This Budget will go through. It will vindicate the power of the House

of Commons. It will show, what some people were inclined to forget,

that in our Constitution a Government, supported by a House of Commons

and the elected representatives of the people, has in fact a full

control of national affairs, and has the means of giving effect to its

intentions, to its policy, and to its pledges in every sphere of

public affairs.

That is one thing which the passage of this Budget will show. Let not

that be overlooked. But that is not the only thing; the Budget will do

more than that. It will reveal the financial strength of Britain. At a

time when every European country is borrowing merely for the needs of

ordinary annual expenditure, when all these disturbing naval

programmes, which are injuring the peace of the world and the security

and progress of civilisation, are being supported by borrowed money;

and when the credit of Germany has fallen below that of Italy, this

country, which has necessarily to make the biggest expenditure for

naval defence of any country, will be found, under a Free Trade system

and by our proposals, able not only to pay its way, but to pay off the

debts of the past--to pay off the debts of our predecessors--even in

the worst of times at the rate of something like L7,000,000 a year.

I have spoken to you of the causes which in the past have led up to

this Budget. I have spoken to you of its present justification. What

of the future? If I had to sum up the immediate future of democratic

politics in a single word I should say "Insurance." That is the

future--Insurance against dangers from abroad. Insurance against

dangers scarcely less grave and much more near and constant which

threaten us here at home in our own island. I had the honour and

opportunity a few days ago of explaining to the House of Commons our

proposals for unemployment insurance. That is a considerable matter.

It stands by itself. It is a much simpler question than invalidity

insurance; but it is a great matter by itself. Indeed, I thought while

I was explaining it to the House of Commons that I had not made such

an important speech since I had the honour of explaining the details

of the Transvaal Constitution.

Well, what is the proposal? The proposal is that you should make a

beginning. We have stood still too long. We should begin forthwith,

taking some of the greatest trades of the country in which

unemployment is most serious, in which fluctuations are most severe,

in which there are no short-time arrangements to mitigate the

severity to the individual; and that a system of compulsory

contributory insurance, with a large subvention from the State, should

be introduced into those great industries.

But our proposals go farther than that. The State assistance to

unemployment insurance will not be limited to those trades in which it

is compulsory. Side by side with the compulsory system we shall offer

facilities to voluntary insurance schemes in other trades, managed by

trade unions or by societies or groups of workmen. Moreover, we

contemplate that the State insurance office should undertake, if

desired, the insurance against unemployment of any individual workman

in any trade outside of those for which compulsory powers are

required, and should afford to these individuals an equivalent support

to that which is given in the trades which are subject to the

compulsory system.

Of course you will understand that the terms, that can be offered

under a voluntary or partial system, are not so good as those which

can be obtained in the compulsory system of a great trade. Where all

stand together, it is much better for each. But still it is certain

that individuals who take advantage of the insurance policy which

will be introduced, and I trust carried through Parliament next year,

will be able to secure terms which will be much more favourable than

any which are open to them by their unaided contributions at the

present time, because their contributions will be reinforced by the

contributions of the State. Further, if our beginning proves a success

the attempt and the system will not stop there. It will be extended,

and in proportion as experience and experiment justify its extension,

in proportion as the people of this country desire its extension, it

must eventually cover, in course of years, the whole of our great

industrial community.

Well now, it is said that in adopting the policy of contributory

insurance the Government have admitted that they were wrong in

establishing old-age pensions upon the non-contributory basis. Now I

do not think that is true. There is no inconsistency or contradiction

between a non-contributory system of old-age pensions and a

contributory system of insurance against unemployment, sickness,

invalidity, and widowhood. The circumstances and conditions are

entirely different. The prospect of attaining extreme old age, of

living beyond threescore years and ten, which is the allotted span of

human life, seems so doubtful and remote to the ordinary man, when in

the full strength of manhood, that it has been found in practice

almost impossible to secure from any very great number of people the

regular sacrifices which are necessary to guard against old age.

But unemployment, accident, sickness, and the death of the

bread-winner are catastrophes which may reach any household at any

moment. Those vultures are always hovering around us, and I do not

believe there is any sensible, honest man who would not wish to guard

himself against them, if it were in his power to make the necessary

contribution, and if he were sure--this is a very important

point--that he would not by any accident or fraud or muddle be done

out of the security he had paid for. And if we choose to adopt one

system of State-aid for dealing with one class of need, and quite a

different system for dealing with quite a different class of need, it

does not lie with any one, least of all does it lie with those who

have impartially neglected every problem and every solution, to

reproach us with inconsistency.

