The accounts given to the public unfortunately suffer from various

distortions of fact. In its Cassandra-like warning of possible

visitors from other planets, _Life_ magazine included the Tombaugh

sighting as one of the key cases and in a ten-sentence description

managed to include at least six misstatements, some of which added to

the “uncanny” nature of the incident. According to this summary[XII-11]

the year was 1948 (it was 1949); the time was about 11:00 P.M. (it

was 10:45 P.M.); the lights were traveling south to north (they were

moving northwest to southeast); the object had an oval shape (Tombaugh

did not specify a shape); the lights exhibited a glare (they were of

low luminosity); their speed was too fast for a plane, too slow for

a meteor (no estimate of speed was given). On a nationwide TV show

broadcast in 1958 one of the speakers stated specifically that Tombaugh

had observed a cigar-shaped object with lighted portholes[XII-12]. An

“artist’s conception” of the UFO in one publication[XII-13] depicts a

long, tapered ship with a line of lighted windows, wholly unrelated to

Tombaugh’s own sketch, which shows no unifying structure, merely six

small rectangles arranged as though each one were at the corner of a

hexagon (see Figure 20).

[Illustration: _Figure 20._ Tombaugh’s rectangles. Top, when first seen

at zenith; bottom, a few seconds later at 50° above horizon. (Based on

sketch by C. W. Tombaugh.)]

While keeping an open mind on the possibility of interplanetary travel,

Tombaugh himself has never supported the spaceship interpretation so

often attributed to him in print but has considered various possible

explanations--insects or birds illuminated by ground lights, or

reflections of ground lights against the boundary of an inversion layer

in the air. Of these, the inversion theory seems the most probable. The

layer in such a case must have been extremely thin or extremely weak,

otherwise it would have dimmed the brightness of the faint stars he was

observing. As in the Chesapeake Bay case, the mysterious rectangles

were undoubtedly the special effect of some unique combination of

circumstances, unlikely to be repeated. Conditions were ideal for

the formation of small sharply localized inversions: the weather was

clear, the day had been hot. A small temperature inversion existing

at a relatively low elevation and smoke, haze, or dust collecting in

a very thin layer at a relatively low altitude were the prerequisites

that almost certainly existed. Some unknown cause--in the vicinity

of an airfield there are many possibilities--could have produced a

ripple in the thin haze layer. This ripple, tipping the haze layer at

a slight angle, could have reflected the lighted windows of a house;

as the ripple progressed in a wavelike motion along the layer, the

reflection would have moved as did the rectangles of light. Conditions

of refraction at the interface would have reflected the wave upward.

Tombaugh has recently summarized his convictions on the entire UFO

phenomenon as well as on his own sighting:

“From my own studies of the solar system I cannot entertain any serious

possibility for intelligent life on the other planets, not even for

Mars (the planet to which I have devoted considerable observation and

study over the past thirty-five years). The logistics of visitations

from planets revolving around the nearer stars is staggering. In

consideration of the hundreds of millions of years in the geologic

time scale when such visitations may possibly have occurred, the odds

of a single visit in a given century or millennium are overwhelmingly

against such an event.

“A much more likely source of explanation is some natural optical

phenomenon in our own atmosphere. In my 1949 sighting the faintness

of the object, together with the manner of fading in intensity as it

traveled away from zenith towards the southeastern horizon, is quite

suggestive of a reflection from an optical boundary or surface of

slight contrast in refractive index, as in an inversion layer.

“I have never seen anything like it before or since, and I have spent

a lot of time where the night sky could be seen well. This suggests

that the phenomenon involves a comparatively rare set of conditions

or circumstances to produce it, but nothing like the odds of an

interstellar visitation.”

[XII-1] Air Force Files.

[XII-1a] Menzel, D. H. “The Truth About Flying Saucers.” _Look_

magazine (June 17, 1952).

[XII-2] Johnson, C. L. Personal communication.

[XII-3] _UFO Investigator_, April-May 1961.

[XII-4] Coleman, W. T. Personal communication.

[XII-5] Nash, W. B. Personal communication.

[XII-6] Ruppelt, E. J. _The Report on Unidentified Flying Objects._

Garden City, N.Y.: Doubleday & Co., 1956.

