CHAPTER VII.

"THEORIES" FALSE AND TRUE: THEIR ROLE IN EUROPEAN PROGRESS.

The improvement of ideas the foundation of all improvement--Shooting

straight and thinking straight; the one as important as the

other--Pacifism and the Millennium--How we got rid of wars of

religion--A few ideas have changed the face of the world--The simple

ideas the most important--The "theories" which have led to war--The work

of the reformer to destroy old and false theories--The intellectual

interdependence of nations--Europe at unity in this matter--New ideas

cannot be confined to one people--No fear of ourselves or any nation

being ahead of the rest.

But what, it will be said, is the practical outcome? Admitting that we

are, or that our fathers were, in part responsible for this war, that it

is their false theories which have made it necessary, that like false

theories on our part may make future wars inevitable--what shall we do

to prevent that catastrophe?

Now while as an "abstract proposition" everyone will admit that the one

thing which distinguishes the civilized man from the savage is a

difference of ideas, no one apparently believes that it is a dangerous

and evil thing for the political ideas of savages to dominate most of

our countrymen or that so intangible a thing as "ideas" have any

practical importance at all. While we believe this, of course--to the

extent to which we believe it--improvement is out of the question. We

have to realize that civic faith, like religious faith, is of

importance; that if English influence is to stand for the right and not

the wrong in human affairs, it is impossible for each one of us

individuals to be wrong; that if the great mass is animated by temper,

blindness, ignorance, passion, small and mean prejudices, it is not

possible for "England" to stand for something quite different and for

its influence to be ought but evil. To say that we are "for our country

right or wrong" does not get over the matter at all; rather is it

equivalent to saying that we would as readily have it stand for evil as

for good. And we do not in the least seem to realize that for an

Englishman to go on talking wicked nonsense across the dinner table and

making one of the little rivulets of bad temper and prejudice which

forms the mighty river drowning sane judgment is to do the England of

our dreams a service as ill (in reality far more mischievous) as though

the plans of fortresses were sold to Germany. We must all learn to shoot

straight; apparently we need not learn to think straight. And yet if

Europe could do the second it could dispense with the first. "Good

faith" has a score of connotations, and we believe apparently that good

politics can dispense with all of them and that "Patriotism" has naught

to do with any.

Of course, to shoot straight is so much easier than to think straight,

and I suppose at bottom the bellicist believes that the latter is a

hopeless object since "man is not a thinking animal." He deems,

apparently, we must just leave it at that. Of course, if he does leave

it at that--if we persist in believing that it is no good discussing

these matters, trying to find out the truth about them, writing books

and building churches--our civilization is going to drift just precisely

as those other civilizations which have been guided by the same dreadful

fatalism have drifted--towards the Turkish goal. "Kismet. Man is a fool

to babble of these things; what he may do is of no avail; all things

will happen as they were pre-ordained." And the English Turk--the man

who prefers to fight things out instead of thinking things out--takes

the same line.

If he adopts the Turkish philosophy he must be content with the Turkish

result. But the Western world as a whole has refused to be content with

the Turkish result, and however tiresome it may be to know about

things, to bother with "theories" and principles, we have come to

realise that we have to choose between one of two courses: either to

accept things as they are, not to worry about improvement or betterment

at all, fatalistically to let things slide or--to find out bit by bit

where our errors have been and to correct those errors. This is a hard

road, but it is the road the Western world has chosen; and it is better

than the other.

And it has not accepted this road because it expects the millenium

to-morrow week. There is no millenium, and Pacifists do not expect it or

talk about it; the word is just one of those three-shies-a-penny

brickbats thrown at them by ignorance. You do not dismiss attempts to

correct errors in medicine or surgery, or education, or tramcars, or

cookery, by talking about the millenium; why should you throw that word

at attempts to correct the errors of international relationship?

Nothing has astonished me more than the fact that the "practical" man

who despises "theories" nearly always criticises Pacifism because it is

not an absolute dogma with all its thirty-nine articles water-tight.

"You are a Pacifist, then suppose...," and then follows generally some

very remote hypothesis of what would happen if all the Orient composed

its differences and were to descend suddenly upon the Western world; or

some dogmatic (and very theoretical) proposition about the

unchangeability of human nature, and the foolishness of expecting the

millenium--an argument which would equally well have told against the

union of Scotland and England or would equally justify the political

parties in a South American republic in continuing to settle their

differences by militarist methods instead of the Pacifist methods of

England.

Human nature may be unchanging: it is no reason why we should fight a

futile war with Germany over nothing at all; the yellow peril may

threaten; that is a very good reason why we should compose our

differences in Europe. Men always will quarrel, perhaps, over religious

questions, bigotry and fanaticism always will exist--it did not prevent

our getting rid of the wars of religion, still less is it a reason for

re-starting them.

