The theoretical understanding of the world, which is the aim of

philosophy, is not a matter of great practical importance to animals, or

to savages, or even to most civilised men. It is hardly to be supposed,

therefore, that the rapid, rough and ready methods of instinct or

intuition will find in this field a favourable ground for their

application. It is the older kinds of activity, which bring out our

kinship with remote generations of animal and semi-human ancestors, that

show intuition at its best. In such matters as self-preservation and

love, intuition will act sometimes (though not always) with a swiftness

and precision which are astonishing to the critical intellect. But

philosophy is not one of the pursuits which illustrate our affinity with

the past: it is a highly refined, highly civilised pursuit, demanding,

for its success, a certain liberation from the life of instinct, and

even, at times, a certain aloofness from all mundane hopes and fears. It

is not in philosophy, therefore, that we can hope to see intuition at

its best. On the contrary, since the true objects of philosophy, and the

habits of thought demanded for their apprehension, are strange, unusual,

and remote, it is here, more almost than anywhere else, that intellect

proves superior to intuition, and that quick unanalysed convictions are

least deserving of uncritical acceptance.

Before embarking upon the somewhat difficult and abstract discussions

which lie before us, it will be well to take a survey of the hopes we

may retain and the hopes we must abandon. The hope of satisfaction to

our more human desires--the hope of demonstrating that the world has

this or that desirable ethical characteristic--is not one which, so far

as I can see, philosophy can do anything whatever to satisfy. The

difference between a good world and a bad one is a difference in the

particular characteristics of the particular things that exist in these

worlds: it is not a sufficiently abstract difference to come within the

province of philosophy. Love and hate, for example, are ethical

opposites, but to philosophy they are closely analogous attitudes

towards objects. The general form and structure of those attitudes

towards objects which constitute mental phenomena is a problem for

philosophy; but the difference between love and hate is not a difference

of form or structure, and therefore belongs rather to the special

science of psychology than to philosophy. Thus the ethical interests

which have often inspired philosophers must remain in the background:

some kind of ethical interest may inspire the whole study, but none must

obtrude in the detail or be expected in the special results which are

sought.

If this view seems at first sight disappointing, we may remind ourselves

that a similar change has been found necessary in all the other

sciences. The physicist or chemist is not now required to prove the

ethical importance of his ions or atoms; the biologist is not expected

to prove the utility of the plants or animals which he dissects. In

pre-scientific ages this was not the case. Astronomy, for example, was

studied because men believed in astrology: it was thought that the

movements of the planets had the most direct and important bearing upon

the lives of human beings. Presumably, when this belief decayed and the

disinterested study of astronomy began, many who had found astrology

absorbingly interesting decided that astronomy had too little human

interest to be worthy of study. Physics, as it appears in Plato's

_Timaeus_ for example, is full of ethical notions: it is an essential

part of its purpose to show that the earth is worthy of admiration. The

modern physicist, on the contrary, though he has no wish to deny that

the earth is admirable, is not concerned, as physicist, with its ethical

attributes: he is merely concerned to find out facts, not to consider

whether they are good or bad. In psychology, the scientific attitude is

even more recent and more difficult than in the physical sciences: it is

natural to consider that human nature is either good or bad, and to

suppose that the difference between good and bad, so all-important in

practice, must be important in theory also. It is only during the last

century that an ethically neutral science of psychology has grown up;

and here too ethical neutrality has been essential to scientific

success.

In philosophy, hitherto, ethical neutrality has been seldom sought and

hardly ever achieved. Men have remembered their wishes, and have judged

philosophies in relation to their wishes. Driven from the particular

sciences, the belief that the notions of good and evil must afford a key

to the understanding of the world has sought a refuge in philosophy. But

even from this last refuge, if philosophy is not to remain a set of

pleasing dreams, this belief must be driven forth. It is a commonplace

that happiness is not best achieved by those who seek it directly; and

it would seem that the same is true of the good. In thought, at any

rate, those who forget good and evil and seek only to know the facts are

more likely to achieve good than those who view the world through the

distorting medium of their own desires.

