Besides many other obvious reasons for the instability of ancient

monarchies, the equal division of property among the brothers in

private families must, by a necessary consequence, contribute to

unsettle and disturb the state. The universal preference given to the

elder by modern laws, though it increases the inequality of fortunes,

has, however, this good effect, that it accustoms men to the same idea

of public succession, and cuts off all claim and pretension of the

younger.

The new settled colony of Heraclea, falling immediately into factions,

applied to Sparta, who sent Heripidas with full authority to quiet

their dissensions. This man, not provoked by any opposition, not

inflamed by party rage, knew no better expedient than immediately

putting to death about 500 of the citizens. A strong proof how deeply

rooted these violent maxims of government were throughout all Greece.

If such was the disposition of men’s minds among that refined people,

what may be expected in the commonwealths of Italy, Africa, Spain, and

Gaul, which were denominated barbarous? Why otherwise did the Greeks

so much value themselves on their humanity, gentleness, and moderation

above all other nations? This reasoning seems very natural; but

unluckily the history of the Roman commonwealth in its earlier times,

if we give credit to the received accounts, stands against us. No blood

was ever shed in any sedition at Rome till the murder of the Gracchi.

Dionysius Halicarnassæus, observing the singular humanity of the Roman

people in this particular, makes use of it as an argument that they

were originally of Grecian extraction; whence we may conclude that the

factions and revolutions in the barbarous republics were usually more

violent than even those of Greece above mentioned.

If the Romans were so late in coming to blows, they made ample

compensation after they had once entered upon the bloody scene; and

Appian’s history of their civil wars contains the most frightful

picture of massacres, proscriptions, and forfeitures that ever was

presented to the world. What pleases most in that historian is that he

seems to feel a proper resentment of these barbarous proceedings, and

talks not with that provoking coolness and indifference which custom

had produced in many of the Greek historians.​[67]

The maxims of ancient politics contain, in general, so little humanity

and moderation that it seems superfluous to give any particular reason

for the violences committed at any particular period; yet I cannot

forbear observing that the laws in the latter ages of the Roman

commonwealth were so absurdly contrived that they obliged the heads of

parties to have recourse to these extremities. All capital punishments

were abolished. However criminal, or, what is more, however dangerous

any citizen might be, he could not regularly be punished otherwise than

by banishment; and it became necessary in the revolutions of party to

draw the sword of private vengeance; nor was it easy, when laws were

once violated, to set bounds to these sanguinary proceedings. Had

Brutus himself prevailed over the Triumvirate, could he, in common

prudence, have allowed Octavius and Anthony to live, and have contented

himself with banishing them to Rhodes or Marseilles, where they might

still have plotted new commotions and rebellions? His executing C.

Antonius, brother to the Triumvir, shows evidently his sense of the

matter. Did not Cicero, with the approbation of all the wise and

virtuous of Rome, arbitrarily put to death Catiline’s associates

contrary to law and without any trial or form of process? And if he

moderated his executions, did it not proceed either from the clemency

of his temper or the conjunctures of the times? A wretched security in

a government which pretends to laws and liberty!

Thus, one extreme produces another. In the same manner as excessive

severity in the laws is apt to beget great relaxation in their

execution, so their excessive lenity naturally produces cruelty and

barbarity. It is dangerous to force us, in any case, to pass their

sacred boundaries.

One general cause of the disorders so frequent in all ancient

governments seems to have consisted in the great difficulty of

establishing any aristocracy in those ages, and the perpetual

discontents and seditions of the people whenever even the meanest

and most beggarly were excluded from the legislature and from public

offices. The very quality of freeman gave such a rank, being opposed

to that of slave, that it seemed to entitle the possessor to every

power and privilege of the commonwealth. Solon’s laws excluded no

freeman from votes or elections, but confined some magistracies to a

particular census; yet were the people never satisfied till those laws

were repealed. By the treaty with Antipater, no Athenian had a vote

whose census was less than 2000 drachmas (about £60 sterling). And

though such a government would to us appear sufficiently democratical,

it was so disagreeable to that people that above two-thirds of them

immediately left their country. Cassander reduced that census to the

half, yet still the government was considered as an oligarchical

tyranny and the effect of foreign violence.

