CHAPTER II

LESSONS OF THE PAST

The problems that lie before us in the reconstitution of Europe are so

many and so various that we can only hope to take a few separately,

especially those which seem to throw most light on a possible future. I

have used the phrase "reconstitution of Europe," because I do not know how

otherwise to characterise the general trend of the ideas germinating in

many men's minds as they survey the present crisis and its probable

outcome. Europe will have to be reconstituted in more respects than one.

At the present moment, or rather before the present war broke out, it was

governed by phrases and conceptions which had become superannuated. An

uneasy equipoise between the Great Powers represented the highest

culmination of our diplomatic efforts. Something must clearly be

substituted for this uneasy equipoise. It is not enough that after

tremendous efforts the relative balance of forces between great states

should, on the whole, dissuade them from war. As a matter of fact, it has

not done so. The underlying conception has been that nations are so

ardently bellicose that they require to be restrained from headlong

conflicts by the doubtful and dangerous character of such military efforts

as might be practicable. Hence Europe, as divided into armed camps,

represents one of the old-fashioned ideas that we want to abolish. We wish

to put in its stead something like a Concert of Europe. We have before our

eyes a vague, but inspiring vision not of tremendous and rival armaments,

but of a United States of Europe, each component element striving for the

public weal, and for further advances in general cultivation and welfare

rather than commercial prosperity. The last is a vital point, for it does

not require much knowledge of modern history to discover that the race for

commercial advantage is exactly one of the reasons why Europe is at war at

the present moment. A vast increase in the commercial prosperity of any

one state means a frantic effort on the part of its rivals to pull down

this advantage. In some fashion, therefore, we have to substitute for

endless competition the principle of co-operation, national welfare being

construed at the same time not in terms of overwhelming wealth, but of

thorough sanity and health in the body corporate.

NAKED STRENGTH

All this sounds shadowy and abstruse until it is translated into something

concrete and definite. What is it we want to dispossess and banish from

the Europe of to-day? We have to find something to take the place of what

is called militarism. I dealt with the general features of militarism in

my last essay; I will therefore content myself with saying that militarism

in Europe has meant two things above all. First, the worship of might, as

expressed in formidable armaments; next, the corresponding worship of

wealth to enable the burden of armaments to be borne with comparative

ease. The worship of naked strength involves several deductions. Right

disappears, or rather is translated in terms of might. International

morality equally disappears. Individuals, it is true, seek to be governed

by the consciousness of universal moral laws. But a nation, as such, has

no conscience, and is not bound to recognise the supremacy of anything

higher than itself. Morality, though it may bind the individual, does not

bind the State, or, as General von Bernhardi has expressed it, "political

morality differs from individual morality because there is no power above

the State." In similar fashion the worship of wealth carries numerous

consequences with it, which are well worthy of consideration. But the main

point, so far as it affects my present argument, is that it substitutes

materialistic objects of endeavour for ethical and spiritual aims. Once

more morality is defeated. The ideal is not the supremacy of good, but the

supremacy of that range and sphere of material efficiency that is

procurable by wealth.

PUBLIC RIGHT

Let us try to be more concrete still, and in this context let us turn to

such definite statements as are available of the views entertained by our

chief statesmen, politicians, and leaders of public opinion. I turn to the

speech which Mr. Asquith delivered on Friday evening, September 25, in

Dublin, as part of the crusade which he and others are undertaking for the

general enlightenment of the country. "I should like," said Mr. Asquith,

"to ask your attention and that of my fellow-countrymen to the end which,

in this war, we ought to keep in view. Forty-four years ago, at the time

of the war of 1870, Mr. Gladstone used these words. He said: 'The greatest

triumph of our time will be the enthronement of the idea of public right

as the governing idea of European politics.' Nearly fifty years have

passed. Little progress, it seems, has as yet been made towards that good

and beneficent change, but it seems to me to be now at this moment as good

a definition as we can have of our European policy--the idea of public

right. What does it mean when translated into concrete terms? It means,

first and foremost, the clearing of the ground by the definite repudiation

of militarism as the governing factor in the relation of states and of the

future moulding of the European world. It means next that room must be

found and kept for the independent existence and the free development of

the smaller nationalities, each with a corporate consciousness of its

own.... And it means, finally, or it ought to mean, perhaps, by a slow and

gradual process, the substitution for force, for the clash of competing

ambition, for groupings and alliances, of a real European partnership

based on the recognition of equal right and established and enforced by a

common will."[6]

Much the same language has been used by Sir Edward Grey and by Mr. Winston

Churchill.

