CHAPTER XI

THE INTELLECTUALS AND THE WAR

Mention has already been made that a large number of Germany's war books

has emanated from the universities. Not the least important of these

efforts is "Deutschland und der Weltkrieg" ("Germany and the World

War.")[187] Twenty well-known university professors have contributed to

the work; the fact being emphasized that special facilities have been

accorded to them by the German foreign office. For British readers the

chapters by Professors Marcks and Oncken are the most interesting, viz.,

"England's Policy of Might" by the former, and "Events leading up to the

War" and "The Outbreak of War" by the latter. They take up a fifth of

the 686 pages of which the entire work consists.

[Footnote 187: "Deutschland und der Weltkrieg," herausgegeben von Otto

Hintze, Friedrich Meinecke, Hermann Oncken und Hermann Schumacher.

Leipzig und Berlin, 1915.]

The purpose of Professor Marcks' essay is to prove on historical and

scientific lines the lessons which have been taught in German schools

for nearly half a century, _i.e._, England is an astute but ruthless

robber who respects no right, and no nation which stands in her way.

"England's modern history begins with the Tudors and her world policy

with Elizabeth. First of all, England had to liberate herself,

economically and politically, from a position of dependence on the other

Powers; then she took up her particular attitude to the world. Her

separation from the Roman Catholic Church was exceedingly rich in

consequences; this step assigned to her a peculiar place in the camp of

the nations, and exercised a deep influence upon her intellectual

development. It gave her an impetus towards internal and external

independence.

"But the determining factor for England's future was her insular

position; this has been the case from the time Europe entered the

ocean-period. Since the year 1600 England, by her commerce and politics,

has influenced Europe from without, while she has maintained for herself

a position of independence, and directed her energies across the ocean

into the wide world. Successively she seized upon the Baltic, North Sea,

and Atlantic Ocean; gradually she became the merchant and shipbuilder

for most of the European nations.

"The sea has given her everything--independence, security and

prosperity--both in treasure and lands. The sea protected her and spared

her the unpleasantness of mighty neighbours. It was the ocean which

permitted free development to her internal life, parliament, government

and administration, and saved her from the continental form of

Government--a strong, armed monarchy.

"The sea has allowed the English to develop, undisturbed, the

peculiarities of their race--personal energy, trained by contact with

the ocean; personal freedom, favoured but not oppressed by the living

organism of the State. The sea afforded them liberty of action in every

direction without fear of attack from behind. Freed from the chains

which bound Europe, England went out into the wide world.

"Yet she remained constantly associated with the continent, not only

because Europe was her field of action. English statesmen have always

seized upon every opportunity to influence European policy; at first

this was from motives of defence, but afterwards from an ever-increasing

spirit of aggression. The balance of power on the continent has always

been one of the premises for England's security and existence.

"She is indebted to her insular position for the supreme advantage of

being able to exercise her influence in Europe without allowing her

forces to be tied to the continent; European countries were bound by

their own conflicts and differences, enabling England to exert her

influence upon them without active participation. England has become

thoroughly accustomed to a state of affairs under which she has no

neighbours and never permits any--not even on the sea. She has come to

consider this her God-given prerogative.

"The barriers of geographical position which hampered other lands,

nature did not impose upon England; the security afforded by her girdle

of waves seemed as it were to impel her to strike out into the

unbounded, and to look upon every obstacle as a wrong. There is a thread

of daring lawlessness running through all England's world-struggles,

through all periods of her history, right down to the present day.

"When England speaks of humanity she means herself; her cosmopolitan

utterances refer to her own nationality. She forgets too easily that

other nations have arisen on the earth who esteem their own

distinguishing traits and are inspired by the ardent desire to uphold

their own institutions, forms of Government and culture. England

believes all too easily that the world's map should be all one colour.

But the soul of the modern world demands variety."[188]

[Footnote 188: Ibid., 297 _et seq_.]

There is no important objection to raise against Professor Marcks'

statement of English history and Britain's favoured position on the

surface of the globe. Germany did not choose her own geographical

situation in the world--it is hers by nature and the right of historical

succession. Britain has never envied her or endeavoured to deprive her

of the advantages consequent upon her "place in the sun."

Neither did the British select their island home; destiny and history

were again the determining factors. But it would be a travesty of the

truth to assert that Germany has not envied her that position, together

with the advantages arising from it. Yet in the same degree as the

inhabitants of these islands have used the "talents" entrusted to them

through their favourable position, Germany's jealousy seems to have

become more bitterly angry. By right of birth and national necessity

Germany demands the domination of the Rhine, but she fails to recognize

that right of birth and the demands of national existence compel Britain

to claim the domination of the seas.

The remainder of Professor Marcks' essay is devoted to proving that "the

freedom of our world requires that it shall not be so in future."

Whatever motives actuated Germany in precipitating the war, this much is

now evident--it is her supreme desire and the aim of her highest

endeavour to destroy Britain's favoured situation and every advantage

accruing to her from it.

