CHAPTER III

SOME SUGGESTED REFORMS

It is an obvious criticism on the considerations which have been occupying

us in the preceding chapters that they are too purely theoretical to be of

any value. They are indeed speculative, and, perhaps, from one point of

view come under the edge of the usual condemnation of prophecy. Prophecy

is, of course, if one of the most interesting, also one of the most

dangerous of human ingenuities, and the usual fate of prophets is, in nine

cases out of ten, to be proved wrong. Moreover, it is possible that there

may come an issue to the present war which would be by far the worst which

the human mind can conceive. It may end in a deadlock, a stalemate, an

impasse, because the two opposing forces are so equal that neither side

can get the better of the other. If peace has to be made because of such a

balance between the opposing forces as this, it would be a calamity almost

worse than the original war. German militarism would still be unsubdued,

the Kaiser's pretensions to universal sovereignty, although clipped, would

not be wiped out, and we should find remaining in all the nations of the

earth a sort of sullen resentment which could not possibly lead to

anything else than a purely temporary truce. The only logical object of

war is to make war impossible, and if merely an indecisive result were

achieved in the present war, it would be as certain as anything human can

be that a fresh war would soon arise. At the present moment we confess

that there is an ugly possibility of this kind, and that it is one of the

most formidable perils of future civilisation.

AN IGNOBLE PACIFICATION

It is so immensely important, however, that the cause of the Allies should

prevail not for their own sakes alone, but for the sake of the world, that

it is difficult to imagine their consenting to an ignoble pacification.

The Allies have signed an important document, in order to prove their

solidarity, that no one of them will sign peace without the sanction of

the other partners. Let us suppose that the rival armies have fought each

other to a standstill; let us suppose that France is exhausted; let us

further suppose that the German troops, by their mobility and their

tactical skill, are able to hold the Russians in the eastern sphere of

war. We can suppose all these things, but what we cannot imagine even for

a moment is that Great Britain--to confine ourselves only to our own

case--will ever consent to stop until she has achieved her object. America

may strive to make the combatants desist from hostilities, partly because

she is a great pacific power herself, and partly because it is a practical

object with her as a commercial nation to secure tranquil conditions. Yet,

even so, there would be no answer to the question which most thoughtful

minds would propound: Why did we go to war, and what have we gained by the

war? If we went to war for large cosmic purposes, then we cannot consent

to a peace which leaves those ultimate purposes unfulfilled. I think,

therefore, we can put aside this extremely uncomfortable suggestion that

the war may possibly end in a deadlock, because, in the last resort, Great

Britain, with her fleet, her sister dominions over the seas, her colonies,

and her eastern ally Japan, will always, to use the familiar phrase, have

"something up her sleeve," even though continental nations should reach a

pitch of absolute exhaustion.

