The ground on which human volitions can be foreseen, is no less plain

and reasonable. In the first place, future contingent volitions are

never without a cause and sufficient ground of their existence, the

individual will being always taken as the cause and sufficient ground of

the individual volitions. God has therefore provided for the possible

existence of volitions other than his own, in the creation and

constitution of finite free will. Now, in relation to him, it is not

required to conceive of _media_ by which all the particular volitions

may be made known or proved to his mind, previous to their actual

existence. Whatever he knows, he knows by direct and infinite intuition;

he cannot be dependent upon any media for his knowledge. It is enough,

as I have already shown, to assign him prescience, in order to bring

within his positive knowledge all future contingent volitions. He knows

all the variety and the full extent of the possible, and amid the

possible he foresees the actual; and he foresees not only that class of

the actual which, as decreed and determined by himself, is relatively

necessary, but also that class of the actual which is to spring up under

the characteristic of contingency.

And herein, I would remark, lies the superiority of the divine

prescience over human forecast,--in that the former penetrates the

contingent as accurately as the necessary. With the latter it is far

otherwise. Human forecast or calculation can foresee the motions of the

planets, eclipses of the sun and moon, and even the flight of the

comets, because they are governed by necessary laws; but the volitions

of the human will form the subject of only _probable_ calculations.

But if human volitions, as contingent, form the subject of probable

calculations, there must be in opposition to Edwards something "that is

evident" and "now existent, with which the future existence of the

_contingent_ event is connected."

There are three kinds of certainty. _First_, absolute certainty. This is

the certainty which lies in necessary and eternal principles e. g. 2 x

2=4; the existence of space; every body must be in space; every

phenomenon must have a cause; the being of God.

Logical certainty, that is, the connexion between premises and

conclusion, is likewise absolute.

_Secondly_. Physical certainty. This is the certainty which lies in the

connexion between physical causes and their phenomena: e. g.

gravitation, heat, chemical affinities in general, mechanical forces.

The reason conceives of these causes as inherently active and uniform;

and hence, wherever a physical cause exists, we expect its proper

phenomena.

Now we do not call the operation of these causes _absolutely_ certain,

because they depend ultimately upon will,--the will of God; and we can

conceive that the same will which ordained them, can change, suspend, or

even annihilate them: they have no intrinsic necessity, still, as causes

given in time and space, we conceive of them generally as immutable. If

in any case they be changed, or suspended, we are compelled to recognise

the presence of that will which ordained them. Such change or suspension

we call a _miracle_; that is, a surprise,--a wonder, because it is

unlooked for.

When, therefore, we affirm any thing to be physically certain, we mean

that it is certain in the immutability of a cause acting in time and

space, and under a necessity relatively to the divine will; but still

not _absolutely_ certain, because there is a possibility of a miracle.

But when we affirm any thing to be absolutely certain, we mean that it

is certain as comprehended in a principle which is unalterable in its

very nature, and is therefore independent of will.

_Thirdly_. Moral certainty, is the certainty which lies between the

connexion of motive and will. By will we mean a self-conscious and

intelligent cause, or a cause in unity with intelligence. It is also, in

the fullest sense, a cause _per se_; that is, it contains within itself

proper efficiency, and determines its own direction. By _motives_ we

mean the reasons according to which the will acts. In general, all

activity proceeds according to rules, or laws, or reasons; for they have

the same meaning: but in mere material masses, the rule is not

contemplated by the acting force,--it is contemplated only by the

intelligence which ordained and conditioned the force. In spirit, on the

contrary, the activity which we call will is self-conscious, and is

connected with a perception of the reasons, or ends, or motives of

action. These motives or ends of action are of two kinds. _First_, those

found in the ideas of the practical reason, which decides what is fit

and right. These are reasons of supreme authority. _Secondly_, those

found in the understanding and sensitivity: e. g. the immediately useful

and expedient, and the gratification of passion. These are right only

when subordinate to the first.

Now these reasons and motives are a light to the will, and serve to

direct its activities; and the human conscience, which is but the

reason, has drawn up for the will explicit rules, suited to all

circumstances and relations, which are called _ethics_, or _the rules_.

These rules the will is not compelled or necessitated to obey. In every

volition it is conscious of a power to do or not to do; but yet, as the

will forms a unity with the intelligence, we take for granted that it

will obey them, unless grounds for an opposite conclusion are apparent.

