I hope, are more united with good intentions than they can

be with me. I have done with this subject, I believe, forever. It has

given me many anxious moments for the two last years. If a great change

is to be made in human affairs, the minds of men will be fitted to it,

the general opinions and feelings will draw that way. Every fear, every

hope, will forward it; and then they who persist in opposing this mighty

current in human affairs will appear rather to resist the decrees of

Providence itself than the mere designs of men. They will not be

resolute and firm, but perverse and obstinate.

FOOTNOTES:

[30] See Vattel, B. II. c. 4, sect 56, and B. III. c 18, sect. 296.

[31] Originally called the Bengal Club; but since opened to persons from

the other Presidencies, for the purpose of consolidating the whole

Indian interest.

[32] "Until now, they [the National Assembly] have prejudged nothing.

Reserving to themselves a right to appoint a preceptor to the Dauphin,

they did not declare _that this child was to reign_, but only that

_possibly_ the Constitution _might_ destine him to it: they willed,

that, while education should efface from his mind all the prejudices

arising from _the delusions of the throne_ respecting his pretended

birthright, it should also teach him not to forget that it is _from the

people_ he is to receive the title of King, and that _the people do not

even possess the right of giving up their power to take it from him_.

"They willed that this education should render him worthy, by his

knowledge and by his virtues, both to receive _with submission_ the

dangerous burden of a crown, and _to resign it with pleasure_ into the

hands of his brethren; that he should be conscious that the hastening of

that moment when he is to be only a common citizen constitutes the duty

and the glory of a king of a free people.

"They willed that _the uselessness of a king_, the necessity of seeking

means to establish something in lieu of _a power founded on illusions_,

should be one of the first truths offered to his reason; _the obligation

of conforming himself to this, the first of his moral duties; and the

desire of no longer being freed from the yoke of the law by an injurious

inviolability, the first and chief sentiment of his heart_. They are not

ignorant that in the present moment the object is less to form a king

than to teach him _that he should know how to wish no longer to be

such_."

HEADS FOR CONSIDERATION

ON THE

PRESENT STATE OF AFFAIRS.

WRITTEN IN NOVEMBER, 1792.

That France by its mere geographical position, independently of every

other circumstance, must affect every state of Europe: some of them

immediately, all of them through mediums not very remote.

That the standing policy of this kingdom ever has been to watch over the

_external_ proceedings of France, (whatever form the _interior_

government of that kingdom might take,) and to prevent the extension of

its dominion or its ruling influence over other states.

That there is nothing in the present _internal_ state of things in

France which alters the national policy with regard to the exterior

relations of that country.

That there are, on the contrary, many things in the internal

circumstances of France (and perhaps of this country, too) which tend to

fortify the principles of that fundamental policy, and which render the

active assertion of those principles more pressing at this than at any

former time.

That, by a change effected in about three weeks, France has been able to

penetrate into the heart of Germany, to make an absolute conquest of

Savoy, to menace an immediate invasion of the Netherlands, and to awe

and overbear the whole Helvetic body, which is in a most perilous

situation: the great aristocratic Cantons having, perhaps, as much or

more to dread from their own people, whom they arm, but do not choose

or dare to employ, as from the foreign enemy, which against all public

faith has butchered their troops serving by treaty in France. To this

picture it is hardly necessary to add the means by which Prance has been

enabled to effect all this,--namely, the apparently entire destruction

of one of the largest and certainly the highest disciplined and best

appointed army ever seen, headed by the first military sovereign in

Europe, with a captain under him of the greatest renown; and that

without a blow given or received on any side. This state of things seems

to me, even if it went no further, truly serious.

Circumstances have enabled France to do all this by _land_. On the other

element she has begun to exert herself; and she must succeed in her

designs, if enemies very different from those she has hitherto had to

encounter do not resist her.