A NEW EUROPE

It follows then that, even if we admit the purely speculative character of

our argument, it is not only right and proper, but absolutely necessary

that we should prepare ourselves for something which we can really

describe as a new Europe. Thoughtful minds ought imaginatively to put

themselves in the position of a spectator of a reconstituted world, or

rather of a world that waits to be reconstituted. It is necessary that

this should be done, because so many older prejudices have to be swept

away, so many novel conceptions have to be entertained. Let us take only a

single example. If we look back over history, we shall see that all the

great nations have made themselves great by war. There is a possible

exception in the case of Italy, whose present greatness has flowed from

loyal help rendered her by other kindred nations, and by realising for

herself certain large patriotic ideals entertained by great minds. But for

the majority of nations it is certainly true that they have fought their

way into the ranks of supreme powers. From this the deduction is easy that

greatness depends on the possession of formidable military power. Indeed,

all the arguments of those who are very anxious that we should not reduce

our armaments is entirely based on this supposition. The strong man armed

keepeth his goods in peace; his only fear is that a stronger man may come

with better arms and take away his possessions. Now if the new Europe

dawns not indeed for those who are past middle age--for they will have

died before its realisation--but for the younger generation for whose sake

we are bearing the toil and burden of the day, the one thing which is

absolutely necessary is that the index of greatness must no longer be

found in armies and navies. Clearly it will take a long time for men to

get used to this novel conception. Inveterate prejudices will stand in the

way. We shall be told over and over again that peace-lovers are no

patriots; that imperialism demands the possible sacrifice of our manhood

to the exigencies of war; and that the only class of men who are ever

respected in this world are those who can fight. And so, even though we

have had ocular demonstration of the appalling ruin which militarism can

produce, we may yet, if we are not careful, forget all our experience and

drift back into notions which are not really separable from precisely

those ideas which we are at present reprobating in the German nation. The

real test is this: Is, or is not, war a supreme evil? It is no answer to

this question to suggest that war educes many splendid qualities. Of

course it does. And so, too, does exploration of Polar solitudes, or even

climbing Alpine or Himalayan heights. Either war is a detestable solution

of our difficulties, or it is not. If it is not, then we have no right

whatsoever to object to the Prussian ideal. But if it is, let us call it

by its proper name. Let us say that it is devil's work, and have done with

it.

EVIL OF ARMAMENTS

We are trying not only to understand what Europe will be like if, as we

hope, this war ends successfully for the Allies, but what sort of new

Europe it will be in the hands of the conquerors to frame. Those who come

after us are to find in that new Europe real possibilities of advance in

all the higher kinds of civilisation. Not only are the various states to

contain sane and healthy people who desire to live in peace with their

neighbours, but people who will desire to realise themselves in science,

in philosophic thought, in art, in literature. What is an indispensable

condition for an evolution of this sort? It must be the absence of all

uneasiness, the growth of a serene confidence and trust, the obliteration

of envy, jealousy, and every kind of unreasonableness. The cause, above

all others, which has produced an opposite condition of things, which has

created the unfortunate Europe in which we have hitherto had to live, is

the growth and extension of armaments. The main factor, then, in our

problem is the existence of such swollen armaments as have wasted the

resources of every nation and embittered the minds of rival peoples. How

are we to meet this intolerable evil of armaments?

ABSENCE OF PROVOCATION

In the first place, let us remark that on our supposition--the eventual

victory of the Allies--one of the great disturbing elements will have been

put out of the field. Europe has hitherto been lulled into an uneasy and

fractious sleep by the balance of two great organisations. Under the

happiest hypothesis the Triple Alliance and the Triple Entente will have

disappeared into the deep backward and abysm of time. For all practical

purposes there will be no Triple Alliance, and therefore no Triple Entente

to confront it. With Austria wiped out of the map for all purposes of

offence, and Germany restricted within modest dimensions, the three powers

of the Triple Entente--Great Britain, France, and Russia--can do what they

like, and as they are sworn friends and allies they can take their own

steps undisturbed by fears of hostile combinations. Why should these

three allies consent any further to keep up bloated armaments? It is

against their own interests and against the interests of the world. So

long as Germany existed as a power and developed her own ambitions, we

were always on the edge of a catastrophe. With the conquest of Germany

that nightmare will have gone. And observe some of the consequences which

must inevitably follow. It was against the menace of Germany that France

had to pass her three years' law of military service: in the absence of

the German army France can reduce as she pleases her military

establishment. It was against the menace of a German fleet that we had to

incur an outlay of millions of pounds: in the absence of the German fleet

we, too, can do what we please. It is certain also that Russia, so long as

the deep-seated antagonism between Teuton and Slav remained, was under

strong compulsion to reform and reinforce her army.

