"'In England, sir, there are 362 rainy days a year; therefore 3620

rainy days in ten years, 18,100 rainy days in fifty years. How shall, I

ask you, that unfortunate labourer, or grocer, or author, save up for

18,100 days? That takes a capital of at least £25,000. Well, who has

that capital? No one. The nation alone has it. Ergo, the nation must

pay for the rain.

"'I have, sir, in my locker a great many shots like the preceding,

but I will, out of modesty, not use them all. I will only dwell on

one point. Sir, our opponents contend that the money needed for Old

Age Pensions is not available unless it be taken from funds much more

necessary for the public welfare. Now I ask, which are those funds?

The answer I receive is that the nation needs more defensive measures

against possible invasions on the part of a Continental power.

"'Sir, on hearing such nonsense one is painfully reminded of what Lord

Bacon used to say: "_Difficile est satiram non scribere_."' (A voice

from the Irish bench: 'Juvenal, and not Lord Bacon!') 'Well, Lord

Percival, and not Lord Bacon, it amounts to the same.

"'An invasion? Sir, an invasion? How, for goodness' sake, do our

opponents imagine such a thing to be possible? I know they say that

Lord Roberts has declared an invasion of England a feasible thing. But

has Lord Roberts ever invaded England? How can he know? How can anyone

know?

"'They refer me to William the Conqueror. But, sir, is it not evident

that William could not have done it had he not been the Conqueror?

Being the Conqueror, he was bound to do it. Is there any such William

amongst the Williams of the day? I looked them all up in the latest

_Who's Who_--but not one of them came up to the requisite conditions.'

(A voice: 'William Whiteley!') 'I hear, sir, the name of William

Whiteley; and I reply that he is now too "Ltd." to undertake such a

grand enterprise.

"'And more than anything else militating in my favour is the fact that

the Germans do not so much as dream of doing this country the slightest

harm. Look at the relationship between the Kaiser and the King; nephew

and uncle. Who has ever heard that a nephew made war on an uncle? Take

into consideration how the Kaiser behaved when lately visiting England.

Did he not leave huge tips at Windsor? Did he not stroke children's

cheeks? Did he not admire our houses? Who else has ever done that? He

talked English all day long, and during part of the night. He read

the _Daily Telegraph_ and took his tub every morning. Can there be

stronger symptoms of his Anglophile soul?

"'A few weeks after he left England he went so far in his predilection

of everything English that he even curtailed his moustaches.

"'His moustaches, sir, these the beacons of the German Empire, the

hirsute hymn of Teutonia, her anchor, her lightning rod, her salvation!

"'To talk of such a man's hostile intentions against England is to

accuse Dover Cliff, High Cliffe, or Northcliffe, or any other Cliff of

base treachery. No, sir, there is no need of new expenses for defence

on land; and as to the sea, we have only to follow the Chief Admiral's

advice and go to sleep. Our principal force consists of our power to

sleep on land as well as on sea. Once asleep, we can spend nothing.

In that way there remains plenty of money for the Old Age Pensions,

that glorious corrective of misery, that ventilator of property, and

distillator of other men's pockets. I have not a word to add; the

subject itself talks to every person of sense in a thousand tongues.'

"When the man had ended," Cæsar continued, "I asked one of the

officials whether the orator was the clown of the house. The official

looked daggers at me. He explained in a solemn voice that the orator

was a staunch Liberal and Cobraite. The latter name was, I learnt,

a little mistake in pronunciation; it ought to have been Cobdenite.

Cobden, I was told, was a very great man. He succeeded in passing a

measure which under the circumstances of his time was not altogether

bad, although it drove the people away from the plough to the factories.

"However, he, like our Gracchi, imagined that what was good for

his time must necessarily be good for all times. On the basis of a

complete ignorance of the Continent, that is, of the Power that has

always been and always will be the real regulator of the fundamental

policy of England, Cobden thought he had got hold of an absolute truth,

instead of a merely passing and temporary measure. Like all nations

that have never gone through social and political cataclysms and are

necessarily highly conservative, the English are totally lacking in

historic perspective. Men of the class of Cobden, or such as the orator

I had heard, are like their most renowned thinker, Herbert Spencer,

absolutely devoid of historic thinking. They think in categories of

quantity and matter; never in quality made by history.