[6] _The Times_, September 26.

A COMMON WILL

Observe that there are three points here. In the first place--if I do not

misapprehend Mr. Asquith's drift--in working for the abolition of

militarism, we are working for a great diminution in those armaments which

have become a nightmare to the modern world. The second point is that we

have to help in every fashion small nationalities, or, in other words,

that we have to see that countries like Belgium, Holland, Switzerland, the

Scandinavian countries, Greece and the Balkan States, and, perhaps, more

specially, the Slav nationalities shall have a free chance in Europe,

shall "have their place in the sun," and not be browbeaten and raided and

overwhelmed by their powerful neighbours. And the third point, perhaps

more important than all, is the creation of what Mr. Asquith calls a

"European partnership based on the recognition of equal right and

established and enforced by a common will." We have to recognise that

there is such a thing as public right; that there is such a thing as

international morality, and that the United States of Europe have to keep

as their ideal the affirmation of this public right, and to enforce it by

a common will. That creation of a common will is at once the most

difficult and the most imperative thing of all. Every one must be aware

how difficult it is. We know, for instance, how the common law is enforced

in any specified state, because it has a "sanction," or, in other words,

because those who break it can be punished. But the weakness for a long

time past of international law, from the time of Grotius onwards, is that

it apparently has no real sanction. How are we to punish an offending

state? It can only be done by the gradual development of a public

conscience in Europe, and by means of definite agreements so that the rest

of the civilised world shall compel a recalcitrant member to abide by the

common decrees. If only this common will of Europe ever came into

existence, we should have solved most, if not all, our troubles. But the

question is: How?

A HUNDRED YEARS AGO

It may be depressing, but it certainly is an instructive lesson to go back

just a hundred years ago, when the condition of Europe was in many

respects similar to that which prevails now. The problems that unrolled

themselves before the nations afford useful points of comparison. The

great enemy was then Napoleon and France. Napoleon's views of empire were

precisely of that universal predatory type which we have learnt to

associate with the Kaiser and the German Empire. The autocratic rule of

the single personal will was weighing heavily on nearly every quarter of

the globe. Then came a time when the principle of nationality, which

Napoleon had everywhere defied, gradually grew in strength until it was

able to shake off the yoke of the conqueror. In Germany, and Spain, and

Italy the principle of nationality steadily grew, while in England there

had always been a steady opposition to the tyranny of Napoleon on the

precise ground that it interfered with the independent existence of

nations. The defeat of Napoleon, therefore, was hailed by our forefathers

a hundred years ago as the dawn of a new era. Four great Powers--Great

Britain, Russia, Austria, and Prussia--had before them as their task the

settlement of Europe, one of the noblest tasks that could possibly be

assigned to those who, having suffered under the old regime, were desirous

to secure peace and base it on just and equitable foundations. There is

thus an obvious parallelism between the conditions of affairs in 1815 and

those which will, as we hope, obtain if and when the German tyrant is

defeated and the nations of Europe commence their solemn task of

reconstituting Europe. Of course, we must not press the analogy too far.

The dawn of a new era might have been welcomed in 1815, but the proviso

was always kept in the background that most of the older traditions should

be preserved. Diplomacy was still inspired by its traditional watchwords.

Above all, the transformation so keenly and so vaguely desired was in the

hands of sovereigns who were more anxious about their own interests than

perhaps was consistent with the common weal.

