CHAPTER VI.

PACIFISM, DEFENCE, AND "THE IMPOSSIBILITY OF WAR."

Did the Crimean War prove Bright and Cobden wrong?--Our curious

reasoning--Mr. Churchill on "illusions"--The danger of war is not the

illusion but its benefits--We are all Pacifists now since we all desire

Peace--Will more armaments alone secure it?--The experience of

mankind--War "the failure of human wisdom"--Therefore more wisdom is the

remedy--But the Militarists only want more arms--The German Lord

Roberts--The military campaign against political Rationalism--How to

make war certain.

The question surely, which for practical men stands out from the mighty

historical episode touched on in the last chapter, is this: Was the fact

that these despised men were so entirely right and their triumphant

adversaries so entirely wrong a mere fluke, or was it due to the

soundness of one set of principles and the hollowness of the other; and

were the principles special to that case, or general to international

conflict as a whole?

To have an opinion of worth on that question we must get away from

certain confusions and misrepresentations.

It is a very common habit for the Bellicist to quote the list of wars

which have taken place since the Crimean War as proof of the error of

Bright and Cobden. But what are the facts?

Here were two men who strenuously and ruthlessly opposed a certain

policy; they urged, not only that it would inevitably lead to war, but

that the war would be futile--but not sterile, for they saw that others

would grow from it. Their counsel was disregarded and the war came, and

events have proved that they were right and the war-makers wrong, and

the very fact that the wars took place is cited as disapproving their

"theories."[8]

It is a like confusion of thought which prompts Mr. Churchill to refer

to Pacifists as people who deem the _danger_ of war an illusion.

This persistent misconception is worth a little examination.

* * * * *

The smoke from the first railway engines in England killed the cattle

and the poultry of the country gentlemen near whose property the

railroad passed--at least, that is what the country gentleman wrote to

the _Times_.

Now if in the domain of quite simple material things the dislike of

having fixed habits of thought disturbed, leads gentlemen to resent

innovations in that way, it is not astonishing that innovations of a

more intangible and elusive kind should be subject to a like unconscious

misrepresentation, especially by newspapers and public men pushed by

commercial or political necessity to say the popular thing rather than

the true thing: that contained in the speech of Mr. Churchill, which,

together with a newspaper comment thereon, I have made the "text" of

this little book, is a typical case in point.

It is possible, of course, that Mr. Churchill in talking about "persons

who profess to know that the danger of war has become an illusion," had

not the slightest intention of referring to those who share the views

embodied in "The Great Illusion," which are, _not_ that the danger of

war is an illusion, but that the benefit is. All that happened was that

his hearers and readers interpreted his words as referring thereto; and

that, of course, he could not possibly prevent.

In any case, to misrepresent an author (and I mean always, of course,

quite sincere and unconscious misrepresentations, like that which led

the country gentlemen to write that railway smoke killed poultry) is a

trifling matter, but to misrepresent an idea, is not, for it makes that

better understanding of facts, the creation of a more informed public

opinion, by which alone we can avoid a possibly colossal folly, an

understanding difficult enough as it is, still more difficult.

And that is why the current misrepresentation (again unconscious) of

most efforts at the better understanding of the facts of international

relationship needs very badly to be corrected. I will therefore be very

definite.

The implication that Pacifists of any kind have ever urged that war is

impossible is due either to that confusion of thought just touched upon,

or is merely a silly gibe of those who deride arguments to which they

have not listened, and consequently do not understand, or which they

desire to misrepresent; and such misrepresentation is, when not

unconscious, always stupid and unfair.

So far as I am concerned, I have never written a line, nor, so far as I

know, has anyone else, to plead that war is impossible. I have, on the

contrary, always urged, with the utmost emphasis that war is not only

possible but extremely likely, so long as we remain as ignorant as we

are concerning what it can accomplish, and unless we use our energies

and efforts to prevent it, instead of directing those efforts to create

it. What anti-Bellicists as a whole urge, is not that war is impossible

or improbable, but that it is impossible to benefit by it; that conquest

must, in the long run, fail to achieve advantage; that the general

recognition of this can only add to our security. And incidentally most

of us have declared our complete readiness to take any demonstrably

necessary measure for the maintenance of armament, but urge that the

effort must not stop there.

