There is another set of arguments to which I should like to refer. We

have been long told that this Budget would reveal the bankruptcy of

free-trade finance, and the Leader of the Opposition, seeking from

time to time for a sound economic foothold in the fiscal quicksands in

which he is being engulfed, has endeavoured to rest the sole of his

foot on tariff for revenue. The adoption of a policy of tariff reform,

we have been told, had become absolutely necessary if the revenue of

the country was to be obtained and if a natural expansion were to be

imparted to it. But now, if we may judge from the newspapers, one of

the complaints made against the free-trade system and the free-trade

Budget of my right hon. friend is not that the revenue will expand too

little, but that there is the possibility that it will expand too

much. It is not that we have reached the limits of practicable

free-trade taxation, but that the taxation we now ask Parliament to

assent to, will yield in the second year a much more abundant return

than in the first year, and that in subsequent years the yield will

increase still further. In the words of _The Times_ newspaper: "The

Chancellor of the Exchequer has laid broad and deep the basis of

further revenue for future years."

Those who lately taunted us with being arrested by a dead wall of

Cobdenite principles are now bewailing that we have opened up broad

avenues of financial advance. They came to bewail the deficit of this

year: they remained to censure the surplus of next. We may, no doubt,

in the future hear arguments of how protection will revive industry

and increase employment, as we have heard them in the past; but there

is one argument which I should think it unlikely would be effectively

used against us in the future, and that is that a free-trade system

cannot produce revenue, because one of the criticisms which is

emphatically directed against this Budget is on account of that very

expansiveness of revenue which it was lately declared a free-trade

system never could produce.

But that is not the only vindication of free-trade finance which is at

hand. How have foreign countries stood the late depression in trade?

The shortfall of the revenue from the estimates in this country was

last year less than two millions, in Germany it was eight millions,

and in the United States over nineteen millions. Let the House see

what fair-weather friends these protectionist duties are. In times of

depression they shrink. In times of war they may fail utterly. When

they are wanted, they dwindle, when they are wanted most urgently,

they fade and die away altogether.

And what is true of the taxation of manufactured articles as a

foundation for any fiscal policy is true still more of the taxation of

food, and of no country is it so true as of this island. For if you

were ever engaged in a war which rendered the highways of the ocean

insecure the rise in prices would be such that all food taxes would

have to be swept away at once by any Government which desired to use

the whole vigour of its people in prosecuting the war. This year, with

its trade depression and its excellent maintenance of the revenue,

has seen the vindication of free trade as a revenue-producing

instrument; next year will see its triumph.

I have no apprehensions about the Budget which is now before the

Committee. As Mr. Gladstone said, in introducing the Reform Bill of

1884, what is wanted to carry this measure is concentration and

concentration only, and what will lose this measure is division and

division only. And I venture to think that it will not only be a

demonstration of the soundness of the economic fiscal policy we have

long followed, but it will also be a demonstration of the fiscal and

financial strength of Great Britain which will not be without its use

and value upon the diplomatic and perhaps even upon the naval

situation in Europe.

The right honourable Member for East Worcestershire[17] said this

Budget was the work of several sessions, if not indeed of several

Parliaments. The statement is exaggerated. The proposals outlined do

not in any degree transcend the limits of the practical. A social

policy may be very large, but at the same time it may be very simple.

All these projects of economic development, of labour exchanges, of

insurance for invalidity, and unemployment, which depend on money

grants, may require very careful and elaborate administrative

adjustment; but so far as Parliament is concerned they do not impose

difficulties or make demands upon the time of the House in any way

comparable to those which are excited by the passage of an Education

or a Licensing Bill, and I see no reason whatever why we should not

anticipate that in the course of this session and next session we

should be able to establish a wide and general system of national

insurance, which, more than any other device within the reach of this

generation of the workers of our country, will help to hold off from

them some of the most fatal and most cruel perils which smash their

households and ruin the lives of families and of workmen.

On many grounds we may commend this Budget to the House. It makes

provision for the present. It makes greater provision for the future.

Indirect taxation reaches the minimum. Food taxation reaches the

minimum since the South African war. Certainly the working classes

have no reason to complain. Nothing in the Budget touches the

physical efficiency and energy of labour. Nothing in it touches the

economy of the cottage home. Middle-class people with between L300 and

L2,000 a year are not affected in any considerable degree, except by

the estate duties, and in that not to a large extent, while in some

cases they are distinctly benefited in the general way of taxation.

The very rich are not singled out for peculiar, special, or invidious

forms of imposition.

The chief burden of the increase of taxation is placed upon the main

body of the wealthy classes in this country, a class which in number

and in wealth is much greater than in any other equal community, if

not, indeed, in any other modern State in the whole world; and that is

a class which, in opportunities of pleasure, in all the amenities of

life, and in freedom from penalties, obligations, and dangers, is more

fortunate than any other equally numerous class of citizens in any age

or in any country. That class has more to gain than any other class of

his Majesty's subjects from dwelling amid a healthy and contented

people, and in a safely guarded land.

