I have in a great measure confined my inquiries to two objects, the

situation of the finances of Spain and its disposition toward us and

our ally. Every day gives me reason to think the former are critically

circumstanced. I know from good authority the ways and means for the

next year are not devised yet, and I have great reason to believe that

the necessary funds cannot be procured by taxation, because the

augmentation of the present year's taxes has not produced what the

Ministry expected, and neither the commerce nor produce of Spain will

permit further efforts in this way. In short, the current expenses of

1780 have exceeded the revenue twentyfive millions of dollars, and

notwithstanding, the arrearages to the public creditors are

considerable.

The loan for nine millions of dollars, mentioned in my former letters,

is not yet completed, in part owing to the obstacles thrown in its way

by M. Necker. The resentment of the Spanish Ministry, which this

interference excited, has not yet subsided, and I am afraid the

prejudices thereby excited will not soon be eradicated, although

common interest may stifle them apparently at present. The mode of

raising money in the manner heretofore mentioned may become the only

plan practicable, should others now in contemplation not succeed, and

Spain may be obliged to have recourse to paper, from inability to

procure money by other methods.

The Court of Great Britain is well informed of their situation through

Mr Cumberland, their emissary here, who spends a great deal of money.

Influenced by which, and other advices, the King has, in his speech to

Parliament, openly avowed his determination to prosecute the war with

vigor, and he will be supported by a great majority in both houses.

From the best information I have been able to collect, I am sorry to

tell you, that the nation will be able to borrow the sum demanded for

the expenditures of 1781, which with the usual vote of credit at the

end of the session, will amount to sixteen millions sterling at least.

The scheme of the Ministry to effect this is not yet public, but I am

told, it will be on similar conditions to those of the present year.

Ninetytwo thousand men are voted for the marine, and I have reason to

think a considerable reinforcement will be sent early to the

southward, and that agreeably to a proposition of Sir J. Amherst, the

enemy means to occupy and fortify strongly a port near the month of

Chesapeake Bay, from which with a strong garrison and a naval force,

they hope to interrupt the navigation of the Bay, and by frequent

incursions prevent the States of Maryland and Virginia from sending

supplies of men, &c. &c. to the Carolinas. Among the troops mentioned

to be embarked there, are three regiments of light dragoons. Your

servants nearer Great Britain will give you more accurate information.

I am persuaded that our ally will take early measures for defeating

these designs. This latter information is derived indirectly from

conversations with men in a situation to be well informed. The

disposition of this Court depends much on its hopes of obtaining the

objects for which it commenced the war, and I should not merit the

confidence reposed in me if I did not tell you plainly, that I believe

that the exclusive possession of the Gulf of Mexico is the favorite

object, and that if they cannot obtain it by a connexion with the

United States, they will endeavor to procure it, by a general, if not

by a separate peace, to which the King's good faith is, perhaps, at

present the greatest obstacle. The Congress knows best the situation

of their affairs, and I hope it may be such as to enable them to

preserve the rights of all the States.

As I have frequent occasions of seeing the foreign Ministers here, and

their Secretaries, I am too often obliged to remark their partiality

for Great Britain, and jealousy of the house of Bourbon, particularly

those of Russia, Vienna, Sardinia, Portugal, and Holland. Some of

these, in my opinion, are the best spies England employs here.

Jealousy on the one hand, and on the other compassion and admiration,

begin to take the place of envy and interest. The transition from

these to friendship and support is not difficult, if their masters do

not differ in sentiments from their servants. Our perseverance, vigor,

and exertions occasion a hesitation with respect to the event of the

war, which augments or diminishes in proportion to their ideas of the

intentions of this Court, which leads me to think it probable, that

if Spain would enter into positive engagements with the United States,

the hopes of the enemy to divide the allies would be at an end; the

neutral powers would think our independence certain, and would

endeavor to terminate the war, while Great Britain is in such a

situation as to be able to preserve her other possessions.