FEAR OF RUSSIA

There may, it is true, remain in some minds a certain fear about Russia,

because it is difficult to dispel the old conception of a great despotic

Russian autocracy, or, if we like to say so, a semi-eastern and

half-barbarous power biding her time to push her conquests both towards

the rising and the setting sun. But many happy signs of quite a new spirit

in Russia have helped to allay our fears. It looks as if a reformed Russia

might arise, with ideas of constitutionalism and liberty and a much truer

conception of what the evolution of a state means. At the very beginning

of the war the Tsar issued a striking proclamation to the Poles, promising

them a restoration of the national freedom which they had lost a century

and a half previously. This doubtless was a good stroke of policy, but

also it seemed something more--a proof of that benevolent idealism which

belongs to the Russian nature, and of which the Tsar himself has given

many signs. Of the three nations who control the Poles, the Austrians have

done most for their subjects: at all events, the Poles under Austrian

control are supposed to be the most happy and contented. Then come the

Russian Poles. But the Poles under German government are the most

miserable of all, mainly because all German administration is so

mechanical, so hard, in a real sense so inhuman. But this determination of

the Tsar to do some justice to the Polish subjects is not the only sign of

a newer spirit we have to deal with. There was also a proclamation

promising liberty to the Jews--a very necessary piece of reform--and

giving, as an earnest of the good intentions of the Government,

commissions to Jews in the army. Better than all other evidence is the

extraordinary outburst of patriotic feeling in all sections of the Russian

people. It looks as if this war has really united Russia in a sense in

which it has never been united before. When we see voluntary service

offered on the part of those who hitherto have felt themselves the victims

of Russian autocracy, we may be pretty certain that even the reformers in

the great northern kingdom have satisfied themselves that their

long-deferred hopes may at length gain fulfilment. Nor ought we to forget

that splendid act of reform which has abolished the Imperial monopoly of

the sale of vodka. If by one stroke of the pen the Tsar can sacrifice

ninety-three millions of revenue in order that Russia may be sober, it is

not very extravagant to hope that in virtue of the same kind of benevolent

despotism Russia may secure a liberal constitution and the Russian people

be set free.[11]

[11] See _Our Russian Ally_, by Sir Donald Mackenzie Wallace (Macmillan).

MILITARY AUTOCRACY

The end of a great war, however, has one inevitable result, that it leaves

a military autocracy in supreme control of affairs. The armies which have

won the various campaigns, the generals who have led them, the

Commanders-in-Chief who have carried out the successful strategy, these

are naturally left with almost complete authority in their hands.

Wellington, for instance, a hundred years ago, held an extraordinarily

strong position in deciding the fate of Europe. And so, too, did the

Russian Tsar, whose armies had done so much to destroy the legend of

Napoleonic invincibility. Similar conditions must be expected on the

present occasion. And, perhaps, the real use of diplomats, if they are

prudent and level-headed men, is to control the ambitions of the military

element, to adopt a wider outlook, to consider the ultimate consequences

rather than the immediate effects of things. It would indeed be a

lamentable result if a war which was intended to destroy militarism in

Europe should end by setting up militarism in high places.

LIMITATION OF ARMAMENTS

Thus we seem to see still more clearly than before that the size of

armaments in Europe constitutes a fundamental problem with which we have

to grapple. Every soldier, as a matter of course, believes in military

armaments, and is inclined to exaggerate their social and not merely their

offensive value. Those of us who are not soldiers, but who are interested

in the social and economic development of the nation, know, on the

contrary, that the most destructive and wasteful form of expenditure is

that which is occupied with armaments grown so bloated that they go far to

render the most pressing domestic reforms absolutely impossible. How,

then, can we limit the size of armaments? What provision can we make to

keep in check that desire to fortify itself, to entrench itself in an

absolutely commanding position, which inherently belongs to the military

mind? In the case of both navies and armies something depends on

geographical conditions, and something on financial possibilities. The

first represents, as it were, the minimum required for safety; the second

the maximum burden which a state can endure without going into

bankruptcy.[12] Our own country, we should say, requires fleets, so far as

geographical conditions are concerned, for the protection of her shores,

and, inasmuch as she is a scattered empire, we must have our warships in

all the Seven Seas. France, in her turn, requires a navy which shall

protect her in the Mediterranean, and especially render access easy to

her North African possessions. On the supposition that she is good friends

with England, she does not require ships in the North Sea or in the

English Channel, while, vice versa, England, so long as France is strong

in the Mediterranean, need only keep quite small detachments at Gibraltar,

Malta, and elsewhere. Russia must have a fleet for the Baltic, and also a

fleet in the Black Sea. Beyond that her requirements assuredly do not go.

Italy's activities are mainly in the Mediterranean. Under the supposition

that she is conquered, Germany stands in some danger of losing her navy

altogether.

