_Pressure and Winds._--The prevailing winds are the "westerlies," which

are much less regular than the trades. They vary greatly in velocity in

different regions and in different seasons, and are stronger in winter

than in summer. They are much interfered with, especially in the higher

northern latitudes, by seasonal changes of temperature and pressure over

the continents, whereby the latter establish, more or less successfully,

a system of obliquely outflowing winds in winter and of obliquely

inflowing winds in summer. In summer, when the lands have low pressure,

the northern oceans are dominated by great oval areas of high pressure,

with outflowing spiral eddies, while in winter, when the northern lands

have high pressure, the northern portions of the oceans develop cyclonic

systems of inflowing winds over their warm waters. All these great

continental and oceanic systems of spiralling winds are important

climatic controls.

The westerlies are also much confused and interrupted by storms, whence

their designation of _stormy westerlies_. So common are such

interruptions that the prevailing westerly wind direction is often

difficult to discern without careful observation. Cyclonic storms are

most numerous and best developed in winter. Although greatly interfered

with near sea-level by continental changes of pressure, by cyclonic and

anticyclonic whirls, and by local inequalities of the surface, the

eastward movement of the atmosphere remains very constant aloft. The

south temperate zone being chiefly water, the westerlies are but little

disturbed there by continental effects. Between latitudes 40 deg. and 60

deg. S. the "brave west winds" blow with a constancy and velocity found

in the northern hemisphere only on the oceans, and then in a modified

form. Storms, frequent and severe, characterize these southern

hemisphere westerlies, and easterly wind directions are temporarily

noted during their passage. Voyages to the west around Cape Horn against

head gales, and in cold wet weather, are much dreaded. South of Africa

and Australia, also, the westerlies are remarkably steady and strong.

The winter in these latitudes is stormier than the summer, but the

seasonal difference is less than north of the equator.

_Rainfall._--Rainfall is fairly abundant over the oceans and also over a

considerable part of the lands (30-80 in. and more). It comes chiefly in

connexion with the usual cyclonic storms, or in thunderstorms. So great

are the differences, geographic and periodic, in rainfall produced by

differences in temperature, topography, cyclonic conditions, &c., that

only the most general rules can be laid down. The equatorward margin of

the temperate zone rains is clearly defined on the west coasts, at the

points where the coast deserts are replaced by belts of light or

moderate rainfall. Bold west coasts, on the polar side of lat. 40 deg.,

are very rainy (100 in. and more a year in the most favourable

situations). The hearts of the continents, far from the sea, and

especially when well enclosed by mountains, or when blown over by cool

ocean winds which warm while crossing the land, have light rainfall

(less than 10-20 in.). East coasts are wetter than interiors, but drier

than west coasts. Winter is the season of maximum rainfall over oceans,

islands and west coasts, for the westerlies are then most active,

cyclonic storms are most numerous and best developed, and the cold lands

chill the inflowing damp air. At this season, however, the low

temperatures, high pressures, and tendency to outflowing winds over the

continents are unfavourable to rainfall, and the interior land areas as

a rule then have their minimum. The warmer months bring the maximum

rainfall over the continents. Conditions are then favourable for

inflowing damp winds from the adjacent oceans; there is the best

opportunity for convection; thunder-showers readily develop on the hot

afternoons; the capacity of the air for water vapour is greatest. The

marine type of rainfall, with a winter maximum, extends in over the

western borders of the continents, and is also found in the winter

rainfall of the sub-tropical belts. Rainfalls are heaviest along the

tracks of most frequent cyclonic storms.

For continental stations the typical daily march of rainfall shows a

chief maximum in the afternoon, and a secondary maximum in the night or

early morning. The chief minimum comes between 10 A.M. and 2 P.M. Coast

stations generally have a night maximum and a minimum between 10 A.M.

and 4 P.M.

_Humidity and Cloudiness._--S.A. Arrhenius gives the mean cloudiness for

different latitudes as follows:--

+-----------+----+

| 70 deg. N.| 59 |

| 60 deg. | 61 |

| 50 deg. | 48 |

| 40 deg. | 49 |

| 30 deg. | 42 |

| 20 deg. | 40 |

| 10 deg. | 50 |

| Eq. | 58 |

| 10 deg. | 57 |

| 20 deg. | 48 |

| 30 deg. | 46 |

| 40 deg. | 56 |

| 50 deg. | 66 |

| 60 deg. S.| 75 |

+-----------+----+

The higher latitudes of the temperate zones thus have a mean cloudiness

which equals and even exceeds that of the equatorial belt. The amounts

are greater over the oceans and coasts than inland. The belts of minimum

cloudiness are at about lat. 30 deg. N. and S. Over the continental

interiors the cloudiest season is summer, but the amount is never very

large. Otherwise, winter is generally the cloudiest season and with a

fairly high mean annual amount.

The absolute humidity as a whole decreases as the temperature falls. The

relative humidity averages 90%, more or less, over the oceans, and is

high under the clouds and rain of cyclonic storms, but depends, on land,

upon the wind direction, winds from an ocean or from a lower latitude

being damper, and those from a continent or from a colder latitude being

drier.

_Seasons._--Seasons in the temperate zones are classified according to

temperature; not, as in the tropics, by rainfall. The four seasons are

important characteristics, especially of the middle latitudes of the

north temperate zone. Towards the equatorial margins of the zones the

difference in temperature between summer and winter becomes smaller, and

the transition seasons weaken and even disappear. At the polar margins

the change from winter to summer, and vice versa, is so sudden that

there also the transition seasons disappear.

These seasonal changes are of the greatest importance in the life of

man. The monotonous heat of the tropics and the continued cold of the

polar zones are both depressing. Their tendency is to operate against

man's highest development. The seasonal changes of the temperate zones

stimulate man to activity. They develop him, physically and mentally.

They encourage higher civilization. A cold, stormy winter necessitates

forethought in the preparation during the summer of clothing, food and

shelter. Development must result from such conditions. In the warm,

moist tropics life is too easy; in the cold polar zones it is too hard.

Near the poles, the growing season is too short; in the moist tropics it

is so long that there is little inducement to labour at any special

time. The regularity, and the need, of outdoor work during a part of the

year are important factors in the development of man in the temperate

zones.

_Weather._--An extreme changeableness of the weather, depending on the

succession of cyclones and anticyclones, is another characteristic. For

most of the year, and most of the zone, settled weather is unknown. The

changes are most rapid in the northern portion of the north temperate

zone, especially on the continents, where the cyclones travel fastest.

The nature of these changes depends on the degree of development, the

velocity of progression, the track, and other conditions of the

disturbance which produces them. The particular weather types resulting

from this control give the climates their distinctive character.

The types vary with the season and with the geographical position. They

result from a combination, more or less irregular, of periodic diurnal

elements, under the regular control of the sun; and of non-periodic

cyclonic and anticyclonic elements. In summer, on land, when the

Cyclonic element is weakest and the solar control is the strongest, the

dominant types are associated with the regular changes from day to

night. Daytime cumulus clouds; diurnal variation in wind velocity;

afternoon thunderstorms, with considerable regularity, characterize the

warmest months over the continents and present an analogy with tropical

conditions. Cyclonic and anticyclonic spells of hotter or cooler, rainy

or dry, weather, with varying winds differing in the temperatures and

the moisture which they bring, serve to break the regularity of the

diurnal types. In winter the non-periodic, cyclonic control is

strongest. The irregular changes from clear to cloudy, from warmer to

colder, from dry air to snow or rain, extend over large areas, and show

little diurnal control. Spring and fall are transition seasons, and have

transition weather types. The south temperate zone oceans have a

constancy of non-periodic cyclonic weather changes through the year

which is only faintly imitated over the oceans of the northern

hemisphere. Winter types differ little from summer. The diurnal control

is never very strong. Stormy weather prevails throughout the year

although the weather changes are more frequent and stronger in the

colder months.

_Climatic Subdivisions._--There are fundamental differences between the

north and south temperate zones. The latter zone is sufficiently

individual to be given a place by itself. The marginal sub-tropical

belts must also be considered as a separate group by themselves. The

north temperate zone as a whole includes large areas of land, stretching

over many degrees of latitude, as well as of water. Hence it embraces so

remarkable a diversity of climates that no single district can be taken

as typical of the whole. The simplest and most rational scheme for a

classification of these climates is based on the fundamental differences

which depend upon land and water, upon the prevailing winds, and upon

altitude. Thus there are the ocean areas and the land areas. The latter

are then subdivided into western (windward) and eastern (leeward)

coasts, and interiors. Mountain climates remain as a separate group.

