THE AGRARIAN SOCIALISM OF HENRY GEORGE.
Mr. George sent his "Progress and Poverty" into the world with the
remarkable prediction that it would find not only readers but apostles.
"Whatever be its fate," he says, "it will be read by some who in their
heart of hearts have taken the cross of a new crusade.... The truth I
have tried to make clear will not find easy acceptance. If that could
be, it would have been accepted long ago. If that could be, it would
never have been obscured. But it will find friends--those who will toil
for it, suffer for it: if need be, die for it. This is the power of the
truth" (p. 393). Mr. George's prediction is not more remarkable than its
fulfilment. His work has had an unusually extensive sale; a hundred
editions in America, and an edition of 60,000 copies in this country are
sufficient evidences of that; but the most striking feature in its
reception is precisely that which its author foretold; it created an
army of apostles, and was enthusiastically circulated, like the
testament of a new dispensation. Societies were formed, journals were
devised to propagate its saving doctrines, and little companies of the
faithful held stated meetings for its reading and exposition. It was
carried as a message of consolation to the homes of labour. The author
was hailed as a new and better Adam Smith, as at once a reformer of
science and a renovator of society. Smith unfolded "The Nature and
Causes of the Wealth of Nations," but to Mr. George, we were told, was
reserved the greater part of unravelling "the nature and causes of the
poverty of nations," and if the obsolete science of wealth had served to
make England rich, the young science of poverty was at length to make
her people happy with the money. Justice and Liberty were to begin their
reign, and our eyes were to see--to quote Mr. George's own words--"the
City of God on earth, with its walls of jasper and its gates of pearl"
(p. 392).
The fervour of this first reception may--as was perhaps only
natural--have suffered some abatement since, but it affords a striking
proof how largely modern society is disquieted by the results of our
vaunted industrial civilization. Even those amongst us who are most
unwilling to disparage the improvement that has really taken place
during the last hundred years in the circumstances of the people, still
cannot help feeling that the improvement has fallen far short of what
might have been reasonably expected from the contemporaneous growth of
resources and productive power. But numbers of people will not allow
that any improvement has occurred at all, and deliver themselves to an
unhappy and unwarranted pessimism on the whole subject. Because
industrial progress has not extinguished poverty, they conclude that it
has not even lessened it; that it has no power to lessen it; nay, that
its real tendency is to aggravate it, that it increases wealth with the
one hand, but increases want with the other, so that civilization has
developed into a purely upper-class feast, where the rich are grossly
overfilled with good things, and the poor are sent always emptier and
emptier away. Invention, they tell us, has followed invention; machinery
has multiplied the labourer's productivity at least tenfold; new
colonies have been founded, new markets and channels of commerce opened
in every quarter of the globe; gold-fields have been discovered, free
trade has been introduced, railways and ocean steamers have shortened
time and space themselves in our service. Each and all of these things
have excited hopes of introducing an era of popular improvement, and
each and all of them have left these hopes unfulfilled. They think,
therefore, they now do well to despair, and they fortify themselves in
their gloom by citing the opinion of Mr. Mill, that "it is questionable
whether all the mechanical inventions yet made have lightened the day's
toil of any human being," without observing that Mr. Mill immediately
follows up that opinion by expressing the confident assurance that it
was "in the nature and the futurity" of these inventions to effect that
improvement. These gloomy views have in France received the name of
_Sisyphism_, because they represent the working class under the present
industrial system as being struck with a curse like that of Sisyphus,
always encouraged by fresh technical advantages to renewed expectations,
and always doomed to see their expectations perish for ever.
Now, it was upon these despondent and burdened souls that Mr. George
counted so confidently, and, as time has shown, so correctly, for his
apostles and martyrs; and he counted so confidently upon them because he
had himself borne their sorrows, and drunk of their despair, and because
he now believed most entirely that his discoveries would bring
"inexpressible cheer" to their minds, as, in the same circumstances,
they had already brought inexpressible cheer to his own. "When I first
realized," he says, "the squalid misery of a great city"--that is, of
the latest and most characteristic product of industrial
development--"it appalled and tormented me, and would not let me rest
for thinking of what caused it and how it could be cured" (p. 395).
Poverty seemed to him to be most abounding and most intense in precisely
the most advanced countries in the world. "Where the conditions to which
material progress everywhere tends are most fully realized--that is to
say, where population is densest, wealth greatest, and the machinery of
production and exchange most highly developed--we find the deepest
poverty, the sharpest struggle for existence, and the most enforced
idleness" (p. 4). Nay, poverty, he thought, seemed "to take a darker
aspect" in every community at the very moment when it might be
reasonably expected to brighten--at the moment when the community made a
distinct advance in material civilization, when "closer settlements and
a more intimate connection with the rest of the world and greater
utilization of labour-saving machinery make possible greater economies
in production and exchange, and wealth increases in consequence, not
merely in the aggregate, but in proportion to population" (p. 4). This
process of impoverishment might, he says, escape observation in an old
country, because such a country has generally contained from time
immemorial a completely impoverished class, who could not be further
impoverished without going out of existence altogether, but in a new
settlement like California, where he resided, poverty might be seen
almost in the act of being produced by progress before one's very eyes.
While the colony had nothing better than log cabins or cloth shanties,
"there was no destitution," though there might be no luxury. But "the
tramp comes with the locomotive, and alm-houses and prisons are as
surely the marks of 'material progress' as are costly dwellings, rich
warehouses, and magnificent churches" (p. 4). "In the United States it
is clear that squalor and misery, and the vices and crimes that spring
from them everywhere, increase as the village grows to the city, and the
march of development brings the advantages of improved methods of
production and exchange. It is in the older and richer sections of the
Union that pauperism and distress are becoming most painfully apparent.
If there is less deep poverty in San Francisco than in New York, it is
not because San Francisco is yet behind New York in all that both cities
are striving for? When San Francisco reaches the point where New York
now is, who can doubt that there will also be ragged and barefooted
children in her streets?" (p. 6). The prospect alarmed and agitated him
profoundly. It deprived him, as it has deprived so many of the
continental socialists, of all religious belief, for if the real order
of things make an ever-deepening poverty to be the only destiny of the
mass of mankind, it seemed vain to dream of a controlling Providence or
an immortal life. "It is difficult," says he, "to reconcile the idea of
human immortality with the idea that nature wastes men by constantly
bringing them into being where there is no room for them. It is
impossible to reconcile the idea of an intelligent and beneficent
Creator with the belief that the wretchedness and degradation, which are
the lot of such a large proportion of human kind, result from His
enactments; while the idea that man mentally and physically is the
result of slow modifications perpetuated by heredity, irresistibly
suggests the idea that it is the race life, not the individual life,
which is the object of human existence. Thus has vanished with many of
us, and is still vanishing with more of us, that belief which in the
battles and ills of life affords the strongest support and deepest
consolation" (p. 396).
The inquiry Mr. George undertook was consequently one of the most vital
personal concern to himself, and we are glad to think that it has been
the means of restoring to him the faith and hope he prizes so much. "Out
of this inquiry," he tells us, "has come to me something I did not think
to find, and a faith that was dead revives" (p. 395).
It may be ungracious to disturb a peace won so sorely and offered so
sincerely to others, but the truth is, Mr. George has simply lost his
faith by one illusion and recovered it again by another. He first
tormented his brain with imaginary facts, and has then restored it with
erroneous theories. His argument is really little better than a
prolonged and, we will own, athletic beating of the air; but since both
the imaginary facts and the erroneous theories of which it is composed
have obtained considerable vogue, it is well to subject it to a critical
examination. I shall therefore take up successively, first, his problem;
second, his scientific explanation; and third, his practical remedy.
I. _Mr. George's Problem._
He states his problem thus:--"I propose to seek the law which associates
poverty with progress and increases want with advancing wealth" (p. 8).
The first rule of scientific investigation is to prove one's fact before
proceeding to explain it. "There are more false facts than false
theories in the world," and a short examination whether a phenomenon
actually exists may often relieve us from a long search after its law.
Mr. George, however, does not observe this rule. He seeks for the law of
a phenomenon without first verifying the phenomenon itself--nay,
apparently without so much as suspecting that it ought to be verified.
He assumes a particular view of the social situation to be correct,
because he assumes it. But his assumption is a purely subjective and, as
will presently be shown, delusive impression. We imagine our train to be
going back when a parallel train is going faster forward, and we are apt
to take the general condition of mankind to be retrograding when we fix
our eyes exclusively on the rapid and remarkable enrichment of the
fortunate few. What Mr. George calls "the great enigma of our time" is
just the enigma of the apparently receding train, and he proceeds to
solve it by coiling himself in a corner and working out an elaborate
explanation from his own inner consciousness "by the methods of
political economy," instead of taking the simple and obvious precaution
of looking out of the opposite carriage-window and testing, by hard
facts, whether his impression was correct. Had he taken this precaution,
had he resorted to an examination of the actual state of the facts, he
would have found good reason to change his impression; he would have
found that on the whole poverty is not increasing, that in proportion to
population it is considerably less in the more advanced industrial
countries than in the less advanced ones, and that he had simply
mistaken unequal rates of progress for simultaneous movements of
progress and decline. His impression, it must be admitted, is a
prejudice of considerable currency; there are many who tell us, as he
does, that want is growing _pari passu_ with wealth, and even gaining on
it; that if the rich are getting richer, the poor are at the same time
getting poorer; but it is a question of fact, and yet no one has ever
seriously tried to prove the assertion by an appeal to fact. That Mr.
George should have neglected to submit it to such a test is the more
remarkable, because he was, as he has told us, "tormented" in mind by
it, and because he acknowledges that it is a "paradox"--_i.e._, against
the reason of the case, and that it is also, to some extent at least,
against appearances. He owns, for example, that "the average of comfort,
leisure, and refinement has been raised," and that though the lowest
class may not share in these gains, yet even they have in some ways
improved. "I do not mean," he says, "that the condition of the lowest
class has nowhere nor in anything been improved, but that there is
nowhere any improvement which can be credited to increased productive
power. I mean that the tendency of what we call material progress is in
no wise to improve the condition of the lowest class in the essentials
of healthy, happy human life. Nay, more, that it is to still further
depress the condition of the lowest class. The new forces, elevating in
their nature though they be, do not act upon the social fabric from
underneath, as was for a long time hoped and believed, but strike it at
a point intermediate between top and bottom. It is as though an immense
wedge were being forced, not underneath society, but through society.
Those who are above the point of separation are elevated, but those who
are below are crushed down" (p. 5). From this passage it would appear
that, according to Mr. George, the condition of all except the lowest
class has improved _in consequence of_ material progress, and that the
condition of the lowest class has improved _in spite of_ it. He does not
undertake, it seems, to affirm of any class that it has, as a matter of
actual fact, become impoverished in the course of social development,
but only that there is a tendency in the increase of productive
power--in "the new productive forces"--in "material progress"--to
impoverish the lower strata of society. But then he contends that these
forces are practising exactly the same tendency on some of the highest
strata, on classes that we know have been growing richer and richer
every day. For he tells us that these new forces, entering our social
system like a wedge, depress all who happen to be on the wrong side; and
we shall presently discover that this unhappy company on the wrong side
of the wedge embraces many groups of persons who will be excessively
astonished to learn that they are there. It includes, not only the poor
labourers who live on wages, but the great capitalists who live on
profits; the great cotton spinners, ironmasters, brewers, bankers,
contractors; the very men, in short, of all the world, whom the new
productive forces have most conspicuously and enormously enriched. I
shall revert to this preposterous conclusion later on, but at present it
is enough to say that a tide, which so many have swum against and swum
to fortune, cannot be very formidable, and at all events can furnish no
clue whatever to the possible condition of those who are exposed to it.
