Apart, however, from such considerations, matters of history, it may be

allowed that whatever the nationality or preferences of respective

Uitlanders at that time of day, a rough sense of justice would reconcile

most of them now to the flag of the country, which at enormous sacrifice

of treasure and men has procured their release from the bondage of

Pretoria. It is equally certain, more so in fact, that their acceptance

of the British flag, now and hereafter, is and will be contingent on the

treatment they receive at the hands of the new Government. Already many

voices are heard in the land declaring that, so far from the new

Government having brought relief to the mining industry and to the

Uitlanders--and it must be clearly understood by all Englishmen, however

much they may resent the fact, that upon the prosperity of the mines not

only the welfare of the Transvaal but of all South Africa depends--it

has increased its burdens. The limits of space will not permit any

exhaustive examination into the basis of this complaint. Mr.

Chamberlain, before these lines are in the hands of the public, will

doubtless be on the spot examining into the grounds of the complaint. It

would be clearly impossible for any one to accuse me, of all persons, of

favouring the millionaires, or of holding a brief for their views and

interests. But this is not a millionaires', or a mining question; it is

the question of the to be or not to be of South Africa as a British

dependency. It may be said at once, that if, as Mr. Chamberlain at one

time indicated, the somewhat contradictory and superficial report drawn

up by Sir David Barbour, full of inconsistencies and injustices as it

is, is to be accepted by the British Government, then I would not care

to purchase at any price a seven years' repairing lease--a repairing

lease with a vengeance--of British tenure of South Africa, much less the

freehold of the property. Whether he be a financial expert or not, no

man who possesses a sound working knowledge, personal knowledge, of

South Africa and its affairs can study this report and preserve his

equanimity. It fills one with fear and trembling. Sir David Barbour's

proposals savour of the arbitrary confiscation of mining profits. This

perhaps, standing alone, would not matter much from a South African

point of view, since the loss would mainly fall on the hundreds of

thousands of English and foreign shareholders interested in the mines;

according to the _Statist_, the British public has something like

£250,000,000 invested in the mines. However, it is not with such losses

we are at present concerned. My contention is that if the Transvaal is

taxed out of all proportion to its wealth--its immediate or permanent

prospects even; if the new colonies, despite the heavy losses from the

war, and the serious--for a long time to come it will be serious--dearth

of labour contingent thereon, is burdened with taxation, the incidence

of which is to be double, or in any case greatly in excess of the

monstrous charges levied by Kruger and his advisers; if the Transvaal is

to be saddled with a heavy war debt, then the financial, political, and

economic ruin of South Africa in general, and the Transvaal in

particular, must follow as an inevitable consequence, and this will

happen even should a short respite be given. I have set forth again and

again, in the columns of the _Times_ and _Post_, and in the

Anglo-African journal I formerly conducted, that apart from the

uneconomic and impolitic nature of these suggestions, they are morally

unsound. He who calls the tune must pay the piper. The British people,

by allowing themselves to be ruled and betrayed by men who persisted in

blinding their eyes to the writing on the wall, though there were

Daniels in abundance to interpret it to them; by allowing themselves to

be served by an army wholly inadequate in numbers, and largely composed

of inefficients, are responsible for the cost of a war which never would

have taken place had British pro-consuls and colonists on the spot been

trusted; their counsel listened to here, and their hands freed and

actions upheld yonder.

Moreover, all such heroic schemes of taxation in the interest of the

British taxpayer, of which Sir David Barbour's report is a type, are

based on proleptic statistics of an expansion which after all is

problematical, and which in any case will not become solid fact if

onerous conditions are imposed upon the Rand in advance of that

expansion. The profits from the mines, great as they ought to be if we

do not strangle the goose right away, are ephemeral profits--thirty to

fifty years will see the last of them. Possibly the high-water mark of

production will be reached twenty years hence, and from that time the

decline will begin as in the case of the Australian and Californian

mines. It is obvious, therefore, that a heavy war debt must press

disastrously on the industry during its growth and during its decline.

Taxation seems to have been proposed on the basis of the anticipation,

as if it were already an accomplished fact, of the most prosperous days

possible of attainment by the industry, and in entire obliviousness of

the fact that no sooner is the zenith reached than gradual decline,

ending in extinction, must supervene. Unjust taxation would be a

suicidal policy; it would retard the flow of capital, render all but a

few higher-grade mines unprofitable, with the result that the budgets of

the new colonies would show deficits year after year. Not only would

capital awaiting employment be frightened into other channels, but

schemes of federation would remain sterile schemes; and the hope of a

prosperous and united South Africa would continue a mere day-dream,

impossible of accomplishment.