One is justified in wondering whether the public men--statesmen,

soldiers, bishops, preachers, journalists--who indulge in this gibe, are

really unable to distinguish between the plea that a thing is unwise,

foolish, and the plea that it is impossible; whether they really suppose

that anyone in our time could argue that human folly is impossible, or

an "illusion." It is quite evidently a tragic reality. Undoubtedly the

readiness with which these critics thus fall back upon confusion

of thought indicates that they themselves have illimitable confidence in

it. But the confusion of thought does not stop here.

I have spoken of Pacifists and Bellicists, but, of course, we are all

Pacifists now. Lord Roberts, Lord Charles Beresford, Lord Fisher, Mr.

Winston Churchill, The Navy League, the Navier League, the Universal

Military Service League, the German Emperor, the Editor of _The

Spectator_, all the Chancelleries of Europe, alike declare that their

one object is the maintenance of peace. Never were such Pacifists. The

German Emperor, speaking to his army, invariably points out that they

stand for the peace of Europe. Does a First Lord want new ships? It is

because a strong British Navy is the best guarantee of peace. Lord

Roberts wants conscription because that is the one way to preserve

peace, and the Editor of _The Spectator_ tells us that Turkey's great

crime is that she has not paid enough attention to soldiering and

armament, that if only she had been stronger all would have been well.

All alike are quite persuaded indeed that the one way to peace is to get

more armament.

Well, that is the method that mankind has pursued during the whole of

its history; it has never shown the least disposition not to take this

advice and not to try this method to the full. And written history, to

say nothing of unwritten history, is there to tell us how well it has

succeeded.

Unhappily, one has to ask whether some of these military Pacifists

really want it to succeed? Again I do not tax any with conscious

insincerity. But it does result not merely from what some imply, but

from what they say. For certain of these doughty Pacifists having told

you how much their one object is to secure peace, then proceed to tell

you that this thing which they hope to secure is a very evil thing, that

under its blighting influence nations wane in luxury and sloth. And of

course they imply that our own nation, about a third of whom have not

enough to eat and about another third of whom have a heart-breaking

struggle with small means and precariousness of livelihood, is in danger

of this degeneration which comes from too much wealth and luxury and

sloth and ease. I could fill a dozen books the size of this with the

solemn warning of such Pacifists as these against the danger of peace

(which they tell you they are struggling to maintain), and how splendid

and glorious a thing, how fine a discipline is war (which they tell you

they are trying so hard to avoid). Thus the Editor of _The Spectator_

tells us that mankind cannot yet dispense with the discipline of war;

and Lord Roberts, that to make war when you are really ready for it (or

that in any case for Germany to do it) is "an excellent policy and one

to be pursued by every nation prepared to play a great part in history."

The truth is, of course, that we are not likely to get peace from those

who believe it to be an evil thing and war and aggression a good thing,

or, at least, are very mixed in their views as to this. Before men can

secure peace they must at least make up their minds whether it is peace

or war they want. If you do not know what you want, you are not likely

to get it--or you are likely to get it, whichever way you prefer to put

it.

And that is another thing which divides us from the military Pacifists:

we really do want peace. As between war and peace we have made our

choice, and having made it, stick to it. There may be something to be

said for war--for settling a thing by fighting about it instead of by

understanding it,--just as there may be something to be said for the

ordeal, or the duel, as against trial by evidence, for the rack as a

corrective of religious error, for judicial torture as a substitute for

cross-examination, for religious wars, for all these things--but the

balance of advantage is against them and we have discarded them.

But there is a still further difference which divides us: We have

realised that we discarded those things only when we really understood

their imperfections and that we arrived at that understanding by

studying them, by discussing them,--because one man in London or another

in Paris raised plainly and boldly the whole question of their wisdom

and because the intellectual ferment created by those interrogations,

either in the juridical or religious field, re-acted on the minds of men

in Geneva or Wurtenburg or Rome or Madrid. It was by this means, not by

improving the rapiers or improving the instruments of the inquisition,

that we got rid of the duel and that Catholics ceased to torture

Protestants or _vice versa_. We gave these things up because we realised

the futility of physical force in these conflicts. We shall give up war

for the same reason.