She has fitted out a naval force, now actually at sea, by which she is

enabled to give law to the whole Mediterranean. It is known as a fact,

(and if not so known, it is in the nature of things highly probable,)

that she proposes the ravage of the Ecclesiastical State and the pillage

of Rome, as her first object; that nest she means to bombard Naples,--to

awe, to humble, and thus to command, all Italy,--to force it to a

nominal neutrality, but to a real dependence,--to compel the Italian

princes and republics to admit the free entrance of the French commerce,

an open intercourse, and, the sure concomitant of that intercourse, the

_affiliated societies_, in a manner similar to those she has established

at Avignon, the Comtat, Chambéry, London, Manchester, &c, &c., which are

so many colonies planted in all these countries, for extending the

influence and securing the dominion of the French republic.

That there never has been hitherto a period in which this kingdom would

have suffered a French fleet to domineer in the Mediterranean, and to

force Italy to submit to such terms as France would think fit to

impose,--to say nothing of what has been done upon land in support of

the same system. The great object for which we preserved Minorca, whilst

we could keep it, and for which we still retain Gibraltar, both at a

great expense, was, and is, to prevent the predominance of France over

the Mediterranean.

Thus far as to the certain and immediate effect of that armament upon

the Italian States. The probable effect which that armament, and the

other armaments preparing at Toulon and other ports, may have upon

Spain, on the side of the Mediterranean, is worthy of the serious

attention of the British councils.

That it is most probable, we may say in a manner certain, that, if there

should be a rupture between France and Spain, France will not confine

her offensive piratical operations against Spain to her efforts in the

Mediterranean; on which side, however, she may grievously affect Spain,

especially if she excites Morocco and Algiers, which undoubtedly she

will, to fall upon that power.

That she will fit out armaments upon the ocean, by which the flota

itself may be intercepted, and thus the treasures of all Europe, as well

as the largest and surest resources of the Spanish monarchy, may be

conveyed into France, and become powerful instruments for the annoyance

of all her neighbors.

That she makes no secret of her designs.

That, if the inward and outward bound flota should escape, still France

has more and better means of dissevering many of the provinces in the

West and East Indies from the state of Spain than Holland had, when she

succeeded in the same attempt. The French marine resembles not a little

the old armaments of the Flibustiers, which about a century back, in

conjunction with pirates of our nation, brought such calamities upon the

Spanish colonies. They differ only in this,--that the present piratical

force is out of all measure and comparison greater: one hundred and

fifty ships of the line and frigates being ready-built, most of them in

a manner new, and all applicable in different ways to that service.

Privateers and Moorish corsairs possess not the best seamanship, and

very little discipline, and indeed can make no figure in regular

service; but in desperate adventures, and animated with a lust of

plunder, they are truly formidable.

That the land forces of France are well adapted to concur with their

marine in conjunct expeditions of this nature. In such expeditions,

enterprise supplies the want of discipline, and perhaps more than

supplies it. Both for this, and for other service, (however contemptible

their military is in other respects,) one arm is extremely good, the

engineering and artillery branch. The old officer corps in both being

composed for the greater part of those who were not gentlemen, or

gentlemen newly such, few have abandoned the service, and the men are

veterans, well enough disciplined, and very expert. In this piratical

way they must make war with good advantage. They must do so, even on the

side of Flanders, either offensively or defensively. This shows the

difference between the policy of Louis the Fourteenth, who built a wall

of brass about his kingdom, and that of Joseph the Second, who

premeditatedly uncovered his whole frontier.

That Spain, from the actual and expected prevalence of French power, is

in a most perilous situation,--perfectly dependent on the mercy of that

republic. If Austria is broken, or even humbled, she will not dare to

dispute its mandates.

In the present state of things, we have nothing at all to dread from the

power of Spain by sea or by land, or from any rivalry in commerce.

That we have much to dread from the connections into which Spain may be

forced.

From the circumstances of her territorial possessions, of her resources,

and the whole of her civil and political state, we may be authorized

safely and with undoubted confidence to affirm that

_Spain is not a substantive power_.

That she must lean on France or on England.

That it is as much for the interest of Great Britain to prevent the

predominancy of a French interest in that kingdom as if Spain were a

province of the crown of Great Britain, or a state actually dependent on

it,--full as much so as ever Portugal was reputed to be. This is a

dependency of much greater value; and its destruction, or its being

carried to any other dependency, of much more serious misfortune.

One of these two things must happen: either Spain must submit to

circumstances and take such conditions as France will impose, or she

must engage in hostilities along with the Emperor and the king of

Sardinia.