The men who made that immense advance--the achievement of religious

toleration--possible, were not completely right and had not a

water-tight theory amongst them; they did not bring the millenium, but

they achieved an immense step. They _were_ pioneers of religious

freedom, yet were themselves tyrants and oppressors; those who abolished

slavery _did_ a good work, though much of the world _was_ left in

industrial servitude; it _was_ a good thing to abolish judicial torture,

though much of our penal system did yet remain barbaric; it _was_ a real

advance to recognise the errors upon which these things rested, although

that recognition did not immediately achieve a complete, logical,

symmetrical and perfect change, because mankind does not advance that

way. And so with war. Pacifism does not even pretend to be a dogma: it

is an attempt to correct in men's minds some of the errors and false

theories out of which war grows.

The reply to this is generally that the inaptitude of men for clear

thinking and the difficulties of the issues involved will render any

decision save the sheer clash of physical force impossible; that the

field of foreign politics is such a tangle that the popular mind will

always fall back upon decision by force.

As a matter of fact the outstanding principles which serve to improve

human conduct, are quite simple and understandable, as soon as they have

been shorn of the sophistries and illusions with which the pundits

clothe them. The real work of the reformers is to hack away these

encumbering theories. The average European has not followed, and could

not follow, the amazing and never-ending disputation on obscure

theological points round which raged the Reformation; but the one solid

fact which did emerge from the whole was the general realization that

whatever the truth might be in all this confusion, it was quite

evidently wicked and futile to attempt to compel conformity to any one

section of it by force; that in the interests of all force should be

withheld; because if such queries were settled by the accident of

predominant force, it would prove, not which was right, but which was

stronger. So in such things as witchcraft. The learned and astute judges

of the 18th century, who sent so many thousands to their death for

impossible crimes, knew far more of the details of witchcraft than do

we, and would beat us hopelessly in an argument on the subject; but all

their learning was of no avail, because they had a few simple facts, the

premises, crooked, and we have them straight; and all that we need to

know in this amazing tangle of learned nonsense, is that the

probabilities are against an old woman having caused a storm at sea and

drowned a Scottish King. And so with the French Revolution. What the

Encyclopaedists and other pioneers of that movement really did for the

European peoples in that matter, was not to elaborate fantastic schemes

of constitution making, but by their argumentation to achieve the

destruction of old political sophistries--Divine Rights of Kings and

what not--and to enable one or two simple facts to emerge clearly and

unmistakeably, as that the object of government is the good of the

governed, and can find its justification in nothing else whatsoever. It

was these simple truths which, spreading over the world--with many

checks and set-backs--have so profoundly modified the structure of

Christendom.

Somewhere it is related of Montaigne that talking with academic

colleagues, he expressed a contemptuous disbelief in the whole elaborate

theory of witchcraft as it existed at that time. Scandalised, his

colleagues took him into the University library, and showed him

hundreds, thousands, of parchment volumes written in Latin by the

learned men of the subject. Had he read these volumes, that he talked so

disrespectfully of their contents? No, replied Montaigne, he had not

read them, and he was not going to, because they were all wrong, and he

was right. And Montaigne spoke with this dogmatism because he realised

that he saw clearly that which they did not--the crookedness and

unsoundness of just those simple fundamental assumptions on which the

whole fantastic structure was based.

And so with all the sophistries and illusions by which the war system is

still defended. If the public as a whole had to follow all the

intricacies of those marvellous diplomatic combinations, the maze of our

foreign politics, to understand abstruse points of finance and

economics, in order to have just and sound ideas as to the real

character of international relationship, why then public opinion would

go on being as ignorant and mistaken as it had been hitherto. But sound

opinion and instincts in that field depend upon nothing of the sort, but

upon the emergence of a few quite simple facts, which are indisputable

and self-evident, which stare us in the face, and which absolutely

disprove all the elaborate theories of the Bellicist statesmen.

For instance, if conquest and extension of territory is the main road of

moral and material progress, the fundamental need which sets up all

these rivalries and collisions, then it is the populations of the Great

States which should be the most enviable; the position of the Russian

should be more desirable than that of the Hollander; it is not. The

Austrian should be better off than the Switzer; he is not. If a nation's

wealth is really subject to military confiscation, and needs the defence

of military power, then the wealth of those small states should be

insecure indeed--and Belgian national stocks stand 20 points higher than

the German. If nations are rival units, then we should benefit by the

disappearance of our rivals--and if they disappeared, something like a

third of our population would starve to death. If the growth and

prosperity of rival nations threatens us, then we should be in far

greater danger of America to-day than we were some 50 years ago, when

the growth of that power disturbed the sleep of our statesmen (and when,

incidentally, we were just as much afraid of the growth of that power as

we are now afraid of the growth of Germany). If the growing power of

Russia compelled us to fight a great war in alliance with the Turk to

check her "advance on India," why are we now co-operating with Russia to

build railroads to India?