_South Temperate Zone._--Because of the large ocean surface, the whole

meteorological regime in the south temperate zone is more uniform than

in the northern. The south temperate zone may properly be called

"temperate." Its temperature changes are small; its prevailing winds are

stronger and steadier than in the northern hemisphere; its seasons are

more uniform; its weather is prevailingly stormier, more changeable, and

more under cyclonic control. The uniformity of the climatic conditions

over the far southern oceans is monotonously unattractive. The

continental areas are small, and develop to a limited degree only the

more marked seasonal and diurnal changes which are characteristic of

lands in general. The summers are less stormy than the winters, but even

the summer temperatures are not high. Such an area as that of New

Zealand, with its mild climate and fairly regular rains, is really at

the margins of the zone, and has much more favourable conditions than

the islands farther south. These islands, in the heart of this zone,

have dull, cheerless and inhospitable climates. The zone enjoys a good

reputation for healthfulness, which fact has been ascribed chiefly to

the strong and active air movement, the relatively drier air than in

corresponding northern latitudes, and the cool summers. It must be

remembered, also, that the lands are mostly in the sub-tropical belt,

which possesses peculiar climatic advantages, as will be seen.

_Sub-tropical Belts: Mediterranean Climates._--At the tropical margins

of the temperate zones are the so-called sub-tropical belts. Their

rainfall regime is alternately that of the westerlies and of the trades.

They are thus associated, now with the temperate and now with the torrid

zones. In winter the equatorward migration of the great pressure and

wind systems brings these latitudes under the control of the westerlies,

whose frequent irregular storms give a moderate winter precipitation.

These winter rains are not steady and continuous, but are separated by

spells of fine sunny weather. The amounts vary greatly.[4] In summer,

when the trades are extended polewards by the outflowing equatorward

winds on the eastern side of the ocean anticyclones, mild, dry and

nearly continuous fair weather prevails, with general northerly winds.

The sub-tropical belts of winter rains and dry summers are not very

clearly defined. They are mainly limited to the western coasts of the

continents, and to the islands off these coasts in latitudes between

about 28 deg. and 40 deg.. The sub-tropical belt is exceptionally wide

in the old world, and reaches far inland there, embracing the countries

bordering on the Mediterranean in southern Europe and northern Africa,

and then extending eastward across the Dalmatian coast and the southern

part of the Balkan peninsula into Syria, Mesopotamia, Arabia north of

the tropic, Persia and the adjacent lands. The fact that the

Mediterranean countries are so generally included has led to the use of

the name "Mediterranean climate." Owing to the great irregularity of

topography and outline, the Mediterranean province embraces many

varieties of climate, but the dominant characteristics are the mild

temperatures, except on the higher elevations, and the sub-tropical

rains.

On the west coasts of the two Americas the sub-tropical belt of winter

rains is clearly seen in California and in northern Chile, on the west

of the coast mountain ranges. Between the region which has rain

throughout the year from the stormy westerlies, and the districts which

are permanently arid under the trades, there is an indefinite belt over

which rains fall in winter. In southern Africa, which is controlled by

the high pressure areas of the South Atlantic and south Indian oceans,

the south-western coastal belt has winter rains, decreasing to the

north, while the east coast and adjoining interior have summer rains,

from the south-east trade. Southern Australia is climatically similar to

South Africa. In summer the trades give rainfall on the eastern coast,

decreasing inland. In winter the westerlies give moderate rains, chiefly

on the south-western coast.

The sub-tropical climates follow the tropical high pressure belts across

the oceans, but they do not retain their distinctive character far

inland from the west coasts of the continents (except in the

Mediterranean case), nor on the east coasts. On the latter, summer

monsoons and the occurrence of general summer rains interfere, as in

eastern Asia and in Florida.

[Illustration: FIG. 8.--Annual March of Rainfall: Sub-tropical Type.

W.A, Western Australia: M, Malta.]

Strictly winter rains are typical of the coasts and islands of this

belt. The more continental areas have a tendency to spring and autumn

rains. The rainy and dry seasons are most marked at the equatorward

margins of the belt. With increasing latitude, the rain is more evenly

distributed through the year, the summer becoming more and more rainy

until, in the continental interiors of the higher latitudes, the summer

becomes the season of maximum rainfall. The monthly distribution of

rainfall in two sub-tropical regions is shown in the accompanying curves

for Malta and for Western Australia (fig. 8). In Alexandria the dry

season lasts nearly eight months; in Palestine, from six to seven

months; in Greece, about four months. The sub-tropical rains are

peculiarly well developed on the eastern coast of the Atlantic Ocean.

The winter rains which migrate equatorward are separated by the Sahara

from the equatorial rains which migrate poleward. An unusually extended

migration of either of these rain belts may bring them close together,

leaving but a small part, if any, of the intervening desert actually

rainless. The Arabian desert occupies a somewhat similar position. Large

variations in the annual rainfall may be expected towards the equatorial

margins of the sub-tropical belts.

The main features of the sub-tropical rains east of the Atlantic are

repeated on the Pacific coasts of the two Americas. In North America the

rainfall decreases from Alaska, Washington and northern Oregon

southwards to lower California, and the length of the summer dry season

increases. At San Diego, six months (May-October) have each less than 5%

of the annual precipitation, and four of these have 1%. The southern

extremity of Chile, from about latitude 38 deg. S. southward, has heavy

rainfall throughout the year from the westerlies, with a winter maximum.

Northern Chile is persistently dry. Between these two there are winter

rains and dry summers. Neither Africa nor Australia extends far enough

south to show the different members of this system well. New Zealand is

almost wholly in the prevailing westerly belt. Northern India is unique

in having summer monsoon rains and also winter rains, the latter from

weak cyclonic storms which correspond with the sub-tropical winter

rains.

[Illustration: FIG. 9.--Annual March of Temperature for selected

Sub-tropical Stations. C, Cordoba; A, Auckland; Ba, Bermuda; Bd,

Bagdad.]

From the position of the sub-tropical belts to leeward of the oceans,

and at the equatorial margins of the temperate zones, it follows that

their temperatures are not extreme. Further, the protection afforded by

mountain ranges, as by the Alps in Europe and the Sierra Nevada in the

United States, is an important factor in keeping out extremes of winter

cold. The annual march and ranges of temperature depend upon position

with reference to continental or marine influences. This is seen in the

accompanying data and curves for Bagdad, Cordoba (Argentina), Bermuda

and Auckland (fig. 9). The Mediterranean basin is particularly favoured

in winter, not only in the protection against cold afforded by the

mountains but also in the high temperature of the sea itself. The

southern Alpine valleys and the Riviera are well situated, having good

protection and a southern exposure. The coldest month usually has a mean

temperature well above 32 deg.. Mean minimum temperatures of about, and

somewhat below, freezing occur in the northern portion of the district,

and in the more continental localities minima a good deal lower have

been observed. Mean maximum temperatures of about 95 deg. occur in

northern Italy, and of still higher degrees in the southern portions.

Somewhat similar conditions obtain in the sub-tropical district of North

America. Under the control of passing cyclonic storm areas, hot or cold

winds, which often owe some of their special characteristics to the

topography, bring into the sub-tropical belts, from higher or lower

latitudes, unseasonably high or low temperatures. These winds have been

given special names (mistral, sirocco, bora, &c.).

These belts are among the least cloudy districts in the world. The

accompanying curve, giving an average for ten stations, shows the small

annual amount of cloud, the winter maximum and the marked summer

minimum, in a typical sub-tropical climate (fig. 10). The winter rains

do not bring continuously overcast skies, and a summer month with a mean

cloudiness of 10% is not exceptional in the drier parts of the

sub-tropics.

[Illustration: FIG. 10.--Annual March of Cloudiness in a Sub-tropical

Climate (Eastern Mediterranean).]

