The basic facts of the Mantell case, the second of the “classic”[B]

UFO sightings, are familiar to all who have studied flying-saucer

phenomena[III-1, p. 51]. Early on the afternoon of January 7, 1948,

the Kentucky State Highway Patrol received a large number of calls from

the towns of Maysville, Owensboro, and Irvington, reporting a strange

object moving west at high speed. Alerted by the police, officials at

Godman Air Force Base, near Ft. Knox, began looking for the unknown

craft. They soon located the object but could not identify it. Watching

it through binoculars, various observers described its shape as

circular, like a teardrop, or rounded and tapered like a parachute

or an ice-cream cone. At about 2:30 P.M. (all times in this account

are E.S.T.), as they were discussing the object, a flight of four

P-51 planes approached the base from the south. Led by Captain Thomas

Mantell, the planes were being ferried from Marietta Air Base, Georgia,

to Standiford Field near Louisville. The tower operator at Godman

thereupon radioed Captain Mantell for assistance:

[B] A “classic” in the literature of flying saucers is a particularly

dramatic UFO incident whose specific cause has not yet been found or,

if found, cannot be absolutely proved from the evidence available.

Lacking a completely airtight explanation, official investigators

classify the case as Unknown. Saucer fans classify it as proof that

flying saucers exist.

“We have an object out south of Godman here that we are unable to

identify and we would like to know if you have gas enough and if so

could you take a look for us if you will.”

The ferry had been planned as a low-level flight and none of the planes

had been serviced with oxygen. Captain Mantell, a combat pilot in World

War II, nevertheless agreed to help out: “Roger. I have the gas and I

will take a look for you if you will give me the correct heading and

any information you have on locating the object.”

The talk between Godman tower and Captain Mantell was not recorded

and transmission was sometimes garbled. Although many persons heard

the exchange of remarks during the next critical minutes and agreed

on the general content, no two remembered exactly the same words;

therefore the official reports[III-2] represent only the best possible

reconstruction of the conversation that took place.

One plane, short of fuel, continued on to Louisville. The other three

circled and began to climb. At about 2:45 Mantell notified the tower

that he was at about 15,000 feet: “I have an object in sight above and

ahead of me, and it appears to be moving at about half my speed or

approximately 180 miles an hour.” One of his wing men said: “What the

hell are we looking for?” When Godman asked Mantell to describe the

object, he said: “It appears to be a metallic object, or possibly a

reflection of sun from a metallic object, and it is of tremendous size.

I’m going to 20,000 feet.”

The other two pilots, who had seen nothing and were alarmed at flying

so high without oxygen, leveled off at 15,000 feet. Mantell was then

above 22,000 feet and still climbing. In ship-to-ship conversation

he said that he would go to 25,000 feet for about ten minutes, then

come down. When all further attempts to call Mantell went unanswered,

the other pilots discontinued the search and went on to their base;

although one returned after refueling and equipping himself with a mask

and oxygen, he found nothing in the area.

At about 3:15 Mantell radioed that the object was “directly ahead of me

and slightly above, and is now moving at about my speed or better. I am

trying to close in for a better look.” He did not call again. Less than

an hour later searchers found the crashed plane. Mantell was dead. His

shattered watch had stopped at 3:18.

During the period of search, ground observers at Godman Field had been

able to watch the UFO, gradually diminishing in size, and about 3:50 it

disappeared from view. Within a few minutes, however, observers farther

south in Kentucky and Tennessee were reporting an unknown object in the

sky.

A hundred rumors sprang up immediately after the tragedy: that the UFO

was a Russian missile; was a weird machine from outer space that had

deliberately or accidentally knocked the plane out of the air when it

got too close; that Captain Mantell’s body was riddled with bullets;

that the plane had completely disintegrated before striking the ground;

that the wreckage was radioactive.

Investigators rushed in to find the cause of the fatal crash and

brought confusion with them. Some facts could be quickly established.

There were no bullet wounds. The plane had not burned on impact and was

not radioactive. The left wing had come off while in the air and landed

100 feet from the main crash area. Parts of the plane were scattered

on a line north to south within six tenths of a mile of the central

wreckage. The emergency canopy lock was in place and apparently no

attempt had been made to release it. The throttle was set at one fourth

open, mixture control at “Idle cut-off,” and prop control at “Full

increase r.p.m.”