[XII-7] Nash, W. B., and Fortenberry, W. H. “We Flew Above Flying

Saucers,” _True_ magazine (October 1952).

[XII-8] Boston _Herald_, June 3, 1962.

[XII-9] “Radar Objects Over Washington,” _Air Weather Service Bulletin_

(September 1954), pp. 52–57.

[XII-10] Gifford, J. F. Personal communication.

[XII-11] “Have We Visitors from Outer Space?” _Life_ magazine, April 4,

1952.

[XII-12] “Flying Saucers, the Enigma of the Skies,” Armstrong Circle

Theatre TV Script, Jan. 22, 1958.

[XII-13] Michel, A. _The Truth about Flying Saucers._ New York:

Criterion Books, 1956.

[XII-14] Tombaugh, C. W. Personal communication.

_Chapter_ XIII

INVESTIGATORS: AIR FORCE AND CIVILIAN

Few government employees in recent times have been subjected to

more criticism than the men in the Aerial Phenomena Group at

Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Dayton, Ohio. This agency (usually

referred to in this book as ATIC) has the responsibility of

investigating all official reports of unidentified objects in our

skies. Of the thousands of such incidents studied so far, none suggests

that the UFO in question came from outer space. In fact, the term UFO

has proven to be one of the worst misnomers of history. In the most

perplexing cases, the phenomena reported are seldom material Objects,

very few of them are Flying and, when fully analyzed, almost none

remain Unidentified.

Identifying strange objects in the air over the United States is

vital to the country’s security. That military officers should be

guilty of carelessness or casual guesswork in this serious business is

unthinkable. Yet ATIC investigators, and through them the United States

Air Force, of which they are members, for more than a decade have been

the target of vicious attacks by civilian enthusiasts devoted to the

cult of flying saucers.

Banded together in various “research” organizations and operating on

the premise that UFOs are interplanetary in origin, most of these

enthusiasts flatly reject the normal explanations--planets, meteors,

satellites, balloons, reflections, birds, radar phantoms, hoaxes,

or delusions. Flying saucers _obviously_ cruise in our skies, the

believers argue, and the Air Force failure to admit the obvious proves

that its investigators are incompetent or dishonest or both, and that

they are involved in a giant conspiracy to conceal the truth from the

American public[XIII-1].

In the view of the saucer groups, the Air Force can do no right. If,

after receiving a UFO report, the investigators require some time to

collect all the relevant facts and to reach a sound conclusion, they

are berated for the delay and accused of cover-up tactics, as in the

Killian case (p. 52). On the other hand, when the answer is found

quickly and released to the newspapers, UFO addicts deny its truth and

assert that the explanation was hurriedly rushed into print in order

to deceive the public, as in the Pacific sighting on July 11, 1959 (p.

106)[XIII-1a, p. 8]. Some of these peculiar beliefs may rest on an

imperfect understanding of the actual aims, methods, and resources of

Air Force investigators.

_Official Study of UFOs_

The report of an unidentified flying object, in about 90 per cent of

the cases, comes first from an ordinary private citizen, who often

notifies the local newspaper or radio station. Not until he reports the

incident to a military official, however, is ATIC empowered to start

investigation. The commanding officer at the Air Force base nearest the

place of the sighting then makes a preliminary investigation and, if

the facts seem to warrant further study, forwards the information to

Dayton for evaluation.

With years of experience to draw on, the Aerial Phenomena Group

can often identify the unknown after a brief study of the report.

If not, they try to determine whether the report contains all the

facts necessary for an explanation and whether the unknown may be of

interest to Intelligence officers. Does it represent a possible danger

to the nation? Does it have possible military significance? Does it

have possible scientific or technical significance? If, after this

review, the investigators conclude that the unknown might be of some

importance, they carry out an intensive study in which they may have

the help of an organization directly connected with the Assistant

Chief of Staff for Intelligence or of allied Intelligence agencies.

When all the relevant facts are collected, a survey usually shows

that the unknown fits a particular class of sighting. To complete the

identification, ATIC can call on the expert knowledge of a specialist

in the type of phenomenon involved.

Expert help is available from a large variety of sources:

1. Official consultant to the Air Force, Dr. J. Allen Hynek, Director

of the Dearborn Observatory and Professor of Astronomy at Northwestern

University, formerly Assistant Director, Smithsonian Astrophysical

Observatory.

