More unreasonable yet is Dr. Carus’s pretension, that the manifold

specificalness, which is what I mean by chance, is capable of explanation

(¶¶ 142, 143) by his own philosophic method. He may explain one

particularity by another, of course; but to explain specificalness

itself, would be to show that a specific predicate is a necessary

consequence of a generic one, or that a whole is without ambiguity a

part of its part. Remark, reader, at this point, that chance, whether

it be absolute or not, is not the mere creature of our ignorance. It

is that diversity and variety of things and events which law does not

prevent. Such is that real chance upon which the kinetical theory of

gases, and the doctrines of political economy, depend. To say that it is

not absolute is to say that it,—this diversity, this specificalness,—can

be explained as a consequence of law. But this, as we have seen, is

logically absurd.

Dr. Carus admits that absolute chance is “not unimaginable” (¶ 150).

Chance itself pours in at every avenue of sense: it is of all, things

the most obtrusive. That it is absolute, is the most manifest of all

intellectual perceptions. That it is a being, living and conscious, is

what all the dullness that belongs to ratiocination’s self can scarce

muster hardihood to deny.

Almost as unthinking is the objection (¶ 61) that absolute chance could

never beget order. I have noticed elsewhere the historic oblivescence

of this objection. Must I once again repeat that the tendency to take

habits, being itself a habit, has _eo ipso_ a tendency to grow; so that

only a slightest germ is needed? A realist, such as I am, can find

no difficulty in the production of that first infinitesimal germ of

habit-taking by chance, provided he thinks chance could act at all. This

seems, at first blush, to be explaining something as a chance-result. But

exact analysis will show it is not so.

In like manner, when the eminent thinker who does me the honor to notice

my speculation, objects that I do not, after all, escape making law

absolute, since the tendency to take habits which I propose to make

universal is itself a law, I confess I can find only words without ideas

in the objection. Law is a word found convenient, I grant, in describing

that tendency; but is there no difference between a law the essence

of which is to be inviolable (which is the nominalistic conception of

mechanical law, whose being, they say, lies in its action) and that

mental law the violation of which is so included in its essence that

unless it were violated it would cease to exist? In my essay, “The Law

of Mind,” I have so described that law. In so describing it, I make it a

law, but not an absolute law; and thus I clearly escape the contradiction

attributed to me.

§ 26. In my attack on “The Doctrine of Necessity,” I offered four

positive arguments for believing in real chance. They were as follows:

1. The general prevalence of growth, which seems to be opposed to the

conservation of energy.

2. The variety of the universe, which is chance, and is manifestly

inexplicable.

3. Law, which requires to be explained, and like everything which is to

be explained must be explained by something else, that is, by non-law or

real chance.

4. Feeling, for which room cannot be found if the conservation of energy

is maintained.

In a brief conversation I had with him, my friend remarked (and it was an

inconsiderate concession, I certainly do not wish to hold him to it) that

while the theory of tychism had some attractive features, its weakness

consisted in the absence of any positive reasons in its favor. I infer

from this that I did not properly state the above four arguments. I

therefore desire once more to call attention to them, especially in their

relations to one another.

Mathematicians are familiar with the theorem that if a system of

particles is subject only to positional forces, it is such that if at any

instant the velocities were all suddenly reversed, without being altered

in quantity, the whole previous history of the system would be repeated

in inverse succession. Hence, when physicists find themselves confronted

with a phenomenon which takes place only in one order of succession

and never in the reverse order,—of which no better illustration could

be found than the phenomena of growth, for nobody ever heard of an

animal growing back into an egg,—they always take refuge in the laws of

probability as preventive of the velocities ever getting so reversed.

To understand my argument number 1, it is necessary to make this method

of escape from apparent violations of the law of energy quite familiar

to oneself. For example, according to the law of energy, it seems to

follow (and by the aid of the accepted theory of light it does follow)

that if a prism, or a grating, disperses white light into a spectrum,

then the colors of the spectrum falling upon the prism or grating

at the same angles, and in the same proportions, will be recombined

into white light; and, everybody knows that this does in fact happen.