I do not agree with the Leader of the Opposition, that they will meet

the charges which are placed upon them for the needs of this year by

evasion and fraud, and by cutting down the charities which their good

feelings have prompted them to dispense. The man who proposes to meet

taxation by cutting down his charities, is not the sort of man who is

likely to find any very extensive source of economy in the charities

which he has hitherto given. As for evasion, I hope the right hon.

gentleman and his supporters underrate the public spirit which

animates a proportion at any rate of the class which would be most

notably affected by the present taxation. And there is for their

consolation one great assurance which is worth much more to them than

a few millions, more or less, of taxation. It is this--that we are

this year taking all that we are likely to need for the policy which

is now placed before the country, and which will absorb the energies

of this Parliament. And, so far as this Parliament is concerned, it is

extremely unlikely, in the absence of a national calamity, that any

further demand will be made upon them, or that the shifting and vague

shadows of another impending Budget will darken the prospects of

improving trade.

When all that may be said on these grounds has been said, we do not

attempt to deny that the Budget raises some of the fundamental issues

which divide the historic Parties in British politics. We do not want

to embitter those issues, but neither do we wish to conceal them. We

know that hon. gentlemen opposite believe that the revenue of the

country could be better raised by a protective tariff. We are

confident that a free-trade system alone would stand the strain of

modern needs and yield the expansive power which is necessary at the

present time in the revenue. And our proof shall be the swift

accomplishment of the fact. The right hon. gentleman opposite and his

friends seek to arrest the tendency to decrease the proportion of

indirect to direct taxation which has marked, in unbroken continuity,

the course of the last sixty years. We, on the other hand, regard that

tendency as of deep-seated social significance, and we are resolved

that it shall not be arrested. So far as we are concerned, we are

resolved that it shall continue until in the end the entire charge

shall be defrayed from the profits of accumulated wealth and by the

taxation of those popular indulgences which cannot be said in any way

to affect the physical efficiency of labour. The policy of the

Conservative Party is to multiply and extend the volume and variety of

taxes upon food and necessaries. They will repose themselves, not

only, as we are still forced to do, on tea and sugar, but upon bread

and meat--not merely upon luxuries and comforts, but also on articles

of prime necessity. Our policy is not to increase, but whenever

possible to decrease, and ultimately to abolish altogether, taxes on

articles of food and the necessaries of life.

If there is divergence between us in regard to the methods by which we

are to raise our revenue, there is also divergence in regard to the

objects on which we are to spend them. We are, on both sides, inclined

to agree that we are approaching, if we have not actually entered on,

one of the climacterics of our national life. We see new forces at

work in the world, and they are not all friendly forces. We see new

conditions abroad and around us, and they are not all favourable

conditions; and I think there is a great deal to be said for those who

on both sides of politics are urging that we should strive for a more

earnest, more strenuous, more consciously national life. But there we

part, because the Conservative Party are inclined too much to repose

their faith for the future security and pre-eminence of this country

upon naval and military preparations, and would sometimes have us

believe that you can make this country secure and respected by the

mere multiplication of ironclad ships. We shall not exclude that

provision, and now indeed ask the Committee to enable us to take the

steps to secure us that expansion of revenue which will place our

financial resources beyond the capacity of any Power that we need to

take into consideration. But we take a broader view. We are not going

to measure the strength of great countries only by their material

resources. We think that the supremacy and predominance of our country

depend upon the maintenance of the vigour and health of its

population, just as its true glory must always be found in the

happiness of its cottage homes. We believe that if Great Britain is to

remain great and famous in the world, we cannot allow the present

social and industrial disorders, with their profound physical and

moral reactions, to continue unchecked. We propose to you a financial

scheme, but we also advance a policy of social organisation. It will

demand sacrifices from all classes; it will give security to all

classes. By its means we shall be able definitely to control some of

the most wasteful processes in our social life, and without it our

country will remain exposed to vital dangers, against which fleets and

armies are of no avail.

FOOTNOTES:

[16] Mr. Wyndham.

[17] Mr. Austen Chamberlain.

THE BUDGET AND NATIONAL INSURANCE

THE FREE TRADE HALL, MANCHESTER, _May 23, 1909_

(From _The Manchester Guardian_, by permission.)

Considering that you have all been ruined by the Budget, I think it

very kind of you to receive me so well. When I remember all the

injuries you have suffered--how South Africa has been lost; how the

gold mines have been thrown away; how all the splendid army which Mr.