Servius Tullius’s laws seem very equal and reasonable, by fixing the

power in proportion to the property, yet the Roman people could never

be brought quietly to submit to them.

In those days there was no medium between a severe, jealous

aristocracy, ruling over discontented subjects, and a turbulent,

factious, tyrannical democracy.

But, thirdly, there are many other circumstances in which ancient

nations seem inferior to the modern, both for the happiness and

increase of mankind. Trade, manufactures, industry were nowhere in

former ages so flourishing as they are at present in Europe. The only

garb of the ancients, both for males and females, seems to have been

a kind of flannel which they wore commonly white or gray, and which

they scoured as often as it grew dirty. Tyre, which carried on, after

Carthage, the greatest commerce of any city in the Mediterranean

before it was destroyed by Alexander, was no mighty city, if we credit

Arrian’s account of its inhabitants.​[68] Athens is commonly

supposed to have been a trading city; but it was as populous before the

Median War as at any time after it, according to Herodotus,​[69] and

yet its commerce at that time was so inconsiderable that, as the same

historian observes, even the neighbouring coasts of Asia were as little

frequented by the Greeks as the Pillars of Hercules—for beyond these he

conceived nothing.

Great interest of money and great profits of trade are an infallible

indication that industry and commerce are but in their infancy. We

read in Lysias of 100 per cent. profit made of a cargo of two talents,

sent to no greater distance than from Athens to the Adriatic. Nor is

this mentioned as an instance of exorbitant profit. Antidorus, says

Demosthenes, paid three talents and a half for a house which he let at

a talent a year; and the orator blames his own tutors for not employing

his money to like advantage. “My fortune,” says he, “in eleven years

minority ought to have been tripled.” The value of twenty of the slaves

left by his father he computes at 40 minas, and the yearly profit of

their labour at 12. The most moderate interest at Athens (for there

was higher often paid) was 12 per cent., and that paid monthly. Not to

insist upon the exorbitant interest of 34 per cent. to which the vast

sums distributed in elections had raised money at Rome, we find that

Verres, before that factious period, stated 24 per cent. for money,

which he left in the publicans’ hands. And though Cicero declaims

against this article, it is not on account of the extravagant usury,

but because it had never been customary to state any interest on such

occasions. Interest, indeed, sunk at Rome after the settlement of the

empire; but it never remained any considerable time so low as

in the commercial states of modern ages.

Among the other inconveniences which the Athenians felt from the

fortifying Decelia by the Lacedemonians, it is represented by

Thucydides as one of the most considerable that they could not bring

over their corn from Eubea by land, passing by Oropus; but were

obliged to embark it and to sail about the promontory of Sunium—a

surprising instance of the imperfection of ancient navigation, for the

water-carriage is not here above double the land.

I do not remember any passage in any ancient author where the growth

of any city is ascribed to the establishment of a manufacture. The

commerce which is said to flourish is chiefly the exchange of those

commodities for which different soils and climates were suited. The

sale of wine and oil into Africa, according to Diodorus Siculus, was

the foundation of the riches of Agrigentum. The situation of the city

of Sybaris, according to the same author, was the cause of its immense

populousness, being built near the two rivers, Crathys and Sybaris. But

these two rivers, we may observe, are not navigable, and could only

produce some fertile valleys for agriculture and husbandry—an advantage

so inconsiderable that a modern writer would scarcely have taken notice

of it.

The barbarity of the ancient tyrants, together with the extreme

love of liberty which animated those ages, must have banished every

merchant and manufacturer, and have quite depopulated the state, had it

subsisted upon industry and commerce. While the cruel and suspicious

Dionysius was carrying on his butcheries, who that was not detained

by his landed property, and could have carried with him any art or

skill to procure a subsistence in other countries, would have remained

exposed to such implacable barbarity? The persecutions of Philip II.

and Louis XIV. filled all Europe with the manufacturers of Flanders and

of France.