Nevertheless, the usual and prevalent effect of prisms and gratings is to

produce colored spectra. Why? Evidently, because, by the principles of

probability, it will rarely happen that colored lights converging from

different directions will fall at just the right angles and in just the

right proportions to be recombined into white light. So, when physicists

meet with the phenomena of frictional and viscous resistance to a body

in motion, although, according to their doctrine, if the molecules were

to move with the same velocities in opposite directions the moving body

would be accelerated, yet they say that the laws of probability, applied

to the trillions of molecules concerned, render this practically certain

not to occur. I do no more, then, than follow the usual method of the

physicists, in calling in chance to explain the apparent violation of

the law of energy which is presented by the phenomena of growth: only

instead of chance as they understand it, I call in absolute chance. For

many months, I endeavored to satisfy the data of the case with ordinary

_quasi_ chance; but it would not do. I believe that in a broad view of

the universe, a simulation of a given elementary mode of action can

hardly be explained except by supposing the genuine mode of action

somewhere has place. If it is improbable that colored lights should

fall together in just such a way as to give a white ray, is it not an

equally extraordinary thing that they should all be generated in such

a way as to produce a white ray? If it is incredible that trillions of

molecules in a fluid should strike a solid body moving through it so as

to accelerate it, is it not marvellous that trillions of trillions of

molecules all alike should ever have got so segregated as to create a

state of things in which they should be practically certain to retard

the body? It is far from easy to understand how mere positional forces

could ever have brought about those vast congregations of similar atoms

which we suppose to exist in every mass of gas, and by which we account

for the apparent violations of the law of energy in the phenomena of the

viscosity of the gas. There is no difficulty in seeing how sulphuric acid

acting on marble may produce an aggregation of molecules of carbonic

anhydride, because there are similar aggregations in the acid and in

the marble, but how were such aggregations brought about in the first

place? I will not go so far as to say that such a result is manifestly

impossible with positional forces alone; but I do say that we cannot

help suspecting that the simulated violation of the law of energy has a

real violation of the same law as its ultimate explanation. Now, growth

_appears_ to violate the law of energy. To explain it, we must, at least,

suppose a simulated, or _quasi_, chance, such as Darwin calls in to

produce his fortuitous variations from strict heredity. It may be there

is no real violation of the law, and no real chance; but even if there

be nothing of the sort in the immediate phenomenon, can the conditions

upon which the phenomenon depends have been brought about except by real

chance? It is conceivable, again, that the law of the conservation of

forces is not strictly accurate, and that, nevertheless, there is no

absolute chance. But I think so much has been done to put the law of the

conservation of forces upon the level of the other mechanical laws, that

when one is led to entertain a serious doubt of the exactitude of that,

one will be inclined to question the others.

Besides, few psychologists will deny the very intimate connection which

seems to subsist between the law, or _quasi_-law, of growth and the

law of habit, which is the principal, if not (as I hold it to be) the

sole, law of mental action. Now, this law of habit seems to be quite

radically different in its general form from mechanical law, inasmuch as

it would at once cease to operate if it were rigidly obeyed; since in

that case all habits would at once become so fixed as to give room for no

further formation of habits. In this point of view, then, growth seems to

indicate a positive violation of law.

Let us now consider argument number 3: and remark how it fortifies number

1. Physical laws that appear to be radically different yet present some

striking analogies. Electrical force appears to be polar. Its polarity is

explained away by Franklin’s one-fluid theory, but in that view the force

is a repulsion. Now, gravitation is an attraction, and is, therefore,

essentially different from electricity. Yet both vary inversely as the

square of this distance. Radiation, likewise follows the same formula.

In this last case, the formula, in one aspect of it, follows from the

conservation of energy. In another aspect of it, it results from the

principle of probability, and does not hold good, in a certain sense,

when the light is concentrated by a lens free from spherical aberration.