[12] Brailsford's _War of Steel and Gold_: Chap. IX.

PROTECTION OF COMMERCE

It is obvious, therefore, that if we confine ourselves purely to

geographical conditions, and adhere to the principle that navies are

required for the protection of coasts, we can at once reduce, within

relatively small limits, the building of armoured ships. The reason why

large navies have hitherto been necessary is because it has been assumed

that they do not merely protect coasts, but protect lines of commerce. We

have been told, for instance, that inasmuch as we cannot feed our own

population, and our national food comes to us from Canada, America, the

Argentine, Russia, and elsewhere, we must possess a very large amount of

cruisers to safeguard the ships that are conveying to us our daily bread.

If we ask why our ships must not only protect our shores, but our

merchandise--the latter being for the most part a commercial enterprise

worked by individual companies--the answer turns on that much-discussed

principle, the Right of Capture at Sea, which was debated at the last

Hague Conference, and as a matter of fact stoutly defended both by Germany

and ourselves. If we look at this doctrine--the supposed right that a

power possesses to capture the merchandise of private individuals who

belong to an enemy country in times of war--we shall perhaps feel some

surprise that a principle which is not admitted in land warfare should

still prevail at sea. According to the more benevolent notions of

conducting a campaign suggested, and indeed enforced by Hague Conventions

and such like, an army has no right to steal the food of a country which

it has invaded. It must pay for what it takes. Well-conducted armies, as a

matter of fact, behave in this fashion: the necessity of paying for what

they take is very strictly enforced by responsible officers. Why,

therefore, at sea an opposite state of affairs should prevail is really

not easy to understand. Most of the enemy's merchant ships which have been

captured in the recent war belong to private individuals, or private

companies. But they are taken, subject to the decision of Prize Courts, as

part of the spoils of a successful maritime power. I am aware that the

question is an exceedingly controversial one, and that Great Britain has

hitherto been very firm, or, perhaps, I might be allowed to say, obstinate

in upholding the law of capture at sea. But I also know that a great many

competent lawyers and politicians do not believe in the validity of such a

principle, and would not be sorry to have it abolished.[13] At all events,

it is clear enough that if it were abolished one of the main arguments for

keeping up a strong navy would fall to the ground. We should then require

no patrol of cruisers in the Atlantic, in the Pacific, and in the

Mediterranean. One thing at least is certain, that if we can ever arrive

at a time when a real Concert of Europe prevails, one of the first things

which it must take in hand is a thorough examination of the extent of

defensive force which a nation requires as a minimum for the preservation

of its independence and liberty.

[13] Notably Lord Loreburn, in his _Capture at Sea_ (Methuen).

TRADE IN ARMAMENTS

Certainly one crying evil exists which ought to be dealt with promptly and

effectively in accordance with the dictates of common sense as well as

common morality. I refer to the trade in armaments carried on by private

companies, whose only interest it is to foment, or perhaps actually to

produce, war scares in order that munitions of war may be greedily

purchased. A notorious example is furnished by the great works at Essen

owned by Krupp. In the same position are the great French works at

Creusot, owned by Schneider, and those of our own English firms,

Armstrongs, Vickers, John Brown, and Cammell Laird. These are all

successful concerns, and the shareholders have reaped large profits. I

believe that at Creusot the dividends have reached twenty per cent., and

Armstrongs yield rarely less than ten per cent. It is necessary to speak

very plainly about industries of this kind, because, however we like to

phrase it, they represent the realisation of private profit through the

instruments of death and slaughter. It would be bad enough if they

remained purely private companies, but they really represent the most

solid public organisations in the world. We know the intimate relations

between Krupp and the German Government, and doubtless also between

Messrs. Schneider and the French Government. This sordid manufacture of

the instruments of death constitutes a vast business, with all kinds of

ramifications, and the main and deadly stigma on it is that it is bound to

encourage and promote war. Let me quote some energetic sentences from Mr.