From this evidence investigators concluded that because of lack of

oxygen Mantell had lost consciousness at about 25,000 feet, while his

plane continued to climb to about 30,000 feet; leveling off, it then

began a gradual turn to the left because of engine torque, and went

into a spiraling dive that produced a speed and a structural stress

greater than the plane could stand--the plane was “red-lined” (Air

Force jargon for the limit of safety) at 525 mph. Pilots who have

flown the P-51 in combat conditions have agreed with this conclusion

and have suggested that, as the plane fell, Mantell may have regained

consciousness, realized what was happening, pulled the throttle back

and tried to pull back on the control, thus producing a stress so great

that the wing was torn off and the plane then fell vertically.

As an immediate result of this tragic accident, Air Force officials

recommended that all pilots be briefed again on the use of oxygen

and the effects of lack of oxygen. New orders were issued; that no

pilot go above 12,000 feet without oxygen under any circumstances;

that no aircraft be cleared for cross-country flight unless it had

been serviced with oxygen; that classes in the use of oxygen start

immediately for all pilots and crew members; that all aircraft be

equipped with oxygen; and that all pilots carry mask, helmet, goggles,

and gloves on all flights.

The cause of the crash was known. But investigators had still to solve

the problem: what was the unknown object that Mantell had been chasing?

[Illustration: _Figure 5._ UFO sightings in the Mantell case. The

broken line indicates the path a balloon would have followed.]

An Air Force official had announced to the press that the unknown had

been the planet Venus. This explanation, while not impossible, was not

very probable. The position of Venus that afternoon had indeed been

very close to that of the unknown object. But with a stellar magnitude

of -3.4, less than half its maximum brilliance, in the daylight sky

the planet would have been visible, if at all, only as an exceedingly

small, bright point of light. Furthermore this answer did not fit

the pattern of sightings. The accompanying map (see Figure 5) of the

Ohio-Kentucky-Tennessee region illustrates the succession of events:

1:15 P.M., Maysville, Kentucky. Strange object sighted moving

west.

1:35 P.M., Owensboro and Irvington, Kentucky. Circular object

sighted, 250 to 300 feet in diameter, moving west.

Shortly before 1:45 P.M., Godman Air Force Base, Kentucky.

Circular or parachute-shaped object sighted; in view for about

two hours, slowly moving south.

4:00 P.M., Madisonville, Kentucky. Strange object; through

binoculars identified as a balloon.

4:45 P.M., Nashville, Tennessee. Strange object sighted;

through binoculars identified as a balloon.

5:00 P.M., Lockbourne Air Force Base, Columbus, Ohio. Round

glowing amber object sighted on southwest horizon in horizontal

flight; in view about twenty minutes, then disappeared below

the horizon.

All but the last observation in this series suggested a balloon flight,

but a quick check with the weather stations in the area failed to turn

up any record of a routine launching. Air Force investigators knew

about the Skyhook project and could have obtained information on secret

launchings, even though it was classified. But, since many of the

investigators in these early days of the saucer era were more than half

convinced that the unknown had been an interplanetary vehicle, they

abandoned the inquiry at this point and officially labeled the case an

Unknown. Flying-saucer addicts pounced on this conclusion as proof that

the object had actually been a spaceship, that the Air Force knew it to

be a spaceship and was deliberately concealing the news from the public.

_A Probable Solution of the Mantell Case_

Although the case remained unsolved for nearly four years, the

original analysis of the evidence, carried out by Dr. J. Allen Hynek,

scientific consultant for the Air Force, made certain facts clear

from the beginning. The final sightings in Ohio, so inconsistent with

the general pattern of the other observations, obviously were not

related to the reports from Kentucky and Tennessee. The object seen at

Columbus had undoubtedly been the planet Venus, glowing brilliantly

on the sunset horizon (see _Chapter_ IV). But the object that traveled

southwest over Kentucky and Tennessee had almost certainly not been

Venus. At least two objects--balloons or other aircraft--must be

involved. It was possible, though not probable, that the unknown

over Godman Field had been the planet Venus, or it might have been

still a third object. The senior author of this book, after studying

the facts available at the time and analyzing the weather conditions

prevailing that winter afternoon, suggested that the object could have

been a “mock sun” created by ice crystals in the cirrus clouds at high

altitudes[III-3, p. 22].