But the Bellicist says that discussions of this sort, these attempts to

find out the truth, are but the encouragement of pernicious theories:

there is, according to him, but one way--better rapiers, more and better

racks, more and better inquisitions.

Mr. Bonar Law, in one of the very wisest phrases ever pronounced by a

statesman, has declared that "war is the failure of human wisdom."

That is the whole case of Pacifism: we shall not improve except at the

price of using our reason in these matters; of understanding them

better. Surely it is a truism that that is the price of all progress;

saner conceptions--man's recognition of his mistakes, whether those

mistakes take the form of cannibalism, slavery, torture, superstition,

tyranny, false laws, or what you will. The veriest savage, or for that

matter the ape, can blindly fight, but whether the animal develops into

a man, or the savage into civilized man, depends upon whether the

element of reason enters in an increasing degree into the solution of

his problems.

The Militarist argues otherwise. He admits the difficulty comes from

man's small disposition to think; therefore don't think--fight. We

fight, he says, because we have insufficient wisdom in these matters;

therefore do not let us trouble to get more wisdom or understanding; all

we need do is to get better weapons. I am not misrepresenting him; that

is quite fairly the popular line: it is no use talking about these

things or trying to explain them, all that is logic and theories; what

you want to do is to get a bigger army or more battleships. And, of

course, the Bellicist on the other side of the frontier says exactly the

same thing, and I am still waiting to have explained to me how,

therefore, if this matter depends upon understanding, we can ever solve

it by neglecting understanding, which the Militarist urges us to do. Not

only does he admit, but pleads, that these things are complex, and

supposes that that is an argument why they should not be studied.

And a third distinction will, I think, make the difference between us

still clearer. Like the Bellicist, I am in favour of defence. If in a

duelling society a duellist attacked me, or, as a Huguenot in the Paris

of the sixteenth century a Catholic had attacked me, I should certainly

have defended myself, and if needs be have killed my aggressor. But that

attitude would not have prevented my doing my small part in the creation

of a public opinion which should make duelling or such things as the

massacre of St. Bartholomew impossible by showing how unsatisfactory and

futile they were; and I should know perfectly well that neither would

stop until public opinion had, as the result of education of one kind or

another, realised their futility. But it is as certain as anything can

be that the Churchills of that society or of that day would have been

vociferous in declaring (as in the case of the duel they still to-day

declare in Prussia) that this attempt to prove the futility of duelling

was not only a bad and pernicious campaign, but was in reality a subtle

attempt to get people killed in the street by bullies, and that those

who valued their security would do their best to discredit all

anti-duelling propaganda--by misrepresentation, if needs be.

Let this matter be quite clear. No one who need be considered in this

discussion would think of criticising Lord Roberts for wanting the army,

and Mr. Churchill for wanting the navy, to be as good and efficient as

possible and as large as necessary. Personally--and I speak, I know, for

many of my colleagues in the anti-war movement--I would be prepared to

support British conscription if it be demonstrably wise or necessary.

But what we criticise is the persistent effort to discredit honest

attempts at a better understanding of the facts of international

relationship, the everlasting gibe which it is thought necessary to

fling at any constructive effort, apart from armament, to make peace

secure. These men profess to be friends of peace, they profess to

regret the growth of armament, to deplore the unwisdom, ignorance,

prejudice and misunderstanding out of which the whole thing grows, but

immediately there is any definite effort to correct this unwisdom, to

examine the grounds of the prejudice and misunderstanding, there is a

volte face and such efforts are sneered at as "sentimental" or "sordid,"

according as the plea for peace is put upon moral or material grounds.

It is not that they disagree in detail with any given proposition

looking towards a basis of international co-operation, but that in reality

they deprecate raising the matter at all.[9] It must be armaments and

nothing but armaments with them. If there had been any possibility of

success in that we should not now be entering upon the 8,000th or

9,000th war of written history. Armaments may be necessary, but they are

not enough. Our plan is armaments plus education; theirs is armament

versus education. And by education, of course, we do not mean school

books, or an extension of the School Board curriculum, but a recognition

of the fact that the character of human society is determined by the

extent to which its units attempt to arrive at an _understanding_ of

their relationship, instead of merely subduing one another by force,

which does not lead to understanding at all: in Turkey, or Venezuela, or

San Domingo, there is no particular effort made to adjust differences by

understanding; in societies of that type they only believe in settling

differences by armaments. That is why there are very few books, very

little thought or discussion, very little intellectual ferment but a

great many guns and soldiers and battles. And throughout the world the

conflict is going on between these rival schools. On the whole the

Western world, inside the respective frontiers, almost entirely now

tends to the Pacifist type. But not so in the international field, for

where the Powers are concerned, where it is a question of the attitude

of one nation in relation to another, you get a degree of understanding

rather less than more than that which obtains in the internal politics

of Venezuela, or Turkey, or Morocco, or any other "warlike" state.