I have put this question of the taxation of the Transvaal in the

forefront of this paper, because it is of pressing importance and

immediate interest. Scarcely less important, though the subject will

probably be dealt with more fully by another pen, is the question of

land settlement. We are approaching this matter too parochially and

timidly. If the land companies and burghers will not part with suitable

land to settlers on reasonable terms, they must be made to do so. The

example of New Zealand must be followed. It is absolutely essential that

we should plant out settlers on a large scale; especially is it

essential in view of the fact that the loyalty of the dwellers in

Johannesburg and other mining centres is not to be counted on

confidently. With these men commercial considerations are certain to be

dominant. Even if they are not given the solid reasons for discontent

already foreshadowed, reasons, real and imaginary, in plenty are certain

to crop up. Hence their loyalty will not be a matter of sentiment, but

one of calculation. Further, every help and encouragement must be given

to the right kind of settlers; the country which spent over two hundred

millions sterling in making South Africa a possible place for Englishmen

to live in, should not grudge another ten, twenty, or if necessary

thirty millions to make the conditions of life sufficiently attractive

to the emigrating English agriculturist. The conditions underlying land

settlement have been carefully studied by Mr. Arnold Forster's Land

Commission, and they were lucidly set forth in the report of that

Commission. It remains for the Imperial Government to make them

operative, by coming to the country for generous support. I can do no

more here than record my absolute conviction, for what it may be worth,

that if land settlement in the new colonies is to find its own level, so

to speak; if we are trusting to men with the necessary capital, some

£300 or more, to come forward in anything like sufficient numbers to

affect appreciably the question of British _versus_ Boer in favour of

the British, or the problem of self-seeking Cosmopolitanism (purely

commercial interests) _versus_ sentimental and patriotic Imperialism, we

are building our hopes on sand. The drawbacks to farming in Africa are

many: absence of transport (and obviously without well-devised and

speedily carried out railway schemes the internal development of South

Africa is impossible); absence of navigable rivers; recurrent droughts

(here again I may say that nothing less can avail than grand schemes of

organised irrigation such as those favoured by Mr. Hedger Wallace and by

Mr. Willcocks in his luminous report); cattle disease and locusts. The

_ignis fatuus_ of the Rand, it must always be remembered, is ever

present to lure away the settler when he has once been induced to

settle. To the Englishman the love of isolation is not generally the

strongly developed vice or virtue it is with the Boer. Consequently, we

must go before the settler and prepare the way for him. Large and

well-organised schemes of planting families on communal principles,

freely scattered over the land in the midst of the Boers, both from an

economic and political point of view, are absolutely necessary if we are

to retain our hold on the country, or ensure its permanent prosperity.

Under proper conditions and safeguards, generous schemes of female

immigration must be initiated. It has been said, and I do not gainsay

it, that South Africa requires almost immediately 70,000 more women.

Also the Children of the State, the waifs and strays, the foundlings,

those who are physically and morally fit, of course, should be sent out

to South Africa, there to be carefully prepared in proper establishments

for colonial life. In this matter we may well learn wisdom from the

early Dutch settlers, who, under an arrangement with the Amsterdam

authorities, received into their midst a number of foundlings. From

these the present race of sturdy burghers has sprung. The subject is too

vast for detailed treatment here; else much might be said about the

policy of obliging all male settlers to bind themselves to a course of

military training and contingent service, and as to the expediency of

encouraging a respectable number of Canadians and Australians to make

their home in South Africa. It is, in any case, obvious that no

tentative tinkering with the question of land settlement can avail.

The sooner we face this necessity the better; since the sooner it is in

a fair way to being faced, mastered, and provided for, the sooner can

those electoral and legislative concessions we have promised the Boers,

and which honour, justice, and expediency oblige us to grant at the

earliest possible date, be granted. As things now are, we have a British

autocracy in power, alternating in turn between the desire to repress

the clamant demands of the one great industry of South Africa--the gold

mines, and dread of that powerful confederacy--the Rand magnates. The

methods and example of the great financial corporations and financial

princes are not, to write temperately, conducive to the elevation of

public morals; nor do they tend to give to the public life of a colony a

high or healthy tone. Students of Mr. Cecil Rhodes' career cannot fail

to notice the disintegrating effect on that great patriot's manners, and

on his public and private procedure, which resulted from his close

association with, and inexplicable reliance on, men, most of whom (it

would be invidious to specialise the exceptions) lived and moved and had

their being on a plane infinitely lower than Rhodes' natural one. The

destinies of the new colonies are for the moment nominally in the hands

of British officials. These officials have practically nobody to go to

for counsel but the mining and financial experts. This is not as it

should be. The sooner there is a free play of interests and opinions

between the Boers, British settlers, and Johannesburgers the better.

These divergent classes, all colonial, however antagonistic their

interests and prejudices, must fight out their differences among

themselves as best they may. The British official, excellent as he is in

dealing with subject races, is not seen at his best in controlling men

of his own flesh and blood--men, I should say, of his own colour--when

these men are in a position of political inferiority to himself.

