The doctrine of cosmic evolution--the theory which in former times was

generally known as the nebular hypothesis--that the heavenly bodies

were formed by the slow contraction of heated nebulous masses, is

indicated by so many facts that it seems scarcely possible to doubt it

except on the theory that the laws of nature were, at some former time,

different from those which we now see in operation. Granting the

evolutionary hypothesis, every star has its lifetime. We can even lay

down the law by which it passes from infancy to old age. All stars do

not have the same length of life; the rule is that the larger the star,

or the greater the mass of matter which composes it, the longer will it

endure. Up to the present time, science can do nothing more than point

out these indications of a beginning, and their inevitable consequence,

that there is to be an end to the light and heat of every heavenly

body. But no cautious thinker can treat such a subject with the ease of

ordinary demonstration. The investigator may even be excused if he

stands dumb with awe before the creation of his own intellect. Our

accurate records of the operations of nature extend through only two or

three centuries, and do not reach a satisfactory standard until within

a single century. The experience of the individual is limited to a few

years, and beyond this period he must depend upon the records of his

ancestors. All his knowledge of the laws of nature is derived from this

very limited experience. How can he essay to describe what may have

been going on hundreds of millions of years in the past? Can he dare to

say that nature was the same then as now?

It is a fundamental principle of the theory of evolution, as developed

by its greatest recent expounder, that matter itself is eternal, and

that all the changes which have taken place in the universe, so far as

made up of matter, are in the nature of transformations of this eternal

substance. But we doubt whether any physical philosopher of the present

day would be satisfied to accept any demonstration of the eternity of

matter. All he would admit is that, so far as his observation goes, no

change in the quantity of matter can be produced by the action of any

known cause. It seems to be equally uncreatable and indestructible. But

he would, at the same time, admit that his experience no more sufficed

to settle the question than the observation of an animal for a single

day would settle the question of the duration of its life, or prove

that it had neither beginning nor end. He would probably admit that

even matter itself may be a product of evolution. The astronomer finds

it difficult to conceive that the great nebulous masses which he sees

in the celestial spaces--millions of times larger than the whole solar

system, yet so tenuous that they offer not the slightest obstruction to

the passage of a ray of light through their whole length--situated in

what seems to be a region of eternal cold, below anything that we can

produce on the earth's surface, yet radiating light, and with it heat,

like an incandescent body--can be made up of the same kind of substance

that we have around us on the earth's surface. Who knows but that the

radiant property that Becquerel has found in certain forms of matter

may be a residuum of some original form of energy which is inherent in

great cosmical masses, and has fed our sun during all the ages required

by the geologist for the structure of the earth's crusts? It may be

that in this phenomenon we have the key to the great riddle of the

universe, with which profounder secrets of matter than any we have

penetrated will be opened to the eyes of our successors.

IV

THE EXTENT OF THE UNIVERSE

We cannot expect that the wisest men of our remotest posterity, who can

base their conclusions upon thousands of years of accurate observation,

will reach a decision on this subject without some measure of reserve.

Such being the case, it might appear the dictate of wisdom to leave its

consideration to some future age, when it may be taken up with better

means of information than we now possess. But the question is one which

will refuse to be postponed so long as the propensity to think of the

possibilities of creation is characteristic of our race. The issue is

not whether we shall ignore the question altogether, like Eve in the

presence of Raphael; but whether in studying it we shall confine our

speculations within the limits set by sound scientific reasoning.

Essaying to do this, I invite the reader's attention to what science

may suggest, admitting in advance that the sphere of exact knowledge is

small compared with the possibilities of creation, and that outside

this sphere we can state only more or less probable conclusions.

The reader who desires to approach this subject in the most receptive

spirit should begin his study by betaking himself on a clear, moonless

evening, when he has no earthly concern to disturb the serenity of his

thoughts, to some point where he can lie on his back on bench or roof,

and scan the whole vault of heaven at one view. He can do this with the

greatest pleasure and profit in late summer or autumn--winter would do

equally well were it possible for the mind to rise so far above bodily

conditions that the question of temperature should not enter. The

thinking man who does this under circumstances most favorable for calm

thought will form a new conception of the wonder of the universe. If

summer or autumn be chosen, the stupendous arch of the Milky Way will

pass near the zenith, and the constellation Lyra, led by its beautiful

blue Vega of the first magnitude, may be not very far from that point.