EQUILIBRIUM

At first the four Great Powers proceeded very tentatively. They wished to

confine France--the dangerous element in Europe--within her legitimate

boundaries. Next, they desired to arrange an equilibrium of Powers

(observe, in passing, the old doctrine of the Balance of Power) so that no

individual state should for the future be in a position to upset the

general tranquillity. Revolutionary France was to be held under by the

re-establishment of its ancient dynasty. Hence Louis XVIII was to be

restored. The other object was to be obtained by a careful parcelling out

of the various territories of Europe, on the basis, so far as possible, of

old rights consecrated by treaties. It is unnecessary to go into detail in

this matter. We may say summarily that Germany was reconstituted as a

Confederation of Sovereign States; Austria received the Presidency of the

Federal Diet; in Italy Lombardo-Venetia was erected into a kingdom under

Austrian hegemony, while the Low Countries were annexed to the crown of

Holland so as to form, under the title of the United Netherlands, an

efficient barrier against French aggression northwards. It was troublesome

to satisfy Alexander I of Russia because of his ambition to secure for

himself the kingdom of Poland. Indeed, as we shall see presently, the

personality of Alexander was a permanent stumbling-block to most of the

projects of European statesmen. As a whole, it cannot be denied that this

particular period of history, between Napoleon's abdication in 1814 and

the meeting of the European Congress at Verona in 1882, presented a

profoundly distressing picture of international egotism. The ruin of their

common enemy, relieving the members of the European family from the

necessity of maintaining concord, also released their individual

selfishnesses and their long-suppressed mutual jealousies.[7]

[7] See _The Confederation of Europe_, by Walter Alison Phillips

(Longmans), esp. Chapters V and VI. Cf. also _Political and Literary

Essays_, by the Earl of Cromer, 2nd series (Macmillan), on _The

Confederation of Europe_.

THE HOLY ALLIANCE

The figure of Alexander I dominates this epoch. His character exhibits a

very curious mixture of autocratic ambition and a mystical vein of sheer

undiluted idealism. Probably it would be true to say that he began by

being an idealist, and was forced by the pressure of events to adopt

reactionary tactics. Perhaps also, deeply embedded in the Russian nature

we generally find a certain unpracticalness and a tendency to mystical

dreams, far remote from the ordinary necessities of every day. It was

Alexander's dream to found a Union of Europe, and to consecrate its

political by its spiritual aims. He retained various nebulous thinkers

around his throne; he also derived much of his crusade from the

inspiration of a woman--Baroness von Krüdener, who is supposed to have

owed her own conversion to the teaching of a pious cobbler. Even if we

have to describe Alexander's dream as futile, we cannot afford to dismiss

it as wholly inoperative. For it had as its fruit the so-called Holy

Alliance, which was in a sense the direct ancestor of the peace programmes

of the Hague, and, through a different chain of ideas, the Monroe Doctrine

of the United States. We are apt sometimes to confuse the Holy Alliance

with the Grand Alliance. The second, however, was a union of the four

Great Powers, to which France was ultimately admitted. The first was not

an alliance at all, hardly, perhaps, even a treaty. It was in its original

conception a single-hearted attempt to arrange Europe on the principles of

the Christian religion, the various nations being regarded as brothers who

ought to have proper brotherly affection for one another. We know that,

eventually, the Holy Alliance became an instrument of something like

autocratic despotism, but in its essence it was so far from being

reactionary that, according to the Emperor Alexander, it involved the

grant of liberal constitutions by princes to their subjects.

DIPLOMATIC CRITICISM

But just because it bound its signatories to act on certain vague

principles for no well-defined ends, it was bound to become the mockery

of diplomatists trained in an older school. Metternich, for instance,

called it a "loud sounding nothing"; Castlereagh "a piece of sublime

mysticism and nonsense," while Canning declared that for his part he

wanted no more of "Areopagus and the like of that." What happened on this

occasion is what ordinarily happens with well-intentioned idealists who

happen also to be amateur statesmen. Trying to regulate practical

politics, the Holy Alliance was deflected from its original purpose

because its chief author, Alexander I, came under the influence of

Metternich and was frightened by revolutionary movements in Italy and

within his own dominions. Thus the instrument originally intended to

preserve nationalities and secure the constitutional rights of people was

converted into a weapon for the use of autocrats only anxious to preserve

their own thrones. Nevertheless, though it may have been a failure, the

Holy Alliance did not leave itself without witness in the modern world. It

tried to regulate ordinary diplomacy in accordance with ethical and

spiritual principles; and the dreaming mind of its first founder was

reproduced in that later descendant of his who initiated the Hague

propaganda of peace.

FAILURE

"These things were written for our ensamples," and we should be foolish

indeed if we did not take stock of them with an anxious eye to the future.