For that we have only one resort. It is a plain question of fact--is
poverty really increasing? Are the poor really getting poorer? And this
can only be competently decided by the ordinary inductive evidence of
facts. The data of this kind which we possess for settling the question
may not be so exact as would be desirable, but there is no higher
tribunal to which we can appeal. The question must be answered by them,
or not answered at all.
Now any data we have all conduct to the conclusion that poverty is not
increasing. If poverty were increasing with the increase of wealth, it
would show itself either in an increase of pauperism, or in a decline in
the general standard of living among the labouring classes, or in a fall
in the average duration of life, and these symptoms would be most acute
in the countries that are most wealthy and progressive. Now, let us take
England as a crucial case of a country in a very advanced stage of
industrial development. Is English pauperism greater now than it was
before the "new productive forces" entered the country? Is the general
standard of living among the labouring classes lower? Is the average
duration of life less? Are poverty and the various symptoms of poverty
more acute in England than in more backward countries?
In a foot-note to the passage last quoted from his book, Mr. George
explains that the improvement he recognises in the lot of the lowest
class does not consist in greater ability to obtain the necessaries of
life. Does he mean, because more things are now reckoned among the
necessaries of life? If so, we fear there is no chance of that
difficulty being removed, nor indeed is there any reason for desiring it
to be so. Men's wants will always increase with their incomes, and the
struggle to make both ends meet may in that case indefinitely continue.
But the fact remains that they have more wants satisfied than before,
that they realize a higher standard of life, and that is the mark, and
indeed the substance, of a more diffused comfort and civilization. It is
true that as the general standard of living rises, people feel the pinch
of poverty at a higher level than before, and become pauperized for the
want of comforts that are now necessary, but which formerly few ever
dreamt of possessing. To have no shoes is a mark of extreme indigence
to-day; it was the common lot a century ago. People may be growing in
general comfort, and yet their ability to obtain necessaries remain
stationary, because their customary circle of necessaries may be always
widening. The real sign of an advancing poverty is when the circle of
recognised necessaries is getting narrow, and yet men have more
difficulty in obtaining them than before; in other words, 1st, when the
average scale of living falls; and 2nd, when a larger proportion of the
people are unable to obtain it, reduced though it be. Now, in England,
the contrary has happened; the general standard of living has risen, and
the proportion of those who are unable to obtain it has declined.
In a preceding chapter I adduced evidence to show how greatly improved
the working-class standard of living now is from what it was two hundred
years ago, in the good old times socialist writers like to sing of, when
men had not yet sought out many inventions and the world was not
oppressed by the large system of production. But let us tap the line
between then and now at what point we may, and we find the same result;
the tendency is always to a better style of living. Mr. Giffen, for
example, in his address, as President of the Statistical Society, on
20th November, 1883, compares the condition of the working classes
to-day with their condition half a century since, and concludes from
official returns that while the sovereign goes as far as it did then in
the purchase of commodities, money wages have increased from 30 to 100
per cent., and, at the same time, the hours of labour have been reduced
some 20 per cent. Except butcher-meat and house-rent, every other
element of the working man's expenditure is cheaper, and butcher-meat
was fifty years ago hardly an element of his expenditure at all, and the
kind of house he then occupied was much inferior, as a rule, to what he
occupies now, bad as the latter may in many cases be.
But while the general standard of comfort has been rising, the
proportion of the population who are unable to obtain it has been
diminishing. I have already stated that King estimated the number of
persons in receipt of relief in England and Wales in 1688 at 900,000.
Now in 1882 the average number in receipt of relief at one and the same
time was, according to official returns, 803,719; and if we are right in
doubling that figure to find the whole number of paupers relieved in the
course of the year (that being the proportion borne in Scotland), then
we may conclude that there are some 1,600,000 paupers in England and
Wales at the present day. That is to say, with nearly five times the
population, we have less than twice the pauperism. The result is far
from being entirely gratifying; a million and a half of paupers (with
more than half as many again in Ireland and Scotland) constitute a very
grave problem, or rather ganglion of problems; but the fact supplies a
decisive enough refutation of the pessimist idea that the actual
movement of pauperism has been one of increase instead of one of
decrease.
During these two hundred years there is no period in which wealth and
productive power multiplied more rapidly than the last thirty years,
and, therefore, if Mr. George's ideas were correct, there is no period
that should show such a marked increase of pauperism. What do we find?
We find that pauperism has steadily declined in England during that
period. The decrease has been gradual and attended with no such striking
interruptions as were frequently exhibited in former times. But the most
remarkable feature about it is that the number of able-bodied paupers
has diminished by nearly a half; from 201,644 in 1849 to 106,280 in
1882. That is the very class of paupers whom Mr. George represents it to
be the special effect of increasing productive power to multiply, and
yet, though wealth and productive power have made almost unexampled
progress, and though the population has also considerably risen in the
interval, we have not more than half as many of this class of paupers
now as we had thirty years ago. No doubt this result is due in part to a
better system of administering relief, just as it is due in part to the
growth of trade unions and friendly societies, to the extension of
savings banks, and to other agencies. But if Mr. George's principle is
true, could such a result have taken place at all? If "material
progress" has a tendency to multiply "tramps" or able-bodied paupers,
the tendency must be weak, indeed, when a little judicious management on
the part of public bodies, or of working men themselves, would not only
counteract it, but turn the current so strongly the other way. But the
truth is that the "tramp" has never been so little of a care in this
country as at the present hour, and that it is to material progress we
owe his disappearance. He was a very serious problem to our ancestors
for centuries and centuries. The whole history of our social legislation
is a history of ineffectual attempts to deal with vagrants and sturdy
beggars, and we are less troubled with them now mainly because
industrial progress has given them immensely more opportunities of
making an honest and regular living. Industrial progress has all along
been creating work and annihilating tramps, but it has all along been
followed by absurd and perverse complaints like Mr. George's, that it
was only creating tramps and annihilating opportunities of work. Mr.
George says the tramp comes with the locomotive, but a writer in 1673
(quoted by Sir F. Eden, "State of the Poor," I., 190) declared that he
came with the stage-coach. He pictures the happy age before
stage-coaches, when (as Mr. George says of California) there might be no
luxury, but there was no destitution, when every man kept one horse for
himself and another for his groom. But with the introduction of the
stage-coach the scene was changed. People got anywhere for a few
shillings, and ceased to keep horses. They were so much the richer
themselves, but their grooms were ruined and thrown upon the world
without horse or home. Now class privations like these are incidental to
industrial transformations, and in an age of unusual industrial
transitions like ours, they may be expected to be unusually numerous.
But the effect of material progress on the whole is to prevent such
privations rather than cause them. It multiplies temporary redundancies
of labour, but it multiplies still more the opportunities for
permanently relieving them. Why are we now free from the old scourges of
famine and famine prices? Partly because of free trade, but mainly
because of improved communications, because of the steamer and the
locomotive. Even commercial crises are getting less severe in their
effects. The distress among our labouring classes during the American
Civil War was nothing compared with the suffering under the complete
paralysis of industry that followed the close of the great continental
war in 1815. Miss Martineau tells us of that time:--"The poor abandoned
their residences, whole parishes were deserted, and crowds of paupers,
increasing in numbers as they went from parish to parish, spread wider
and wider this awful desolation." (History of England, I. 39.) No such
severe redundancy of labour has taken place since then, and the
redundancies that attend changes of fashion or of mechanical agency,
though they undoubtedly constitute a serious difficulty, are yet
lightened and not aggravated by the various and complex ramifications of
modern industry. Except a new colony, there is no place where new-comers
are so easily taken on as in a highly developed industrial country.
There are more poor in Norway than in England, and they are increasing;
yet in Norway there is no rent and no great cities. Mr. George may say,
and in fact he does say, that in old countries the number of paupers is
reduced by simple starvation; but if that were so, the death-rate would
be increasing. But in England the death-rate is really diminishing. Let
us again quote from Mr. Giffen's address:--"Mr. Humphreys, in his able
paper on 'The Recent Decline in the English Death-Rate,' showed
conclusively that the decline in the death-rate in the last five years,
1876-80, as compared with the rates on which Dr. Farr's English Life
Table was based--rates obtained in the years 1841-45--amounted to from
28 to 32 per cent. in males at each quinquennial of the 20 years, 5-25,
and in females at each quinquennial from 5-25, to between 24 and 35 per
cent.; and that the effect of this decline in the death-rate was to
raise the mean duration of life among males from 39.9 to 41.9 years, a
gain of two years in the average duration of life. Mr. Humphreys also
showed that by far the larger proportion of the increased duration of
human life in England was lived at useful ages, and not at the dependent
ages of either childhood or old age. No such change could have taken
place without a great increase in the vitality of the people. Not only
had fewer died, but the masses who had lived must have been healthier
and suffered less from sickness than they did. From the nature of the
figures also the improvement must also have been among the masses, and
not among a select class whose figures threw up the average. The
improvement, too, actually recorded obviously related to a transition
stage. Many of the improvements in the condition of the working classes
had only taken place quite recently. They had not, therefore, affected
all through their existence any but the youngest lives. When the
improvements had been in existence for a longer period, so that the
lives of all who are living had been affected from birth by the changed
conditions, we might infer that even a greater gain in the mean
duration of life will be shown. As it was the gain was enormous. Whether
it was due to better and more abundant food and clothing, to better
sanitation, to better knowledge of medicine, or to these and other
causes combined, improvement had beyond all question occurred." The
decline of pauperism in this country then is not due to any increasing
mortality in the classes from which the majority of the paupers come;
but it is one among many other proofs that these classes have profited,
like their neighbours, by the course of material progress. They may not
have profited in the same degree as some others, or in the degree we
think desirable and believe to be yet possible for themselves. But they
have profited. The situation is really, as we have said, one of unequal
rates of progress, and not one of simultaneous progress and decline.
And this Mr. George seems, at a later stage of his argument, freely to
admit. For when he comes to state "the law which associates poverty with
progress and increases want with advancing wealth," he explains that he
does not contend that poverty is associated with progress at all, but
only that a lessening proportion of the gross produce of society falls
to some classes; that want may possibly not in the least increase with
advancing wealth; that all classes may be the wealthier for the growth
of wealth; and practically, that the only evidence of the poverty of the
poor is the greater richness of the rich. It seems he is not explaining
in any wise why the poor are getting poorer, but only why they are not
getting rich so fast as some of their neighbours. We must quote chapter
and verse for this extraordinary vacillation about the very problem he
wants to solve. "Perhaps," he says, in the last paragraph of Book III.,
chapter vi. (p. 154), "it may be well to remind the reader, before
closing this chapter, of what has been before stated--that I am using
the word wages, not in the sense of a quantity, but in the sense of a
proportion. When I say that wages fall as rent rises, I do not mean that
the quantity of wealth obtained by labourers as wages is necessarily
less, but that the proportion which it bears to the whole produce is
necessarily less. The proportion may diminish while the quantity remains
the same, or even increases. If the margin of cultivation descends from
the productive point, which we will call twenty-five, to the productive
point we will call twenty, the rent of all lands that before paid rent
will increase by this difference, and the proportion of the whole
produce which goes to labourers as wages will to the same extent
diminish; but if in the meantime the advance of the arts or economies
that become possible with greater population have so increased the
productive power of labour that at twenty the same exertion will produce
as much wealth as before at twenty-five, labourers will get as wages as
great a quantity as before, and the relative fall of wages will not be
noticeable in any diminution of the necessaries or comforts of the
labourer, but only in the increased value of land and the greater
comforts and more lavish expenditure of the rent-receiving class." It
thus turns out that the alleged impoverishment of the labouring classes
through the increasing wealth of society--the sad and desolating
spectacle that "tormented" Mr. George, "so that he could not rest"--the
cruel mystery that robbed him even of his religious faith, and moved him
to write his powerful but inconclusive book--this was no real
impoverishment at all, but only an apparent one. It is not so much as
"noticeable" in "any diminution of the necessaries or comforts of the
labourer"; it is noticeable only in "the greater comforts and more
lavish expenditure of the rent-receiving class." The poverty of the
labourer consists in the greater wealth of the landlord. The poor are
not poorer; they only seem poorer, because certain of the rich have got
so much richer. The problem is thus, on Mr. George's own showing, just
the mock problem of the apparently receding train.