To-day the issue is clear and simple for Germany--the annihilation of

British power and influence in the world. Literally hundreds of German

war books echo that cry, and, above all else, it is the hope of

attaining this aim which has aroused the bitterest war fury in the

entire German nation--man, woman and child. Reduced to first principles,

this difference of geographical position and the varying advantages

arising therefrom are the prime causes--if not _the_ cause--of the

present world-struggle.

It was solely the fear of perpetuating British supremacy[189] which has

led Germany consistently to reject the extended hand of friendship.

Standing side by side with Great Britain, either in friendship or

alliance, Germany would have given her approval to Britain's historical

position in the world. When this country departed from the policy of

"splendid isolation" repeated attempts were made to establish more

intimate relations with Germany (1898-1902).

[Footnote 189: Graf Ernst zu Reventlow: "Der Vampir des Festlandes

("England, the Vampire of the Continent"). Berlin, 1915, p. 117.

"England's withdrawal from the policy which sought to establish a mutual

plan of procedure in world politics between Germany and Britain dates

from the time when Britain recognized that Germany would not allow

herself to be employed against Russia. In Germany to-day, voices may be

heard proclaiming that von Bülow chose wrongly in refusing England's

offer, especially as Russia has repaid our loyalty and friendship with

iniquitous ingratitude. The latter represents the truth.

"But in judging the policy of that period two factors must be borne in

mind. The acceptance of Great Britain's offer would have placed a tie

upon the German Empire which would have been unendurable. Germany would

have become the strong but stupid Power, whose duty would have been to

fight British battles on the continent. Besides which the choice

concerned Germany's world future, above all the development of the

German war fleet."]

But as Professor Marcks (p. 315) observes: "Germany refused the hand

extended to her." Count Reventlow and a host of other writers have

chronicled the fact too, yet on September 2nd, 1914, the German

Chancellor dared to say to representative American journalists: "When

the archives are opened then the world will learn how often Germany has

offered the hand of friendship to England."

It is only one more confirmation that the "law of necessity" is

incompatible with the truth. The truth is that Germany preferred to

drive Britain into another and hostile camp rather than have her

friendship. Germany preferred British hostility rather than relinquish

her plans for unlimited naval expansion--which she believed to be the

only means of destroying Britain's position, and with that resolution

already taken the Kaiser presented his photograph to a distinguished

Englishman with this significant remark written on it with his own hand:

"I bide my time!"

Although Britain drew the sword to defend Belgium, the supreme

issue--and the only one which occupies the German mind to-day--is

whether this country shall continue to hold the position allotted to her

by destiny and confirmed by history, or whether she is to be supplanted

by Germany. That is the one political thought which permeates German

intelligence at this moment, and no other considerations must be allowed

to darken this issue.

Professor Oncken reviews the events of the period 1900-1914 in

considerable detail, and to him the policy of _ententes_ appears to be

the main cause leading up to the world war. From this alone it is

obvious that, consciously or unconsciously, he is wrong; the _ententes_

in themselves are results, not prime causes. The prime causes leading to

these political agreements are to be found in Germany's attitude to the

rest of Europe. In a word they were defensive actions taken by the

Powers concerned, as a precaution against German aggression.

German aggression consisted in committing herself to unlimited

armaments, cherishing the irreconcilable determination to be the

strongest European power. According to her doctrine of might, everything

can be attained by the mightiest. British advances she answered with

battleships, simultaneously provoking France and Russia by increasing

her army corps. The balance of power in Europe, Germany declares to be

an out-of-date British fad, invented solely in the interests of these

islands.

In secret Germany has long been an apostate to the balance-of-power

theory; the war has caused her to drop the mask, and it was without

doubt her resolve never to submit to the chains of the balance in

Europe, which forced three other States to waive their differences and

form the Triple Entente. Simply stated this is cause and result. But

Professor Oncken maintains--and in doing so he voices German national

opinion--that the entire _entente_ policy was a huge scheme to bring

about Germany's downfall.

He goes further and proclaims that the Hague Conference (1907) was a

British trick to place the guilt of armaments on Germany's shoulders.

"England filled the world with disarmament projects so that afterwards,

full of unction, she could denounce Germany as the disturber of the

peace. At that time the Imperial Chancellor answered justly: 'Pressure

cannot be brought to bear on Germany, not even moral pressure!'"[190]

And in that sentence German obstinacy and sullen irreconcilability is

most admirably expressed.

[Footnote 190: "Deutschland und der Weltkrieg," p. 495.]

Having seen that Professor Oncken has failed to recognize the prime

causes which provoked the _entente_ policy, it is not surprising to find

him equally in error when discussing the diplomatic clashes between the

rival camps. The professor calls them _Machtproben_ ("tests of power");

but how he can dare to state that these diplomatic trials of strength

were engineered by Great Britain--remains his own secret.

"King Edward's meeting with the Czar at Reval in June, 1908, was

followed by a far-reaching Macedonian reform programme, the commencement

of the division of European Turkey. What Britain had failed to induce

Germany to help her in executing, was to be attained with the sword's

point directed against Germany. And Britain proceeded in cold blood to

conjure up an era of might-struggles, which, in the island language, is

called preserving the balance of power."[191]

[Footnote 191: Ibid., p. 297.]