"Columbus, who was with me, said:

"'You need not be unusually excited over what you see. Each nation cuts

a different caper to the riddles and problems of life. The French, who

used to be _des hommes_, while at present alas! they are only _des

omelettes_, were in their prime of an aggressive attitude to all that

touched them; the Germans were of an idealising temper, while their

present mood is rather a tampering ideal; the Americans are full of

the exploiting fever; and the English invariably take up a posture of

expectativeness.

"'They pretend to believe what the Spartan King Archidamus always

said: "One cannot by reasoning disentangle the future." This attitude

pays the English best. First they let it be proved by the Spanish,

Portuguese, Dutch, and more particularly by the French that India can

be conquered, and then--they take it. Even so with Egypt, Canada, the

West Indies, and South Africa. Expectativeness is their motto.

"'When I came to England trying to persuade them to help me in the

discovery of America, they acted the wise Archidamus, and would not

give me linen for one sail. When I had discovered it, then they took

as much of it, and more than they could swallow. This method of

expectativeness has had much historic quality, to use your words, O

Cæsar, for a time. But I am afraid it is beginning to be worn out.

"'I for one know (and have you, and Pericles, and Joan of Arc, and

Napoleon, and so many others not told me the same thing when we used to

meet, at the wish of Joan, at Rheims Cathedral?), I for one know what

these little ones do not even dream of, so infatuated are they with the

power of Reason and Science and similar machinery, namely, that our

force to forefeel things of the future is far greater, at least in some

of us, than our capacity to analyse or comprehend things of the present

or the past. Our whole being is not so much an upshot of the past as

a projection of the future. Hence the astounding assurance with which

all of us now assembled in Olympus felt in advance what later on we

actually did carry out. I should have discovered America had it never

existed; as I actually discovered it thinking that I discovered the

eastern side of Asia.'

"I very well see," said Cæsar, "what you mean. The English have no

forefeeling of things to come. They do not note that their whole

situation in historic space has in the last generation completely

changed, and that therefore their old method of expectativeness, which

lived mainly on the blunders of other nations, has become quite

obsolete. They are where we were after Zama, after the end of the

Second Punic War, or the end of the third century B.C., as they say.

So they are at the end of their second Hundred Years' War with France.

But while we distinctly felt that after the Carthaginians, whom we

had defeated, we were inevitably compelled to reduce the Macedonians,

and not shrinking from our heavy task we did defeat them, though with

tremendous effort; the English do shrink from doing what the uncommon

sense of the future as well as the common sense of the present but too

clearly tell them to do.

"The blunder of France and Spain which was the chief ally of England in

former times, I mean, the blunder of these great nations in making war

on England only at times when they had four to ten other wars on hand;

that capital blunder the dominating Power of this moment will never

commit.

"Germany will not embroil herself in any Continental war while fighting

England. This is indisputable.

"For the first time in modern times England will be at grips with a

first-class Continental Power which is in a position to concentrate

all her strength on England. This completely novel situation requires

completely novel methods of meeting it. Yet, the average Englishman

is quite unaware of all that. What ruined mighty Macedon? Not the

lack of a powerful army, since our oldest generals, such as Æmilius

Paulus, trembled at the thunderlike onslaught of the famous Macedonian

_phalanx_, or infantry. But instead of joining the Carthaginians

full-heartedly while we smarted under the scourge of Hannibal, they

misread the whole situation and waited, and waited, until--we were able

to concentrate upon them, even to incorporate the best Greek forces in

our armies, and the end was disaster for Macedon.

"Just listen to the speech now going on. The Leader of the Opposition

is speaking.

* * * * *

"'Mr Speaker, I am broadly astonished at the statements of the hon.

member for Alarmville, who has just painted the international horizon

in tints of Indian ink. I cannot imagine where he takes his tints from.

Does he want to pose as a political Tintoretto?'

"(Much applause--most members send for the _Encyclopædia Imperialis_ to

find out what _Tintoretto_ means.)

"'The horizon, as everybody knows, is only an imaginary line, and each

man has his own horizon. If therefore the horizon of the hon. member be

as black as jet, I have not much to say against it, and will send him

my condolences. But why should he obtrude his horizon on that of all

the rest of peace-loving humanity? I also have my horizon.'