But let us take up this new issue. Mr. George's assertion now is that
wages are a less proportion of the gross produce of the country than
they were, because rent absorbs a correspondingly larger proportion than
it did. Is that so? Mr. George does not think of showing that it is: he
assumes it, without apparently having the smallest pretence of fact for
his assertion. His assumption is entirely wrong. Rent is a much smaller
proportion of the gross produce of the country than it was, and wages
are not only in their aggregate a larger proportion of the aggregate
produce of the country, but in their average a larger proportion of the
_per capita_ production. There is no need to rest in random assumptions
on the matter. The gross annual produce of the United Kingdom is
reckoned at present at twelve hundred millions sterling, and the rent of
the land at less than seventy millions, or about one seventeenth of the
whole. In the time of King and Davenant, 200 years ago or so, the annual
produce of England and Wales was forty-three millions, and the rent of
land ten millions--little less than one-fourth. (Davenant's Works, iv.,
71.) It is hardly worth while, however, making a formal assertion of so
self-evident a proposition as that rent constitutes a much smaller
fraction of the national income now that wealth is invested so vastly in
trade and manufactures, than it did when agriculture was the one great
business of life: but it is perhaps better worth showing that rent does
not absorb a greater proportion even of the agricultural produce of the
country than it used to do. Rent has risen nearly 200 per cent. in the
course of the last hundred years, but it does not take one whit a larger
share of the gross produce of the land than it took then.
According to the calculations of Davenant and King, the gross produce of
agriculture amounted, at the time of the Revolution, to four rents, or,
allowing for tithes, to three rents; but this was only on the arable.
The produce of other land, natural pasture and forest land and the like,
came to less than two rents; so that while the rent of arable was not
more than a third of the produce (or, to state it exactly, 27 per
cent.), the rent of land generally was more nearly a half. The figures
are--
Gross Produce. Rent.
Arable Land L9,079,000 L2,480,000
Other Land 12,000,000 7,000,000
----------- ----------
Total L21,079,000 L9,480,000
(Davenant's Works, iv., 70.) Arthur Young, a century later, declares
that the doctrine of three rents was already exploded, and that farmers
had begun to expend so much on high cultivation that they would be very
ill content if they produced no more than three rents. In fact, he
declares that even in former times rent could never have amounted to a
third of the produce, except on lands of the very first quality, and
that a fourth was more probably the average proportion. In his
"Political Arithmetic," published in 1779 (Part II., pp. 27, 31), he
estimated the gross agricultural produce of England (exclusive of Wales)
at L72,826,827, and the gross agricultural rental at L19,200,000, or 26
per cent.,--very nearly one-fourth of the produce. To come down nearer
our own time, M'Culloch estimated the gross agricultural produce of
England and Wales in 1842-3 to have been L141,606,857, and the gross
agricultural rental L37,795,906, or 26 per cent. of the produce.
("Statistical Account of the British Empire," 3rd Edition, p. 553.) The
gross, agricultural produce of the United Kingdom is now 270 millions
sterling, and the gross agricultural rental 70 millions. Mr. Mulhall,
indeed, estimates it at only 58 millions; but at 70 millions it would
be, as nearly as possible, 26 per cent.,--curiously enough the same
figure exactly as in 1843 and in 1779, and almost the same as in 1689.
So far of rent; now as to wages. I have already, in a former chapter (p.
301), produced some evidence to show that the average labourer's wages
bears a higher proportion to the average income of the country than it
did in former times, or, in other words, that the labourer enjoys a
higher _per capita_ share of the gross annual produce of the country as
measured in money, and I need not repeat that evidence here. Mr. Mulhall
has made some calculations which confirm the conclusions there drawn.
("Dictionary of Statistics," p. 246.) He compares the income of the
people of the United Kingdom at the three epochs of 1688, 1800, and
1883. He divides the people into classes and numbers them by families,
stating the total income of each class and the total number of families
among whom it was divided. I select the two columns containing the
results for the whole population and the results for the working class.
(1) Number of Families:--
A.D. 1688. A.D. 1800. A.D. 1883.
Whole Nation 1,200,000 1,780,000 6,575,000
Working Class 759,000 1,117,000 4,629,000
(2) Earnings:--
A.D. 1688. A.D. 1880. A.D. 1883.
Whole }
Nation} L45,000,000 L230,000,000 L1,265,000,000
Working}
Class } 11,000,000 78,000,000 447,000,000
A single glance at these tables will show that the aggregate wages of
the country constitutes a slightly better proportion of its aggregate
annual income at present than in 1800, and a decidedly better proportion
than in 1688. But if we look, not to the aggregate income of the class,
but to the average income of the individual families it contains, the
result is in nowise more favourable to Mr. George's assumption. The
following table will show that:--
(3) Average Income of Families:--
A.D. 1688. A.D. 1880. A.D. 1883.
Whole Nation L37 L129 L189
Working Class 14 69 96
The average working-class income was thus 37 per cent. of the average
income of the country in 1688; 53 per cent. of it in 1800; and 51 per
cent. of it in 1883. The difference between the last two epochs is so
indecisive that we may count them practically identical. The real
position of affairs then as to the proportion of wages to national
produce is this, that wages enjoy a considerably larger share of that
produce now than they did at the end of the seventeenth century, and
about the same proportion as they enjoyed at the end of the eighteenth.
If, accordingly, Mr. George resolves to stick by the point of
proportion, he would therefore have no more solid ground to stand on
than on the point of quantity. Rent, as a proportion of the entire
wealth of the country, has enormously declined, and even as a
proportion, of agricultural wealth has not increased. Wages as a
proportion have not declined, but rather risen.
These, among other things, are indications that we have been concluding
too hastily that concentration of wealth is the characteristic tendency
of the time, and ignoring the existence of many minor and less
conspicuous forces which have been working in the contrary direction.
The real prospect at present is towards diffusion. The enormous
accumulations that have marked the last hundred and fifty years have
owed their existence largely to causes that cannot be expected to
endure; in the case of land, to vicious laws directly favouring
aggregations; and in the case of trade, to the unparalleled rapidity of
the transformations and extensions industry has undergone during the
period. Great inequalities are natural to such a time. Huge fortunes are
made by pioneers, and will not be easily made by their successors.
Railway contracting will never produce again a millionaire like Mr.
Brassey, but it will continue to furnish the means of many moderate
fortunes and competencies. So with every other new branch of industry,
or new field of investment. The lucky person who is the first to occupy
it may rise to great riches, but his successors will divide the custom,
and instead of one large fortune, there will be a considerable number of
small ones. Mr. George himself admits that the opportunities of making
large fortunes are growing more limited, but oddly enough he considers
the fact to be a signal evidence of "the march of concentration." In his
"Social Problems" (p. 59) he writes: "An English friend, a wealthy
retired Manchester manufacturer, once told me the story of his life. How
he went to work at eight years of age, helping to make twine, when twine
was made entirely by hand. How, when a young man, he walked to
Manchester, and having got credit for a bale of flax, made it into twine
and sold it. How, building up a little trade, he got others to work for
him. How, when machinery began to be invented, and steam was introduced,
he took advantage of them, until he had a big factory and made a
fortune, when he withdrew to spend the rest of his days at ease, leaving
his business to his son. 'Supposing you were a young man now,' said I,
'could you walk into Manchester and do that again?' 'No,' replied he,
'no one could. I couldn't with fifty thousand pounds in place of my five
shillings.'" The true moral of this little story is of course that it is
more difficult to amass a huge fortune in that particular line now than
when machinery was young, and that a man with L50,000 to start with must
now content himself with a much poorer figure than Mr. George's lucky
friend made out of nothing. Would Mr. George compute what limit could be
set to the sum his friend might have amassed, had he started in those
golden days with L50,000 instead of five shillings? Even as things
stood, his solitary success did not distribute the wealth of Manchester
any the better among his fellow-spinners who were not fortunate enough
to get credit for a bale of flax, or pushing enough to ask for it, and
were not in a position to take advantage of the first introduction of a
new power, and rise with it to great wealth. That the stream of things
is now making for more moderate fortunes, and more of them, is confirmed
by the testamentary statistics of the previous ten years published some
time ago by the _Spectator_ newspaper. These figures show that the
number of fortunes of the first rank left during that period has been
very much less than it was in the preceding ten years, but that the
number of moderate fortunes has been very much larger.
What the future may hide in it I shall not venture to divine. It will no
doubt bring upon industry fresh transformations, but we can hardly
expect them to be so numerous or so rapid as in the brilliant era of
industrial progress and colonial development we have passed through, and
some at least of the changes that are in store for us point, as I have
shown in the introductory chapter of this book, to a greater diffusion
rather than a greater concentration in the future. Mr. George says: "All
the currents of the time run to concentration. To successfully resist it
we must throttle steam and discharge electricity from human service" (p.
232). Now steam has undoubtedly been a great concentrator, but
electricity, which is likely to take its place in the future, will to
all appearance be as great a distributor. Mr. George is equally mistaken
regarding the real effect of the other "currents of the time." "That
concentration is the order of development," says he, "there can be no
mistaking--the concentration of people in large cities, the
concentration of handicrafts in large factories, the concentration of
transportation by railroad and steamship lines, and of agricultural
operations in large fields. The most trivial businesses are being
concentrated in the same way--errands are run and carpet sacks are
carried by corporations" (p. 232). The concentration of people in cities
is not the same thing as the concentration of the wealth of those cities
in the hands of a few individuals. The centralization of labour in
cities has assisted the birth of the trade union and the co-operative
society, which are among the best agencies for diffusing wealth; and
the growth of joint-stock companies is a strange proof of a tendency to
greater concentration of wealth, for the joint-stock company is really
an instrument of the small capital, enabling it by combination to
compete successfully with the larger; and as to agriculture, the real
tendency, in this country at any rate, seems to be to lesser holdings.
When we complain of the inequalities of our time--and I am far from
desiring to underrate their extent or to palliate their
mischievousness--we are apt to forget how largely the real and natural
process of evolution is after all one of distribution, how much the most
conspicuous of the inequalities have been incidental to a transition
period, and due to causes of a temporary nature, and how many
indications we possess that they are not unlikely to be corrected and
moderated in the future course of social development. Some of the
official returns made in connection with the income tax show that the
immense increase of wealth of the last thirty years has been far from
being reaped by any single class, but has been shared pretty evenly by
all the classes included in those returns. We possess detailed accounts
of the number of persons paying income tax in each grade of income under
Schedule D, from the year 1849, and if we compare the figures of that
year with those of 1879, we shall obtain a fair index to the movement of
distribution during those thirty years. Schedule D, it is true, includes
only incomes derived from trades and professions, but these incomes may
fairly enough be taken as sufficiently characteristic to afford a
trustworthy indication of the general movement. While population
increased in the thirty years by 22 per cent., the number of incomes
liable to income-tax increased by 161 per cent., and of these, the
incomes that have increased in much the largest proportion are precisely
those middling or lower middling incomes which I have before shown to
have unfortunately declined since 1688. While the number of incomes over
L1,000 a year has increased by 165 per cent., the number of incomes
between L150 and L400 a year has increased by 256 per cent. Mr. Goschen,
in his inaugural address as President of the Royal Statistical Society
in December, 1887, produced later evidence showing the continuance, and
even growth of the same tendency. He showed from the Income Tax Returns
that, in spite of the increase of population between 1877 and 1886, the
number of incomes over L1,000 a year had decreased by 2.40 per cent.,
and the number of incomes between L500 and L1,000 had remained the same,
while the number of incomes between L150 and L500 had increased 21.4 per
cent. He showed from the statistics of certain selected public
companies, that in the ten years from 1876 to 1886 the number of their
shareholders had increased by 72 per cent., while the average capital
per shareholder had decreased from L443 to L323. He drew similar
conclusions from the probate and inhabited house duty figures, and from
several other sources. (See _Journal of Statistical Society_, December,
1887.) These figures prove that the tendency of things, so far as it
concerns the classes above the labourers, is not to further and
exclusive concentration, but rather towards a wider and beneficial
diffusion; and in regard to the labouring classes, it is admitted by
all--even by the extremest social pessimists--that the upper and middle
strata of them have participated in the progress of wealth equally with
their neighbours. There remains only the lowest class of all, and their
emancipation is the serious task of social reform in the immediate
future; but that class is even now not increasing in the ratio of
population; its misery comes from many causes, most of them moral and
physical rather than economic; and though it presents difficult and
trying problems, there is no reason for renouncing the hope which alone
can sustain social reformers to success.