The trials of strength recounted by Oncken are the Bosnian crisis, the

Morocco question, and the Austro-Serbian quarrel which led to the

present war. It seems banal to have to point out that Bosnia was

unlawfully annexed by Germany's vassal--Austria; that Germany, herself,

brought Europe to the verge of war by sending the _Panther_ to Agadir;

and that the final catastrophic _Machtprobe_ was likewise provoked by

Germany's eastern vassal.

For good or evil Germany has been convinced for nearly two decades that

the balance of power in Europe was an obstacle to her world future.

Furthermore, she believed that the balance imposed fetters upon her

which only mighty armaments could break. All Germany's energies in the

domain of diplomacy have been set in motion to make the balance of power

a mere figment of the imagination.

In pursuing this end it has suited her purpose to declare all attempts

at maintaining the outward appearances of equality between the Powers of

Europe to be Machiavellian schemes against her existence; or to cite the

Kaiser's own words, "to deprive Germany of her place in the sun."

Britain's _entente_ policy was the only one calculated to preserve our

own existence, and to restrain Germany from establishing a hegemony in

Europe. She was completely convinced that the domination of Europe

belonged to her by right of mental, moral and military superiority over

her neighbours. Not in vain have Germany's educational institutions

inculcated the belief in her population that the British Empire is an

effete monstrosity with feet of clay; France a rotten, decaying empire,

and Russia a barbarian Power with no new _Kultur_ to offer Europe except

the knout.

Inspired by such conceptions, together with an astoundingly exaggerated

idea of Germany's peerlessness in order, discipline, obedience,

morality, genius and other ethical values, as well as an unshaken belief

in Germany's invincibility by land and sea--the entire nation, from

Kaiser to cobbler, has long since held that by right of these

virtues--by right of her absolute superiority over all other

nations--Germany could and must claim other rights and powers than those

which fell to her under an antiquated balance of European power.

In few words that is the gospel of _Deutschland, Deutschland, über

alles_. These are the motives which inspired Germany's naval expansion

and forbade her to accept a compromise. The same ideals led to her

endeavours to shatter the _ententes_, and it is alone the general

acceptance of this gospel, which explains the remarkable unanimity with

which the German nation has stood behind the Kaiser's Government in each

trial of strength. They have learned to consider all attempts of the

lesser peoples (Britain, France and Russia included) to maintain

themselves against the Teutonic onset as impudent attacks on sacred

Germany, which also illuminates the fact that Germans call the present

struggle--"Germany's holy, sacred war."

German statesmen were quite clear as to the national course at least

fifteen years ago. Hence they have persistently pursued a policy of no

compromise and no agreements. A compromise recognizes and perpetuates,

in part at least, the very thing which stands in the way. An agreement

with Britain in regard to naval armaments would have perpetuated British

naval supremacy, as well as recognized its necessity. Likewise an

agreement, or the shadow of an understanding with France on the question

of Alsace-Lorraine would have been a recognition of French claims. Hence

on these two questions--which are merely given as examples illustrative

of German mentality--every attempt at an agreement has been a failure.

A cardinal point in Germany's programme has been the consistent manner

in which she has tried to separate her European neighbours from Britain

in order to deal with them separately or alone. That her endeavours

ended in failure is due to the instinct of self-preservation which has

drawn Germany's opponents closer together, in exact proportion to the

increasing force of her efforts. Both in peace and war, Germany desired

and endeavoured to switch off Britain's influence in Europe.

The diplomatic battles of 1905, 1908 and 1911 were a few of the efforts

to dislodge Great Britain from her _ententes_, while her repeated

attempts to buy this country's neutrality, down to the eve of war, are

proof that Germany wanted a free hand in Europe.[192] If she had

succeeded in her purpose, it is exceedingly doubtful whether any Power

could have prevented her from exercising a free hand in the whole world.

[Footnote 192: Professor Schiemann: "Wie England eine Verständigung mit

Deutschland verhinderte" ("How England prevented an Understanding with

Germany"). Berlin, 1915; pp. 20-21: "From the very commencement Berlin

was convinced that the probability of a combined Franco-Russian attack

was exceedingly small, if England's entrance to this Germanophobe

combination could be prevented. Therefore we endeavoured to secure

England's neutrality in case of war (1909), that is, if an Anglo-German

alliance could not be achieved--an alliance which would have guaranteed

the world's peace." (Schiemann's insinuation that Germany desired an

alliance is an instance of _suggestio falsi_. Germany had decided in

1902 never to conclude an alliance with this country.--Author.)]

Coming down to the last trial of diplomatic power, we are confronted by

the immovable fact, that it too was a challenge on the part of the

Central Empires. The conditions seemed peculiarly favourable to them,

for the British Ambassador declared to the Russian Government on July

24th, 1914, that Britain would never draw the sword on a purely Serbian

question. Moreover, in the preceding year, a British minister, says

Professor Schiemann, had given what we may style a remarkable

semi-official promise that Great Britain would never go to war with

Germany.