The immense extension of our knowledge of facts in recent times has had,

as it had in the Renaissance, two effects upon the general intellectual

outlook. On the one hand, it has made men distrustful of the truth of

wide, ambitious systems: theories come and go swiftly, each serving, for

a moment, to classify known facts and promote the search for new ones,

but each in turn proving inadequate to deal with the new facts when they

have been found. Even those who invent the theories do not, in science,

regard them as anything but a temporary makeshift. The ideal of an

all-embracing synthesis, such as the Middle Ages believed themselves to

have attained, recedes further and further beyond the limits of what

seems feasible. In such a world, as in the world of Montaigne, nothing

seems worth while except the discovery of more and more facts, each in

turn the deathblow to some cherished theory; the ordering intellect

grows weary, and becomes slovenly through despair.

On the other hand, the new facts have brought new powers; man's physical

control over natural forces has been increasing with unexampled

rapidity, and promises to increase in the future beyond all easily

assignable limits. Thus alongside of despair as regards ultimate theory

there is an immense optimism as regards practice: what man can _do_

seems almost boundless. The old fixed limits of human power, such as

death, or the dependence of the race on an equilibrium of cosmic forces,

are forgotten, and no hard facts are allowed to break in upon the dream

of omnipotence. No philosophy is tolerated which sets bounds to man's

capacity of gratifying his wishes; and thus the very despair of theory

is invoked to silence every whisper of doubt as regards the

possibilities of practical achievement.

In the welcoming of new fact, and in the suspicion of dogmatism as

regards the universe at large, the modern spirit should, I think, be

accepted as wholly an advance. But both in its practical pretensions and

in its theoretical despair it seems to me to go too far. Most of what is

greatest in man is called forth in response to the thwarting of his

hopes by immutable natural obstacles; by the pretence of omnipotence, he

becomes trivial and a little absurd. And on the theoretical side,

ultimate metaphysical truth, though less all-embracing and harder of

attainment than it appeared to some philosophers in the past, can, I

believe, be discovered by those who are willing to combine the

hopefulness, patience, and open-mindedness of science with something of

the Greek feeling for beauty in the abstract world of logic and for the

ultimate intrinsic value in the contemplation of truth.

The philosophy, therefore, which is to be genuinely inspired by the

scientific spirit, must deal with somewhat dry and abstract matters, and

must not hope to find an answer to the practical problems of life. To

those who wish to understand much of what has in the past been most

difficult and obscure in the constitution of the universe, it has great

rewards to offer--triumphs as noteworthy as those of Newton and Darwin,

and as important in the long run, for the moulding of our mental habits.

And it brings with it--as a new and powerful method of investigation

always does--a sense of power and a hope of progress more reliable and

better grounded than any that rests on hasty and fallacious

generalisation as to the nature of the universe at large. Many hopes

which inspired philosophers in the past it cannot claim to fulfil; but

other hopes, more purely intellectual, it can satisfy more fully than

former ages could have deemed possible for human minds.

LECTURE II

LOGIC AS THE ESSENCE OF PHILOSOPHY

The topics we discussed in our first lecture, and the topics we shall

discuss later, all reduce themselves, in so far as they are genuinely

philosophical, to problems of logic. This is not due to any accident,

but to the fact that every philosophical problem, when it is subjected

to the necessary analysis and purification, is found either to be not

really philosophical at all, or else to be, in the sense in which we are

using the word, logical. But as the word "logic" is never used in the

same sense by two different philosophers, some explanation of what I

mean by the word is indispensable at the outset.

Logic, in the Middle Ages, and down to the present day in teaching,

meant no more than a scholastic collection of technical terms and rules

of syllogistic inference. Aristotle had spoken, and it was the part of

humbler men merely to repeat the lesson after him. The trivial nonsense

embodied in this tradition is still set in examinations, and defended by

eminent authorities as an excellent "propaedeutic," _i.e._ a training in

those habits of solemn humbug which are so great a help in later life.