"(The hon. member: 'Horizons, if you please.')

"'Horizons? More than one horizon? Perhaps; it probably needs more than

one to descend to that of the hon. member.'

"(Opposition members: 'Deucedly clever, by Jove!')

"'On my horizon I see no cloud, no vapours, no foundations of any

belief in storms or tempests of any kind. What conceivable reason

should the Germans have for attacking us? I fail, I utterly fail to see

it. I know that my adversaries say that whatever reasons Germany may or

may not have to attack us, we, these people say, we have a plethora of

motives to attack them. This point, this argument is so devoid of point

or argument, that I cannot waste the time of the House in refuting

it. It refutes itself. Why should we attack the Germans? Because we

have no reasons to do so. That is all that one can advance. Do we

want their colonies? Why, we are eternally obliged to them for having

taken them and so rid us of a sterile investment. Do we want part

of Germany? Neither parts nor the whole of it. Have we not ceded to

them Heligoland? Sir, it is, as I said, impossible to detect a single

argument in favour of our attacking Germany. The minds that counsel

such a violent measure are influenced by apprehensions arising out of

future developments. They are anticipative souls to whom the secrets

of the future have been revealed by the timorousness of the present. I

respect souls; I respect timorousness; but I refuse to attribute to it

any oracular wisdom. The future is dark, three shades darker than the

present, which is impenetrable enough as it is.

"'There remains, then, only the other alternative: Germany seriously

means to attack us. Well, sir, let us analyse this statement. What

earthly good would such an attack do to the Germans? I hear they covet

Denmark and Holland, as the natural outlets of their Empire which at

present is like a muffled head; and since England cannot permit their

taking possession of Denmark and Holland, the Germans must fight

England. This argument, sir, lacks all the elements of truth. It lacks

geographical force, historical momentum, political sense. Denmark, we

all know, is quite in the east of Germany between the Elbe river and

the Lake of Baikal.'

"(Uproarious hilarity in parts of the House. A voice: 'Lake Baikal is

in Siberia!')

"'I hear, sir, Lake Baikal is in Siberia. As if I had not known it,

sir! I say Baikal as the scientific term of Baltic, which is in reality

Bi-Kalic, or rapidly speaking: Baikal.'

"(Opposition members: 'Deucedly clever--he got out of _that_ scrape!')

"'Denmark which, as I said, is in the east of Germany does not muffle

her at all. It is a highly artistic country and in the Bay of Catgut

are fished the best strings for violins.'

"(A voice: 'Sound of Kattegat!')

"'I hear, sir, that it is the Sound of Kattegat, but I think every

patriotic Englishman says Catgut. But to return to my argument: the

Germans being very musical, love violins, and consequently love the

Kattegat, as the hon. voice says, and love the Danes. As long as the

Danes give their fine catguts, the Germans will certainly not think of

doing them any harm.'

"(An angry voice: 'But Denmark is in the north of Germany!')

"'I hear, sir, that Denmark has moved from her ancient moorings. If

that be so, then I can only conclude that Germany has still less reason

to covet the possession of Denmark. For, is it not clear, or _luce

clarius_, that Denmark is a sort of nightcap to Germany? The Germans

themselves typify their nation as a _Deutscher Michel_ (Teuton Michael)

with a nightcap on his head. Why, this nightcap is Denmark. The Teuton

likes a nightcap.'

"(General laughter.)

"'All Teutons do.'

"(Renewed laughter.)

"'Need I say more?

"'And as to Holland, I am bound to say that it passes my comprehension

how anyone can seriously maintain that Germany covets Holland. I hear

that she covets Holland because it is exasperating to a great Power

like Germany that the entire delta of her greatest river, the Rhine,

belongs to a small and hostile Power. It is asked of me, how I, or

for the matter of that any Englishman, would like to see the mouth

of the Thames in the power of the Belgians? Sir, I should not like

to see that, to be sure. But the case is quite different. We English

have no river like the Rhine, which in its upper course gives the

most generous wine, and in its lower course is nothing but a vile

combination of hydrogen and oxygen, commonly called water. If, for

better illustration, the Thames in her upper course gave the finest

whisky----'

"(Great uproar among two-thirds of the members, all teetotallers.)