"On February 18th, 1913, Mr. Charles Trevelyan, M.P., paid me a visit,

and assured me with the greatest certainty that England would under no

circumstances wage war on Germany. A ministry which made preparations

for war, would be immediately overthrown."[193]

[Footnote 193: Ibid., p. 27. In the light of this revelation it would be

interesting to know what was the real motive which induced Mr. Trevelyan

to resign his office when war broke out. Either he was conscious of

having seriously compromised his position as a Minister of the Crown, or

he conscientiously believed that Britain was drawing the sword in an

unjust cause. Unfortunately a section of the British public accepted the

latter interpretation. In any case, Mr. Trevelyan's indiscretion affords

overwhelming proof that he had an utterly false conception of

Germany.--Author.]

Professor Schiemann affirms that his good impression was strengthened by

a visit to London during March and April, 1914, and reports a

conversation which he had with Lord Haldane when dining privately with

the latter in London. After returning to Berlin, he says he received a

letter from Lord Haldane dated April 17th, 1914, but from Schiemann's

quotation it is not evident whether the following is an extract or the

entire letter:

"It was a great pleasure to see you and to have had the full and

unreserved talk we had together. My ambition is like yours, to bring

Germany and Great Britain into relations of ever-closer intimacy and

friendship. Our two countries have a common work to do for the world as

well as for themselves, and each of them can bring to bear on this work

special endowments and qualities. May the co-operation which I believe

is now beginning become closer and closer.[194]

[Footnote 194: Lord Haldane has stated during the war that his visit to

Berlin in 1912 had filled his mind with doubt and suspicion in regard to

Germany.--Author.]

"Of this I am sure, the more wide and unselfish the nations and the

groups questions make her supreme purposes of their policies, the more

will frictions disappear, and the sooner will the relations that are

normal and healthy reappear.[195] Something of this good work has now

come into existence between our two peoples. We must see to it that the

chance of growth is given."[196]

[Footnote 195: A word or phrase appears to have been dropped in this

sentence.--Author.]

[Footnote 196: Professor Schiemann's book, pp. 27-8.]

It is not difficult to conceive that such utterances, on the part of two

British ministers, would raise hopes in the German mind, for it would be

useless to imagine that Professor Schiemann would keep them secret for

his own private edification. And it is possible that they led the German

Government into a false reckoning as to what this country would do under

certain circumstances, and so encouraged Germany into taking up an

irreconcilable attitude in the crisis of July, 1914.

Whatever Germany expected must, however, for the present, remain a

matter of conjecture. Schiemann's comment on the above letter leaves no

doubt that he expected Lord Haldane[197] to resign. "When one remembers

that Lord Haldane belonged to the inner circle of the Cabinet, and was

therefore privy to all the secret moves of Sir Edward Grey, it is hard

to believe in the sincerity of the sentiments expressed in this letter.

Besides, he did not resign like three other members of the Cabinet (Lord

Morley, Burns and Charles Trevelyan) when Sir Edward's foul play lay

open to the world on August 4th."

[Footnote 197: Lord Haldane seems to have injured his reputation both in

Great Britain and Germany. Professor Oncken designates him: "the

one-time friend of Germany, the decoy-bird of the British cabinet."

_Vide_ "Deutschland und der Weltkrieg," p. 561.]

The most regrettable side of the whole incident is that the resignation

of the above gentlemen has been proclaimed by innumerable German writers

as proof of Sir Edward Grey's double dealing, and proof that Britain is

waging an unjust war. Still, it may console these gentlemen to know that

the nation which wages war on women and children acclaims them to-day

"all honourable men," and doubtless without the Shakespearian

intonation.

By reason of the above incidents, and more of a similar nature, Germans

accuse the late Liberal Government with perfidy of the basest kind. The

author is not in the least inclined to admit the charge, but thinks,

rather, that the Government in question--individually and

collectively--was astonishingly ignorant of European conditions and

problems, especially those prevailing in the Germanic Empires.

To what a degree Germany was obsessed by the idea that Britain was

trying to strangle her by an encircling policy, is apparent in a

diplomatic document quoted by Professor Oncken. Its author's name is not

given, and it was doubtless a secret report sent to the German Foreign

Office in 1912; its freedom from bias is also questionable. Moreover, it

is probable that it belongs to the same category of documents as those

quoted in the French Yellow Book--reports intended to exercise due

influence on the mind of the Emperor.

"French diplomacy is succeeding more and more in entangling England in

the meshes of her net. The encouragement which England gives, directly

or indirectly, to French chauvinism may one day end in a catastrophe in

which English and French soldiers must pay with their blood on French

battlefields for England's encircling policy. The seeds sown by King

Edward are springing up."

Another link in the chain of proof of Britain's guilt, is found in the

documents seized by the Germans in Brussels. The enemy seems to attach

great importance to them, for they are being employed in much the same

way that parliamentary candidates use pamphlets during an election. Yet

they do not contain a particle of proof that Britain had hostile

intentions against Germany, but only confirm the presence of the German

menace.