South of it will be seen the constellation Aquila, marked by the bright

Altair, between two smaller but conspicuous stars. The bright Arcturus

will be somewhere in the west, and, if the observation is not made too

early in the season, Aldebaran will be seen somewhere in the east. When

attention is concentrated on the scene the thousands of stars on each

side of the Milky Way will fill the mind with the consciousness of a

stupendous and all-embracing frame, beside which all human affairs sink

into insignificance. A new idea will be formed of such a well-known

fact of astronomy as the motion of the solar system in space, by

reflecting that, during all human history, the sun, carrying the earth

with it, has been flying towards a region in or just south of the

constellation Lyra, with a speed beyond all that art can produce on

earth, without producing any change apparent to ordinary vision in the

aspect of the constellation. Not only Lyra and Aquila, but every one of

the thousand stars which form the framework of the sky, were seen by

our earliest ancestors just as we see them now. Bodily rest may be

obtained at any time by ceasing from our labors, and weary systems may

find nerve rest at any summer resort; but I know of no way in which

complete rest can be obtained for the weary soul--in which the mind can

be so entirely relieved of the burden of all human anxiety--as by the

contemplation of the spectacle presented by the starry heavens under

the conditions just described. As we make a feeble attempt to learn

what science can tell us about the structure of this starry frame, I

hope the reader will allow me to at least fancy him contemplating it in

this way.

The first question which may suggest itself to the inquiring reader is:

How is it possible by any methods of observation yet known to the

astronomer to learn anything about the universe as a whole? We may

commence by answering this question in a somewhat comprehensive way. It

is possible only because the universe, vast though it is, shows certain

characteristics of a unified and bounded whole. It is not a chaos, it

is not even a collection of things, each of which came into existence

in its own separate way. If it were, there would be nothing in common

between two widely separate regions of the universe. But, as a matter

of fact, science shows unity in the whole structure, and diversity only

in details. The Milky Way itself will be seen by the most ordinary

observer to form a single structure. This structure is, in some sort,

the foundation on which the universe is built. It is a girdle which

seems to span the whole of creation, so far as our telescopes have yet

enabled us to determine what creation is; and yet it has elements of

similarity in all its parts. What has yet more significance, it is in

some respects unlike those parts of the universe which lie without it,

and even unlike those which lie in that central region within it where

our system is now situated. The minute stars, individually far beyond

the limit of visibility to the naked eye, which form its cloudlike

agglomerations, are found to be mostly bluer in color, from one extreme

to the other, than the general average of the stars which make up the

rest of the universe.

In the preceding essay on the structure of the universe, we have

pointed out several features of the universe showing the unity of the

whole. We shall now bring together these and other features with a view

of showing their relation to the question of the extent of the universe.

The Milky Way being in a certain sense the foundation on which the

whole system is constructed, we have first to notice the symmetry of

the whole. This is seen in the fact that a certain resemblance is found

in any two opposite regions of the sky, no matter where we choose them.

If we take them in the Milky Way, the stars are more numerous than

elsewhere; if we take opposite regions in or near the Milky Way, we

shall find more stars in both of them than elsewhere; if we take them

in the region anywhere around the poles of the Milky Way, we shall find

fewer stars, but they will be equally numerous in each of the two

regions. We infer from this that whatever cause determined the number

of the stars in space was of the same nature in every two antipodal

regions of the heavens.