2. Members of the Air Force with special scientific and technical

training, whose full duty is the study, investigation, and analysis of

UFO reports.

3. A panel of military and civilian experts in all branches of science

and technology.

4. The scientific and technical laboratories (photographic, ballistic,

chemical, etc.) of all branches of the Air Force and of other

government agencies.

5. The meteorological records of the United States Weather Bureau, the

United States Coast Guard, and other government agencies.

6. Commercial laboratories under contract to carry out special work.

With the best scientific resources of the nation available, the Air

Force can make sure that a puzzling UFO phenomenon will undergo study

by an expert. Reports involving radar sightings are analyzed by the

research scientists who know most about the behavior of radar. If

satellites or astronomical objects might be involved, astronomers study

the evidence. If the report includes photographs or physical evidence,

experts provide the appropriate laboratory analysis. If a UFO still

proves difficult to explain, the complete facts are laid before a

panel of experts for discussion. When a sighting has been completely

analyzed, the conclusions--known or unknown--are filed with the record

of the case. If the newspapers have publicized the incident, a summary

of the analysis is given to SAFIS (Office of Information Services,

Office of the Secretary of the Air Force) for release to the press.

In the early years of the flying-saucer saga, almost none of the men

assigned to investigate UFOs had any special training in the optical

and astronomical sciences or in investigative techniques. Since the

specific facts of so many cases were classified, civilian scientists

who might have helped explain the UFO puzzles were not able to get the

necessary information. Unsurprisingly, the percentage of unexplained

cases sometimes reached as high as 5 to 10 per cent, and once reached

the staggering peak of 20 per cent! In recent years the techniques

of collection, investigation, and analysis of the facts have greatly

improved. Air Force investigators not only have excellent training,

they also have a solid body of experience behind them. In later reviews

they have found the answers to many, but not to all, of the backlog

of “Unknown” cases which, if reported today, would probably cause no

problem. Some of the old cases will probably never be solved because

the men in charge at the time did not always know what questions to

ask. Essential information was not obtained and can never be obtained

now.

The Air Force never closes an unsolved case. Reports that have been

listed as Unidentified or Insufficient Evidence are reanalyzed when new

evidence becomes available. Occasionally new evidence produces a more

complete or even a different explanation for a case that was previously

considered probably solved.

Statistical summaries of the UFO sightings for each month and for

each period of six months are forwarded to SAFIS for release. In

recent years ATIC has been receiving fewer than 600 reports per year

and solving about 98 per cent. In 1961, 578 UFOs were reported. Of

those in which all the necessary information was available, all but

thirteen--about two per cent--were completely explained.

Believers in flying saucers tend to ignore the 98 per cent of cases

fully explained by the Air Force, and to focus attention on the 2 per

cent that remain puzzling. Yet no distinguishable difference exists

between the types of observation described in solved and in unsolved

cases. From considering the original reports, the competence of the

witnesses, and the appearance and movements of the various UFOs, no

analyst could predict in advance which will be fully accounted for and

which will not. The witnesses (often technically trained observers or

experienced airmen) in the cases that are solved are just as reliable

as--and no less so than--the witnesses in the unexplained cases. They

report the same classes of phenomena--glowing UFOs, hovering UFOs, UFOs

moving at high velocities, making incredible maneuvers, and behaving as

though under intelligent control.

The Air Force has accounted for nearly all of these flying saucers.

The various causes included aircraft, balloons, satellites, mirages,

inversions, hoaxes, delusions, reflections, birds, lenticular clouds,

ball lightning, radar anomalies, sundogs, meteors, planets, stars,

the Aurora, and other astronomical phenomena. The few remaining

cases report similar observations and undoubtedly have one of these

causes--which cannot be proved because some essential fact is

missing. No data in these unsolved cases suggest that the UFOs had an

interplanetary origin or that they constituted a threat to the security

of the United States.

When Air Force investigators have determined that a UFO report does

not represent anything of interest to Intelligence, their primary duty

ends. However, since many UFO puzzles are of interest for scientific

or technical reasons, the investigators try to find the specific

explanation of each case and, if it has attracted public attention,

give the final solution to the press.