And the difficulty of creating a better European opinion and temper is

due largely to just this idea that obsesses the Militarist, that unless

they misrepresent facts in a sensational direction the nations will be

too apathetic to arm; that education will abolish funk, and that

presumably funk is a necessary element in self-defence.

For the most creditable explanation that we can give of the Militarist's

objection to having this matter discussed at all, is the evident

impression that such discussion will discourage measures for

self-defence; the Militarist does not believe that a people desiring to

understand these things and interested in the development of a better

European society, can at the same time be determined to resist the use

of force. They believe that unless the people are kept in a blue funk,

they will not arm, and that is why it is that the Militarist of the

respective countries are for ever talking about our degeneration and the

rest. And the German Militarist is just as angry with the unwarlike

qualities of his people as the English Militarist is with ours.

Just note this parallel:

BRITISH OPINION ON BRITISH APATHY AND GERMAN VIGOUR.

"There is a way in which Britain is certain to have war and its

horrors and calamities; it is this--by persisting in her present

course of unpreparedness, her apathy, unintelligence, and blindness,

and in her disregard of the warnings of the most ordinary political

insight, as well as of the example of history.

"Now in the year 1912, just as in 1866, and just as in 1870, war

will take place the instant the German forces by land and sea are,

by their superiority at every point, as certain of victory as

anything in human calculation can be made certain. 'Germany strikes

when Germany's hour has struck.' That is the time-honoured policy of

her Foreign Office. It is her policy at the present hour, and it is

an excellent policy. It is, or should be, the policy of every nation

prepared to play a great part in history."--LORD ROBERTS, at

Manchester.

"Britain is disunited; Germany is homogeneous. We are quarrelling

about the Lords' Veto, Home Rule, and a dozen other questions of

domestic politics. We have a Little Navy Party, an Anti-Militarist

Party; Germany is unanimous upon the question of naval

expansion."--MR. BLATCHFORD.

GERMAN OPINION ON GERMAN APATHY AND BRITISH VIGOUR.

"Whole strata of our nation seem to have lost that ideal enthusiasm

which constituted the greatness of its history. With the increase of

wealth they live for the moment, they are incapable of sacrificing

the enjoyment of the hour to the service of great conceptions, and

close their eyes complacently to the duties of our future and to the

pressing problems of international life which await a solution at

the present time."--GENERAL VON BERNHARDI in "Germany and the Next

War."

"There is no one German people, no single Germany.... There are more

abrupt contrasts between Germans and Germans than between Germans

and Indians."

"One must admire the consistent fidelity and patriotism of the

English race, as compared with the uncertain and erratic methods of

the German people, their mistrust, and suspicion.... In spite of

numerous wars, bloodshed, and disaster, England always emerges

smoothly and easily from her military crises and settles down to new

conditions and surroundings in her usual cool and deliberate manner,

so different from the German."--_Berliner Tageblatt_, March 14, 1911.

Presumably each doughty warrior knows his own country better than that

of the other, which would carry a conclusion directly contrary to that

which he draws.

But note also where this idea that it is necessary artificially to

stimulate the defensive zeal of each country by resisting any tendency

to agreement and understanding leads. It leads even so good a man as

Lord Roberts into the trap of dogmatic prophesy concerning the

intentions of a very complex heterogeneous nation of 65 million people.

