Such propositions are important to logic, because all inference depends

upon them. If I have told you that if it rains I shall bring my

umbrella, and if you see that there is a steady downpour, you can infer

that I shall bring my umbrella. There can be no inference except where

propositions are connected in some such way, so that from the truth or

falsehood of the one something follows as to the truth or falsehood of

the other. It seems to be the case that we can sometimes know molecular

propositions, as in the above instance of the umbrella, when we do not

know whether the component atomic propositions are true or false. The

_practical_ utility of inference rests upon this fact.

The next kind of propositions we have to consider are _general_

propositions, such as "all men are mortal," "all equilateral triangles

are equiangular." And with these belong propositions in which the word

"some" occurs, such as "some men are philosophers" or "some philosophers

are not wise." These are the denials of general propositions, namely (in

the above instances), of "all men are non-philosophers" and "all

philosophers are wise." We will call propositions containing the word

"some" _negative_ general propositions, and those containing the word

"all" _positive_ general propositions. These propositions, it will be

seen, begin to have the appearance of the propositions in logical

text-books. But their peculiarity and complexity are not known to the

text-books, and the problems which they raise are only discussed in the

most superficial manner.

When we were discussing atomic facts, we saw that we should be able,

theoretically, to infer all other truths by logic if we knew all atomic

facts and also knew that there were no other atomic facts besides those

we knew. The knowledge that there are no other atomic facts is positive

general knowledge; it is the knowledge that "all atomic facts are known

to me," or at least "all atomic facts are in this collection"--however

the collection may be given. It is easy to see that general

propositions, such as "all men are mortal," cannot be known by inference

from atomic facts alone. If we could know each individual man, and know

that he was mortal, that would not enable us to know that all men are

mortal, unless we _knew_ that those were all the men there are, which is

a general proposition. If we knew every other existing thing throughout

the universe, and knew that each separate thing was not an immortal man,

that would not give us our result unless we _knew_ that we had explored

the whole universe, _i.e._ unless we knew "all things belong to this

collection of things I have examined." Thus general truths cannot be

inferred from particular truths alone, but must, if they are to be

known, be either self-evident, or inferred from premisses of which at

least one is a general truth. But all _empirical_ evidence is of

_particular_ truths. Hence, if there is any knowledge of general truths

at all, there must be _some_ knowledge of general truths which is

independent of empirical evidence, _i.e._ does not depend upon the data

of sense.

The above conclusion, of which we had an instance in the case of the

inductive principle, is important, since it affords a refutation of the

older empiricists. They believed that all our knowledge is derived from

the senses and dependent upon them. We see that, if this view is to be

maintained, we must refuse to admit that we know any general

propositions. It is perfectly possible logically that this should be the

case, but it does not appear to be so in fact, and indeed no one would

dream of maintaining such a view except a theorist at the last

extremity. We must therefore admit that there is general knowledge not

derived from sense, and that some of this knowledge is not obtained by

inference but is primitive.

Such general knowledge is to be found in logic. Whether there is any

such knowledge not derived from logic, I do not know; but in logic, at

any rate, we have such knowledge. It will be remembered that we excluded

from pure logic such propositions as, "Socrates is a man, all men are

mortal, therefore Socrates is mortal," because Socrates and _man_ and

_mortal_ are empirical terms, only to be understood through particular

experience. The corresponding proposition in pure logic is: "If anything

has a certain property, and whatever has this property has a certain

other property, then the thing in question has the other property." This

proposition is absolutely general: it applies to all things and all

properties. And it is quite self-evident. Thus in such propositions of

pure logic we have the self-evident general propositions of which we

were in search.

A proposition such as, "If Socrates is a man, and all men are mortal,

then Socrates is mortal," is true in virtue of its _form_ alone. Its

truth, in this hypothetical form, does not depend upon whether Socrates

actually is a man, nor upon whether in fact all men are mortal; thus it

is equally true when we substitute other terms for Socrates and _man_

and _mortal_. The general truth of which it is an instance is purely

formal, and belongs to logic. Since it does not mention any particular

thing, or even any particular quality or relation, it is wholly

independent of the accidental facts of the existent world, and can be

known, theoretically, without any experience of particular things or

their qualities and relations.

Logic, we may say, consists of two parts. The first part investigates

what propositions are and what forms they may have; this part enumerates

the different kinds of atomic propositions, of molecular propositions,

of general propositions, and so on. The second part consists of certain

supremely general propositions, which assert the truth of all

propositions of certain forms. This second part merges into pure

mathematics, whose propositions all turn out, on analysis, to be such

general formal truths. The first part, which merely enumerates forms, is

the more difficult, and philosophically the more important; and it is

the recent progress in this first part, more than anything else, that

has rendered a truly scientific discussion of many philosophical

problems possible.