The mention of this subject reminds me, that one of the most effective

arguments in favour of granting representative institutions to the new

colonies as quickly as may be is to be found in the native question. In

this matter, as indeed in every matter, colonial opinion asserting

itself through the necessarily imperfect, but only possible, system of

parliamentary institutions, must be respected. As to the native

question, an enormous majority of British South Africans, though it may

reprobate certain tendencies to undue harshness, brutality even, still

observable in the conduct of Boers of the baser sort, is nevertheless

convinced that the Dutch attitude toward the native is, in its essence,

the only possible or safe one. There is not the smallest fear that

anything in the shape of compulsory labour will be sanctioned by any

legislature in South Africa. But that the principles and provisions of

that most statesmanlike Act, the Glen Grey Act, will be further extended

there can be no doubt.

That the labour question throughout South Africa, and especially as it

affects the mining industry, is among the more difficult problems of the

future, most persons are aware. It is said that in five years' time

320,000 natives will be required at Johannesburg to work the mines,

irrespective of enormous domestic requirements there. To this total we

must add the hundreds of thousands needed for industrial and household

work throughout South Africa. It is estimated that in five years' time

there will be no more than 600,000 working Kaffirs south of the

Zambesi. It is obvious that under the most favourable computation the

supply is certain to continue to be totally inadequate to the demand.

This is the more apparent when it is remembered, that it is only

possible to get a small proportion of able-bodied Kaffirs to work at

all, and that the average service of these willing ones is not more than

four months a year, taking one year with another. Doubtless the new laws

as to capitation tax, and the modifications in the direction of greater

stringency in the hut tax, alterations which must have the effect of

reducing the economic evil of polygamy, will effect some amelioration in

the conditions now obtaining. But the lowering of wages and the

prohibition of the liquor sale have retarded the immediate supply. I

have had to listen before now to arguments in favour of the unrestricted

sale of liquor to the natives, and in advocacy of establishing drinking

booths from one end to the other of the Rand. This would be as suicidal,

politically and socially, and in the long run as uneconomic a policy as

could well be devised, to say nothing as to its cynical immorality. Of

course, when schemes of organisation are perfected, and labour is

largely drawn from Central Africa, the employers will enjoy some measure

of relief; but in the end, unless relief comes from that highly

debatable source--the importation of coolie labour--the prejudice

against white labour in Africa will have to break down: a way out, I am

sure, always provided the whites can be differentiated and segregated

from the blacks, which cannot but be fraught with results of lasting

benefit to the country, in procuring for it a solid substratum of

Caucasian settlers who will become the industrial backbone of the

country. The indirect advantages of such an innovation cannot be reaped,

however, if schemes of heavy taxation are to be sanctioned. The margin

between loss and profit in working most of the mines--they are what are

called in city slang "low-grade propositions"--is so small, that a

slight increase even in the price of labour would often make mining

unprofitable.

The employment of white labour would have the effect of disabusing the

minds of the natives of the growing conviction that they are necessary

to our well-being and existence. The truth is not so far short of this;

but we must not make it apparent: we must try to make it less true than

it is. During the war the native, spoiled by the military, did not gain

respect for the Englishman. He is a shrewd fellow, and although our arms

were victorious in the end, he cherished no delusions. Man for man, he

has seen for himself how much more effective as a fighter the Boer was

than the Briton. Enjoying special advantages--his knowledge of the

country and his control over the Kaffirs--the Boer was enabled to make

the best use of his superior marksmanship, tactics, and mobility; with

the result that it was easy for him to inflict much greater damage on

his opponents than that opponent, with all his courage and spirit, could

inflict in return. The native has seen our men lying in ghastly,

mutilated masses. He has seen few such spectacles on the Boer side. The

native is no sentimentalist. He is much like a prevalent type of modern

young woman--fond of laughing, enjoyment, gew-gaws and sweets, while

viewing everything from the standpoint of self-interest. In brief,

despite his jollity he is as hard as nails. It is perfectly right that

we should show him some consideration as the descendant of tribes who

conquered the land some century or so earlier than we conquered it; for,

except so far as being an inhabitant of the continent is concerned, it

is absurd to talk of the existing South African tribes as aborigines.

But if the "nigger" will not work, he must in the long run give place to

men who will, to British and Continental labourers and to other British

subjects--the coolies of India, for instance--men who will work, and who

are now starving, or are on the brink of starvation, for the want of it.

That this step is not to be taken lightly I am free to admit. It is

fraught with grave difficulties and dangers--political, economic, and

ethnical--considerations which are by no means to be minimised even if

for a larger good--South Africa cannot be allowed to languish for lack

of labour--they will have to be ignored.

[Illustration: LORD MILNER

By Mortimer Menpes.