"'Or, I beg your pardon, ginger beer or cyder, we should not greatly

mind to whom the lower course belonged. But, sir, it is a well-known

and a most patriotic fact that the Thames river contains nothing else

than water. Water, sir, is the panacea of this nation!'

"(Violent applause from two-thirds of the House.)

"'Yes, the panacea, the salvation, the resurrection, and the

rehabilitation of this country.'

"(Cries: 'Righteousness!--Righteousness!')

"'We cannot get enough of it. Water in our throats--in our papers,

books, and speeches. Water in our dramas, novels, drugs; water,

water--three kingdoms for water!'

"(Wild and frantic applause of the whole House.)

"'Now, sir, I maintain all this does not hold good with our friends

the Germans. They do drink wine and beer and schnapps. They cannot be

without them. Their Rhine gives them wine in plenty in that part of its

course which belongs to them. What does it, what can it matter to them

to whom the lower part of the Rhine, full of mere water, does or does

not belong?'

"('Hear! Hear!')

"'The Germans are a practical nation. Does any person; I say more than

that, _can_ any person say that the Germans will wage a great war in

order to possess themselves of water, when all that time they already

have excellent wine? I could understand, sir, that if the Germans

occupied the watery mouth of the Rhine only, and not its middle and

upper course full of noble wine----'

"(Several voices: 'Order! Order! Retract noble.')

"'Well, well, the House will allow me to say "noble" wine, inasmuch as

wine has not only four or fourteen quarters, but innumerable ones.'

"(Opposition cries: 'Excellent! deucedly clever!')

"'To return to my argument: I could understand that the Germans, if

they had only the lower course of the Rhine, would forthwith wage war

to acquire the middle and upper course of the river. We learn from

Tacitus that they are a very thirsty nation, and this authentic news

is, as readers of more modern authors tell me, not given the lie by the

contemporary Germans either. But under the existing circumstances the

Rhine--or Hock--argument, meant to prove German hostility, falls into

the water near the Dutch border, wherever that may be.

"'There is finally, sir, another so-called argument _re_ Holland and

Germany. It is stated that the Germans covet Holland on account of the

Dutch colonies in Asia and South America. These colonies, as everybody

knows, are exiguous.'

"(An angry voice: 'About 800,000 English square miles.')

"'I hear, sir, the Dutch colonies are about 800,000 English square

miles. Of course, my information is taken from Tacitus; and no doubt

since his time some additions have been made to the colonial microcosm

of the Dutch. But even if that were so, and if the Dutch actually

possessed 800,000 square miles of colonies, it is quite patent that

these colonies, if not exiguous in extent, are exiguous in value:

otherwise they would long ago have been governed from Downing Street.'

"(Approving laughter--half of the members smile knowingly, while the

other half pat themselves on the backs of their neighbours.)

"'Do you mean to tell me that the Germans will wage an immense war for

the sake of what we have not deigned to pick up? They are, I know, past

masters in the use of offals for purposes of food and drink. But surely

in matters of politics they want more than offals.

"'At the risk of wearying hon. members I should like to add just a

remark or two on another argument of the alarmists. We have seen the

Danish argument; the Hock argument; and the Dutch colonies argument.

There remains one more: the aerial argument. I hear from my valet that

one Chaplin or Zebraline has made a flight or two through the air.'

"(Voices: 'Zeppelin!')

"'I hear, sir, his name is Zeppelin; probably an abbreviation of

Mazeppaline, whom Lord Byron has sung so well.'

"(Opposition members: 'Deucedly clever!')

"'The flight of Mazeppa has naturally much agitated the Germans, all of

whom can read English. If they could not, what else would they read? I

have never heard of a German literature.

"'But to resume: the Germans, excited by _Mazeppa_ behold in Herr

Zeppelin an aerial Mazeppa. That is all, as the French say. But, sir,

is it likely that Herr Zeppelin will so perfect his balloon or airship

as to make it available for the transportation of an army corps or

two to England? Suppose he could do so; what would be simpler than to

render his aerial landing in this country impossible? We have simply to

refuse him a patent for the British Empire, and lo! he can never set

foot on the clouds of England.

"'But the alarmists say that even if Zeppelin's airship could not carry

over whole army corps, they might very well serve for German scouts and

spies, who might explore the secret preparations and defensive measures

made by this country on land.