Should the situation of affairs in America be in a worse situation

than I hope they are, and should the Congress judge it necessary for

their establishment to make further advances and sacrifices, permit me

to take the liberty of observing, that these offers should be

accompanied with a proviso of this Court's avowing the independence of

the States immediately, otherwise the offers should be considered as

null, and no pretensions formed thereon in a treaty for a general

peace. At the same time, it might suit the States to procure a sum in

specie from the Spanish settlements in America, and to obtain certain

advantages of preference in the admission of the produce of their

fisheries into the ports of Spain. I think it my duty to write you

fully and freely the sentiments which arise from the opportunity of

information you have given me, and should be happy to give you such as

would be more acceptable to you, and more conformable to my wishes.

Mr Jay has received and accepted your bills to the amount of fifteen

thousand dollars, and I hope will be enabled to pay them; but this

business has thwarted the other part of his mission here, in showing

our necessities so plainly. For this Court seems to expect equivalents

for services rendered, and the interest of money advanced to us is not

its object. This leads me to repeat what I mentioned in a former

letter, of the King's satisfaction for a resolution of Congress,

permitting the exportation of flour to the Havana, and that every

similar manifestation of amity will much contribute to counteract the

intrigues of the enemy here. The Minister of the Indies lately assured

me, that his Majesty had directed him to return thanks, through the

Chevalier de la Luzerne, for the respect shown at the interment of M.

Miralles.

Having mentioned this gentleman, I am induced to speak of his intended

successor, M. Gardoqui, who has now been named near five months, yet

is still here. This detention is one reason among many others, which

makes me fear the Court has not taken a decisive part for the next

year, although the last declarations of the Minister on this subject

were clear and positive. I have purposely omitted speaking of the

operations of the war in Europe, and other articles of intelligence,

in order to have it in my power to give you the latest I have

received. I hear from England, that Mr Laurens is closely confined,

and treated as a prisoner of State. The Committee may be persuaded,

that retaliation on some of the English prisoners of consequence, will

be regarded in Europe as a proof of the confidence of Congress in the

support of the people.

A copy of the proposed treaty with the States of Holland, was taken

among the papers of Mr Laurens, and sent by the British Ministry to

the Stadtholder, who endeavored to criminate the Pensionary of

Amsterdam and those concerned with him, in consequence of this

discovery. He is, however, supported by the Regency, and this step of

the Stadtholder, not having the effect intended, Sir Joseph Yorke has

presented a violent and menacing Memorial to the States, demanding the

punishment of the Pensionary and his accomplices.[8] I am advised that

this Memorial has irritated in place of intimidating, and that since

four of the seven States have agreed to accede to the armed

neutrality, the persons attacked by the British Court have no

apprehensions, and, possibly, the capture of these papers may

eventually be of great advantage to the United States, by

precipitating the conduct of England, and obliging the States to take

a part contrary to their dispositions, and, perhaps, to the interest

of one or other nation. The situation of M. Dumas is rendered more

critical by this circumstance, and it would be injustice to him not to

mention, that he is indefatigable to contribute to our information by

his correspondence, and by his frequent publications to represent our

situation in the most favorable point of view.

Mr Jay will transmit Congress a full state of our affairs here, with

all the papers necessary to elucidate it. I have seen but one letter

from Congress since my residence in Spain, from which I conjecture Mr

Jay has received but one. He informs me he has written Congress, that

it has not been my fault, that all copies of letters for their

inspection did not appear with my signature. In the month of May, I

answered in writing the instructions he gave me at Cadiz, as I did

_viva voce_ at Aranjues in April, before he entered Madrid. I should

not mention this circumstance to the Committee, if I did not know that

copies of these instructions had been forwarded to Congress, and only

abstracts of the most important part of my answer sent them; I will

take the liberty, therefore, of sending by the first safe opportunity

the whole of my answer, from no other motive than that of evincing my

desire to comply in every point with the duties of the trust reposed

in me.

I have the honor to be, &c.

WILLIAM CARMICHAEL.

