Malthus revisited

The Malthusian principle (1798) related growth of populations

(geometric) to food supply increases (arithmetic): "Population,

when unchecked, increases in a geometrical ratio. Subsistence

increases only in an arithmetical ratio." The weakness of the

principle is probably its failure to acknowledge that the

equation of mankind has more than the two variables it

considers: population and food supply. The experience of

extensive use of natural resources, in particular through

farming, is only one among an increasing number of experiences.

Human beings constitute their own reality not only as one of

biological needs, but also of cultural expectations, growing

demands, and creativity. These eventually affect changes in what

were believed to be primary needs and instincts. In many ways, a

great deal of previously acknowledged sources of protein are

exhausted. But in an ever more impressive proportion, the

acceptable realm of sources of nutrition-proteins included-has

been expanded so as to include the artificial. Hunting and

gathering wild plants (not to mention scavenging, which seems to

predate hunting) were appropriate when linear, sequential

strategies of survival defined human behavior; so were herding

and agriculture, a continuation of foraging under circumstances

of changed subsistence strategies.

Language was formed, and then stabilized, in connection to this

linear form of praxis. Linearity simply reflects the fact that

one person is less effective than two, but also that one's needs

are smaller than those of several. The experience of self-

constitution in language preserves linearity. This preservation

of linearity extends as long as the scale of the community and

its needs and wants allowed for proportional interaction among

its individuals and the environment of their existence.

Industrial society is probably the climax of this optimization

effort.

If the issue were only to feed mankind, the population census

(over five billion people on record as of the moment these pages

are being written, though less than four billion when I started)

and the measure of resources would not yet indicate a new scale.

But the issue is to accommodate geometrically growing populations

and exponentially (i.e., non-linearly) diversifying

expectations. Such expectations relate to a human being

celebrating higher average ages, and an extended period of active

life. We change anatomically, not necessarily for the better: we

see and hear less well and have lower physical abilities. Our

cognitive behavior and our patterns of social interaction change,

too. These changes reflect, among other things, the transition

from direct interaction and co-presence to indirect, mediated

forms of the practical self-constitution of the human being.

The sequential nature of language, in particular its embodiment

in literacy, no longer suits human praxis as its universal

measure. The strategies of linearization introduced through the

experience of literacy were acceptable when the resulting

efficiency accommodated lower and less differentiated

expectations. They are now replaced by more efficient,

intrinsically non-linear strategies made possible by literacies

structurally different from those rooted in the practice of

so-called natural language. Accordingly, literacy loses its

primacy. New literacies emerge. Instead of a stable center and

limited choice, a distributed and variable configuration of

centers and wide choice connect and disconnect areas of common

or disjoint interest. There are still national ambitions, huge

factories to be built, cities to be erected and others to be

expanded, highways to be widened in order to accommodate more

intercity traffic, and airports to be constructed so that more

airplanes can be used for national and international travel.

The inertia of past pragmatics has not yet been annihilated by

the dynamics of a fundamental change of direction. Still, an

integrated, yet decentralized, universe of work and living has

been taking shape and will continue to do so. Interconnection

made possible by digital technology, first of all, opens a wide

range of possibilities for reshaping social life, political

institutions, and our ability to design and produce goods. Our

own ability to mediate, to integrate parts and services

resulting from specialized activities is supported by machines

that enhance our cognitive characteristics.

The Civilization of Illiteracy · 第 14 / 217 题