II. _Mr. George's Explanation._
If there is any force in the foregoing observations, it is plain that
there is no such problem as Mr. George has undertaken to explain, and we
are therefore exempted from all necessity of examining his explanation.
But to Mr. George's own mind his explanation of the appearance that
troubled him really constitutes the demonstration of it; at any rate, he
offers no other. The question of the increase of poverty is of course a
question of fact, that cannot be settled by a _priori_ deduction alone;
but Mr. George seems to think otherwise. He is too bent on proving it
to be _necessary_ to think of asking whether it is _actual_, and even a
man of science like Mr. A. R. Wallace, while regretting that Mr. George
had not chosen to build his proposals on ground of fact, declares that
he adopted an equally legitimate method in deducing his results "from
the admitted principles and data of political economy." ("Land
Nationalization," p. 19.) Moreover, most of the social pessimism of the
present time draws its chief support, exactly like Mr. George's, from
the supposed bearing of certain received economic doctrines; and our
task would therefore be incomplete if we did not follow Mr. George on
this "high _priori_ road" on which he so boldly fares forth, and
performs, as will presently be seen, many a remarkable feat.
Before beginning his explanation, he throws the problem itself into what
he conceives to be a more suitable scientific form. "The cause," says
he, "which produces poverty in the midst of advancing wealth is
evidently the cause which exhibits itself in the tendency everywhere
recognised of wages to a minimum. Let us therefore put our inquiry into
this compact form: Why, in spite of increase in productive power, do
wages tend to a minimum which will give but a bare living?" (p. 10). The
problem, as thus restated, is clearly, be it observed, one of quantity,
not of proportion. A bare living is not a relative share, but a definite
amount, of produce. But the tendency in wages to such a minimum, which
he asserts to be everywhere recognised, is really not recognised at all.
In alleging that it is so, Mr. George evidently alludes to the doctrine
of wages taught by Ricardo and his school; but what they recognised in
wages was a tendency, not to a minimum that would give but a bare
living, but to a minimum that would give a customary living; in other
words, that would sustain the labourers in the standard of comfort
customary among their own class. The economic minimum is not the
absolute minimum of a bare living; it is, as Mr. George himself
elsewhere puts it, "the lowest amount on which labourers will consent to
live and reproduce,"--that is, not the lowest amount on which any
individual labourer will do so, but the lowest amount which labouring
people in general consider it necessary to earn before they will
undertake the responsibility of marriage. If they were to get less than
this, it was contended, they would refrain from marrying to an extent
that would tell sufficiently on the supply of labour to force wages up
again to their old level. This level was the minimum to which wages
constantly tended, but then it was always higher than a bare living; it
was determined by the standard of requirements current among the
labouring class at the time; and it was recognised to be capable of
rising if that standard rose. True, Ricardo and the economists of his
generation entertained very poor hopes of any such rise, because the
working classes of their time, being without the intelligence, the ideas
of comfort, the higher wants that are powerfully operative among the
working classes of our day, were generally seen to "take out" their
better wages when they chanced to get them in nothing but earlier
marriages, which in the end brought their wages down again. We have
happily now to do with a more aspiring and a less uniformly composed
working class. It is perhaps more aspiring in some measure because it is
less uniformly composed. It contains many ranks and inequalities and
standards of social refinement and comfort, and the presence of these
side by side develops a more active tendency upward, which, by supplying
a stronger check than before on improvident marriages, will enable the
labourers, class after class of them, to appropriate securely more and
more of the common domain of advancing civilization. We have had
abundant experience of a rise in the standard of life, and a rise in the
rate of wages, both remaining as permanent possessions of sections of
the labouring class. But if Ricardo and his school had less faith than
they reasonably might have had in the possibility of a permanent upward
tendency in wages, they certainly never dreamt of believing in any
permanent downward tendency. According to their doctrine the rate of
wages moved up and down within certain limits, but always tended to come
back to a particular figure--the amount necessary to give the labourer
the living customary among his class. This figure was really no more a
minimum than it was a maximum; wages were supposed to fall sometimes
below it, as they were supposed to rise sometimes above it; and to speak
of it as a minimum that would give but a bare living is completely to
misrepresent its nature.
The assumption from which Mr. George starts is thus in no wise an
admitted principle of political economy, and would therefore not answer
the test of legitimacy laid down by Mr. Wallace. It has no ground
outside of Mr. George's own imagination. Economists would solve his
problem, "why in spite of increased productive power wages tend to a
minimum that will give but a bare living?" by simply denying his fact,
and having done with it. But Mr. George persuades himself that they
would answer it otherwise, and devotes the next section of his book to
an elaborate confutation of the false answers he supposes they would
return to it. They would either explain it, he thinks, by their theory
of the wages fund, or they would explain it by their theory of
population; and so before confiding to us his own explanation, he
considers it necessary to stop and clear these two venerable theories
out of his way. I am not concerned to defend these theories; their truth
would not make Mr. George's own view any the falser, nor their falsehood
make it any the truer. One of them indeed was dead and buried before Mr.
George attacked it, though I am bound to say it would never have fallen
before the particular line of attack he directs against it. The wages
fund doctrine, which played a considerable _role_ both in its original
form as taught by Senior, and in its subsequent form as modified by
M'Culloch, was refuted by Mr. Thornton in 1869, was almost instantly
abandoned by the candid mind of Mr. Mill, and is now rarely met with as
a living economic doctrine. The wages fund is still regarded of course
as having its limit in capital, and in the conditions which generate
capital, but since these conditions include among other things the
number and efficiency of the labourers, the amount of the wages fund is
no longer represented as at any given moment a fixed and predetermined
quantity susceptible of no possible alteration to meet the exigencies of
the labour market, and when once this characteristic was given up, the
wages fund doctrine was seen to have degenerated into little more than a
stately truism. The Malthusian theory of population is not in the same
way discredited, but it likewise is now generally stated with some
reserve. It has become well understood that the earlier economists
assigned it too absolute and universal a validity, and that it is not,
as they thought, a law for all ages, and especially and happily not a
law for our own. It is true of an era of progressive population and
diminishing return from agriculture, but for our day it has been robbed
of its terrors by free trade and steam navigation, which have connected
our markets with continents of virgin soil, and carried us virtually
into an era of increasing return of indefinite duration. The population
question was one of serious practical import for our fathers, and as
they saw people marrying and giving in marriage, while every fresh
bushel of food was extracted with increasing difficulty from an
exhaustible soil, they looked with a reasonable dread to the future, and
saw no way of hope except in the practice of a heroic continence. But we
live in another time. We find population increasing and yet bread
cheapening, simply because the locomotive which alarmed Mr. George by
taking the tramp to California has brought back plenty to the rest of
the world. It is due to the material progress he preaches against that
we are the first generation who can afford to make light of the
population question, and leave our remote posterity to deal with the
peril when it shall actually arrive.
Mr. George, however, is not content with disputing these doctrines; he
insists on replacing them with others exactly opposite to them in
purport, and for which he claims a like universal validity. He propounds
a new population theory, and a new wages fund theory of his own. The
more population abounds, the more will subsistence superabound, is his
comfortable counter-proposition to Malthusianism. "I assert," says he,
"that in any given state of civilization a greater number of people can
collectively be better provided for than a smaller.... I assert that the
new mouths which an increasing population calls into existence, require
no more food than the old ones, while the hands they bring with them can
in the natural order of things produce more. I assert that, other things
being equal, the greater the population, the greater the comfort which
an equitable distribution of wealth would give to each individual" (p.
99). In a word, his teaching is that "other things being equal"
over-population is a ridiculous impossibility. What may be all concealed
under the reservation, "other things being equal," he does not
enlighten us, but it avowedly contains at least one presupposition of
decisive importance to the question, the presupposition of the unlimited
productiveness of the soil. Mr. George denies the law of diminishing
return. We shall presently find him, in his doctrine about rent, basing
his whole book on the operation of this law. But here in his doctrine
about population it suits him to deny it, and he does so on singularly
fantastical grounds (p. 93). He denies it on the ground that "matter is
eternal, and force must for ever continue to act," as if the
indestructibility of matter was the same thing as its infinite
productiveness. "As the water that we take from the ocean must again
return to the ocean, so the food we take from the reservoirs of nature
is, from the moment we take it, on its way back to those reservoirs.
What we draw from a limited extent of land may temporarily reduce the
productiveness of that land, because the return may be to other land or
may be divided between that land and other land, or perhaps all land;
but this possibility lessens with increasing area, and ceases when the
whole globe is considered. That the earth could maintain a thousand
billions of people as easily as a thousand millions is a necessary
deduction from the manifest truths that at least, as far as our agency
is concerned, matter is eternal and force must for ever continue to
act.... And from this it follows that the limit to the population of the
globe can only be the limit of space. Now this limitation of space--this
danger that the human race may increase beyond the possibility of
finding elbow-room--is so far off as to have for us no more practical
interest than the recurrence of the glacial period or the final
extinguishment of the sun" (p. 94-5). If this passage means anything, it
means that the race may go on multiplying as long as it finds room to
stand on, and that even when that limit is reached it can only be
squeezed to death and not starved. It can in no case apparently be
starved. Subsistence cannot possibly run short, for the inherent powers
of the soil are not permanently destructible. But he might as well argue
that man must be omnipotent because he is immortal. The question is not
one of the durability of the productive powers of the earth--it is one
of their limited or unlimited productive capacity. Up to a certain point
they may yield the same return at the same cost year after year in
_saecula saeculorum_, but will they yield more? Manifestly not. Every
bushel they give after that is got at continuously increasing cost. Now
of course wherever population increases so much, compared with the land
at its disposal, that this increasing cost must be incurred in order to
find them food, the epoch of diminishing return in agriculture has
arrived, and the peril of over-population is already present. Happily,
as we have said, that time is not yet, but it will come long, long
before the human race fails to find elbow-room in this planet.
Mr. George himself admits that in a country of inconsiderable extent, or
in a small island, such as Pitcairn's Island, over-population is quite
possible before elbow-room is near exhausted--(p. 74)--and in making the
admission he virtually surrenders his case. He admits in detail what he
denies in gross. For is not the soil of a small island or an
inconsiderable country as eternal as the soil of a continent? The only
difference is that it is not so extensive, and therefore comes to the
epoch of diminishing return sooner. That is all. The reason why he makes
an exception of such an island is because its inhabitants "are cut off
from communication with the rest of the world, and consequently from the
exchanges which are necessary to the improved modes of production
resorted to as population becomes dense" (p. 74). But if density of
population is such a sure improver of production as Mr. George
represents it to be elsewhere, why should it fail here? And if it fail
anywhere, how can he argue that it must succeed everywhere? Once he
admits, as he does in this passage, that subsistence has a definite
limit in the modes of production that happen to be known in any age and
country, and that population has a definite limit for such age and
country in the amount of subsistence which the known modes of production
are capable of extracting from the soil, he really admits all that
Malthusians generally contend for, and coming to curse, he has really
blessed them altogether. The limit of subsistence which he here
recognises--the limit imposed by the state of the arts--is far within
the limit which he has just been denying, the natural limit to the
inherent fertility of the soil, on which economists base their law of
diminishing return. The former point is far sooner reached than the
latter. Men will starve because they don't know how to make the best use
of nature long before they will starve because nature is used up; and it
is exactly that earlier limit on which Malthusians lay stress.
