If, as was formerly supposed, the stars did not greatly differ in the

amount of light emitted by each, and if their diversity of apparent

magnitude were due principally to the greater distance of the fainter

stars, then the brightness of a star would enable us to form a more or

less approximate idea of its distance. But the accumulated researches

of the past seventy years show that the stars differ so enormously in

their actual luminosity that the apparent brightness of a star affords

us only a very imperfect indication of its distance. While, in the

general average, the brighter stars must be nearer to us than the

fainter ones, it by no means follows that a very bright star, even of

the first magnitude, is among the nearer to our system. Two stars are

worthy of especial mention in this connection, Canopus and Rigel. The

first is, with the single exception of Sirius, the brightest star in

the heavens. The other is a star of the first magnitude in the

southwest corner of Orion. The most long-continued and complete

measures of parallax yet made are those carried on by Gill, at the Cape

of Good Hope, on these two and some other bright stars. The results,

published in 1901, show that neither of these bodies has any parallax

that can be measured by the most refined instrumental means known to

astronomy. In other words, the distance of these stars is immeasurably

great. The actual amount of light emitted by each is certainly

thousands and probably tens of thousands of times that of the sun.

Notwithstanding the difficulties that surround the subject, we can at

least say something of the distance of a considerable number of the

stars. Two methods are available for our estimate--measures of parallax

and determination of proper motions.

The problem of stellar parallax, simple though it is in its conception,

is the most delicate and difficult of all which the practical

astronomer has to encounter. An idea of it may be gained by supposing a

minute object on a mountain-top, we know not how many miles away, to be

visible through a telescope. The observer is allowed to change the

position of his instrument by two inches, but no more. He is required

to determine the change in the direction of the object produced by this

minute displacement with accuracy enough to determine the distance of

the mountain. This is quite analogous to the determination of the

change in the direction in which we see a star as the earth, moving

through its vast circuit, passes from one extremity of its orbit to the

other. Representing this motion on such a scale that the distance of

our planet from the sun shall be one inch, we find that the nearest

star, on the same scale, will be more than four miles away, and

scarcely one out of a million will be at a less distance than ten

miles. It is only by the most wonderful perfection both in the

heliometer, the instrument principally used for these measures, and in

methods of observation, that any displacement at all can be seen even

among the nearest stars. The parallaxes of perhaps a hundred stars have

been determined, with greater or less precision, and a few hundred more

may be near enough for measurement. All the others are immeasurably

distant; and it is only by statistical methods based on their proper

motions and their probable near approach to equality in distribution

that any idea can be gained of their distances.

To form a conception of the stellar system, we must have a unit of

measure not only exceeding any terrestrial standard, but even any

distance in the solar system. For purely astronomical purposes the most

convenient unit is the distance corresponding to a parallax of 1",

which is a little more than 200,000 times the sun's distance. But for

the purposes of all but the professional astronomer the most convenient

unit will be the light-year--that is, the distance through which light

would travel in one year. This is equal to the product of 186,000

miles, the distance travelled in one second, by 31,558,000, the number

of seconds in a year. The reader who chooses to do so may perform the

multiplication for himself. The product will amount to about 63,000

times the distance of the sun.

[Illustration with caption: A Typical Star Cluster--Centauri]

The nearest star whose distance we know, Alpha Centauri, is distant

from us more than four light-years. In all likelihood this is really

the nearest star, and it is not at all probable that any other star

lies within six light-years. Moreover, if we were transported to this

star the probability seems to be that the sun would now be the nearest

star to us. Flying to any other of the stars whose parallax has been

measured, we should probably find that the average of the six or eight

nearest stars around us ranges somewhere between five and seven

light-years. We may, in a certain sense, call eight light-years a

star-distance, meaning by this term the average of the nearest

distances from one star to the surrounding ones.