But the only probable ground for a disobedience of these rules lies in a

state of sinfulness,--a corruption of the sensitivity, or a disposition

to violate the harmony and fitness of the spiritual constitution. Hence

moral certainty can exist only where the harmony of the spiritual being

is preserved. For example: God and good angels. In God moral certainty

is infinite. His dispositions are infinitely pure, and his will freely

determines to do right; it is not compelled or necessitated, for then

his infinite meritoriousness would cease. Moral certainty is _not

absolute_, because will being a power to do or not to do, there is

always a possibility, although there may be no probability, nay an

infinite improbability, that the will may disobey the laws of the

reason.

In the case of angels and good men, the moral certainty is such as to be

attended with no apprehension of a dereliction. With respect to such men

as Joseph, Daniel, Paul, Howard, and Washington, we can calculate with a

very high and satisfactory moral certainty, of the manner in which they

will act in any given circumstances involving the influence of motives.

We know they will obey truth, justice, and mercy,--that is, the _first_

class of motives; and the _second_ only so far as they are authorized by

the first. If the first class of motives are forsaken, then human

conduct can be calculated only according to the influence of the second

class.

Human character, however, is mixed and variously compounded. We might

make a scale of an indefinite number of degrees, from the highest point

of moral excellence to the lowest point of moral degradation, and then

our predictions of human conduct would vary with every degree.

In any particular case where we are called upon to reason from the

connexion of motives with the will, it is evident we must determine the

character of the individual as accurately as possible, in order to know

the probable _resultant_ of the opposite moral forces which we are

likely to find.

We have remarked that moral certainty exists only where the harmony of

the moral constitution is preserved. Here we know the right will be

obeyed. It may be remarked in addition to this, however, that moral

certainty may almost be said to exist in the case of the lowest moral

degradation, where the right is altogether forsaken. Here the rule is,

"whatever is most agreeable;" and the volition is indeed merged into the

sense of the most agreeable. But in the intermediate state lies the wide

field of probability. What is commonly called the knowledge of human

nature, and esteemed of most importance in the affairs of life, is not

the knowledge of human nature as it ought to be, but as it is in its

vast variety of good and evil. We gain this knowledge from observation

and history. What human nature ought to be, we learn from reason.

On a subject of so much importance, and where it is so desirable to have

clear and definite ideas, the rhetorical ungracefulness of repetition is

of little moment, when this repetition serves our great end. I shall be

pardoned, therefore, in calling the attention of the reader to a point

above suggested, namely, that the will is in a triunity with reason and

sensitivity, and, in the constitution of our being, is designed to

derive its rules and inducements of action from these. Acts which are in

the direction of neither reason nor sensitivity, must be very trifling

acts; and therefore acts of this description, although possible, we may

conclude are very rare. In calculating, then, future acts of will, we

may, like the mathematicians, drop infinitesimal differences, and assume

that all acts of the will are in the direction of reason or sensitivity,

or of both in their harmony. Although the will is conscious of power to

do, out of the direction of both reason and sensitivity, still, in the

triunity in which it exists, it submits itself to the general interests

of the being, and consults the authority of conscience, or the

enjoyments of passion. Now every individual has acquired for himself

habits and a character more or less fixed. He is known to have submitted

himself from day to day, and in a great variety of transactions, to the

laws of the conscience; and hence we conclude that he has formed for

himself a fixed purpose of doing right. He has exhibited, too, on many

occasions, noble, generous, and pure feelings; and hence we conclude

that his sensitivity harmonizes with conscience. Or he is known to have

violated the laws of the conscience from day to day, and in a great

variety of transactions; and hence we conclude that he has formed for

himself a fixed purpose of doing wrong. He has exhibited, too, on many

occasions, low, selfish, and impure feelings; and hence we conclude that

his sensitivity is in collision with conscience.