It is such quite simple questions as these, and the quite plain facts

which underlie them which will lead to sounder conceptions in this

matter on the part of the peoples.

It is not we who are the "theorists," if by "theorists" is meant the

constructors of elaborate and deceptive theorems in this matter. It is

our opponents, the military mystics, who persistently shut their eyes to

the great outstanding facts of history and of our time. And these

fantastic theories are generally justified by most esoteric doctrine,

not by the appeal to the facts which stare you in the face. I once

replied to a critic thus:--

In examining my critic's balance sheet I remarked that were his

figures as complete as they were absurdly incomplete and

misleading, I should still have been unimpressed. We all know that

very marvellous results are possible with figures; but one can

generally find some simple fact which puts them to the supreme test

without undue mathematics. I do not know whether it has ever

happened to my critic, as it has happened to me, while watching the

gambling in the casino of a Continental watering resort, to have a

financial genius present weird columns of figures, which

demonstrate conclusively, irrefragably, that by this system which

they embody one can break the bank and win a million. I have never

examined these figures, and never shall, for this reason: the

genius in question is prepared to sell his wonderful secret for

twenty francs. Now, in the face of that fact I am not interested

in his figures. If they were worth examination they would not be

for sale.

And so in this matter there are certain test facts which upset the

adroitest statistical legerdemain. Though, really, the fallacy

which regards an addition of territory as an addition of wealth to

the "owning" nation is a very much simpler matter than the

fallacies lying behind gambling systems, which are bound up with

the laws of chance and the law of averages and much else that

philosophers will quarrel about till the end of time. It requires

an exceptional mathematical brain really to refute those fallacies,

whereas the one we are dealing with is due simply to the difficulty

experienced by most of us in carrying in our heads two facts at the

same time. It is so much easier to seize on one fact and forget the

other. Thus we realize that when Germany has conquered

Alsace-Lorraine she has "captured" a province worth, "cash value,"

in my critic's phrase, sixty-six millions sterling. What we

overlook is that Germany has also captured the people who own the

property and who continue to own it. We have multiplied by _x_, it

is true, but we have overlooked the fact that we have had to divide

by _x_, and that the resultant is consequently, so far as the

individual is concerned, exactly what it was before. My critic

remembered the multiplication all right, but he forgot the

division.

Just think of all the theories, the impossible theories for which the

"practical" man has dragged the nations into war: the Balance of Power,

for instance. Fifteen or twenty years ago it was the ineradicable belief

of fifty or sixty million Americans, good, honest, sincere, and astute

folk, that it was their bounden duty, their manifest interest, to

fight--and in the words of one of their Senators, annihilate--Great

Britain, in the interests of the Monroe Doctrine (which is a form of the

"Balance of Power"). I do not think any one knew what the Monroe

Doctrine meant, or could coherently defend it. An American Ambassador

had an after-dinner story at the time.

"What is this I hear, Jones, that you do not believe in the Monroe

Doctrine?"

"It is a wicked lie. I have said no such thing. I do believe in the

Monroe Doctrine. I would lay down my life for it; I would die for it.

What I did say was that I didn't know what it meant."

And it was this vague theory which very nearly drove America into a war

that would have been disastrous to the progress of Anglo-Saxon

civilization.

This was at the time of the Venezuelan crisis: the United States, which

for nearly one hundred years had lived in perfect peace with a British

power touching her frontier along three thousand miles, laid it down as

a doctrine that her existence was imperilled if Great Britain should

extend by so much as a mile a vague frontier running through a South

American swamp thousands of miles away. And for that cause these decent

and honourable people were prepared to take all the risks that would be

involved to Anglo-Saxon civilisation by a war between England and

America. The present writer happened at that time to be living in

America, and concerned with certain political work. Night after night he

heard these fulminations against Great Britain; politicians,

Congressmen, Senators, Governors, Ministers, Preachers, clamouring for

war, for a theory as vague and as little practical as one could wish.

And we, of course, have had our like obsessions without number: "the

independence integrity of the Turkish dominion in Europe" is one. Just

think of it! Take in the full sound of the phrase: "the independence

integrity of the Turkish dominion in Europe!"