To put the result of measures of parallax into another form, let us

suppose, described around our sun as a centre, a system of concentric

spheres each of whose surfaces is at the distance of six light-years

outside the sphere next within it. The inner is at the distance of six

light-years around the sun. The surface of the second sphere will be

twelve light-years away, that of the third eighteen, etc. The volumes

of space within each of these spheres will be as the cubes of the

diameters. The most likely conclusion we can draw from measures of

parallax is that the first sphere will contain, beside the sun at its

centre, only Alpha Centauri. The second, twelve light-years away, will

probably contain, besides these two, six other stars, making eight in

all. The third may contain twenty-one more, making twenty-seven stars

within the third sphere, which is the cube of three. Within the fourth

would probably be found sixty-four stars, this being the cube of four,

and so on.

Beyond this no measures of parallax yet made will give us much

assistance. We can only infer that probably the same law holds for a

large number of spheres, though it is quite certain that it does not

hold indefinitely. For more light on the subject we must have recourse

to the proper motions. The latest words of astronomy on this subject

may be briefly summarized. As a rule, no star is at rest. Each is

moving through space with a speed which differs greatly with different

stars, but is nearly always swift, indeed, when measured by any

standard to which we are accustomed. Slow and halting, indeed, is that

star which does not make more than a mile a second. With two or three

exceptions, where the attraction of a companion comes in, the motion of

every star, so far as yet determined, takes place in a straight line.

In its outward motion the flying body deviates neither to the right nor

left. It is safe to say that, if any deviation is to take place,

thousands of years will be required for our terrestrial observers to

recognize it.

Rapid as the course of these objects is, the distances which we have

described are such that, in the great majority of cases, all the

observations yet made on the positions of the stars fail to show any

well-established motion. It is only in the case of the nearer of these

objects that we can expect any motion to be perceptible during the

period, in no case exceeding one hundred and fifty years, through which

accurate observations extend. The efforts of all the observatories

which engage in such work are, up to the present time, unequal to the

task of grappling with the motions of all the stars that can be seen

with the instruments, and reaching a decision as to the proper motion

in each particular case. As the question now stands, the aim of the

astronomer is to determine what stars have proper motions large enough

to be well established. To make our statement on this subject clear, it

must be understood that by this term the astronomer does not mean the

speed of a star in space, but its angular motion as he observes it on

the celestial sphere. A star moving forward with a given speed will

have a greater proper motion according as it is nearer to us. To avoid

all ambiguity, we shall use the term "speed" to express the velocity in

miles per second with which such a body moves through space, and the

term "proper motion" to express the apparent angular motion which the

astronomer measures upon the celestial sphere.

Up to the present time, two stars have been found whose proper motions

are so large that, if continued, the bodies would make a complete

circuit of the heavens in less than 200,000 years. One of these would

require about 160,000; the other about 180,000 years for the circuit.

Of other stars having a rapid motion only about one hundred would

complete their course in less than a million of years.

Quite recently a system of observations upon stars to the ninth

magnitude has been nearly carried through by an international

combination of observatories. The most important conclusion from these

observations relates to the distribution of the stars with reference to

the Milky Way, which we have already described. We have shown that

stars of every magnitude, bright and faint, show a tendency to crowd

towards this belt. It is, therefore, remarkable that no such tendency

is seen in the case of those stars which have proper motions large

enough to be accurately determined. So far as yet appears, such stars

are equally scattered over the heavens, without reference to the course

of the Milky Way. The conclusion is obvious. These stars are all inside

the girdle of the Milky Way, and within the sphere which contains them

the distribution in space is approximately uniform. At least there is

no well-marked condensation in the direction of the galaxy nor any

marked thinning out towards its poles. What can we say as to the extent

of this sphere?