But it is not this that I mean to praise in saying that all philosophy

is logic. Ever since the beginning of the seventeenth century, all

vigorous minds that have concerned themselves with inference have

abandoned the mediaeval tradition, and in one way or other have widened

the scope of logic.

The first extension was the introduction of the inductive method by

Bacon and Galileo--by the former in a theoretical and largely mistaken

form, by the latter in actual use in establishing the foundations of

modern physics and astronomy. This is probably the only extension of the

old logic which has become familiar to the general educated public. But

induction, important as it is when regarded as a method of

investigation, does not seem to remain when its work is done: in the

final form of a perfected science, it would seem that everything ought

to be deductive. If induction remains at all, which is a difficult

question, it will remain merely as one of the principles according to

which deductions are effected. Thus the ultimate result of the

introduction of the inductive method seems not the creation of a new

kind of non-deductive reasoning, but rather the widening of the scope of

deduction by pointing out a way of deducing which is certainly not

syllogistic, and does not fit into the mediaeval scheme.

The question of the scope and validity of induction is of great

difficulty, and of great importance to our knowledge. Take such a

question as, "Will the sun rise to-morrow?" Our first instinctive

feeling is that we have abundant reason for saying that it will, because

it has risen on so many previous mornings. Now, I do not myself know

whether this does afford a ground or not, but I am willing to suppose

that it does. The question which then arises is: What is the principle

of inference by which we pass from past sunrises to future ones? The

answer given by Mill is that the inference depends upon the law of

causation. Let us suppose this to be true; then what is the reason for

believing in the law of causation? There are broadly three possible

answers: (1) that it is itself known _a priori_; (2) that it is a

postulate; (3) that it is an empirical generalisation from past

instances in which it has been found to hold. The theory that causation

is known _a priori_ cannot be definitely refuted, but it can be rendered

very unplausible by the mere process of formulating the law exactly, and

thereby showing that it is immensely more complicated and less obvious

than is generally supposed. The theory that causation is a postulate,

_i.e._ that it is something which we choose to assert although we know

that it is very likely false, is also incapable of refutation; but it is

plainly also incapable of justifying any use of the law in inference. We

are thus brought to the theory that the law is an empirical

generalisation, which is the view held by Mill.

But if so, how are empirical generalisations to be justified? The

evidence in their favour cannot be empirical, since we wish to argue

from what has been observed to what has not been observed, which can

only be done by means of some known relation of the observed and the

unobserved; but the unobserved, by definition, is not known empirically,

and therefore its relation to the observed, if known at all, must be

known independently of empirical evidence. Let us see what Mill says on

this subject.

According to Mill, the law of causation is proved by an admittedly

fallible process called "induction by simple enumeration." This process,

he says, "consists in ascribing the nature of general truths to all

propositions which are true in every instance that we happen to know

of."[8] As regards its fallibility, he asserts that "the precariousness

of the method of simple enumeration is in an inverse ratio to the

largeness of the generalisation. The process is delusive and

insufficient, exactly in proportion as the subject-matter of the

observation is special and limited in extent. As the sphere widens, this

unscientific method becomes less and less liable to mislead; and the

most universal class of truths, the law of causation for instance, and

the principles of number and of geometry, are duly and satisfactorily

proved by that method alone, nor are they susceptible of any other

proof."[9]

[8] _Logic_, book iii., chapter iii., Sec. 2.

[9] Book iii., chapter xxi., Sec. 3.

In the above statement, there are two obvious lacunae: (1) How is the

method of simple enumeration itself justified? (2) What logical

principle, if any, covers the same ground as this method, without being

liable to its failures? Let us take the second question first.

A method of proof which, when used as directed, gives sometimes truth

and sometimes falsehood--as the method of simple enumeration does--is

obviously not a valid method, for validity demands invariable truth.