But neither the conservation of energy nor the principle of probability

seems to afford any possible explanation of the application of this

theory to gravitation nor to electricity. How, then, are such analogies

to be explained? The law of the conservation of energy and that of the

perduration of matter present so striking an analogy that it has blinded

some powerful intellects to their radically different nature. The law

of action and reaction, again, has often been stated as the law of the

conservation of momentum. Yet it is not only an independent law, but is

even of a contrary nature, inasmuch as it is only the algebraical sum of

opposite momenta that is “conserved.”[123] How is this striking analogy

between three fundamental laws to be explained? Consider the still more

obvious analogy between space and time. Newton argues that the laws of

mechanics prove space and time to be absolute entities. Leibniz, on

the other hand, takes them as laws of nature. Either view calls for an

explanation of the analogy between them, which no such reflection as

the impossibility of motion without that analogy can supply. Kant’s

theory seems to hint at the possibility of an explanation from both

being derived from the nature of the same mind. Any three orthogonal

directions[124] in space are exactly alike, yet are dynamically

independent.

These things call for explanation; yet no explanation of them can be

given, if the laws are fundamentally original and absolute.

Moreover, law itself calls for explanation. But how is it to be explained

if it is as fundamentally original and absolute as it is commonly

supposed to be? Yet if it is not so absolute, there is such a phenomenon

as absolute chance.

Thus, the chance which growth calls for is now seen to be absolute, not

_quasi_ chance.

Now consider argument number 2. The variety of the universe so far as

it consists of unlikenesses between things calls for no explanation.

But so far as it is a general character, it ought to be explained. The

manifold diversity or specificalness, in general, which we see whenever

and wherever we open our eyes, constitutes its liveliness, or vivacity.

The perception of it is a direct, though darkling, perception of God.

Further explanation in that direction is uncalled for. But the question

is, whether this manifold specificalness was put into the universe at the

outset, whether God created the universe in the infinitely distant past

and has left it to its own machinery ever since, or whether there is an

incessant influx of specificalness. Some of us are evolutionists; that

is, we are so impressed with the pervasiveness of growth, whose course

seems only here and there to be interrupted, that it seems to us that

the universe as a whole, so far as anything can possibly be conceived or

logically opined of the whole, should be conceived as growing. But others

say, though parts of the universe simulate growth at intervals, yet there

really is no growth on the whole,—no passage from a simpler to a more

complex state of things, no increasing diversity.

Now, my argument is that, according to the principles of logic, we

never have a right to conclude that anything is absolutely inexplicable

or unaccountable. For such a conclusion goes beyond what can be

directly observed, and we have no right to conclude what goes beyond

what we observe, except so far as it explains or accounts for what we

observe. But it is no explanation or account of a fact to pronounce it

inexplicable or unaccountable, or to pronounce any other fact so. Now,

to say no process of diversification takes place in nature leaves the

infinite diversity of nature unaccounted for; while to say the diversity

is the result of a general tendency to diversification is a perfectly

logical probable inference. Suppose there be a general tendency to

diversification; what would be the consequence? Evidently, a high degree

of diversity. But this is just what we find in nature. It does not answer

the purpose to say there is diversity because God made it so, for we

cannot tell what God would do, nor penetrate his counsels. We see what

He _does_ do, and nothing more. For the same reason one cannot logically

infer the existence of God; one can only know Him by direct perception.

It is to be noted that a general tendency to diversification does not

explain diversity in its specific characters; nor is this called for.

Neither can such a tendency explain any specific fact. Any attempt to

make use of the principle in that manner would be utterly illogical. But

it can be used to explain universal facts, just as quasi-chance is used

to explain statistical facts. Now, the diversity of nature is a universal

fact.

To explain diversity is to go behind the chaos, to the original

undiversified nothing. Diversificacity was the first germ.

Argument No. 4 was, upon its negative side, sufficiently well presented

in my “Doctrine of Necessity Examined.” Mechanical causation, if

absolute, leaves nothing for consciousness to do in the world of matter;

and if the world of mind is merely a transcript of that of matter, there

is nothing for consciousness to do even in the mental realm. The account

of matters would be better, if it could be left out of account. But the

positive part of the argument, showing what can be done to reinstate

consciousness as a factor of the universe when once tychism is admitted,

is reinforced in the later papers. This ought to commend itself to Dr.

Carus, who shows himself fully alive to the importance of that part of

the task of science which consists in bridging gaps. But consciousness,

for the reason just stated, is not to be so reinstated without tychism;

nor can the work be accomplished by assigning to the mind an occult

power, as in two theories to be considered in the section following

this. As might be anticipated, (and a presumption of this kind is rarely

falsified in metaphysics,) to bridge the gap synechism is required.