But except for this inconsistent admission in the case of a petty
isolated island, Mr. George persistently refuses to recognise any kind
of limit to subsistence, either in the productive capacity of the soil
or in the state of the arts. He seems to fancy that land will go on
yielding larger and larger harvests _ad infinitum_ to accommodate an
increasing population, and that even if it failed to do so, new
inventions or improved processes of production would be constantly
discovered when they were needed, and keep the supply of food always
equal to the demand. With these crude assumptions in his head, he
arrives very easily at his own peculiar theory, which is, that
subsistence tends to increase faster than population, because the growth
of population itself affords the means of such economies and
organization of labour as multiply immensely the productive capacity of
each individual labourer. A hundred labourers, he is fond of arguing,
will produce much more than a hundred times the amount that one will,
and it is therefore clear folly to think of population as capable of
encroaching on subsistence. On the contrary, it seems almost fitter to
speak of it as a means of positively economizing subsistence. Mr.
George's mistake arises from ignoring the fact that subsistence depends
on the productive capacity of land as well as on the productive capacity
of labour, and the productive capacity of land is not indefinitely
progressive.
Mr. George's new wages fund theory is based on a precisely analogous
misconception of the real conditions of the case, and is just as much in
the air as his population theory. "Wages," he says, "cannot be
diminished by the increase of labourers, but on the contrary, as the
efficiency of labour manifestly increases with the number of labourers,
the more labourers, other things being equal, the higher wages should
be" (p. 62). Just as he has already argued that food can never run short
before an advancing population, because the new hands can produce much
more than the new mouths can consume, as if the hands span it out of
their own finger nails; so he now argues that wages can never decline
for want of capital to employ labourers, because the capital that
employs them is made by the labourers themselves. They are paid, he
declares, not out of the capital of their employers, but out of the
product of their own labour. Mr. F. A. Walker, the eminent American
economist, had already taught a similar doctrine, but with the
reservation that while wages were really paid out of the produce of the
labour they remunerated, they were usually advanced out of the
employer's capital. But Mr. George throws aside this reservation, and
declares boldly that wages are neither paid nor advanced out of capital,
and that if any advance is made in the transaction at all, it is the
labourer who makes it to the employer, not the employer to the labourer.
"In performing his labour, he (the labourer) is advancing in exchange;
when he gets his wages, the exchange is completed. During the time he is
earning the wages, he is advancing capital to his employer; but at no
time, unless wages are paid before work is done, is the employer
advancing capital to him" (p. 49).
In this contention Mr. George relies much on the analogy of the
"self-employing" labour of primitive society. When men live by gathering
eggs, he tells us, the eggs they gather are their wages. No doubt; but
in our complicated civilization we don't live by gathering eggs from day
to day, but by sowing the seed in spring which is to yield us food only
in harvest--by preparing work for the market which may take weeks,
months, even years before it is marketable. The energetic Sir John
Sinclair is said to have once danced at a ball in the evening dressed in
a suit the wool of which was still growing on the sheep's back in the
morning; but rapidity like that is naturally foreign to ordinary
commerce. The successive operations of clipping, fulling, teasing,
spinning, dying, weaving, cutting, sewing, occupy considerable time. So
with other things. Houses, ships, railways, are not built in a day, or
by a single workman. The product of a single workman's work for a day at
any of these things has no value apart from the product of the other
workmen's work, nor has the work of them all any value unless the work
is, or is to be, completed. The wages paid during the period of
construction, therefore, cannot possibly have come out of the work for
which they were paid, but must have been advanced otherwise. Who
advances them? Clearly not the labourer himself, for he receives them.
And yet that is what Mr. George unhesitatingly asserts, and his argument
is as courageous as it is ingenious. He does not shrink from applying it
to the extremest case you like to suggest--the Great Eastern, the
Gothard Tunnel, the Suez Canal; even in these cases the labourers, who
spent months and years in doing the work, were paid out of the work
itself, out of the Great Eastern, out of the Gothard Tunnel, out of the
Suez Canal. "For," says Mr. George, "a work that is incomplete is not
valueless, it is not unexchangeable; money may be raised on it by
mortgage or otherwise, and as this money is raised on the product of the
labourer's work, the wages it is employed to pay are really paid out of
that product." But this only shifts the question a little: it does not
answer it. Where does this lent money come from? Certainly not from the
work it is lent on. Perhaps not, Mr. George will rejoin, again shifting
his ground, but it comes from the product of the contemporaneous work of
other labourers. "It is not necessary to the production of things that
cannot be used as subsistence or cannot be immediately utilized that
there should have been a previous production of the wealth required for
the maintenance of the labourers while the production is going on. It is
only necessary that there should be, somewhere within the circle of
exchange, a contemporaneous production of subsistence for the labourers,
and a willingness to exchange this subsistence for the thing on which
the labour is being bestowed" (p. 51). But this is only passing round
the dilemma. For this contemporaneous production has itself the same
difficulty to face; it has to sustain its labourers during the time
taken to complete their work; and it can only do so, according to Mr.
George's explanation, by raising the means through a mortgage on the
unfinished work. It borrows to pay its own wages, but is apparently able
to lend to pay other people's. Mr. George has a happy method of carrying
on the affairs of society by mutual accommodation. Peter is a shoemaker
who wants money to buy leather to make shoes and food to maintain him
till the shoes are made. Paul is a carpenter who is in a like case, and
wants money to buy food and timber. Peter borrows the money he needs
from Paul on mortgage, and then Paul in turn borrows what he needs from
Peter, on the same terms. Utopia is a pleasanter world than ours, and an
IOU probably goes a long way in it; but here on this hard earth Peter
would certainly make no shoes nor Paul any chairs, unless he had either
himself saved enough to purchase the materials, or found a neighbour who
had done so and was ready to make him an advance. Except for this
neighbour he could not work at all, and could not therefore "create any
wages," and the amount of work he got and wages he earned would
manifestly depend greatly on the amount of capital this stranger
possessed and was disposed to invest in such an enterprise.
It is true that the wages of labour will be guided in amount by the
quantity of the product, but they are not on that account actually paid
out of the product. And it is true that the labourer gives value for his
wages--certainly he would not otherwise be employed--but that value is
not usually marketable until some time, in many cases years, after the
wages have been enjoyed, and therefore cannot have been the source
whence these wages came. The wages were paid out of the saved results of
previous labour--that is, out of capital--and Mr. George has absolutely
no conception of the amount of capital that is necessary to carry on the
work of industry. He says we live from hand to mouth, and so in a sense
we do. Our capital is being constantly consumed and constantly
reproduced again, and economists are fond of showing, from the speedy
recovery of a civilized state after a devastating war, how short a time
it would really take to replace it entirely. But until it is replaced
every inhabitant undergoes considerable privations, which simply means
that the rate of wages has fallen for want of it. There are some trades,
like the baker's, where the product is actually sold before the wages
are paid; and there are many, like the whaler's mentioned by Mr. George,
where the labourers can afford to wait long terms for part at least of
their remuneration (no great sign, by the way, of the minimum of a bare
living); but even in these much capital must be set aside before a
single hand is engaged. The whalers, for example, must be furnished with
a ship to start with, and be provisioned for the voyage; and if these
requisites are not forthcoming, they must go without work and wages
altogether, or take work at inferior terms in a market glutted by their
own arrival in it. Mr. George speaks lightly of the labourers who
excavated the Suez Canal advancing value to the company who employed
them, and yet before a single pick or spade was stuck into the sand of
the Isthmus the company had laid out, in preliminary expenses and
machinery, as much as six millions sterling--more than a third of the
whole cost of the Canal. They had then to pay other five or six millions
in wages before the work fetched a single fee; and yet Mr. George will
have us believe that those five or six millions actually came out of the
profits, merely because the projectors hoped and believed they might
eventually come out of them. Labourers give an equivalent to the
capitalists for their wages, but their wages are really paid out of the
capital which their employers have saved for the purpose of purchasing
that equivalent. I may have bought a cow in the hope of recouping myself
by selling her milk, but I did not therefore pay her price out of the
milk money--for nobody would have sold her to me if he had to wait for
that; I bought her out of money I had previously saved, and from the
same source exactly, and no other, do capitalists buy labour.
But, objects Mr. George, that cannot be; wages cannot be paid out of
capital, because they are often lowest when, as shown by the low rate of
interest, capital is most abundant. But Mr. George here confounds
existent capital with employed capital. It is only the capital actually
employed that tells on wages; the low rate of interest merely shows that
there has been an increase in unemployed capital, and since that is
generally a correlative of a diminution of employed capital, it is but
natural that low interest should be attended by low wages. Low wages are
a consequence of unemployed labour, unemployed labour a consequence of
unemployed capital, and unemployed capital a consequence of unfavourable
industrial conditions which labour, either with capital or without it,
cannot evade or reverse.
So far then of Mr. George's views on population and the wages fund, for
which much value, as well as originality, has been claimed. The chapters
in which he states them are certainly among the most impressive and
characteristic in his book. Nowhere else does he display more strikingly
his remarkable acuteness, fertility, and literary power, and nowhere
else are these high qualities employed more fruitlessly from sheer want
of grasp of the elements of the problems he discusses. These chapters
are after all, however, something of a digression from the main business
of the book, and they have perhaps detained us too long from Mr.
George's own explanation of the supposed growth of poverty.
His explanation is this: "The reason why, in spite of the increase of
productive power, wages constantly tend to a minimum which will give but
a bare living is that with increase in productive power, rent tends to
even greater increase" (p. 199). "Rent swallows up the whole gain, and
pauperism accompanies progress" (p. 158). "The magic of property," it
seems, has an unsuspected malignancy; but, in the present case, its
spell is really exercised only over Mr. George's own vision. For who,
with his eyes open, would believe for a moment what Mr. George so
gravely asserts, that of the whole gain won by our multiplied productive
power, none whatever has gone to the great bankers, and brewers, and
cotton spinners, and ironmasters, and corn factors, and shipbuilders,
and stockbrokers, and railway contractors; that our Rothschilds, and
Brasseys, and Barings, and Bairds, the great plutocrats of the time, the
possessors of the largest fortunes in the country, the very men and
classes who have been most conspicuously enriched through the material
progress of the nation, have all the while been conducting a hard
struggle against a fatal tendency in their incomes to sink to a bare
living, and had to feed, exactly like the manual labourers, from the
crumbs that fall from the landowners' table. The assertion is too
violent and preposterous to merit serious refutation. Everybody knows
that the greatest part of the wealth of modern society is not
concentrated in the hands of the landlords at all, that it has not
accrued from rent and that it would not be a farthing the less though
private property in land were abolished to-morrow.
But violent and preposterous as Mr. George's conclusion is, it has not
been arrived at without the exercise of much perverse ingenuity. Having
been brought by his examination of the wages fund and population
theories to the conviction that the key to his riddle was not to be
discovered in the conditions that regulated production, he concludes
that it must, therefore, be sought in the conditions that regulate
distribution. His problem is thus one in the distribution of wealth, and
it must be explained, if it is to be explained at all, by the laws of
distribution. To investigate these laws, therefore, becomes now his
object, and the first step he takes is a truly amazing one. At the very
outset he throws the most important class of participators in the
distribution--the class that appropriates the largest share--out of
court altogether, and he proceeds to settle the whole question as if
they never got a penny, and as if the entire spoil were divided among
their neighbours. People who live on profits, it seems, have no _locus
standi_ in a question of distribution, and the case must be considered
as if the parties exclusively concerned were the people who live on
wages, the people who live on interest, and the people who live on rent.