_P. S. December 8th._--The Count d'Estaing sailed the 7th ult. from

Cadiz, and, as yet, we have no news of his arrival in France. Mr

Cumberland is still here, and waits an answer to despatches sent by

the Abbe Hussey to England, which is daily expected. Mr Jay has

received a letter from the Count de Vergennes, that France cannot

provide for the payment of your bills here. But I always hope the

credit of America must not be ruined for want of L100,000 sterling,

although, personally, your servants have not money to pay their debts.

W. C.

FOOTNOTES:

[8] See all the above papers in the Annual Register for 1780, pp.

356-380.

* * * * *

TO THE COMMITTEE OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS.

Madrid, December 19th, 1780.

Gentlemen,

I wrote to the Committee the 20th ult. to which letter I beg leave to

refer them. Having now an opportunity of writing by a vessel, which

conveys a copy of my last, I seize it to inform them that the

situation of our affairs here is much the same as at that period. Mr

Jay has received near eighteen thousand dollars to pay the bills first

accepted, and this, with the twentyfive thousand expected from France,

will give us a respite until the month of March. In the interval, I

hope the Court will enable Mr Jay to answer the others as they become

due, though this will depend much on the facility it finds to procure

money. I have reason to think that the Ministry expect some treasure

from America, that they hope to negotiate in Holland a loan of forty

millions of reals, and another at home and abroad for eight millions

of dollars. I shall be glad to see these expectations realised.

The States of Holland have acceded to the armed neutrality;

notwithstanding this, the English contrive to take their ships every

day, and it is not improbable, that orders have been given to attack

their possessions in the East Indies. No satisfaction has, as yet,

been given by the States in answer to the Memorial of Sir Joseph

Yorke, mentioned in my last. The Dutch Minister and his Secretary have

each told me, that it would be considered as words, and answered as

such.

The Empress Queen is dead, which leaves the Emperor to act at full

liberty. He is said to be ambitious and revengeful, and well disposed

to Great Britain. I know that his Envoy at this Court is strongly

attached to the interests of that country; but his father, the Prince

de Kaunitz, was too long the favorite of the mother, to expect to hold

the same influence with the son. It is to be hoped, that the ensuing

campaign will pass, before the Emperor can be in a situation to

embroil the affairs of Europe.

The Count d'Estaing, who sailed from Cadiz the 7th ultimo, was not

arrived in France at the departure of the last courier. This is an

unlucky circumstance, as it will retard the operations of the ensuing

year. Mr Cumberland is still here, and entertains hopes of success, or

affects to do so. The Count de Montmorin seems to have no

apprehensions, and while that is the case, I flatter myself that we

need not be uneasy at a circumstance, which in itself is very

extraordinary. I do not think, however, that M. Gardoqui will leave

Spain, until all hopes of negotiation cease. We have no advices, or

indeed arrivals, since the departure of the frigate, which brought the

son of M. Rochambeau to France. Many of the letters taken with Mr

Laurens have been published in England. I take the liberty of

reminding the Committee, that I have never had the honor, as yet, to

receive their orders.

I have the honor to be, &c.

WILLIAM CARMICHAEL.

* * * * *

TO THE COMMITTEE OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS.

Madrid, January 4th, 1781.

Gentlemen,

I wrote you the 24th ultimo,[9] since which I am advised, that the

Abbe Hussey is on his way from Lisbon to this capital, as is supposed

with further propositions on the part of England. I think they will be

as fruitless as the former. I have the pleasure of informing you, that

on the 19th ultimo, Great Britain declared war in form against

Holland. A courier brought the news this morning, which has given

great pleasure to the Court, if one may be allowed to judge from

appearances. Expresses were immediately despatched by the Ministry to

the sea-ports, to advise the Dutch consuls of this event, and to offer

the protection of convoys, &c. &c.

It is supposed, that the Empress of Russia will resent this

declaration of England, as it is posterior to the notification of the

accession of the Republic to the armed neutrality, which is the real

though not the alleged cause of the war, for I make no doubt events

will discover, that this measure was resolved the instant the English

Ministry knew, that the accession of the States to that treaty was

inevitable. I shall take care to give you minute and regular advice of

the consequences likely to result from this event; meantime permit me

to felicitate you on the acquisition of new friends.