H.G. Wells on this point: "Kings and Kaisers must cease to be commercial

travellers of monstrous armament concerns.... I do not need to argue, what

is manifest, what every German knows, what every intelligent educated man

in the world knows. The Krupp concern and the tawdry Imperialism of Berlin

are linked like thief and receiver; the hands of the German princes are

dirty with the trade. All over the world statecraft and royalty have been

approached and touched and tainted by these vast firms, but it is in

Berlin that the corruption is centred, it is from Berlin that the

intolerable pressure to arm and still to arm has come."[14]

What is the obvious cure for this state of things? It stares us in the

face. Governments alone should be allowed to manufacture weapons. This

ought not to be an industry left in private hands. If a nation, through

its accredited representatives, thinks it is necessary to arm itself, it

must keep in its own hands this lethal industry. Beyond the Government

factories there clearly ought to be no making of weapons all over Europe

and the world.

[14] There are one or two pamphlets on this subject which are worth

consulting, especially _The War Traders_, by G.H. Perris (National Peace

Council, St. Stephen's House, Westminster), and _The War Trust Exposed_,

by J.F. Walton Newbold (the National Leader Press, Manchester). See also

_The War of Steel and Gold_, by H.N. Brailsford, Chapter II, "Real

Politics," p. 89. The sentences quoted from Mr. Wells come from _The War

that will end War_ (F. and C. Palmer), p. 39.

FINANCIAL INTERESTS

It has already been remarked that the conditions which limit and control

the size of armaments are partly geographical and partly financial, and

that while the former represent the minimum, the latter stand for the

maximum of protective force. I need say nothing further about the

geographical conditions. Every one who studies a map can see for himself

what is required by a country anxious to protect its shores or its

boundaries. If we suppose that armaments are strictly limited to the needs

of self-defence, and if we further assume that in the new Europe countries

are not animated by the strongest dislikes against one another, but are

prepared to live and let live (a tolerably large assumption, I am aware),

we can readily imagine a steady process of curtailment in the absolutely

necessary armament. Further, if Great Britain gave up its doctrine of the

Right of Capture at Sea (and if Great Britain surrendered it, we may be

pretty sure that, after Germany has been made powerless, no other country

would wish to retain it), the supposed necessity of protecting lines of

commerce would disappear and a further reduction in cruisers would take

place. I cannot imagine that either America or Japan would wish to revive

the Right of Capture theory if we ourselves had given it up. And they are

the most important maritime and commercial nations after ourselves.[15]

The financial conditions, however, deserve study because they lead

straight to the very heart of the modern bellicose tendencies. In an

obvious and superficial sense, financial conditions represent the maximum

in the provision of armaments, because ultimately it becomes a question of

how much a nation can afford to spend without going bankrupt or being

fatally hampered in its expenditure on necessary social reforms. This,

however, is not perhaps the most significant point. Financial conditions

act much more subtly than this. Why has it grown so imperative on states

to have large armies or large navies, or both? Because--so we have been

told over and over again--diplomacy cannot speak with effect unless it is

backed by power. And what are the main occasions on which diplomacy has to

speak effectively? We should be inclined to answer off-hand that it must

possess this stentorian power when there is any question about national

honour--when the country for whom it speaks is insulted or bullied, or

defrauded of its just rights; when treaties are torn up and disregarded;

when its plighted word has been given and another nation acts as though no

such pledge had been made; when its territory is menaced with invasion and

so forth.

[15] As a matter of fact, the United States are opposed to the Capture at

Sea principle.

