As Lincoln's friends had foreseen, this matchless performance of

carrying water on both shoulders caught the popular fancy; Douglas was

reelected to the Senate. As Lincoln had foreseen, it killed him as a

Democratic leader; it prevented the reunion of the Democratic party. The

result appeared in 1860 when the Republicans, though still a minority

party, carried the day because of the bitter divisions among the

Democrats. That was what Lincoln foresaw when he said to his fearful

friends while they argued in vain to prevent his asking the question at

Free-port. "I am killing larger game; the great battle of 1860 is worth

a thousand of this senatorial race."(6)

X. THE DARK HORSE

One of the most curious things in Lincoln is the way his confidence

in himself came and went. He had none of Douglas's unwavering

self-reliance. Before the end, to be sure, he attained a type of

self-reliance, higher and more imperturbable. But this was not the

fruit of a steadfast unfolding. Rather, he was like a tree with its

alternating periods of growth and pause, now richly in leaf, now

dormant. Equally applicable is the other familiar image of the

successive waves.

The clue seems to have been, in part at least, a matter of vitality.

Just as Douglas emanated vitality--so much so that his aura filled the

whole Senate chamber and forced an unwilling response in the gifted but

hostile woman who watched him from the gallery--Lincoln, conversely,

made no such overpowering impression. His observers, however much they

have to say about his humor, his seasons of Shakespearian mirth, never

forget their impression that at heart he is sad. His fondness for poetry

in the minor key has become a byword, especially the line "Oh, why

should the spirit of mortal be proud."

It is impossible to discover any law governing the succession of his

lapses in self-reliance. But they may be related very plausibly to his

sense of failure or at least to his sense of futility. He was one of

those intensely sensitive natures to whom the futilities of this world

are its most discouraging feature. Whenever such ideas were brought home

to him his energy flagged; his vitality, never high, sank. He was prone

to turn away from the outward life to lose himself in the inner. All

this is part of the phenomena which Herndon perceived more clearly than

he comprehended it, which led him to call Lincoln a fatalist.

A humbler but perhaps more accurate explanation is the reminder that he

was son to Thomas the unstable. What happened in Lincoln's mind when

he returned defeated from Washington, that ghost-like rising of the

impulses of old Thomas, recurred more than once thereafter. In fact

there is a period well-defined, a span of thirteen years terminating

suddenly on a day in 1862, during which the ghost of old Thomas is a

thing to be reckoned with in his son's life. It came and went, most of

the time fortunately far on the horizon. But now and then it drew near.

Always it was lurking somewhere, waiting to seize upon him in those

moments when his vitality sank, when his energies were in the ebb, when

his thoughts were possessed by a sense of futility.

The year 1859 was one of his ebb tides. In the previous year the rising

tide, which had mounted high during his success on the circuit, reached

its crest The memory of his failure at Washington was effaced. At

Freeport he was a more powerful genius, a more dominant personality,

than he had ever been. Gradually, in the months following, the high wave

subsided. During 1859 he gave most of his attention to his practice.

Though political speech-making continued, and though he did not impair

his reputation, he did nothing of a remarkable sort. The one literary

fragment of any value is a letter to a Boston committee that had invited

him to attend a "festival" in Boston on Jefferson's birthday. He

avowed himself a thoroughgoing disciple of Jefferson and pronounced the

principles of Jefferson "the definitions and axioms of free society."

Without conditions he identified his own cause with the cause of

Jefferson, "the man who in the concrete pressure of a struggle for

national independence by a single people, had the coolness, forecast and

capacity to introduce into a merely revolutionary document, an abstract

truth, applicable to all men and all times, and so to embalm it

there that today and in all coming days, it shall be a rebuke and

a stumbling-block to the very harbingers of reappearing tyranny and

oppression."(1)

While the Boston committee were turning their eyes toward this great new

phrase-maker of the West, several politicians in Illinois had formed a

bold resolve. They would try to make him President. The movement had two

sources--the personal loyalty of his devoted friends of the circuit, the

shrewdness of the political managers who saw that his duel with Douglas

had made him a national figure. As one of them said to him, "Douglas

being so widely known, you are getting a national reputation through

him." Lincoln replied that he did not lack the ambition but lacked

altogether the confidence in the possibility of success.(2)

This was his attitude during most of 1859. The glow, the enthusiasm, of

the previous year was gone. "I must in candor say that I do not think

myself fit for the Presidency," he wrote to a newspaper editor in April.