In both cases supposed, and in like manner in all supposable cases,

there is plainly a basis on which, in any given circumstances, we may

foresee and predict volitions. There is something "that is evident and

now existent with which the future existence of the contingent event is

connected." On the one hand these predictions exert no necessitating

influence over the events themselves, for they are entirely disconnected

with the causation of the events: and, on the other hand, the events

need not be assumed as necessary in order to become the objects of

probable calculations. If they were necessary, the calculations would no

longer be merely probable:--they would, on the contrary, take the

precision and certainty of the calculation of eclipses and other

phenomena based upon necessary laws. But these calculations can aim only

at _moral_ certainty, because they are made according to the generally

known and received determinations of will in a unity with reason and

sensitivity; but still a will which is known also to have the power to

depart at any moment from the line of determination which it has

established for itself. Thus the calculations which we make respecting

the conduct of one man in given circumstances, based on his known

integrity, and the calculations which we make respecting another, based

on his known dishonesty, may alike disappoint us, through the

unexpected, though possible dereliction of the first, and the

unexpected, though possible reformation of the latter. When we reason

from moral effects to moral causes, or from moral causes to moral

effects, we cannot regard the operation of causes as positive and

uniform under the same law of necessity which appertains to physical

causes, because in moral causality the free will is the efficient and

last determiner. It is indeed true that we reason here with a high

degree of probability, with a probability sufficient to regulate wisely

and harmoniously the affairs of society; but we cannot reason respecting

human conduct, as we reason respecting the phenomena of the physical

world, because it is possible for the human will to disappoint

calculations based upon the ordinary influence of motives: e. g. the

motive does not hold the same relation to will which fire holds to

combustible substance; the fire must burn; the will may or may not

determine in view of motive. Hence the reason why, in common parlance,

probable evidence has received the name of moral evidence: moral

evidence being generally probable, all probable evidence is called

moral.

The will differs from physical causes in being a cause _per se_, but

although a cause _per se_, it has laws to direct its volitions. It may

indeed violate these laws and become a most arbitrary and inconstant law

unto itself; but this violation of law and this arbitrary determination

do not arise from it necessarily as a cause _per se_, but from an abuse

of its liberty. As a cause in unity with the laws of the reason, we

expect it to be uniform, and in its harmonious and perfect movements it

is uniform. Physical causes are uniform because God has determined and

fixed them according to laws derived from infinite wisdom.

The human will may likewise be uniform by obeying the laws of

conscience, but the departures may also be indefinitely numerous and

various.

To sum up these observations in general statements, we remark;--

First: The connexion on which we base predictions of human volitions, is

the connexion of will with reason and sensitivity in the unity of the

mind or spirit.

Secondly: By this connexion, the will is seen to be designed to be

regulated by truth and righteousness, and by feeling subordinated to

these.

Thirdly: In the purity of the soul, the will is thus regulated.

Fourthly: This regulation, however, does not take place by the necessary

governance which reason and sensitivity have over will, but by a

self-subjection of will to their rules and inducements;--this

constitutes meritoriousness,--the opposite conduct constitutes ill

desert.

Fifthly: Our calculations must proceed according to the degree and

fixedness of this self-subjection to reason and right feeling; or where

this does not exist, according to the degree and fixedness of the habits

of wrong doing, in a self-subjection to certain passions in opposition

to reason.

Sixthly: Our calculations will be more or less certain according to the

extent and accuracy of our observations upon human conduct.

Seventhly: Our calculations can never be attended with _absolute_

certainty, because the will being contingent, has the power of

disappointing calculations made upon the longest observed uniformity.

Eighthly: Our expectations respecting the determinations of Deity are

attended with the highest moral certainty. We say _moral_ certainty,

because it is certainty not arising from necessity, and in that sense

absolute; but certainty arising from the free choice of an infinitely

pure being. Thus, when God is affirmed to be immutable, and when it is

affirmed to be impossible for him to lie, it cannot be meant that he has

not the power to change or to determine contrary to truth; but that

there is an infinite moral certainty arising from the perfection of his

nature, that he never will depart from infinite wisdom and rectitude.

To assign God any other immutability would be to deprive him of freedom.

Ninthly: The divine foresight of human volitions need not be supposed to

necessitate them, any more than human foresight, inasmuch as foreseeing

them, has no necessary connexion in any case with their causation.

Again, if it does not appear essential to the divine foresight of

volitions that they should be necessary. We have seen that future

contingent volitions may be calculated with a high degree of certainty

even by men; and now supposing that the divine being must proceed in the

same way to calculate them through _media_,--the reach and accuracy of

his calculations must be in the proportion of his intelligence, and how

far short of a certain and perfect knowledge of all future contingent

volitions can infinite intelligence be supposed to fall by such

calculations?

Tenthly: But we may not suppose that the infinite mind is compelled to

resort to deduction, or to employ _media_ for arriving at any particular

knowledge. In the attribute of prescience, he is really present to all

the possible and actual of the future.

III. The third and last point of Edwards's argument is as follows: "To

suppose the future volitions of moral agents, not to be necessary

events; or which is the same thing, events which it is not impossible

but that they may not come to pass; and yet to suppose that God

certainly foreknows them, and knows all things, is to suppose God's

knowledge to be inconsistent with itself. For to say that God certainly

and without all conjecture, knows that a thing will infallibly be, which

at the same time he knows to be so contingent, that it may possibly not

be, is to suppose his knowledge inconsistent with itself; or that one

thing he knows is utterly inconsistent with another thing he knows."

(page 117.)

The substance of this reasoning is this. That inasmuch as a contingent

future event is _uncertain_ from its very nature and definition, it

cannot be called an object of _certain_ knowledge, to any mind, not even

to the divine mind, without a manifest contradiction. "It is the same as

to say, he now knows a proposition to be of certain infallible truth,

which he knows to be of contingent uncertain truth."