The main and startling fact is that with every apparent desire for the

re-establishment of Europe on better lines, Europe, as a matter of fact,

drifted back into the old welter of conflicting nationalities, while the

very instrument of peace--the Holy Alliance--was used by autocratic

governments for the subjection of smaller nationalities and the

destruction of popular freedom. It is accordingly very necessary that we

should study the conditions under which so startling a transformation took

place. Even in England herself it cannot be said that the people were in

any sense benefited by the conclusions of the war. They had borne its

burdens, but at its end found themselves hampered as before in the free

development of a democracy. Meanwhile, Europe at large presented a

spectacle of despotism tempered by occasional popular outbreaks, while in

the majority of cases the old fetters were riveted anew by cunning and by

no means disinterested hands.

A DECEPTIVE PARALLEL

What we have to ask ourselves is whether the conditions a hundred years

ago have any real similarity with those likely to obtain when Europe

begins anew to set its house in order. To this, fortunately, we can return

a decided negative. We have already shown that the general outlines

present a certain similarity, but the parallelism is at most superficial,

and in many respects deceptive. A despot has to be overthrown, an end has

to be put to a particular form of autocratic regime, and smaller states

have to be protected against the exactions of their stronger

neighbours--that is the extent of the analogy. But it is to be hoped that

we shall commence our labours under much better auspices. The personal

forces involved, for instance, are wholly different. Amongst those who

took upon themselves to solve the problems of the time is to be found the

widest possible divergence in character and aims. On the one side we have

a sheer mystic and idealist in the person of Alexander I, with all kinds

of visionary characters at his side--La Harpe, who was his tutor, a

Jacobin pure and simple, and a fervent apostle of the teachings of Jean

Jacques Rousseau; Czartoryski, a Pole, sincerely anxious for the

regeneration of his kingdom; and Capo d'Istria, a champion of Greek

nationality. To these we have to add the curious figure of the Baroness

von Krüdener, an admirable representative of the religious sickliness of

the age. "I have immense things to say to him," she said, referring to the

Emperor, "the Lord alone can prepare his heart to receive them." She had,

indeed, many things to say to him, but her influence was evanescent and

his Imperial heart was hardened eventually to quite different issues.

METTERNICH

Absolutely at the other extreme was a man like Metternich, trained in the

old school of politics, wily with the wiliness of a practised diplomatic

training, naturally impatient of speculative dreamers, thoroughly

practical in the only sense in which he understood the term, that is to

say, determined to preserve Austrian supremacy. To a reactionary of this

kind the Holy Alliance represented nothing but words. He knew, with the

cynicism bred of long experience of mankind, that the rivalries and

jealousies between different states would prevent their union in any

common purpose, and in the long run the intensity with which he pursued

his objects, narrow and limited as it was, prevailed over the large and

vague generosity of Alexander's nature. To the same type belonged both

Talleyrand and Richelieu, who concentrated themselves on the single task

of winning back for France her older position in the European

commonwealth--a laudable aim for patriots to espouse, but one which was

not likely to help the cause of the Holy Alliance.

CASTLEREAGH AND CANNING

Half-way between these two extremes of unpractical idealists and extremely

practical but narrow-minded reactionaries come the English statesmen,

Castlereagh, Wellington, and Canning. Much injustice has been done to the

first of these. For many critics have been misled by Byron's denunciation

of Castlereagh, just as others have spoken lightly of the stubborn

conservatism of Wellington, or the easy and half-cynical insouciance of

the author of the _Anti-Jacobin_. As a matter of fact, Castlereagh was by

no means an opponent of the principles of the Holy Alliance. He joined

with Russia, Austria, and Prussia as a not unwilling member of the

successive Congresses, but both he and Wellington, true to their national

instincts, sought to subordinate all proposals to the interests of Great

Britain, and to confine discussions to immediate objects, such as the

limitation of French power and the suppression of dangerous revolutionary

ideas. They were not, it is true, idealists in the sense in which

Alexander I understood the term. And yet, on the whole, both Castlereagh

and Canning did more for the principle of nationality than any of the

other diplomatists of the time. The reason why Canning broke with the Holy

Alliance, after Troppau, Laibach, and Verona, was because he discerned

something more than a tendency on the part of Continental States to crush

the free development of peoples, especially in reference to the

Latin-American States of South America. It is true that in these matters

he and his successor were guided by a shrewd notion of British interest,

but it would be hardly just to blame them on this account. "You know my

politics well enough," wrote Canning in 1822 to the British Ambassador in

St. Petersburg, "to know what I mean when I say that for Europe I should

be desirous now and then to read England." Castlereagh was, no doubt, more

conciliatory than Canning, but he saw the fundamental difficulty of

organising an international system and yet holding the balance between

conflicting nations. And thus we get to a result such as seems to have

rejoiced the heart of Canning, when he said in 1823 that "the issue of

Verona has split the one and indivisible alliance into three parts as

distinct as the constitutions of England, France, and Muscovy." "Things

are getting back," he added, "to a wholesome state again. Every nation for

itself and God for us all. Only bid your Emperor (Alexander I) be quiet,

for the time for Areopagus and the like of that is gone by."[8]

[8] _The Confederation of Europe_, by W.A. Phillips, p. 280.