The documents[198] in question are reports sent by the Belgian Legation

Secretaries in London, Paris and Berlin to the Minister for Foreign

Affairs in Brussels. These gentlemen held opinions identical with those

expressed again and again in German newspapers, and even in some British

and French organs. Messieurs Comte de Lalaing (London), Greindl

(Berlin), Leghait (Paris), evidently believed that the activities of the

Triple Alliance and the Triple Entente endangered the peace of Europe.

[Footnote 198: Published by the Berlin Government as supplements to the

_Nord-deutsche Allgemeine Zeitung_, July 29th and 31st; August 4th, 8th

and 12th, 1915.]

Further they believed the latter constellation to be the more aggressive

of the two, and formally reported these convictions to the Belgian

Government. If read as a modern edition of "Pepys' Diary" they form

entertaining literature, but by no stretch of the imagination could they

be classed as historical sources. A gentleman who reports to his

Government that King Edward took breakfast in company with M. Delcassé

and that the Press had neglected to chronicle the incident, can hardly

rank as an historian.

Moreover, it is by no means clear why the German Press should laud M.

Greindl as a gentleman of German origin. If this be true it would

probably explain everything which deserves explanation in the said

documents, and would probably account for the intimate, confidential

treatment which M. Greindl received at the hands of German officials.

German newspapers are gloating over the fact that the British Government

has not deigned to reply to these "revelations." There is really nothing

to which it can reply; three observers expressed their opinion on

contemporaneous happenings during the years 1905-1911. But a brutal

sequence of events in 1914 showed them--if they had not been convinced

during the preceding three years--that they had drawn false conclusions

from their observations.

To return to the last trial of strength between the two groups of

European Powers, it is interesting to note that Professor Oncken denies

German participation in formulating the ultimatum to Serbia, or that

Germany was aware of its contents. Germany merely left Austria a free

hand in the matter. Oncken endeavours to show that Austria's demands

were not excessive, and expresses astonishment that the opposing Powers

found them exorbitant. He does not mention the fact that a large section

of the German nation held the same opinion on July 25th, 1914.

His comment on Sir Edward Grey's efforts for peace is characteristic:

"England claims that she did everything possible to preserve the peace.

It cannot be denied that Grey made a series of mediation proposals. But

mere good-will is not everything. It is much more important to weigh

their practical importance, and the goal at which they aimed: Whether

they were intended to preserve the world's peace under conditions

honourable for all parties, or calculated to obtain for the _Entente_ a

one-sided diplomatic victory which would have established its future

predominance."[199]

[Footnote 199: "Deutschland und der Weltkrieg," p. 544.]

"Grey considered the moment suitable for a mediation proposal. On the

evening of July 26th, after obtaining Russia's consent, he proposed to

the Governments of France, Germany and Italy that their London

ambassadors should meet in London to confer on a peaceful solution of

the conflict.

"The proposal was unacceptable to Austria, because it would have been an

indirect recognition on her part of Russia's interest in the conflict.

"Only those who had followed the growing intimacy of the mutual

obligations between the Entente Powers, and their organization to a

'London Centre' during the summer of 1914, are able to estimate the

role--to say nothing of Italy--which Russia's two comrades would have

played in the conference. During its course Russia would have continued

her military preparations, while Germany would have had to pledge

herself not to mobilize.

"Finally, no unprejudiced observer would dare assert that the man (Sir

Edward Grey) who was ready to transform himself at a suitable

opportunity into an ally of Russia, would have been an impartial

chairman in a conference held under the pressure of a Russian

mobilization. The more one thinks about this mediation proposal the more

convinced one becomes, that it would at least have worked for a

diplomatic victory for the Entente Powers.

"Grey put the whole machinery of the Triple Entente in motion in order

to force back Germany and Austria-Hungary along the whole line."[200]

[Footnote 200: Ibid., p. 545 _et seq_.]

An analysis of Professor Oncken's theses gives the following results:

First, Britain's efforts to preserve peace are admitted, but he fails to

mention any friendly advances to meet them. Secondly, the fundamental

principle underlying the Germanic attitude is again exposed, viz., that

Russia had no right to intervene in a question affecting the balance of

power in the Balkans and in Europe (_vide_, p. 63). Thirdly, a

diplomatic struggle was in progress along the whole line, between the

two groups of Powers.

In weighing the second point it would be wrong to assume that the

Central Empires were not fully aware of the presence of a far more vital

question behind the Austro-Serbian conflict. They knew it from the very

beginning and had already expressed threats in St. Petersburg, hoping to

achieve the same effect as in the Bosnian crisis. If Austria had been

allowed to destroy Serbia's military power the material forces of Europe

would have been seriously disturbed; the ineffectiveness of the Triple

Entente finally established, and its dissolution the inevitable

consequence.