To answer this question, we have to consider whether there is any

average or ordinary speed that a star has in space. A great number of

motions in the line of sight--that is to say, in the direction of the

line from us to the star--have been measured with great precision by

Campbell at the Lick Observatory, and by other astronomers. The

statistical investigations of Kaptoyn also throw much light on the

subject. The results of these investigators agree well in showing an

average speed in space--a straight-ahead motion we may call it--of

twenty-one miles per second. Some stars may move more slowly than this

to any extent; others more rapidly. In two or three cases the speed

exceeds one hundred miles per second, but these are quite exceptional.

By taking several thousand stars having a given proper motion, we may

form a general idea of their average distance, though a great number of

them will exceed this average to a considerable extent. The conclusion

drawn in this way would be that the stars having an apparent proper

motion of 10" per century or more are mostly contained within, or lie

not far outside of a sphere whose surface is at a distance from us of

200 light-years. Granting the volume of space which we have shown that

nature seems to allow to each star, this sphere should contain 27,000

stars in all. There are about 10,000 stars known to have so large a

proper motion as 10". But there is no actual discordance between these

results, because not only are there, in all probability, great numbers

of stars of which the proper motion is not yet recognized, but there

are within the sphere a great number of stars whose motion is less than

the average. On the other hand, it is probable that a considerable

number of the 10,000 stars lie at a distance at least one-half greater

than that of the radius of the sphere.

On the whole, it seems likely that, out to a distance of 300 or even

400 light-years, there is no marked inequality in star distribution. If

we should explore the heavens to this distance, we should neither find

the beginning of the Milky Way in one direction nor a very marked

thinning out in the other. This conclusion is quite accordant with the

probabilities of the case. If all the stars which form the groundwork

of the Milky Way should be blotted out, we should probably find

100,000,000, perhaps even more, remaining. Assigning to each star the

space already shown to be its quota, we should require a sphere of

about 3000 light-years radius to contain such a number of stars. At

some such distance as this, we might find a thinning out of the stars

in the direction of the galactic poles, or the commencement of the

Milky Way in the direction of this stream.

Even if this were not found at the distance which we have supposed, it

is quite certain that, at some greater distance, we should at least

find that the region of the Milky Way is richer in stars than the

region near the galactic poles. There is strong reason, based on the

appearance of the stars of the Milky Way, their physical constitution,

and their magnitudes as seen in the telescope, to believe that, were we

placed on one of these stars, we should find the stars around us to be

more thickly strewn than they are around our system. In other words,

the quota of space filled by each star is probably less in the region

of the Milky Way than it is near the centre where we seem to be

situated.

We are, therefore, presented with what seems to be the most

extraordinary spectacle that the universe can offer, a ring of stars

spanning it, and including within its limits by far the great majority

of the stars within our system. We have in this spectacle another

example of the unity which seems to pervade the system. We might

imagine the latter so arranged as to show diversity to any extent. We

might have agglomerations of stars like those of the Milky Way situated

in some corner of the system, or at its centre, or scattered through it

here and there in every direction. But such is not the case. There are,

indeed, a few star-clusters scattered here and there through the

system; but they are essentially different from the clusters of the

Milky Way, and cannot be regarded as forming an important part of the

general plan. In the case of the galaxy we have no such scattering, but

find the stars built, as it were, into this enormous ring, having

similar characteristics throughout nearly its whole extent, and having

within it a nearly uniform scattering of stars, with here and there

some collected into clusters. Such, to our limited vision, now appears

the universe as a whole.