I grant that agriculture is the species of industry which is chiefly

requisite to the subsistence of multitudes, and it is possible that

this industry may flourish even where manufactures and other

arts are unknown and neglected. Switzerland is at present a very

remarkable instance, where we find at once the most skilful husbandmen

and the most bungling tradesmen that are to be met with in all Europe.

That agriculture flourished in Greece and Italy, at least in some parts

of them, and at some periods, we have reason to presume; and whether

the mechanical arts had reached the same degree of perfection may not

be esteemed so material, especially if we consider the great equality

in the ancient republics, where each family was obliged to cultivate

with the greatest care and industry its own little field in order to

its subsistence.

But is it just reasoning, because agriculture may in some instances

flourish without trade or manufactures, to conclude that, in any great

extent of country and for any great tract of time, it would subsist

alone? The most natural way surely of encouraging husbandry is first to

excite other kinds of industry, and thereby afford the labourer a ready

market for his commodities and a return of such goods as may contribute

to his pleasure and enjoyment. This method is infallible and universal,

and as it prevails more in modern government than in the ancient, it

affords a presumption of the superior populousness of the former.

Every man, says Xenophon, may be a farmer; no art or skill is

requisite: all consists in the industry and attention to the execution.

A strong proof, as Columella hints, that agriculture was but little

known in the age of Xenophon.

All our later improvements and refinements, have they operated

nothing towards the easy subsistence of men, and consequently towards

their propagation and increase? Our superior skill in mechanics, the

discovery of new worlds, by which commerce has been so much enlarged,

the establishment of posts, and the use of bills of exchange: these

seem all extremely useful to the encouragement of art, industry, and

populousness. Were we to strike off these, what a check should we give

to every kind of business and labour, and what multitudes of families

would immediately perish from want and hunger! And it seems not

probable that we could supply the place of these new inventions

by any other regulation or institution.

Have we reason to think that the police of ancient states was any wise

comparable to that of modern, or that men had then equal security

either at home or in their journeys by land or water? I question not

but every impartial examiner would give us the preference in this

particular.

Thus, upon comparing the whole, it seems impossible to assign any just

reason why the world should have been more populous in ancient than in

modern times. The equality of property among the ancients, liberty,

and the small divisions of their states, were indeed favourable to

the propagation of mankind; but their wars were more bloody and

destructive, their governments more factious and unsettled, commerce

and manufactures more feeble and languishing, and the general police

more loose and irregular. These latter disadvantages seem to form a

sufficient counterbalance to the former advantages, and rather favour

the opposite opinion to that which commonly prevails with regard to

this subject.

But there is no reasoning, it may be said, against matter of fact. If

it appear that the world was then more populous than at present, we may

be assured that our conjectures are false, and that we have overlooked

some material circumstance in the comparison. This I readily own: all

our preceding reasonings I acknowledge to be mere trifling, or, at

least, small skirmishes and frivolous rencounters which decide nothing.

But unluckily the main combat, where we compare facts, cannot be

rendered much more decisive. The facts delivered by ancient authors are

either so uncertain or so imperfect as to afford us nothing positive

in this matter. How indeed could it be otherwise? The very facts which

we must oppose to them in computing the greatness of modern states are

far from being either certain or complete. Many grounds of calculation

proceeded on by celebrated writers are little better than those of the

Emperor Heliogabalus, who formed an estimate of the immense greatness

of Rome from ten thousand pound weight of cobwebs which had been found

in that city.

It is to be remarked that all kinds of numbers are uncertain in ancient

manuscripts, and have been subject to much greater corruptions than

any other part of the text, and that for a very obvious reason. Any

alteration in other places commonly affects the sense or grammar, and

is more readily perceived by the reader and transcriber.

Few enumerations of inhabitants have been made of any tract of country

by any ancient author of good authority so as to afford us a large

enough view for comparison.