With prevailing fair skies, even temperatures, and moderate rainfall,

the sub-tropical belts possess many climatic advantages which fit them

for health resorts. The long list of well-known resorts on the

Mediterranean coast, and the shorter list for California, bear witness

to this fact.

_North Temperate Zone: West Coasts._--Marine climatic types are carried

by the prevailing westerlies on to the western coasts of the continents,

giving them mild winters and cool summers, abundant rainfall, and a high

degree of cloudiness and relative humidity. North-western Europe is

particularly favoured because of the remarkably high temperatures of the

North Atlantic Ocean. January means of 40 deg. to 50 deg. in the British

Isles and on the northern French coast occur in the same latitudes as

those of 0 deg. and 10 deg. in the far interior of Asia. In July means

60 deg. to 70 deg. in the former contrast with 70 deg. to 80 deg. in the

latter districts. The conditions are somewhat similar in North America.

Along the western coasts of North America and of Europe the mean annual

ranges are under 25 deg.--actually no greater than some of those within

the tropics. Irregular cyclonic temperature changes are, however, marked

in the temperate zone, while absent in the tropics. The curves for the

Scilly Isles and for Thorshavn, Faroe Islands, illustrate the insular

type of temperature on the west coasts (fig. 11). The annual march of

rainfall, with the marked maximum in the fall and winter which is

characteristic of the marine regime, is illustrated in the curve for

north-western Europe (fig. 12). On the northern Pacific coast of North

America the distribution is similar, and in the southern hemisphere the

western coasts of southern South America, Tasmania and New Zealand show

the same type. The cloudiness and relative humidity average high on

western coasts, with the maximum in the colder season.

[Illustration: FIG. 11.--Annual March of Temperature for Selected

Stations in the Temperate Zones.

S. I., Scilly Isles.

P, Prague.

C, Charkow.

S, Semipalatinsk.

K, Kiakta.

B, Blagovyeshchensk.

Sa, Sakhalin.

T, Thorshavn.

Y, Yakutsk.]

[Illustration: FIG. 12.--Annual March of Rainfall: Temperate Zone. C.E.

Central Europe; A. Northern Asia; N.A. Atlantic coast of North

America; N.W.E. North-west Europe.]

The west coasts therefore, including the important climatic province of

western Europe, and the coast provinces of north-western North America,

New Zealand and southern Chile, have as a whole mild winters, equable

temperatures, small ranges, and abundant rainfall, fairly well

distributed through the year. The summers are relatively cool.

_Continental Interiors._--The equable climate of the western coasts

changes, gradually or suddenly, into the more extreme climates of the

interiors. In Europe, where no high mountain ranges intervene, the

transition is gradual, and broad stretches of country have the benefits

of the tempering influence of the Atlantic. In North America the change

is abrupt, and comes on crossing the lofty western mountain barrier. The

curves in fig. 11 illustrate well the gradually increasing

continentality of the climate with increasing distance inland in

Eurasia.

The continental interiors of the north temperate zone have the greatest

extremes in the world. Towards the Arctic circle the winters are

extremely severe, and January mean temperatures of -10 deg. and -20 deg.

occur over considerable areas. At the cold pole of north-eastern Siberia

a January mean of -60 deg. is found. Mean minimum temperatures of -40

deg. occur in the area from eastern Russia, over Siberia and down to

about latitude 50 deg. N. Over no small part of Siberia minimum

temperatures below -70 deg. may be looked for every winter. Thorshavn

and Yakutsk are excellent examples of the temperature differences along

the same latitude line (see fig. 11). The winter in this interior region

is dominated by a marked high pressure. The weather is prevailingly

clear and calm. The ground is frozen all the year round below a slight

depth over wide areas. The extremely low temperatures are most trying

when the steppes are swept by icy storm winds (_buran_, _purga_),

carrying loose snow, and often resulting in loss of life. In the North

American interior the winter cold is somewhat less severe. North

American winter weather in middle latitudes is often interrupted by

cyclones, which, under the steep poleward temperature gradient then

prevailing, cause frequent, marked and sudden changes in wind direction

and temperature over the central and eastern United States. Cold waves

and warm waves are common, and blizzards resemble the buran or purga of

Russia and Siberia. With cold northerly winds, temperatures below

freezing are carried far south towards the tropic.

The January mean temperatures in the southern portions of the

continental interiors average about 50 deg. or 60 deg. In summer the

northern continental interiors are warm, with July means of 60 deg. and

thereabouts. These temperatures are not much higher than those on the

west coasts, but as the northern interior winters are much colder than

those on the coasts, the interior ranges are very large. Mean maximum

temperatures of 86 deg. occur beyond the Arctic circle in north-eastern

Siberia, and beyond latitude 60 deg. in North America. In spite of the

extreme winter cold, agriculture extends remarkably far north in these

regions, because of the warm, though short, summers, with favourable

rainfall distribution. The summer heat is sufficient to thaw the upper

surface of the frozen ground, and vegetation prospers for its short

season. At this time great stretches of flat surface become swamps. The

southern interiors have torrid heat in summer, temperatures of over 90

deg. being recorded in the south-western United States and in southern

Asia. In these districts the diurnal ranges of temperature are very

large, often exceeding 40 deg., and the mean maxima exceed 110 deg.

The winter maximum rainfall of the west coasts becomes a summer maximum

in the interiors. The change is gradual in Europe, as was the change in

temperature, but more sudden in North America. The curves for central

Europe and for northern Asia illustrate these continental summer rains

(see fig. 12). The summer maximum becomes more marked with the

increasing continental character of the climate. There is also a

well-marked decrease in the amount of rainfall inland. In western Europe

the rainfall averages 20 to 30 in., with much larger amounts (reaching

80-100 in. and even more) on the bold west coasts, as in the British

Isles and Scandinavia, where the moist Atlantic winds are deflected

upwards, and also locally on mountain ranges, as on the Alps. There are

small rainfalls (below 20 in.) in eastern Scandinavia and on the Iberian

peninsula. Eastern Europe has generally less than 20 in., western

Siberia about 15 in., and eastern Siberia about 10 in. In the southern

part of the great overgrown continent of Asia an extended region of

steppes and deserts, too far from the sea to receive sufficient

precipitation, shut in, furthermore, by mountains, controlled in summer

by drying northerly winds, receives less than 10 in. a year, and in

places less than 5 in. In this interior district of Asia population is

inevitably small and suffers under a condition of hopeless aridity.

The North American interior has more favourable rainfall conditions than

Asia, because the former continent is not overgrown. The heavy rainfalls

on the western slopes of the Pacific coast mountains correspond, in a

general way, with those on the west coast of Europe, although they are

heavier (over 100 in. at a maximum). The close proximity of the

mountains to the Pacific, however, involves a much more rapid decrease

of rainfall inland than is the case in Europe, as may be seen by

comparing the isohyetal lines[5] in the two cases. A considerable

interior region is left with deficient rainfall (less than 10 in.) in

the south-west. The eastern portion of the continent is freely open to

the Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico, so that moist cyclonic winds have

access, and rainfalls of over 20 in. are found everywhere east of the

100th meridian. These conditions are much more favourable than those in

eastern Asia. The greater part of the interior of North America has the

usual warm-season rains. In the interior basin, between the Rocky and

Sierra Nevada mountains, the higher plateaus and mountains receive much

more rain than the desert lowlands. Forests grow on the higher

elevations, while irrigation is necessary for agriculture on the

lowlands. The rainfall here comes largely from thunderstorms.

In South America the narrow Pacific slope has heavy rainfall (over 80

in.). East of the Andes the plains are dry (mostly less than 10 in.).

The southern part of the continent is very narrow, and is open to the

east, as well as more open to the west owing to the decreasing height of

the mountains. Hence the rainfall increases somewhat to the south,

coming in connexion with passing cyclones. Tasmania and New Zealand have

most rain on their western slopes.

[Illustration: FIG. 13.--Annual March of Cloudiness: Temperate Zones. E,

Central Europe; A, Eastern Asia; M, mountain.]

In a typical continental climate the winter, except for radiation fogs,

is very clear, and the summer the cloudiest season, as is well shown in

the accompanying curve for eastern Asia (A, fig. 13). In a more moderate

continental climate, such as that of central Europe (E, fig. 13), and

much of the United States, the winter is the cloudiest season. In the

first case the mean cloudiness is small; in the second there is a good

deal of cloud all the year round.