"'Well, sir, this apparently strong argument has not an atom of

vitality in it; and for the simplest of reasons too. The Germans might

send their trustiest Zeppelin No. 10 or No. 50, with their best trained

scouts in it. These scouts might pry into anything in the shape of

military preparations in England; but they will never discover anything.

"'Why, sir, this is why we make no preparations. We do that simply to

nullify any possible Zeppelin.'

"('Hear! Hear! Deucedly clever.')

"'Some critics say that we have lost the old bold imperialist spirit.

But, sir, is it not evident that we are to-day of a greater military

spirit than we ever were formerly? Feeble nations, in order to secure

peace, constantly prepare for war; or as the Latin adage holds it: "_Si

vis pacem para bellum_." We, on the other hand, make no preparations

for war, because we are so strong as to consider war or peace with

equal equanimity. To sum up: the aerial argument has no more force in

it than the other arguments of the alarmists. If a modern William the

Conqueror should be able to conquer the air, and by a modern battle of

Hazetings (deucedly clever!) enter the mid-air of this country, he will

find Heroes and not Harolds to contest every square inch of Margate

winds, of Lincolnshire rain, or of London smoke. This country, sir, can

be subjugated neither by land, nor by sea, nor by air. Over these three

elements hovers and reigns supreme the indomitable spirit of the race.'

"(Tremendous applause.)

* * * * *

"When the speech of the Leader of the Opposition was ended, Columbus

turned to me," continued Cæsar, "and said: 'I have no doubt, O Cæsar,

that you are fairly sickened by that speech. But, pray, consider that

every word of it was framed and uttered, not to discuss seriously the

German danger, but to get back into power. The speaker is neither so

ignorant nor so foolish as he appears. He made a special effort to

appear absolutely ignorant of geography, because the party in power has

won great renown by an imposing ignorance in that subject. You must not

smile. I say deliberately, imposing. The English hate geography, maps,

atlases, globes. Even in the examinations for the diplomatic service

they do not admit geography as a subject.

"'Being convinced of the exclusive importance of their own country,

they are simply bored with geographical considerations of any other

country. Some time ago it occurred that not one member of the House

knew whether British Guiana was an island or a peninsula. Of course,

it is neither. It belongs to the _bon ton_ to be ignorant of all

geography; that is, to treat Germany or Denmark or Russia as if one

spoke of some internal province of the Chinese Empire. For similar

reasons, the speaker affected not to see the slightest danger from

Germany. The party in power was elected by the people mainly on the

ground that with the Goody-Goody ones "in," and the Imperialists "out,"

the people were safe not to be embroiled in a European war. In order to

take the wind out of the tattered sail of Pacifism the speaker acted as

if the Germans did not so much as dream of doing England any harm.'

"All this is most disheartening," said Cæsar. "To treat foreign policy

merely as a card in the little game of electioneering is most injurious

to the interests of a great country. England, like every other country

in Europe, has been made in her Downing Street rather than at the polls

or in Committee-rooms. European currents determine the minor currents

of the home policies of the several countries. You say, and with the

utmost right, O Columbus, that you have given the English their most

powerful leverage. But would you have thought of doing what you did do,

had not a vast event in South-eastern Europe, the coming of the Turk,

driven your countrymen to the discovery of a western route, the eastern

being closed by the Turk?

"I wish the Parthians in mid-Asia, in my time, had been as strong as

the Turks were in your time. We should have had you while I lived, and

by the discovery of America over fifteen hundred years before you did

discover it, the whole trend of the world's history would have been

different. For you would have given this immense new leverage to the

Roman Empire instead of to little England. It is rather amusing to hear

the English talk of the 'Unspeakable Turk,' a nation to whom they are,

if indirectly, more obliged than to any other nation of the past or

present, excepting the French.

"The truth is, that no nation makes itself. It is made by itself only

in so far as it reacts against the powerful influence of the others,

its neighbours and their neighbours. If these neighbours are feeble,

and second-rate nations, the reacting nation itself will remain feeble

and second-rate. The greatness of the present Germans is a veritable

godsend to the English, since the decadence of the French. By reacting

against it properly, England will be newly invigorated.

Nights with the Gods · 第 9 / 14 段