But I go farther. The Old-Age Pensions Act, so far from being in

conflict with a scheme of contributory insurance, is really its most

helpful and potent ally. The fact that at seventy the State pension is

assured to all those who need it, makes a tremendous difference to

every form of insurance confined to the years before seventy, whether

for old age or for invalidity. I asked an eminent actuary the other

day to make me some calculations. They are rough, general

calculations, and no doubt they might be more exact. But roughly, I

believe it to be no exaggeration to say that the rates to cover a man

till seventy are in many cases scarcely half what they would be, if

they had to cover him till death. Do you see what that means? It is a

prodigious fact. It is the sort of fact by the discovery of which

people make gigantic fortunes; and I suggest to you that we should

make this gigantic fortune for John Bull. It means that the whole

field of insurance has become much more fruitful than it ever was

before, that there is a new class of insurance business possible which

never was possible before. It means that the whole field of insurance

is far more open to the poorest class of people than it was before,

and that with a proper system the benefits of the Old-Age Pensions

Act would not be confined to the actual pensioners who are drawing

their money, but would extend forwards in anticipation to all other

classes and to all other people, and that so far as five shillings a

week is concerned--that is not much unless you have not got it--the

actuarial position of every man and woman in this country has been

enormously improved by the Old-Age Pensions Act.

It is of that improvement that we mean to take advantage next year.

Next year, when Free Trade will have yielded the necessary funds to

the revenue, we mean to move forward into this great new field. But

let me say one thing which is of the utmost importance. We must

remember that the field of insurance is already largely covered by a

great mass of benevolent and friendly societies, just as the field of

unemployment insurance is already occupied to some extent by trade

unions, and the Government would not approve of any development or

extension of the policy of insurance which did not do full justice to

existing institutions, or which did not safeguard those institutions,

to whom we owe so inestimable and incommensurable a debt, or caused

any sudden disturbance or any curtailment of their general methods of

business. On the contrary, we believe that when our proposals are put

in their full detail before the country, they will be found to benefit

and encourage and not to injure those agencies which have so long been

voluntarily and prosperously at work.

The decisive question is this--will the British working classes

embrace the opportunities which will shortly be offered to them? They

are a new departure; they involve an element of compulsion and of

regulation which is unusual in our happy-go-lucky English life. The

opportunity may never return. For my own part, I confess to you, my

friends in Manchester, that I would work for such a policy and would

try to carry it through even if it were a little unpopular at first,

and would be willing to pay the forfeit of a period of exclusion from

power, in order to have carried such a policy through; because I know

that there is no other way within the reach of this generation of men

and women by which the stream of preventable misery can be cut off.

If I had my way I would write the word "Insure" over the door of every

cottage, and upon the blotting-book of every public man, because I am

convinced that by sacrifices which are inconceivably small, which are

all within the power of the very poorest man in regular work, families

can be secured against catastrophes which otherwise would smash them

up for ever. I think it is our duty to use the strength and the

resources of the State to arrest the ghastly waste not merely of human

happiness but of national health and strength which follows when a

working man's home which has taken him years to get together is broken

up and scattered through a long spell of unemployment, or when,

through the death, the sickness, or the invalidity of the

bread-winner, the frail boat in which the fortunes of the family are

embarked founders, and the women and children are left to struggle

helplessly on the dark waters of a friendless world. I believe it is

well within our power now, before this Parliament is over, to

establish vast and broad throughout the land a mighty system of

national insurance which will nourish in its bosom all worthy existing

agencies and will embrace in its scope all sorts and conditions of

men.

I think it is not untrue to say that in these years we are passing

through a decisive period in the history of our country. The wonderful

century which followed the Battle of Waterloo and the downfall of the

Napoleonic domination, which secured to this small island so long and

so resplendent a reign, has come to an end. We have arrived at a new

time. Let us realise it. And with that new time strange methods, huge

forces, larger combinations--a Titanic world--have sprung up around

us. The foundations of our power are changing. To stand still would be

to fall; to fall would be to perish. We must go forward. We will go

forward. We will go forward into a way of life more earnestly viewed,

more scientifically organised, more consciously national than any we

have known. Thus alone shall we be able to sustain and to renew

through the generations which are to come, the fame and the power of

the British race.

LAND AND INCOME TAXES IN THE BUDGET

EDINBURGH, _July 17, 1909_

(From _The Times_, by permission.)

We are often assured by sagacious persons that the civilisation of

modern States is largely based upon respect for the rights of private

property. If that be true, it is also true that such respect cannot be

secured, and ought not, indeed, to be expected, unless property is

associated in the minds of the great mass of the people with ideas of

justice and of reason.