_East Coasts._--The prevailing winds carry the continental climates of

the interiors off over the eastern coasts of the temperate zone lands,

and even for some distance on to the adjacent oceans. The east coasts

therefore have continental climates, with modifications resulting from

the presence of the oceans to leeward, and are necessarily separated

from the west coasts, with which they have little in common. On the west

coasts of the north temperate lands the isotherms are far apart. On the

east coasts they are crowded together. The east coasts share with the

interiors large annual and cyclonic ranges of temperature. A glance at

the isothermal maps of the world will show at once how favoured, because

of its position to leeward of the warm North Atlantic waters, is western

Europe as compared with eastern North America. A similar contrast, less

marked, is seen in eastern Asia and western North America. In eastern

Asia there is some protection, by the coast mountains, against the

extreme cold of the interior, but in North America there is no such

barrier, and severe cold winds sweep across the Atlantic coast states,

even far to the south. Owing to the prevailing offshore winds, the

oceans to leeward have relatively little effect.

As already noted, the rainfall increases from the interiors towards the

east coasts. In North America the distribution through the year is very

uniform, with some tendency to a summer maximum, as in the interior

(N.A, fig. 12).

In eastern Asia the winters are relatively dry and clear, under the

influence of the cold offshore monsoon, and the summers are warm and

rainy. Rainfalls of 40 in. are found on the east coasts of Korea,

Kamchatka and Japan, while in North America, which is more open, they

reach farther inland. Japan, although occupying an insular position, has

a modified continental rather than a marine climate. The winter monsoon,

after crossing the water, gives abundant rain on the western coast,

while the winter is relatively dry on the lee of the mountains, on the

east. Japan has smaller temperature ranges than the mainland.

_Mountain Climates._--The mountain climates of the temperate zone have

the usual characteristics which are associated with altitude everywhere.

If the altitude is sufficiently great the decreased temperature gives

mountains a polar climate, with the difference that the summers are

relatively cool while the winters are mild owing to inversions of

temperature in anticyclonic weather. Hence the annual ranges are smaller

than over lowlands. At such times of inversion the mountain-tops often

appear as local areas of higher temperature in a general region of

colder air over the valleys and lowlands. The increased intensity of

insolation aloft is an important factor in giving certain mountain

resorts their deserved popularity in winter (_e.g._ Davos and Meran). Of

Meran it has been well said that from December to March the nights are

winter, but the days are mild spring. The diurnal ascending air currents

of summer usually give mountains their maximum cloudiness and highest

relative humidity in the warmer months, while winter is the drier and

clearer season. This is shown in curve M, fig. 13. The clouds of winter

are low, those of summer are higher. Hence the annual march of

cloudiness on mountains is usually the opposite of that on lowlands.

_Characteristics of the Polar Zones._

_General._--The temperate zones merge into the polar zones at the Arctic

and Antarctic circles, or, if temperature be used as the basis of

classification, at the isotherms of 50 deg. for the warmest month, as

suggested by Supan. The longer or shorter absence of the sun gives the

climate a peculiar character, not found elsewhere.

Beyond the isotherm of 50 deg. for the warmest month forest trees and

cereals do not grow. In the northern hemisphere this line is well north

of the Arctic circle in the continental climate of Asia, and north of it

also in north-western North America and in northern Scandinavia, but

falls well south in eastern British America, Labrador and Greenland, and

also in the North Pacific Ocean. In the southern hemisphere this

isotherm crosses the southern extremity of South America, and runs

fairly east and west around the globe there. The conditions of life are

necessarily very specialized for the peculiar climatic features which

are met with in these zones. There is a minimum of life, but more in the

north polar than the south polar zone. Plants are few and lowly. Land

animals which depend upon plant food must therefore likewise be few in

number. Farming and cattle-raising cease. Population is small and

scattered. There are no permanent settlements at all within the

Antarctic circle. Life is a constant struggle for existence. Man seeks

his food by the chase on land, but chiefly in the sea. He lives along,

or near, the sea-coast. The interior lands, away from the sea, are

deserted. Gales and snow and cold cause many deaths on land, and,

especially during fishing expeditions, at sea. Under such hard

conditions of securing food, famine is a likely occurrence.

In the arctic climate vegetation must make rapid growth in the short,

cool summer. In the highest latitudes the summer temperatures are not

high enough to melt snow on a level. Exposure is therefore of the

greatest importance. Arctic plants grow and blossom with great rapidity

and luxuriance where the exposure is favourable, and where the water

from the melting snow can run off. The soil then dries quickly, and can

be effectively warmed. Protection against cold winds is another

important factor in the growth of vegetation. Over great stretches of

the northern plains the surface only is thawed out in the warmer months,

and swamps, mosses and lichens are found above eternally frozen ground.

Direct insolation is very effective in high latitudes. Where the

exposure is favourable, snow melts in the sun when the temperature of

the air in the shade is far below freezing.

Arctic and antarctic zones differ a good deal in the distribution and

arrangement of land and water around and in them. The southern zone is

surrounded by a wide belt of open sea; the northern, by land areas. The

northern is therefore much affected by the conditions of adjacent

continental masses. Nevertheless, the general characteristics are

apparently much the same over both, so far as is now known, the

antarctic differing from the arctic chiefly in having colder summers and

in the regularity of its pressure and winds. Both zones have the lowest

mean annual temperatures in their respective hemispheres, and hence may

properly be called the _cold zones_.

_Temperature._--At the solstices the two poles receive the largest

amounts of insolation which any part of the earth's surface ever

receives. It would seem, therefore, that the temperatures at the poles

should then be the highest in the world, but as a matter of fact they

are nearly or quite the lowest. Temperatures do not follow insolation in

this case because much of the latter never reaches the earth's surface;

because most of the energy which does reach the surface is expended in

melting the snow and ice of the polar areas; and because the water areas

are large, and the duration of insolation is short.

A set of monthly isothermal charts of the north polar area, based on all

available observations, has been prepared by H. Mohn and published in

the volume on Meteorology of the Nansen expedition. In the winter months

there are three cold poles, in Siberia, in Greenland and at the pole

itself. In January the mean temperatures at these three cold poles are

-49 deg., -40 deg. and -40 deg. respectively. The Siberian cold pole

becomes a maximum of temperature during the summer, but the Greenland

and polar minima remain throughout the year. In July the temperature

distribution shows considerable uniformity; the gradients are relatively

weak. A large area in the interior of Greenland, and one of about equal

extent around the pole, are within the isotherm of 32 deg.. For the year

a large area around the pole is enclosed by the isotherm of -4 deg.,

with an isotherm of the same value in the interior of Greenland, but a

local area of -7.6 deg. is noted in Greenland, and one of -11.2 deg. is

centred at lat. 80 deg. N. and long. 170 deg. E.

The north polar chart of annual range of temperature shows a maximum

range of about 120 deg. in Siberia; of 80 deg. in North America; of 75.6

deg. at the North Pole, and of 72 deg. in Greenland. The North Pole

obviously has a continental climate. The minimum ranges are on the

Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. The mean annual isanomalies show that the

interior of Greenland has a negative anomaly in all months. The

Norwegian sea area is 45 deg. too warm in January and February. Siberia

has +10.8 deg. in summer, and -45 deg. in January. Between Bering Strait

and the pole there is a negative anomaly in all months. The influence of

the Gulf Stream drift is clearly seen on the chart, as it is also on

that of mean annual ranges.

For the North Pole Mohn gives the following results, obtained by graphic

methods:--

_Mean Temperatures at the North Pole._

+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+

| Jan. | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. | May. | June. |

+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+

| -41.8 | -41.8 | -31.0 | -18.4 | 8.6 | 28.4 |

| deg. | deg. | deg. | deg. | deg. | deg. |

+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+

+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+-------+

| July. | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. | Year. |

+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+-------+

| 30.2 | 26.6 | 8.6 | -11.2 | -27.4 | -36.4 | -8.9 |

| deg. | deg. | deg. | deg. | deg. | deg. | deg. |

+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+-------+

It appears that the region about the North Pole is the coldest place in

the northern hemisphere for the mean of the year, and that the interior

ice desert of Greenland, together with the inner polar area, are

together the coldest parts of the northern hemisphere in July. In

January, however, Verkhoyansk, in north-eastern Siberia, just within the

Arctic circle, has a mean temperature of about -60 deg., while the inner

polar area and the northern interior of Greenland have only -40 deg.. Thus

far no minima as low as those of north-eastern Siberia have been

recorded in the Arctic.