Lord Roberts could not possibly tell you what his own country will do

five, ten, or fifteen years hence in such matters as Home Rule or the

Suffragists, or even the payment of doctors, but he knows exactly what a

foreign country will do in a much more serious matter. The simple truth

is, of course, that no man knows what "Germany" will do ten years hence,

any more than we can know what "England" will do. We don't even know

what England will _be_, whether Unionist or Liberal or Labour,

Socialist, Free Trade or Protectionist. All these things, like the

question of Peace and War depends upon all sorts of tendencies, drifts

and developments. At bottom, of course, since war, in Mr. Bonar Law's

fine phrase, is "never inevitable--only the failure of human wisdom," it

depends upon whether we become a little less or a little more wise. If

the former, we shall have it; if the latter, we shall not. But this

dogmatism concerning the other man's evil intentions is the very thing that

leads away from wisdom.[10] The sort of temper and ideas which it

provokes on both sides of the frontier may be gathered from just such

average gems as these plucked recently from the English press:--

Yes, we may as well face it. _War with Germany is inevitable_, and

the only question is--Shall we consult her convenience as to its

date? Shall we wait till Germany's present naval programme, which

is every year reducing our advantage, is complete? Shall we wait

till the smouldering industrial revolution, of which all these

strikes are warnings, has broken into flame? Shall we wait till

Consols are 65 and our national credit is gone? Shall we wait till

the Income Tax is 1s. 6d. in the pound? OR SHALL WE STRIKE

NOW--_finding every out-of-work a job in connection with the

guardianship of our shores_, and, with our mighty fleet, either

sinking every German ship or towing it in triumph into a British

port? _Why_ should we do it? _Because the command of the seas is

ever ours_; because our island position, our international trade

and our world-wide dominions _demand that no other nation shall

dare to challenge our supremacy_. That is why. Oh, yes, the cost

would be great, but we could raise it to-day all right, _and we

should get it back_.

If the struggle comes to-day, we shall win--and after it is over,

there will be abounding prosperity in the land, and no more labour

unrest.

Yes, we have no fear of Germany to-day. The only enemy we fear is

the crack-brained fanatics who prate about peace and goodwill

whilst foreign _Dreadnoughts_ are gradually closing in upon us. As

Mr. Balfour said at the Eugenic Conference the other day, man is a

wild animal; and there is no room, in present circumstances, for

any tame ones.--_John Bull_, Aug. 24, 1912.

The italics and large type are those of the original, not mine. This

paper explains, by the way, in this connection that "In the

Chancelleries of Europe _John Bull_ is regarded as a negligible

journalistic quantity. But _John Bull_ is read by a million people every

week, and that million not the least thoughtful and intelligent section

of the community, they _think_ about what they read."

One of the million seems to have thought to some purpose, for the next

week there was the following letter from him. It was given the place of

honour in a series and runs as follows:--

I would have extended your "Down with the German Fleet!" to "Down

with Germany and the Germans!" For, unless the whole ---- lot are

swept off the surface of the earth, there will be no peace. If the

people in England could only realise the quarrelsome, deceitful,

underhanded, egotistic any tyrannical character of the Germans,

there would not be so much balderdash about a friendly

understanding, etc., between England and Germany. The German is a

born tyrant. The desire to remain with Britain on good terms will

only last so long until Germany feels herself strong enough to beat

England both on sea and on land: afterwards it'll simply be "_la

bourse ou la vie_," as the French proverb goes. Provided they do not

know that there are any English listeners about, phrases like the

following can be heard every day in German restaurants and other

public places: "I hate England and the English!" "Never mind, they

won't be standing in our way much longer. We shall soon be ready."

And _John Bull_, with its million readers, is not alone. This is how the

_Daily Express_, in a double-leaded leader, teaches history to its

readers:--

When, one day, Englishmen are not allowed to walk the pavements of

their cities, and their women are for the pleasure of the invaders,

and the offices of the Tiny England newspapers are incinerated by a

furious mob; when foreign military officers proclaim martial law

from the Royal Exchange steps, and when some billions of pounds

have to be raised by taxation--by taxation of the "toiling

millions" as well as others--to pay the invaders out, and the

British Empire consists of England--less Dover, required for a

foreign strategic tunnel--and the Channel Islands--then the ghosts

of certain politicians and publicists will probably call a meeting

for the discussion of the Fourth Dimension.--Leading Article,

_Daily Express_, 8/7/12.