EARTHEN VESSELS

If, then, the ardent hopes of a regenerated Europe in the early years of

the nineteenth century failed, the result was due in large measure to the

fact that the business was committed to wrong hands. The organs for

working the change were for the most part autocratic monarchs and

old-world diplomatists--the last people in the world likely to bring about

a workable millennium. A great crisis demands very careful manipulation.

Cynicism must not be allowed to play any part in it. Traditional

watchwords are not of much use. Theoretical idealism itself may turn out

to be a most formidable stumbling-block. Yet no one can doubt that a

solution of the problem, whenever it is arrived at, must come along the

path of idealism. Long ago a man of the world was defined as a man who in

every serious crisis is invariably wrong. He is wrong because he applies

old-fashioned experience to a novel situation--old wine in new

bottles--and because he has no faith in generous aspirations, having noted

their continuous failure in the past. Yet, after all, it is only faith

which can move mountains, and the Holy Alliance itself was not so much

wrong in the principles to which it appealed as it was in the personages

who signed it. We have noticed already that, like all other great ideas,

it did not wholly die. The propaganda of peace, however futile may be some

of the discussions of pacifists, is the heritage which even so

wrong-headed a man as Alexander I has left to the world. The idea of

arbitration between nations, the solution of difficulties by arguments

rather than by swords, the power which democracies hold in their hands for

guiding the future destinies of the world--all these in their various

forms remain with us as legacies of that splendid, though ineffective,

idealism which lay at the root of the Holy Alliance.

SMALL NATIONALITIES

And now after this digression, which has been necessary to clear the

ground, and also to suggest apt parallels, let us return to what Mr.

Asquith said in Dublin on the ultimate objects of the present war. He

borrowed from Mr. Gladstone the phrase "the enthronement of the idea of

public right as the governing idea of European politics," and in

developing it as applicable to the present situation he pointed out that

for us three definite objects are involved. The first, assented to by

every publicist of the day, apart from those educated in Germany, is the

wholesale obliteration of the notion that states exist simply for the sake

of going to war. This kind of militarism, in all its different aspects,

will have to be abolished. The next point brings us at once to the heart

of some of the controversies raised in 1815 and onwards. "Room," said Mr.

Asquith--agreeing in this matter with Mr. Winston Churchill--"room must be

found, and kept, for the independent existence and the free development of

the smaller nationalities, each with a corporate consciousness of its

own." Now this is a plain issue which every one can understand. Not only

did we go to war in order to help a small nationality--Belgium--but the

very principle of nationality is one of the familiar phrases which have

characterised British policy through the greater part of the nineteenth

century. Our principle is to live and let live, to allow smaller states to

exist and thrive by the side of their large neighbours without undue

interference on the part of the latter. Each distinct nationality is to

have its voice, at all events, in the free direction of its own future.

And, above all, its present and future position must be determined not by

the interests of the big Powers, but by a sort of plebiscite of the whole

nationality.

SOME PLAIN ISSUES

Applying such principles to Europe as it exists to-day, and as it is

likely to exist to-morrow, we arrive at certain very definite conclusions.

The independence of Belgium must be secured, so also must the independence

of Holland and Denmark. Alsace and Lorraine must, if the inhabitants so

wish, be restored to France, and there can be little doubt that Alsace at

all events will be only too glad to resume her old allegiance to the

French nation. The Duchies of Schleswig-Holstein must also decide whether

they would like to be reunited to Denmark. And we are already aware that

the Tsar has promised to give independence to the country of Poland--a

point which forms a curious analogy with the same offer originally

proposed by the Tsar's ancestor, Alexander I. Of course, these do not

exhaust by any means the changes that must be forthcoming. Finland will

have to be liberated; those portions of Transylvania which are akin to

Roumania must be allowed to gravitate towards their own stock. Italy must

arrogate to herself--if she is wise enough to join her forces with those

of the Triple Entente--those territories which come under the general

title of "unredeemed Italy"--the Trentino and Trieste, to say nothing of

what Italy claims on the Adriatic littoral. Possibly the greatest changes

of all will take place in reference to the Slavs. Servia and Montenegro

will clearly wish to incorporate in a great Slav kingdom a great many of

their kinsmen who at present are held in uneasy subjection by Austria.[9]

Nor must we forget how these same principles apply to the Teutonic States.