For the Antarctic our knowledge is still very fragmentary, and relates

chiefly to the summer months. Hann has determined the mean temperatures

of the higher southern latitudes as follows:--[6]

_Mean Temperatures of High Southern Latitudes._

S. Lat. 50 deg. 60 deg. 70 deg. 80 deg.

Mean Annual 41.9 28.4 11.3 -3.6

January 46.9 37.8 30.6 20.3

July 37.2 18.3 -8.0 -24.7

From lat. 70 deg. S. polewards, J. Hann finds that the southern hemisphere

is colder than the northern. Antarctic summers are decidedly cold. The

mean annual temperatures experienced have been in the vicinity of 10 deg.,

and the minima of an ordinary antarctic winter go down to -40 deg. and

below, but so far no minima of the severest Siberian intensity have been

noted. The maxima have varied between 35 deg. and 50 deg.

The temperatures at the South Pole itself furnish an interesting subject

for speculation. It is likely that near the South Pole will prove to be

the coldest point on the earth's surface for the year, as the

distribution of insolation would imply, and as the conditions of land

and ice and snow there would suggest. The lowest winter and summer

temperatures in the southern hemisphere will almost certainly be found

in the immediate vicinity of the pole. It must not be supposed that the

isotherms in the antarctic region run parallel with the latitude lines.

They bend polewards and equatorwards at different meridians, although

much less so than in the Arctic.

The annual march of temperature in the north polar zone, for which we

have the best comparable data, is peculiar in having a much-retarded

minimum in February or even in March--the result of the long, cold

winter. The temperature rises rapidly towards summer, and reaches a

maximum in July. Autumn is warmer than spring.

The continents do not penetrate far enough into the arctic zone to

develop a pure continental climate in the highest latitudes.

Verkhoyansk, in lat. 67 deg. 6' N., furnishes an excellent example of an

exaggerated continental type for the margin of the zone, with an annual

range of 120 deg.. One-third as large a range is found on Novaya Zemlya.

Polar climate as a whole has large annual and small diurnal ranges, but

sudden changes of wind may cause marked irregular temperature changes

within twenty-four hours, especially in winter. The smaller ranges are

associated with greater cloudiness, and vice versa. The mean diurnal

variability is very small in summer, and reaches its maximum in winter,

about 7 deg. in February, according to Mohn.

_Pressure and Winds._--Owing to the more symmetrical distribution of

land and water in the southern than in the northern polar area, the

pressures and winds have a simpler arrangement in the former, and may be

first considered. The rapid southward decrease of pressure, which is so

marked a feature of the higher latitudes of the southern hemisphere on

the isobaric charts of the world, does not continue all the way to the

South Pole. Nor do the prevailing westerly winds, constituting the

"circumpolar whirl," which are so well developed over the southern

portions of the southern hemisphere oceans, blow all the way home to the

South Pole. The steep poleward pressure gradients of these southern

oceans end in a trough of low pressure, girdling the earth at about the

Antarctic circle. From here the pressure increases again towards the

South Pole, where a permanent inner polar anticyclonic area is found,

with outflowing winds deflected by the earth's rotation into easterly

and south-easterly directions. These easterly winds have been observed

by the recent expeditions which have penetrated far enough south to

cross the low-pressure trough. The limits between the prevailing

westerlies and the outflowing winds from the pole ("easterlies") vary

with the longitude and migrate with the seasons. The change in passing

from one wind system to the other is easily observed. This south polar

anticyclone, with its surrounding low-pressure girdle, migrates with the

season, the centre apparently shifting polewards in summer and towards

the eastern hemisphere in winter. The outflowing winds from the polar

anticyclones sweep down across the inland ice. Under certain topographic

conditions, descending across mountain ranges, as in the case of the

Admiralty Range in Victoria Land, these winds may develop high velocity

and take on typical _fohn_ characteristics, raising the temperature to

an unusually high degree. _Fohn_ winds are also known on both coasts of

Greenland, when a passing cyclonic depression draws the air down from

the icy interior. These Greenland _fohn_ winds are important climatic

elements, for they blow down warm and dry, raising the temperature even

30 deg. or 40 deg. above the winter mean, and melting the snow.

In the Arctic area the wind systems are less clearly defined and the

pressure distribution is much less regular, on account of the irregular

distribution of land and water. The isobaric charts published in the

report of the Nansen expedition show that the North Atlantic

low-pressure area is more or less well developed in all months. Except

in June, when it lies over southern Greenland, this tongue-shaped trough

of low pressure lies in Davis strait, to the south-west or west of

Iceland, and over the Norwegian Sea. In winter it greatly extends its

limits farther east into the inner Arctic Ocean, to the north of Russia

and Siberia. The Pacific minimum of pressure is found south of Bering

Strait and in Alaska. Between these two regions of lower pressure the

divide extends from North America to eastern Siberia. This divide has

been called by Supan the "Arktische Wind-scheide." The pressure

gradients are steepest in winter. At the pole itself pressure seems to

be highest in April and lowest from June to September. The annual range

is only about 0.20 in.

The prevailing westerlies, which in the high southern latitudes are so

symmetrically developed, are interfered with to such an extent by the

varying pressure controls over the northern continents and oceans in

summer and winter that they are often hardly recognizable on the wind

maps. The isobaric and wind charts show that on the whole the winds blow

out from the inner polar basin, especially in winter and spring.

_Rain and Snow._--Rainfall on the whole decreases steadily from equator

to poles. The amount of precipitation must of necessity be comparatively

slight in the polar zones, chiefly because of the small capacity of the

air for water vapour at the low temperatures there prevailing; partly

also because of the decrease, or absence, of local convectional storms

and thunder-showers. Locally, under exceptional conditions, as in the

case of the western coast of Norway, the rainfall is a good deal

heavier. Even cyclonic storms cannot yield much precipitation. The

extended snow and ice fields tend to give an exaggerated idea of the

actual amount of precipitation. It must be remembered, however, that

evaporation is slow at low temperatures, and melting is not excessive.

Hence the polar store of fallen snow is well preserved: interior

snowfields, ice sheets and glaciers are produced.

The commonest form of precipitation is naturally snow, the summer limit

of which, in the northern hemisphere, is near the Arctic circle, with

the exception of Norway. So far as exploration has yet gone into the

highest latitudes, rain falls in summer, and it is doubtful whether

there are places where _all_ the precipitation falls as snow. The snow

of the polar regions is characteristically fine and dry. At low polar

temperatures flakes of snow are not found, but precipitation is in the

form of ice spicules. The finest glittering ice needles often fill the

air, even on clear days, and in calm weather, and gradually descending

to the surface, slowly add to the depth of snow on the ground. Dry snow

is also blown from the snowfields on windy days, interfering with the

transparency of the air.

_Humidity, Cloudiness and Fog._--The absolute humidity must be low in

polar latitudes, especially in winter, on account of the low

temperatures. Relative humidity varies greatly, and very low readings

have often been recorded. Cloudiness seems to decrease somewhat towards

the inner polar areas, after passing the belt of high cloudiness in the

higher latitudes of the temperate zones. In the marine climates of high

latitudes the summer, which is the calmest season, has the maximum

cloudiness; the winter, with more active wind movement, is clearer. The

curve here given illustrates these conditions (fig. 14). The summer

maximum is largely due to fogs, which are produced where warm, damp air

is chilled by coming in contact with ice. They are also formed over open

waters, as among the Faeroe Islands, for example, and open water spaces,

in the midst of an ice-covered sea, are commonly detected at a distance

by means of the "steam fog" which rises from them. Fogs are less common

in winter, when they occur as radiation fogs, of no great thickness. The

small winter cloudiness, which is reported also from the antarctic zone,

corresponds with the low absolute humidity and small precipitation. The

coasts and islands bathed by the warm waters of the Gulf Stream drift

usually have a higher cloudiness in winter than in summer. The place of

fog is in winter taken by the fine snow crystals, which often darken the

air like fog when strong winds raise the dry snow from the surfaces on

which it is lying. Cumulus cloud forms are rare, even in summer, and it

is doubtful whether the cloud occurs at all in its typical development.