If these considerations are correct then the statement attributed by M.

de L'Escaille (see p. 281) to Sir George Buchanan that Britain would

never draw the sword could only have served to strengthen the resolution

of the Germanic Powers in enforcing their point Germany above all

desired that the balance of power theory should be finally smashed, and

it may be safely assumed that an Austro-Serbian conflict seemed to her a

most fitting opportunity to realize her purpose.

The third point suggests two questions. Who provoked the diplomatic

conflict, and who would have benefited most by a diplomatic victory? A

reply to the first question is superfluous, and the answer to the second

is obvious from the preceding line of reasoning. Germany would have

reached the goal towards which she had striven for more than a

decade--the removal of all diplomatic hindrances to the unlimited

assertion of her will in Europe. It may even be doubted whether the Dual

Alliance would have survived the shock.

Another phase of Professor Oncken's work is the open attack on Sir

Edward Grey. Only three years ago this statesman was acclaimed in

Germany as a man of peace--_the_ man who had prevented the Balkan War

from becoming a European conflagration. To-day he is accused by the same

nation of being the originator of the world war.

Oncken[201] goes back to the year 1905 and states that Sir Edward Grey

initiated only two members of the Cabinet--Mr. Asquith and Lord

Haldane--into the details of the agreement with France, and these three

gentlemen he refers to as the "inner circle." King Edward, and

afterwards Sir Edward Grey in continuing the late King's policy,

succeeded in harnessing the _revanche idée_ and the spirit of Russian

aggression to the chariot of British Imperialism. All offers of

friendship made by this country were insincere. (The professorial

pleader does not say so, but he leaves his readers to infer that

sincerity is a German monopoly.) Concerning the British Minister's

declaration in Parliament that no secret treaty existed with France,

Oncken remarks: "The declaration was just as true formally as it was a

lie in essentials."

[Footnote 201: The authorities (?) most frequently cited by Professor

Oncken in making out his case are Messrs. Morel, Macdonald, Hardie, G.

B. Shaw and the _Labour Leader_.--Author.]

Following the development of events after the conference proposal had

been dropped, Oncken writes: "Meanwhile the Russian Government

endeavoured to persuade England's leading statesman that the opinion

prevailed in Germany and Austria, that England would remain neutral in

every case, in consequence of this delusion the Central Powers were

obdurate. England could only dispel the danger of war by destroying this

false conception, _i.e._, openly joining Russia and France.

"It is noteworthy how quickly Grey assimilated this train of thought.

Disregarding the suggestions of the British Ambassador in St.

Petersburg, he did nothing to exercise a moderating influence upon

Russia and thereby further the success of the conversations between

Vienna and St. Petersburg. On the other hand, he proceeded to take steps

which probably in his opinion, were calculated to damp the supposed

desire for war on the part of Germany. Practically, the result of all

his actions was to exercise one-sided pressure upon Germany and Austria

and simultaneously, through unmistakable declarations concerning

England's eventual attitude, to encourage Paris and St. Petersburg to

energetic measures.

"But all hopes for peace were destroyed at a single blow by Russia. On

the evening of July 30th after the conversations with Austria-Hungary

had been resumed, Sasonow increased his demands--and in truth with

England's co-operation--to such a degree that their acceptance would

have meant the complete submission of the Dual Monarchy.

"And as if this were insufficient, a few hours later, before a reply had

been received and while negotiations were proceeding in Vienna, Russia

suddenly broke off the communications with a momentous decision

(mobilization). The certainty which she had gained from the moves of

English diplomacy, that in case of war she was sure of France's support

and with it England's, turned the scale--against peace.

"That this calculation was decisive for Russia's change of front is

confirmed by a witness whose impartiality even our opponents will

admit."[202]

[Footnote 202: "Deutschland und der Weltkrieg," pp. 553-4.]

Professor Oncken then supports his argument with quotations from a

letter written by the Belgian Legation Secretary in St. Petersburg to

his Government. The letter was doubtless stolen while in transit by the

Berlin postal authorities. Monsieur B. de l'Escaille wrote the letter on

July 30th, despatched it by courier to Berlin, where it was posted on

the following day. The outside envelope was addressed to Madame

Costermans, 107 Rue Froissard, Bruxelles; inside was a letter addressed

to M. Darignon, Minister for Foreign Affairs. German writers state that

no letters were forwarded to foreign countries after martial law was

proclaimed on July 31st (a statement which is untrue), thus it fell into

their hands.

Overwhelming importance is attached to this document by German war

writers. The more important passages of the despatch run as follows:

"The last two days have passed in the expectation of events which are

bound to follow[203] upon Austria-Hungary's declaration of war against

Serbia. The most contradictory reports were in circulation, without any

possibility of confirming their truth or falsity.

[Footnote 203: Thus the impartial witness whom Germans quote to prove

their innocence definitely states that Russia had no other course left

open to her by Austria's actions.--Author.]

"One thing is, however, indisputable, viz., that Germany has done

everything possible both here and in Vienna[204] to find a means of

avoiding a general conflict, but has only been met with the

determination of the Vienna cabinet, on the one hand, not to yield a

single step, and on the other hand Russian distrust of Vienna's

declaration that they merely intend a punitive expedition against

Serbia.