From "War Impressions," by arrangement with Messrs A. & C. Black,

London.]

There can many, indeed in most directions, the civil administration of

the new colonies, so far as it has been provided, is highly creditable

to Lord Milner and the able men associated with him. So excellent and so

thorough is the work accomplished--in education, in replacing the

machinery of the higher civil administration throughout the

colonies--that, without hyperbole, it may be said to fill one with

admiration and wonder. If one could always be sure of getting such a man

as Joseph Chamberlain at the Colonial Office, and such a man as Alfred

Milner as High Commissioner, one would be strongly in favour of

retaining permanently as much power as possible in the hands of the

holders of these two offices. But it is not possible to count upon a

succession of such ministers. It is noteworthy, and I would especially

emphasise the point in view of what is to follow, that the appointment

of Lord Milner and Mr. Chamberlain to their respective offices may be

said to have been in defiance of precedent. Since the institution of the

Colonial Secretaryship half-a-century ago, ministers appointed to the

office have almost invariably been noblemen of little or no importance.

Again, Lord Milner's earliest career was not official. He was quite out

of the groove in which the men who become colonial governors usually

run. It is regrettable, that the success of these two statesmen does

not give the Government heart of grace to put appointments in the new

colonies more largely into the hands of men of proved initiative and

originality--men who have not had any good which may have been in them

strangled by red tape and flummery in the public offices. The complaint

as to the appointments made in the Transvaal--appointments of untried

striplings and callow fledglings from the universities, is doubtless

exaggerated; but it is well to remember that putting power into the

hands of the "curled darlings of the nation" was one of the chief

causes, among many contributory causes, of the failure of Sir Theophilus

Shepstone's policy; the reason why the annexation of the Transvaal, with

the tacit consent and approval of the majority of its people, was

subsequently repudiated by them.

However that may be, it is extremely regrettable that a country,

possessing so many good men, men in every way indicated by their

abilities and achievements as successful administrators _in posse_, is

constantly at a deadlock for the lack of suitable public servants. I

could mention spontaneously, without having time for reflection and for

selection, a round dozen, probably a score, men of parts full of the

sense of our imperial responsibilities, and certain to be able and

zealous in the Empire's service: men accustomed to positions in which

initiative and sound judgment are demanded of them, who, pining to be

men of action, to play their part, however humble, in affairs of State,

affairs of which they possess a firm grip, are condemned to enforced

inactivity, buried away in country houses, or, let us say, wasting their

energies in mere constructive synthesis or destructive criticism, for

which, alas! no one is much the better. These men, the born

administrators of our over-seas dominions, are lost to the Empire,

because of the red-tape exclusiveness and jealousy of the ruling classes

of this country.

I have been betrayed for the moment into an academic consideration, and

let me say here that I sorrowfully endorse--I might add that in a large

measure I have publicly anticipated--most of the strictures on our

system of misgovernment, corruption, and panoplied vice set forth in the

letters of that sturdy Africander signing himself by his true initials

"P. S." Under these abuses we groan, and it is difficult to continue to

hope that we shall escape from their tyranny, and rise again to that

full manhood of our race asserted in the spacious days of Elizabeth, and

again when Napoleon threatened our shores. Our grand old country is

sinking deeper and deeper into the morass of spiritual and intellectual

indifferentism, sordid materialism, and time-serving opportunism. One

sees scant justification for optimism, unless, indeed, Judgment should

descend upon us and beneficently scourge us back to our nobler past.

It is not, however, with these larger issues I am at this moment

directly concerned. Despite the constant drains upon our best and most

vital manhood the possession--protection and administration--of the most

extensive empire of this or any age impose upon the United Kingdom,

upon, that is to say, a small and no longer rapidly increasing nation, I

do not believe that there would be any ground for the fear that we have

annexed more territory than we can effectively administer, or that we

have incurred greater responsibilities than we can sustain, if we had

the presence of mind, the initiative and sense to utilise those latent

sources of unexhausted supply we now wilfully neglect. The immediate

bearing of these remarks reveals itself when the serious problem of the

_personnel_ of the magistracy of the new colonies is mentioned. Every

one knows that the landdrosts under the old régime, men for the most

part rough and unlettered, were habitually underpaid and habitually

corrupt. The inadequate salaries paid to these men are, it seems, now

being continued to the new magistracy, and this despite the enormous

increase in the cost of living, with the result that men of quite

inferior parts are mainly available for the positions; while, when from

stress of life and circumstance, men of the right stamp, men to whom

Boer and Kaffir can look up as their natural superiors, chance to fill

these offices, they are unable, by reason of their poverty, to live in a

way or to comport themselves in a manner consistent with the dignity of

their offices.

South Africa and the Transvaal War, Vol. 8 (of 8) South Africa and Its Future · 第 8 / 20 段