Stratus is probably the commonest cloud of high latitudes, often

covering the sky for days without a break. Cirrus cloud forms probably

decrease polewards.

[Illustration: FIG. 14.--Annual March of Cloudiness in Polar Latitudes

(marine type).]

_Cyclones and Weather._--The prevailing westerlies continue up into the

margins of the polar zones. Many of their cyclonic storms also continue

on to the polar zones, giving sudden and irregular pressure and weather

changes. The inner polar areas seem to be beyond the reach of frequent

and violent cyclonic disturbance. Calms are more common; the weather is

quieter and fairer; precipitation is less. Most of the observations thus

far obtained from the Antarctic come from this marginal zone of great

cyclonic activity, violent winds, and wet, disagreeable, inhospitable

weather, and therefore do not show the features of the actual south

polar climate.

During the three years of the "Fram's" drift depressions passed on all

sides of her, with a preponderance on the west. The direction of

progression averaged nearly due east, and the hourly velocity 27 to 34

m., which is about that in the United States. For the higher latitudes,

most of the cyclones must pass by on the equatorial side of the

observer, giving "backing" winds in the northern hemisphere. The main

cyclonic tracks are such that the wind characteristically backs in

Iceland, and still more so in Jan Mayen and on the eastern coast of

Greenland, these districts lying on the north and west of the path of

progression. Frightful winter storms occasionally occur along the east

coast of Greenland and off Spitzbergen.

For much of the year in the polar zones the diurnal control is weak or

absent. The successive spells of stormy or of fine weather are wholly

cyclonically controlled. Extraordinary records of storm and gale have

been brought back from the far south and the far north. Wind direction

and temperature vary in relation to the position of the cyclone. During

the long dreary winter night the temperature falls to very low readings.

Snowstorms and gales alternate at irregular short intervals with calmer

spells of more extreme cold and clearer skies. The periods of greatest

cold in winter are calm. A wind from any direction will bring a rise in

temperature. This probably results from the fact that the cold is the

result of local radiation, and a wind interferes with these conditions

by importing higher temperatures, or by mixing upper and lower strata.

During the long summer days the temperature rises well above the winter

mean, and under favourable conditions certain phenomena, such as the

diurnal variation in wind velocity, for example, give evidence of the

diurnal control. But the irregular cyclonic weather changes continue, in

a modified form. There is no really warm season. Snow still falls

frequently. The summer is essentially only a modified winter, especially

in the Antarctic. In summer clear spells are relatively warm, and winds

bring lower temperatures. In spite of its lack of high temperatures,

the northern polar summer, near the margins of the zone, has many

attractive qualities in its clean, pure, crisp, dry air, free from dust

and impurities; its strong insolation; its slight precipitation.

_Twilight and Optical Phenomena._--The monotony and darkness of the

polar night are decreased a good deal by the long twilight. Light from

moon and stars, and from the aurora, also relieves the darkness. Optical

phenomena of great variety, beauty and complexity are common. Solar and

lunar haloes, and coronae, and mock suns and moons are often seen.

Auroras seem to be less common and less brilliant in the Antarctic than

in the Arctic. Sunset and sunrise colours within the polar zones are

described as being extraordinarily brilliant and impressive.

_Physiological Effects._--The north polar summer, as has been pointed

out, in spite of its drawbacks, is in some respects a pleasant and

healthful season. But the polar night is monotonous, depressing,

repelling. Sir W. E. Parry said that it would be difficult to conceive

of two things which are more alike than two polar winters. An

everlasting uniform snow covering; rigidity; lifelessness;

silence--except for the howl of the gale or the cracking of the ice.

Small wonder that the polar night has sometimes unbalanced men's minds.

The first effects are often a strong desire for sleep, and indifference.

Later effects have been sleeplessness and nervousness, tending in

extreme cases to insanity; anaemia, digestive troubles. Extraordinarily

low winter temperatures are easily borne if the air be dry and still.

Zero weather seems pleasantly refreshing if clear and calm. But high

relative humidity and wind--even a light breeze--give the same degree of

cold a penetrating feeling of chill which may be unbearable. Large

temperature ranges are endured without danger in the polar winter when

the air is dry. When exposed to direct insolation the skin burns and

blisters; the lips swell and crack. Thirst has been much complained of

by polar explorers, and is due to the active evaporation from the warm

body into the dry, relatively cold air. There is no doubt that polar air

is singularly free from micro-organisms--a fact which is due chiefly to

lack of communication with other parts of the world. Hence many diseases

which are common in temperate zones, "colds" among them, are rare.

_Changes of Climate._

_Popular Belief in Climatic Change._--Belief in a change in the climate

of one's place of residence, within a few generations, and even within

the memory of living men, is widespread. Evidence is constantly being

brought forward of apparent climatic variations of greater or less

amount which are now taking place. Thus we have many accounts of a

gradual desiccation which seems to have been going on over a large

region in Central Asia during historical times. In northern Africa

certain ancient historical records have been taken by different writers

to indicate a general decrease of rainfall during the last 3000 or more

years. In his crossing of the Sahara between Algeria and the Niger, E.

F. Gautier found evidence of a former large population. A gradual

desiccation of the region is therefore believed to have taken place, but

to-day the equatorial rain belt seems to be again advancing farther

north, giving an increased rainfall. Farther south, several lakes have

been reported as decreasing in size, e.g. Chad and Victoria; and wells

and springs as running dry. In the Lake Chad district A. J. B. Chevalier

reports the discovery of vegetable and animal remains which indicate an

invasion of the Sudan by a Saharan climate. It is often held that a

steady decrease in rainfall has taken place over Greece, Syria and other

eastern Mediterranean lands, resulting in a gradual and inevitable

deterioration and decay of their people.

_What Meteorological Records show._--As concerns the popular impression

regarding change of climate, it is clear at the start that no definite

answer can be given on the basis of tradition or of general impression.

The only answer of real value must be based on the records of accurate

instruments, properly exposed and carefully read. When such instrumental

records are carefully examined, from the time when they were first

kept, which in a few cases goes back about 150 years, there is found no

good evidence of any progressive change in temperature, or in the amount

of rain and snow. Even when the most accurate instrumental records are

available, care must be taken to interpret them correctly. Thus, if a

rainfall or snowfall record of several years at some station indicates

an apparent increase or decrease in the amount of precipitation, it does

not necessarily follow that this means a permanent, progressive change

in climate, which is to continue indefinitely. It may simply mean that

there have been a few years of somewhat more precipitation, and that a

period of somewhat less precipitation is to follow.

_Value of Evidence concerning Changes of Climate._--The body of facts

which has been adduced as evidence of progressive changes of climate

within historical times is not yet sufficiently large and complete to

warrant any general correlation and study of these facts as a whole. But

there are certain considerations which should be borne in mind in

dealing with this evidence before any conclusions are reached. In the

first place, changes in the distribution of certain fruits and cereals,

and in the dates of the harvest, have often been accepted as undoubted

evidence of changes in climate. Such a conclusion is by no means

inevitable, for many changes in the districts of cultivation of various

crops have naturally resulted from the fact that these same crops are in

time found to be more profitably grown, or more easily prepared for

market, in another locality. In France, C. A. Angot has made a careful

compilation of the dates of the vintage from the 14th century down to

the present time, and finds no support for the view so commonly held

there that the climate has changed for the worse. At the present time,

the average date of the grape harvest in Aubonne is exactly the same as

at the close of the 16th century. After a careful study of the

conditions of the date tree, from the 4th century, B.C., D. Eginitis

concludes that the climate of the eastern portion of the Mediterranean

basin has not changed appreciably during twenty-three centuries.

Secondly, a good many of the reports by explorers from little-known

regions are contradictory. This shows the need of caution in jumping at

conclusions of climatic change. An increased use of water for irrigation

may cause the level of water in a lake to fall. Periodic oscillations,

giving higher and then lower water, do not indicate progressive change

in one direction. Many writers have seen a law in what was really a

chance coincidence.