The English fleet returned to Portsmouth in a bad condition, without

having made any attempt against that of Count d'Estaing, of which they

were thrice in view. The French fleet was not arrived when the courier

who brought the agreeable intelligence before mentioned left France.

This Court expects to obtain the sums necessary for the expenses of

the year. I hope to transmit the plan of the proposed loan in my next

letters.

I have the honor to be, &c.

WILLIAM CARMICHAEL.

_P. S._ Lest my letter of the 24th ultimo should miscarry, I repeat,

that the Court has engaged to supply Mr Jay with three millions of

reals, in addition to eighteen thousand dollars already furnished,

which with the twentyfive thousand promised by France, will nearly pay

the bills already presented, and I hope ways and means will be found,

to provide for the payment of the residue, drawn and sold before

reception of Mr Jay's letters of advice.

W. C.

FOOTNOTES:

[9] Missing.

* * * * *

TO THE COMMITTEE OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS.

Madrid, January 29th, 1781.

Gentlemen,

My last advised the Committee of the declaration of Great Britain

against Holland; the capture of a great number of prizes, in

consequence of this unexpected attack encourages the former, and has

greatly irritated the latter. The States, Zealand excepted, seem

disposed to act with vigor against the common enemy. If they

persevere, they may finally disappoint their rapacious projects. They

depend on the interference of Russia, and I believe with reason,

although a day or two ago, the Count de Kaunitz, the Imperial

Ambassador here, offered his master's mediation, in conjunction with

the Empress of Russia to terminate the differences subsisting between

the belligerent powers. No answer to this offer has yet been given.

The Minister from Russia has not yet received the orders of his Court

thereon.

The offer is rather ill timed, and I have reason to think is not very

agreeable to the Courts of Versailles and Madrid, which will act with

entire union on this occasion, and as long as the present King of

Spain lives, it is probable, that this good understanding will

continue on the whole continent, although there are some here, I

believe, who would wish to see it interrupted. While it subsists Spain

will not abandon our interests, though it may not support them with

such good will, as they would have been induced to do by the

obligations of previous engagements with the United States. It is not

likely that these will soon take place, notwithstanding the appearance

of good will, and repeated assurances which Mr Jay has received of his

Majesty's favorable disposition. Nor will the late change of measures

adopted by Congress effect this, if I am not misinformed. I have not

seen these resolutions in full, nor do I know that Mr Jay has received

them, but I have reason to believe, that the Court has a knowledge of

them, either by intercepted letters, or by a direct communication from

America. In short I repeat to the Committee, what I have taken the

liberty of remarking before, that it was probably the policy of this

Court to leave the adjustment of their claims to be settled at the

general negotiation of a treaty of peace, and to reserve to

themselves the liberty of acting then according to circumstances,

unless they can previously secure in their own manner their favorite

objects. This accords with the conduct they have hitherto observed,

and with maxims of policy long adopted and persevered in by this

Court.

In the meantime, they show a decided disposition to continue the war.

They expect some treasure from America. They are likely to procure

eight millions of dollars on loan, and have propositions from other

quarters. The taxes have been augmented this year, the produce of the

last having, as I have been told, fallen short of the expectations of

the Ministry. They have thirtysix sail of the line under sailing

orders at Cadiz, which fleet will probably cruise to meet the treasure

ships expected, and to intercept the succors destined to Gibraltar.

They have ordered a press throughout the kingdom to fill up their

regiments. The ships with the treasure were to sail from Vera Cruz to

the Havana the 11th of October. The Court seems apprehensive of the

Emperor's intentions, and cultivates the friendship of the King of

Prussia, for which purpose it is about to send a Minister to Berlin,

where they have had none for many years past. This matter is not yet

public, and will undoubtedly chagrin the Court of Vienna.