If the principle of nationality is to guide us, we must preserve the

German nation, even though we desire to reduce its dangerous elements to

impotence. Prussia must remain the home of all those Germans who accept

the hegemony of Berlin, but it does not follow that the southern states of

the German Empire--who have not been particularly fond of their northern

neighbours--should have to endure any longer the Prussian yoke. Lastly,

the German colonies can hardly be permitted to remain under the dominion

of the Kaiser.[10] Here are only a few of the changes which may

metamorphose the face of Europe as a direct result of enforcing the

principle of nationalities.

[9] The entrance of Turkey into the quarrel of course brings new factors

into the ultimate settlement.

[10] Cf. _Who is Responsible?_ by Cloudesley Brereton (Harrap), Chapter

IV, "The Settlement."

EUROPEAN PARTNERSHIP

But there is a further point to which Mr. Asquith referred, one which is

more important than anything else, because it represents the far-off ideal

of European peace and the peace of the world. "We have got to substitute

by a slow and gradual process," said Mr. Asquith, "instead of force,

instead of the clash of compelling ambition, instead of groupings and

alliances, a real European partnership, based on the recognition of equal

right and established and enforced by a common will." There we have the

whole crux of the situation, and, unfortunately, we are forced to add, its

main difficulty. For if we desire to summarise in a single sentence the

rock on which European negotiations from 1815 to 1829 ultimately split, it

was the union of two such contradictory things as independent

nationalities and an international committee or system of public law.

Intrinsically the two ideas are opposed, for one suggests absolute

freedom, and the other suggests control, superintendence, interference. If

the one recognises the entire independence of a nationality within its own

limits, the other seeks to enforce something of the nature of a European

police to see that every nation does its duty. It is true, of course, that

this public will of Europe must be incorporated in a kind of parliament,

to which the separate nations must send their representatives, and that

thus in a fashion each nation will have its proper say in any of the

conclusions arrived at. But here the difficulty starts anew owing to the

relative size, and therefore the relative importance of the different

states constituting the union. If all alike are given an equivalent vote,

it is rather hard on the big states, which represent larger numbers and

therefore control larger destinies. If, on the other hand, we adopt the

principle of proportional representation, we may be pretty certain that

the larger states will press somewhat heavily on the smaller. For

instance, suppose that some state violates, or threatens to violate, the

public law of the world. In that case the Universal Union must, of course,

try to bring it to reason by peaceful means first, but if that should

fail, the only other alternative is by force of arms. If once we admit the

right of the world-organisation to coerce its recalcitrant members, what

becomes of the sovereign independence of nations? That, as we have said,

was the main difficulty confronting the European peace-maker of a hundred

years ago, and, however we may choose to regard it, it remains a

difficulty, we will not say insuperable, but at all events exceedingly

formidable, for the European peace-makers of the twentieth century. The

antithesis is the old antithesis between order and progress; between

coercion and independence; between the public voice, or, if we like to

phrase it so, the public conscience, and the arbitrariness and

irresponsibility of individual units. Or we might put the problem in a

still wider form. A patriot is a man who believes intensely in the rights

of his own nationality. But if we have to form a United States of Europe

we shall have gradually to soften, diminish, or perhaps even destroy the

narrower conceptions of patriotism. The ultimate evolution of democracy in

the various peoples means the mutual recognition of their common

interests, as against despotism and autocracy. It is clear that such a

process must gradually wipe out the distinction between the different

peoples, and substitute for particularism something of universal import.