Thirdly, where a progressive desiccation seems to have taken place, it

is often a question whether less rain is actually falling, or whether

the inhabitants have less capacity and less energy than formerly. Is the

change from a once cultivated area to a barren expanse the result of

decreasing rainfall, or of the emigration of the former inhabitants to

other lands? The difference between a country formerly well irrigated

and fertile, and a present-day sandy, inhospitable waste may be the

result of a former compulsion of the people, by a strong governing

power, to till the soil and to irrigate, while now, without that

compulsion, no attempt is made to keep up the work. A region of

deficient rainfall, once thickly settled and prosperous, may readily

become an apparently hopeless desert, even without the intervention of

war and pestilence, if man allows the climate to master him. In many

cases the reports of increasing dryness really concern only the decrease

in the water supply from rivers and springs, and it is well known that a

change in the cultivation of the soil, or in the extent of the forests,

may bring about marked changes in the flow of springs and rivers without

any essential change in the actual amount of rainfall.

Lastly, a region whose normal rainfall is at best barely sufficient for

man's needs may be abandoned by its inhabitants during a few years of

deficient precipitation, and not again occupied even when, a few years

later, normal or excessive rainfall occurs.

_Periodic Oscillations of Climate: Sun-spot Period._--The discovery of a

distinct eleven-year periodicity in the magnetic phenomena of the earth

naturally led to investigations of similar periods in meteorology. The

literature on this subject has assumed large proportions. The results,

however, have not been satisfactory. The problem is difficult and

obscure. Fluctuations in temperature and rainfall, occurring in an

eleven-year period, have been made out for certain stations but the

variations are slight, and it is not yet clear that they are

sufficiently marked, uniform and persistent over large areas to make

practical application of the periodicity in forecasting possible. In

some cases the relation to sun-spot periodicity is open to debate; in

others, the results are contradictory.

W. P. Koppen has brought forward evidence of a sun-spot period in the

mean annual temperature, especially in the tropics, the maximum

temperatures coming in the years of sun-spot minima. The whole amplitude

of the variation in the mean annual temperatures, from sun-spot minimum

to sun-spot maximum, is, however, only 1.3 deg. in the tropics and a

little less than 1 deg. in the extra-tropics. More recently Nordmann

(for the years 1870-1900) has continued Koppen's investigation.

In 1872 C. Meldrum, then Director of the Meteorological Observatory at

Mauritius, first called attention to a sun-spot periodicity in rainfall

and in the frequency of tropical cyclones in the South Indian Ocean. The

latter are most numerous in years of sun-spot maxima, and decrease in

frequency with the approach of sun-spot minima. Poey found later a

similar relation in the case of the West Indian hurricanes. Meldrum's

conclusions regarding rainfall were that, with few exceptions, there is

more rain in years of sun-spot maxima. S. A. Hill found it to be true of

the Indian summer monsoon rains that there seems to be an excess in the

first half of the cycle, after the sun-spot maximum. The winter rains of

northern India, however, show the opposite relation; the minimum

following, or coinciding with, the sun-spot maximum. Particular

attention has been paid to the sun-spot cycle of rainfall in India,

because of the close relation between famines and the summer monsoon

rainfall in that country. Sir Norman Lockyer and Dr W. J. S. Lockyer

have recently studied the variations of rainfall in the region

surrounding the Indian Ocean in the light of solar changes in

temperature. They find that India has two pulses of rainfall, one near

the maximum and the other near the minimum of the sun-spot period. The

famines of the last fifty years have occurred in the intervals between

these two pulses, and these writers believe that if as much had been

known in 1836 as is now known, the probability of famines at all the

subsequent dates might have been foreseen.

Relations between the sun-spot period and various other meteorological

phenomena than temperature, rainfall and tropical cyclones have been

made the subject of numerous investigations, but on the whole the

results are still too uncertain to be of any but a theoretical value.

Some promising conclusions seem, however, to have been reached in regard

to pressure variations, and their control over other climatic elements.

_Bruckner's 35-Year Cycle._--Of more importance than the results thus

far reached for the sun-spot period are those which clearly establish a

somewhat longer period of slight fluctuations or oscillations of

climate, known as the Bruckner cycle, after Professor Bruckner of Bern,

who has made a careful investigation of the whole subject of climatic

changes and finds evidence of a 35-year periodicity in temperature and

rainfall. In a cycle whose average length is 35 years, there comes a

series of years which are somewhat cooler and also more rainy, and then

a series of years which are somewhat warmer and drier. The interval in

some cases is twenty years; in others it is fifty. The _average_

interval between two cool and moist, or warm and dry, periods is about

35 years. The mean amplitude of the temperature fluctuation, based on

large numbers of data, is a little less than 2 deg. The fluctuations in

rainfall are more marked in interiors than on coasts. The general mean

amplitude is 12%, or, excluding exceptional districts, 24%. Regions

whose normal rainfall is small are most affected.

The following table shows the dates and characters of Bruckner's

periods:--

Warm 1746-1755 1791-1805 1821-1835 1851-1870 ..

Dry 1756-1770 1781-1805 1826-1840 1856-1870 ..

Cold 1731-1745 1756-1790 1806-1820 1836-1850 1871-1885

Wet 1736-1755 1771-1780 1806-1825 1841-1855 1871-1885

Interesting confirmation of Bruckner's 35-year period has been found by

E. Richter in the variations of the Swiss glaciers, but as these

glaciers differ in length, they do not all advance and retreat at the

same time. The advance is seen during the cold and damp periods.

Bruckner has found certain districts in which the phases and epochs of

the climatic cycle are exactly reversed. These exceptional districts are

almost altogether limited to marine climates. There is thus a sort of

compensation between oceans and continents. The rainier periods on the

continents are accompanied by relatively low pressures, while the

pressures are high and the period dry over the oceans and vice versa.

The cold and rainy periods are also marked by a decrease in all pressure

differences. It is obvious that changes in the general distribution of

atmospheric pressures, over extended areas, are closely associated with

fluctuations in temperature and rainfall. These changes in pressure

distribution must in some way be associated with changes in the general

circulation of the atmosphere, and these again must depend upon some

external controlling cause or causes. W. J. S. Lockyer has called

attention to the fact that there seems to be a periodicity of about 35

years in solar activity, and that this corresponds with the Bruckner

period.

It is clear that the existence of a 35-year period will account for many

of the views that have been advanced in favour of a _progressive_ change

of climate. A succession of a few years wetter or drier than the normal

is likely to lead to the conclusion that the change is permanent.

Accurate observations extending over as many years as possible, and

discussed without prejudice, are necessary before any conclusions are

drawn. Observations for one station during the wetter part of a cycle

should not be compared with observations for another station during the

drier part of the same, or of another cycle.

There are evidences of longer climatic cycles than eleven or 35 years.

Bruckner calls attention to the fact that sometimes two of his periods

seem to merge into one. E. Richter shows much the same thing for the

Alpine glaciers. Evidence of considerable climatic changes since the

last glacial period is not lacking. But as yet nothing sufficiently

definite to warrant general conclusions has been brought forward.

_Geological Changes in Climate._--Changes of climate in the geological

past are known with absolute certainty to have taken place: periods of

glacial invasion, as well as periods of more genial conditions. The

evidence, and the causes of these changes have been discussed and

re-discussed, by writers almost without number, and from all points of

view. Changes in the intensity of insolation; in the sun itself; in the

conditions of the earth's atmosphere; in the astronomical relations of

earth and sun; in the distribution of land and water; in the position of

the earth's axis; in the altitude of the land; in the presence of

volcanic dust;--now cosmic, now terrestrial conditions--have been

suggested, combated, put forward again. None of these hypotheses has

prevailed in preference to others. No actual proof of the correctness of

this or that theory has been brought forward. No general agreement has

been reached.

_Conclusion._--Without denying the possibility, or even the probability,

of the establishment of the fact of secular changes, there is as yet no

sufficient warrant for believing in considerable _permanent changes over

large areas_. Dufour, after a thorough study of all available evidence,

has concluded that a change of climate has not been proved. There are

periodic oscillations of slight amount. A 35-year period is fairly well

established, but is nevertheless of considerable irregularity, and

cannot as yet be practically applied in forecasting. Longer periods are

suggested, but not made out. As to causes, variations in solar activity

are naturally receiving attention, and the results thus far are

promising. But climate is a great complex, and complete and satisfactory

explanations of all the facts will be difficult, perhaps impossible, to

reach. At present, indeed, the facts which call for explanation are

still in most cases but poorly determined, and the processes at work are

insufficiently understood. Climate is not absolutely a constant. The

pendulum swings to the right and to the left. And its swing is as far to

the right as to the left. Each generation lives through a part of one,

or two, or even three oscillations. A snapshot view of these

oscillations makes them seem permanent. As Supan has well said, it was

formerly believed that climate changes locally, but progressively and

permanently. It is now believed that oscillations of climate are limited

in time, but occur over wide areas.