The final solution of these UFO mysteries often depends on one key

fact. Without it, the puzzle may never be solved. With it, all the

pieces fall into place. The “mock sun” theory (see p. 244) remained the

most probable explanation until, some time after the Skyhook project

had been declassified, ATIC investigators discovered the key fact:

At the time of the Mantell crash, the Clinton County Air Force Base,

in southern Ohio, had been a launching site for Skyhook balloons.

Unfortunately records for the day of Captain Mantell’s death were not

available, and the men who had worked on the balloon project could no

longer remember whether they had launched a Skyhook on that particular

day. If an unacknowledged balloon had been in the area, however, only

one more piece was needed to complete the puzzle: What path would the

balloon have followed?

The records at Wright-Patterson Field show that the winds that

afternoon would have carried a balloon over exactly the course the

UFO followed: from southern Ohio west into Kentucky. It would have

climbed rapidly and at about 35,000 feet would have entered the

southward-flowing jet stream; shifting direction, the balloon would

have traveled south at a high rate of speed, still climbing. Somewhere

south or southwest of Godman Field it would have climbed through the

jet stream to enter a region of calm at about 60,000 feet; slowing

down, it would have drifted south or southeast into Tennessee. Of its

fate after that we can only guess[III-4, p. 19].

Without the Skyhook records for the day in question, this solution

cannot be called absolutely certain. But the chances of its being

correct are overwhelmingly high--infinitely higher than the

probability that Mantell died while chasing a spaceship from another

planet.

_A Radiosonde over Virginia_

In the years that followed, the pattern of sightings in the Mantell

case has often reappeared but, fortunately, without the same tragic

outcome. After each Skyhook launching, a flood of UFO sightings came in

to ATIC from towns that lay under the path of the balloon. The Skyhook

project sometimes was able to relocate a “lost” balloon by following

newspaper reports of flying saucers.

By the summer of 1952 the existence of giant balloons was no longer

classified information. When on June 15 an unidentified flying object

appeared over several towns in Virginia and followed a course that

closely resembled that of the Mantell UFO, Air Force investigators

recognized the pattern and began looking for a balloon as the probable

explanation. The reports were as follows[III-1, p. 192]:

3:40 P.M., Unionville, Virginia. Very shiny object sighted at

high altitude.

4:20 P.M., Gordonsville, Virginia. Round, shiny object sighted

in the southeast.

4:25 P.M., airliner near Richmond, Virginia. A silver sphere

sighted at eleven o’clock high.

4:43 P.M., south of Gordonsville, Virginia. Jet pilot sighted

and tried to intercept a round, shiny sphere.

5:43 P.M., south of Gordonsville. An Air Force jet pilot

sighted and tried to intercept a shiny sphere; at 35,000 feet

the object was still above him.

7:35 P.M., Blackstone, Virginia. A round, shiny object with a

golden glow sighted, moving south.

7:59 P.M., radio station at Blackstone. Shiny object sighted.

8:00 P.M., Blackstone. Jets from Langley Air Force Base tried

to intercept object.

8:05 P.M., object disappeared.

Investigators first of all checked with officials at Lowry Air Force

Base, which served as a plotting center for all Skyhook balloons, but

there were none in the East that day. Next they checked the possibility

that the UFO had been a weather balloon, but nearby weather stations

replied that none of their balloons could have been responsible for the

sightings. After calling other stations within a 150-mile radius of

Gordonsville with negative results, investigators called the weather

station at Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. A radiosonde (a small balloon

attached to an instrument for taking soundings in the upper atmosphere)

had been released that afternoon, but had been lost about sixty miles

southeast of the station when it apparently sprung a slow leak and

leveled off at 60,000 feet. The weather man at Pittsburgh offered

to plot its probable course as determined by the prevailing winds,

and soon telephoned Dayton to report that the UFO was probably their

balloon.