[Footnote 204: How could M. de l'Escaille know what had passed in

Vienna?--Author.]

"One must really believe that everybody wants war, and is only anxious

to postpone the declaration in order to gain time. At first England gave

out, that she would not allow herself to be drawn into a conflict. Sir

George Buchanan said that definitely. But to-day they are firmly

convinced in St. Petersburg, indeed they have received an assurance,

that England will stand by France. This support is of extraordinary

importance, and has contributed not a little to the war-party gaining

the upper hand.

"In the cabinet sitting held yesterday, there were differences of

opinion, and the mobilization order was postponed. This morning at four

o'clock mobilization was ordered.

"The Russian army feels itself strong, and is full of enthusiasm. The

reorganization of the navy is still so incomplete that it would be out

of the count in case of war. For that reason England's assurance of help

was of the greatest consequence."[205]

[Footnote 205: "Kriegs-Depeschen, 1914" ("German War-Telegrams, 1914").

Berlin, 1914; p. 96 _et seq_.]

If Professor Oncken is correct in stating that Sir Edward Grey's

measures were calculated to exercise a pressure on Germany and Austria,

then he merely confirms what this country has hitherto believed--Sir

Edward Grey acted rightly. Where else should he have exerted pressure

except in the quarter from whence a provocative, insolent challenge had

proceeded?

With regard to the assertion that Russia--stiffened by England--took a

"momentous decision" on the evening of July 30th, Professor Oncken is

guilty of distortion. The decision to mobilize had been taken earlier,

and as M. de l'Escaille wrote, was made public at four o'clock on the

morning of July 30th.

Whether Russia had increased her demands ("peremptorily sharpened" are

Oncken's words) the reader can judge for himself by comparing the two

texts.

I II

"If Austria, recognizing "If Austria agrees to

that the Austro-Serbian stay the advance of her

question has troops on Serbian territory,

assumed the character and if, recognizing

of a European question, that the Austro-Serbian

declares herself ready to dispute has assumed the

eliminate from her ultimatum character of a question

the points which of European interest, she

infringe the sovereign admits that the Great

rights of Serbia, Russia Powers shall examine

engages to stop her the satisfaction which

military preparations." Serbia might give to

(Russian Orange Book, the Austro--Hungarian

No. 60.) Government without

affecting her sovereign

rights and independence,

Russia undertakes

to maintain her waiting

attitude." (French

Yellow Book, No. 113.)

Oncken, in making this comparison, comments: "It is most remarkable that

the original formula chosen by Sasonow had been peremptorily sharpened

(_einschneidend verschärft_) on July 31st at the request of the British

Ambassador. This interference by England in the formulation of the

proposal must arouse the gravest doubt regarding the peaceful tendencies

of England's policy. Sasonow had every reason to thank Grey 'for the

firm, amicable tone which he has employed in his pourparlers with

Germany and Austria.'"[206]

[Footnote 206: "Deutschland und der Weltkrieg," p. 553. Oncken's

quotation in the last lines taken from the Russian Orange Book, No. 69.]

Sir Edward Grey had proposed five days earlier (July 26th) that all

military measures should cease pending a settlement. Hence the

introduction of this clause is not a new demand. Moreover, in the

meantime Russia and Germany--in spite of the latter's denial--had

commenced to mobilize; Austria had mobilized and commenced hostilities

against Serbia. Thus there were far more urgent reasons to include the

cessation of military measures on July 31st than before. Lastly, it was

the only acceptable pledge of Austrian sincerity which Russia could

accept. Whether the formula would have met with Austria's approval

cannot be determined, for Austria was saved from what Oncken terms

"complete submission" by Germany's ultimatum to Russia, despatched on

the same day, July 31st.

It is impossible to get rid of the suspicion that Germany thought

Austria might accept the proposal; in any case, Germany deliberately

shattered the last chance of a settlement by her demand that Russia

should demobilize.

If Germany outwardly worked for peace in St. Petersburg, as M. de

l'Escaille states, it would be quite in harmony with the methods of

German diplomacy. But, as the same gentleman testifies: "Austria would

not yield a step"--the conclusion must be drawn that Germany had ordered

her to stand firm. Austria did not yield a single inch, and so it is a

matter of indifference as to the sincerity or otherwise of Germany's

peace endeavours.

Oncken further mentions Britain's refusal to remain neutral in return

for a promise that French territory should not be annexed, but he omits

the question of French colonies. His analysis of the Belgian question

deserves quotation: "Grey was seeking an excuse for war, and he found

one in the question of Belgian neutrality. It was just such a reason as

he required in order to carry away the Cabinet, Parliament and public

opinion. And since then that reason has been much discussed, accompanied

by appeals to international law and humanity, by England's and the

world's Press.

"But there is more than one irrefutable proof at hand, to show that this

reason for war, was merely a veil covering the real ones. Anticipating

Grey's intentions, before the German Government had finally declared

themselves on the subject,[207] Prince Lichnowsky put the question to

Sir Edward Grey on August 1st, as to whether England would remain

neutral if Germany undertook to respect the neutrality of Belgium.