"With profits," he says, "this inquiry has manifestly nothing to do. We
want to find what it is that determines the division of their joint
produce between land, labour, and capital, and profits is not a term
that refers exclusively to any one of these three divisions. Of the
three parts into which profits are divided by political economists,
namely compensation for risk, wages of superintendence, and returns for
the use of capital, the latter falls under the term interest, which
includes all the returns for the use of capital and excludes everything
else; wages of superintendence falls under the term wages, which
includes all returns for human exertions and excludes everything else;
and compensation for risk has no place whatever, as risk is eliminated
when all the transactions of a community are taken together" (pp.
113-4).
Now we have to do here with no mere difference of terminology. Profits
may be employers' wages, if you like to call them so; but it is a fatal
confusion to suppose that, because you have called them employers'
wages, you are therefore entitled to treat them as if they were governed
by the same laws and conditions as labourers' wages. The truth is that
they are governed by opposite conditions, and that the pith of the
labour question is just the conflict between these two kinds of wages
for the better share in the distribution. The battle of labour is not
against the employer receiving fair interest on his capital in
proportion to its quantity, but against the amount of additional profit
which the employer claims as wages of superintendence, and which he also
rates in proportion to capital invested instead of rating it in
proportion to his own trouble or efficiency. One of the chief hopes of
the workman resides in the possibility of breaking down this erroneous
criterion of fair remuneration for superintendence, and so getting the
employers to content themselves with smaller profits than they have been
in the habit of considering indispensable. Profits and wages have thus
opposite and conflicting interests in the distribution, but Mr. George,
having once disguised the one in the garb of the other, is imposed on by
the disguise himself, and treats them in his subsequent speculations as
if they were the same thing, or at any rate--what in the present
connection is equally pernicious in its effects--as if their respective
shares in the distribution were determined by precisely the same
conditions. The result is, as might be expected, a series of singular
_contretemps_ springing from mistaken identity, like those we are
familiar with on the comic stage. The manufacturing millionaire appears
before us as the victim of the same harsh destiny as the penniless
crossing-sweeper, and the banker of Lombard Street is overshadowed by
the same blighting poverty as the lumper of Wapping. Proudhon, in a
powerful passage, describes pauperism as invading modern society at both
extremes; it invaded the poor in the positive form of natural hunger; it
invaded the rich in the unnatural but more devouring form of insatiable
voracity. The burden of Mr. George's prophetic vision contains no such
refinements. He sees a huge wedge driven through the middle of society;
and on the underside of that enchanted wedge he sees the merchant
princes of the world eating the bread of poverty with their lowest
dependents. Mr. George's classification of profits under wages
therefore involves much more than a mere change of nomenclature, for it
has led him to pass off this absurd vision as a literal description of
things as they are. By that classification he has really put out of his
own sight the most important factor in the settlement of the question he
is discussing, and so he begins playing Hamlet by leaving the part of
Hamlet out.
Having simplified matters by throwing profits out of the cast, Mr.
George's next step is to assign the leading _role_ to rent. In the whole
drama of the modern distribution of wealth, no part is more striking or
more often misunderstood than the part played by rent. Wages never cease
to cost much and to be worth little, but rent seems to have the property
of going on growing while the landlords themselves sleep or play. This
fact has impressed Mr. George so profoundly that, losing sight of things
in their true connection and proportions, he declares that the growth of
rent is the key to the whole situation, and that neither wages nor any
other kind of income, not derived from land, can ever draw any advantage
from the increase of prosperity, because rent always steps in before
them and runs off with the spoil. He professes to found this conclusion
on Ricardo's theory of rent, which he accepts, not only as being
absolutely true, but as being too self-evident to need discussion.
Indeed, he seems disposed, like some others, to have his fling at Mill
for calling it the _pons asinorum_ of political economy; but we shall
presently discover various grounds for suspecting that he has not
crossed the bridge successfully himself, and that here, as elsewhere, he
has been led seriously astray by looking at things through the mist of
doctrines he has only imperfectly mastered. Anyhow, he offers his theory
as a deduction from Ricardo's law of rent, and this deduction claims
particular attention because it is the corner-stone of his speculations,
and constitutes what he would consider his most original and important
contribution to economic science. He says that the law of rent itself
"has ever since the time of Ricardo ... been clearly apprehended and
fully recognised. But not so its corollaries. Plain as they are, the
accepted doctrine of wages ... has hitherto prevented their recognition.
Yet, is it not as plain as the simplest geometrical demonstration that
the corollary of the law of rent is the law of wages, when the division
of the produce is simply between rent and wages; or the law of wages and
interest together, when the division is into rent, wages, and interest"
(p. 120). It is really plainer. It is a mere truism. In any simple
division, if you know how much one of the factors gets, you know how
much is left for the others, and if you like to dignify your conclusion
by the name of corollary, you are free to do so. But the real point is
this, whether the share obtained by rent is fixed irrespectively of the
share obtained by wages and interest, or whether, on the contrary, it
does not presuppose the previous determination of the latter. There is
no doubt, at any rate, as to how Ricardo--Mr. George's own
authority--regarded the matter. According to his celebrated theory,
wages and interest are satisfied first, and then rent is just what is
over. Rent is simply surplus profit. In hiring land, the farmer hires a
productive machine, and under the influence of competition gives, for
the use of that productive machine for a year, the whole amount of its
annual produce which remains as a surplus after paying the wages of his
labourers, and allowing interest on his capital, and what he considers a
fair profit for his own work of superintendence. A certain current rate
of wages and a certain current rate of profit are presupposed, and after
these demands are met, then if the land has yielded anything more, that
surplus is what is paid as rent. Ricardo always presumes that land that
cannot produce enough to meet these demands will not be cultivated at
all, and that the poorest land actually under cultivation is land that
meets them and does no more; in other words, that leaves nothing over
for rent. Let us take Ricardo's law as it is stated by Mr. George
himself (p. 118): "The rent of land is determined by the excess of its
produce over that which the same application can secure from the least
productive land in use." The standard by which, according to this law,
the amount of rent is supposed to be determined, is the produce of the
least productive land in use. Now, what is the least productive land in
use? It is land that produces just enough to pay the wages the labourers
upon it are content to work for, and the profits the farmer of it is
content to farm for. How that rate of wages and that rate of profits are
fixed is no matter here; but one thing is clear--and it is enough for
our present purpose--that they cannot be determined, as Mr. George
represents them as being, by a law of rent which presumes and is
conditioned by their operation. Ricardo's law virtually explains rent in
terms of wages and profits, and it would therefore be the height of
absurdity to re-explain wages and profits in terms of rent. And if that
is so, the circumstance which excites Mr. George's surprise, that
economists have always so clearly apprehended the law of rent itself,
and yet failed so completely to recognise the corollaries which he
plumes himself on being the first to deduce from it, admits of a very
simple explanation: the economists understood the law they expounded,
and were better reasoners than to employ it as a demonstration of its
own postulates.
This will become still plainer, if we look more closely at the fact
which has struck Mr. George so much--the constant rise of rent in modern
society. He attributes that rise to many causes; in fact, there are few
things that will not, in his opinion, raise rent. Progress of population
will do so; but if population is stationary, it will be done all the
same by progress in the arts; the spread of education will do it;
retrenchment of public expenditure will do it; extending the margin of
cultivation will do it; and so will artificial contraction of that
margin by speculation. In short, he is so haunted by the idea, that he
seems to believe that so long as rent is suffered to survive at all,
whatever we do will only conduce to its increase. Every step of progress
we take extends its evil reign, and if progress were to reach
perfection, rent would drive wages and interest completely off the field
and appropriate "the whole produce" (p. 179). These fears are not sober,
but they could never have risen had Mr. George first mastered the theory
of rent he founds them on. For rent, being the price paid by producers
for the use of a productive machine, cannot rise unless the price of the
product rises first (or its quantity, if so be that it does not increase
so much as to reduce its price), for unless the price of agricultural
produce rises, the farmer cannot afford to pay a higher rent for the
land than he paid before. No part of Ricardo's theory is more elementary
or more unchallenged than this, that the rent of land constitutes no
part of the price of bread, and that high rent is not the cause of dear
bread, but dear bread the cause of high rent. Rent cannot rise further
or faster than the price of bread (or meat, of course) will allow it,
and the price of bread is beyond the landowner's control. He cannot
raise it, but once it rises, he can easily raise rent in a corresponding
degree. If a rise of rent depends on a rise in the price of bread, what
does a rise in the price of bread depend on? On two things which Mr.
George ignores or misunderstands--the progress of population and the
diminishing return in agricultural production. The growth of population
increases the demand for food so much as to raise its price, and renders
it profitable to resort to more difficult soils or more expensive
methods for additional supplies. The price will then remain at the
figure fixed by the cost of the costliest portion that is brought to
market.
Now Mr. George laughs at the idea of increase of population causing any
difficulty about the supply of food--population, which he is never tired
of telling us, is the very thing most wanted to multiply that supply,
and possesses a power of multiplying it in even a progressive ratio to
its numbers. "The labour of 100 men," he says, "other things being
equal, will produce much more than one hundred times as much as the
labour of one man" (p. 163). And he laughs in the same way at the idea
of a diminishing return in agriculture, as if, says he, matter were not
eternal, and as if an increasing population did not of itself increase
the productive capacity of the land through increasing the productive
capacity of the labour upon it. These two misunderstandings lie at the
bottom of all Mr. George's vagaries about rent, and they are perhaps
natural to a speculator, resident in a rich new colony, which, as he
describes it himself, "with greater natural resources than France, has
not yet a million people." No doubt in a country at that particular
stage of its historical development, increase of population may involve
an increase, and even a more than proportional increase, of food as well
as of other commodities; but that particular stage is a temporary and
fleeting one, and the world in general is very differently situated from
the State of California thirty years ago. Where there is plenty of good
land, the increase of population occasions no increase in the cost of
producing food, because there is no need to resort to poorer land for
the purpose; and while food is got as cheaply as before, other things
are got much more easily and abundantly in consequence of the economies
of labour and the many mutual services which result from the increased
numbers of the community. But that state of matters only continues so
long as there remains no occasion to resort to poorer soils for the
production of food, and that time is long past in most countries of the
world. Mr. George no doubt contends that in all countries it is just the
same as in California, because even though it may have become more
difficult in some places to produce food, it has become everywhere much
easier to produce other commodities, and (so he argues) the production
of any kind of commodity is practically equivalent to the production of
food, for it can always be exchanged for food. So it can, if food is
there to exchange for it; but the very question is whether food is
there, or is there in the same relative quantity. If I say it is more
difficult to get food, it is no answer to tell me that it is much easier
to get other things. And because other things may be multiplied
indefinitely at the same cost, that is no reason for denying that food
can only be multiplied indefinitely at increasing cost. Yet Mr. George
reasons as if it were. This confusion is repeated again and again in the
course of his book, and has evidently had much influence on his whole
speculations. He describes the advantages which the colonist derives
from the arrival of other settlers. "His land yields no more wheat or
potatoes than before, but it does yield far more of all the necessaries
and comforts of life. His labour upon it will bring no heavier crops,
and we will suppose no more valuable crops, but it will bring far more
of all the other things for which men work" (p. 168). That is true, but
it is not to the purpose. The new settler required a market, and
population brought it; but although population up to a certain point is
beneficial, you cannot for that reason declare that beyond that point it
cannot possibly become embarrassing; for on Mr. George's own hypothesis
the ground yields no more wheat and potatoes than before, and the limit
to convenient population is prescribed by the amount of food the ground
yields, and not by the quantity of other commodities which skilled
labour can produce. If population were to exceed what that stock of food
would adequately serve, then new-comers would find little comfort in Mr.