Mr Jay has been promised a part of the three millions of reals,

mentioned in my former letters, to enable him to discharge the bills,

which become due the ensuing month, and, I suppose, will receive the

whole as the bills become payable, until the sum is exhausted, before

which time, funds must be provided for such as have since been

presented, or may hereafter come to hand. It is with pain I have

lately entered to the amount of between thirty or forty thousand

dollars, at three months' sight, as there is yet no certainty of their

being paid, yet I flatter myself that the Court, with the good

disposition it appears to have, will not suffer our credit to be

ruined, after what it has done and promised to do to preserve it.

M. Gardoqui, so often mentioned, will embark in six weeks or two

months. Mr Cumberland is still here, inspiring all the distrust and

jealousy in his power to prejudice our affairs. I hope, however, he

will soon be dismissed. Vigorous preparations are making in France,

and I flatter myself that the Count d'Estaing will once more visit our

coasts in force. I believe he desires it, and I am told he is on good

terms with the new Minister of Marine. The Count de Vergennes was in a

bad state of health by the last advices from Paris, but for

information from that quarter, I refer the Committee to letters I

suppose Congress will receive from Dr Franklin. It is with hesitation

I venture to give my sentiments, and if I should be deceived, it is

not for want of pains, but of opportunity of obtaining more accurate

information.

I have the honor to be, &c.

WILLIAM CARMICHAEL.

* * * * *

TO THE COMMITTEE OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS.

Madrid, February 22d, 1781.

Gentlemen,

My last was of the 29th ult. since which, I have deferred writing, in

hopes of having it in my power to give the Committee more distinct

information of the actual situation of affairs in Europe at this

important crisis, when its attention is turned to the conduct of the

Empress of Russia and the armed neutrality, and to that of the

Emperor, who, notwithstanding the offer of mediation, I had the honor

to mention in my last, is, as I am informed, regarded with a jealous

and suspicious eye. But the vessels, which take on board part of the

clothing, of which I advised you at the time, and since it was

promised, being about to sail, I seize the present occasion of

writing, lest another from the ports of this kingdom should not soon

present itself.

Our affairs here are in much the same state as when I last wrote the

Committee. No further progress has been made in the negotiation. Mr

Jay has received various letters and papers from Congress, dated in

October. This day he has obtained an order for thirtytwo thousand

dollars, to pay for part of the clothing to be shipped at Cadiz, of

which he has not yet received the invoices, and to discharge the bills

due this month. The Minister promises to furnish the whole of the

three millions of reals mentioned in former letters, and to contribute

to our further relief, as far as the exigencies of the State will

permit him. These, I have reason to think, are urgent and great, and

that the funds arising from the revenues and loans are, for the most

part, appropriated before they are received.

I am not informed, that any positive answer has been given yet to the

Emperor's offer of mediation. It is ill-timed, and I believe, in

reality, is not well taken. I know that this Court is about to send a

Minister to Berlin, where they have had none for a long time. The

circumstances of such an appointment at this juncture, seem to imply

apprehensions of the Emperor's intentions. I enclose two extracts of

letters sent to me by M. Dumas, which contain intelligence that

indicates the intentions of the Empress of Russia. The first letter I

know to be genuine, for I saw the substance of it here in _good_

hands, before I received M. Dumas's letter. If the Empress does not

openly declare against England, she will, at all events, protect the

Dutch commerce, and this must terminate speedily in open hostilities.

I have observed, of late, a change of conduct in the Russian

Ambassador at this Court, whom I have an opportunity of meeting

frequently in company; from being cold and distant, he is complaisant

and affable. I also find him very attentive to the French Ambassador.

Portugal has been much pressed by Russia to accede to the treaty of

the armed neutrality, but the English party at this Court is too

strong to expect success from these applications. The attachment of

this King to his deceased sister, and at present to his niece, the

Queen of Portugal, will prevent any violent measures being taken by

our ally or Spain, to force that nation to adopt other measures. The

republican party in Holland are in good spirits. Zealand has dropped

the opposition it made to hostile measures, so that at present there

is an unanimity in the States on that interesting point.

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