He used the same words to another correspondent in July. As late as

November first, he wrote, "For my single self, I have enlisted for the

permanent success of the Republican cause, and for this object I shall

labor faithfully in the ranks, unless, as I think not probable, the

judgment of the party shall assign me a different position."(3)

Meanwhile, both groups of supporters had labored unceasingly, regardless

of his approval. In his personal following, the companionableness of

twenty years had deepened into an almost romantic loyalty. The leaders

of this enthusiastic attachment, most of them lawyers, had no superiors

for influence in Illinois. The man who had such a following was a power

in politics whether he would or no. This the mere politicians saw. They

also saw that the next Republican nomination would rest on a delicate

calculation of probabilities. There were other Republicans more

conspicuous than Lincoln--Seward in New York, Sumner in Massachusetts,

Chase in Ohio--but all these had inveterate enemies. Despite their

importance would it be safe to nominate them? Would not the party be

compelled to take some relatively minor figure, some essentially new

man? In a word, what we know as a "dark horse." Believing that this

would happen, they built hopefully on their faith in Lincoln.

Toward the end of the year he was at last persuaded to take his

candidacy seriously. The local campaign for his nomination had gone so

far that a failure to go further would have the look of being discarded

as the local Republican leader. This argument decided him. Before the

year's end he had agreed to become a candidate before the convention. In

his own words, "I am not in a position where it would hurt much for me

to not be nominated on the national ticket; but I am where it would hurt

some for me to not get the Illinois delegates."(4)

It was shortly after this momentous decision that he went to New York by

invitation and made his most celebrated, though not in any respect his

greatest, oration.(5) A large audience filled Cooper Union, February

27, 1860. William Cullen Bryant presided. David Dudley Field escorted

Lincoln to the platform. Horace Greeley was in the audience. Again,

the performance was purely literary. No formulation of new policies,

no appeal for any new departure. It was a masterly restatement of his

position; of the essence of the debates with Douglas. It cleansed the

Republican platform of all accidental accretions, as if a ship's hull

were being scraped of barnacles preparatory to a voyage; it gave the

underlying issues such inflexible definition that they could not be

juggled with. Again he showed a power of lucid statement not possessed

by any of his rivals. An incident of the speech was his unsparing

condemnation of John Brown whose raid and death were on every tongue.

"You charge that we stir up insurrections among your slaves," said he,

apostrophizing the slave-holders. "We deny it, and what is your proof?

'Harper's Ferry; John Brown!' John Brown was no Republican; and you

have failed to implicate a single Republican in this Harper's Ferry

enterprise. . .

"John Brown's effort was peculiar. It was not a slave insurrection. It

was an attempt by white men to get up a revolt among slaves, in which

the slaves refused to participate. In fact, it was so absurd that the

slaves with all their ignorance saw plainly enough that it could

not succeed. That affair in its philosophy corresponds with the many

attempts related in history at the assassination of kings and emperors.

An enthusiast broods over the oppression of the people until he fancies

himself commissioned by heaven to liberate them. He ventures the attempt

which ends in little else than his own execution. Orsini's attempt on

Louis Napoleon, and John Brown's attempt at Harper's Ferry were, in

their philosophy, precisely the same. The eagerness to cast blame on

old England in the one case and on New England in the other, does not

disprove the sameness of the two things."