It is, therefore, of the first importance to the country--to any

country--that there should be vigilant and persistent efforts to

prevent abuses, to distribute the public burdens fairly among all

classes, and to establish good laws governing the methods by which

wealth may be acquired. The best way to make private property secure

and respected is to bring the processes by which it is gained into

harmony with the general interests of the public. When and where

property is associated with the idea of reward for services rendered,

with the idea of recompense for high gifts and special aptitudes

displayed or for faithful labour done, then property will be honoured.

When it is associated with processes which are beneficial, or which at

the worst are not actually injurious to the commonwealth, then

property will be unmolested; but when it is associated with ideas of

wrong and of unfairness, with processes of restriction and monopoly,

and other forms of injury to the community, then I think that you will

find that property will be assailed and will be endangered.

A year ago I was fighting an election in Dundee. In the course of that

election I attempted to draw a fundamental distinction between the

principles of Liberalism and of Socialism, and I said "Socialism

attacks capital; Liberalism attacks monopoly." And it is from that

fundamental distinction that I come directly to the land proposals of

the present Budget.

It is quite true that the land monopoly is not the only monopoly which

exists, but it is by far the greatest of monopolies; it is a perpetual

monopoly, and it is the mother of all other forms of monopoly. It is

quite true that unearned increments in land are not the only form of

unearned or undeserved profit which individuals are able to secure;

but it is the principal form of unearned increment, derived from

processes, which are not merely not beneficial, but which are

positively detrimental to the general public. Land, which is a

necessity of human existence, which is the original source of all

wealth, which is strictly limited in extent, which is fixed in

geographical position--land, I say, differs from all other forms of

property in these primary and fundamental conditions.

Nothing is more amusing than to watch the efforts of our monopolist

opponents to prove that other forms of property and increment are

exactly the same and are similar in all respects to the unearned

increment in land. They talk to us of the increased profits of a

doctor or a lawyer from the growth of population in the towns in which

they live. They talk to us of the profits of a railway through a

greater degree of wealth and activity in the districts through which

it runs. They tell us of the profits which are derived from a rise in

stocks and shares, and even of those which are sometimes derived from

the sale of pictures and works of art, and they ask us--as if it were

their only complaint--"Ought not all these other forms to be taxed

too?"

But see how misleading and false all these analogies are. The

windfalls which people with artistic gifts are able from time to time

to derive from the sale of a picture--from a Vandyke or a Holbein--may

here and there be very considerable. But pictures do not get in

anybody's way. They do not lay a toll on anybody's labour; they do not

touch enterprise and production at any point; they do not affect any

of those creative processes upon which the material well-being of

millions depends. And if a rise in stocks and shares confers profits

on the fortunate holders far beyond what they expected, or, indeed,

deserved, nevertheless, that profit has not been reaped by withholding

from the community the land which it needs, but, on the contrary,

apart from mere gambling, it has been reaped by supplying industry

with the capital without which it could not be carried on.

If the railway makes greater profits, it is usually because it carries

more goods and more passengers. If a doctor or a lawyer enjoys a

better practice, it is because the doctor attends more patients and

more exacting patients, and because the lawyer pleads more suits in

the courts and more important suits. At every stage the doctor or the

lawyer is giving service in return for his fees; and if the service is

too poor or the fees are too high, other doctors and other lawyers can

come freely into competition. There is constant service, there is

constant competition; there is no monopoly, there is no injury to the

public interest, there is no impediment to the general progress.

Fancy comparing these healthy processes with the enrichment which

comes to the landlord who happens to own a plot of land on the

outskirts or at the centre of one of our great cities, who watches the

busy population around him making the city larger, richer, more

convenient, more famous every day, and all the while sits still and

does nothing! Roads are made, streets are made, railway services are

improved, electric light turns night into day, electric trams glide

swiftly to and fro, water is brought from reservoirs a hundred miles

off in the mountains--and all the while the landlord sits still. Every

one of those improvements is effected by the labour and at the cost of

other people. Many of the most important are effected at the cost of

the municipality and of the ratepayers. To not one of those

improvements does the land monopolist, as a land monopolist,

contribute, and yet by every one of them the value of his land is

sensibly enhanced.

He renders no service to the community, he contributes nothing to the

general welfare, he contributes nothing even to the process from which

his own enrichment is derived. If the land were occupied by shops or

by dwellings, the municipality at least would secure the rates upon

them in aid of the general fund; but the land may be unoccupied,

undeveloped, it may be what is called "ripening"--ripening at the

expense of the whole city, of the whole country--for the unearned

increment of its owner. Roads perhaps have to be diverted to avoid

this forbidden area. The merchant going to his office, the artisan

going to his work, have to make a detour or pay a tram fare to avoid

it. The citizens are losing their chance of developing the land, the

city is losing its rates, the State is losing its taxes which would

have accrued, if the natural development had taken place--and that

share has to be replaced at the expense of the other ratepayers and

taxpayers; and the nation as a whole is losing in the competition of

the world--the hard and growing competition in the world--both in time

and money. And all the while the land monopolist has only to sit still

and watch complacently his property multiplying in value, sometimes

manifold, without either effort or contribution on his part. And that

is justice!