The problem of the nature of judgment or belief may be taken as an

example of a problem whose solution depends upon an adequate inventory

of logical forms. We have already seen how the supposed universality of

the subject-predicate form made it impossible to give a right analysis

of serial order, and therefore made space and time unintelligible. But

in this case it was only necessary to admit relations of two terms. The

case of judgment demands the admission of more complicated forms. If all

judgments were true, we might suppose that a judgment consisted in

apprehension of a _fact_, and that the apprehension was a relation of a

mind to the fact. From poverty in the logical inventory, this view has

often been held. But it leads to absolutely insoluble difficulties in

the case of error. Suppose I believe that Charles I. died in his bed.

There is no objective fact "Charles I.'s death in his bed" to which I

can have a relation of apprehension. Charles I. and death and his bed

are objective, but they are not, except in my thought, put together as

my false belief supposes. It is therefore necessary, in analysing a

belief, to look for some other logical form than a two-term relation.

Failure to realise this necessity has, in my opinion, vitiated almost

everything that has hitherto been written on the theory of knowledge,

making the problem of error insoluble and the difference between belief

and perception inexplicable.

Modern logic, as I hope is now evident, has the effect of enlarging our

abstract imagination, and providing an infinite number of possible

hypotheses to be applied in the analysis of any complex fact. In this

respect it is the exact opposite of the logic practised by the classical

tradition. In that logic, hypotheses which seem _prima facie_ possible

are professedly proved impossible, and it is decreed in advance that

reality must have a certain special character. In modern logic, on the

contrary, while the _prima facie_ hypotheses as a rule remain

admissible, others, which only logic would have suggested, are added to

our stock, and are very often found to be indispensable if a right

analysis of the facts is to be obtained. The old logic put thought in

fetters, while the new logic gives it wings. It has, in my opinion,

introduced the same kind of advance into philosophy as Galileo

introduced into physics, making it possible at last to see what kinds of

problems may be capable of solution, and what kinds must be abandoned as

beyond human powers. And where a solution appears possible, the new

logic provides a method which enables us to obtain results that do not

merely embody personal idiosyncrasies, but must command the assent of

all who are competent to form an opinion.

LECTURE III

ON OUR KNOWLEDGE OF THE EXTERNAL WORLD

Philosophy may be approached by many roads, but one of the oldest and

most travelled is the road which leads through doubt as to the reality

of the world of sense. In Indian mysticism, in Greek and modern monistic

philosophy from Parmenides onward, in Berkeley, in modern physics, we

find sensible appearance criticised and condemned for a bewildering

variety of motives. The mystic condemns it on the ground of immediate

knowledge of a more real and significant world behind the veil;

Parmenides and Plato condemn it because its continual flux is thought

inconsistent with the unchanging nature of the abstract entities

revealed by logical analysis; Berkeley brings several weapons, but his

chief is the subjectivity of sense-data, their dependence upon the

organisation and point of view of the spectator; while modern physics,

on the basis of sensible evidence itself, maintains a mad dance of

electrons which has, superficially at least, very little resemblance to

the immediate objects of sight or touch.

Every one of these lines of attack raises vital and interesting

problems.

The mystic, so long as he merely reports a positive revelation, cannot

be refuted; but when he _denies_ reality to objects of sense, he may be

questioned as to what he means by "reality," and may be asked how their

unreality follows from the supposed reality of his super-sensible world.

In answering these questions, he is led to a logic which merges into

that of Parmenides and Plato and the idealist tradition.

The logic of the idealist tradition has gradually grown very complex and

very abstruse, as may be seen from the Bradleian sample considered in

our first lecture. If we attempted to deal fully with this logic, we

should not have time to reach any other aspect of our subject; we will

therefore, while acknowledging that it deserves a long discussion, pass

by its central doctrines with only such occasional criticism as may

serve to exemplify other topics, and concentrate our attention on such

matters as its objections to the continuity of motion and the infinity

of space and time--objections which have been fully answered by modern

mathematicians in a manner constituting an abiding triumph for the

method of logical analysis in philosophy. These objections and the

modern answers to them will occupy our fifth, sixth, and seventh

lectures.

Berkeley's attack, as reinforced by the physiology of the sense-organs

and nerves and brain, is very powerful. I think it must be admitted as

probable that the immediate objects of sense depend for their existence

upon physiological conditions in ourselves, and that, for example, the

coloured surfaces which we see cease to exist when we shut our eyes. But

it would be a mistake to infer that they are dependent upon mind, not

real while we see them, or not the sole basis for our knowledge of the

external world. This line of argument will be developed in the present

lecture.