Thus, if simple enumeration is to be rendered valid, it must not be

stated as Mill states it. We shall have to say, at most, that the data

render the result _probable_. Causation holds, we shall say, in every

instance we have been able to test; therefore it _probably_ holds in

untested instances. There are terrible difficulties in the notion of

probability, but we may ignore them at present. We thus have what at

least _may_ be a logical principle, since it is without exception. If a

proposition is true in every instance that we happen to know of, and if

the instances are very numerous, then, we shall say, it becomes very

probable, on the data, that it will be true in any further instance.

This is not refuted by the fact that what we declare to be probable does

not always happen, for an event may be probable on the data and yet not

occur. It is, however, obviously capable of further analysis, and of

more exact statement. We shall have to say something like this: that

every instance of a proposition[10] being true increases the probability

of its being true in a fresh instance, and that a sufficient number of

favourable instances will, in the absence of instances to the contrary,

make the probability of the truth of a fresh instance approach

indefinitely near to certainty. Some such principle as this is required

if the method of simple enumeration is to be valid.

[10] Or rather a propositional function.

But this brings us to our other question, namely, how is our principle

known to be true? Obviously, since it is required to justify induction,

it cannot be proved by induction; since it goes beyond the empirical

data, it cannot be proved by them alone; since it is required to justify

all inferences from empirical data to what goes beyond them, it cannot

itself be even rendered in any degree probable by such data. Hence, _if_

it is known, it is not known by experience, but independently of

experience. I do not say that any such principle is known: I only say

that it is required to justify the inferences from experience which

empiricists allow, and that it cannot itself be justified

empirically.[11]

[11] The subject of causality and induction will be discussed again in

Lecture VIII.

A similar conclusion can be proved by similar arguments concerning any

other logical principle. Thus logical knowledge is not derivable from

experience alone, and the empiricist's philosophy can therefore not be

accepted in its entirety, in spite of its excellence in many matters

which lie outside logic.

Hegel and his followers widened the scope of logic in quite a different

way--a way which I believe to be fallacious, but which requires

discussion if only to show how their conception of logic differs from

the conception which I wish to advocate. In their writings, logic is

practically identical with metaphysics. In broad outline, the way this

came about is as follows. Hegel believed that, by means of _a priori_

reasoning, it could be shown that the world _must_ have various

important and interesting characteristics, since any world without these

characteristics would be impossible and self-contradictory. Thus what he

calls "logic" is an investigation of the nature of the universe, in so

far as this can be inferred merely from the principle that the universe

must be logically self-consistent. I do not myself believe that from

this principle alone anything of importance can be inferred as regards

the existing universe. But, however that may be, I should not regard

Hegel's reasoning, even if it were valid, as properly belonging to

logic: it would rather be an application of logic to the actual world.

Logic itself would be concerned rather with such questions as what

self-consistency is, which Hegel, so far as I know, does not discuss.

And though he criticises the traditional logic, and professes to replace

it by an improved logic of his own, there is some sense in which the

traditional logic, with all its faults, is uncritically and

unconsciously assumed throughout his reasoning. It is not in the

direction advocated by him, it seems to me, that the reform of logic is

to be sought, but by a more fundamental, more patient, and less

ambitious investigation into the presuppositions which his system shares

with those of most other philosophers.