We have already alluded to the conclusion that an absolutely infinite

system of stars would cause the entire heavens to be filled with a

blaze of light as bright as the sun. It is also true that the

attractive force within such a universe would be infinitely great in

some direction or another. But neither of these considerations enables

us to set a limit to the extent of our system. In two remarkable papers

by Lord Kelvin which have recently appeared, the one being an address

before the British Association at its Glasgow meeting, in 1901, are

given the results of some numerical computations pertaining to this

subject. Granting that the stars are scattered promiscuously through

space with some approach to uniformity in thickness, and are of a known

degree of brilliancy, it is easy to compute how far out the system must

extend in order that, looking up at the sky, we shall see a certain

amount of light coming from the invisible stars. Granting that, in the

general average, each star is as bright as the sun, and that their

thickness is such that within a sphere of 3300 light-years there are

1,000,000,000 stars, if we inquire how far out such a system must be

continued in order that the sky shall shine with even four per cent of

the light of the sun, we shall find the distance of its boundary so

great that millions of millions of years would be required for the

light of the outer stars to reach the centre of the system. In view of

the fact that this duration in time far exceeds what seems to be the

possible life duration of a star, so far as our knowledge of it can

extend, the mere fact that the sky does not glow with any such

brightness proves little or nothing as to the extent of the system.

We may, however, replace these purely negative considerations by

inquiring how much light we actually get from the invisible stars of

our system. Here we can make a definite statement. Mark out a small

circle in the sky 1 degree in diameter. The quantity of light which we

receive on a cloudless and moonless night from the sky within this

circle admits of actual determination. From the measures so far

available it would seem that, in the general average, this quantity of

light is not very different from that of a star of the fifth magnitude.

This is something very different from a blaze of light. A star of the

fifth magnitude is scarcely more than plainly visible to ordinary

vision. The area of the whole sky is, in round numbers, about 50,000

times that of the circle we have described. It follows that the total

quantity of light which we receive from all the stars is about equal to

that of 50,000 stars of the fifth magnitude--somewhat more than 1000 of

the first magnitude. This whole amount of light would have to be

multiplied by 90,000,000 to make a light equal to that of the sun. It

is, therefore, not at all necessary to consider how far the system must

extend in order that the heavens should blaze like the sun. Adopting

Lord Kelvin's hypothesis, we shall find that, in order that we may

receive from the stars the amount of light we have designated, this

system need not extend beyond some 5000 light-years. But this

hypothesis probably overestimates the thickness of the stars in space.

It does not seem probable that there are as many as 1,000,000,000 stars

within the sphere of 3300 light-years. Nor is it at all certain that

the light of the average star is equal to that of the sun. It is

impossible, in the present state of our knowledge, to assign any

definite value to this average. To do so is a problem similar to that

of assigning an average weight to each component of the animal

creation, from the microscopic insects which destroy our plants up to

the elephant. What we can say with a fair approximation to confidence

is that, if we could fly out in any direction to a distance of 20,000,

perhaps even of 10,000, light-years, we should find that we had left a

large fraction of our system behind us. We should see its boundary in

the direction in which we had travelled much more certainly than we see

it from our stand-point.

We should not dismiss this branch of the subject without saying that

considerations are frequently adduced by eminent authorities which tend

to impair our confidence in almost any conclusion as to the limits of

the stellar system. The main argument is based on the possibility that

light is extinguished in its passage through space; that beyond a

certain distance we cannot see a star, however bright, because its

light is entirely lost before reaching us. That there could be any loss

of light in passing through an absolute vacuum of any extent cannot be

admitted by the physicist of to-day without impairing what he considers

the fundamental principles of the vibration of light. But the

possibility that the celestial spaces are pervaded by matter which

might obstruct the passage of light is to be considered. We know that

minute meteoric particles are flying through our system in such numbers

that the earth encounters several millions of them every day, which

appear to us in the familiar phenomena of shooting-stars. If such

particles are scattered through all space, they must ultimately

obstruct the passage of light. We know little of the size of these

bodies, but, from the amount of energy contained in their light as they

are consumed in the passage through our atmosphere, it does not seem at

all likely that they are larger than grains of sand or, perhaps, minute

pebbles. They are probably vastly more numerous in the vicinity of the

sun than in the interstellar spaces, since they would naturally tend to

be collected by the sun's attraction. In fact there are some reasons

for believing that most of these bodies are the debris of comets; and

the latter are now known to belong to the solar system, and not to the

universe at large.