And not merely shall our women fill the harems of the German pashas,

and Englishmen not be allowed to walk upon the pavement (it would be the

German way of solving the traffic problem--near the Bank), but a

"well-known Diplomat" in another paper tells us what else will happen.

If England be vanquished it means the end of all things as far as

she is concerned, and will ring in a new and somewhat terrible era.

Bankrupt, shorn of all power, deserted, as must clearly follow, as

a commercial state, and groaning under a huge indemnity that she

cannot pay and is not intended to be able to pay, what will be the

melancholy end of this great country and her teeming population of

forty-five millions?

... Her shipping trade will be transferred as far as possible from

the English to the German flag. Her banking will be lost, as London

will no longer be the centre of commerce, and efforts will be made

to enable Berlin to take London's place. Her manufactures will

gradually desert her. Failing to obtain payments in due time,

estates will be sequestered and become the property of wealthy

Germans. The indemnity to be demanded is said to be one thousand

millions sterling.

The immediate result of defeat would mean, of course, that

insolvency would take place in a very large number of commercial

businesses, and others would speedily follow. Those who cannot get

away will starve unless large relief funds are forthcoming from,

say, Canada and the United States, for this country, bereft of its

manufactures, will not be able to sustain a population of more than

a very few millions.--From an Article by "A Well-known

Diplomatist" in _The Throne_, June 12, 1912.

These are but samples; and this sort of thing is going on in England and

Germany alike. And when one protests that it is wicked rubbish born of

funk and ignorance, that whatever happens in war this does not happen,

and that it is based on false economics and grows into utterly false

conceptions of international relationship, one is shouted down as an

anti-armament man and an enemy of his country.

Well, if that view is persisted in, if in reality it is necessary for a

people to have lies and nonsense told to them in order to induce them to

defend themselves, some will be apt to decide that they are not worth

defending. Or rather will they decide that this phase of the

pro-armament campaign--which is not so much a campaign in favour of

armament as one against education and understanding--will end in turning

us into a nation either of poltroons or of bullies and aggressors, and

that since life is a matter of the choice of risks it is wiser and more

courageous to choose the less evil. A nation may be defeated and still

live in the esteem of men--and in its own. No civilized man esteems a

nation of Bashi-Bazouks or Prussian Junkers. Of the two risks

involved--the risk of attack arising from a possible superiority of

armament on the part of a rival, and the risk of drifting into conflict

because, concentrating all our energies on the mere instrument of

combat, we have taken no adequate trouble to understand the facts of

this case--it is at least an arguable proposition that the second risk

is the greater. And I am prompted to this expression of opinion without

surrendering one iota of a lifelong and passionate belief that a nation

attacked should defend itself to the last penny and to the last man.

And you think that this idea that the nations--ours amongst them--may

drift into futile war from sheer panic and funk arising out of the

terror inspired by phantoms born of ignorance, is merely the idea of

Pacifist cranks?

The following, referring to the "precautionary measures" (_i.e._,

mobilization of armies) taken by the various Powers, is from a leading

article of the _Times_:--

"Precautions" are understandable, but the remark of our Berlin

Correspondent that they may produce an untenable position from

which retreat must be humiliating is applicable in more than one

direction. Our Vienna Correspondent truly says that "there is no

valid reason to believe war between Austria-Hungary and Russia to

be inevitable, or even immediately probable." We entirely agree,

but wish we could add that the absence of any valid reason was

placing strict limitations upon the scope of "precautions." The

same correspondent says he is constantly being asked:--"Is there no

means of avoiding war?" The same question is now being asked, with

some bewilderment, by millions of men in this country, who want to

know what difficulties there are in the present situation which

should threaten Europe with a general war, or even a collision

larger than that already witnessed.... There is no great nation in

Europe which to-day has the least desire that millions of men

should be torn from their homes and flung headlong to destruction

at the bidding of vain ambitions. The Balkan peoples fought for a

cause which was peculiarly their own. They were inspired by the

memories of centuries of wrong which they were burning to avenge.