The way in which, as it seems to me, Hegel's system assumes the ordinary

logic which it subsequently criticises, is exemplified by the general

conception of "categories" with which he operates throughout. This

conception is, I think, essentially a product of logical confusion, but

it seems in some way to stand for the conception of "qualities of

Reality as a whole." Mr Bradley has worked out a theory according to

which, in all judgment, we are ascribing a predicate to Reality as a

whole; and this theory is derived from Hegel. Now the traditional logic

holds that every proposition ascribes a predicate to a subject, and from

this it easily follows that there can be only one subject, the Absolute,

for if there were two, the proposition that there were two would not

ascribe a predicate to either. Thus Hegel's doctrine, that philosophical

propositions must be of the form, "the Absolute is such-and-such,"

depends upon the traditional belief in the universality of the

subject-predicate form. This belief, being traditional, scarcely

self-conscious, and not supposed to be important, operates underground,

and is assumed in arguments which, like the refutation of relations,

appear at first sight such as to establish its truth. This is the most

important respect in which Hegel uncritically assumes the traditional

logic. Other less important respects--though important enough to be the

source of such essentially Hegelian conceptions as the "concrete

universal" and the "union of identity in difference"--will be found

where he explicitly deals with formal logic.[12]

[12] See the translation by H. S. Macran, _Hegel's Doctrine of Formal

Logic_, Oxford, 1912. Hegel's argument in this portion of his "Logic"

depends throughout upon confusing the "is" of predication, as in

"Socrates is mortal," with the "is" of identity, as in "Socrates is

the philosopher who drank the hemlock." Owing to this confusion, he

thinks that "Socrates" and "mortal" must be identical. Seeing that

they are different, he does not infer, as others would, that there is

a mistake somewhere, but that they exhibit "identity in difference."

Again, Socrates is particular, "mortal" is universal. Therefore, he

says, since Socrates is mortal, it follows that the particular is the

universal--taking the "is" to be throughout expressive of identity.

But to say "the particular is the universal" is self-contradictory.

Again Hegel does not suspect a mistake but proceeds to synthesise

particular and universal in the individual, or concrete universal.

This is an example of how, for want of care at the start, vast and

imposing systems of philosophy are built upon stupid and trivial

confusions, which, but for the almost incredible fact that they are

unintentional, one would be tempted to characterise as puns.

There is quite another direction in which a large technical development

of logic has taken place: I mean the direction of what is called

logistic or mathematical logic. This kind of logic is mathematical in

two different senses: it is itself a branch of mathematics, and it is

the logic which is specially applicable to other more traditional

branches of mathematics. Historically, it began as _merely_ a branch of

mathematics: its special applicability to other branches is a more

recent development. In both respects, it is the fulfilment of a hope

which Leibniz cherished throughout his life, and pursued with all the

ardour of his amazing intellectual energy. Much of his work on this

subject has been published recently, since his discoveries have been

remade by others; but none was published by him, because his results

persisted in contradicting certain points in the traditional doctrine of

the syllogism. We now know that on these points the traditional doctrine

is wrong, but respect for Aristotle prevented Leibniz from realising

that this was possible.[13]

[13] _Cf._ Couturat, _La Logique de Leibniz_, pp. 361, 386.

The modern development of mathematical logic dates from Boole's _Laws of

Thought_ (1854). But in him and his successors, before Peano and Frege,

the only thing really achieved, apart from certain details, was the

invention of a mathematical symbolism for deducing consequences from the

premisses which the newer methods shared with those of Aristotle. This

subject has considerable interest as an independent branch of

mathematics, but it has very little to do with real logic. The first

serious advance in real logic since the time of the Greeks was made

independently by Peano and Frege--both mathematicians. They both arrived

at their logical results by an analysis of mathematics. Traditional

logic regarded the two propositions, "Socrates is mortal" and "All men

are mortal," as being of the same form;[14] Peano and Frege showed that

they are utterly different in form. The philosophical importance of

logic may be illustrated by the fact that this confusion--which is still

committed by most writers--obscured not only the whole study of the

forms of judgment and inference, but also the relations of things to

their qualities, of concrete existence to abstract concepts, and of the

world of sense to the world of Platonic ideas. Peano and Frege, who

pointed out the error, did so for technical reasons, and applied their

logic mainly to technical developments; but the philosophical importance

of the advance which they made is impossible to exaggerate.

[14] It was often recognised that there was _some_ difference between

them, but it was not recognised that the difference is fundamental,

and of very great importance.

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