But let us follow the process a little farther. The population of the

city grows and grows still larger year by year, the congestion in the

poorer quarters becomes acute, rents and rates rise hand in hand, and

thousands of families are crowded into one-roomed tenements. There are

120,000 persons living in one-roomed tenements in Glasgow alone at the

present time. At last the land becomes ripe for sale--that means that

the price is too tempting to be resisted any longer--and then, and not

till then, it is sold by the yard or by the inch at ten times, or

twenty times, or even fifty times, its agricultural value, on which

alone hitherto it has been rated for the public service.

The greater the population around the land, the greater the injury

which they have sustained by its protracted denial, the more

inconvenience which has been caused to everybody, the more serious the

loss in economic strength and activity, the larger will be the profit

of the landlord when the sale is finally accomplished. In fact you may

say that the unearned increment on the land is on all-fours with the

profit gathered by one of those American speculators who engineer a

corner in corn, or meat, or cotton, or some other vital commodity, and

that the unearned increment in land is reaped by the land monopolist

in exact proportion, not to the service, but to the disservice done.

It is monopoly which is the keynote; and where monopoly prevails, the

greater the injury to society, the greater the reward of the

monopolist will be. See how this evil process strikes at every form of

industrial activity. The municipality, wishing for broader streets,

better houses, more healthy, decent, scientifically planned towns, is

made to pay, and is made to pay in exact proportion, or to a very

great extent in proportion, as it has exerted itself in the past to

make improvements. The more it has improved the town, the more it has

increased the land value, and the more it will have to pay for any

land it may wish to acquire. The manufacturer purposing to start a

new industry, proposing to erect a great factory offering employment

to thousands of hands, is made to pay such a price for his land that

the purchase-price hangs round the neck of his whole business,

hampering his competitive power in every market, clogging him far more

than any foreign tariff in his export competition; and the land values

strike down through the profits of the manufacturer on to the wages of

the workman. The railway company wishing to build a new line finds

that the price of land which yesterday was only rated at its

agricultural value has risen to a prohibitive figure the moment it was

known that the new line was projected; and either the railway is not

built, or, if it is, is built, only on terms which largely transfer to

the landowner the profits which are due to the shareholders and the

advantages which should have accrued to the travelling public.

It does not matter where you look or what examples you select, you

will see that every form of enterprise, every step in material

progress, is only undertaken after the land monopolist has skimmed the

cream off for himself, and everywhere to-day the man, or the public

body, who wishes to put land to its highest use is forced to pay a

preliminary fine in land values to the man who is putting it to an

inferior use, and in some cases to no use at all. All comes back to

the land value, and its owner for the time being is able to levy his

toll upon all other forms of wealth and upon every form of industry. A

portion, in some cases the whole, of every benefit which is

laboriously acquired by the community is represented in the land

value, and finds its way automatically into the landlord's pocket. If

there is a rise in wages, rents are able to move forward, because the

workers can afford to pay a little more. If the opening of a new

railway or a new tramway, or the institution of an improved service of

workmen's trains, or a lowering of fares, or a new invention, or any

other public convenience affords a benefit to the workers in any

particular district, it becomes easier for them to live, and therefore

the landlord and the ground landlord, one on top of the other, are

able to charge them more for the privilege of living there.

Some years ago in London there was a toll-bar on a bridge across the

Thames, and all the working people who lived on the south side of the

river, had to pay a daily toll of one penny for going and returning

from their work. The spectacle of these poor people thus mulcted of so

large a proportion of their earnings appealed to the public

conscience: an agitation was set on foot, municipal authorities were

roused, and at the cost of the ratepayers the bridge was freed and the

toll removed. All those people who used the bridge were saved 6d. a

week. Within a very short period from that time the rents on the south

side of the river were found to have advanced by about 6d. a week, or

the amount of the toll which had been remitted. And a friend of mine

was telling me the other day that in the parish of Southwark about

L350 a year, roughly speaking, was given away in doles of bread by

charitable people in connection with one of the churches, and as a

consequence of this the competition for small houses, but more

particularly for single-roomed tenements is, we are told, so great

that rents are considerably higher than in the neighbouring district.

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