The discrepancy between the world of physics and the world of sense,

which we shall consider in our fourth lecture, will be found to be more

apparent than real, and it will be shown that whatever there is reason

to believe in physics can probably be interpreted in terms of sense.

The instrument of discovery throughout is modern logic, a very different

science from the logic of the text-books and also from the logic of

idealism. Our second lecture has given a short account of modern logic

and of its points of divergence from the various traditional kinds of

logic.

In our last lecture, after a discussion of causality and free will, we

shall try to reach a general account of the logical-analytic method of

scientific philosophy, and a tentative estimate of the hopes of

philosophical progress which it allows us to entertain.

In this lecture, I wish to apply the logical-analytic method to one of

the oldest problems of philosophy, namely, the problem of our knowledge

of the external world. What I have to say on this problem does not

amount to an answer of a definite and dogmatic kind; it amounts only to

an analysis and statement of the questions involved, with an indication

of the directions in which evidence may be sought. But although not yet

a definite solution, what can be said at present seems to me to throw a

completely new light on the problem, and to be indispensable, not only

in seeking the answer, but also in the preliminary question as to what

parts of our problem may possibly have an ascertainable answer.

In every philosophical problem, our investigation starts from what may

be called "data," by which I mean matters of common knowledge, vague,

complex, inexact, as common knowledge always is, but yet somehow

commanding our assent as on the whole and in some interpretation pretty

certainly true. In the case of our present problem, the common knowledge

involved is of various kinds. There is first our acquaintance with

particular objects of daily life--furniture, houses, towns, other

people, and so on. Then there is the extension of such particular

knowledge to particular things outside our personal experience, through

history and geography, newspapers, etc. And lastly, there is the

systematisation of all this knowledge of particulars by means of

physical science, which derives immense persuasive force from its

astonishing power of foretelling the future. We are quite willing to

admit that there may be errors of detail in this knowledge, but we

believe them to be discoverable and corrigible by the methods which have

given rise to our beliefs, and we do not, as practical men, entertain

for a moment the hypothesis that the whole edifice may be built on

insecure foundations. In the main, therefore, and without absolute

dogmatism as to this or that special portion, we may accept this mass of

common knowledge as affording data for our philosophical analysis.

It may be said--and this is an objection which must be met at the

outset--that it is the duty of the philosopher to call in question the

admittedly fallible beliefs of daily life, and to replace them by

something more solid and irrefragable. In a sense this is true, and in a

sense it is effected in the course of analysis. But in another sense,

and a very important one, it is quite impossible. While admitting that

doubt is possible with regard to all our common knowledge, we must

nevertheless accept that knowledge in the main if philosophy is to be

possible at all. There is not any superfine brand of knowledge,

obtainable by the philosopher, which can give us a standpoint from which

to criticise the whole of the knowledge of daily life. The most that can

be done is to examine and purify our common knowledge by an internal

scrutiny, assuming the canons by which it has been obtained, and

applying them with more care and with more precision. Philosophy cannot

boast of having achieved such a degree of certainty that it can have

authority to condemn the facts of experience and the laws of science.

The philosophic scrutiny, therefore, though sceptical in regard to every

detail, is not sceptical as regards the whole. That is to say, its

criticism of details will only be based upon their relation to other

details, not upon some external criterion which can be applied to all

the details equally. The reason for this abstention from a universal

criticism is not any dogmatic confidence, but its exact opposite; it is

not that common knowledge _must_ be true, but that we possess no

radically different kind of knowledge derived from some other source.

Universal scepticism, though logically irrefutable, is practically

barren; it can only, therefore, give a certain flavour of hesitancy to

our beliefs, and cannot be used to substitute other beliefs for them.

Although data can only be criticised by other data, not by an outside

standard, yet we may distinguish different grades of certainty in the

different kinds of common knowledge which we enumerated just now. What

does not go beyond our own personal sensible acquaintance must be for us

the most certain: the "evidence of the senses" is proverbially the least

open to question. What depends on testimony, like the facts of history

and geography which are learnt from books, has varying degrees of

certainty according to the nature and extent of the testimony. Doubts as

to the existence of Napoleon can only be maintained for a joke, whereas

the historicity of Agamemnon is a legitimate subject of debate. In

science, again, we find all grades of certainty short of the highest.

The law of gravitation, at least as an approximate truth, has acquired

by this time the same kind of certainty as the existence of Napoleon,

whereas the latest speculations concerning the constitution of matter

would be universally acknowledged to have as yet only a rather slight

probability in their favour. These varying degrees of certainty

attaching to different data may be regarded as themselves forming part

of our data; they, along with the other data, lie within the vague,

complex, inexact body of knowledge which it is the business of the

philosopher to analyse.