The larger nations have no such quarrel, unless it is wilfully

manufactured for them. The common sense of the peoples of Europe is

well aware that no issue has been presented which could not be

settled by amicable discussion. In England men will learn with

amazement and incredulity that war is possible over the question of

a Servian port, or even over the larger issues which are said to

lie behind it. Yet that is whither the nations are blindly drifting

Who, then, makes war? The answer is to be found in the

Chancelleries of Europe, among the men who have too long played

with human lives as pawns in a game of chess, who have become so

enmeshed in formulas and the jargon of diplomacy that they have

ceased to be conscious of the poignant realities with which they

trifle. And thus will war continue to be made, until the great

masses who are the sport of professional schemers and dreamers say

the word which, shall bring, not eternal peace, for that is

impossible, but a determination that wars shall be fought only in a

just and righteous and vital cause. If that word is ever to be

spoken, there never was a more appropriate occasion than the

present; and we trust it will be spoken while there is yet time.

And the very next day there appeared in the _Daily Mail_ an article by

Mr. Lovat Fraser ending thus:--

The real answer rests, or ought to rest, with the man in the train.

Does he want to join in Armageddon? It is time that he began to

think about it, for his answer may soon be sought.

Now we have here, stated in the first case by the most authoritative of

English newspapers, and in the second by an habitual contributor of the

most popular, the whole case of Pacifism as I have attempted to expound

it, namely: (1) That our current statecraft--its fundamental

conceptions, its "axioms," its terminology--has become obsolete by

virtue of the changed conditions of European society; that the causes of

conflict which it creates are half the time based on illusions, upon

meaningless and empty formulas; (2) that its survival is at bottom due

to popular ignorance and indifference--the survival on the part of the

great mass of just those conceptions born of the old and now obsolete

conditions--since diplomacy, like all functions of government, is a

reflection of average opinion; (3) that this public opinion is not

something which descends upon us from the skies but is the sum of the

opinions of each one of us and is the outcome of our daily contacts, our

writing and talking and discussion, and that the road to safety lies in

having that general public opinion better informed not in directly

discouraging such better information; (4) that the mere multiplication

of "precautions" in the shape of increased armaments and a readiness for

war, in the absence of a corresponding and parallel improvement of

opinion, will merely increase and not exorcise the danger, and,

finally, (5) that the problem of war is necessarily a problem of at

least two parties, and that if we are to solve it, to understand it

even, we must consider it in terms of two parties, not one; it is not a

question of what shall be the policy of each without reference to the

other, but what the final upshot of the two policies taken in

conjunction will be.

Now in all this the _Times_, especially in one outstanding central idea,

is embodying a conception which is the antithesis of that expressed by

Militarists of the type of Mr. Churchill, and, I am sorry to say, of

Lord Roberts. To these latter war is not something that we, the peoples

of Europe, create by our ignorance and temper, by the nursing of old and

vicious theories, by the poorness and defects of the ideas our

intellectual activities have developed during the last generation or

two, but something that "comes upon us" like the rain or the earthquake,

and against which we can only protect ourselves by one thing: more arms,

a greater readiness to fight.

In effect the anti-Educationalists say this: "What, as practical men, we

have to do, is to be stronger than our enemy; the rest is theory and

does not matter."

Well the inevitable outcome of such an attitude is catastrophe.

I have said elsewhere that in this matter it seems fatally easy to

secure either one of two kinds of action: that of the "practical man"

who limits his energies to securing a policy which will perfect the

machinery of war and disregard anything else; or that of the idealist,

who, persuaded of the brutality or immorality of war, is apt to show a

certain indifference concerning self-defence. What is needed is the type

of activity which will include both halves of the problem: provision for

education, for a Political Reformation in this matter, _as well as_ such

means of defence as will meantime counterbalance the existing impulse

to aggression. To concentrate on either half to the exclusion of the

other half is to render the whole problem insoluble.

What must inevitably happen if the nations take the line of the

"practical man," and limit their energies simply and purely to piling up

armaments?

A critic once put to me what he evidently deemed a poser: "Do you urge

that we shall be stronger than our enemy, or weaker?"

To which I replied: "The last time that question was asked me was in

Berlin, by Germans. What would you have had me reply to those

Germans?"--a reply which, of course, meant this: In attempting to find

the solution of this question in terms of one party, you are attempting

the impossible. The outcome will be war, and war would not settle it. It

would all have to be begun over again.

The Navy League catechism says: "Defence consists in being so strong

that it will be dangerous for your enemy to attack you."[11] Mr.