The Cooper Union speech received extravagant praise from all the

Republican newspapers. Lincoln's ardent partisans assert that it took

New York "by storm." Rather too violent a way of putting it! But there

can be no doubt that the speech made a deep impression. Thereafter, many

of the Eastern managers were willing to consider Lincoln as a candidate,

should factional jealousies prove uncompromising. Any port in a storm,

you know. Obviously, there could be ports far more dangerous than this

"favorite son" of Illinois.

Many national conventions in the United States have decided upon a

compromise candidate, "a dark horse," through just such reasoning.

The most noted instance is the Republican Convention of 1860. When

it assembled at Chicago in June, the most imposing candidate was the

brilliant leader of the New York Republicans, Seward. But no man in the

country had more bitter enemies. Horace Greeley whose paper The Tribune

was by far the most influential Republican organ, went to Chicago

obsessed by one purpose: because of irreconcilable personal quarrels

he would have revenge upon Seward. Others who did not hate Seward were

afraid of what Greeley symbolized. And all of them knew that whatever

else happened, the West must be secured.

The Lincoln managers played upon the Eastern jealousies and the Eastern

fears with great skill. There was little sleep among the delegates the

night previous to the balloting. At just the right moment, the Lincoln

managers, though their chief had forbidden them to do so, offered

promises with regard to Cabinet appointments.(6) And they succeeded in

packing the galleries of the Convention Hall with a perfectly organized

claque-"rooters," the modern American would say.

The result on the third ballot was a rush to Lincoln of all the enemies

of Seward, and Lincoln's nomination amid a roaring frenzy of applause.

XI. SECESSION

After twenty-three years of successive defeats, Lincoln, almost

fortuitously, was at the center of the political maelstrom. The clue

to what follows is in the way he had developed during that long

discouraging apprenticeship to greatness. Mentally, he had always been

in isolation. Socially, he had lived in a near horizon. The real tragedy

of his failure at Washington was in the closing against him of the

opportunity to know his country as a whole. Had it been Lincoln instead

of Douglas to whom destiny had given a residence at Washington during

the 'fifties, it is conceivable that things might have been different

in the 'sixties. On the other hand, America would have lost its greatest

example of the artist in politics.

And without that artist, without his extraordinary literary gift, his

party might not have consolidated in 1860. A very curious party it was.

It had sprung to life as a denial, as a device for halting Douglas.

Lincoln's doctrine of the golden mean, became for once a political

power. Men of the most diverse views on other issues accepted in their

need the axiom: "Stand with anybody so long as he stands right." And

standing right, for that moment in the minds of them all, meant keeping

slavery and the money power from devouring the territories.

The artist of the movement expressed them all in his declaration that

the nation needed the Territories to give home and opportunity to free

white people. Even the Abolitionists, who hitherto had refused to make

common cause with any other faction, entered the negative coalition

of the new party. So did Whigs, and anti-slavery Democrats, as well as

other factions then obscure which we should now label Socialists and

Labormen.

However, this coalition, which in origin was purely negative, revealed,

the moment it coalesced, two positive features. To the man of the near

horizon in 1860 neither of these features seemed of first importance. To

the man outside that horizon, seeing them in perspective as related

to the sum total of American life, they had a significance he did not

entirely appreciate.

The first of these was the temper of the Abolitionists. Lincoln ignored

it. He was content with his ringing assertion of the golden mean. But

there spoke the man of letters rather than the statesman. Of temper

in politics as an abstract idea, he had been keenly conscious from the

first; but his lack of familiarity with political organizations kept him

from assigning full value to the temper of any one factor as affecting

the joint temper of the whole group. It was appointed for him to learn

this in a supremely hard way and to apply the lesson with wonderful

audacity. But in 1860 that stern experience still slept in the future.

He had no suspicion as yet that he might find it difficult to carry out

his own promise to stand with the Abolitionists in excluding slavery

from the Territories, and to stand against them in enforcing the

Fugitive Slave Law. He did not yet see why any one should doubt the

validity of this promise; why any one should be afraid to go along

with him, afraid that the temper of one element would infect the whole

coalition.