If Spain should be forced or awed into a treaty with the republic of

France, she must open her ports and her commerce, as well as the land

communication for the French laborers, who were accustomed annually to

gather in the harvest in Spain. Indeed, she must grant a free

communication for travellers and traders through her whole country. In

that case it is not conjectural, it is certain, the clubs will give law

in the provinces; Bourgoing, or some such miscreant, will give law at

Madrid.

In this England may acquiesce, if she pleases; and France will conclude

a triumphant peace with Spain under her absolute dependence, with a

broad highway into that, and into every state of Europe. She actually

invites Great Britain to divide with her the spoils of the New World,

and to make a partition of the Spanish monarchy. Clearly, it is better

to do so than to suffer France to possess those spoils and that

territory alone; which, without doubt, unresisted by us, she is

altogether as able as she is willing to do.

This plan is proposed by the French in the way in which they propose all

their plans,--and in the only way in which, indeed, they can propose

them, where there is no regular communication between his Majesty and

their republic.

What they propose is _a plan_. It is _a plan_ also to resist their

predatory project. To remain quiet, and to suffer them to make their own

use of a naval power before our face, so as to awe and bully Spain into

a submissive peace, or to drive them into a ruinous war, without any

measure on our part, I fear is no plan at all.

However, if the plan of coöperation which France desires, and which her

affiliated societies here ardently wish and are constantly writing up,

should not be adopted, and the war between the Emperor and France

should continue, I think it not at all likely that Spain should not be

drawn into the quarrel. In that case, the neutrality of England will be

a thing absolutely impossible. The time only is the subject of

deliberation.

Then the question will be, whether we are to defer putting ourselves

into a posture for the common defence, either by armament, or

negotiation, or both, until Spain is actually attacked,--that is,

whether our court will take a decided part for Spain, whilst Spain, on

her side, is yet in a condition to act with whatever degree of vigor she

may have, whilst that vigor is yet unexhausted,--or whether we shall

connect ourselves with her broken fortunes, after she shall have

received material blows, and when we shall have the whole slow length of

that always unwieldy and ill-constructed, and then wounded and crippled

body, to drag after us, rather than to aid us. Whilst our disposition is

uncertain, Spain will not dare to put herself in such a state of defence

as will make her hostility formidable or her neutrality respectable.

If the decision is such as the solution of this question (I take it to

be the true question) conducts to, no time is to be lost. But the

measures, though prompt, ought not to be rash and indigested. They ought

to be well chosen, well combined, and well pursued. The system must be

general; but it must be executed, not successively, or with

interruption, but all together, _uno flatu_, in one melting, and one

mould.

For this purpose we must put Europe before us, which plainly is, just

now, in all its parts, in a state of dismay, derangement, and confusion,

and, very possibly amongst all its sovereigns, full of secret

heartburning, distrust, and mutual accusation. Perhaps it may labor

under worse evils. There is no vigor anywhere, except the distempered

vigor and energy of France. That country has but too much life in it,

when everything around is so disposed to tameness and languor. The very

vices of the French system at home tend to give force to foreign

exertions. The generals _must_ join the armies. They must lead them to

enterprise, or they are likely to perish by their hands. Thus, without

law or government of her own, France gives law to all the governments in

Europe.

This great mass of political matter must have been always under the view

of thinkers for the public, whether they act in office or not. Amongst

events, even the late calamitous events were in the book of contingency.

Of course they must have been in design, at least, provided for. A plan

which takes in as many as possible of the states concerned will rather

tend to facilitate and simplify a rational scheme for preserving Spain

(if that were our sole, as I think it ought to be our principal object)

than to delay and perplex it.

If we should think that a provident policy (perhaps now more than

provident, urgent and necessary) should lead us to act, we cannot take

measures as if nothing had been done. We must see the faults, if any,

which have conducted to the present misfortunes: not for the sake of

criticism, military or political, or from the common motives of blaming

persons and counsels which have not been successful, but in order, if we

can, to administer some remedy to these disasters, by the adoption of

plans more bottomed in principle, and built on with more discretion.

Mistakes may be lessons.

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