Brodrick got together has been reduced to a sham; and how, of course,

we have got no navy of any kind whatever, not even a fishing smack,

for the thirty-five millions a year we give the Admiralty; and when I

remember that in spite of all these evils the taxes are so oppressive

and so cruel that any self-respecting Conservative will tell you he

cannot afford either to live or die, I think it remarkable that you

should be willing to give me such a hearty welcome back to Manchester.

Yes, sir, when I think of the colonies we have lost, of the Empire we

have alienated, of the food we have left untaxed, and the foreigners

we have left unmolested, and the ladies we have left outside, I

confess I am astonished to find you so glad to see me here again.

It is commonly said that our people are becoming hysterical, and that

Britain is losing her old deep-seated sagacity for judging men and

events. That is not my view. I have been taught that the dock always

grows near the nettle. I am inclined to think that in a free community

every evil carries with it its own corrective, and so I believe that

sensationalism of all kinds is playing itself out, and, overdoing, is

itself undone. And the more our scaremongers cry havoc, and panic, and

airships, and sea-serpents, and all the other things they see floating

around, the greater is the composure and the greater is the contempt

with which the mass of the nation receives these revelations, and the

more ready they are to devote their mind to the large and serious

problems of national and social organisation which press for solution

and for action at the present time, and upon which his Majesty's

Government have notable proposals to make.

I come to you this afternoon to speak about the political situation

and the Budget, or rather I come to speak to you about the Budget,

because the Budget is the political situation; and I ask you, as if it

were at an election, whether you will support the policy of the Budget

or not. Let us look into it.

What is the position in which we find ourselves? After reducing the

taxes on coal, on tea, on sugar, and on the smaller class of incomes

by nearly L7,000,000 a year, and after paying back L40,000,000 of debt

in three years, we find that new circumstances and new needs make it

necessary that we should obtain fresh revenue for the service of the

State.

What are the reasons for this demand? There are three reasons--and

only three. Old-age pensions, the navy, and the decrease in the

revenue derived from alcoholic liquor. From those three causes we

require sixteen millions more money this year than we did last year.

Now who has a right--this is my first question--to reproach us for

that? Certainly the Conservative Party have no right.

Take first the case of old-age pensions. I do not think their record

is a very good one on that. They promised old-age pensions to win the

general election of 1895. They were in power for ten years and they

made no effort to redeem their pledge. Again, Mr. Chamberlain, in

1903, promised old-age pensions as a part of his Tariff Reform

proposal, but the Conservative Party refused to agree to the inclusion

of old-age pensions in that programme and forced that great man in the

height of his power and his career to throw out old-age pensions from

the Tariff Reform programme and to write a letter to the newspapers to

say that he had done so.

We, the Liberal Party, did not promise old-age pensions at the

election of 1906. The subject was scarcely mentioned by any of the

candidates who are now your Members. Certainly it did not occupy at

all a prominent position. We did not promise old-age pensions; we gave

old-age pensions. When the Old-Age Pensions Bill was before the House

of Commons, what was the attitude of the Conservative Party? Did they

do anything to try to reduce or control the expenditure of that great

departure? On the contrary. As my right honourable friend the

Chancellor of the Exchequer has told the House of Commons, amendments

to the Old-Age Pensions Bill were moved or received the official

support of the Whips of the Conservative Party which would have

raised the cost of that scheme to fourteen millions a year. And the

Liberal Government, which was making this great effort, which was

doing the work, which was keeping the Tory promise, was reproached and

was derided for not accepting the proposals which these irresponsible

philanthropists, these social reformers on the cheap, these

limited-liability politicians, were so ready to move. And Lord

Halsbury, the late Lord Chancellor, one of the leaders of the

Conservative Party, a man with a powerful influence in their councils,

said in a public speech that the old-age pensions as proposed by the

Government were so paltry as to be almost a mockery.

I do not think any fair-minded or impartial man, or any average

British jury, surveying the record of the Conservative Party upon

old-age pensions, could come to any other conclusion than that they

had used this question for popularity alone; that they never meant to

give old-age pensions; that they only meant to get votes by promising

to give them; that they would have stopped them being given if they

could; that while the Bill was on its way they tried to embarrass the

Government, and to push things to unpractical extremes; and now, even

when the pensions have been given, they would not pay for them if they

could help it. Let me say that I think the conclusion, which I believe

any jury would come to, would perhaps be rather harsh upon the

Conservative Party. I believe they meant better than their record; I

am willing to admit that. But their record is before us, and it is a

bad one, and upon the facts I have no hesitation in saying that it is

not open to them to protest--they have not even an inch of foothold to

protest--against any expenditure which we may now have to incur in

order to defray the consequences of the policy of old-age pensions. So

much for the first cause of the increased expenditure.