Another unity marked with yet more precision is seen in the chemical

elements of which stars are composed. We know that the sun is composed

of the same elements which we find on the earth and into which we

resolve compounds in our laboratories. These same elements are found in

the most distant stars. It is true that some of these bodies seem to

contain elements which we do not find on earth. But as these unknown

elements are scattered from one extreme of the universe to the other,

they only serve still further to enforce the unity which runs through

the whole. The nebulae are composed, in part at least, of forms of

matter dissimilar to any with which we are acquainted. But, different

though they may be, they are alike in their general character

throughout the whole field we are considering. Even in such a feature

as the proper motions of the stars, the same unity is seen. The reader

doubtless knows that each of these objects is flying through space on

its own course with a speed comparable with that of the earth around

the sun. These speeds range from the smallest limit up to more than one

hundred miles a second. Such diversity might seem to detract from the

unity of the whole; but when we seek to learn something definite by

taking their average, we find this average to be, so far as can yet be

determined, much the same in opposite regions of the universe. Quite

recently it has become probable that a certain class of very bright

stars known as Orion stars--because there are many of them in the most

brilliant of our constellations--which are scattered along the whole

course of the Milky Way, have one and all, in the general average,

slower motions than other stars. Here again we have a definable

characteristic extending through the universe. In drawing attention to

these points of similarity throughout the whole universe, it must not

be supposed that we base our conclusions directly upon them. The point

they bring out is that the universe is in the nature of an organized

system; and it is upon the fact of its being such a system that we are

able, by other facts, to reach conclusions as to its structure, extent,

and other characteristics.

One of the great problems connected with the universe is that of its

possible extent. How far away are the stars? One of the unities which

we have described leads at once to the conclusion that the stars must

be at very different distances from us; probably the more distant ones

are a thousand times as far as the nearest; possibly even farther than

this. This conclusion may, in the first place, be based on the fact

that the stars seem to be scattered equally throughout those regions of

the universe which are not connected with the Milky Way. To illustrate

the principle, suppose a farmer to sow a wheat-field of entirely

unknown extent with ten bushels of wheat. We visit the field and wish

to have some idea of its acreage. We may do this if we know how many

grains of wheat there are in the ten bushels. Then we examine a space

two or three feet square in any part of the field and count the number

of grains in that space. If the wheat is equally scattered over the

whole field, we find its extent by the simple rule that the size of the

field bears the same proportion to the size of the space in which the

count was made that the whole number of grains in the ten bushels sown

bears to the number of grains counted. If we find ten grains in a

square foot, we know that the number of square feet in the whole field

is one-tenth that of the number of grains sown. So it is with the

universe of stars. If the latter are sown equally through space, the

extent of the space occupied must be proportional to the number of

stars which it contains.

But this consideration does not tell us anything about the actual

distance of the stars or how thickly they may be scattered. To do this

we must be able to determine the distance of a certain number of stars,

just as we suppose the farmer to count the grains in a certain small

extent of his wheat-field. There is only one way in which we can make a

definite measure of the distance of any one star. As the earth swings

through its vast annual circuit round the sun, the direction of the

stars must appear to be a little different when seen from one extremity

of the circuit than when seen from the other. This difference is called

the parallax of the stars; and the problem of measuring it is one of

the most delicate and difficult in the whole field of practical

astronomy.

The nineteenth century was well on its way before the instruments of

the astronomer were brought to such perfection as to admit of the

measurement. From the time of Copernicus to that of Bessel many

attempts had been made to measure the parallax of the stars, and more

than once had some eager astronomer thought himself successful. But

subsequent investigation always showed that he had been mistaken, and

that what he thought was the effect of parallax was due to some other

cause, perhaps the imperfections of his instrument, perhaps the effect

of heat and cold upon it or upon the atmosphere through which he was

obliged to observe the star, or upon the going of his clock. Thus

things went on until 1837, when Bessel announced that measures with a

heliometer--the most refined instrument that has ever been used in

measurement--showed that a certain star in the constellation Cygnus had

a parallax of one-third of a second. It may be interesting to give an

idea of this quantity. Suppose one's self in a house on top of a

mountain looking out of a window one foot square, at a house on another

mountain one hundred miles away. One is allowed to look at that distant

house through one edge of the pane of glass and then through the

opposite edge; and he has to determine the change in the direction of

the distant house produced by this change of one foot in his own

position. From this he is to estimate how far off the other mountain

is. To do this, one would have to measure just about the amount of

parallax that Bessel found in his star. And yet this star is among the

few nearest to our system. The nearest star of all, Alpha Centauri,

visible only in latitudes south of our middle ones, is perhaps half as

far as Bessel's star, while Sirius and one or two others are nearly at

the same distance. About 100 stars, all told, have had their parallax

measured with a greater or less degree of probability. The work is

going on from year to year, each successive astronomer who takes it up

being able, as a general rule, to avail himself of better instruments

or to use a better method. But, after all, the distances of even some

of the 100 stars carefully measured must still remain quite doubtful.