PROTECTION OF FINANCIERS

But these justifiable occasions do not exhaust the whole field. Sometimes

diplomacy is brought to bear on much more doubtful issues. It is used to

support the concession-hunter, and to coerce a relatively powerless nation

to grant concessions. It backs up a bank which has financed a company to

build railroads or develop the internal resources of a country; or to

exploit mines or oil-fields, or to do those thousand-and-one things which

constitute what is called "peaceful penetration." Think of the recent

dealings with Turkey,[16] and the international rivalry, always suspicious

and inflammatory, which has practically divided up her Asiatic dominions

between European States--so that Armenia is to belong to Russia, Syria to

France, Arabia to Great Britain, and Anatolia and I know not what besides

to Germany! Think of the competition for the carrying out of railways in

Asia Minor and the constant friction as to which power has obtained, by

fair means or foul, the greatest influence! Or let us remember the recent

disputes as to the proper floating of a loan to China and the bickering

about the Five-Power Group and the determination on the part of the last

named that no one else should share the spoil! Or shall we transfer our

attention to Mexico, where the severe struggle between the two rival Oil

Companies--the Cowdray group and the American group--threw into the shade

the quarrel between Huerta and Carranza? These are only a few instances

taken at random to illustrate the dealings of modern finance. Relatively

small harm would be done if financiers were allowed to fight out their own

quarrels. Unfortunately, however, diplomacy is brought in to support this

side or that: and ambassadors have to speak in severe terms if a Chinese

mandarin does not favour our so-called "nationals," or if corrupt Turkish

officials are not sufficiently squeezable to suit our "patriotic"

purposes. Our armaments are big not merely to protect the nation's honour,

but to provide large dividends for speculative concerns held in private

hands.

[16] Turkey has now thrown in her lot with Germany.

INVESTING MONEY ABROAD

The truth is, of course, that the honourable name of commerce is now used

to cover very different kinds of enterprise. We used to export goods; now

we export cash. Wealthy men, not being content with the sound, but not

magnificent interest on home securities, take their money abroad and

invest in extremely remunerative--though of course speculative--businesses

in South Africa, or South America, concerned with rubber, petroleum, or

whatnot. Often they subscribe to a foreign loan--in itself a perfectly

legitimate and harmless operation, but not harmless or legitimate if one

of the conditions of the loan is that the country to which it is lent

should purchase its artillery from Essen or Creusot, or its battleships

from our yards. For that is precisely one of the ways in which the traffic

in munitions of war goes on increasing and itself helps to bring about a

conflagration. Financial enterprise is, of course, the life-blood of

modern states. But why should our army and navy be brought in to protect

financiers? Let them take their own risks, like every other man who

pursues a hazardous path for his own private gain. Private investment in

foreign securities does not increase the volume of a nation's commerce.

The individual may make a colossal fortune, but the nation pays much too

dearly for the enrichment of financiers if it allows itself to be dragged

into war on account of their "_beaux yeux_."

IDEAL AIMS

It is time to gather together in a summary fashion some of the

considerations which have been presented to us in the course of our

inquiry. We have gone to war partly for direct, partly for indirect

objects. The direct objects are the protection of small nationalities, the

destruction of a particularly offensive kind of militarism in Germany, the

securing of respect for treaties, and the preservation of our own and

European liberty. But there are also indirect objects at which we have to

aim, and it is here, of course, that the speculative character of our

inquiry is most clearly revealed. Apart from the preservation of the

smaller nationalities, Mr. Asquith has himself told us that we should aim

at the organisation of a Public Will of Europe, a sort of Collective

Conscience which should act as a corrective of national defects and as a

support of international morality. Nothing could well be more speculative

or vague than this, and we have already seen the kind of difficulties

which surround the conception, especially the conflict between a

collective European constraint and an eager and energetic patriotism. We

must not, however, be deterred by the nebulous character of some of the

ideals which are floating through our minds. Ideals are always nebulous,

and always resisted by the narrow sort of practical men who suggest that

we are metaphysical dreamers unaware of the stern facts of life.

Nevertheless, the actual progress of the world depends on the visions of

idealists, and when the time comes for the reconstitution of Europe on a

new basis we must already have imaginatively thought out some of the ends

towards which we are striving. We must also be careful not to narrow our

conceptions to the level of immediate needs--that is not the right way of

any reform. Our conceptions must be as large and as wide and as

philanthropical as imagination can make them; otherwise Europe will miss

one of the greatest opportunities that it has ever had to deal with, and

we shall incur the bitterest of all disappointments--not to be awake when

the dawn appears.