_Civilian Saucer Groups_

Since the first flying saucers were reported in 1947, dozens of

civilian clubs have been organized throughout the world to collect UFO

reports and publish “the truth” allegedly suppressed by government

sources. During the last decade the roster in the United States has

included such groups as the Borderland Sciences Research Associates

(California), Interplanetary Intelligence of Unidentified Flying

Objects (Oklahoma), Intercontinental Aerial Research Foundation

(Nebraska), UFO Research Committee (Ohio), Civilian Saucer Intelligence

(New York), Waukegan Contact Group (Illinois), Saucer Investigative

Research Organization (Georgia), World Society of the Flying Saucer

(Idaho), Civilian Research on Interplanetary Flying Objects (Ohio), and

the National Investigations Committee on Aerial Phenomena (Washington,

D.C.). The oldest of these saucer clubs, the Aerial Phenomena Research

Organization (Arizona) was founded in 1952 and issues a bimonthly news

sheet, the _APRO Bulletin_. More or less regular publications (some

now defunct) of these groups have included the _Cosmic Researcher_,

_Interplanetary News Service_, _CRIFO Orbit_, _Saucerian Bulletin_,

and _UFO Critical Bulletin_. In recent years some of the best factual

accounts of UFO incidents (as well as some of the weirdest speculation)

have appeared in the magazine _Flying Saucers_, which is not connected

with any club.

A few clubs, chiefly in California, are semireligious in character,

claiming repeated communication with ethereal beings in space. Some

clubs accept “contact” stories as valid, others do not. Certain

articles of faith are apparently common to all such groups: that UFOs

are actually vehicles from outer space; that they sometimes land on

earth and occasionally leave physical traces in the form of metallic

or organic substances; that scientists who cannot accept these beliefs

are hypocrites, archfiends, anti-Galileo reactionaries, stooges for

the Army or the Air Force, and members of the conspiracy to delude the

public.

_NICAP_

The largest and probably the most influential saucer group is the

National Investigations Committee on Aerial Phenomena (NICAP), with

affiliated subcommittees in various parts of the country. Many

members of local organizations such as the UFO Research Committee of

Akron, Ohio, also belong to NICAP and help maintain close liaison.

The bimonthly news sheet, the _UFO Investigator_, is distributed to

members of NICAP and to prominent persons in the government and other

fields; it regularly lists recent UFO sightings reported by members,

and occasionally prints a detailed report of a specific case. Few of

the sightings reported can be independently evaluated because the

accounts often omit such essential facts as exact times, dates, places,

direction of motion, etc.

With headquarters in Washington, D.C., NICAP strongly reflects the

views of its director, Major Donald E. Keyhoe, USMC (Ret.), that UFOs

may be interplanetary in origin, sometimes land on earth, but rarely

if ever make contact with human beings. Like most saucer believers,

many members of NICAP tend to assume without adequate investigation

that many unusual sky phenomena reported in the newspapers may be

extraterrestrial objects, and they often maintain this attitude in

the face of overwhelming evidence to the contrary. When the BOAC

Comet exploded near Calcutta on May 2, 1953, Major Keyhoe theorized

that a UFO might accidentally or deliberately have collided with the

plane. He continued such speculation even after British aviation

officials announced, after months of study, that the crash was caused

by metal fatigue[XIII-1]. Many of the items printed in the _UFO

Investigator_ are based on incomplete evidence. Under the headline

“Strange Series of Fireballs Reported,” NICAP listed a UFO observed on

March 7, 1960, at about 8:10 P.M., visible from the Canadian border

to Florida, and described by some observers as three or four UFOs

flying in formation[XIII-3]. This phenomenon was actually the satellite

Discoverer VIII making its final descent to earth.

NICAP membership is theoretically open to any non-Communist

citizen[XIII-4], but applicants from the “contactee” fringe are not

encouraged. The committee once canceled the membership of a space

evangelist when he claimed publicly to be a spokesman for NICAP, and in

1958 it canceled the membership of seven famous contactees who had been

admitted without the knowledge of the director[XIII-5].

Investigations are carried out as spare-time projects of the

members themselves, some of whom constitute an advisory panel

of experts. Although many are highly respected in their own

professions--television, journalism, military science, religion,

government, aviation, engineering, medicine, psychology, and teaching

in the physical sciences--few are recognized specialists in the fields

required for the analysis of most UFO cases--radar propagation, the

physics of optics, meteorology, and astronomy.