It is probable that there was formerly a good foundation for the number

of citizens assigned to any free city, because they entered for a share

of the government, and there were exact registers kept of them. But as

the number of slaves is seldom mentioned, this leaves us in as great

uncertainty as ever with regard to the populousness even of single

cities.

The first page of Thucydides is, in my opinion, the commencement of

real history. All preceding narrations are so intermixed with fable

that philosophers ought to abandon them, in a great measure, to the

embellishment of poets and orators.​[70]

With regard to remote times, the numbers of people assigned are often

ridiculous, and lose all credit and authority. The free citizens of

Sybaris, able to bear arms and actually drawn out in battle, were

300,000. They encountered at Siagra with 100,000 citizens of Crotona,

another Greek city contiguous to them, and were defeated. This is

Diodorus Siculus’s account, and is very seriously insisted on by

that historian. Strabo also mentions the same number of Sybarites.

Diodorus Siculus, enumerating the inhabitants of Agrigentum, when it

was destroyed by the Carthaginians, says that they amounted to 20,000

citizens, 200,000 strangers, besides slaves, who, in so opulent a

city as he represents it, would probably be at least as numerous. We

must remark that the women and the children are not included, and

that therefore, upon the whole, the city must have contained near two

millions of inhabitants.​[71] And what was the reason of so immense an

increase! They were very industrious in cultivating the neighbouring

fields, not exceeding a small English county; and they traded with

their wine and oil to Africa, which, at that time, had none of these

commodities.

Ptolemy, says Theocritus, commanded 33,339 cities. I suppose the

singularity of the number was the reason of assigning it. Diodorus

Siculus assigns three millions of inhabitants to Egypt, a very small

number; but then he makes the number of their cities amount to

18,000—an evident contradiction.

He says the people were formerly seven millions. Thus remote times are

always most envied and admired.

That Xerxes’s army was extremely numerous I can readily believe, both

from the great extent of his empire and from the foolish practice

of the Eastern nations of encumbering their camp with a superfluous

multitude; but will any rational man cite Herodotus’s wonderful

narrations as an authority? There is something very rational, I own,

in Lysias’s argument upon this subject. Had not Xerxes’ army been

incredibly numerous, says he, he had never built a bridge over the

Hellespont: it had been much easier to have transported his men over so

short a passage, with the numerous shipping of which he was master.

Polybius says that the Romans, between the first and second Punic Wars,

being threatened with an invasion from the Gauls, mustered all

their own forces and those of their allies, and found them amount to

seven hundred thousand men able to bear arms. A great number surely,

and which, when joined to the slaves, is probably not less, if not

rather more than that extent of country affords at present.​[72] The

enumeration too seems to have been made with some exactness, and

Polybius gives us the detail of the particulars; but might not the

number be imagined in order to encourage the people?

Diodorus Siculus makes the same enumeration amount to near a million.

These variations are suspicious. He plainly, too, supposes that Italy

in his time was not so populous, another very suspicious circumstance;

for who can believe that the inhabitants of that country diminished

from the time of the first Punic War to that of the Triumvirates?

Julius Cæsar, according to Appian, encountered four millions of Gauls,

killed one million, and took another million prisoners.​[73] Supposing

the number of the enemy’s army and of the killed could be exactly

assigned, which never is possible, how could it be known how often the

same man returned into the armies, or how distinguish the new from the

old levied soldiers? No attention ought ever to be given to such loose,

exaggerated calculations; especially where the author tells us not the

mediums upon which the calculations were founded.

Paterculus makes the number killed by Cæsar amount only to 400,000: a

much more probable account, and more easily reconciled to the history

of these wars given by that conqueror himself in his _Commentaries_.