Churchill, however, goes farther than the Navy League, and says: "The

way to make war impossible is to make victory certain."

The Navy League definition is at least possible of application to

practical politics, because rough equality of the two parties would make

attack by either dangerous. Mr. Churchill's principle is impossible of

application to practical politics, because it could only be applied by

one party, and would, in the terms of the Navy League principle, deprive

the other party of the right of defence. As a matter of simple fact,

both the Navy League, by its demand for two ships to one, and Mr.

Churchill, by his demand for certain victory, deny in this matter

Germany's right to defend herself; and such denial is bound, on the part

of a people animated by like motives to ourselves, to provoke a

challenge. When the Navy League says, as it does, that a self-respecting

nation should not depend upon the goodwill of foreigners for its safety,

but upon its own strength, it recommends Germany to maintain her efforts

to arrive at some sort of equality with ourselves. When Mr. Churchill

goes further and says that a nation should be so strong as to make

victory over its rivals certain, he knows that if Germany were to adopt

his own doctrine its inevitable outcome would be war.

The issue is plain: We get a better understanding of certain political

facts in Europe, or we have war. And the Bellicist at present is

resolutely opposed to such political education. And it is for that

reason, not because he is asking for adequate armament, that some of the

best of this country look with the deepest misgiving upon his work, and

will continue to do so in increasing degree unless his policy be

changed.

Now a word as to the peace Pacifist--the Pacifist sans phrases--as

distinct from the military Pacifist. It is not because I am in favour of

defence that I have at times with some emphasis disassociated myself

from certain features and methods of the peace movement, for

non-resistance is no necessary part of that movement, and, indeed, so

far as I know, it is no appreciable part. It is the methods not the

object or the ideals of the peace movement which I have ventured to

criticize, without, I hope, offence to men whom I respect in the very

highest and sincerest degree. The methods of Pacifism have in the past,

to some extent at least, implied a disposition to allow easy emotion to

take the place of hard thinking, good intention to stand for

intellectual justification; and it is as plain as anything well can be

that some of the best emotion of the world has been expended upon some

of the very worst objects, and that in no field of human

effort--medicine, commerce, engineering, legislation--has good intention

ever been able to dispense with the necessity of knowing the how and the

why.

It is not that the somewhat question-begging and emotional terminology

of some Pacifists--the appeal to brotherly love and humanity--connotes

things which are in themselves poor or mean (as the average Militarist

would imply), but because so much of Pacifism in the past has failed to

reconcile intellectually the claims of these things with what are the

fundamental needs of men and to show their relation and practical

application to actual problems and conditions.

[Footnote 8: As a matter of fact, of course, the work of these two men

has not been fruitless. As Lord Morley truly says: "They were routed on

the question of the Crimean War, but it was the rapid spread of their

principles which within the next twenty years made intervention

impossible in the Franco-Austrian War, in the American War, in the

Danish War, in the Franco-German War, and above all, in the war between

Russia and Turkey, which broke out only the other day."]

[Footnote 9: Thus the Editor of the _Spectator_:--

"For ourselves, as far as the main economic proposition goes, he

preaches to the converted.... If nations were perfectly wise and held

perfectly sound economic theories, they would recognize that exchange is

the union of forces, and that it is very foolish to hate or be jealous

of your co-operators.... Men are savage, bloodthirsty creatures ... and

when their blood is up will fight for a word or a sign, or, as Mr.

Angell would put it, for an illusion."

Therefore, argues the _Spectator_, let the illusion continue--for there

is no other conclusion to be drawn from the argument.]

[Footnote 10: Need it be said that this criticism does not imply the

faintest want of respect for Lord Roberts, his qualities and his

services. He has ventured into the field of foreign politics and

prophecy. A public man of great eminence, he has expressed an English

view of German "intentions." For the man in the street (I write in that

capacity) to receive that expression in silence is to endorse it, to

make it national. And I have stated here the reasons which make such an

attitude disastrous. We all greatly respect Lord Roberts, but, even

before that, must come respect for our country, the determination that

it shall be in the right and not in the wrong, which it certainly will

be if this easy dogmatism concerning the evil intentions of other

nations becomes national.]

[Footnote 11: The German Navy Law in its preamble might have filched

this from the British Navy League catechism.]

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