George's rhetorical commonplace that they had two hands and only one
mouth. His simple confidence, that they never can be at a loss, because
they can get food by exchange as well as by direct production, is a mere
dream, because he forgets that the people they are to exchange with are
in the same case as themselves. They can only give food in exchange for
other things so long as they raise more food than serves their own
numbers, and when their numbers increase beyond that point, they will
have no food to sell. The limit to subsistence is not the productive
capacity of labour, but the productive capacity of land.
Mr. George's argument rests on another very curious fallacy. He builds
his whole theory of distribution on the fact of the extension of the
margin of cultivation from better to worse soils, but in the same breath
he denies the existence of the very conditions that alone make that fact
possible. Nobody would resort to worse land unless the better were
unable to furnish indefinite supplies at the old cost, _i.e._, unless
the principle of diminishing return prevailed in agriculture. Nor would
any one resort to worse land until it paid him to do so, _i.e._, until
the produce of this worse land became, through a rise in its price or
through improvements in the art of agriculture, equal in net value to
the produce previously yielded by the worst land then in cultivation.
Mr. George denies the principle of diminishing return. He denies "that
the recourse to lower points of production involves a smaller aggregate
of produce in proportion to the labour expended." He denies this, "even
where there is no advance in the arts and the recourse to lower points
of production is clearly the result of the increased demand of an
increased population. For," says he, "increased population of itself,
and without any advance of the arts, implies an increase in the
productive power of labour" (p. 163). But the question is, does it imply
any increase in the productive power of the soil? Mr. George contends
that it does, but only on the superior soils, not on the inferior.
Increasing population, in his opinion, renders all labour so much more
effective that "the gain in the superior qualities of land will more
than compensate for the diminished production on the land last brought
in" (p. 165). Now to all this there is one simple answer: why then
resort to inferior soils at all? If crowding on the superior soils can
make those soils indefinitely productive, why go farther and fare worse?
There can be no reason for having recourse to worse land, but that the
better has ceased to yield enough at the old cost. Organization and
economy of labour are excellent things, but they cannot press from the
udder more milk than it contains, or rear on the meadow more sheep than
it will carry, or grow on a limited area available for cultivation more
than a definite store of food.
But while Mr. George denies that there is anything to force people to
poorer soils, he supposes at the same time that they go freely in order
to get a less profit. He holds the amount of return obtained from
cultivating the least productive land in use to be the lowest rate of
return for which anybody will invest his capital, and therefore to serve
in some sense as a standard rate of remuneration for all applications of
capital and labour. Nobody, he declares, will work for less than he can
make on land that pays no rent. But will any one work such land for less
than he can make in other industries? That is what Mr. George supposes
to be done every day, although he laughs at the idea of there being any
necessity for doing it. It need not be said that men are not such
lunatics. They are really forced to go to worse soils because the better
cannot increase their yield indefinitely at the same cost, and they
never go till they possess a reasonable expectation of making as much
out of the worse land as they did before out of the better.
From all these remarkable misconceptions of the working of rent, and of
the theory of Ricardo on the subject, which he professes to follow, he
draws his first law of distribution, which is nevertheless, so far as it
goes, undoubtedly correct: "Rent depends on the margin of cultivation,
rising as it falls and falling as it rises" (p. 155).
To find the law of rent, he has told us, is to find at the same time its
correlatives, the laws of wages and interest, and these laws accordingly
he states thus: "Wages depend on the margin of cultivation, falling as
it falls and rising as it rises. Interest (its ratio with wages being
fixed by the net power of increase which attaches to capital) depends on
the margin of cultivation, falling as it falls and rising as it rises"
(p. 156). He is not content, however, with merely inferring these two
laws as corollaries from the law of rent, but thinks it necessary to
construct for wages and interest a certain independent connection with
the movement of the margin of cultivation. To do so, he first reduces
interest, as he had already reduced profits, to a form of wages; he then
erects all the different forms of wages (_i.e._, every form of income
except rent) into a single hierarchical system, in which there are many
different rates of remuneration, occasioned by the necessity of
compensating different risks and exertions, but all moving up and down
concurrently with a certain general rate of wages at the bottom of the
scale; and he finally connects this general or standard rate of wages
with the margin of cultivation, by saying that no one would work at
anything else for less than he can make on land open to him free of
rent, and that therefore the income made by cultivating such land must
be the lowest going.
Mr. George's view of the nature of interest is peculiar. He considers it
to be the natural increase of capital, the fruit of inherent
reproductive powers, like the increase of a calf into a cow, or of a hen
into a hen and chickens; and because interest comes in this way freely
from nature, he believes the private appropriation of it to be
thoroughly just, although he presently gives precisely the same reason
for declaring rent to be theft. It is unnecessary to discuss either the
truth or the consistency of this doctrine here, and I refer to it now
merely to explain that although Mr. George thus justifies interest as
being the price of a natural force, he introduces it into his theory of
the origin of poverty, as the price of human labour. "The primary
division of wealth," he says, "is dual, not tripartite. Capital is but a
form of labour, and its distinction from labour is in reality but a
subdivision, just as the division of labour into skilled and unskilled
would be. In our examination we have reached the same point as would
have been attained had we simply treated capital as a form of labour,
and sought the law which divides the produce between rent and wages;
that is to say between the possessors of the two factors, natural
substance and powers and human exertion--which two factors, by their
union, produce all wealth" (p. 144). The difference between interest and
wages is but as the difference between the wages of skilled labour and
the wages of unskilled; the wages of skilled labour is only the wages of
unskilled, _plus_ some consideration for the skill, or for the time
spent in training, or for drawbacks of various kinds; and the wages of
unskilled labour is fixed by the amount that can be made on land that
pays no rent. Profits, salaries, stipends, fees are, in the same way as
interest, declared to be modes of wages. The L50,000 a year of the
merchant prince, it seems, is just the L50 of the day-labourer, with
L49,950 added to compensate him for the additional perils or drawbacks
or discomforts of his life. All incomes, except the landowner's, row in
the same boat, and the day-labourer's sets the stroke. When the margin
of cultivation descends, he is the first to suffer, and then all the
rest suffer with him. If he loses L10 a year, they successively lose L10
too; the doctor or bank-agent will have L490, instead of L500; the
railway chairman, L4,990, instead of L5,000; the merchant prince,
L49,990, instead of L50,000; and their loss is the landlord's gain. Here
then we see the whole mystery of iniquity as Mr. George professes to
unravel it. "The wealth produced in every community is divided into two
parts by what may be termed the rent line, which is fixed by the margin
of cultivation, or the return which labour and capital could obtain from
such natural opportunities as are free to them without payment of rent.
From the part of produce below this line, wages and interest must be
paid. All that is above goes to the owners of land" (p. 121).
Mr. George here confounds the margin of cultivation with the margin of
appropriation. When economists speak of an extension of the margin of
cultivation, they mean a resort to less productive land, and that is
always accompanied by a rise of rent; but an extension of the margin of
appropriation may be a resort to more productive land, and may occasion
a fall of rent, as has been done in Europe to-day through appropriation
in America. But what in reality he builds his argument on is neither
the movement of the margin of cultivation, nor the movement of the
margin of appropriation, but simply the existence of abundance of
unappropriated land. Where that exists, rent will, of course, be low,
and wages will be high, for nobody will give much for land when he can
get plenty for nothing at a little distance off, and nobody will work at
anything else for less than he can make on land that he may have for
nothing. For such land supplies labourers with an alternative. It is not
the best of alternatives, for it needs capital before one can make use
of it, and it takes time before any return is made from it. A diversity
of national industries, for example, is better, and raises wages more
effectively. Agricultural wages are higher in the manufacturing counties
of England than in the purely agricultural; and they are higher in the
manufacturing Eastern States of Mr. George's own country than in the
purely agricultural States of the West, which possess the largest amount
of unappropriated land. The reason of this is twofold: other industries
increase the competition for labour generally, and create, at the same
time, a better market for farm produce. Unoccupied land would
act--though less effectually--in the same way as an alternative; but few
countries are fortunate enough to possess much of it, and as Mr. George
does not propose to interfere with the occupation of land, but only to
tax the occupiers, he has no scheme for showing how countries that have
it not are to get it. It is easy, of course, to call it from the vasty
deep. "Put to any one capable of thought," says Mr. George, "this
question: 'Suppose there should arise from the English Channel or the
German Ocean a Noman's land on which common labour to an unlimited
amount should be able to make ten shillings a day, and which would
remain unappropriated and of free access like the commons which once
comprised so large a part of English soil. What would be the effect upon
wages in England?' He would at once tell you that common wages
throughout England must soon increase to ten shillings a day" (p. 207).
Perhaps so; but a little more thought would teach him that "a Noman's
land on which common labour to an _unlimited_ amount should be able to
make ten shillings a day" must be itself unlimited in extent, and could
not be accommodated in the English Channel. Apart from preternatural
conditions, it could not afford remunerative employment to more than a
definite number of occupants and cultivators, and when it came to be
entirely occupied, England would stand exactly as it does at present. If
the millennium of the working class is to depend on the discovery of a
Noman's land of infinite expansibility, it must be indefinitely
postponed.
But supposing such an alternative existed and did influence the amount
employers pay their workmen, how is it to influence in the same
direction the amount they reserve to themselves? It is true, as a matter
of fact, that wages and interest generally rise and fall together, for
the simple reason that they are generally subject to the same
influences. When capital is busily employed, so is necessarily labour,
and then both wages and interest are high; when capital is largely
unemployed, so is naturally labour also, and then both wages and
interest are low. But an influence like that which is now adduced by Mr.
George does not act on labourer and employer alike. It supplies the
labourer with an alternative which strengthens his hands in his battle
for wages with employers. Does it then at the same time strengthen the
employer in his battle with the labourer? Does it first raise wages at
the expense of profits, and then raise profits at the expense of wages?
It clearly cannot. To argue as if the existence of alternative work
which benefits the labourer, must benefit the employer in the same
degree, and as if the want of it must injure the employer because it
injures the labourer, is simply to misunderstand the very elements of
the case. One might as well argue that because the heights of Alma were
a decided strategical advantage to the Russians, who were posted on
them, they were therefore an equal advantage to the Allies, who had to
scale them.
Laws of distribution, which are founded on a series of such arbitrary
absurdities as those which I have successively exposed, are manifestly
incapable of throwing any rational light on the causes of poverty, or
giving any practical guidance to its amelioration. But, absurd as they
may be, they are at least propounded with considerable parade, and we
are therefore quite unprepared for the strange turn Mr. George next
chooses to take. It will be remembered that the only reason why he
undertook to search for these laws at all was, that by means of them he
might explain why wages tended to sink to a minimum that would give but
a bare living; but now that he has discovered those laws, he declines to
apply them to the solution of this problem. He will not draw the very
conclusion he has laid down all his apparatus to establish. He will not
solve the problem he has promised us to solve; in fact, he tells us he
never meant to solve it; he never thought or said wages tended to sink
to a minimum that would give a bare living; he never said they tended to
sink at all; all he meant to assert was that if they increased, they did
not increase so fast as the national wealth generally. He used "the word
wages not in the sense of a quantity, but in the sense of a proportion"
(p. 154). He will not therefore, after all, show us why the poor are
getting poorer; but he will read for us, if we like, another riddle, why
they are not growing rich so fast as some of their neighbours. In the
name of the patient reader, I may be permitted to lodge a humble but
firm protest against this eccentric and sudden change of front. Mr.
George ought really to have decided what problem he was to write about
before he began to write at all, and we may therefore for the present
dismiss both his problem and his explanation till he makes up his mind.