What, of course, makes these fantastic political doctrines possible,

what leads men to subscribe to them, are a few false general conceptions

to which they hold tenaciously--as all fundamental conceptions are held,

and ought to be. The general conceptions in question are precisely the

ones I have indicated: that nations are rival and struggling units, that

military force is consequently the determining factor of their relative

advantage; that enlargement of political frontiers is the supreme need,

and so on.

And the revision of these fundamental conceptions will, of course, be

the general work of Christendom, and given the conditions which now

obtain, the development will go on _pari passu_ in all nations or not

all. It will not be the work of "nations" at all; it will be the work of

individual men.

States do not think. It is the men who form the states who think, and

the number of those men who will act as pioneers in a better policy

must, of course, at first be small: a group here and a group there, the

best men of all countries--England, France, Germany,

America--influencing by their ideas finally the great mass. To say, as

so many do in this matter: "Let other nations do it first" is, of

course, to condemn us all to impotence--for the other nations use the

same language. To ask that one group of forty or seventy or ninety

million people shall by some sort of magic all find their way to a saner

doctrine before such doctrine has affected other groups is to talk the

language of childishness. Things do not happen in that in human affairs.

It is not in that way that opinion grows. It did not grow in that way

in any one of the steps that I have mentioned--in the abolition of

religious persecution, or slavery, or judicial torture. Unless the

individual man sees his responsibility for determining what is right and

knowing how and why it is right, there will be no progress; there cannot

even be a beginning.

We are to an even greater degree an integral part of European Society,

and a factor of European Policy, than we were at the time of the Crimean

War, when we mainly determined it; and our theories and discussions will

act and re-act upon that policy just as did any considerable body of

thought, whether French political thought of the eighteenth century, or

German religious thought of the sixteenth century, even at a time when

the means of producing that reaction, the book, literature, the

newspaper, rapid communication, were so immeasurably more primitive and

rudimentary than ours. What we think and say and do affects not merely

ourselves, but that whole body politic of Christendom of which we are an

integral part.

It is a curious fact that the moral and intellectual interdependence of

States preceded by a long period, that material and economic

independence which I have tried recently to make clear. Nothing is more

contrary to fact than to suppose that any considerable movement of

opinion in Europe can be limited to the frontiers of one nation. Even at

a time when it took half a generation for a thought to travel from one

capital to another, a student or thinker in some obscure Italian, Swiss

or German village was able to modify policy, to change the face of

Europe and of mankind. Coming nearer to our time, it was the work of the

encyclopaedists and earlier political questioners which made the French

Revolution; and the effect of that Revolution was not confined to

France. The ideas which animated it re-acted directly upon our Empire,

upon the American Colonies, upon the Spanish Colonies, upon Italy, and

the formation of United Italy, upon Germany--the world over. These

miracles, almost too vast and great to conceive, were the outcome of

that intangible thing, an idea, an aspiration, an ideal. And if they

could accomplish so much in that day when the popular press and cheap

literature and improved communication did not exist, how is it possible

to suppose that any great ferment of opinion can be limited to one group

in our day, when we have a condition of things in which the declaration

of an English Cabinet Minister to-night is read to-morrow morning by

every reading German?

It should be to our everlasting glory that our political thought in the

past, some of our political institutions, parliamentary government, and

what not, have had an enormous influence in the world. We have some

ground for hoping that another form of political institution which we

have initiated, a relationship of distinct political groups into which

force does not enter, will lead the way to a better condition of things

in Christendom. We have demonstrated that five independent nations, the

nations of the British Empire, can settle their differences as between

one another without the use of force. We have definitely decided that

whatever the attitude Australia, Canada, and South Africa may adopt to

us we shall not use force to change it. What is possible with five is

possible with fifteen nations. Just as we have given to the world

roughly our conception of Parliamentary Government, so it is to be hoped

may we give to the world our conception of the true relationship of

nations.

The great steps of the past--religious freedom, the abolition of torture

and of slavery, the rights of the mass, self-government--every real step

which man has made has been made because men "theorised," because a

Galileo, or a Luther, or a Calvin, or a Voltaire, Rousseau, Bentham,

Spencer, Darwin, wrote and put notes of interrogation. Had they not done

so none of those things could have been accomplished. The greatest work

of the renaissance was the elimination of physical force in the struggle

of religious groups, in religious struggles generally; the greatest work

of our generation will be elimination of physical force from the

struggle of the political groups and from political struggles generally.

But it will be done in exactly the same way: by a common improvement of

opinion. And because we possess immeasurably better instruments for the

dissemination of ideas, we should be able to achieve the Political

Reformation of Europe much more rapidly and effectively than our

predecessors achieved the great intellectual Reformation of their time.

Peace Theories and the Balkan War · 第 7 / 8 章