We have here again an error arising from not making a proper

distinction, which I have already pointed out,--the distinction between

the certainty of a future volition as a mere fact existent, and the

manner in which that fact came to exist.

The fact of volition comes to exist contingently; that is, by a power

which in giving it existence, is under no law of necessity, and at the

moment of causation, is conscious of ability to withhold the causative

_nibus_. Now all volitions which have already come to exist in this way,

have both a certain and contingent existence. It is certain that they

have come to exist, for that is a matter of observation; but their

existence is also contingent, because they came to exist, not by

necessity as a mathematical conclusion, but by a cause contingent and

free, and which, although actually giving existence to these volitions,

had the power to withhold them.

Certainty and contingency are not opposed, and exclusive of each other

in reference to what has already taken place. Are they opposed and

exclusive of each other in reference to the future? In the first place,

we may reason on probable grounds. Contingent causes have already

produced volitions--hence they may produce volitions in the future. They

have produced volitions in obedience to laws of reason and

sensitivity--hence they may do so in the future. They have done this

according to a uniformity self-imposed, and long and habitually

observed--hence this uniformity may be continued in the future.

A future contingent event may therefore have a high degree of

probability, and even a moral certainty.

But to a being endowed with prescience, what prevents a positive and

infallible knowledge of a future contingent event? His mind extends to

the actual in the future, as easily as to the actual in the past; but

the actual of the future is not only that which comes to pass by his own

determination and _nibus_, and therefore necessarily in its relation to

himself as cause, but also that which comes to pass by the _nibus_ of

constituted wills, contingent and free, as powers to do or not to do.

There is no opposition, as Edwards supposes, between the infallible

divine foreknowledge, and the contingency of the event;--the divine

foreknowledge is infallible from its own inherent perfection; and of

course there can be no doubt but that the event foreseen will come to

pass; but then it is foreseen as an event coming to pass contingently,

and not necessarily.

The error we have just noted, appears again in the corollary which

Edwards immediately deduces from his third position. "From what has been

observed," he remarks, "it is evident, that the absolute _decrees_ of

God are no more inconsistent with human liberty, on account of the

necessity of the event which follows such decrees, than the absolute

foreknowledge of God." (page 118.) The absolute decrees of God are the

determinations of his will, and comprehend the events to which they

relate, as the cause comprehends the effect. Foreknowledge, on the

contrary, has no causality in relation to events foreknown. It is not a

determination of divine will, but a form of the divine intelligence.

Hence the decrees of God do actually and truly necessitate events; while

the foreknowledge of God extends to events which are not necessary but

contingent,--as well as to those which are pre-determined.

Edwards always confounds contingency with chance or no cause, and thus

makes it absurd in its very definition. He also always confounds

certainty with necessity, and thus compels us to take the latter

universal and absolute, or to plunge into utter uncertainty, doubt, and

disorder.

Prescience is an essential attribute of Deity. Prescience makes the

events foreknown, certain; but if certain, they must be necessary. And

on the other hand, if the events were not certain, they could not be

foreknown,--for that which is uncertain cannot be the object of positive

and infallible knowledge; but if they are certain in order to be

foreknown, then they must be necessary.

Again: contingence, as implying no cause, puts all future events

supposed to come under it, out of all possible connexion with anything

preceding and now actually existent, and consequently allows of no basis

upon which they can be calculated and foreseen. Contingence, also, as

opposed to necessity, destroys certainty, and excludes the possibility

even of divine prescience. This is the course of Edwards's reasoning.

Now if we have reconciled contingence with both cause and certainty, and

have opposed it only to necessity, thus separating cause and certainty

from the absolute and unvarying dominion of necessity, then this

reasoning is truly and legitimately set aside.

Necessity lies only in the eternal reason, and the sensitivity connected

with it:--contingency lies only in will. But the future acts of will can

be calculated from its known union with, and self-subjection to the

reason and sensitivity.

These calculations are more or less probable, or are certain according

to the known character of the person who is the subject of these

calculations.

Of God we do not affirm merely the power of calculating future

contingent events upon known data, but a positive prescience of all

events. He sees from the beginning how contingent causes or wills, will

act. He sees with absolute infallibility and certainty--and the events

to him are infallible and certain. But still they are not necessary,

because the causes which produce them are not determined and

necessitated by anything preceding. They are causes contingent and free,

and conscious of power not to do what they are actually engaged in

doing.

A Review of Edwards's "Inquiry into the Freedom of the Will" · 第 13 / 15 段