One would imagine that every circumstance of the life and actions of

Dionysius the elder might be regarded as authentic and free from all

fabulous exaggeration, both because he lived at a time when

letters flourished most in Greece and because his chief historian was

Philistus, a man allowed to be of great genius, and who was a courtier

and minister of that prince. But can we admit that he had a standing

army of 100,000 foot, 10,000 horse, and a fleet of 400 galleys? These,

we may observe, were mercenary forces, and subsisted upon their pay,

like our armies in Europe. For the citizens were all disarmed; and

when Dion afterwards invaded Sicily and called on his countrymen to

vindicate their liberty, he was obliged to bring arms along with him,

which he distributed among those who joined him. In a state where

agriculture alone flourishes there may be many inhabitants, and if

these be all armed and disciplined, a great force may be called out

upon occasion; but great numbers of mercenary troops can never be

maintained without either trade and manufactures, or very extensive

dominions. The United Provinces never were masters of such a force by

sea and land as that which is said to belong to Dionysius; yet they

possess as large a territory, perfectly well cultivated, and have

infinitely more resources from their commerce and industry. Diodorus

Siculus allows that, even in his time, the army of Dionysius appeared

incredible; that is, as I interpret it, it was entirely a fiction, and

the opinion arose from the exaggerated flattery of the courtiers, and

perhaps from the vanity and policy of the tyrant himself.

It is a very usual fallacy to consider all the ages of antiquity

as one period, and to compute the numbers contained in the great

cities mentioned by ancient authors as if these cities had been all

contemporary. The Greek colonies flourished extremely in Sicily during

the age of Alexander; but in Augustus’s time they were so decayed that

almost all the product of that fertile island was consumed in Italy.

Let us now examine the numbers of inhabitants assigned to particular

cities in antiquity, and omitting the numbers of Nineveh, Babylon,

and the Egyptian Thebes, let us confine ourselves to the sphere of

real history, to the Grecian and Roman states. I must own, the

more I consider this subject the more am I inclined to scepticism with

regard to the great populousness ascribed to ancient times.

Athens is said by Plato to be a very great city; and it was surely

the greatest of all the Greek​[74] cities, except Syracuse, which

was nearly about the same size in Thucydides’ time, and afterwards

increased beyond it; for Cicero​[75] mentions it as the greatest of

all the Greek cities in his time, not comprehending, I suppose, either

Antioch or Alexandria under that denomination. Athenæus says that, by

the enumeration of Demetrius Phalereus, there were in Athens 21,000

citizens, 10,000 strangers, and 400,000 slaves. This number is very

much insisted on by those whose opinion I call in question, and is

esteemed a fundamental fact to their purpose; but, in my opinion, there

is no point of criticism more certain than that Athenæus and Ctesicles,

whom he cites, are here mistaken, and that the number of slaves is

augmented by a whole cypher, and ought not to be regarded as more than

40,000.

Firstly, when the number of citizens is said to be 21,000 by

Athenæus,​[76] men of full age are only understood. For (1) Herodotus

says that Aristagoras, ambassador from the Ionians, found it harder

to deceive one Spartan than 30,000 Athenians, meaning in a loose way

the whole state, supposed to be met in one popular assembly, excluding

the women and children. (2) Thucydides says that, making allowance

for all the absentees in the fleet, army, garrisons, and for people

employed in their private affairs, the Athenian Assembly never rose to

five thousand. (3) The forces enumerated by the same historian,​[77]

being all citizens, and amounting to 13,000 heavy-armed infantry,

prove the same method of calculation, as also the whole tenor

of the Greek historians, who always understand men of full age when

they assign the number of citizens in any republic. Now, these being

but the fourth of the inhabitants, the free Athenians were by this

account 84,000, the strangers 40,000, and the slaves, calculating by

the smaller number, and allowing that they married and propagated at

the same rate with freemen, were 160,000, and the whole inhabitants

284,000—a large enough number surely. The other number, 1,720,000,

makes Athens larger than London and Paris united.

Secondly, there were but 10,000 houses in Athens.

Thirdly, though the extent of the walls, as given us by Thucydides, be

great (viz., eighteen miles, beside the sea-coast), yet Xenophon says

there was much waste ground within the walls. They seemed indeed to

have joined four distinct and separate cities.​[78]

Fourthly, no insurrection of the slaves, nor suspicion of insurrection,

are ever mentioned by historians, except one commotion of the miners.

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