I pass to the navy. The Naval Estimates have risen by three millions

this year. I regret it; but I am prepared to justify it. There will be

a further increase next year. I regret it; but within proper limits

necessary to secure national safety I shall be prepared to justify it;

but I hope you will not expect me to advocate a braggart and

sensational policy of expenditure upon armaments. I have always been

against that, as my father was before me.

In my judgment, a Liberal is a man who ought to stand as a restraining

force against an extravagant policy. He is a man who ought to keep

cool in the presence of Jingo clamour. He is a man who believes that

confidence between nations begets confidence, and that the spirit of

peace and goodwill makes the safety it seeks. And, above all, I think

a Liberal is a man who should keep a sour look for scaremongers of

every kind and of every size, however distinguished, however

ridiculous--and sometimes the most distinguished are the most

ridiculous--a cold, chilling, sour look for all of them, whether their

panic comes from the sea or from the air or from the earth or from the

waters under the earth.

His Majesty's Government are resolved that the defensive measures of

this country shall be prescribed by the policy of Ministers

responsible to Parliament, and by the calculations, subject to that

policy, of the experts on whom those Ministers rely, and not by the

folly and the clamour of Party politicians or sensational journalists.

In that determination we as a Government are united, and we shall

remain united. Yet it is clear that the increase in the Naval

Estimates of this year must be followed by another increase in those

of next year. That is deplorable. It will impose upon our finances a

strain which some other nations would not find it very easy to bear,

but which, if the necessity be proved, this country will not be

unwilling, and will certainly not be unable to support.

Well, but what have the Conservative Party got to say about it? Have

they any right to complain of the taxes which are necessary for the

maintenance of our naval power? Do we not see that they are ever

exerting themselves to urge still greater expenditure upon the nation?

He is a poor sort of fellow, a penny-plain-twopence-coloured kind of

patriot who goes about shouting for ships, and then grudges the money

necessary to build them. And when Mr. Balfour tells us that "gigantic

sacrifices" are required, and that those gigantic sacrifices "must

begin now," and then at the same time objects to the taxes by which

the Government proposes to raise the money, he puts himself in a very

queer position.

I have dealt with two of the causes which have led to our demand for

further revenue--old-age pensions and the navy. Upon neither of them

have the Conservative Party any ground for attacking us. What is the

third? Ah, gentlemen, I agree that there is one cause of the

prospective deficit for which we are budgeting for which the

Conservative Party is in no way responsible. I mean the decline in the

consumption of alcoholic liquors. Nothing that they have said and

nothing that they have done has, in intention or in fact, contributed

to the drying up of that source of revenue. On the contrary, by their

legislation, by the views they have taken of the rights of the

licensed trade, by their resistance to every measure of temperance

reform, by their refusal even to discuss in the House of Lords the

great Licensing Bill of last year, by their association with the

brewers and with the liquor traffic generally, they have done all they

could--I do them the justice to admit it--to maintain the Customs and

Excise from alcoholic liquors at the highest level. If the habits of

the people, under the influences of a wider culture, of variety, of

comfort, of brighter lives, and of new conceptions, have steadily

undergone a beneficent elevation and amelioration, it has been in

spite of every obstacle that wealth and rank and vested interest could

interpose.

The money has to be found. There is no Party in the State who can

censure us because of that. Our proposals for enlarging the public

revenue are just and fair to all classes. They will not, in spite of

all these outcries you hear nowadays, sensibly alter the comfort or

status, or even the elegance of any class in our great and varied

community. No man, rich or poor, will eat a worse dinner for our

taxes.

Of course, from a narrow, electioneering point of view, there are a

great many people--I believe they are wrong--who think we should have

done much better if we had put another penny on the income tax instead

of increasing the tax upon tobacco. Well, I have come here this

afternoon to tell you that we think it right that the working classes

should be asked to pay a share towards the conduct of a democratic

State. And we think that taxes on luxuries, however widely consumed,

are a proper channel for such payment to be made. We believe that the

working classes are able to pay by that channel, and we believe,

further, that they are ready to pay. We do not think that in this old,

wise country they would have respected any Government which at a time

like this had feared to go to them for their share.

I have a good confidence that this Budget is going to go through. If

there are hardships and anomalies in particular cases or particular

quarters, we are ready to consider them. They will emerge in the

discussions of the House of Commons, and we have every desire to

consider them and to mitigate them. But we believe in the situation in

which we find ourselves in this country, and in the general situation

of the world at the present time--that the taxes on incomes over

L3,000 a year, upon estates at death, on motor-cars before they cause

death, upon tobacco, upon spirits, upon liquor licences, which really

belong to the State, and ought never to have been filched away; and,

above all, taxes upon the unearned increment in land are necessary,

legitimate, and fair; and that without any evil consequences to the

refinement or the richness of our national life, still less any injury

to the sources of its economic productivity, they will yield revenue

sufficient in this year and in the years to come to meet the growing

needs of Imperial defence and of social reform.

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