Southeast of Pittsburgh above 50,000 feet there was a strong current

of air that fed into a stronger southerly stream flowing parallel to

the Atlantic coast, just east of the Appalachian Mountains. The balloon

would have floated along in this current like a log floating down a

river, and should have arrived in the neighborhood of Gordonsville

and Blackstone in the late afternoon or early evening. The UFO had

been sighted near Gordonsville between 4:43 and 5:43 P.M., and near

Blackstone between 7:35 and 8:00 P.M. The unknown was thus clearly

identified as the lost radiosonde.

_Skyhook and Pibal UFOs_

The year 1952 was a big year for experimental balloons--and for

UFO sightings. Weather balloons in clusters, 100-foot Skyhooks,

radiosondes, pibals (pilot balloons sent up to show the direction and

speed of the wind) were released on schedule all over the continent.

Launchings were recorded and the balloons were tracked, as far as

possible, so that for any given day or area ATIC could consult a map

and try to correlate the position of a known balloon with that of a

reported flying saucer. When a balloon was lost, any UFO sightings

it caused were not always easy to account for until--and unless--the

balloon could be found again.

These spheres of gas vary in size from a few inches in diameter to some

two hundred feet. Often they look and behave very unlike the popular

concept of a “normal” balloon, and under the right conditions they can

fool even the most wary observer--particularly if he is more or less

expecting to see something strange.

A man on the ground or even in a plane, watching the maneuvers of an

object some 20,000 to 100,000 feet above him, finds it impossible to

make an accurate estimate of its true height, diameter, distance, or

speed. Strong windcurrents can change the orientation of the sphere,

and the particular angle of vision of the observer can make the object

look wholly unlike a balloon. It may assume the shape of a disk, a

lens, a teardrop, a parachute, a sausage. Temperature inversions can

produce a double image of a balloon so that it looks like a linked

pair. Balloons released in pairs or clusters may seem to be traveling

in formation under intelligent control. Sunlight, moonlight, or the

lights of a city reflected from the surface may cause them to look

white, gray, amber, red, silvery, or metallic. Since balloons often

carry a heavy instrument load, they may give a radar return that

indicates a solid object.

When balloons develop a leak, they may drop some distance at high

speed and then level off, as though under intelligent control. At the

extreme cold of high altitudes they may burst and suddenly vanish.

High in the sky at morning and evening twilight they may appear to be

self-luminous, taking their light from the invisible sun just as our

artificial satellites do. They often travel high above the air lanes,

higher than any plane can go, where varying wind streams may propel

them at great velocities, slow them until they seem to hover and be

almost stationary, abruptly change the direction of their motion so

that they reverse course, dive toward the earth, or ascend rapidly into

the sky.

At night all these illusions are magnified because the observer has

fewer visible reference points by which to evaluate the true shape,

distance, and type of motion of these wandering spheres. They can

deceive even the most hardheaded and able pilot. The pilot is only

human when he doubts that any balloon can fool him--until it does.

_The Guantánamo “Dogfight”_

An American Navy pilot, practicing night flying over the Guantánamo

City base in Cuba on the night of September 24, 1952, engaged in a

“dogfight” with a balloon that exhibited all the characteristics

associated with this type of flying saucer. It seemed to take evasive

action, deliberately elude the pilot, make head-on passes, and respond

to every move of the plane with a countermove.

The pilot was at 4000 feet and slowly climbing when he spotted an

orange light approaching the city from the east at 10,000 to 15,000

feet. Realizing that the object was not a Navy plane, he tried to

intercept it, but the light had started a left turn and he could get no

closer than eight to ten miles. The object appeared to be as large as

a Navy bomber and had a greenish tail five or six times the diameter

of the light, visible only intermittently. When he reached 10,000

feet, the light was still circling left and climbing in a ten- to

fifteen-mile orbit. To keep the nose of the relatively slow TBM on the

light required about 40 degrees of bank. At 12,000 feet the light was

still climbing faster than the plane; the pilot then stopped climbing

and reversed from a left to a right turn. The light seemed also to

reverse direction.