III. _Mr. George's Remedy._
After our experience of his problem and his explanation, we cannot
indulge expectations of finding any serious or genuine worth in the
practical remedy Mr. George has to prescribe; and we hear, without a
thought of incongruity, the lofty terms in which, like other medicines
we know of, it is advertised to the world by its inventor as a panacea
for every disease society is heir to. "What I propose," he says, "as the
simple yet sovereign remedy which will raise wages, increase the
earnings of capital, extirpate pauperism, abolish poverty, give
remunerative employment to whoever wishes it, afford free scope to human
powers, lessen crimes, elevate morals and taste and intelligence, purify
government, and carry civilization to yet nobler heights, is--to
appropriate rent by taxation" (p. 288). And the direction for applying
the remedy is equally simple: it is to "abolish all taxation save that
upon land values" (_ibid._). This remedy is currently described as the
nationalization of land; but nationalization of land is a phrase which
stands for several very different and even conflicting ideas. With the
usual fatality of revolutionary parties, the English land nationalizers
are already broken into three separate organizations, and represent at
least three mutually incompatible schemes of opinion. There is first the
socialist idea of abolishing both individual ownership and individual
occupation of land, and cultivating the soil of the country by means of
productive associations or rural communes. Then there is the exactly
opposite principle of Mr. A. R. Wallace and his friends, who are so much
in love with both individual ownership and individual occupation that
their whole aim is to compel us all by law to become occupying owners of
land, whether we have any mind to be so or no. And, finally, we have the
scheme of Mr. George, which must be carefully distinguished from the
others, because he would destroy individual ownership but leave
individual occupation perfectly intact. His non-interference with
individual occupation is remarkable, because, as we have seen, he
declares the cause of poverty to be the exclusion of unemployed labour
from the opportunity of cultivating land, and because that exclusion is
chiefly due to the prior occupation of the land by earlier settlers. Mr.
George, however, thinks he can provide a plentiful supply of unoccupied
land, at a nominal price, for an indefinite number of new-comers without
disturbing any prior occupant. He would do it by merely abolishing the
private owner and asking the occupant to pay his rent to the State
instead of to a landlord, and he explains to us how it is that this
simple expedient is to effect the purpose he desires. "The selling price
of land would fall; land speculation would receive its death-blow; land
monopolization would no longer pay. Millions and millions of acres, from
which settlers are now shut out by high prices, would be abandoned by
their present owners, or sold to settlers upon nominal terms. And this
not merely on the frontiers, but within what are now considered
profitable districts.... And even in densely populated England would
such a policy throw open to cultivation many hundreds of thousands of
acres now held as private parks, deer preserves, and shooting grounds.
For this simple device of placing all taxes on the value of land would
be in effect putting up the land at auction to whoever would pay the
highest rent to the State. The demand for land fixes its value, and
hence if taxes were placed so as to very nearly consume that value, the
man who wished to hold land without using it would have to pay very
nearly what it would be worth to any one who wanted to use it." (p.
309).
Putting up land to auction will not secure cheap or nominally rented
farms to an indefinite number of new-comers, unless there is an
indefinite supply of land to divide into farms, but in the present world
that is not so; and when the existing stock of agricultural land is
exhausted, and every man has his farm, but there is no more for any
new-comer, what is Mr. George's remedy then? Abolition of property in
land will of course abolish all trading in such property; but trading in
landed property does not restrict its occupation. The land speculator,
while he holds the land, of course keeps out another competitor from the
ownership, but he keeps nobody from its occupation and cultivation. He
is surely as ready as anybody else to make money, if money is to be
made, by letting it, even by putting it up to auction, if Mr. George
prefers that mode of letting. The transfer of the power of letting to
the State will not secure a tenant any faster. And as to the private
parks, deer forests and shootings of England, Mr. George forgets that
they are, most of them, at present rented, and not, as he seems to
fancy, owned by their occupants, and that it would not make a straw of
difference to them whether they paid their rents to the Crown factor or
to the landlord's agent. Since Mr. George does not prohibit the making
of fortunes, he cannot prevent commercial kings from America or great
brewers from England hiring forests in the Scotch Highlands. And since,
in spite of his celebrated declaration, that "to the landed estates of
the Duke of Westminster the poorest child that is born in London to-day
has as much right as has his eldest son," he would still leave the Duke
a princely income from the rents of the buildings upon his estates, and
would suffer him to enjoy it without paying a single tax or rate on it
all (p. 320), why should the Duke give up his forest in Assynt, merely
because the Crown is to draw the rent instead of the Duke of Sutherland?
Mr. George accordingly proposes a remedy that would remedy nothing, but
leave things just as they are. Deer forests and the like may not be the
best use of the land, but the particular change Mr. George suggests
would not suppress them or even in the slightest degree check their
spread, and would not throw the ground now occupied by them into the
ordinary market for cultivation. And, besides, even if it did, the land
so provided for new-comers would necessarily soon come to an end, and
with it Mr. George's "simple and sovereign remedy," at least in its
specific operation.
But it is noteworthy that in his lectures in this country in 1884, Mr.
George made little account of the specific operation of his remedy as a
means of furnishing unemployed labourers with a practicable alternative
in agricultural production, to which they might continue indefinitely to
resort, and that he preferred for the most part drawing his cure for
poverty from the public revenue which the confiscation of rent would
place at the disposal of the community. Now as to this aspect of his
remedy, it is surely one of the oddest of his delusions to dream of
curing pauperism by multiplying the recipients of poor relief, and
taking away from it, as he claims credit for doing, through the
countenance of numbers, that reproach which has hitherto been the
strongest preventive against it. Besides, he and his friends greatly
exaggerate the amount of the fund the country would derive from the rent
of its ground. It would really fall far short of paying the whole of our
present taxation, not to speak of leaving anything over for wild schemes
of speculative beneficence. The rural rent of the country is only
seventy millions, and that sum includes the rent of buildings, which Mr.
George does not propose to touch, and which would probably in the
aggregate balance the ground rent of towns, which he includes in his
confiscation project. Now our local taxation alone comes very near that
figure, and certainly the people generally can scarcely be expected to
rise from a condition of alleged poverty to one of substantial wealth,
or even comfort, through merely having their local rates paid for them.
The result would therefore be poor, even if no compensation were to be
made to the present receivers of the rent; but with the compensation
price to pay, it would be really too ridiculously small to throw a whole
nation into labour and disorder for. Much may be done--much must be
done--to make the land of the country more available and more profitable
for the wants of the body of the people, but not one jot of what is
required would be done by mere nationalization of the ownership, or even
done better on such a basis than on that which exists. The things that
are requisite and necessary would remain still to be done, though land
were nationalized to-morrow, and they can be equally well done without
introducing that cumbrous innovation at all. With compensation the
scheme is futile; without it, it is repugnant to a healthy moral sense.
Mr. George indeed regards confiscation as an article of faith. It is of
the essence of the message he keeps on preaching with so much conviction
and courage and fervour. Private property in land, he tells us, is
robbery, and rent is theft, and the reason he offers for these strong
assertions is that nothing can rightly be private property which is not
the fruit of human labour, and that land is not the fruit of human
labour, but the gift of God. As the gift of God, it was, he believes,
intended for all men alike, and therefore its private appropriation
seems to him unjust. Under these circumstances he considers it as
preposterous to compensate landowners for the loss of their land, as it
would be to compensate thieves for the restitution of their spoil. To
confiscate land is only to take one's own, Mr. George has no difficulty
about the sound of the word, nor is he troubled by any subtleties as to
the length it is proper to go in the work. Mr. Mill, whose writings
probably put Mr. George first on this track, proposed to intercept for
national purposes only the future unearned increase of the rent of land,
only that portion of the future increase of rent which should not be due
to the expenditure of labour and capital on the soil. Mr. George would
appropriate the entire rent, the earned increase as well as the
unearned, the past as well as the future; with this exception, that
interest on such improvements as are the fruit of human exertion, and
are clearly distinguishable from the land itself, would be allowed for a
moderate period. He says in one place, "But it will be said: These are
improvements which in time become indistinguishable from the land
itself! Very well; then the title to the improvements becomes blended
with the title to the land; the individual right is lost in the common
right. It is the greater that swallows up the less, not the less that
swallows up the greater. Nature does not proceed from man, but man from
nature, and it is into the bosom of nature that he and all his works
must return again" (p. 242). And in another place, speaking of the
separation of the value of the land from the value of the improvements,
he says: "In the oldest country in the world no difficulty whatever can
attend the separation, if all that be attempted is to separate the value
of the clearly distinguishable improvements made within a moderate
period, from the value of the land, should they be destroyed. This
manifestly is all that justice or policy requires. Absolute accuracy is
impossible in any system, and to attempt to separate all the human race
has done from what nature originally provided would be as absurd as
impracticable. A swamp drained, or a hill terraced by the Romans,
constitutes now as much a part of the natural advantages of the British
Isles as though the work had been done by earthquake or glacier. The
fact that after a certain lapse of time the value of such permanent
improvements would be considered as having lapsed into that of the land,
and would be taxed accordingly, could have no deterrent effect on such
improvements, for such works are frequently undertaken upon leases for
years" (p. 302). The sum of this teaching seems to be that Mr. George
would recognise no separate value in any improvements except buildings,
and would be disposed to appropriate even them after such lapse of time
as would make it not absolutely unprofitable to erect them.
What Mr. George fails to perceive is that agricultural land is in no
sense more a gift of God, and in no sense less an artificial product of
human labour, than other commodities--than gold, for example, or cattle,
or furniture, in which he owns private property to be indisputably just.
Some of the richest land in England lies in the fen country, and that
land is as much the product of engineering skill and prolonged labour
as Portland Harbour or Menai Bridge. Before the days of Sir Cornelius
Vermuyden it was part of the bottom of the sea, and its inhabitants, as
they are described by Camden, trode about on stilts, and lived by
snaring waterfowl. Some of the best land in Belgium was barren
sand-heaps a hundred years ago, and has been made what it is only by the
continuous and untiring labour of its small proprietors. "God made the
sea, man made the dry land," is a proverb among the Dutch, who have
certainly made their own country as much as Mr. George has made his
book. In these cases the labour and the results of the labour are
obvious, but no cultivated land exists anywhere that is not the product
of much labour--certainly much more labour than Mr. George seems to have
any idea of. In the evidence taken before the recent Crofters'
Commission, Mr. Greig, who conducted the Duke of Sutherland's
improvements in the Strath of Kildonan, stated that the cost of
reclaiming 1,300 acres of land there, and furnishing them with the
requisite buildings for nine variously sized farms, was L46,000. Apart
from the buildings, the mere work of reclamation alone is generally
estimated to have cost L20 an acre, and in another part of the same
estates an equally extensive piece of reclamation is said to have cost
L30 an acre. By means of this great expenditure of capital and labour,
land that would hardly fetch a rent of a shilling an acre before was
worth twenty or thirty shillings an acre after. Not the buildings only,
but the land itself has been made what it is by labour. It has been
adapted to a useful office by human skill as really as the clay is by
the potter, or the timber by the wright. Deduct from the rent of these
reclaimed acres the value contributed by human labour, and how much
would remain to represent the gift of God? And would it be greater or
less than would remain after a like process applied, say, to a sovereign
or to a nugget of gold? Mr. George has no scruple about the justice of
private property and inheritance in the nugget, and indeed in all kinds
of movable wealth. "The pen with which I am writing," he says, for
example, "is justly mine. No other human being can rightfully lay claim
to it, for in me is the title of the original producers who made it"
(p. 236). The original producer of the nugget appropriated what was
surely a gift of God as much as the clays or loams of husbandry; and if
he, as Mr. George admits, has "a clear and indefeasible title to the
exclusive possession and enjoyment" of his nugget, and may transmit that
title by bequest or sale unimpaired for an unrestricted period of time,
why is the original producer of agricultural land to be held up as more
than half a thief, and the present possessor as one entirely? And if a
proprietor has spent L20,000 in buildings, and L26,000 in reclamations,
in order to convert the surface of the earth into useful arable soil,
why is he to be allowed rent on the L20,000, and denied it on the
L26,000?