In such a process what, we ask once more, becomes of the principle of

nationality, which is one of our immediate aims? In point of fact, it is

obvious that, from a strictly logical standpoint, the will of Europe, or

the public right of Europe, and the free independence of nationalities are

antithetical terms, and will continue to remain so, however cunningly, by

a series of compromises, we may conceal their essential divergence. That

is the real problem which confronts us quite as obstinately as it did our

forefathers after the destruction of the Napoleonic power. And it will

have to be faced by all reformers, whether they are pacifists or

idealists, on ethical or political grounds.

A MORAL FOR PACIFISTS

What is the outcome of the foregoing considerations? The only moral at

present which I am disposed to draw is one which may be addressed to

pacifists in general, and to all those who avail themselves of large and

generous phrases, such as "the public will of Europe," or "the common

consciousness of civilised states." The solution of the problem before us

is not to be gained by the use of abstract terms, but by very definite and

concrete experience used in the most practical way to secure immediate

reforms. We demand, for instance, the creation of what is to all intents

and purposes an international federal system applied to Europe at large.

Now it is obvious that a federal system can be created amongst nations

more or less at the same level of civilisation, inspired by much the same

ideals, acknowledging the same end of their political and social activity.

But in what sense is this true of Europe as we know it? There is every

kind of diversity between the constituent elements of the suggested

federation. There is no real uniformity of political institutions and

ideals. But in order that our object may be realised it is precisely this

uniformity of political institutions and ideals amongst the nations which

we require. How is a public opinion formed in any given state? It comes

into being owing to a certain community of sentiments, opinions, and

prejudices, and without such community it cannot develop. The same thing

holds true of international affairs. If we desiderate the public voice of

Europe, or the public conscience of Europe, Europe must grow to be far

more concordant than it is at present, both in actual political

institutions and in those inspiring ideals which form the life-blood of

institutions. How many states, for instance, recognise or put into

practice a really representative system of government?

COMPULSORY ARBITRATION

If we turn to the programme of the pacifists, we shall be confronted by

similar difficulties. Pacifism, as such, involves an appeal to all the

democracies, asking them to come into line, as it were, for the execution

of certain definite projects intended to seek peace and ensure it. The

first stage of the peace movement is the general recognition of the

principle of arbitration between states. That first period has, we may

take it, been already realised. The second stage is the recognition of

compulsory arbitration. When, in 1907, the second Hague Conference was

held, this principle was supported by thirty-two different states,

representing more than a thousand million human beings. Something like

three or four hundred millions remained not yet prepared to admit the

principle in its entirety. I may remark in passing that the verbal

acceptance of a general principle is one thing, the application, as we

have lately had much reason to discover, is quite another. We may

recognise, however, that this second stage of the pacifist programme has,

undoubtedly, made large advances. But of course it must necessarily be

followed by its consequence, a third stage which shall ensure respect for,

and obedience to arbitration verdicts. Recalcitrant states will have to be

coerced, and the one thing that can coerce them is an international police

administered by an international executive power. That is to say, we must

have a parliament of parliaments, a universal parliament, the

representatives of which must be selected by the different constituent

members of the United States of Europe. When this has been done, and only

when this has been done, can we arrive at a fourth stage, that of a

general disarmament. In the millennium that is to be it is only the

international police which shall be allowed to use weapons of war in order

to execute the decrees of the central parliament representing the common

European will.

DEMOCRATIC UNANIMITY

Here we have all the old difficulties starting anew, and especially the

main one--democratic unanimity. How far the democracies of the European

Commonwealth can work in unison is one of the problems which the future

will have to solve. At present they, obviously, do not do so. The Social

Democrats of Germany agreed to make war on the democrats of other

countries. Old instincts were too strong for them. For it must always be

remembered that only so far as a cosmopolitan spirit takes the place of

narrow national prejudices can we hope to reach the level of a common

conscience, or a common will of Europe. And are we prepared to say that

national prejudices _ought_ to be obliterated and ignored? The very

principle of nationality forbids it.

I do not wish, however, to end on a note of pessimism. The mistake of the

pacifist has all along been the assumption that bellicose impulses have

died away. They have done nothing of the kind, and are not likely to do

so. But, happily, all past experience in the world's history shows us that

ideas in a real sense govern the world, and that a logical difficulty is

not necessarily a practical impossibility. In this case, as in others, a

noble and generous idea of European peace will gradually work its own

fulfilment, if we are not in too much of a hurry to force the pace, or

imagine that the ideal has been reached even before the preliminary

foundations have been laid.

Armageddon—And After · 第 2 / 3 章