The first thing that appears when we begin to analyse our common

knowledge is that some of it is derivative, while some is primitive;

that is to say, there is some that we only believe because of something

else from which it has been inferred in some sense, though not

necessarily in a strict logical sense, while other parts are believed on

their own account, without the support of any outside evidence. It is

obvious that the senses give knowledge of the latter kind: the immediate

facts perceived by sight or touch or hearing do not need to be proved by

argument, but are completely self-evident. Psychologists, however, have

made us aware that what is actually given in sense is much less than

most people would naturally suppose, and that much of what at first

sight seems to be given is really inferred. This applies especially in

regard to our space-perceptions. For instance, we instinctively infer

the "real" size and shape of a visible object from its apparent size and

shape, according to its distance and our point of view. When we hear a

person speaking, our actual sensations usually miss a great deal of what

he says, and we supply its place by unconscious inference; in a foreign

language, where this process is more difficult, we find ourselves

apparently grown deaf, requiring, for example, to be much nearer the

stage at a theatre than would be necessary in our own country. Thus the

first step in the analysis of data, namely, the discovery of what is

really given in sense, is full of difficulty. We will, however, not

linger on this point; so long as its existence is realised, the exact

outcome does not make any very great difference in our main problem.

The next step in our analysis must be the consideration of how the

derivative parts of our common knowledge arise. Here we become involved

in a somewhat puzzling entanglement of logic and psychology.

Psychologically, a belief may be called derivative whenever it is caused

by one or more other beliefs, or by some fact of sense which is not

simply what the belief asserts. Derivative beliefs in this sense

constantly arise without any process of logical inference, merely by

association of ideas or some equally extra-logical process. From the

expression of a man's face we judge as to what he is feeling: we say we

_see_ that he is angry, when in fact we only see a frown. We do not

judge as to his state of mind by any logical process: the judgment grows

up, often without our being able to say what physical mark of emotion we

actually saw. In such a case, the knowledge is derivative

psychologically; but logically it is in a sense primitive, since it is

not the result of any logical deduction. There may or may not be a

possible deduction leading to the same result, but whether there is or

not, we certainly do not employ it. If we call a belief "logically

primitive" when it is not actually arrived at by a logical inference,

then innumerable beliefs are logically primitive which psychologically

are derivative. The separation of these two kinds of primitiveness is

vitally important to our present discussion.

When we reflect upon the beliefs which are logically but not

psychologically primitive, we find that, unless they can on reflection

be deduced by a logical process from beliefs which are also

psychologically primitive, our confidence in their truth tends to

diminish the more we think about them. We naturally believe, for

example, that tables and chairs, trees and mountains, are still there

when we turn our backs upon them. I do not wish for a moment to maintain

that this is certainly not the case, but I do maintain that the question

whether it is the case is not to be settled off-hand on any supposed

ground of obviousness. The belief that they persist is, in all men

except a few philosophers, logically primitive, but it is not

psychologically primitive; psychologically, it arises only through our

having seen those tables and chairs, trees and mountains. As soon as the

question is seriously raised whether, because we have seen them, we have

a right to suppose that they are there still, we feel that some kind of

argument must be produced, and that if none is forthcoming, our belief

can be no more than a pious opinion. We do not feel this as regards the

immediate objects of sense: there they are, and as far as their

momentary existence is concerned, no further argument is required. There

is accordingly more need of justifying our psychologically derivative

beliefs than of justifying those that are primitive.

We are thus led to a somewhat vague distinction between what we may call

"hard" data and "soft" data. This distinction is a matter of degree, and

must not be pressed; but if not taken too seriously it may help to make

the situation clear. I mean by "hard" data those which resist the

solvent influence of critical reflection, and by "soft" data those

which, under the operation of this process, become to our minds more or

less doubtful. The hardest of hard data are of two sorts: the particular

facts of sense, and the general truths of logic. The more we reflect

upon these, the more we realise exactly what they are, and exactly what

a doubt concerning them really means, the more luminously certain do

they become. _Verbal_ doubt concerning even these is possible, but

verbal doubt may occur when what is nominally being doubted is not

really in our thoughts, and only words are actually present to our

minds. Real doubt, in these two cases, would, I think, be pathological.

At any rate, to me they seem quite certain, and I shall assume that you

agree with me in this. Without this assumption, we are in danger of

falling into that universal scepticism which, as we saw, is as barren as

it is irrefutable. If we are to continue philosophising, we must make

our bow to the sceptical hypothesis, and, while admitting the elegant

terseness of its philosophy, proceed to the consideration of other

hypotheses which, though perhaps not certain, have at least as good a

right to our respect as the hypothesis of the sceptic.

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