But whatever view we take of these possibilities, they cannot

invalidate our conclusion as to the general structure of the stellar

system as we know it. Were meteors so numerous as to cut off a large

fraction of the light from the more distant stars, we should see no

Milky Way, but the apparent thickness of the stars in every direction

would be nearly the same. The fact that so many more of these objects

are seen around the galactic belt than in the direction of its poles

shows that, whatever extinction light may suffer in going through the

greatest distances, we see nearly all that comes from stars not more

distant than the Milky Way itself.

Intimately connected with the subject we have discussed is the question

of the age of our system, if age it can be said to have. In considering

this question, the simplest hypothesis to suggest itself is that the

universe has existed forever in some such form as we now see it; that

it is a self-sustaining system, able to go on forever with only such

cycles of transformation as may repeat themselves indefinitely, and

may, therefore, have repeated themselves indefinitely in the past.

Ordinary observation does not make anything known to us which would

seem to invalidate this hypothesis. In looking upon the operations of

the universe, we may liken ourselves to a visitor to the earth from

another sphere who has to draw conclusions about the life of an

individual man from observations extending through a few days. During

that time, he would see no reason why the life of the man should have

either a beginning or an end. He sees a daily round of change, activity

and rest, nutrition and waste; but, at the end of the round, the

individual is seemingly restored to his state of the day before. Why

may not this round have been going on forever, and continue in the

future without end? It would take a profounder course of observation

and a longer time to show that, notwithstanding this seeming

restoration, an imperceptible residual of vital energy, necessary to

the continuance of life, has not been restored, and that the loss of

this residuum day by day must finally result in death.

The case is much the same with the great bodies of the universe.

Although, to superficial observation, it might seem that they could

radiate their light forever, the modern generalizations of physics show

that such cannot be the case. The radiation of light necessarily

involves a corresponding loss of heat and with it the expenditure of

some form of energy. The amount of energy within any body is

necessarily limited. The supply must be exhausted unless the energy of

the light sent out into infinite space is, in some way, restored to the

body which expended it. The possibility of such a restoration

completely transcends our science. How can the little vibration which

strikes our eye from some distant star, and which has been perhaps

thousands of years in reaching us, find its way back to its origin? The

light emitted by the sun 10,000 years ago is to-day pursuing its way in

a sphere whose surface is 10,000 light-years distant on all sides.

Science has nothing even to suggest the possibility of its restoration,

and the most delicate observations fail to show any return from the

unfathomable abyss.

Up to the time when radium was discovered, the most careful

investigations of all conceivable sources of supply had shown only one

which could possibly be of long duration. This is the contraction which

is produced in the great incandescent bodies of the universe by the

loss of the heat which they radiate. As remarked in the preceding

essay, the energy generated by the sun's contraction could not have

kept up its present supply of heat for much more than twenty or thirty

millions of years, while the study of earth and ocean shows evidence of

the action of a series of causes which must have been going on for

hundreds of millions of years.

The antagonism between the two conclusions is even more marked than

would appear from this statement. The period of the sun's heat set by

the astronomical physicist is that during which our luminary could

possibly have existed in its present form. The period set by the

geologist is not merely that of the sun's existence, but that during

which the causes effecting geological changes have not undergone any

complete revolution. If, at any time, the sun radiated much less than

its present amount of heat, no water could have existed on the earth's

surface except in the form of ice; there would have been scarcely any

evaporation, and the geological changes due to erosion could not have

taken place. Moreover, the commencement of the geological operations of

which we speak is by no means the commencement of the earth's

existence. The theories of both parties agree that, for untold aeons

before the geological changes now visible commenced, our planet was a

molten mass, perhaps even an incandescent globe like the sun. During

all those aeons the sun must have been in existence as a vast nebulous

mass, first reaching as far as the earth's orbit, and slowly

contracting its dimensions. And these aeons are to be included in any

estimate of the age of the sun.

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