All attempts at interception seemed to be met by purposeful evasive

action, and the object seemed to be guided by intelligence. When

the pilot followed the light to the north, it shifted to west, then

south, at about 25,000 feet. Suddenly it began to climb at an angle

of approximately 60 degrees and at a terrific rate. Although it had

been a large bright glow, it now appeared as a very small red point

which would have blended with the stars had it not been moving. It then

started a rapid descent. By this time the pilot was over the base and

headed northeast to intercept the light as it descended. He described

the ensuing “dogfight”[III-2]:

“The light appeared to level out rapidly, and I missed it on the first

run and started a tight port turn. As I headed for a point that would

give me a 90-degree collision course for the light, it appeared to

accelerate and crossed my bow at an incredible speed. I immediately

went into a tighter turn and the next intercept was the same except

that I was almost on the light, as it flashed from starboard to port.

At this close range nothing but the light could be seen, and it was a

brilliant white, approximately fifteen feet in diameter. After each

run, the light appeared to go out one-quarter to one-half mile, and

slowing in speed, continuing in a port turn. As I pulled out of the

third run the light appeared to start another rapid descent towards

Caimanera. This time I went into a steep dive to follow, when the light

appeared to shallow its dive and head towards the control tower. My

altitude was 6000 to 8000 feet, descending at a speed of better than

200 knots. The light was below me and going at more than twice my

speed. As I approached the north shore of the Bay, at approximately

2000 feet descending, the light seemed to veer to port, pass over the

army dredge, steady out on an easterly heading, level out over the

mangroves, slow down rapidly over the cove ... hover over the water

momentarily, and then fade from sight.” After the plane landed, harbor

police searched the area but found nothing.

When the pilot was informed that he had been fighting a lighted weather

balloon, released that night from the Naval Air Station at Guantánamo

Bay, he may very naturally have felt incredulous. Instead of arguing,

however, he helped carry out an experiment. On the following night the

station released another lighted balloon, at about the same time, and

the pilot took off to try an intercept. After comparing the experience

with that of the night before, he concluded that he had indeed fought a

balloon:

“Many of the illusions seen on the previous night could be duplicated

by maneuvering the plane appropriately. I tracked the balloon to 12,000

feet and made runs on it from as far away as ten miles. I could always

intercept and pass it at any predetermined position, as against the

fact that I could not get close to the other light, which at the time

appeared to be moving away at each attempt at approach.”

There were other differences, too. The rate of ascent was faster on the

first night, and the second balloon did not exhibit a tail. Discussion

with members of the Aerology Department brought out the explanation of

these differences. The first night had been clear, with a bright moon

that transformed the accompanying light into a flickering tail. On the

second night the dew point was higher and the atmosphere was hazy so

that no tail was visible, the balloon looked smaller, and showed an

orange glow instead of a bright white.

The rapid climb of the first balloon could be attributed to a vertical

air current, or to an air layer of variable density, or both. A

balloon often develops leaks at high altitudes and then descends to an

intermediate altitude where the loss of gas and the denser atmosphere

cause it to hover. One wind balloon, released earlier from the same

base, had developed a leak, started spinning, covered a horizontal

distance of about a mile, and then dropped into the water. Similarly,

the first balloon probably developed a large hole and fell very rapidly

for a while until the loss of gas and the increase in atmospheric

pressure caused it to shrink and close the hole, slowing its descent.

Some of his impressions, he decided, were the result of making tight

turns at high speed: “The last fast descent could be due to the fact

that I may have cut the balloon with my prop on the third run, causing

the light to fall free. My last three-quarter turn was diving to port

in a position northeast of the light, which could have produced the

illusion of the light arcing across Caimanera and the Bay and settling

into the water. The light’s crossing from starboard to port could have

been the result of my plane being in a vertical turn and the light

descending straight down instead of going horizontally. At the time of

intercept I thought my wings to be almost level, the light traveling in

a flat circle, but due to the afore-mentioned vertigo, a pilot cannot

rely on his senses to establish attitude.”

The World of Flying Saucers: A Scientific Examination of a Major Myth of the Space Age · 第 3 / 27 段