But this fear that Lincoln did not allow for, possessed already a great

many minds. Thousands of Southerners, of the sort whom Lincoln credited

with good intentions about slavery, feared the Abolitionists Not because

the Abolitionists wanted to destroy slavery, but because they wanted

to do so fiercely, cruelly. Like Lincoln, these Southerners who were

liberals in thought and moderates in action, did not know what to do

about slavery. Like Lincoln, they had but one fixed idea with regard to

it,--slavery must not be terminated violently. Lincoln, despite his

near horizon, sensed them correctly as not being at one with the great

plutocrats who wished to exploit slavery. But when the Abolitionist

poured out the same fury of vituperation on every sort of slave-holder;

when he promised his soul that it should yet have the joy of exulting in

the ruin of all such, the moderate Southerners became as flint. When the

Abolitionists proclaimed their affiliation with the new party, the

first step was taken toward a general Southern coalition to stop the

Republican advance.

There was another positive element blended into the negative coalition.

In 1857, the Republicans overruling the traditions of those members who

had once been Democrats, set their faces toward protection. To most

of the Northerners the fatefulness of the step was not obvious. Twenty

years had passed since a serious tariff controversy had shaken the

North. Financial difficulties in the 'fifties were more prevalent in the

North than in the South. Business was in a quandary. Labor was demanding

better opportunities. Protection as a solution, or at least as a

palliative, seemed to the mass of the Republican coalition, even to the

former Democrats for all their free trade traditions, not outrageous.

To the Southerners it was an alarm bell. The Southern world was

agricultural; its staple was cotton; the bulk of its market was in

England. Ever since 1828, the Southern mind had been constantly on guard

with regard to tariff, unceasingly fearful that protection would be

imposed on it by Northern and Western votes. To have to sell its cotton

in England at free trade values, but at the same time to have to buy its

commodities at protected values fixed by Northern manufacturers--what

did that mean but the despotism of one section over another? When

the Republicans took up protection as part of their creed, a general

Southern coalition was rendered almost inevitable.

This, Lincoln {Missing text}. Again it is to be accounted for in part

by his near horizon. Had he lived at Washington, had he met, frequently,

Southern men; had he passed those crucial years of the 'fifties in

debates with political leaders rather than in story-telling tournaments

on the circuit; perhaps all this would have been otherwise. But one can

not be quite sure. Finance never appealed to him. A wide application may

be given to Herndon's remark that "he had no money sense." All the rest

of the Republican doctrine finds its best statement in Lincoln. On the

one subject of its economic policy he is silent. Apparently it is to be

classified with the routine side of the law. To neither was he ever able

to give more than a perfunctory attention. As an artist in politics he

had the defect of his qualities.

What his qualities showed him were two things: the alliance of the

plutocratic slave power with the plutocratic money power, and the

essential rightness in impulse of the bulk of the Southern people. Hence

his conclusion which became his party's conclusion: that, in the South,

a political-financial ring was dominating a leaderless people, This

was not the truth. Lincoln's defects in 1860 limited his vision.

Nevertheless, to the solitary distant thinker, shut in by the near

horizon of political Springfield, there was every excuse for the error.

The palpable evidence all confirmed it. What might have contradicted it

was a cloud of witnesses, floating, incidental, casual, tacit. Just

what a nature like Lincoln's, if only he could have met them, would have

perceived and comprehended; what a nature like Douglas's, no matter

how plainly they were presented to him, could neither perceive nor

comprehend. It was the irony of fate that an opportunity to fathom

his time was squandered upon the unseeing Douglas, while to the seeing

Lincoln it was denied. In a word, the Southern reaction against the

Republicans, like the Republican movement itself, had both a positive

and a negative side. It was the positive side that could be seen and

judged at long range. And this was what Lincoln saw, which appeared to

him to have created the dominant issue in 1860.