Supposing matter to be but mind under the slavery of inveterate habit,

the law of mind still applies to it. According to that law, consciousness

subsides as habit becomes established, and is excited again at the

breaking up of habit. But the highest quality of mind involves a great

readiness to take habits, and a great readiness to lose them; and this

implies a degree of feeling neither very intense nor very feeble.

I have noticed above (§ 7) Dr. Carus’s dubious attitude toward the first

argument. I considered in the last section his attempted reply to the

second. To the third argument, he replies (¶ 65) that law ought to be

accounted for by the principle of sufficient reason. But, of course, that

principle cannot recommend itself to me, a realist; for it is nothing

but the lame attempt of a nominalist to wriggle out of his difficulties.

Reasons explain nothing, except upon some theistic hypothesis which may

be pardoned to the yearning heart of man, but which must appear doubtful

in the eyes of philosophy, since it comes to this, that Tom, Dick, and

Harry are competent to pry into the counsels of the Most High, and can

invite in their cousins and sweethearts and sweethearts’ cousins to look

over the original designs of the Ancient of Days.

§ 27. My fourth argument it is which seems to have made most impression

upon Dr. Carus’s mind (¶ 85), and his reply is rather elaborate.

While embracing unequivocally the necessitarian dogma, equally for

mind and for matter (¶ 193), Dr. Carus wishes utterly to repudiate

materialism and the mechanical philosophy (¶ 133). To facilitate his,

thus, walking the slack-rope, he makes (¶ 168) a division of events into

“(1) mechanical, (2) physical, (3) chemical, (4) physiological, and (5)

psychical events.” The first three (¶¶ 169-171) are merely distinguished

by the magnitude of the moving masses, so that, for philosophical

purposes, they do not differ at all. As for physiological events, though

he devotes a paragraph (¶ 172) to their definition, he utterly fails

to distinguish them from the mechanical (including the physical and

chemical) on the one hand, or from the psychical on the other. Dr. Carus

seems to think (¶ 176) that by this division he has separated himself

entirely from the materialists; but this is an illusion, for nobody

denies the existence of feelings.

The truth is, he distinctly enrolls himself in the mechanical army when

he asserts that mental laws are of the same necessitarian character

as mechanical laws (¶ 193). The only question that remains as to his

position is whether he is a materialist or not. He instances (¶ 185)

the case of a general receiving a written dispatch and being stimulated

into great activity by its perusal, and causing great motions to be

made and missiles to be sped in consequence. Now, the dilemma is this.

Will Dr. Carus, on the one hand, say that the motion of those missiles

was determined by mechanical laws alone, in which case, it would only

be necessary to state all the positions and velocities of particles

concerned, a hundred years before, to determine just how those bullets

would move and, consequently, whether the guns were to be fired or not,

and this would constitute him a materialist, or will he say that the laws

of motion do not suffice to determine motions of matter, in which case,

since they formally certainly do so suffice, they must be _violated_, and

he will be giving to mind a direct dynamical power which is open to every

objection that can be urged against tychism?

Now admire the decision with which he cuts the Gordian knot!

“THERE ARE NO PURELY MECHANICAL PHENOMENA.” (¶ 175.)

That is,

“_The laws of motion ARE applicable to and will explain all

motions_.” (¶ 177.)

But hold!

“The mechanical philosopher ... feels warranted in the hope

that ... the actions of man ... can be explained by the laws of

motion .... We may anticipate that this conclusion will prove

ERRONEOUS. _And so it is._” (¶ 176.)

At the same time,

“NO OBJECTION CAN BE MADE _to the possibility of explaining the

delicate motions in the nervous substance of the brain by the

laws of molar or molecular mechanics_.” (¶ 178.)

Yet,

“_The simplest_ psychical reflexes, including those

_physiological reflexes_ which we must suppose to have

originated by conscious adaptation ... CANNOT _be explained

from mechanical_ or physical _laws_ alone.” (¶ 186.)

However,

“_We do NOT say that there are motions_ ... in the brain ...