LITERATURE.--Scientific climatology is based upon numerical results,

obtained by systematic, long continued, accurate meteorological

observations. The essential part of its literature is therefore found

in the collections of data published by the various meteorological

services. The only comprehensive text-book of climatology is the

_Handbuch der Klimatologie_ of Professor Julius Hann, of the

university of Vienna (Stuttgart, 1897). This is the standard book on

the subject, and upon it is based much of the present article, and of

other recent discussions of climate. The first volume deals with

general climatology, and has been translated into English (London and

New York, 1903). Reference should be made to this book for further

details than are here given. The second and third volumes are devoted

to the climates of the different countries of the world. Woeikof's

_Die Klimate der Erde_ (Jena, 1887) is also a valuable reference book.

The standard meteorological journal of the world, the _Meteorologische

Zeitschrift_ (Braunschweig, monthly), is indispensable to any one who

wishes to keep in touch with the latest publications. The _Quarterly

Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society_ (London), _Symons's

Monthly Meteorological Magazine_ (London), and the _Monthly Weather

Review_ (Washington, D.C.) are also valuable. The newest and most

complete collection of charts is that in the _Atlas of Meteorology_

(London, 1899), in which also there is an excellent working

bibliography. For the titles of more recent publications reference may

be made to the _International Catalogue of Scientific Literature

(Meteorology)_. (R. DE C. W.)

CLIMATE IN THE TREATMENT OF DISEASE.--The most important qualities of

the atmosphere in relation to health are (i.) the chemical composition,

(ii.) the solids floating in it, (iii.) the mean and extreme

temperatures, (iv.) the degree of humidity, (v.) the diathermancy, (vi.)

the intensity of light, (vii.) the electrical conditions, (viii.) the

density and pressure, and (ix.) the prevailing winds. Generally

speaking, the relative purity of the air--i.e. absence of septic solid

particles--is an important consideration; while cold acts as a stimulant

and tonic, increasing the amount of carbon dioxide exhaled in the

twenty-four hours. Different individuals, however, react both to heat

and cold very differently. At health resorts, where the temperature may

vary between 55 deg. and 70 deg. F., strong individuals gradually lose

strength and begin to suffer from various degrees of lassitude; whereas

a delicate person under the same conditions gains vigour both of mind

and body, puts on weight, and is less liable to disease. And a

corresponding intensity of cold acts in the reverse manner in each case.

Thus a health resort with a moderate degree of heat is very valuable for

delicate or elderly people, and those who are temporarily weakened by

illness. Cold, however, when combined with wind and damp must be

specially avoided by the aged, the delicate, and those prone to gouty

and rheumatic affections. The moisture of the atmosphere controls the

distribution of warmth on the earth, and is closely bound up with the

prevailing winds, temperature, light and pressure. In dry air the

evaporation from both skin and lungs is increased, especially if the

sunshine be plentiful and the altitude high. In warm moist air strength

is lost and there is a distinct tendency to intestinal troubles. In

moist cold air perspiration is checked, and rheumatic and joint

affections are very common. The main differences between mountain air

and that of the plains depend on the former being more rarefied, colder,

of a lower absolute humidity, and offering less resistance to the sun's

rays. As the altitude is raised, circulation and respiration are

quickened, probably as an effort on the part of the organism to

compensate for the diminished supply of oxygen, and somewhat more

gradually the number of red blood corpuscles increases, this increase

persisting for a considerable time after a return to lower ground. In

addition to these changes there is a distinct tendency to diminished

proteid metabolism, resulting in an increase of weight owing to the

storage of proteid in the tissues. Thus children and young people whose

development is not yet complete are especially likely to benefit by the

impetus given to growth and the blood-forming organs, and the

therapeutic value in their case rarely fails. For older people, however,

the benefit depends on whether their organs of circulation and

respiration are sufficiently vigorous to respond to the increased

demands on them. For anaemia, pulmonary tuberculosis, pleural

thickening, deficient expansion of the lungs, neurasthenia, and the

debility following fevers and malaria, mountain air is invaluable. But

where there is valvular disease of the heart, or rapidly advancing

disease of the lungs, it is to be avoided. Light, especially direct

sunlight, is of primary importance, the lack of it tending to depression

and dyspeptic troubles. Probably its germicidal power accounts for the

aseptic character of the air of the Alps, the desert and other places.

Sir Hermann Weber has defined a "good" climate as that in which all the

organs and tissues of the body are kept evenly at work in alternation

with rest. Thus a climate with constant moderate variations in its

principal factors is the best for the maintenance of health. But the

best climate for an invalid depends on the particular weakness from

which he may suffer. Pulmonary tuberculosis stands first in the

importance of the effects of climate. The continuous supply of pure

fresh air is the main desideratum, a cool climate being greatly superior

to a tropical one. Exposure to strong winds is harmful, since it

increases the tendency to cough and thus leads to loss of body

temperature, which is in its turn made up at the expense of increased

metabolism. A high altitude, from the purity and stimulating properties

of the air, is of value to many mild or very early cases, but where the

disease is extensive, where the heart is irritable, or where there is

any tendency to insomnia, high altitudes are contra-indicated, and no

such patient should be sent higher than some 1500 ft. Where the disease

is of long standing, with much expectoration, or accompanied by

albuminuria, the patient appears to do best in a humid atmosphere but

little above the sea-level. The climate of Egypt is especially suitable

for cases complicated with bronchitis or bronchiectasis, but is

contra-indicated where there is attendant diarrhoea. Madeira and the

Canaries are useful when emphysema is present or where there is much

irritability of constitution. Bronchitis in young people is best treated

by high altitudes, but in older patients by a moist mild climate, except

where much expectoration is present.

The influence of atmospheric conditions on the functions of the nose is

very marked. Within the ordinary ranges of humidity and temperature the

nasal mucous membrane completely saturates the air with aqueous vapour

before it reaches the pharynx. In cold and dry mountain climates there

is a very free nasal secretion, far beyond what is needed for the

saturation of the air; and at low levels the reverse action takes place,

the nose becoming "stuffy." The mechanism on which this depends is found

in the erectile tissue, and anything favouring the engorgement of the

veins, such as weak heart action, chronic bronchitis or kidney troubles,

&c, leads to a corresponding turgidity of the nose and sinuses. In

addition to barometric and other influences, it has been found that

light produces collapse of this tissue, smoke having a similar effect.

On this latter effect probably depends the fact that many asthmatics are

better in a city like London than elsewhere, the smoke relieving the

turgescence of the inferior turbinals of the nose. In the treatment of

pathological nasal conditions, all cases of obstruction from whatsoever

cause are best in a dry atmosphere, and where there is atrophy and a

deficient flow of mucus in a moist atmosphere. If the mucous membrane is

irritable a dry sheltered spot on a sandy soil and in the neighbourhood

of pine trees is by far the best.

Scrofulous children, namely, those in whom the resistance to

micro-organisms and their products is low, pre-eminently require sea

air, and had better be educated at some seaside place. Where the child

is very delicate, with small power of reaction, the winter should be

passed on some mild coast resort. Gouty and rheumatic affections require

a dry soil and warm dry climate, cold and moist winds being especially

injurious.

For heart affections high altitudes are to be avoided, though some

physicians make an exception of mitral cases where the compensation is

good. Moderate elevations of 500 to 1500 ft. are preferable to the

sea-level.

In diseases of the kidneys, a warm dry climate, by stimulating the

action of the skin, lessens the work to be done by these organs, and

thus is the most beneficial. Extremes of heat and cold and elevated

regions are all to be avoided.

Encyclopaedia Britannica, 11th Edition, "Clervaux" to "Cockade" Volume 6, Slice 5 · 第 6 / 41 题