The negative side of the Southern movement he did not see. He was too

far away to make out the details of the picture. Though he may have

known from the census of 1850 that only one-third of the Southern whites

were members of slave-holding families, he could scarcely have known

that only a small minority of the Southern families owned as many

as five slaves; that those who had fortunes in slaves were a mere

handful--just as today those who have fortunes in steel or beef are mere

handfuls. But still less did he know how entirely this vast majority

which had so little, if any, interest in slavery, had grown to fear and

distrust the North. They, like him, were suffering from a near horizon.

They, too, were applying the principle "Stand with anybody so long as

he stands right" But for them, standing right meant preventing a violent

revolution in Southern life. Indifferent as they were to slavery, they

were willing to go along with the "slave-barons" in the attempt to

consolidate the South in a movement of denial--a denial of the right of

the North, either through Abolitionism or through tariff, to dominate

the South.

If only Lincoln with his subtle mind could have come into touch with

the negative side of the Southern agitation! It was the other side, the

positive side, that was vocal. With immense shrewdness the profiteers of

slavery saw and developed their opportunity. They organized the South.

They preached on all occasions, in all connections, the need of all

Southerners to stand together, no matter how great their disagreements,

in order to prevent the impoverishment of the South by hostile

economic legislation. During the late 'fifties their propaganda for an

all-Southern policy, made slow but constant headway. But even in 1859

these ideas were still far from controlling the South.

And then came John Brown. The dread of slave insurrection was laid deep

in Southern recollection. Thirty years before, the Nat Turner Rebellion

had filled a portion of Virginia with burned plantation houses amid

whose ruins lay the dead bodies of white women. A little earlier, a

negro conspiracy at Charleston planned the murder of white men and the

parceling out of white women among the conspirators. And John Brown had

come into Virginia at the head of a band of strangers calling upon the

slaves to rise and arm.

Here was a supreme opportunity. The positive Southern force, the slave

profiteers, seized at once the attitude of champions of the South. It

was easy enough to enlist the negative force in a shocked and outraged

denunciation of everything Northern. And the Northern extremists did all

that was in their power to add fuel to the flame. Emerson called Brown

"this new saint who had made the gallows glorious as the cross." The

Southerners, hearing that, thought of the conspiracy to parcel out the

white women of Charleston. Early in 1860 it seemed as if the whole South

had but one idea-to part company with the North.

No wonder Lincoln threw all his influence into the scale to discredit

the memory of Brown. No wonder the Republicans in their platform

carefully repudiated him. They could not undo the impression made on the

Southern mind by two facts: the men who lauded Brown as a new saint were

voting the Republican ticket; the Republicans had committed themselves

to the anti-Southern policy of protection.

And yet, in spite of all the labors of pro-slavery extremists, the

movement for a breach with the North lost ground during 1860. When the

election came, the vote for President revealed a singular and unforeseen

situation. Four candidates were in the field. The Democrats, split into

two by the issue of slavery expansion, formed two parties. The

slave profiteers secured the nomination by one faction of John C.

Breckinridge. The moderate Democrats who would neither fight nor favor

slavery, nominated Douglas. The most peculiar group was the fourth. They

included all those who would not join the Republicans for fear of the

temper of the Abolition-members, but who were not promoters of slavery,

and who distrusted Douglas. They had no program but to restore the

condition of things that existed before the Nebraska Bill. About four

million five hundred thousand votes were cast. Lincoln had less than

two million, and all but about twenty-four thousand of these were in

the Free States. However, the disposition of Lincoln's vote gave him the

electoral college. He was chosen President by the votes of a minority of

the nation. But there was another minority vote which as events turned

out, proved equally significant. Breckinridge, the symbol of the slave

profiteers, and of all those whom they had persuaded to follow them,

had not been able to carry the popular vote of the South. They were

definitely in the minority in their own section. The majority of the

Southerners had so far reacted from the wild alarms of the beginning

of the year that they refused to go along with the candidates of the

extremists. They were for giving the Union another trial. The South

itself had repudiated the slave profiteers.

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