GREATNESS OF STATES

What, then, are some of those nebulous visions which come before the minds

of eager idealists? We have got to envisage for ourselves a new idea of

what constitutes greatness in a state. Hitherto we have measured national

greatness by military strength, because most of the European nations have

attained their present position through successful war. So long as we

cherish a notion like this, so long shall we be under the heel of a

grinding militarism. We have set out as crusaders to destroy Prussian

militarism, and in pursuit of this quest we have invoked, as a matter of

necessity, the aid of our militarists. But when their work is done, all

peoples who value freedom and independence will refuse to be under the

heel of any military party. To be great is not, necessarily, to be strong

for war. There are other qualities which ought to enter into the

definition, a high standard of civilisation and culture--not culture in

the Prussian sense, but that which we understand by the term--the great

development and extension of knowledge, room for the discoveries of

science, quick susceptibility in the domain of art, the organisation of

literature--all these things are part and parcel of greatness, as we want

to understand it in the future. It is precisely these things that

militarism, as such, cares nothing for. Therefore, if we are out for war

against militarism, the whole end and object of our endeavour must be by

means of war to make war impossible. Hence it follows, as a matter of

course, that the new Europe must take very serious and energetic steps to

diminish military establishments and to limit the size of armaments. If

once the new masters of Europe understand the immense importance of

reducing their military equipment, they have it in their power to relieve

nations of one of the greatest burdens which have ever checked the social

and economic development of the world. Suggestions have already been made

as to the reduction of armaments, and, although such schemes as have been

set forward are, in the truest sense, speculative, it does not follow that

they, or something like them, cannot hereafter be realised. Nor yet in

our conception of greatness must we include another false idea of the

past. If a nation is not necessarily great because it is strong for war,

neither is it necessarily great because it contains a number of

cosmopolitan financiers trying to exploit for their own purposes various

undeveloped tracts of the world's surface. These financiers are certainly

not patriots because, amongst other things, they take particular care to

invest in foreign securities, the interest of home investments not being

sufficient for their financial greed. It will not be the least of the many

benefits which may accrue to us after the end of this disastrous war if a

vulgar and crude materialism, based on the notion of wealth, is dethroned

from its present sovereignty over men's minds. The more we study the

courses of this world's history, the more certainly do we discover that a

love of money is the root of most of the evils which beset humanity.

APOSTLES OF THE NEW ERA

As we survey the possible reforms which are to set up a new and better

Europe on the ruin of the old, we naturally ask ourselves with some

disquietude: Who are the personalities, and what are the forces required

for so tremendous a change? Who are sufficient for these things? Are kings

likely to be saviours of society? Past experience hardly favours this

suggestion. Will soldiers and great generals help us? Here, again, we may

be pardoned for a very natural suspicion. Every one knows that a

benevolent despotism has much to recommend it. But, unfortunately, the

benevolent are not usually despotic, nor are despots as a rule benevolent.

Can diplomatists help us? Not so far as they continue to mumble the

watchwords of their ancient mystery: they will have to learn a new set of

formulæ, or more likely, perhaps, they will find that ordinary people, who

have seen to what a pass diplomacy has brought us, may work out for

themselves some better system. Clearly the tasks of the future will depend

on the co-operation of intelligent, far-sighted philanthropic reformers in

the various states of the world, who will recognise that at critical

periods of the world's history they must set to work with a new ardour to

think out problems from the very beginning. We want fresh and intelligent

minds, specially of the younger idealists, keen, ardent, and energetic

souls, touched with the sacred fire, erecting the fabric of humanity on a

novel basis. Democracy will have a great deal to do in the new Europe.

It, too, had better refurbish its old watchwords. It has got to set itself

patiently to the business of preventing future wars by the extension of

its sympathies and its clear discernment of all that imperils its future

development and progress. Above all, it has got to solve that most

difficult problem of creating a Public Will and a Common Conscience in

Europe, a conscience sensitive to the demands of a higher ethics, and a

will to enforce its decrees against obstructives and recalcitrants. We do

not see our way clear as yet, it is true. But we have a dim idea of the

far-seen peaks towards which we must lift up our eyes. It is the greatest

enterprise which humanity has ever been called upon to face, and, however

difficult, it is also the most splendid.

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Armageddon—And After · 第 3 / 3 章