Let us now return to the idea of dividing the space in which the

universe is situated into concentric spheres drawn at various distances

around our system as a centre. Here we shall take as our standard a

distance 400,000 times that of the sun from the earth. Regarding this

as a unit, we imagine ourselves to measure out in any direction a

distance twice as great as this--then another equal distance, making

one three times as great, and so indefinitely. We then have successive

spheres of which we take the nearer one as the unit. The total space

filled by the second sphere will be 8 times the unit; that of the third

space 27 times, and so on, as the cube of each distance. Since each

sphere includes all those within it, the volume of space between each

two spheres will be proportional to the difference of these

numbers--that is, to 1, 7, 19, etc. Comparing these volumes with the

number of stars probably within them, the general result up to the

present time is that the number of stars in any of these spheres will

be about equal to the units of volume which they comprise, when we take

for this unit the smallest and innermost of the spheres, having a

radius 400,000 times the sun's distance. We are thus enabled to form

some general idea of how thickly the stars are sown through space. We

cannot claim any numerical exactness for this idea, but in the absence

of better methods it does afford us some basis for reasoning.

Now we can carry on our computation as we supposed the farmer to

measure the extent of his wheat-field. Let us suppose that there are

125,000,000 stars in the heavens. This is an exceedingly rough

estimate, but let us make the supposition for the time being. Accepting

the view that they are nearly equally scattered throughout space, it

will follow that they must be contained within a volume equal to

125,000,000 times the sphere we have taken as our unit. We find the

distance of the surface of this sphere by extracting the cube root of

this number, which gives us 500. We may, therefore, say, as the result

of a very rough estimate, that the number of stars we have supposed

would be contained within a distance found by multiplying 400,000 times

the distance of the sun by 500; that is, that they are contained within

a region whose boundary is 200,000,000 times the distance of the sun.

This is a distance through which light would travel in about 3300 years.

It is not impossible that the number of stars is much greater than that

we have supposed. Let us grant that there are eight times as many, or

1,000,000,000. Then we should have to extend the boundary of our

universe twice as far, carrying it to a distance which light would

require 6600 years to travel.

There is another method of estimating the thickness with which stars

are sown through space, and hence the extent of the universe, the

result of which will be of interest. It is based on the proper motion

of the stars. One of the greatest triumphs of astronomy of our time has

been the measurement of the actual speed at which many of the stars are

moving to or from us in space. These measures are made with the

spectroscope. Unfortunately, they can be best made only on the brighter

stars--becoming very difficult in the case of stars not plainly visible

to the naked eye. Still the motions of several hundreds have been

measured and the number is constantly increasing.

A general result of all these measures and of other estimates may be

summed up by saying that there is a certain average speed with which

the individual stars move in space; and that this average is about

twenty miles per second. We are also able to form an estimate as to

what proportion of the stars move with each rate of speed from the

lowest up to a limit which is probably as high as 150 miles per second.

Knowing these proportions we have, by observation of the proper motions

of the stars, another method of estimating how thickly they are

scattered in space; in other words, what is the volume of space which,

on the average, contains a single star. This method gives a thickness

of the stars greater by about twenty-five per cent, than that derived

from the measures of parallax. That is to say, a sphere like the second

we have proposed, having a radius 800,000 times the distance of the

sun, and therefore a diameter 1,600,000 times this distance, would,

judging by the proper motions, have ten or twelve stars contained

within it, while the measures of parallax only show eight stars within

the sphere of this diameter having the sun as its centre. The

probabilities are in favor of the result giving the greater thickness

of the stars. But, after all, the discrepancy does not change the

general conclusion as to the limits of the visible universe. If we

cannot estimate its extent with the same certainty that we can

determine the size of the earth, we can still form a general idea of it.

The estimates we have made are based on the supposition that the stars

are equally scattered in space. We have good reason to believe that

this is true of all the stars except those of the Milky Way. But, after

all, the latter probably includes half the whole number of stars

visible with a telescope, and the question may arise whether our

results are seriously wrong from this cause. This question can best be

solved by yet another method of estimating the average distance of

certain classes of stars.

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