Since 1957 a major goal of NICAP has been a Congressional inquiry that

supposedly would reveal an Air Force conspiracy to deny the reality of

flying saucers[XIII-7]. In 1957 the director lodged a formal complaint

with a member of the United States Senate charging that the Air Force

continually made false statements on UFOs to the press, the public,

and members of Congress. In support of this accusation Major Keyhoe

submitted summaries of more than two hundred incidents[XIII-7].

The list cited a number of UFO reports that had never been submitted

to the Air Force for analysis. These included reports from foreign

countries (one in Sumatra in 1944 and one Holland in 1952) and from

NICAP’s private files. Others, such as the Kinross case (p. 154), had

not been within ATIC jurisdiction. Many others, such as the Mantell

(p. 33) and the Chiles-Whitted (p. 108) cases, had long ago been fully

explained. Still other cases, dating from the early days of the saucer

era, remain unsolved only because vital facts, not determined at the

time of the sighting, are necessary to a full explanation but cannot

now be ascertained. The request for a Congressional inquiry was denied

but has been repeated at intervals.

_The “Conspiracy” Fantasy_

Most UFO organizations cling to the belief that a conspiracy exists to

conceal the existence of extraterrestrial vehicles, but they disagree

on its precise composition. To NICAP and its affiliates, the chief

culprit is the Air Force, helped occasionally by other government

agencies and by well-known civilian scientists. APRO (Aerial Phenomena

Research Organization), however, considers that the Air Force is

involved only as the tool of still more powerful forces. The director

of APRO has published her conviction that nobody in the Air Force,

the Navy, or the Marines “has the brains” to contrive so successful a

scheme and that the alleged plot “could only be borne [_sic_] of minds

schooled in deception and contraception [_sic_]--the elite corps of the

Central Intelligence Agency.”[XIII-8] In still another version (which

makes the plots of E. Phillips Oppenheim seem amateurish) NICAP itself

is a pawn in a superconspiracy so vast that thousands of American

citizens have been made its unknowing tools[XIII-9]. The hundreds of

strange phenomena observed in the skies, the controversial photographs

of UFOs, the “spacemen” who visited Adamski and others, the “contact”

and little-green-men stories, the analyses made by the Air Force, the

formation of the various saucer clubs, NICAP and its war against the

Air Force--all these phenomena, events, and persons are allegedly parts

of a colossal drama planned, supported, and staged as a deliberate hoax

on the American public. The prime mover is supposed to be the Central

Intelligence Agency, whose motive is to conceal--something; just what

is not clear[XIII-10].

In comparison with this fantasy, NICAP’s charges of simple Air Force

cover-up seem tame.

_UFO at Sheffield Lake, Ohio_

One of the most notorious accusations of Air Force skulduggery, made

in attempts to procure a Congressional inquiry, was that embodied in

a saucerian study of the Fitzgerald sighting[XIII-11], published by

the UFO Research Committee of Akron, Ohio, which maintains a close

relationship with NICAP. Although the case was unimportant and was

completely explained, we shall discuss it in detail to illustrate the

peculiar views and methods of the flying-saucer groups.

In summary, a strange light observed on a dark night for roughly half a

minute by a drowsy housewife was converted into a weapon to attack the

Air Force. The incident inspired thousands of words of argument, caused

the publication and distribution of a lengthy document, used the time

of busy investigators, required an otherwise unnecessary expenditure of

public funds, and evoked an exchange of letters among angry citizens,

harassed Congressmen, and equally harassed Air Force officials. In all

UFO history, no larger mountain has ever been made from so small a

molehill.

On September 30, 1958, the Air Technical Intelligence Center at

Wright-Patterson Air Force Base received a letter from Mrs. William

Fitzgerald of Sheffield Lake, Ohio, reporting that on September 21

she had sighted a UFO which she would like to have investigated. She

enclosed a three-page summary prepared by members of the UFO Research

Committee of Akron, and added, “I assure you that I will contact my

congressman about this matter if some action is not taken soon to

explain it.”[XIII-12]

The World of Flying Saucers: A Scientific Examination of a Major Myth of the Space Age · 第 24 / 27 段