[Footnote 207: Britain had asked Germany a day or two before, whether

she would respect Belgium's neutrality.--Author.]

"Grey, however, refused to give the pledge with which he could--if he

was really concerned about Belgium--have spared that unhappy land its

terrible fate. But by these means the trump card of Belgian neutrality

had been taken from our opponent's hand in advance. Yet Grey actually

considered it permissible to conceal this offer from the British

Cabinet. Yes, he dared even more.

"After the matter had been mentioned by Ramsay Macdonald in the _Labour

Leader_, Keir Hardie asked a question in the House of Commons on August

27th, as to whether Lichnowsky's proposal had been submitted to the

Cabinet, and why the same had not been made the basis of peaceful

negotiations with Germany. Grey made a weak attempt to discriminate

between official proposals made by a government, and a private question

asked by an ambassador.

"When the inconvenient questioner asked for further information, he was

cried down. The Oxford theologian Conybeare gained the impression from

this Parliamentary incident: 'That all Sir Edward Grey's answers to Mr.

Keir Hardie's questions are examples of _suppressio veri_ and _suggestio

falsi_.' His later revocation of this judgment does not alter its value

as objective evidence.

"After Grey's refusal, Prince Lichnowsky pressed him to formulate

England's conditions for her neutrality. At the same time the Ambassador

increased his offer of July 29th by proposing to guarantee the integrity

of France and her colonies in return for England's neutrality. Grey

suppressed this proposal too before the Cabinet, as any negotiation on

this basis would have thwarted his pre-conceived plans. Only an

immovable determination for war can explain this behaviour.

"Even before he could assume that Belgian neutrality was in danger, he

pledged English policy to the wishes of France. On the afternoon of the

same August 1st, he gave the French Ambassador--who was anxiously

pressing for a decision--reason to believe that he would be able to give

a formal promise on the following day. At the Cabinet meeting on August

2nd--the same in which he suppressed Germany's offer!--he got a motion

accepted empowering him to assure Cambon that if Germany attacked the

French coast, England would intervene."

It is necessary to return to Germany's proposal in regard to Belgian

neutrality. In simple language it means that Germany wanted to sell her

pledged word, given in 1839, for British neutrality in 1914. In view of

the fact that Professor Oncken looked upon this as a legitimate bargain,

one wonders in silence at his standard of morality and honour. Is he not

a scoundrel who first gives his word of honour and afterwards tries to

strike a bargain with the same? Stripped of all verbiage that is

Germany's proposal in its naked immorality, and the author chronicles

with pleasure that the House of Commons cried down even its discussion.

It recalls to his memory the fact, that the Reichstag--Germany's highest

legislative assembly--cheered to the echo Bethmann-Hollweg's

announcement that German armies, in violating the dictates of moral and

international law, by breaking Germany's word of honour, had occupied

Luxembourg and entered Belgium. The two incidents are drastic, concrete

illustrations of the gulf which separates British and German conceptions

of right and wrong.

Furthermore, there are two questions of a disciplinary nature arising

out of this incident which "the man in the street" has a perfect right

to raise. Assuming that Sir Edward Grey exercised his discretion and

concealed the "infamous proposal" from the Cabinet, which of his

colleagues afterwards betrayed the fact and from what source--German or

English--did he obtain his information?

Full knowledge on these points would probably be of great assistance in

destroying the "trail of the serpent" (_i.e._, German influence and

intrigues) in the political and national life of Great Britain.

Professor Oncken praises German disinterestedness in offering to

guarantee the integrity of French continental and colonial territories

in case Germany gained a victory in the war. Sir Edward Grey's refusal

to guarantee British neutrality in return for this promise, the

professor considers supreme and final proof that Britain was bent on

war. The nation has rightly approved of this policy and the point need

not be argued in this place; but Professor Oncken in the seclusion of

his German study would do well to weigh two problems:

If Germany had gained a victory--and in August, 1914, she was absolutely

convinced that France and Russia would succumb if they faced her

alone--then Germany would have obtained the long sought upper and "free

hand" in Europe. What earthly powers could have compelled her in that

moment to respect her promise in regard to French territories? Certainly

Germany's sense of honour could not be counted upon to do so.

The second problem refers to the bull and the china-shop. Presuming that

the bull could talk, would Professor Oncken advise the guardian of the

proverbial china-shop to accept the bull's promise to respect the

_status quo ante_ of his property, before letting him (the bull) run

amock amongst the china?

Lastly, readers are advised when studying the German "case" to remember

that Germany never offered to respect the integrity of French

territories _and_, the neutrality of Belgium. Although German

writers--with malice aforethought--seek to give that impression. Yet,

had this combined offer been made, the author submits that in spite of

such a promise, it would still have been ruinous to British interests to

stand aside and see Germany gain the upper and "free hand" in Europe.

Having obtained that, all else would have followed to the desire of

Germany's heart.

What Germany Thinks; Or, The War as Germans see it · 第 11 / 13 章