_which form exceptions to the laws of mechanics_.” (¶ 187.)

Nevertheless,

“The brain-atoms are possessed of the same spontaneity as

the atoms of a gravitating stone. Yet there is present an

additional feature; there are present states of awareness....

Neither states of awareness nor their meanings can be weighed

on any scales, be they ever so delicate, nor are they

determinable in foot-pounds.” (¶ 192.)

Clearness is the first merit of a philosopher; and what ¶ 192 comes

to is crystal-clear. Dr. Carus wants to have the three laws of motion

always obeyed; but he wishes the forces between the molecules to be

varied according to the momentary states of awareness. All right: he

is entitled to suppose whatever he likes, so long as the supposition

is self-consistent, as this supposition is. It conflicts with the law

of energy, it is true; for that law is that the forces depend on the

situations of the particles alone, and not on the time. It is liable

to give rise to perpetual motion. It was intended, no doubt, to be an

improvement on my molecular theory of protoplasm, earlier in the same

number. It escapes materialism. It supposes a direct dynamical action

between mind and matter, such as has not been supposed by any eminent

philosopher that I know of for centuries. I am sorry to say that it shows

a dangerous leaning toward originality. The argument for thus rejecting

the law of the conservation of energy, I leave to others to be weighed.

It seems to suppose a much larger falsification of that law than my

doctrine; but it is a pretty clever attempt to escape my conclusions. It

rejects what has to be rejected, the law of the conservation of energy;

and is far more intelligent than the theory of those (like Oliver and

Lodge) who wish to give to mind a power of deflecting atoms, which would

satisfy the conservation of energy while violating the law of action

and reaction. If it can have due consideration, I doubt not it will

accelerate the acceptance of my views. Meantime, I do not see where that

“inextricable confusion” into which I was to be led is to come in. (¶ 4.)

§ 28. Little more requires to be noticed in Dr. Carus’s articles. He

admits (¶ 2) that indeterminism is the more natural belief, which is no

slight argument in its favor.

§ 29. The remarks upon the theological bearings of the theories, if they

are found somewhat wide of the mark, are explained by the haste of the

editor to show just what all the affiliations of my views were, before

I had had time to explain what those views are. The remarks to which I

refer will be found in ¶¶ 3, 36, 81, 82, 83, 128, 203, 204. They are

worth putting together.

§ 30. The doctrine of symbolism, to which Dr. Carus has recourse,

seems to be similar to that of my essay “Some Consequences of Four

Incapacities” (_Journal of Speculative Philosophy_, II.) (¶¶ 180, 183,

199.) On this head, I can only approve of his ideas.

§ 31. It is true that I wrote many definitions for one of the

“encyclopedic lexicons.” But they were necessarily rather vaguely

expressed, in order to include the popular use of terms, and in some

cases were modified by proof-readers or editors; and for reasons not

needful here to explain, they are hardly such as I should give in a

Philosophical Dictionary proper.

C. S. PEIRCE.

FOOTNOTES:

[101] J. S. Mill had in the first edition of his _Logic_ decisively taken

an objective conception of chance and probability; but in his second

edition he had become puzzled and had retracted, leaving that chapter,

and with it his whole logic, a melancholy wreck, over which the qualified

reader sighs, “And this once seemed intelligible!” Venn in the first

edition of his book set forth the same objective conception with great

clearness, and for that he was entitled to high praise, notwithstanding

his manifest inadequacy to the problems treated. But in his second

edition, he too has fallen away from his first and correct view, and has

adopted a theory which I shall some day show to be untenable. Venn’s

whole method in logic, as well as his system, is in my opinion of the

weakest.

[102] Mill often did good service in substituting precise terms for

ambiguous ones; as when in speaking of mathematical conclusions he

prefers to say they are legitimate deductions rather than that they are

necessary.

[103] In his _Ursache, Grund and Zweck_, Dr. Carus alludes to this

passage. But he prefers the treatment of the question by Reid, whom he

calls Mill’s opponent (_Gegner_).

[104] It is of comparatively little consequence what Hume really meant.

The main interest is in what Kant thought he meant.

The Monist, Vol. 3, 1892-1893 · 第 56 / 65 段